8-11-11 Posts
Stock
markets rally on jobs report In
fourth day of wild swings, markets surge amid mixed signals about direction of
U.S. economy. (Washington Post) [ The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally
prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed! This an especially great opportunity to sell / take
profits, particularly if you missed Monday or May, since there’s much, much worse to come! Thursday, Aug.11, 2011:
what changed from yesterday which warranted a more than 500 point plunge with
paper stocks still over-valued? Well, some bad news labeled as better than
expected 1) 7,000 fewer jobless claims than expected (just a little over 1%
better even if you believe them – I don’t) 2) Cisco shows results ‘better than expected’ 3) Record monthly trade deficit [ What
Recovery? Forbes ‘we can’t call this a recovery. There’s no reason to celebrate when a job report was better than
expected. Why? Because the expectation was abysmal to begin with.’ ‘Cisco Systems Inc’s quarterly results edged past Wall Street’s scaled-back expectations ...“They beat a low bar. A lot of it is coming from cost
cutting, which we anticipated. In that sense it’s a relief,” Joanna Makris of Mizuho
Securities USA told Reuters. ‘Cisco, which depends on government
spending for about a fifth of its revenue, said in July it would cut 15 percent of its workforce and sell
a set-top box factory in Mexico.. Cisco
bulls may underestimate tough road ahead Randewich.’ ] So what’s changed of significance (other than the near full moon and
consequent effects on the lunatic wall street frauds). Nothing! Absolutely
nothing, yet a manipulated computer-programmed ( high frequency trading bots )
churn-and-earn suckers’ rally based on desperation, fraud and
b***s*** alone to keep suckers suckered, which makes for an especially great
opportunity to sell / take profits since there’s much, much worse to come! Tuesday, Aug.9,2011:
what changed from yesterday which warranted a more than 600 point plunge with
paper stocks still over-valued and a 545 bounce off of afternoon lows? Nothing!
Absolutely nothing, yet a manipulated computer-programmed churn-and-earn
suckers’ rally based on fraud and b***s*** alone to
keep suckers suckered, which makes for AN ESPECIALLY GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL
/ TAKE PROFITS SINCE THERE’S MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! Tech up?
Is this some kind of a joke? Absolute confirmation of dire prospects
worldwide since american tech is horrendous.
Famed economist predicts economic calamity
in 2012. See the evidence.Newsmax http://w3.newsmax.com/a/aftershockb/video.cfm?promo_code=CA79-1 50%
unemployment, 90% stock market drop, 100% inflation. See the Evidence (Newsmax.com) ‘Robert Wiedemer’s new book, “Aftershock: Protect
Yourself and Profit in the Next Global Financial Meltdown,” quickly is becoming the
survival guide for the 21st century. And Newsmax’s eye-opening Aftershock
Survival Summit video, with exclusive interviews and prophetic predictions,
already has affected millions around the world — but not without ruffling
a few feathers. [ The instant video
on the economic / financial collapse from Stansberry and Associates is so well
researched and succinctly
presented that I’ve archived same on my website;
also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views I’ve presented on my site which I
believe to be correct. This is a must-view, must-see that I strongly recommend!
The complete url:
http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv ( 146mb – approx. 1 hr. 17 min. ) http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.mp4 ( 374mb
) Written text of
presentation (without pictures / charts)] [A lot of pre-election year obfuscation,
manipulation but the debacle is already here:
Harry Dent, Jr. Economy will be in a
Depression by 2011
Dow will Fall to 3,800 – 4,500 by 2012
Nasdaq will Fall Below 1,100, its 2002 low, by late 2010
or mid-2012 at the latest.
U.S. Dollar will Decline
Housing will Decline by 40 – 60% from Today’s Levels
Greatest Economic and Banking Crisis since the 1930s will
Occur Between 2010 and 2012). Dow
1000? Robert Prechter Thinks So
Prechter
Reiterrates Call For Dow 1,000, Even As Surging Gold And Plunging Dollar Leave
Much Credibility To Be Desired Bulls Go to Extremes: Don't Buy the "Breakout",
Sell It, Prechter Says Russell:
This Is One Of The Largest Tops In Stock Market History My old friend, Bob Prechter, is talking about Dow 400. I
used to think this was an absurd joke. I no longer think it’s a joke. The ultimate result will be a
primary bear market shocking in duration and extent. …’ Forecasts from Dent,
Napier, and then Prechter: Depression is
Imminent The Dow Jones Industrial Average will go down to at least 1000, most
likely to below 777 which was the starting point of its mania back in August
1982, and quite likely drop below 400 at one or more times during the bear
market.
Russell Napier is the author of the book “Anatomy of the Bear”, a professor at the Edinburgh Business
School and a consultant to CLSA Ltd. which is one of the top research houses in
Asia. Napier’s research indicates
(and I paraphrase) that: The S&P 500 will Decline to 400 by 2014 (the Dow
30 to 3800) The S&P 500 will then undergo a major crash that will see U.S.
equity prices bottom at almost 50% below current levels (i.e. to 400 or less;
the Dow 30 to 3800 or less) sometime around 2014 as Tobin’s “q” drops to 0.3 signaling the end of the bear market, as it
has done at the end of the four largest U.S. market declines in 1921, 1932,
1949 and 1982. U.S. Treasury Sales Collapse Leading to End of U.S. Dollar as
Reserve Currency Robert R. Prechter Jr. is author of a number
of newsletters and books including “Elliott Wave Principle” (1978) in which he predicted the super bull market of the
1980s; “At the Crest of the
Tidal Wave – A Forecast of the
Great Bear Market” (1995) in which he predicted a slow motion economic earthquake,
brought about by a great asset mania, that would register 11 on the financial
Richter scale causing a collapse of historic proportions; and “Conquer the Crash: You can Survive and
Prosper in a Deflationary Depression” (2002) in which he described the economic cataclysm that
we are just beginning to experience and advised how to position one’s self financially during that period
of time. Depression is Imminent The Dow Jones Industrial Average will go down
to at least 1000, most likely to below 777 which was the starting point of its
mania back in August 1982, and quite likely drop below 400 at one or more times
during the bear market. Watch for fake gov’t data / reports owing to
political desperation! [ Is this some parallel
universe where unfounded criticism is levied at S&P for the downgrade when
they’ve actually cut the pervasively corrupt,
defacto bankrupt disunited states a break by not rating what america truly is;
viz., junk status for the paper / liabilities / obligations that cannot and will
not be paid (or the equivalent vis-à-vis what would be in worse than evermore
worthless Weimar dollars or some other ‘ponzi-like’
subterfuge, obfuscation). The amounts are insurmountable going forward. They
point to Moody’s and Fitch; yet, let’s
not kid ourselves, S&P is the ‘800 pound gorilla’ in
this world among rating agencies and moody’s, fitch have substantially diminished
themselves as entities consistent with their ‘mission
and purpose’ and as well, their credibility. I mean,
come on! Consider the pressure that was and continues to be applied. Moody’s
and fitch, quite frankly, folded. China’s rating agency has already downgraded
u.s. paper and they’re ‘holding’
(huge amounts of that u.s. junk); and hence, against their own interest. Wake
up! ] 8 More Reasons Why You Should Be Deeply Concerned That
The U.S. Government Has Lost Its AAA Credit Rating The Economic
Collapse ‘… #8 The U.S.
national debt continues to get worse by the day. Just check out
what economics
professor Laurence J. Kotlikoff recently told NPR….“If you add up
all the promises that have been made for spending obligations, including
defense expenditures, and you subtract all the taxes that we expect to collect,
the difference is $211 trillion. That’s the fiscal gap” ..’ Why
You Shouldn't Buy Into This Plunge Forbes/O'Neil‘The market is building
momentum to the downside’. Wall Street closes worst week since '08 with wild day NEW
YORK (Reuters) S&P
on U.S. downgrade: Debt pact 'falls short' - Reuters S&P downgrades US credit rating from AAA S&P Shocks the U.S. with Credit Downgrade to AA+ from
Prestigious AAA Rating Wall St. Cheat Sheet What
Recovery? Forbes
‘…we can’t
call this a recovery. There’s no reason to celebrate when a job report was better
than expected. Why? Because the expectation was abysmal to begin with. And
while we’re
at it, we can’t
ignore increasing sovereign debt problems in Europe…’ ‘Top
3 Reasons Markets Erased the Year’s Gains Wall St. Cheat Sheet 1) Japan and Europe 2) Unemployment.3)
Capital goods - billions of dollars in lost revenue. Financial
Crisis Phase II Is Ahead at Forbes Bert Dohmen ‘ In late 2007, I wrote the book Prelude To Meltdown,
predicting the global crisis that occurred the following year. I
now see a similar confluence of events that warns of phase II of the
global crisis… My work shows that “the new recession has started.”… Over the past 33 years, we have called the start of every
recession, often on the exact month, or within one month, of the official start
as determined one year later by the official arbiter of recession, the National
Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)… However, inflation is far
understated for political reasons. Currently, the GDP deflator is 1.8%, which
hardly reflects the true rise in prices. Therefore, what is counted as “growth,” is actually price increases.
Actual inflation, according to free market economists who calculate inflation
as it was done in 1980 before the politician re-engineered it, is now more than
11%. Using that to adjust GDP for inflation, would show that the economy is now
in a very sharp contraction…’FLASHBACK HERE: Selling
In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding
Remember: Sell in May and Go Away and If You’ve Not Sold by
June, You’re a Loon! ‘ ‘Albert Edwards:
Thinks the Market Could Fall 70%’ [ He’s not alone!
PRECHTER:
We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Stock
Market: 4 Current Warning Signs
Navin ‘…1) The 5-year high in the level of
insider corporate stock sales is telling. At 565 sells for every 1 buy, it’s never been higher. Yes, it’s normal for insiders to be selling
some of their stocks so they can buy new yachts and some of this is
pre-planned. But that ratio — which has spiked recently — is extraordinarily high, one might
even say off-the-chart‘ previous‘…1) Job cuts. 2 ) ISM
service-sector report. Monday’s ISM
manufacturing report contributed to market losses on Monday, but today’s report, though equally
negative, didn’t quite have the same effect as markets began to
level out this afternoon. The ISM
service-sector index declined to 52.7% in July. The U.S. service sector
accounts for three-fourths of all economic activity, and employs four out of
every five U.S. workers , so a 0.5% decline speaks volumes about the state of
economic recovery…’ Factory
orders for June fell by 0.8% (just because they say the bad news isn’t
as bad as expected does not make such bad news ‘rally
material’. Indeed, the huge ralleys based on now
revised downward data never seem to retrace that fake data induced stock surge
based thereon. Service sector growth slowest since 2010 Moody's sets negative outlook on BNY, JPMorgan S&P ends string of losses on tech rebound Tech rebound? Is this some kind of a joke? Tech
up today? Absolute confirmation of dire prospects worldwide since american tech
is horrendous. Yet, sizzling ‘child’s play’ is the order of the day and credit still must be
given to those [ie., Steve Jobs-I’m truly glad he saved Apple, my first computer (apple
IIc for word processing / data based records / forms / templates / data which I
interfaced with an electric typewriter for letter quality)] who could (as he)
identify such novelties as the biggest over-priced / over-valued sensations
since the hoola hoop (hoopla hoops - which were pretty cheap and with some
minor health benefits to boot).Take this run-up as a gift based on fraudulent
wall street b***s*** alone and take this opportunity to sell / take profits / ‘sell today if you missed
in may and then go away’! Nothing has been solved; maybe forestalled. Rout spells trouble for Wall Street / Moody's
confirms U.S. rating at Aaa, outlook negative / Chinese rating agency cuts U.S. debt again / Minyanville's T3 Daily Recap: Signed Debt Deal No Cure for
Sickly Market / US auto industry uneasy after weak July sales
/ Fitch Unimpressed By Debt Deal, GDP; Markets Unimpressed By
Fitch / US debt deal alone won't sustain AAA rating
/ Stocks now down for year as economic concerns grow
– AP The Daily Market Report Aug 1st, 2011 PG ‘Relief? What Relief? http://www.usagold.com/cpmforum …Late last night when party leaders and the President announced that they
had reached a bipartisan deal that would allow the debt ceiling to be raised,
gold dropped about 1%. Global stocks rallied in relief and briefly, ever so
briefly, gold was out of favor…CBO scores the package as accomplishing $2.1 trillion
in spending cuts over the next 10-years, the CBO baseline also has the deficit
rising $6.7 trillion over the same period. The premise apparently being that we’re working our way
to actual cutting by cutting to slow the pace of the nation’s proliferate
spending. In actuality — and as evidenced below — that CBO baseline
may prove to be way too optimistic. What really lit an intraday fire under gold
today was the big miss on US July ISM, which plunged to 50.9. The market was
expecting a modest downtick to 55.0 from 55.3 in June…’ The Truth About The Debt Deal: It’s Pretty Much Meaningless Business
Insider/ Come on! Who believes their pre-election
year data, reports, b***s***? There’s desperation in the air and like never before! One commentator, Peter
Shiff, to Frank Motek of 1070am Bus.Report references the sham in Washington;
and regardless, points to default by way of inflation, further stating that the
debt ceiling’s already been
breached by borrowing. Moreover, he additionally states that default is
inevitable by way of inflation; that the fed will be buying the evermore
worthless american paper (bonds) and creating/printing evermore worthless
american dollars; that there’s been a quid pro quo with at least one of the 3 (S&P, Moody’s, Fitch) federal licensed rating agencies, viz., of
reaffirming the u.s. AAA rating in return for no prosecution surrounding their
role in the S&P AAA rated worthless (fraudulent, mortgage-backed,
derivative) paper securities (fraud) giving rise to the previous leg of this
continuing, ongoing debacle / crisis. He finally goes on to recommend non-u.s.,
non-dollar denominated assets, precious metals, and alternate currencies. Initial unemployment claims rise to 418000 - Jul. 21, 2011
which bad news sparked wall street rally … what total
b***s***. No budget deal, celebrated Greek Plan – DEFAULT! … sounds like a plan!…, backward looking earnings results … riiiiight! Watch Out: 2011 Looks A Lot Like The Market Top In 2007
at Forbes Sean Hanlon / Deficits And Stimulus Only Delay The Inevitable Collapse
Bob Chapman | America
is insolvent and has been so for a long time. US Is in Even Worse Shape Financially Than Greece: Gross When
adding in all of the money owed to cover future liabilities in entitlement
programs the US is actually in worse financial shape than Greece and other
debt-laden European countries, Pimco’s Bill Gross told CNBC
Monday. Maierhofer: ‘USA
INCOME STATEMENT:Total federal spending in 2010
amounted to $3.456 trillion. Total receipts added up to $2.162 trillion. USA
Inc.'s 2010 deficit was $1.294 trillion.The 2011 federal budget is $3.7
trillion with a projected deficit of$1.6 trillion. …USA
BALANCE SHEET: Consensus estimates for unfunded
obligations vary. Mary Meeker pegs the shortfall at $31 trillion, PIMCO's Bill
Gross estimates the unreported debt to be $75 trillion, while other estimates
exceed $100 trillion (these amounts are insurmountable) …’ Huge suckers’ rally to keep the suckers suckered in this market based upon backward
looking data discounted multiple times to the upside (including the apple
numbers as recently as last week on ‘leaked’ expectations of ‘better than expected’, etc.), taxpayer funded QE results, and b***s*** alone. This is an
especially great opportunity to sell / take profits since there’s much, much worse to come! IT'S GOING TO HURT 'FOR LONG TIME TO COME' [
Says tiny tim geithner … thanks for the heads up tiny tim ‘God bless us everyone’! … As if we didn’t already know it / feel it!
Dave's Daily 'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap
financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's
policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with
the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring
almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends
with what essentially is taxpayer money-- Why The Dow Will Plunge To 7,000 By 24/7 Wall St. S&P Poised For Dropoff, Says Initial Jobless Claims Forbes / Maureen Farrell ]
Postal
Service seeking 20 percent staff cut EXCLUSIVE | In cost-cutting bid, USPS
also proposes withdrawing employees from existing health and retirement plans
and creating its own benefit programs. Congress would need to sign off.
(Washington Post) [ I think it’s a great idea. Indeed, 50% would be
substantially better. Even better yet, UPS should take over their entire
operation. After all, UPS is well managed and efficient; and also, very
reliable. On the other hand, the USPS is poorly managed, inefficient, and very
unreliable: October 15, 2010 (*see
infra {ultimately delivered by UPS})
Steven M. Martinez,
Assistant Director In Charge
Federal Bureau of Investigation, USDOJ
11000 Wilshire Blvd., Suite 1700
Los Angeles, CA 90024
Dear Sir:
The
following is my comment to an LA Times article regarding a Justice Department
cover-up! As for your inquiry, all I think about day and night is a long
overdue resolution to the RICO litigation as set forth therein:
I believe him!
Here’s some real, complicit
cover-up / fraud on the part of the federal government, et als:
October
15, 2010 (*see infra {ultimately delivered by UPS})
Steven M. Martinez,
Assistant Director In Charge
Federal Bureau of Investigation, USDOJ
11000 Wilshire Blvd., Suite 1700
Los Angeles, CA 90024
Dear Sir:
I enclose herewith 3
copies of the within DVD rom autorun disk (which will open in your computer’s browser) as per your
office’s
request as made this day (the disk and contents have been scanned by Avast,
McAfee, and Norton which I’ve installed on my computer to prevent viral attacks
/ infection and are without threat). I also include 1 copy of the DVD as filed
with the subject court as referenced therein (which files are also included on
the aforesaid 3 disks in a separate folder named ‘112208opocoan’). The (civil) RICO
action (as you’re aware, the RICO Act is a criminal statute which
provides a civil remedy, including treble damages and attorney fees, as an
incentive for private prosecution of said claims probably owing to the fact
that the USDOJ seems somewhat overwhelmed and in need of such assistance given
the seriousness and prevalence of said violations of law which have a
corrupting influence on the process, and which corruption is pervasive). A
grievance complaint against Coan was also filed concurrently with the subject
action and held in abeyance pending resolution of the action which was
illegally dismissed without any supporting law and in contravention of the
Order of The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District
Connecticut. The files below the horizontal rule are the referenced documents
as filed. (Owing to the damage to the financial interests of both the U.S. and
the District of Congresswoman Roybal-Allard, viz., Los Angeles, the Qui Tam
provisions of the Federal False Claims Act probably would apply and I
would absent resolution seek to refer the within to a firm with expertise in
that area of the law with which I am not familiar).
The document in 5 pages
under penalty of perjury I was asked to forward to the FBI office in New Haven
is probably the best and most concise summary of the case RICO Summary to
FBI Under Penalty of Perjury at Their Request (5
pages) [
ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf http://albertpeia.com/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf
].
The correspondence I
received from the Congresswoman by way of email attachment (apparent but
typical problem with my mail) along with my response thereto is included on the
3 disks as fbicorrespondencereyes.htm
. With regard to the calls to the FBI’s LA and New Haven, CT
offices: There was one call to the LA office and I was referred to the Long
Beach, CA office where I personally met with FBI Agent Jeff Hayes to whom I
gave probative evidentiary documents of the money laundering which he confirmed
as indicative of same (he was transferred from said office within approximately
a month of said meeting and his location was not disclosed to me upon inquiry).
The matter was assigned to FBI Agent Ron Barndollar and we remained in touch
for in excess of a decade until he abruptly retired (our last conversation
prior to his retirement related to the case and parenthetically, Rudy Giuliani
whose father I stated had been an enforcer for the mob to which he registered
disbelief and requested I prove it, which I did – he served 12 years in
prison, aggravated assault/manslaughter? – and no, there is no Chinese wall of separation – Andrew Maloney’s the one that prosecuted
gotti).
In contradistinction to
the statement in said correspondence, there is a plethora of information
including evidence supporting the claims set forth in the RICO VERIFIED COMPLAINT (see
infra). Such includes and as set forth in the case, inter alia,
There is applicable insurance / surety coverage and
neither LA, nor creditors, nor I should continue to have been damaged by this
brazened corrupt and illegal scenario, which should be resolved in accordance with
the meaningful rules of law apposite thereto.
Sincerely,
Albert L. Peia
611 E. 5th Street, #404
Los Angeles, CA 90013
(213) 219-**** (cell phone)
(213) 622-3745 (listed land line but there are
unresolved problems with the line, computer connection may be the reason but I
hesitate to chance greater non-performance / worsening by their ‘fix’ so cell phone best for
contact).{recent change 323-786-6651 -magic jack}
----------
*The foregoing and as
indicated therein was previously send 9-14-10 but delivery confirmation was
flawed as set forth below and my inquiries to the u.s. postal service rebuffed
(I believe tampered with inasmuch as your office could not locate same). This
cover letter (9-13-10) is on the 3 disks with navigable hyperlinks to the
subject files for ease of reference, including the files in the RICO action as
indicated. (10-15-10) I spoke with Rose, FBI, ADIC Secretary, who indicates
once again that your office has not received the aforesaid and which can
reasonably be presumed to have been tampered with, and hence, a violation of
the federal statute concerning same. (Ultimately delivered by UPS) ]
http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf
http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud WP Obama has promised to hold Wall
Street accountable for the meltdown. America Is a Failed State Because It Won’t Prosecute Financial Crime Washington’s Blog / the grim economic
reality [ http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm
Rank |
|
||
# 1 |
11,877,218 |
|
|
# 2 |
6,523,706 |
|
|
# 3 |
6,507,394 |
|
UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE... ‘ignore cases that involve black
defendants and white victims ' Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud WP | Obama has promised to hold
Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.
THE OBAMA DECEPTION’
http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv
Sincerely
and Regards,
Al
Peia
Krauthammer:
Our political system is working well (Washington Post) [ Geeh! There was a time back in the late
sixties, early seventies when there were these long-haired people chastised by
the so-called ‘establishment’ that would have just loved to be doin’ whatever
it is that Mr. Krauthammer’s been doing to arrive at such a conclusion, so
glaringly devoid of any reality whatsoever. Psychedelics, hallucinogens, magic
mushrooms; what could it be that has brought Krauthammer into this fantasy
world where even ‘Alice’ of Wonderland fame might feel comfortable in this
netherland (sic) / netherworld created from the depths of Mr. Krauthammer’s
imagination. I’m truly at a loss for words. After all, the warning by the
underrated but great President General Eisenhower of the impending inherent danger
of the military industrial complex came to fruition with the assassination of
JFK and the reality of a coup d’etat thereby. All presidents, along with the
two remaining branches of the pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt american
government since have been at best stooges for such as the military industrial
complex, the banksters / frauds on wall street, etc., to the substantial
detriment of the vast majority in this country and throughout the world (ie.,
perma wars, huge securities frauds still extant / now marked to anything as per
congressional FASB rule change, and unprosecuted. Beyond the immediate reach, or at least ‘penetration’ of american
propaganda, an intelligent and astute individual, Legendary
Investor Jeremy Grantham: America is a Banana Republic Washington’s
Blog | Just different bananas perhaps? { Of course this is absolutely
true! And not just from the meaningfully lawless perspective – I had made such
a statement on the record in a LA Superior Court Appellate Dept. proceeding in
which said court literally ignored the law (the same is true of the costly,
plushly accoutered lifetime appointee federal courts) which courts should
indeed be abolished in these difficult economic / budgetary times.
Additionally, from pervasive corruption, to debased over-printed currency, to
gunboat diplomacy, to total incompetence, etc., america is indeed a banana
republic at most. } I didn’t see the
debates {what does it matter what they say – the egregious ‘wobama the b’ (for
b***s***) fatigue factor / experience} nor have I read Mr. Robinson’s article,
‘GOP
Debate Land’ but I’m sure I’d agree with his conclusion, ‘I didn’t recognize the America the GOP
candidates described;’ but unfortunately, I do recognize the pervasively
corrupt, defacto bankrupt america of ‘wobama the b’ (for b***s***), failed
president like his predecessor, moron war criminal dumbya bush, that he is. The
powerless president Obama remains
indecisive, and ignored, as larger forces bring down the country. Robinson:
S&P downgrades the GOP (WP) [
Riiiiight! It’s everything but ‘wobama the b’ (for b***s***) that’s to blame
for the nation’s meltdown according to wobama aficionados / intractable wobama
apologists, Messieurs Milbank and Robinson. Sweet Mr. Milbank even points to
wobama’s personal character flaws (among many unmentioned) to exculpate the
failed president wobama. Wobama’s failed miserably and yet had the easiest act
in the world to follow in the persona of fellow failed president war criminal
dumbya bush whose failed policies up to the real start of the election cycle
he’s largely followed. After all, Mr. Robinson, how different really are the
parties these days when profligate spending on illegal, unnecessary wars was
continued when democrats controlled congress, and then even the executive
office when continuing failed president and war criminal dumbya bush’s nation
bankrupting, nation destroying war policies, protection for unprecedentedly
huge wall street frauds, bush tax cut extensions for the wealthy, and then some
(spending on top of it).
Drudgereport:
HARRY
BELAFONTE: Obama 'has failed'...
NOONAN:
'HE IS A LOSER'...
GALLUP:
40% APPROVAL...
Obama
takes debt battle to TWITTER, loses more than 33,000 followers...
FARRAKHAN:
'THAT'S A MURDERER IN THE WHITE HOUSE'...
Europe’s
crisis and the psychology of fear (Washington Post) [ Given the reality and magnitude of Europe’s
problems going forward, dwarfed only by the magnitude of those of pervasively
corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, it brings to mind the words of the former
Intel CEO (founder?) Andy Grove ‘ Only the paranoid survive’ (of course, having
survived the Nazis and escaped Communist-controlled Hungary in Europe, as a
jew, one has to assume his perspective / outlook was somewhat ‘skewed’
thereby). Yet, let’s not kid ourselves to the point where virtual survival is
threatened and at stake as is so for the EU. America
isn’t alone in the downgrade spiral (WP) Indeed, the EU has followed the contra-indicated perma war,
evermore worthless Weimar currency, and a predispositon / tacit acceptance of
paper securities schemes / scams / frauds which are integral to america’s
ongoing, albeit obfuscated, debacle / crisis which given the unfunded debt load
pegged at $211 Trillion among other estimates, is insurmountable and will end
quite badly. Poll:
Sharp dissatisfaction with D.C. The public doubts the government can fix
the nation’s economic problems, Post poll shows. An
unlikely landlord: Uncle Sam (WP) [
No surprise there (the doubts)! Uncle
Scam as landlord? Sounds like a typical scam / fiasco / debacle in the making! Add limey
(brits)-looking (green) frogs (french) to the mix(ed up) in the pervasively
corrupt defacto bankrupt disunited states
Italy
unveils plan to calm fears of escalating crisis (WP) [ Yeah, dem piigs were back in the news. ’ Dem PIIGS still got problems. Europe’s
debt crisis threatens Italy (WP) [ Yeah, dem’ darn PIIGS. Reminds me of that joke (I won’t repeat it
here except the punch line): ‘That’s black bart’s girl’. Pelosi:
‘We are not Greece’ ( but greecy
Italy Italians voice concern over Italian debt crisis scenario [ Whew! Close
call! There you go. Nothing to worry about now that wobama’s got a boehner … so
not to be so hard on them; if pelosi says it, it must be true … Not!
…Pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, they, she look pretty greecey
to me. After all, if the same’s wobama’s ‘far-reaching plan on debt’, we all
know ‘wobama the b’ (for b***s***) is total b***s*** which means like Greecey
PIIGS they’ll be back to the trough for more … slop … py. Deficits
And Stimulus Only Delay The Inevitable Collapse Bob Chapman |
America is insolvent and has been so
for a long time. US
Is in Even Worse Shape Financially Than Greece: Gross When adding in all of
the money owed to cover future liabilities in entitlement programs the US is
actually in worse financial shape than Greece and other debt-laden European
countries, Pimco’s Bill Gross told CNBC Monday. Maierhofer: ‘USA INCOME STATEMENT:Total
federal spending in 2010 amounted to $3.456 trillion. Total receipts added up
to $2.162 trillion. USA Inc.'s 2010 deficit was $1.294 trillion.The 2011
federal budget is $3.7 trillion with a projected deficit of$1.6 trillion. …USA BALANCE SHEET: Consensus estimates for
unfunded obligations vary. Mary Meeker pegs the shortfall at $31 trillion,
PIMCO's Bill Gross estimates the unreported debt to be $75 trillion, while
other estimates exceed $100 trillion (these amounts are insurmountable) …’ Famed
economist predicts economic calamity in 2012. See the evidence.Newsmax http://w3.newsmax.com/a/aftershockb/video.cfm?promo_code=CA79-1 Watch for fake gov’t data / reports owing
to political desperation! Why
You Shouldn't Buy Into This Plunge Forbes/O'Neil‘The market is
building momentum to the downside’. Wall Street
closes worst week since '08 with wild day NEW YORK (Reuters) S&P
on U.S. downgrade: Debt pact 'falls short' - Reuters S&P
downgrades US credit rating from AAA S&P
Shocks the U.S. with Credit Downgrade to AA+ from Prestigious AAA Rating Wall St. Cheat Sheet What
Recovery? Forbes
‘…we can’t call this a recovery. There’s no reason to celebrate when a
job report was better than expected. Why? Because the expectation was abysmal
to begin with. And while we’re at it, we can’t ignore increasing sovereign debt
problems in Europe…’ ‘Top
3 Reasons Markets Erased the Year’s Gains Wall St. Cheat Sheet 1) Japan and Europe 2) Unemployment.3)
Capital goods - billions of dollars in lost revenue. Financial
Crisis Phase II Is Ahead at Forbes Bert Dohmen ‘ In
late 2007, I wrote the book Prelude To
Meltdown,
predicting the global crisis that occurred the following year. I
now see a similar confluence of events that warns of phase II of the
global crisis… My work shows that “the new recession has started.”… Over the
past 33 years, we have called the start of every recession, often on the exact
month, or within one month, of the official start as determined one year later
by the official arbiter of recession, the National Bureau of Economic Research
(NBER)… However, inflation is far understated for political reasons. Currently,
the GDP deflator is 1.8%, which hardly reflects the true rise in prices.
Therefore, what is counted as “growth,” is actually price increases. Actual
inflation, according to free market economists who calculate inflation as it
was done in 1980 before the politician re-engineered it, is now more than 11%.
Using that to adjust GDP for inflation, would show that the economy is now in a
very sharp contraction…’FLASHBACK HERE: Selling
In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding
Remember: Sell in May and Go Away and If You’ve Not Sold by
June, You’re a Loon! ‘ ‘Albert Edwards: Thinks the Market Could Fall 70%’ [
He’s not alone! PRECHTER:
We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Stock
Market: 4 Current Warning Signs
Navin ‘…1) The
5-year high in the level of insider corporate stock sales is telling. At 565
sells for every 1 buy, it’s never been higher.
A
win for opponents of SEC’s new rules Court decision could spell trouble for
the agency as it puts in place some of the most far-reaching financial
regulations in years. (Washington Post) [ Oh come on! The biggest frauds in the
multi-trillions have been hands off despite the campaign promises to the
contrary. The u.s. courts are so corrupt, it’s doubtful they’d rule against
‘the big money’. That they don’t understand the economics / finance is irrelevant
to them; as is also so of the law and the facts which they probably understand
but ignore anyway. The most important consideration should be what is obvious
to all; viz., that the way things were not only facilitated the fraudulent
schemes that have brought down the nation, but will continue prospectively as
the frauds on wall street have been emboldened by the lack of enforcement /
prosecution. That said, there’s corruption thoughout the ranks of the
pervasively corrupt american government.
. Report:
SEC lawyer exposed FBI informant (WP) [ Clearly, the sec liar (sic –
lawyer) is one of those typically with a ‘pre or post’ arrangement, whether
implicit or explicit; you know, that ubiquitous ‘bribe thing’ in pervasively
corrupt, defacto bankrupt, fallen
america. Indeed, the scenario typifies that national drain / sinkhole
new york (new york / new jersey metro) where, for example, FBI informants were
routinely exposed by ‘italians’ in the new york d.a.’s office over the
objection of the FBI, and were promptly ‘dispatched’/assassinated / hit by
mafia / organized crime [ this was documented with authority in the book
‘Goombata: The Improbable Rise and Fall of John Gotti and His Gang’ Cummings / Volkman Though having
but 5% of the world’s population, the u.s. has 76% of the world’s serial
killers, http://www.albertpeia.com/realifeamericaserialkillers.mpg bankrupt
america also spends more on military than all the nations of the world
combined... fed employees / contractors, cia, all 3 branches of u.s. gov’t,
etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf
http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm Cases
against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud WP
Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown. America
Is a Failed State Because It Won’t Prosecute Financial Crime Washington’s Blog / the grim economic
reality [ http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm
Rank |
|
||
# 1 |
11,877,218 |
|
|
# 2 |
6,523,706 |
|
|
# 3 |
6,507,394 |
|
UPDATE:
MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE... ‘ignore cases that involve black
defendants and white victims ' Cases
against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud WP
| Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.
THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv
8-11-11 News / Topics
The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally
prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed! This an especially great opportunity to
sell / take profits, particularly if you missed Monday or May, since there’s
much, much worse to come! Thursday, Aug.11, 2011: what changed from yesterday which
warranted a more than 500 point plunge with paper stocks still over-valued?
Well, some bad news labeled as better than expected 1) 7,000 fewer jobless
claims than expected (just a little over 1% better even if you believe them – I
don’t) 2) Cisco shows results ‘better than expected’ 3) Record monthly trade
deficit [
What
Recovery? Forbes ‘we can’t call this a recovery. There’s
no reason to celebrate when a job report was better than expected. Why? Because
the expectation was abysmal to begin with.’ ‘Cisco Systems Inc’s quarterly results edged past Wall Street’s scaled-back
expectations ...“They beat a low bar. A lot of it is coming from cost
cutting, which we anticipated. In that sense it’s a relief,” Joanna Makris of
Mizuho Securities USA told Reuters. ‘Cisco, which depends on government
spending for about a fifth of its revenue, said in July it would cut 15 percent of its workforce and sell a set-top box
factory in Mexico.. Cisco bulls may
underestimate tough road ahead Randewich.’ ] So what’s changed of significance (other than the near full moon
and consequent effects on the lunatic wall street frauds). Nothing! Absolutely
nothing, yet a manipulated computer-programmed ( high frequency trading bots ) churn-and-earn suckers’
rally based on desperation, fraud and b***s*** alone to keep suckers suckered,
which makes for an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits since
there’s much, much worse to come! Tuesday,
Aug.9,2011: what changed from yesterday which warranted a more than 600 point
plunge with paper stocks still over-valued and a 545 bounce off of afternoon
lows? Nothing! Absolutely nothing, yet a manipulated computer-programmed
churn-and-earn suckers’ rally based on fraud and b***s*** alone to keep suckers
suckered, which makes for AN ESPECIALLY GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL / TAKE PROFITS
SINCE THERE’S MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! Tech up? Is this some kind of a joke? Absolute
confirmation of dire prospects worldwide since american tech is
horrendous. Famed
economist predicts economic calamity in 2012. See the evidence.Newsmax http://w3.newsmax.com/a/aftershockb/video.cfm?promo_code=CA79-1 50%
unemployment, 90% stock market drop, 100% inflation. See the Evidence (Newsmax.com) ‘Robert Wiedemer’s new book,
“Aftershock: Protect Yourself and Profit in the Next Global Financial
Meltdown,” quickly is becoming the survival guide for the 21st century. And
Newsmax’s eye-opening Aftershock Survival Summit video, with exclusive
interviews and prophetic predictions, already has affected millions around the
world — but not without ruffling a few feathers. [ The instant video on the economic / financial collapse
from Stansberry and Associates is so well researched and succinctly presented
that I’ve archived same on my website;
also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views
I’ve presented on my site which I believe to be correct. This is a must-view,
must-see that I strongly recommend!
The complete url:
http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv ( 146mb – approx. 1
hr. 17 min. ) http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.mp4 ( 374mb
) Written text of
presentation (without pictures /
charts)] [A lot of pre-election
year obfuscation, manipulation but the debacle is already here: Harry Dent, Jr. Economy will be in a Depression by 2011
Dow will Fall to 3,800 – 4,500 by 2012
Nasdaq will Fall Below 1,100, its 2002 low, by late 2010
or mid-2012 at the latest.
U.S. Dollar will Decline
Housing will Decline by 40 – 60% from Today’s Levels
Greatest Economic and Banking Crisis since the 1930s will
Occur Between 2010 and 2012). Dow
1000? Robert Prechter Thinks So
Prechter
Reiterrates Call For Dow 1,000, Even As Surging Gold And Plunging Dollar Leave
Much Credibility To Be Desired Bulls Go to Extremes: Don't Buy the "Breakout",
Sell It, Prechter Says Russell:
This Is One Of The Largest Tops In Stock Market History My old friend, Bob Prechter, is talking about Dow 400. I
used to think this was an absurd joke. I no longer think it’s a joke. The
ultimate result will be a primary bear market shocking in duration and extent.
…’ Forecasts
from Dent, Napier, and then Prechter: Depression
is Imminent The Dow Jones Industrial Average will go down to at least 1000,
most likely to below 777 which was the starting point of its mania back in
August 1982, and quite likely drop below 400 at one or more times during the
bear market.
Russell Napier is the author of the book “Anatomy of the Bear”, a professor at the
Edinburgh Business School and a consultant to CLSA Ltd. which is one of the top
research houses in Asia. Napier’s research indicates (and I paraphrase) that:
The S&P 500 will Decline to 400 by 2014 (the Dow 30 to 3800) The S&P
500 will then undergo a major crash that will see U.S. equity prices bottom at
almost 50% below current levels (i.e. to 400 or less; the Dow 30 to 3800 or
less) sometime around 2014 as Tobin’s “q” drops to 0.3 signaling the end of the
bear market, as it has done at the end of the four largest U.S. market declines
in 1921, 1932, 1949 and 1982. U.S. Treasury Sales Collapse Leading to End of
U.S. Dollar as Reserve Currency Robert R.
Prechter Jr. is author of a number of
newsletters and books including “Elliott Wave Principle” (1978) in which he
predicted the super bull market of the 1980s; “At the Crest of the Tidal Wave –
A Forecast of the Great Bear Market” (1995) in which he predicted a slow motion
economic earthquake, brought about by a great asset mania, that would register
11 on the financial Richter scale causing a collapse of historic proportions;
and “Conquer the Crash: You can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary
Depression” (2002) in which he described the economic cataclysm that we are
just beginning to experience and advised how to position one’s self financially
during that period of time. Depression is Imminent The Dow Jones Industrial
Average will go down to at least 1000, most likely to below 777 which was the
starting point of its mania back in August 1982, and quite likely drop below
400 at one or more times during the bear market. Watch for fake gov’t data / reports owing to
political desperation! [ Is this some parallel
universe where unfounded criticism is levied at S&P for the downgrade when
they’ve actually cut the pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt disunited states
a break by not rating what america truly is; viz., junk status for the paper /
liabilities / obligations that cannot and will not be paid (or the equivalent
vis-à-vis what would be in worse than evermore worthless Weimar dollars or some
other ‘ponzi-like’ subterfuge, obfuscation). The amounts are insurmountable
going forward. They point to Moody’s and Fitch; yet, let’s not kid ourselves,
S&P is the ‘800 pound gorilla’ in this world among rating agencies and
moody’s, fitch have substantially diminished themselves as entities consistent
with their ‘mission and purpose’ and as well, their credibility. I mean, come
on! Consider the pressure that was and continues to be applied. Moody’s and fitch,
quite frankly, folded. China’s rating agency has already downgraded u.s. paper
and they’re ‘holding’ (huge amounts of that u.s. junk); and hence, against
their own interest. Wake up! ] 8 More Reasons Why You Should Be Deeply Concerned That
The U.S. Government Has Lost Its AAA Credit Rating The Economic
Collapse ‘… #8 The U.S. national debt continues to get worse
by the day. Just check out what economics
professor Laurence J. Kotlikoff recently told NPR….“If you
add up all the promises that have been made for spending obligations, including
defense expenditures, and you subtract all the taxes that we expect to collect,
the difference is $211 trillion. That’s the fiscal gap” ..’ Why
You Shouldn't Buy Into This Plunge Forbes/O'Neil‘The market is
building momentum to the downside’. Wall Street closes worst week since '08 with wild day NEW
YORK (Reuters) S&P
on U.S. downgrade: Debt pact 'falls short' - Reuters S&P downgrades US credit rating from AAA S&P Shocks the U.S. with Credit Downgrade to AA+ from
Prestigious AAA Rating Wall St. Cheat Sheet What
Recovery? Forbes
‘…we can’t call this a recovery. There’s no reason to celebrate when a
job report was better than expected. Why? Because the expectation was abysmal
to begin with. And while we’re at it, we can’t ignore increasing sovereign debt
problems in Europe…’ ‘Top
3 Reasons Markets Erased the Year’s Gains Wall St. Cheat Sheet 1) Japan and Europe 2) Unemployment.3)
Capital goods - billions of dollars in lost revenue. Financial
Crisis Phase II Is Ahead at Forbes Bert Dohmen ‘ In
late 2007, I wrote the book Prelude To Meltdown, predicting
the global crisis that occurred the following year. I now see a similar
confluence of events that warns of phase II of the global crisis… My work
shows that “the new recession has started.”… Over the past 33 years, we have
called the start of every recession, often on the exact month, or within one
month, of the official start as determined one year later by the official
arbiter of recession, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)… However,
inflation is far understated for political reasons. Currently, the GDP deflator
is 1.8%, which hardly reflects the true rise in prices. Therefore, what is
counted as “growth,” is actually price increases. Actual inflation, according
to free market economists who calculate inflation as it was done in 1980 before
the politician re-engineered it, is now more than 11%. Using that to adjust GDP
for inflation, would show that the economy is now in a very sharp
contraction…’FLASHBACK HERE: Selling
In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding
Remember: Sell in May and Go Away and If You’ve Not Sold by June,
You’re a Loon! ‘ ‘Albert Edwards: Thinks the Market Could Fall 70%’ [ He’s not
alone! PRECHTER:
We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Stock
Market: 4 Current Warning Signs
Navin ‘…1) The
5-year high in the level of insider corporate stock sales is telling. At 565
sells for every 1 buy, it’s never been higher. Yes,
it’s normal for insiders to be selling some of their stocks so they can buy new
yachts and some of this is pre-planned. But that ratio — which has spiked
recently — is extraordinarily high, one might even say off-the-chart‘ previous‘…1) Job cuts. 2 ) ISM
service-sector report. Monday’s ISM
manufacturing report contributed to market losses on Monday, but today’s
report, though equally negative, didn’t quite have the same effect as markets
began to level out this afternoon. The ISM
service-sector index declined to 52.7% in July. The U.S. service sector
accounts for three-fourths of all economic activity, and employs four out of
every five U.S. workers , so a 0.5% decline speaks volumes about the state of
economic recovery…’ Factory orders for June fell
by 0.8% (just because they say the bad news isn’t as bad as expected does not
make such bad news ‘rally material’. Indeed, the huge ralleys based on now
revised downward data never seem to retrace that fake data induced stock surge
based thereon. Service sector growth slowest since 2010 Moody's sets negative outlook on BNY, JPMorgan S&P ends string of losses on tech rebound Tech rebound? Is this some kind of a joke? Tech
up today? Absolute confirmation of dire prospects worldwide since american tech
is horrendous. Yet, sizzling ‘child’s play’ is the order of the day and credit
still must be given to those [ie., Steve Jobs-I’m truly glad he saved Apple, my
first computer (apple IIc for word processing / data based records / forms /
templates / data which I interfaced with an electric typewriter for letter
quality)] who could (as he) identify such novelties as the biggest over-priced
/ over-valued sensations since the hoola hoop (hoopla hoops - which were pretty
cheap and with some minor health benefits to boot).Take this run-up as a gift
based on fraudulent wall street b***s*** alone and take this opportunity to
sell / take profits / ‘sell today if you missed in may and then go away’!
Nothing has been solved; maybe forestalled. Rout spells trouble for Wall Street / Moody's
confirms U.S. rating at Aaa, outlook negative / Chinese rating agency cuts U.S. debt again / Minyanville's T3 Daily Recap: Signed Debt Deal No Cure for
Sickly Market / US auto industry uneasy after weak July sales
/ Fitch Unimpressed By Debt Deal, GDP; Markets Unimpressed By
Fitch / US debt deal alone won't sustain AAA rating
/ Stocks now down for year as economic concerns grow
– AP The Daily Market Report Aug 1st, 2011 PG ‘Relief? What Relief? http://www.usagold.com/cpmforum …Late
last night when party leaders and the President announced that they had reached
a bipartisan deal that would allow the debt ceiling to be raised, gold dropped
about 1%. Global stocks rallied in relief and briefly, ever so briefly, gold
was out of favor…CBO scores the package as accomplishing $2.1 trillion in
spending cuts over the next 10-years, the CBO baseline also has the deficit
rising $6.7 trillion over the same period. The premise apparently being that
we’re working our way to actual cutting by cutting to slow the pace of the
nation’s proliferate spending. In actuality — and as evidenced below — that CBO
baseline may prove to be way too optimistic. What really lit an intraday fire
under gold today was the big miss on US July ISM, which plunged to 50.9. The
market was expecting a modest downtick to 55.0 from 55.3 in June…’ The Truth About The Debt Deal: It’s Pretty Much Meaningless
Business Insider/ Come on! Who believes
their pre-election year data, reports, b***s***? There’s desperation in the air
and like never before! One commentator, Peter Shiff, to Frank Motek of 1070am
Bus.Report references the sham in Washington; and regardless, points to default
by way of inflation, further stating that the debt ceiling’s already been
breached by borrowing. Moreover, he additionally states that default is
inevitable by way of inflation; that the fed will be buying the evermore
worthless american paper (bonds) and creating/printing evermore worthless
american dollars; that there’s been a quid pro quo with at least one of the 3
(S&P, Moody’s, Fitch) federal licensed rating agencies, viz., of
reaffirming the u.s. AAA rating in return for no prosecution surrounding their
role in the S&P AAA rated worthless (fraudulent, mortgage-backed, derivative)
paper securities (fraud) giving rise to the previous leg of this continuing,
ongoing debacle / crisis. He finally goes on to recommend non-u.s., non-dollar
denominated assets, precious metals, and alternate currencies. Initial unemployment
claims rise to 418000 - Jul. 21, 2011 which bad news sparked wall
street rally … what total b***s***. No budget deal, celebrated Greek Plan –
DEFAULT! … sounds like a plan!…, backward looking earnings results … riiiiight!
Watch Out: 2011 Looks A Lot Like The Market Top In 2007
at Forbes Sean Hanlon / Deficits And Stimulus Only Delay The Inevitable Collapse
Bob Chapman | America
is insolvent and has been so for a long time. US Is in Even Worse Shape Financially Than Greece: Gross When
adding in all of the money owed to cover future liabilities in entitlement
programs the US is actually in worse financial shape than Greece and other
debt-laden European countries, Pimco’s Bill Gross told CNBC Monday. Maierhofer: ‘USA
INCOME STATEMENT:Total federal spending in 2010
amounted to $3.456 trillion. Total receipts added up to $2.162 trillion. USA
Inc.'s 2010 deficit was $1.294 trillion.The 2011 federal budget is $3.7
trillion with a projected deficit of$1.6 trillion. …USA
BALANCE SHEET: Consensus estimates for unfunded
obligations vary. Mary Meeker pegs the shortfall at $31 trillion, PIMCO's Bill
Gross estimates the unreported debt to be $75 trillion, while other estimates
exceed $100 trillion (these amounts are insurmountable) …’ Huge suckers’ rally to keep the suckers suckered in this market based
upon backward looking data discounted multiple times to the upside (including
the apple numbers as recently as last week on ‘leaked’ expectations of ‘better
than expected’, etc.), taxpayer funded QE results, and b***s*** alone. This is
an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits since there’s much, much
worse to come! IT'S GOING TO
HURT 'FOR LONG TIME TO COME' [ Says tiny tim geithner …
thanks for the heads up tiny tim ‘God
bless us everyone’! … As if we didn’t
already know it / feel it! Dave's Daily 'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap
financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's
policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with
the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring
almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends
with what essentially is taxpayer money-- Why The Dow Will Plunge To 7,000 By 24/7 Wall St. S&P Poised For Dropoff, Says Initial Jobless Claims Forbes / Maureen Farrell ]
A
Decade of Decline in Equity Markets Faisal Humayun [ This is a must read
and explains how the market’s been artificially propped, the dow relative to
hard assets, ie., gold (dow/gold ratio), has actually crashed 78%, and comparable
prospects for the next decade, etc.. ‘…The Dow Jones Index was trading at
11,357 levels at the beginning of the year 2000. More than a decade later (as
of beginning July 2011), the index is at 12582. Therefore, the index has gained
11% in the last ten years…’ Yet, the inflationary dollar (declining) debasement
rate was 31%. (-31%) {See the inflation calculator infra – and that’s just the
government (inflation) numbers … reality is much worse!} Meanwhile, the frauds
on wall street are churnin’ and earnin’ like never before at lightning
computerized speeds enabling the high-frequency trades that are commissioned in
unprecedented large volumes; a big net negative in real economic terms.] While
Washington Fiddled The Economy Burned at Forbes [ Oh come on! Let’s
get real here! The economy was already burning (see infra), Washington
notwithstanding! Indeed, the frauds on wall street with those contraindicated
paper stock computer programmed commissioned churn-and-earn rallies would love
for you to think it’s Washington only {that aw shucks, coulda’ been clear sailin’
otherwise moment; but the reality is that things are far more dire financially
and economically than their window-dressed scams would indicate, though
washington’s no help, incompetent, unknowledgeable, and ineffectual as they are
(although fraudulent wall street, aside from their consummate scammin’, is
little better and probably overly relied upon and light in those very areas one
would expect to find profiency; viz., finance and economics.) Most importantly,
realize that if wobama’s actions had not belied his words/campaign promises,
the nation’s position, though still ominous, would have been substantially
improved.} ] Check out this inflation calculator: http://www.albertpeia.com/inflationcalculator.htm
Here’s a picture of obama
voters / backers: http://www.albertpeia.com/wobamavoters.gif
Beneath
the Market’s Swings, Some Real Cause for Worry News
Jeff Cox August 11 (CNBC) — ‘So whether this equals, falls short of, or
exceeds the financial crisis of 2008 hardly seems to matter—investors are
afraid, very afraid, and the question as much as anything in the minds of many
market pros will be what soothes that fear. Analyst Dick Bove at Rochdale
Securities says he knows why: More restrictive capital requirements and
near-zero interest rates set at the Federal Reserve [cnbc explains] that make
lending neither easy nor lucrative, a trend that will make it difficult for the
economy to grow. “If one thinks through these limitations it can be seen that
banks must shrink their balance sheets and change their business patterns to
maintain their profits. What they are unlikely to do is to expand their lending
activities in order to grow the economy,” Bove wrote in a lengthy banking
analysis Thursday.“However, the Federal Reserve is suggesting that the economy
is unlikely to grow,” he wrote. “If the Fed is prescient, then banks are facing
higher loan losses, lower loan volume, and reduced margins on a wide array of
banking products. The outlook is not appealing.”“Even though the United States
is able to both print and borrow money, it is as bankrupt as the Europeans,”
Bove wrote. “Covering deficits and paying debt with borrowed funds, some of
which is newly printed, does not constitute meeting debt service
requirements.”…’
The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed,
fined, and disgorgement imposed! Previous, full moon and fraudulent wall
street, get this, rallies on not as bad as expected EU stress tests and better
than expected google results but forget the dire consumer (recession level)
consumer sentiment number ‘cause after all, consumer spending just a paltry 70%
of GDP. Think about this: short-lived
Pavlov dog rally (the conditioned stimulus) on hopes for more welfare for wall
street and some good results in communist China. This despite the previous
failure of QE for everyone but the frauds on wall street and ultimately, though
circumlocuted, at great taxpayer expense. Titans of capitalism? How ‘bout the
biggest unprosecuted frauds in the world. Preposterous! Roche 'The worst part of it ...Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of
it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the
first place’ ‘INSIDE
JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant
fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with
oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted …
despite ‘earning’ billions from the fraud ) …
I want just one person
with courage enough to stand up and explain to all that these huge
commissionable computerized trading volumes like never before are a net
negative in a very big way … that’s a fact … that’s economic reality in real
terms! … Trade deficit up, growth predictions by fed
scaled down [ do you recall how many upside market points for the false, more
positive growth projections by the ‘no-recession’ fed, then there’s also the
costly, hyperinflationary failed QE hopes, more fed jawboning rallies the
frauds on wall street off their lows to keep suckers suckered – they all belong
in jail! Housing
Woes to Cause Recession in 2012, Says Gary Shilling - Peter
Gorenstein STOCKS
BARELY FALL AFTER MOUNTAIN OF BAD NEWS: Here's What You Need To Know Business
Insider Weisenthal Economic scenario far
worse than expected (and in this pre-election year the reality is still far
worse than reported), yet stocks still rallied off lows to keep suckers sucked
in to this fraudulent market Click
here to see the new scariest jobs chart ever
http://www.businessinsider.com/details-from-the-awful-june-june-jobs-report-2011-7 > See all 12 charts from St Louis Fed: http://static8.businessinsider.com/image/4e1712edcadcbba25f030000-595-356/chart.jpg Previous:Stocks
rally on jersey-based, former Lautenberg ADP still paltry, better than expected
157,000 private jobs number and one’s got to wonder ‘who got paid’, one way or
another, for the fudge. Then there’s the horrific ‘american tech’. Retail? The
defacto bankrupt government’s probably buying with money they don’t have, at
best; and, as with other data in these desperate pre-election-year times, plain
false, falsified, fudged, spun. Previous day, all bad news … from eurozone
(protugal, et als), to asia zone (china worse than expected), to america (where
to begin, from defacto bankruptcy, to debased currency, to insurmountable debt
/ dervice, to pervasive corruption, etc.) … stocks rally on fraud and b***s***
alone. Previous, higher oil price rally, along with Netflix
‘technology rally’ … Don’t make me laugh! … Total desperation on wall street
and in Washington … How pathetic! … Jobless claims at 428,000 much worse
than expected; and, don’t forget, these are desperate ‘pre-election times’ when
regardless of factual reality (ie., fake reports, data, as, ie., ‘wobama
hometown’ corrupt chicago ISM is up as even their youth gangs are showing
increased criminal activity which probably accounts for the rise; ie., meth,
crack labs, etc.?) data / reports are fudged / faked / spun. Foreclosure,
distressed sales up, at least on paper with contracts signed, so no surprise
nor reason to cheer here, as markets worldwide jump on the american crazy train
for a short-lived bounce as all problems remain. This is the same month end (and quarter, half) spurt /
window dressing based on b***s*** alone to keep the suckers suckered and an
especially great time to sell / take profits since there’s much worse to come!
Talk about milking the greek crisis for the umpteenth time a so-called solution
(and there are loads of greecy scenarios worldwide … I don’t think so and neither does Schaeffer who says:
‘…even once such a package is passed it only buys time. Actually fixing the
fiscal condition of Greece is not something that can be solved in a matter of
weeks, or even months…‘ but it’s great press for
the churn and earn and to keep the suckers suckered. Technology rally? Defacto
bankrupt american technology is horrendous but great sizzle for the new fraud
as in the dotcom bust days. Then there’s the greasy b.s. new greecy b.s.
factor. The rally into the close and the
previous so-called (4 day) ‘rally’ was based on b***s*** alone to keep the
suckers suckered and for ‘smarter money ‘ along with the frauds to sell into.
This is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still
can since there's much worse to come! Selling
In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding
Remember: Sell in May and Go Away and
If You’ve Not Sold by June, You’re a Loon! ‘ ‘Albert Edwards: Thinks the
Market Could Fall 70%’ [ He’s not alone!
PRECHTER:
We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Stock
Market: 4 Current Warning Signs
Navin ‘…1) The 5-year high in the level of insider corporate stock sales
is telling. At 565 sells for every 1 buy,
it’s never been higher. Yes, it’s normal for insiders to be selling some of
their stocks so they can buy new yachts and some of this is pre-planned. But
that ratio — which has spiked recently — is extraordinarily high, one might
even say off-the-chart. Wall
Street 'Vastly Underestimating' Risk of Debt Default Forbes / Robert Lenzner StreetTalk ‘ “Meet the Press”
climaxed Sunday with a startling market prognostication from David
Brooks, conservative columnist for the NY Times. The risk of a debt
default over the combustible issue of the Medicare deficit hangs over the
course of the stock market. Buyers Beware!“I was up in Wall Street this
week,” Brooks said. “They’re vastly underestimating the source of piolitical
risk here. We could have a major problem, I think, either this summer or the
next couple years. And I’d be worried about investing too much in the market.
That’s my financial advice.”…’ Another
Financial Crisis Is On The Way, Mobius Says Market Crash
6/30/11?Technical indicators suggest market collapse may begin by June 30th
Dennis Slothower is one of the world’s leading technical analysts. He’s one of
the few advisors whose readers completely avoided ALL losses during the
disaster that was 2008. And now he’s issuing another dire warning. His
technical indicators suggest that the market manipulation we’ve seen over the
last several months is about to come to an end…and that means thousands of
investors are about to get clobbered. This correction could begin as soon
as June 30th– so it’s important that you take
action now to prepare yourself. StealthStocksOnline.com STOCKS
HAVE BIG RALLY AFTER PILES OF UGLY NEWS: Here's What You need To Know Harry
Dent: “Major Crash” Coming for Stocks, Commodities Already Topping Out 24 Signs Of
Economic Decline In America ‘The US is in the middle of a devastating
long-term economic decline..’ ] States
face shortfall for retirees (WP)
Public workers’ retirement funds had a gap of $1.26 trillion at the end
of fiscal 2009 Study:
Affordable rentals scarce (WP) Poll:
For Obama, low marks on Afghan war (WP)
Fuel
prices cut into Obama popularity
(WP) They’ve used the contrived mideast
turmoil and their wars to obfuscate and divert attention from their
failure. Davis ‘This is how we pay off our
current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a
country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer
to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest
thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on
TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to
"fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn
on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a
Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL
OUT THERE! ‘ Dave's
Daily 'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its
inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up.
Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy
back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary
Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is
taxpayer money-- Why The Dow Will Plunge To 7,000 By 24/7 Wall St. S&P Poised For Dropoff, Says Initial Jobless Claims Forbes / Maureen Farrell
Pity the Policymakers July 21st, 2011 by News by Mohamed A. El-Erian (Project Syndicate) —
‘I don’t know about you, but whenever I am in an airplane experiencing
turbulence, I draw comfort from the belief that the pilots sitting behind the
cockpit’s closed door know what to do. I would feel very differently if,
through an open door, I observed pilots who were frustrated at the poor
responsiveness of the plane’s controls, arguing about their next step, and
getting no help whatsoever from the operator’s manuals. So it is unsettling
that policymakers in many Western economies today resemble the second group of
pilots. This perception reflects not only the contradictory pronouncements and
behavior of policymakers, but also the extent to which economic outcomes have
consistently fallen short of their expectations.This perception is evident in
Europe, the United States, and Japan, where indicators of economic sentiment
are deteriorating again, already-weak recoveries are stalling, and
over-stretched balance sheets are becoming even more precarious.’
Is
America The Next Greece? at Forbes Marc Schindler ‘After
many years of overeating (overspending) Greece is in the emergency room with a
major financial heart attack and America isn’t far behind.
The doctors
(IMF, European finance ministers, the ECB, etc.) are running around trying to
save it. Open heart surgery (loans guaranteed by others) has averted the
immediate crisis, but Greece is just as overweight today as it was before the
crisis. Attempts to lose weight through exercise (austerity measures) cause
serious chest pains (riots). The doctors don’t want to admit it, but all signs
point to a heart transplant (default) as the only way to get Greece onto its
feet again.
Greece isn’t
the only one. It is a veritable epidemic. Ireland, Italy, Portugal, Spain and a
host of other countries are having chest pains. Iceland is feeling better now
with its freshly transplanted heart. The American home owner is still in the
hospital from his financial heart attack after gobbling up vast quantities of
real estate, and it has been many decades since Uncle Sam last could see his
toes.
By most
accounts (e.g. here
or Bill
Gross‘ statements in a recent interview) total hidden government
liabilities add up to about $60-$100 trillion. That is on top of the $14
trillion of debt carried on the balance sheet. Adding up those liabilities, the
US owes at least five times GDP, which currently sits at about $15 trillion.
For comparison, Greece’s debt is about 1.5 times its GDP.
This is not
really a fair comparison, because it leaves out any hidden liabilities Greece
may have. The US debt figure includes unfunded entitlements, state and local
debt, and underfunded public pensions. Nevertheless, it is clear that this is
an unsustainable debt load even if the estimates turn out to be off by a factor
of two or four.
Uncle Sam is
already more overweight than Greece ever was. If he doesn’t change his ways, he
will end up in the hospital like Greece, but at present he is partying like
there is no tomorrow, gorging himself on entitlement spending, costly wars,
bailouts, subsidies, and countless other delicacies.
Perhaps it
would not be such a bad thing if the talks about raising the debt limit failed.
After Uncle Sam suffers the resulting self-inflicted mild heart attack
(temporary default) and finds out how much fun it is to fetch up in the
emergency room, he might be more inclined to take care of himself, slim down,
and stick with an exercise regime.
Some kind of a
wakeup call is necessary while there is still time to deal with our debt
problem. The only way to address it is for Washington to do its job: get
everybody to recognize that there is a problem, find a solution that demands
some sacrifices from everyone, and work together across party lines to
implement it. In the current political environment that does not seem to be
possible. Something needs to change the environment. Greece shows that the
alternative is not pretty.’
Corporate
Earnings Soar Amidst a Dismal Job MarketWall St. Cheat Sheet [That
game’s about to end! In fact, that game’s over! Dave's
Daily 'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its
inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up.
Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy
back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary
Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is
taxpayer money-- ]
Standing on the precipice – and ready to jump July 21st, 2011 News
By Wolfgang Münchau ( Financial Times) — ‘It looks like there will be deal on a
eurozone package for Greece. The full details are still missing, but it appears
that the eurozone is forcing Greece into a selective default. As part of such a
package, short-term Greek debt will be more or less forcibly converted into
long-term debt. The wretched bank tax is mercifully off the table. And the
European financial stability facility will most likely be allowed to purchase
Greek debt at a discount. LET US NOT MINCE WORDS HERE. THIS WOULD BE
A DEFAULT, THE FIRST BY A WESTERN INDUSTRIALISED COUNTRY IN A GENERATION.
I
am not quite sure how it is possible for the European Central Bank to agree to
this, or to all of this. But I will surely be intrigued to hear how Jean-Claude
Trichet will manage to be consistent with what he said a few days ago. There
are also reports that the eurozone leaders may accept a more flexible EFSF
beyond those bond purchases.’
State
Finances Are Worse Than You Think at Forbes
So
Far, Market Ignoring Dire Warnings at Minyanville
The
Greater Depression Is Upon Us by David Galland http://www.lewrockwell.com/orig10/galland34.1.html Casey
Research Recently by David Galland: The Road to Perdition ‘The phrase
“Greater Depression” was coined by Doug Casey a decade or so back as a way of
describing the economic crisis he foresaw as inevitable, and which is now
materializing.
Because I think it is important for
every organization to constantly challenge its own assumptions, I’ve long acted
as something of a devil’s advocate here at Casey Research. By constantly
pushing our analysts to revisit their assumptions and calculations, it is my
firm intention for us to spot the fork in the road that indicates it is time to
shift strategies away from investments designed to do well in the face of a
currency debasement and to something else.
Being attentive to that fork in the
road is hugely important, because even though we urge our subscribers not to
overdo their exposure to inflation hedges, we recognize that many do. Many a
good person had their clocks cleaned in the early 1980s solely because they had
become overly enamored of their precious metals – so much so that they stopped
thinking of them as an asset class and began thinking of them more in the terms
one might associate with an amorous dinner date. Thus these investors were
utterly unprepared when said date stood up and broke a dinner plate over their
heads.
With that brief setup, I want to make
our views clear: While we correctly anticipated the recent correction in
precious metals, this correction is but a blip in a secular bull market that is
very much intact.
Doug Casey has often said that the
unfolding crisis is going to be even worse than he expects (which is saying
something), and the longer the rest of us at Casey Research study the tea
leaves, it is hard to disagree that the Greater Depression is still ahead.
Consider:
Watch
Out: 2011 Looks A Lot Like The Market Top In 2007 at Forbes Sean Hanlon Back on December 12, 2007 I wrote a market
commentary that started as follows:
The equity
markets have been very volatile this year, but also range bound. A
picture speaks a thousand words so all one needs to do is view the chart below
of the S&P 500 Index to understand just how volatile and range bound things
have been. Specifically, since February 20, 2007, only nine and one half
months or so ago, the S&P 500 Index has been down 5.86%, up 13.02%, down 9.43%, up
11.26%, down 10.09%,
and now up 7.73% – through 12/10/07 – so far in this
latest up leg! All this in ONLY nine and one half months!
http://blogs-images.forbes.com/advisor/files/2011/07/market-commentary-1.jpg
History is
repeating itself so far in 2011, which has been fraught with ups and downs in
both international and domestic equity markets. This is due to many
things, including the considerable economic doubts and various countries debt situations.
This uncertainty has translated into market performance with direct impacts on
portfolio returns and more prominently in portfolio volatility. This volatility
is best seen in the chart below of the S&P 500 Index beginning 1/1/11.
http://blogs-images.forbes.com/advisor/files/2011/07/market-commentary-2.jpg
2010 ended
positivity and the momentum carried into the first two months of 2011 however
the end of February began a series of events that led market returns on a
whipsaw ride of ups and downs, resulting in the current universal mid-year
views of market uncertainty.
What news was
associated with this volatility? All the usual; crude oil prices, natural disasters,
corporate earnings, politics, economic forecast revisions for both developed
and emerging markets, the European debt situation, the United States debt
situation and more to name just a few.
One thing is
for certain; the current volatile, range bound market activity is difficult at
best to profit from. In this investing environment patience is the most
important attribute. I will be patient and will be careful until the
trends are preferable.
Our strategy
at Hanlon Investment Management is to attempt to minimize downside risk by
exiting risk asset classes, such as equities, during periods of uncertainty,
getting invested in more conservative asset classes, such as money markets and
short-term bonds, and re-entering into risky asset classes when we identify
them as attractive, when the trend is our friend and positive!
Having
identified this volatility, in June we made defensive, tactical investment
decisions that provide less exposure to these volatile, range bound markets and
prepare us to re-enter the markets when they possess improved risk
characteristics.’
Deficit Ceiling
and Stocks - Expect the Unexpected ETFguide Simon Maierhofer, July 19, 2011, ‘A number of cliches come to mind when
talking about the U.S. debt situation. The most appropriate might be: 'You
can't have your cake and eat it too.' The least applicable is probably: 'Never
put off until tomorrow what you can do today.'
But if you
think the U.S. will default on some of its obligations anytime soon, you don't
have enough faith in the government's most potent weapon - extend and pretend
(another cliche that's become the modus operandi).
Since 1960,
Congress has acted 78 separate times to permanently raise, temporarily extend,
or revise the definition of the debt limit. Chances are Congress will act again
before the August 2 deadline. That however isn't good news.
By the end of
this article you will know the common sense, no nonsense, deficit ramifications
for the stock market and why even 'a deal' isn't good news.
USA Inc.
- Income Statement
If the United
States was a corporation - USA Inc. - here's what the Income Statement would
look like:
Total federal
spending in 2010 amounted to $3.456 trillion. Total receipts added up to $2.162
trillion. USA Inc.'s 2010 deficit was $1.294 trillion.
The 2011
federal budget is $3.7 trillion with a projected deficit of$1.6 trillion. But
there's no reason to despair, just before April 15,Congressional leaders were
able to agree on $39 billion worth of budgetcuts for the remainder of the year.
Senate
Majority Leader Harry Reid hailed this heroic effort as a 'historic' level of
cuts. To quantify just how 'historic' that effort was we'll put it in percentage
terms -1%. The cut amounted to only 1% of the 2011 budget. Apparently it wasn't
enough. Thanks to extend and pretend we've arrived at the next deadline.
Stocks
Applaud ... and Decline
Keep in mind
that back in mid-April when the 'historic' $39 billion cut was hammered out,
the S&P was at about 1,300. Following the 'resolution' of the budget
problem stocks rallied about 5%.
The April 3
ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter featured the chart below (due to size
restrictions the chart had to be reduced). As per the chart and accompanying
analysis, the Newsletter expected a rally to the next Fibonacci resistance at
1,369, followed by a bounce off the Fibonacci support at either 1,229 or 1,255
and an attempt to take out the previous high.
http://www.etfguide.com//contributor/UserFiles/8/Image/5%20-%20April%203%20TF.jpg
This outlook
was based purely on technical analysis with no regard for the deficit problem
or European debt woes (we'll take a look at an updated technical forecast in a
moment). The S&P did top at 1,370 on May 2. Thereafter it dropped to 1,259,
and tried to take out the previous high (the S&P rallied as high as 1,356
on July 7and stumbled thereafter).
USA Inc.
- Balance Sheet
If you think
the Income Statement looks bad, you may not want to look at the Balance Sheet.
Consensus estimates for unfunded obligations vary. Mary Meeker pegs the
shortfall at $31 trillion, PIMCO's Bill Gross estimates the unreported debt to
be $75 trillion, while other estimates exceed $100 trillion.
The
Deficit and Stocks
When President
Obama took office in January 2009, the federal debt was 70% of GDP or $10
trillion. Today the deficit is close to 100% of GDP at $14.3 trillion. As
per a recent AP report, President Obama had to scroll down his demands and
would now be content with a $2.4 trillion debt ceiling increase to make it last
beyond the 2012 elections.
No doubt, the
President would like the deficit issue put on hold until he's re-elected. It
seems like everyone has an agenda that takes priority over solving the actual
debt issue. The whole game could be summed up as White House budget director
Jack Lew put it: 'That all these ideas do is say let's kick the can down the road
so that others will deal with it.'
This, by the
way, is why the pre-election year of the Presidential election year cycles has
seen gains consistently since 1939, because the incumbent party will do what it
takes to remain in office longer.
A
lose-lose Situation
The drawback
of the deficit situation is that there is no easy way out. The government has
to either cut spending (as in fewer benefits for Americans) or increase revenue
(as in higher taxes).
Pick your
poison. Either choice will kill the economy. Of course, you can extend and
pretend, which is probably what will end up happening. No matter how much lip
stick you have at your disposal, a pig remains a pig. The deficit is a big
(red) pig.
What is worse,
a $14.3 trillion deficit today, or a $16+ trillion deficit (according to
Obama's wish) in 2012? Debt is like gangrene, dry rot or mold, it doesn't just
go away, it gets worse (ask Greece, Ireland, Portugal or any of the other
PIIGS).
Eliminate
Variables
Using European
(NYSEArca: VGK - News) debt troubles as a
benchmark, there hasn't been a direct correlation between U.S. stocks and
European debt. To generalize this even further, there hasn't been a real
correlation between the U.S. deficit issue and U.S. stocks.
It was in June
2009 that Greece admitted to having a 'small' problem. Stocks rallied
throughout the remainder of 2009, most of 2010 and some in 2011. The same is
true for the MSCI EAFE ETF (NYSEArca: EFA - News) and Emerging Market ETF
(NYSEArca: EEM - News).
Admittedly,
the U.S. is a much bigger problem than the PIGGS, but the principal remains the
same - basing investment decisions on the outcome of debt negotiations is
tricky because the market has a mind of its own.
Since early
2010, every single time the major indexes a la S&P (SNP: ^GSPC), Dow (DJI:
^DJI), and Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) sold off more than a few percent, it's been
blamed on Greece. What many don't consider is that the market was helplessly
overbought in January, and April 2010 and 2011 and due for a correction anyway.
It seems like Greece has been a scapegoat more often than the actual cause.
Perhaps it's a game of chicken and the egg. Which came first?
No
Chicken-Egg Game
It has been
more beneficial and profitable to rely on solid technical analysis rather than
playing the chicken and egg game.
Technical
analysis along with sentiment readings pegged a market bottom of the same
degree at S&P 1,259 - 1,245. That was the opinion of the ETF Profit
Strategy Newsletter on June 15 (one day before the 1,258 bottom):
'The 200-day
SMA at 1,257 is sandwiched between the 1,255 Fibonacci projection level dating
back to 2002 and this week's s1 at 1,259. Wednesday's low was at 1,261.9. If
this low is not enough, there is a strong cluster of support at 1,259 - 1,245.
A drop into the 1,259 - 1,245 range would prompt us to close out short
positions and leg into long positions' (long positions were closed out at
S&P 1,345 on July 7).
There was no
fundamental good news on June 15 or 16. Some of the headlines featured on June
15 were:
'Is the bull
market over? A look at four different sentiment measures suggests that more
pain may await investors.' - Barrons
'Greek default
could trigger chain reaction' - AP
'Confidence is
eroding among U.S. factories, consumers' – Bloomberg …’
Financial
Crisis Phase II Is Ahead at Forbes Bert Dohmen ‘ In
late 2007, I wrote the book Prelude To Meltdown, predicting
the global crisis that occurred the following year. I now see a similar
confluence of events that warns of phase II of the global crisis.
Once again I
see all the “canaries in the mine,” which warned of the 2008 crisis.
My just released book, Financial Apocalypse ,
provides the clues and the road map, with charts, of how my indicators
successfully predicted the meltdown that occurred in the fall of 2008. This
book is a guide for detecting the next crisis whenever it occurs. History
repeats, or at minimum, it rhymes.
My work shows
that “the new recession has started.” The May 9 issue of the Wellington
Letter was headlined: “Return of the Double-Dip.” At the time,
economists were looking for a great economy in the second half. Now they talk
about a “soft patch.” Over the past 33 years, we have called the start of
every recession, often on the exact month, or within one month, of the official
start as determined one year later by the official arbiter of recession, the
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER).
How can we be
in recession now when the GDP still shows growth? Because of improper inflation
adjustments. “Real” GDP growth, the headline number, is nominal growth minus
the rate of inflation. However, inflation is far understated for political
reasons.
Currently, the
GDP deflator is 1.8%, which hardly reflects the true rise in prices. Therefore,
what is counted as “growth,” is actually price increases. Actual inflation,
according to free market economists who calculate inflation as it was done in
1980 before the politician re-engineered it, is now more than 11%. Using that
to adjust GDP for inflation, would show that the economy is now in a very sharp
contraction.
When the
current euphoric earnings forecasts of Wall Street finally reflect that via
significant “earnings downgrades,” the stock market will see a serious
“adjustment” as well.
On July 18,
Goldman Sachs (GS)
substantially lowered its economic growth forecast. Marketwatch.com had this
headline: Goldman Sachs slashes Economic Forecasts. The next
step will be for them to substantially reduce earnings forecasts for the
S&P 500.
Will the phase
II be as bad as the 2008 crisis? The last crisis was confined to the private
sector, i.e. financial institutions. The next one will be involve the
threatened default of entire countries. The last time, the central banks bailed
out the financial firms and even Warren Buffett bailed out several firms. Who
is big enough to bail out entire countries? Or will the term of “too big to
fail” turn to “too big to bail?”
Bert
Dohmen is editor of the Wellington
Letter and author of Financial Apocalypse.’
3
Top Crooks Still Roaming Free After the Economic Crash Wall St. Cheat
Sheet July 25, 2011, The global economy
and stock markets took a nose dive in 2008. But that hasn’t stopped some of the
biggest masterminds from escaping a day of luxury.
Here are three
financial crooks who are probably sipping daiquiris in Capri at our
expense:
Lehman
Brothers CEO Richard S. Fuld, Jr.
Few executives
were as intimately and extensively involved in the downfall of their firms as Dick
Fuld . At the time of the financial collapse, Fuld had worked for Lehman
Brothers for nearly 40 years, and had been the firm’s chief executive since
1994. In that role, not only was he the longest-tenured CEO on Wall Street at
the time of the financial crisis, but he was considered one of the best. He was
named Institutional Investor magazine’s top chief executive in the
private sector in 2006. The following year, he was paid more than $21 million
in cash and stock on top of his base salary of $750,000 a year after the bank’s net profit rose 5% to a record $4.2 billion. And as
recently as March 2008, Barron’s listed him on their list of the 30 best CEOs,
referring to him as “Mr. Wall Street”.
When the
financial crisis hit, Fuld was one of the few executives to hold onto his
position. He counted himself responsible for the company, but didn’t realize
just how much real estate loans and other toxic assets were weighing on his
balance sheet. Instead, he remained confident in the firm that he helped grow
from a negative profit in 1993. His hubris can somewhat be understood, given
the firm hadn’t reported a single quarterly loss since it went public. But Fuld
was wrong. He overestimated the value of his firm, rejecting offers that could
have saved it from collapse because they didn’t adequately reflect what he felt
the firm was worth.
We know that
sub-prime mortgages were almost solely responsible for the financial crisis,
and a large part of the Wall Street’s fourth-largest investment bank’s worth
was held in its mortgage business, where mortgages were re-packaged and sold to
other investors, often for more than they were really worth. In fact, Lehman
was the top U.S. underwriter of mortgage bonds in 2006 and 2007, accounting for
roughly 10% of the market. As CEO, Fuld was responsible for buying those
assets, which ultimately became toxic and impossible to unload. But whether or not
Fuld can be held wholly responsible for the firm’s loan practices, he can be
held responsible for the firm’s bankruptcy. As late as August 2008, after many
CEOs had already been forced to resign, he rejected an offer by state-run Korea
Development Bank to buy a 25% stake in Lehman for $4 billion to $6 billion.
There’s no
question that the firm Fuld helped build, that he’d been a part of since 1969,
where he held the top position for 14 years, was criminally responsible for the
financial crisis. In fact, it may be the most culpable, given the
sheer volume of sub-prime mortgages underwritten by Lehman in the years leading
up to the market collapse. On September 15, Lehman became the largest firm to
file for bankruptcy in history, dealing a devastating blow to an
already fragile financial system. A few weeks later, Fuld was summoned to appear before Congress as part of an inquisition. He was
also investigated by three United States Attorneys offices in New York and New
Jersey. But ultimately Fuld walked away from Lehman Brothers having pocketed
nearly $500 million just in his last six years with the firm, years during
which Lehman’s sub-prime mortgage practice was contributing to what would
ultimately cost taxpayers $700 billion in a government-issued bank bailout
program. Fuld was never charged with or convicted of any crimes.
AIG
Financial Products CEO Joseph J. Cassano
As a founding
member and head of AIG Financial Products, Joe
Cassano was responsible for selling hundreds of billions of dollars worth
of credit protection in the form of credit-default swaps (CDS) on U.S.
sub-prime mortgages, a form of insurance that didn’t require that AIG put down
any form of collateral. So when the financial crisis hit in 2008 and investment
banks requested the insurance money for their collapsing derivatives, AIG was
unable to pay what was owed and ultimately had to be bailed out by the
government, receiving about $170 billion in taxpayer money.
Cassano
resigned from his position at AIG FP in March 2008, having pocketed $280
million in cash and an additional $34 in bonuses. He even managed a $1
million-a-month retirement package that kept him on at AIG as a “consultant”.
Cassano even went on record denying any fault on the part of AIG, saying,
“We believed
until late 2005 that banks and other mortgage originators were applying
appropriate standards when writing mortgages. When we recognized — well before
many others — that changes in the mortgage market likely presented increased
risk for future deals, we decided to exit the subprime business. We thought the
decision was appropriate, despite the lost profits at the time. With hindsight,
the decision looks even more prudent.”
Cassano went
so far as to blame the bailout for losses on CDS contracts, saying there would
have been few, if any, had they not been unwound by the bailout. Testifying
before the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, Cassano fully defended his
firm’s CDS practices, outlining the careful approval and monitoring system
that, “specifically identified risk factors and provided an analysis of those
risks.” Cassano insisted that AIG had not miscalculated the risks of sub-prime
mortgages.
However,
Cassano was directly responsible for AIG’s credit-default swaps program that
put the firm’s many clients, including Goldman Sachs, in danger when it was unable to
pay out on insurance claims. He essentially sold billions of dollars worth of
vapor — he failed to provide what had been paid for by the firm’s clients. That
sounds remarkably like fraud, the grounds upon which many investors have filed
suit against Cassano. In fact, regulators in both the U.S. and the U.K.
investigated Cassano’s acts to determine whether they had been criminal. But
like just about every executive responsible for the financial crisis, Cassano
was not ultimately charged with any wrongdoing, and remains a free man.
Countrywide
Financial Chairman and CEO Angelo Mozilo
Ranked second
by Condé Nast Portfolio on their list of the “Worst American CEOs of
All Time”, Angelo
Mozilo was charged in 2009 of insider trading and securities fraud by the
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Mozilo personally sold hundreds of
millions of dollars in stock while using shareholder funds to buy back stock to
support the share price. He is also responsible for what has been termed the “Friends of Angelo” VIP program under which several
influential lawmakers, including Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher
Dodd, as well as many Fannie Mae employees and other “Friends of Angelo”,
received discounted mortgages.
However,
Mozilo was allowed to settle with the SEC on all charges. He agreed to pay $67.5 million in fines, the most ever exacted from an
individual in connection with the 2008 financial crisis, and he was banned from
ever serving as an officer or director of any other public company. Robert Khuzami, director of the SEC’s Division of
Enforcement, said that “Mozilo’s record penalty is the fitting outcome for a
corporate executive who deliberately disregarded his duties to investors by
concealing what he saw from inside the executive suite.” But in settling,
Mozilo was able to avoid a trial and any subsequent criminal charges, and was
not required to acknowledge any wrongdoing.
Mozilo’s net
worth has been estimated at roughly $600 million. And because of the
indemnification agreement in his contract with Countrywide, the firm was
responsible for paying roughly one-third of his fines, leaving Mozilo with a
bill of $47.5 million — that’s less than 10% of his worth. Aside from Bernie
Madoff, the only executive tied to the financial crisis to be criminally
prosecuted and convicted, Mozilo’s settlement is the greatest punishment
inflicted on any executive responsible for the country’s economic collapse, and
falls desperately short of true justice.’
Debt, Deficits and the Demise of the American Economy' - Author
Peter Tanous Discusses Risk
US
Equities Forecast and the Anticipated Path of the Market at
Minyanville Peter Prudden July
25, 2011 ‘… the headline risk remains to the downside and the bogey to lower
equity prices in the short to intermediate term is concentrated on the U.S.
Debt ceiling. At some point, not only must all developed economies deal with
marking down to the level of income, but we must restructure large amounts of
excess leverage. Until we accomplish this, growth will be problematic…’
Putin says U.S. is "parasite" on global economy
[Unfortunately, this is very true. More unfortunately is the fact that most
worldwide don’t realize that fact! I mean, think about it: pervasively corrupt,
defacto bankrupt america’s cancerous
perma wars, over-printed debased ‘Weimar’ paper ‘reserve’ currency, huge
frauds in securities and otherwise, etc..
]
3 Reasons Why This Summer Could Get
Ugly Simon Maierhofer, July
29, 2011 [ Well, before getting to the article, we all know why: because …
‘Sell in May, and go away!’ … Quite simple, as previously set forth here and
elsewhere, you should have ‘sold in May, and went away!’ Why? Because …
as Rosanne Rosanna Danna formerly of SNL fame
and as her mama always used to say, ‘it’s always somethin’’ … but
unfortunately, that somethin’ is not necessarily what they say it is. ] ‘It seems
like the European Union and U.S. government are stuck in a never ending game of
Whac-A-Mole. It seems like more moles are popping up more quickly, needing more
force to be subdued (ironically the moles come back just as the problems do)…’
Mapping
the Myths of the U.S. Economy - Stacy Curtin ‘In The
Real State of America Atlas: Mapping the Myths and Truths of the United States,
authors Cynthia Enloe and Joni Seager paint a vivid picture of life in the
U.S., using a series of charts, graphics and short essays that cover almost
every aspect of the nation's economy and society as a whole.
Not only do
they give state-by-state comparisons, they show how the U.S. measures up to the
rest of the world in areas such as health care, housing and defense. But while
analyzing what it's really like to live in the U.S. today, they also uncovered
a few "myths and truths" as the title of the book suggests.
Enloe and
Seager joined The Daily Ticker's Aaron Task to share three of the most
surprising misconceptions they uncovered.
#1 Land
of Homeowners
The dream of
owning a home is actually more the reality in other countries. In the book, the
authors point to the most recent data, which show only 68% of Americans owned
their home in 2002, compared with 92% in Hungry, 84% in Mexico, 72% in the U.K.
and 71% in Australia.
"One of
the things that is a cherished notion about America is we are a nation of
homeowners, and homeownership has long been seen as kind of the bedrock of the
American dream," says Seager. "I think the current economic crisis
and the housing crisis is really shaking that American cherished view of
ourselves as having easy access to homeownership."
This is
evident in another stat laid out in the book, which shows 83% of people agreed
that buying a home was a safe investment in 2003, compared with 70% in 2010. (See:
Why
I Am Never Going to Own a Home Again)
{ Home ownership hits lowest level since 1965 NEW YORK (CNNMoney) Les Christie August 5, 2011 As the foreclosure crisis continues to
wreak havoc on the housing market, a source of national pride has taken a sour
turn. Home ownership is on the decline and, according to a recent Morgan
Stanley report…’ }
#2 Land
of Opportunity
Just like the
ideal of owning a home, opportunity in this country is now also on the brink.
"Opportunity
in this country means a chance for an education … [and] a chance for a decent
job that allows you to have a decent life," says Enloe, who points to two
key factors that hinder people making it here in America.
#3 Land of Givers
While the U.S. does give more money in foreign aid
than any other country in the world, as a percentage of GDP it falls way behind
many other nations.
Whereas Sweden gives almost 1% of its GDP in 2008,
the U.S. gave 0.19%.
"I think it really should shake Americans'
self-perception of two things," says Enloe. "[One] is cutting foreign
aid actually the ticket to balancing the budget, but also how do we shape up
compared to other countries' generosity?" ’
Debt
Deal Is A Blank Check at Forbes
U.S.
Economic Pessimism Grows - Stacy Curtin ‘While Democrats and Republicans were
arguing over how to prevent the U.S. from a default, families across the
country have become increasingly concerned about the overall state of the
economy, according to the American Enterprise
Institute's latest compilation of recent polls taken in various regions.
Friday's worse
than expected GDP numbers only reaffirm this notion. The U.S. economy grew less
than expected in the second quarter at 1.3%, but the bigger shock came after Q1
GDP was revised down to 0.4% from 1.9%. These numbers suggest the country could
be headed for another recession and Americans are definitely feeling the pain.
(See: 2011
Is Proving to Be a Horrible Year For the Economy)
One of the
most disconcerting findings in the AEI report is a CBS/New York Times poll from
June. It showed that over the last year, more Americans have come to believe
the current economic downturn is part of a long-term permanent decline and that
the economy will never fully recover. In October 2010, 28% of respondents
agreed with that statement, versus 39% last month.
"Americans
are so pessimistic about the economy now ... . And the level of public
pessimism is actually higher than the deep 1981-82 recession overall," due
to grim personal outlooks on a number of issues like jobs, retirement and
health care, says Karlyn Bowman, a
senior fellow at AEI who co-authored the report. "Their negative
sentiments are affecting the way they feel about their family's future, and
interestingly, the way they feel about their state governments. Usually
negative attitudes about the national government don't seep into attitudes
about the state government, but this time it is really different. This
negative, gloomy mood is pervasive.
Speaker of the
House John Boehner echoed these concerns Thursday before one of the many failed
House votes to raise the country's debt ceiling. "This is a challenging
time for our country," he said. "Americans are worried about their
jobs. They're worried about our economy. And they're worried about our
debt."
Since the
polls in the report were conducted before the debt-ceiling debate really began
heating up over the last few weeks, one might conclude that if the same
questions were asked today the responses would be even more pessimistic.
Here are other
key findings from the AEI report:
Job
anxiety: In the past six
months, about 5% of Americans surveyed had lost their job, two in 10 said a
family member had lost a job, and six in 10 knew someone who lost a job.
In June 2011,
58 percent were very or somewhat worried they could lose a job in the next 12
months. Nearly eight in 10 say jobs are difficult to find where they live.
Around a quarter are worried about benefit or pay cuts.
Cutting
back: Americans are cutting
back on everything from health care to haircuts. Fewer than four in 10 say
their personal financial situation is in excellent or good shape right now.
Almost as many people say they are falling behind as believe they are getting
ahead, but the vast majority describe their financial situation as having just
enough money to maintain their standard of living. Inflation worries are high
and steady.
Retirement: There's been a dramatic drop in the number of
Americans who say they have enough money to retire. In 2002, around six in 10
believed they would have enough money. In the latest survey by Gallup in April,
only about four in 10 say they will.’
10
Reasons We Are Heading for a Recession
USAGOLD
RoundTable: Debt Ceiling “Resolution” – EU Sovereign Debt Crisis Aug 3rd,
2011 15:53 by News We’re pleased to present
our latest RoundTable video discussion with our staff experts George Cooper,
Peter Grant and Jonathan Kosares {Immediate access here} Excerpt: Now
that the debt ceiling debate is over, and the dust is settling, the market is
beginning to get a picture of what, if anything, was accomplished, and can be
expected moving forward. The $2 trillion in cuts over ten years amounts to a
small dent in our annual deficit, suggesting that the U.S. will continue to
increase its debt to GDP ratio over the coming decade. The cuts suggested will
merely slow, not reverse, this trend. In the end, this debt deal is nothing
more than a giant kick of the can down the road, and a short road at that. The
hike to the debt ceiling looks to only buy about six months, so this issue is
set to be revisited next year. The market has digested this “resolution” as
such, and gold has responded sharply higher, rising $60 in two days. The DOW
meanwhile has come under significant pressure, shedding over 800 points in a
week. Things across the pond are not looking any better. The credit facility
set up by the ECB is insufficient at best, and contagion remains an enormous
risk. Spreads on sovereign debt in Italy, Spain, Greece, Portugal and Ireland
are at or near all time highs. As talks of dramatically expanding the credit
facility heat up, we’re left to wonder if its even possible for Europe to “go
big enough” to calm market jitters. With Peter Grant, George Cooper, and
Jonathan Kosares. (24 min) The Daily Market Report
Aug 1st, 2011 12:01 by PG
Relief? What Relief? http://www.usagold.com/cpmforum
Late last night when party leaders and the President announced that
they had reached a bipartisan deal that would allow the debt ceiling to be
raised, gold dropped about 1%. Global stocks rallied in relief and briefly,
ever so briefly, gold was out of favor. However, as the details were revealed,
doubts were reignited: Doubts as to whether such legislation could actually
make it to the President’s desk. Doubts that the deal would avert a downgrade
of US sovereign debt.While the CBO scores the package as accomplishing $2.1
trillion in spending cuts over the next 10-years, the CBO baseline also has the
deficit rising $6.7 trillion over the same period. The premise apparently being
that we’re working our way to actual cutting by cutting to slow the pace of the
nation’s proliferate spending. In actuality — and as evidenced below — that CBO
baseline may prove to be way too optimistic.What really lit an intraday fire
under gold today was the big miss on US July ISM, which plunged to 50.9. The
market was expecting a modest downtick to 55.0 from 55.3 in June. On the heals
of last week’s much weaker than expected quarterly GDP data, it has become
abundantly apparent that the US economy has slowed to just above stall-speed.
David Rosenberg, chief economist at Gluskin Sheff and Associates, noted last
week that once the economy slows to a growth rate of 1.6% it has proven historically
to be a “point of no return” and recession follows. With Q1 downgraded to just
0.36% and Q2 an anemic 1.3% — and likely subject to future negative revision as
well — the writing may well be on the wall.The debt deal is a short-term kick
of the can that at least initially focuses on spending cuts. However, with no
mitigation of the uncertainties that have kept private capital sidelined for
the past two-years of the so-called recovery, there is little reason to think
that a more robust economy is just around the corner. In fact, the opposite may
be true. That realization, tipped in by the ISM data, has further escalated the
QE3 talk, which prompted gold to retest the record high set Friday at 1632.39.
Relief? What relief?If we get another negative surprise on Friday when July
nonfarm payrolls comes out, as the ISM employment index suggests we might, the
QE3 talk will intensify ever more in the weeks ahead of the Fed’s Jackson Hole
summit. Consensus on July payrolls are running around +100k, although we could
see some tempering of those expectations in light of the ISM data.Even with the
announcement of the debt ceiling deal, the dollar remains on the ropes, falling
to new record lows against the Swiss franc and the yen. If this deal
makes it through both Houses of Congress and is signed by the President, it is
just another kick of the can — and a very short one at that — down the road.
And with the specter of yet another round of quantitative easing hanging over
the market, there is little incentive to buy dollars. Now the BoJ is once again
contemplating direct intervention in the market, as I suspect the SNB is. If
there are concerted efforts to slow the rise of these currencies, it may make
gold an even more alluring option.’
S&P downgrades US credit rating from AAA The United States has lost its sterling credit rating
from Standard & Poor's.
S&P Shocks the U.S. with Credit Downgrade to AA+ from
Prestigious AAA Rating Wall St. Cheat Sheet August 5, 2011,
‘Standard
& Poor’s is out with an official
downgrade of the U.S. credit rating:
• We have
lowered our long-term sovereign credit rating on the United States of America
to ‘AA+’ from ‘AAA’ and affirmed the ‘A-1+’ short-term rating.
• We have also
removed both the short- and long-term ratings from CreditWatch negative.
• The
downgrade reflects our opinion that the fiscal consolidation plan that Congress
and the Administration recently agreed to falls short of what, in our view,
would be necessary to stabilize the government’s medium-term debt dynamics.
• More
broadly, the downgrade reflects our view that the effectiveness, stability, and
predictability of American policymaking and political institutions have
weakened at a time of ongoing fiscal and economic challenges to a degree more
than we envisioned when we assigned a negative outlook to the rating on April
18, 2011.
• Since then,
we have changed our view of the difficulties in bridging the gulf between the
political parties over fiscal policy, which makes us pessimistic about the
capacity of Congress and the Administration to be able to leverage their
agreement this week into a broader fiscal consolidation plan that stabilizes
the government’s debt dynamics any time soon.
• The outlook
on the long-term rating is negative. We could lower the long-term rating to
‘AA’ within the next two years if we see that less reduction in spending than
agreed to, higher interest rates, or new fiscal pressures during the period
result in a higher general government debt trajectory than we currently assume
in our base case.
Investing
Insights: Is
the Debt Ceiling Raise Bullish for Gold?’
13
Reasons Why The U.S. Is Now OFFICIALLY BANKRUPT Daily Bail
| Stop the budget lies; there are NO cuts. House passes bill to INCREASE
spending by $7 trillion over the next 10 years. ATTENTION IDIOTS IN THE
MAINSTREAM MEDIA – Stop The Budget Lies – There Are NO Cuts – House Passes Bill
To INCREASE Spending By $7 Trillion Over The Next 10 Years
Lies,
Damn Lies And Government Budgets
I am so pissed
off by
the misreporting I could spit Ken Lewis hairballs.
#1) Corporate
journalists and financial pundits know NOTHING about budgets.
#2) The
Boehner led House passed legislation this evening that INCREASES
spending by $7 TRILLION over the next ten years versus a baseline budget
that would have increased spending by $9.5 TRILLION over the same period.
#3) CBO
said today that LESS than 2% of the decrease in the GROWTH of spending will
come before the 2012 elections. The remainder come after the election.
#4) Defense
and war machine spending will
grow at 3% per year instead of 4% per year.
#5) This was
nothing but an agreement to agree at a later date to look for reductions in
planned spending GROWTH.
#6) A Super Congress
will decide on a mix of tax increases and reductions in planned spending growth
to meet the targets at a later date.
#7) No
one in Congress even considered Ron Paul’s simple plan, now endorsed by Time Magazine
as well as liberal economist Dean Baker, to wipe out $1.6 trillion in fake debt
owned by the Federal Reserve. Debt that we owe to ourselves, that
is entirely legal to wipe away.
#8.) CBO says under this plan, the national debt will
INCREASE from $14.4 TRILLION currently to more than $25 TRILLION over the next
10 years.
#9) The assumption for #8 above assumes the economy
grows at 3% per year over the next 10 years, and that Treasury interest rates
stay at historic lows. When rates increase, and bet your life that they will,
interest on the debt will increase and so will annual deficits, leading to a
national debt much higher than the $25 TRILLION that CBO
estimates.
#10) Regarding Treasury rates and interest on the
debt, get educated about a concept called ‘DURATION RISK.’ Turbo Geithner and
his MENSA bed-fellows at Treasury have chosen to finance the great majority of
recent and future borrowing in short-term bills, which means that they have to
be rolled over frequently. This is perhaps the least-discussed and most
dangerous issue related to Treasury debt.
#12) The bill passed by Boehner tonight was the BEST
they could do after 6 weeks of fighting.
#13) Due to #12, the United States is officially
f*cked.
Thank you and good night.’
US
Closer to ‘Junk Bond’ Status Than Triple-A: Bove Aug 9th, 2011 14:41 by News
August 9 (CNBC) — ‘ “You’ve got a
company which is losing about $1.4 trillion this year, probably will lose
somewhere around a trillion dollars over the next couple of years. It owes
$14.4 trillion (and) over the next five years that will get up to $20
trillion,” the Rochdale Securities analyst said.“So there’s no likelihood
whatsoever that this particular company is able to pay down from its own
resources the amount of debt that it has, nor is there any likelihood that it’s
going to get rid of its deficit,” he added. “If that was a real company, of
course, that would be a junk bond.”“I still would expect to see a
thousand-point down day at some point in this market as people come to realize
there has been a complete change in the financial structure of the world,” he
said’
If
U.S. Slides Into Recession, S&P 500 Could Drop To 830 at Forbes
[The pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt u.s. is already in recession
(actually worse)! Financial
Crisis Phase II Is Ahead at Forbes Bert Dohmen ‘ In
late 2007, I wrote the book Prelude To Meltdown, predicting
the global crisis that occurred the following year. I now see a similar
confluence of events that warns of phase II of the global crisis… My work
shows that “the new recession has started.”… Over the past 33 years, we have
called the start of every recession, often on the exact month, or within one
month, of the official start as determined one year later by the official
arbiter of recession, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)… However,
inflation is far understated for political reasons. Currently, the GDP deflator
is 1.8%, which hardly reflects the true rise in prices. Therefore, what is
counted as “growth,” is actually price increases. Actual inflation, according
to free market economists who calculate inflation as it was done in 1980 before
the politician re-engineered it, is now more than 11%. Using that to adjust GDP
for inflation, would show that the economy is now in a very sharp
contraction…’FLASHBACK HERE: Selling
In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding
Remember: Sell in May and Go Away and If You’ve Not Sold by June,
You’re a Loon! ‘ ‘Albert Edwards: Thinks the Market Could Fall 70%’ PRECHTER:
We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Stock
Market: 4 Current Warning Signs
Navin ‘…1) The
5-year high in the level of insider corporate stock sales is telling. At 565
sells for every 1 buy, it’s never been higher. Why The Dow Will Plunge To 7,000 By 24/7 Wall St. S&P Poised For Dropoff, Says Initial Jobless Claims Forbes / Maureen Farrell ]
3
Ring Circus: Geithner, Buffett, and Obama Wall St. Cheat
Sheet ‘…Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner , who said last April that
there was no risk the U.S. could loose its AAA credit rating, voiced his
thoughts on the downgrade. He said, “ They’ve handled themselves very
poorly, and they’ve shown a stunning lack of knowledge about the basic U.S.
fiscal budget math.” What exactly are they misunderstanding? The U.S. is
the largest debtor nation in the world, and spending outlays vastly outnumber
revenue. Geithner went on to say that U.S. bonds were just as safe after
the downgrade as before, and predicted that China and investors would remain
strong buyers of government debt.On Monday morning, with stock futures heading
sharply lower, Warren Buffett tried to inject confidence into the financial
markets. Buffett explained that he believes the U.S. debt is still rated
AAA, and the downgrade does not change his mind about government debt. In
fact, the legendary investor holds $47 billion in cash and equivalents as of
June 30th. He said, “ If I have to buy Treasuries at zero percent yield,
I will.” At least the large cash hoard shows that Buffett puts his money
where his mouth is. However, one also has to wonder if Buffett’s
shareholdings in Moody’s , a rival credit agency to S&P, has anything to do
with his criticism of S&P. To add fuel to the fire, S&P also cut
Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway outlook from stable to negative.Not to be outdone
by Warren Buffett’s AAA endorsement, President Obama made a public announcement
of his own on Monday. Despite America’s financial hardship across the
board, the President said, “ I’d give U.S. a quadruple-A rating.” This
was puzzling for many reasons ( besides the fact there is no quadruple-A
rating). America has a hard enough time keeping its AA+ or AAA rating,
let alone achieving some pipe dream quadruple-A rating. S&P may be
the credit agency causing controversy now, but it’s not the only credit agency to
downgrade America. China’s credit rating agency Dagong , recently
cut America’s debt rating from A+ to A, with a negative outlook. Dagong
had already cut America’s credit rating last November from AA to A+ after QE2
was announced.By the end of Monday, it was announced that the Senate banking
committee had started a probe into the downgrade actions of S&P.
However, the damage is already done, confidence is broken in the markets.
Gold constantly reaching new highs is a clear example of this.
Perhaps the Senate banking committee should probe Fitch and Moody’s and
investigate why they still have AAA ratings on U.S. debt?...’
Posted
by Izabella Kaminska on Aug 09
2011
Thought the current turmoil was down to the downgrade
of US debt? Wrong!
According to Societe Generale’s uber bear, Albert
Edwards, this has absolutely nothing to do with S&P, the White House, Tea Party
etc. It’s the economy stupid:
The simple fact is that the global economy is falling
back into recession or indeed is already in recession. Equity markets were sliding before the downgrade and
bond yields were reacting as one would have expected to the dire economic data.
The S&P downgrade may have caused the breach of critical support levels of
1250 on the S&P, but anything could have caused that breach and triggered
the technical rout. Expect some sort of retest of this neckline before the market
ultimately meets its date with destiny.
Recent US GDP revisions revealed QE2 to be an abject
failure as far as producing an economic recovery is concerned with dire 0.9%
annualised growth reported in H1 2011. Yet to a man with a hammer, everything
is a nail. Hence despite rising core inflation, there is certainly a level of
economic and/or market pain to prompt QE3. But expect the real fireworks to
occur when the adrenalin rush of QE3 wears off even quicker than QE2.
There are still some diehard ‘happy clappies’ out
there who think we are going to avert recession and the markets will recover.
Yet US GDP growth has now fallen below the wellknown 2% stall speed, below
which the economy does not seem to be able to regain altitude but instead
crashes directly into recession.
Which means it’s time to come to terms with the fact
that recession 2.0 (or was it ever really a recovery?) is on its way whether
you like it or not:
At the current (Q2) rate of 1.6% yoy GDP growth, my
fellow bear (realist?), David Rosenberg at Gluskin Sheff, points out in the
chart below that a US recession is almost certainly a done deal (never say
certain, as in 1956, when recession was temporarily averted for all of nine
months). But with this sort of record the onus is now on the optimists
to demonstrate why on earth they still believe in a second-half recovery and
growth in 2012.
Now, anyone who bought into the dulcet tones of the
bullish brigrade is likely to do very badly. A fact which will come as hubris.
In Edwards’ opinion if you were dumb enough to listen to that story, well… you
reap what you sow:
And in the same way that a country is said to get the
government it deserves, I believe the market gets the macro commentators it
deserves: i.e. perpetually bullish analysts, taking no personal risk with their
never-ending consensus chatter.
After all it was always pretty obvious what was going
to happen.
It was just a question of when, rather than if:
Put into its proper Ice Age context, the events of
the past decade are entirely explicable. As we see a short-lived economic
recovery failing only two years into the cycle and a plunge back into
recession, we remind investors that this was exactly the Ice Age template that
Japan showed us. A fragile recovery undermined by private sector deleveraging
collapses as a semi-bankrupt government tries to rein in runaway deficits.
What next? Well, it’s Ice Age 3.
Here’s how it goes and this is very much of the
moment (especially if you are a London resident):
We are now entering the third phase of the Ice Age
when another cyclical failure combines with a secular de-rating of equities and
re-rating of government bonds. I and many others have been pointing out for a
long time now the simple fact that the global economy has been living way
beyond its means for years. A massive transfer of income to the very
rich has occurred while middle class real incomes stagnated. The middle classes
only tolerated this because Central Bankers created housing booms to keep the
impoverished middle classes borrowing and spending to give them the illusion of
prosperity and stop them from revolting.
I believe the Fed and Bank of England, in particular,
were wholly complicit in this ‘daylight robbery’ (see
link). These unsustainable private sector, debt mountains
were transferred to the public sector in 2008 to prevent the adjustment to
the depression-era reality that the debt unwind would undoubtedly have
brought about. Yet, those debts are as unsustainable in the hands of the
public sector as they were in the private sector.
Central bank polices haven’t changed though. Print
and print and print. And if that doesn’t work, print some more. And as London
burns, the point I have always made is that the US and UK are not like Japan in
one very special way. Although Japan suffered a decade of pain it is a very
homogenous, equal society. The UK and US are not. Some readers may not know
that rioting and looting has broken out around London. While I hear the
UK politicians denounce the looters as common criminals (which of course they
are), I can’t help but think that Louis XVI in 1789 and Tsar Nicolas II in 1917
might have said the same thing.
Crikey,
Here comes the revolution. Prepare.’
The Fed didn’t announce a new policy. And despite
what some press reports said, it didn’t even commit to keeping rates low; all
it did was say that if the economy stays weak, rates will stay low — well, duh
— and that it might think about doing other stuff one of these days.
Tyler Durden is amazed:
Following a 600 point plunge in the DJIA yesterday,
today we see a 400 point surge following the presentation of the weak case of
the expected Bernanke Put. And completing the amazement, the 10 Year bond,
moved to almost record lows, and then retraced virtually the entire move, as
nobody knows what central planning has in store for America any longer.
Additionally, after being up 50%, VIX is now down 22%. Congratulations Ben: in
taking central planning to nth double-down levels, you have now
broken not only the stock, but the bond market as well…’
The 10
Most Indebted Governments in the World
http://wallstcheatsheet.com/stocks/the-10-most-indebted-governments-in-the-world.html
‘…Coming in first place is Japan (NYSE:EWJ),
with a whopping $13.795 trillion in debt, just short of the the $14.27 trillion
in debt the U.S. carries .. Coming in second against Japan in terms of its
debt-to-GDP ratio is Greece, where debt is a relatively low 139% of GDPHot
Feature: Who Owns U.S. Debt? Following Greece on the
list is Italy (NYSE:EWI), then Iceland, Belgium, Ireland, and the U.S. So
why isn’t Japan enduring the same kind of financial crisis that so many
countries with significantly less debt are currently facing? The answer is
simple: Japan owes most of its debt to itself. In comparison, the U.S. owes
about 30% of its debt to foreign investors, with China (NYSE:FXI)
holding $1.1 billion in U.S. debt, more than any other country…’
Fear Index VIX Up 50%, And In Backwardation, Confirms Fully Fledged
Bear Market Volatility
slapped markets in the face on Monday, surging 50% in its biggest one-day move
since February 2007. Furthermore, the whole VIX futures curve has been
inverted and is in backwardation, indi...
The Entire
World Is Going Bear Market Business Insider | A scary aspect of this
selloff: There’s nowhere safe.
8 More Reasons Why You Should Be Deeply Concerned That
The U.S. Government Has Lost Its AAA Credit Rating The Economic
Collapse | Are you ready for part two of the global financial collapse? When we
examine this “deal” that way, what does it look like? The
Economic Collapse Aug 9, 2011 ‘Are you ready for part two of the
global financial collapse? Many now fear that we may be on the verge of a
repeat of 2008 after the events of the last several days. On Friday,
Standard & Poor’s stripped the U.S. government of its AAA credit rating for
the first time in history. World financial markets had been anticipating
a potential downgrade, but that still didn’t stop panic from ensuing as this
week began. On Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped
634.76 points, which represented a 5.5 percent plunge. It was the largest
one day point decline and the largest one day percentage decline since December
1, 2008. Overall, stocks have fallen by about 15 percent over the past
two weeks. When Standard & Poor’s downgraded long-term U.S.
government debt from AAA to AA+, it was just one more indication that faith in
the U.S. financial system is faltering. Previously, U.S. government debt
had a AAA rating from S&P continuously since 1941, but now that streak is
over. Nobody is quite sure what comes next. We truly are in
unprecedented territory. But one thing is for sure – there is a lot of
fear in the air right now.So exactly what caused S&P to downgrade U.S.
government debt?Well, it was the debt ceiling deal that broke the camel’s back.According to S&P, the
debt ceiling deal “falls short of what, in our view, would be necessary to
stabilize the government’s medium-term debt dynamics.”As I have written about
previously, the debt ceiling deal was a complete and
total joke, and S&P realized this.Forget all of the huge figures that the
mainstream media has been throwing at you concerning this debt ceiling
deal. The only numbers that matter are for what happens before the next
election.The only way that the current debt ceiling deal will last beyond the
2012 election is if Obama is still president, the Democrats still control the
Senate and the Republicans still control the House. If any of those
things change, this deal ceiling deal is dead as soon as the election is
over.Even if all of those things remain the same, there is still a very good
chance that we would see dramatic changes to the deal after the next
election.So in evaluating this “deal”, the important thing is to look at what
is going to happen prior to the 2012 election.Well, Barack Obama and the
Democrats get the debt ceiling raised by over 2 trillion dollars and will not
have to worry about it again until after the 2012 election.The Republicans get
25 billion dollars in “savings” from spending increases that will be
cancelled.The “Super Congress” that is supposed to be coming up with the second
phase of the plan may propose some additional “spending cuts” that would go
into effect before the 2012 election, but that seems unlikely.So in the final
analysis, the Democrats won the debt ceiling battle by a landslide.25 billion
dollars is not even 1 percent of the federal budget. The U.S. national debt continues to spiral wildly out of
control, and our politicians could not even cut the budget by one
percent.Somehow our politicians believed that the rest of the world would be
convinced that they were serious about cutting the budget, but it turns out
that global financial markets are tired of getting fooled.It has gotten to the
point where now even the big credit rating agencies are being forced to do
something. Not that they really have much credibility left.
Everyone still remembers all of those AAA-rated mortgage-backed securities that
imploded during the last financial crisis. The reality is that the big
credit rating agencies are a bad joke at this point.Several smaller credit
rating agencies have already significantly slashed the credit rating of the
U.S. government. But a lot of pressure had been put on the “big three” to
keep them in line.But now things have gotten so ridiculous that S&P felt
forced to make a move.Sadly, our politicians are still trying to maintain the
charade that everything is okay. Barack
Obama says that financial markets “still believe our credit is AAA and the
world’s investors agree”.Once again, Barack Obama is dead wrong.The truth is
that the credit rating for the U.S. government should have been slashed
significantly a long time ago. This move by S&P was way, way
overdue.Moody’s might be the next one to issue a downgrade. At the
moment, Moody’s says that it will not be downgrading U.S. debt for now, but
Moody’s also says that it has serious doubts about the
enforceability of the “budget cuts” in the debt ceiling deal.This crisis is
just beginning. It is going to play out over time, and it is going to be
very messy.The following are 8 more reasons why you should be deeply concerned
that the U.S. government has lost its AAA credit rating….
#1 The U.S. dollar and U.S. government debt are at the
very heart of the global financial system. This credit rating downgrade
just doesn’t affect the United States – it literally shakes the financial
foundations of the entire world.
#2 As the stock market crashes, investors are flocking
to U.S. Treasuries right now. However, once the current panic is over the
U.S. could be faced with increased borrowing costs. The credit rating
downgrade is a signal to investors that they should be receiving a higher rate
of return for investing in U.S. government debt. If interest rates on
U.S. government debt do end up going up, that is going to make it more
expensive for the U.S. government to borrow money. The higher interest on
the national debt goes, the more difficult it is going to become to balance the
budget.
#3 We could literally see hundreds of other credit
rating downgrades now that long-term U.S. government debt has been
downgraded. For example, S&P has already slashed the credit ratings
of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac from AAA to AA+. S&P has also already begun to
downgrade the credit ratings of states and municipalities. Nobody is
quite sure when we are going to see the dominoes stop falling, and this is not
going to be a good thing for the U.S. economy.
#4 10-year U.S. Treasuries are the basis for a whole
lot of other interest rates throughout our economy. If we see the rate
for 10-year U.S. Treasuries go up significantly, it will suddenly become a lot
more expensive to get a car loan or a home loan.
#5 The current financial panic caused by this downgrade
is hitting financial stocks really hard. The big banks led the decline
back in 2008, and it looks like it might be happening again. Just check
out what CNN says happened to
financial stocks on Monday….
Financial stocks were among the hardest hit, with
Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) plunging 20%, and Citigroup (C, Fortune 500)
and Morgan Stanley (MS, Fortune 500) dropped roughly 15%.
#6
China is freaking out. China’s official news
agency says that China “has every right now to demand the United States to
address its structural debt problems and ensure the safety of China’s dollar
assets”. If China starts dumping U.S. government debt that would make
things a lot worse.
#7
There are already calls for the Federal Reserve to step in and do
something. If the U.S. economy drops into another recession, will we see
more quantitative easing? It seems like we have reached a point where the
Fed is constantly in “emergency mode”.
#8
The U.S. national debt continues to get worse by the day. Just check out
what economics
professor Laurence J. Kotlikoff recently told NPR….
“If you add up all the promises that have been made
for spending obligations, including defense expenditures, and you subtract all
the taxes that we expect to collect, the difference is $211 trillion. That’s
the fiscal gap”
Dick Cheney once said that “deficits don’t matter”,
but the truth is that all of the debt we have been piling up for decades is now
catching up with us.The United States is in such a huge amount of financial
trouble that it is hard to put into words. The days of easy borrowing for
the U.S government are starting to come to an end. We have been living in
the greatest debt bubble in the history of the world, and it has fueled a
tremendous amount of “prosperity”, but now the party is ending.
A whole lot of financial pain is on the
horizon. Please prepare for the hard times that are coming.’
Don't
Fall For The Market's Head Fakes at Forbes David Trainer ‘The
market decline experienced thus far is closer to its beginning rather than
its end. Tuesday’s refreshing market rise was likely just a flash in
the pan.
There is nothing
that politicians or regulators can do to prevent the natural price discovery
that is critical to the long-term health of our capitalist system.
The market
needs to go down again before it can sustain any future rise.
We simply
must deal with the loads of toxic and mis-allocated capital that our profligate
society has created over the past 20+ years.
Allow me to
explain how we got ourselves in this situation. The figure below highlights
the three successive stock market bubbles in just over 10 years. Compare
the size of these bubbles and the rise in stock prices over the last 25 years
compared to the prior 65 years. A simple trendline further accentuates
just how much stock prices have appreciated compared to historical
trends.
Figure
1: Historically Enormous Stock Market Bubbles Keep Coming Back
http://blog.newconstructs.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/figure1.jpg
Sources:
New Constructs, LLC and Ibbotson Ibbotson, 2010 Ibbotson Stocks, Bonds,
Bills and Inflation Valuation Yearbook, (Chicago: Morning Star, 2008),
228–229. *Large Cap Stocks as defined by Ibbotson are the best comparison
for the S&P 500, which did not exist as it does today in 1926.
I am not suggesting
that stock prices should revert to the long-term trendline. I fully appreciate
the accelerating pace of innovation realized by our society and its
impact on standards of living and improved utilization of resources.
There is no
question that we live in unprecedented times of prosperity and wealth creation.
And technology holds great promise for the future achievement of mankind and
will drive improvement in the standards of living around the world.
The problem
is that we have gotten ahead of ourselves. By how much, I am not sure. But I
am sure that we are due a (lasting) correction in the stock market, and the
longer that correction is put off, the more painful it will be.
To illustrate,
let’s review what drove the last two market bubbles.
Now, let’s review what happened after these bubbles burst.
See the response pattern? See how it affected the
markets?
It is as if the bubbles never burst. Game back on.
Like a high-school party, the music stops and everyone is quiet when the cops
show up. Someone convinces the cops that nothing unscrupulous is going on
and all will be calm and quiet. Then, as soon as the cop car is out of sight,
the music gets turned back on and the party goes harder.
What will be the response to the third bubble that
is forming?
That is the question that I think the market is
finally facing. The answer is not the same as before.
The government has run out of stimulus and policy
bullets.
Really, what else can politicians and regulators
do to engineer a soft landing, or should I say, another bubble.
Figure 1 shows that we never really landed. We
rocketed from one bubble to the next.
Let’s take a look at the options available via the
two main forces for stimulating economic recovery:
So, who is going to bail us out this time?
My overriding message is that no one should have
bailed us out to begin with. The longer we avoid the painful process of deleveraging
and returning to a more deliberate and rational mode of capital allocation,
the more we delay the inevitable. The more we shift the blame for our financial
mistakes to the public sector, the deeper the hole we must dig out of.
Which brings me to the next point: shifting responsibility
to the public sector, i.e. government, presents some very serious problems
and headwinds for future growth:
Until we allow the natural price discovery that
unfettered markets are designed to provide, we continue to subsidize
unproductive investments. And the longer we subsidize unproductive
investments, the more wealth (and jobs) we destroy in the present and in the
future.
Sure, it feels better when the stock market skyrockets,
bank accounts are fat, growth is strong and the financial future is bright.
Wasn’t that what we got in the 1990s, then again in the first decade of this
century?
It cannot go on forever. Consider how much the
housing bubble was driven by too much borrowing? Though financing might
be cheap and easy to get for extended periods of time, there is not an infinite
supply.
At its core, borrowing is simply a method of cashing
in today on future earnings. The more we borrow against future earnings, the
less we have in the future.
Using borrowed funds to subsidize unproductive
investments only compounds and accelerates wealth destruction.
Keynesian policies can be successful in certain
situations and for limited amounts of time, but they cannot be sustained
infinitely. Borrowing and spending by the government can help the economy
survive a soft patch or decrease the depth of a recession, but it does not
fix the underlying capital allocation problem.
Keynesian economic policies are patches to economic
problems, not fixes. If extended for too long, they only make matters worse.
Before the housing bubble, the government was levered
to the hilt. After the housing bubble, consumers are also levered to the
hilt. Both are struggling to balance their checkbooks.
So who is left to bail us out? Only two potential
candidates: American corporations and foreign countries.
A quick survey of the status of the other major economic
powers is not exactly inspiring. China is slowing growth to fight its inflation
problems. The European Unions, well, they have their own problems. Japan is
not exactly prospering. In general, there are few, if any, global economic
bright spots. None are large enough to bail out anyone.
There are many bright spots in corporate America.
Companies like Apple (AAPL-very attractive rating), Google (GOOG-very attractive rating), Microsoft (MSFT-very attractive rating) and many others
are as profitable as ever. Their returns on capital rank among the very best
in the world. They are shining examples of capital realizing its highest
and best use. For the country as a whole, cash flow returns on assets are near
all-time highs. Much of the recent profits, however, have come at the expense
of the consumer as wages have grown much more slowly than profits.
Then, there are the banks. US banks recently enjoyed
the largest bailout in the history of the world. Further, their profit margins
have been subsidized by sustained low interest rates. And yet, they are
lending little money.
Is the problem that banks do not want to lend or
that there are not enough borrowers?
I think the answer is both. Many banks are still carrying
a great deal of toxic assets. With so much risk already on their balance
sheet, they cannot afford to take on more.
As for borrowers, the uncertain tax, regulatory
and economic outlooks are not exactly enticing entrepreneurs, small and
large businesses to take risk.
To summarize, there is no one left to bail us out
this time.
So, what happens next? We buckle down and face the
long hard road to true, not artificially subsidized recovery.
We recognize facts:
In the meantime, the stock market and economic
activity will continue to suffer. No pain no gain.’
Stock
Market Slide Is the Latest Blow to the Middle ClassThe Daily Ticker Peter Gorenstein
‘Stocks resumed their decline on Wednesday -- the third big drop in the last
five trading days. The Dow
Jones Industrial Average closed down 520 points, or 4.6%. The S&P 500 fell 4.4% to close
at 1,121, while the Nasdaq
was taken down more than 101 points to the end the day at 2,381.In other words,
Tuesday's gains, in which the Dow jumped 430 points, are a distant
memory.Stocks are on track for their worst monthly drop since after the Lehman
Brothers bankruptcy in the fall of 2008. After making steady gains in their
401(k) plans since then, average Americans are once again falling further
behind on their retirement goals. The recent drop in the market is making
headlines, but as Aaron Task and the Breakout team discuss in this clip, it's
by no means the only economic hardship facing the middle class -- it's just the
latest. Here are some other headlines you might have missed while you were
watching your portfolio shrink over the last few days.
HORRIFIC
HOUSING MARKET
Existing home
sales fell 2.8%
in the second quarter compared to a year ago, according to the National
Association of Realtors. The number of home sales is also off, falling 5.4%
from the previous quarter and is down almost 13% compared to the sometime last
year. At this rate the housing market will continue to be a drag on the
economy.
BACKDOOR
BAILOUT FOR BANKS
Meanwhile, as
homeowner pain reaches new heights, it appears banks continue to receive
favorable treatment from the government. The
Wall Street Journal reports Fannie Mae -- essentially a government entity
(that by the way continues to receive billions in taxpayer aid each quarter) --
just spent $500 million to buy the servicing rights to a Bank of America (BAC) portfolio of
"seven million loans still causing the most problems." That's what
they call a backdoor bailout.Speaking of Bank of America, the stock continued
to mirror the pattern of steep sell-offs and furious rallies seen in the
broader market. This time, shares of BofA were down 10.9% to $6.77. A
conference call held by CEO Brian Moynihan with investors, led by Fairholme's
Bruce Berkowitz, didn't help the bank's cause. According to a summary
of the call in the WSJ, Moynihan pushed back against those who would
question how he has performed while leading the company, and he said BofA would
not part ways with brokerage firm Merrill Lynch. Additionally, he said there
weren't "many days when I get up and think positively about the
Countrywide transaction in 2008."BofA bought the big mortgage firm during the
2008 credit crisis, and it has been responsible for a gigantic financial drag
on the firm in the time since.
FED'S
FOLLY
The Federal
Reserve on Tuesday said it will keep interest rates "exceptionally
low" through the middle of 2013. That and the possibility of more
quantitative easing may eventually reflate assets -- a good thing for stock
portfolios. The problem is the Fed's reaction to the crisis has and will
continue to do little to improve real economic conditions, such as stubbornly
high unemployment, which remains at 9.1% more than two years after the
financial crisis. And, for those able to save some money, the low interest
rates aren't rewarding your bank accounts. Add it all up, and unfortunately
there's little to feel good about.’
Dow
jumps 4 percent as markets rebound A volatile day on Wall Street ends with
a last-minute rally that pared some of Monday’s historic losses and shrugged
off an uncertain outlook from the Fed.
(Washington Post) [ ‘Shrugged off’? So that’s what those lightning fast
computer manipulated buy programs are for. Who woulda’ thunk it? After all,
it’s not as if ‘Atlas Shrugged’ in this decimated, collapsing economy of this
pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt american nation / economy. Oh pshaw …
that was just fiction; ask former ‘objectivist’ Ayn Rand afficionado ‘senile
alan greenspun’ who recommends gettin’ those Weimar dollar printing presses
rollin’ at warp speed which has in large part helped to get the nation rollin’
to this forlorn point. Well, ‘senile alan greenspun’ can always say he was
really meant to be that ‘cobol programmer’ that he was and was meant to
be. The
frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined,
and disgorgement imposed! What changed from
yesterday which warranted a more than 600 point plunge with paper stocks still
over-valued and a 545 bounce off of afternoon lows? Nothing! Absolutely
nothing, yet a manipulated computer-programmed churn-and-earn suckers’ rally
based on fraud and b***s*** alone to keep suckers suckered, which makes for an
especially great opportunity to sell / take profits since there’s much, much
worse to come! Famed economist predicts
economic calamity in 2012. See the evidence.Newsmax http://w3.newsmax.com/a/aftershockb/video.cfm?promo_code=CA79-1 50%
unemployment, 90% stock market drop, 100% inflation. See the Evidence (Newsmax.com)
3
Reasons Markets Rallied After Initial Jobless Claims Fell Below 400K Wall
St. Cheat Sheet August 11, 2011, ‘Markets
closed up on Wall Street today: Dow +3.90% , S&P +4.59% , Nasdaq +4.69% ,
Oil +3.22% , Gold -1.54% .
On the
commodities front, Oil climbed to $85.56 a barrel, while precious metals
declined, with Gold falling to $1,756.90 an ounce and Silver down 1.57% to
$38.87 an ounce.
Don’t
Miss: The 10
Most Indebted Governments in the World.
Today’s
markets were up because:
1) Jobless
claims. Initial
unemployment benefits claims fell below the 400,000-mark for the first time
last week in nearly four months, a mark that is very important because anything
below it means the market is growing — that more jobs are being created than
eliminated. The last time weekly initial jobless claims were below 400,000 was
April. The news is a positive follow up to Friday’s Labor Department report
that had the economy adding 117,000 jobs in July, and would seem to prove that
the economy is slowly but surely beginning to improve, despite so much recent
evidence to the contrary.
2) Italy. The
economies and markets of Europe and the U.S. are inextricably linked, or at
least have been of late. One’s sovereign debt crisis is felt by all, another’s
downgrade is felt overseas — such has been the case for months, with U.S.
stocks tending to mirror European stocks, which get an earlier start on the
day, but also vice versa. Today, CNBC reported that Italy might place a ban on “naked” short
selling, in which investors sell a financial instrument without first borrowing
it. The news relieved some stress on the country’s markets, and ultimately
European stocks finished higher, despite the weight of France’s increasing
deficit, and worries that the second-largest euro-zone economy could be in
danger of a downgrade.
3) Cisco.
After a better-than-expected earnings report, Cisco Systems led networking and telecom hardware stocks in strongly
outperforming the Nasdaq. Among some of the biggest gainers were Cavium Inc. ,
JDS Uniphase , and NetLogic Microsystems , all climbing over 11% today.
BONUS: Here’s
Why Gold is the Commodity Above All Others.’
AAII
Sentiment Survey: Investors Remain Averse to Stocks Wall St. Cheat
Sheet
Not all
insider buying is created equal — Reformed Broker
Is there
enough money to save the world’s banks? — Jonathan Weil at Bloomberg
Warren Buffett
is issuing bonds and buying stocks — Fortune
US births
declined in 2010 — Calculated Risk
Efficient
markets in action — Paul Krugman
Consumers now
need Treasury approval on all purchases over $50 — The Onion
Report:
Mutual Fund Outflows In July Most Since End Of 2008 at
Barrons.com
THE
STOCK ROLLER COASTER GOES UP: Here's What You Need To Know Business
Insider Gus Lubin, August 11, 2011, ‘Another
explosive movement for stocks, this time upward. But first, the scoreboard:
Dow: +423 NASDAQ: +112 S&P: +52 [Note: This Closing Bell was delayed due to technical difficulties.] And now,
the top stories:
Analysis
of Financial Terrorism in America David DeGraw | The
Economic Elite are overreaching and their empire is collapsing.
Dollar
at lowest against Swiss Franc in 40 years Bloomberg |
Federal Reserve pledged to keep its key interest rate at a record low at least
through mid-2013.
Futures fall after
snap-back rally Reuters
| U.S. stock index futures fell on Wednesday after a sharp snap-back rally in
the last session.
NYT
Reports Eurowide Short Selling Ban Imminent Zero Hedge| Proving once again
the nobody ever learns from the past.
Most
Americans can’t afford a $1,000 emergency expense CNN | When the unexpected
strikes, most Americans aren’t prepared to pay for it.
Yuan
Climbs to 17-Year High Against the Dollar Fion Li | The yuan strengthened
beyond 6.4 per dollar for the first time in 17 years.
The Stock Market
Crash Of 2011? The Economic Collapse | How far does the stock market have
to go down before we officially call it a crash?
Global
markets plunge again on debt fears The Dow falls 520 points, and on Asian
and European markets, trepidation about the health of Europe’s financial firms
overtook concerns about the slow pace of the U.S. economic recovery. (Washington Post) [ Debt fears? Is that all?
If it was only debt fears things could at least be slightly less than hopelessly
dismal. Far more is worthy of substantial concern and quite simply, those paper
(stock) markets worldwide are overinflated, overloved, and substantially
overvalued. The now ubiquitous ‘Weimar’ strategies of late of predominantly
pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt american origin haved been embraced and
adopted globally to the substantial detriment of all but the few frauds, the
spun beneificiaries of such failed, fraudulent folley. The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally
prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed! This is still a great opportunity to sell / take profits
since there’s much, much worse to come! Why
You Shouldn't Buy Into This Plunge Forbes/O'Neil‘The market is
building momentum to the downside’. Tuesday, Aug.9,2011: what changed from yesterday which
warranted a more than 600 point plunge with paper stocks still over-valued and
a 545 bounce off of afternoon lows? Nothing! Absolutely nothing, yet a
manipulated computer-programmed churn-and-earn suckers’ rally based on fraud
and b***s*** alone to keep suckers suckered, which makes for an especially
great opportunity to sell / take profits since there’s much, much worse to
come! Famed economist predicts economic
calamity in 2012. See the evidence.Newsmax
http://w3.newsmax.com/a/aftershockb/video.cfm?promo_code=CA79-1 50%
unemployment, 90% stock market drop, 100% inflation. See the Evidence (Newsmax.com) ‘Robert Wiedemer’s new book,
“Aftershock: Protect Yourself and Profit in the Next Global Financial Meltdown,”
quickly is becoming the survival guide for the 21st century. And Newsmax’s
eye-opening Aftershock Survival Summit video, with exclusive interviews and
prophetic predictions, already has affected millions around the world — but not
without ruffling a few feathers. [ The instant video
on the economic / financial collapse from Stansberry and Associates is so well
researched and succinctly
presented that I’ve archived same on my
website;
also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views
I’ve presented on my site which I believe to be correct. This is a must-view,
must-see that I strongly recommend!
The complete url:
http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv ( 146mb – approx. 1
hr. 17 min. ) http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.mp4 ( 374mb
) Written text of
presentation (without pictures /
charts)] [A lot of pre-election
year obfuscation, manipulation but the debacle is already here: Harry Dent, Jr. Economy will be in a
Depression by 2011
Dow will Fall to 3,800 –
4,500 by 2012
Nasdaq will Fall Below
1,100, its 2002 low, by late 2010 or mid-2012 at the latest.
U.S. Dollar will Decline
Housing will Decline by 40
– 60% from Today’s Levels
Greatest Economic and
Banking Crisis since the 1930s will Occur Between 2010 and 2012). Dow
1000? Robert Prechter Thinks So
Prechter
Reiterrates Call For Dow 1,000, Even As Surging Gold And Plunging Dollar Leave
Much Credibility To Be Desired Bulls Go to Extremes: Don't Buy the "Breakout",
Sell It, Prechter Says Russell:
This Is One Of The Largest Tops In Stock Market History My old friend, Bob Prechter, is talking about Dow 400. I
used to think this was an absurd joke. I no longer think it’s a joke. The
ultimate result will be a primary bear market shocking in duration and extent.
…’ Forecasts
from Dent, Napier, and then Prechter: Depression
is Imminent The Dow Jones Industrial Average will go down to at least 1000,
most likely to below 777 which was the starting point of its mania back in
August 1982, and quite likely drop below 400 at one or more times during the
bear market.
Is
debt downgrade an alarm bell for U.S.? (Washington Post) [ Do bears s*** in the woods? Is the Pope
Catholic? Is this question some kind of a joke? I mean, duh! Ya think? I mean,
if it isn’t, what could be? After all, this was long in the making and the
pressures applied to preclude this long overdue downgrade were substantial.
Yet, this mild slap on the wrist was at once, charitable and a gift inasmuch as
reality warrants far worse. 8 More Reasons Why You Should Be Deeply Concerned That
The U.S. Government Has Lost Its AAA Credit Rating The Economic
Collapse ‘… #8 The U.S. national debt continues to get worse
by the day. Just check out what economics
professor Laurence J. Kotlikoff recently told NPR….“If you
add up all the promises that have been made for spending obligations, including
defense expenditures, and you subtract all the taxes that we expect to collect,
the difference is $211 trillion. That’s the fiscal gap” ..’ Previous: Is this
some parallel universe where unfounded criticism is levied at S&P for the
downgrade when they’ve actually cut the pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt
disunited states a break by not rating what america truly is; viz., junk status
for the paper / liabilities / obligations that cannot and will not be paid (or
the equivalent vis-à-vis what would be in worse than evermore worthless Weimar
dollars or some other ‘ponzi-like’ subterfuge, obfuscation). The amounts are
insurmountable going forward. They point to Moody’s and Fitch; yet, let’s not
kid ourselves, S&P is the ‘800 pound gorilla’ in this world among rating
agencies and moody’s, fitch have substantially diminished themselves as
entities consistent with their ‘mission and purpose’ and as well, their
credibility. I mean, come on! Consider the pressure that was and continues to
be applied. Moody’s and fitch, quite frankly, folded. China’s rating agency has
already downgraded u.s. paper and they’re ‘holding’ (huge amounts of that u.s.
junk); and hence, against their own interest. Wake up!
National / World
NATO
Massacres of Civilians Aimed at “Cleansing” the Libyan People’s Resistance Mahdi
Darius Nazemroaya | Photographic evidence of NATO war crimes.
NATO
urged to investigate civilian deaths during Libya air strikes Amnesty
International | Amnesty International wrote to the NATO Secretary
General asking for clarification on incidents in which unarmed civilians were
reportedly killed.
Pentagon
Caught Lying: SEAL Team 6 Wasn’t On a Rescue Mission Federal Jack
| CNN piece exposes another lie in the official story about SEAL Team 6′s
demise.
A
National Debt Of $14 Trillion? Try $211 Trillion NPR | $14
trillion is just the tip of the iceberg.
Legendary
Investor Jeremy Grantham: America is a Banana Republic Washington’s
Blog | Just different bananas perhaps? [ Of course this is absolutely
true! And not just from the meaningfully lawless perspective – I had made such
a statement on the record in a LA Superior Court Appellate Dept. proceeding in
which said court literally ignored the law (the same is true of the costly,
plushly accoutered lifetime appointee federal courts) which courts should
indeed be abolished in these difficult economic / budgetary times.
Additionally, from pervasive corruption, to debased over-printed currency, to
gunboat diplomacy, to total incompetence, etc., america is indeed a banana
republic at most.
Gallup:
Disapproval of Obama Ties All-Time High CNS News |
American’s approval of President tied its all-time low of 42 percent.
Democrats
want a bolder Obama The president’s allies are getting nervous about what
they see as the lack of a coherent strategy. (Washington Post) [ Well, tell it
to the teleprompter. Without a head per se, at least no one could say as with ‘wobama
the b’ (for b***s***) that the teleprompter was in over its head. Bolder
b***s*** is still b***s***! ]
Gallup:
Disapproval of Obama Ties All-Time High CNS News |
American’s approval of President tied its all-time low of 42 percent.
Taliban
who downed U.S. copter killed U.S. officials say Taliban fighters who shot
down a helicopter with 30 U.S. troops were killed in airstrikes (Washington
Post) [ Oh come on! The Taliban don’t even know who among them downed the u.s.
killer copter! Great propaganda, ‘u.s. gi’s always get their man’. Doesn’t
anyone get tired of their endless b***s*** in their end run to the end? After
all, the nation is defacto bankrupt in large part as a direct consequence of
these ‘military-industrio-inferiority-complex’ follies / welfare warfare
programs. Then there’s the cocomitant typical skullduggery which includes inter
alia:
Same
ritual, a changed president This time, President Obama traveled to Dover
Air Force Base to greet the remains of Americans he had ordered to Afghanistan
himself. Some
victims of crash are identified (Washington Post) [ Changed? I think we could all agree that
despite campaign promises to the contrary, nothing’s changed; except,
pervasively corrupt defacto bankrupt america is more hopelessly bankrupt and
the dismal economic picture has become more dour.
FLASHBACK:
Eyewitness to OBL Raid Saw Helicopter Explode (TRANSCRIPT) [ As
indicated on this albertpeia.com website, I didn’t buy the administration’s
desperate and politically opportunist Osama event and still don’t buy it; and
further, I believe this! ]Veterans Today | TRANSCRIPT of
critical interview with Pakistani eyewitness to Bin Laden raid. Is this the key
to SEAL Team 6′s demise?
“Bin Laden”
Heroes Probably Murderered to Keep Them Quiet Gordon Duff
Veterans
Today August 7, 2011 | Some Possibly Killed in Abbottabad Helicopter
Crash Months Before. [ As indicated on this albertpeia.com website, I didn’t
buy the administration’s desperate and politically opportunist Osama event and
still don’t buy it; and further, I believe this! ] Today 31 NATO troops, 20 of
them Navy Seals from the Osama bin Laden operation died in what is reported as
a helicopter crash in Afghanistan.
‘The chance of
this story being true is almost nil. The chances of this being a staged coverup
is over 80%. We believe these people were murdered to silence them. This is
why.
We have solid
information on two areas:
This gave the US several areas of severe vulnerability.
Generally, Navy Seals are the best people in the world at keeping their mouths
shut, these are real team players, as the term “Seal Team” belies.
Petraeus is a possible presidential contender and had
to be denied this “gift from heaven,” a fast track to the oval office for sure.
Again, I
remind you, I went over specific meetings on bin Laden with his handlers,
getting every last detail. I have watched what has gone on, the continuing need
to vilify a long dead top CIA operative to provide residual cover for the Bush
administration…
The reason?
Bush and his cronies are all facing charges of war crimes, not just in minor
jurisdictions but heading for the ICC, putting them on the dock with Gaddafi (
a far less harmful character).
As for the
timing of this incident? This we will work on. What we can easily surmise is
that some of the dead have been dead since their bodies were taken away from
the helicopter crash site in Abbotabad.
Who would
order such a thing? We are going to have to wait but we are going to find out.
However, we expected this, the timing is exactly as predicted. Read full
article ‘
Tea
Party hypocrisy Fueled by populist anger, but hijacked by plutocrats.
(Washington Post) [ Ah, sweet Mr. Milbank. His love for wobama knows no bounds.
Yet, given the choice between hypocrisy and inveterate lying, assuming
arguendo, Mr. Milbank’s premise to be true (doubtful and I think most would say
no), most would take hypocrisy any day. By now, most have realized that at best
wobama’s a b***s*** artist, and at worst, an incorrigible liar; certainly as
measured by his campaign promises that got him elected, belied by his actions.
If Mr. Milbank had only said the nation’s been hijacked by plutocrats to whom
wobama’s paid homage, I’d certainly agree in part. After all, there has been
and continues a huge wealth transfer at the expense and to the detriment of the
middle class, to the substantial benefit of the ‘plutocrats’ who in america are
of that small percentile criminal class for whom everyone else must (and must
be) sacrifice(d), ie., the wall street frauds, military industrial complex,
government contractors, etc.. And, yet another casualty … if wobama’s
peace-prize is not revoked, then that ignoble nobel thing should be disbanded
for lack of credibility and moral compass.
Deal
fails to soothe foreign critics
(Washington Post) { Let’s not kid outselves! I consider Russia a
rational, great nation (their painful, yet peaceful transition from their
mistake is a testament to their greatness as a people / nation and Gorbachev
particularly – China’s recent success is as far from communism as can be
imagined) and have high regard for Putin though lamenting his youthful, albeit
inherited indiscretion (kind of like that Tiger hunt which he’s now wisely
disavowed) in dabbling in the failed system of communism (the great lie where
everybody’s equal except some are more equal than others, ie., party members,
bureaucrats, etc., kind of like america today with the addition of the
plutocratic wealthy thieves, criminals, frauds, etc.). That said, most of these
so-called ‘foreign critics’ fall predominantly into either of two categories;
viz., ‘pots calling the kettle black’, or ‘enablers’. Putin
Calls U.S. a “Parasite,” Demands New Reserve Currency Activist Post The
powerless president Obama remains
indecisive, and ignored, as larger forces bring down the country. Robinson:
S&P downgrades the GOP (Washington Post) [ Riiiiight! It’s everything but ‘wobama the b’
(for b***s***) that’s to blame for the nation’s meltdown according to wobama
aficionados / intractable wobama apologists, Messieurs Milbank and Robinson.
Sweet Mr. Milbank even points to wobama’s personal character flaws (among many
unmentioned) to exculpate the failed president wobama. Wobama’s failed
miserably and yet had the easiest act in the world to follow in the persona of
fellow failed president war criminal dumbya bush whose failed policies up to
the real start of the election cycle he’s largely followed. After all, Mr.
Robinson, how different really are the parties these days when profligate
spending on illegal, unnecessary wars was continued when democrats controlled
congress, and then even the executive office when continuing failed president
and war criminal dumbya bush’s nation bankrupting, nation destroying war
policies, protection for unprecedentedly huge wall street frauds, bush tax cut
extensions for the wealthy, and then some (spending on top of it). Drudgereport: HARRY BELAFONTE: Obama 'has
failed'...
NOONAN: 'HE IS A LOSER'...
GALLUP: 40% APPROVAL...
Obama takes debt battle to
TWITTER, loses more than 33,000 followers...
FARRAKHAN: 'THAT'S A MURDERER
IN THE WHITE HOUSE'...
Most
importantly, realize that if wobama’s actions had not belied his words/campaign
promises, the nation’s position, though still ominous, would have been
substantially improved.
Dollar
down against major currencies Global investors are becoming antsy about the
dollar’s role as the currency at the core of the world’s financial system. (Washington Post) [ Antsy? At this point, if it was only just
‘antsy’ there’d be room to hope. Despite the understatement, this is now way
beyond ‘antsy’. Reality counts! For
first time, U.S. credit rating cut from AAA Standard & Poor’s announces
that it has downgraded U.S. government debt to AA+, dealing a huge symbolic
blow to the world’s economic superpower in what was a sharply worded critique
of the American political system. (Washington Post) [ Come on! Let’s get real
here! Symbolic? If it were only that. If it were only the american political
system, there’d at least be a plausible reason for hope, albeit futile even at
that. Indeed, pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, literally causing
destruction domestically and internationally, is a testament to the failure of
the american system generally, or more specifically what it has devolved into.
Whatever america was and purports to be, it certainly doesn’t take a PhD in
Poli Sci to know, ‘it ain’t that no more’. Moreover, the ‘genie’s out of the
bottle’ and try as they may, like ‘trying to put toothpaste back in the tube’,
or ‘unringing the bell’, perceptions of america will never be the same in the
most negative but realistic and factual sense; that is, beyond the propaganda,
efforts at censorship, and spin. Those ‘propaganda dogs don’t hunt no more.’ I
can further say that in america, by close observation and direct experience
(with more than sufficient representative sampling), I’ve seen and experienced
the worst of human nature; behavior so egregious so as to defy any known norms
of civilized behavior. Quite simply, there is no excuse for america! Deficits
And Stimulus Only Delay The Inevitable Collapse Bob Chapman |
America is insolvent and has been so
for a long time. US
Is in Even Worse Shape Financially Than Greece: Gross When adding in all of
the money owed to cover future liabilities in entitlement programs the US is
actually in worse financial shape than Greece and other debt-laden European
countries, Pimco’s Bill Gross told CNBC Monday. Maierhofer: ‘USA INCOME STATEMENT:Total
federal spending in 2010 amounted to $3.456 trillion. Total receipts added up
to $2.162 trillion. USA Inc.'s 2010 deficit was $1.294 trillion.The 2011
federal budget is $3.7 trillion with a projected deficit of$1.6 trillion. …USA BALANCE SHEET: Consensus estimates for
unfunded obligations vary. Mary Meeker pegs the shortfall at $31 trillion,
PIMCO's Bill Gross estimates the unreported debt to be $75 trillion, while
other estimates exceed $100 trillion (these amounts are insurmountable) …’ America’s
shine is wearing off
The
powerless president Obama remains
indecisive, and ignored, as larger forces bring down the country. Robinson:
S&P downgrades the GOP (Washington Post) [ Riiiiight! It’s everything but ‘wobama the b’
(for b***s***) that’s to blame for the nation’s meltdown according to wobama
aficionados / intractable wobama apologists, Messieurs Milbank and Robinson.
Sweet Mr. Milbank even points to wobama’s personal character flaws (among many
unmentioned) to exculpate the failed president wobama. Wobama’s failed
miserably and yet had the easiest act in the world to follow in the persona of
fellow failed president war criminal dumbya bush whose failed policies up to
the real start of the election cycle he’s largely followed. After all, Mr.
Robinson, how different really are the parties these days when profligate
spending on illegal, unnecessary wars was continued when democrats controlled
congress, and then even the executive office when continuing failed president
and war criminal dumbya bush’s nation bankrupting, nation destroying war
policies, protection for unprecedentedly huge wall street frauds, bush tax cut
extensions for the wealthy, and then some (spending on top of it). Drudgereport: HARRY BELAFONTE: Obama 'has
failed'...
NOONAN: 'HE IS A LOSER'...
GALLUP: 40% APPROVAL...
Obama takes debt battle to
TWITTER, loses more than 33,000 followers...
FARRAKHAN: 'THAT'S A MURDERER
IN THE WHITE HOUSE'...
Most
importantly, realize that if wobama’s actions had not belied his words/campaign
promises, the nation’s position, though still ominous, would have been
substantially improved.
Rubin:
Fed to the country: the economy stinks
‘…information
received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in June indicates that
economic growth so far this year has been considerably slower than the
Committee had expected. Indicators suggest a deterioration in overall labor
market conditions in recent months, and the unemployment rate has moved up.The
report adds: “The Committee now expects a somewhat slower pace of recovery over
coming quarters than it did at the time of the previous meeting and anticipates
that the unemployment rate will decline only gradually toward levels that the
Committee judges to be consistent with its dual mandate.”
(Washington Post) [ As if we didn’t know and
needed them to tell us. Don’t forget, this pre-election year is as good as it
gets; yet is as dismal as can be imagined with substantially worse to follow.
Dual Mandate? I’m surprised they had the audacity to use the term. The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally
prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed! What changed from yesterday which warranted a more than 600
point plunge with paper stocks still over-valued and a 545 bounce off of
afternoon lows? Nothing! Absolutely nothing, yet a manipulated
computer-programmed churn-and-earn suckers’ rally based on fraud and b***s***
alone to keep suckers suckered, which makes for an especially great opportunity
to sell / take profits since there’s much, much worse to come! Famed economist predicts economic calamity in 2012. See the
evidence.Newsmax http://w3.newsmax.com/a/aftershockb/video.cfm?promo_code=CA79-1 50%
unemployment, 90% stock market drop, 100% inflation. See the Evidence (Newsmax.com)
What
can the Federal Reserve do? With the U.S. economy at risk of a double-dip
recession, the central bank lacks tools to do anything. (Washington Post) [ Oh
I’d say they’ve done quite enough … wouldn’t you? … Is
Bernanke Failing His Fed Mission Or Just Delusional? at Forbes Robert Barone [ How ‘bout both! I mean, come on! This
catering to fraudulent wall street was a loser ab initio! That so-called
‘wealth effect’ market froth was used previously by senile ‘maestro’ greenspan
and failed miserably except for the frauds on wall street who commissioned up
and down; and, make no mistake, those computer-programmed high-frequency
trading volumes have now been maximized for nation-economy-draining profits for
the frauds like never before and have never been higher. The QE and
dollar-debasement policies were always predictably inflationary, ultimately
hyperinflationary, particularly for stocks; that ‘feel good’ obfuscation that
was but in reality good only for the frauds on wall street. No, there is no
modern day alchemy that spins worthless paper into gold except fraudulently for
the frauds on wall street who’ve literally oftimes done exactly that; ‘cashing
out’ for hard currency and gold, precious metals, at everyone else’s expense
including main street. ] In
his June 7 speech, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke stated, “the best way for the
Federal Reserve to support the fundamental value of the dollar in the medium
term is to pursue our dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability,
and we will certainly do that.”
.. Bernanke’s
results .. since Ben took the reins:
Feb ’06 –
April ’11
Items in a Typical Budget |
% Change |
Food and Beverages |
16.54% |
Water and sewer and trash collection services |
31.88% |
Rent of primary residence |
13.82% |
Housing |
8.68% |
Fuels and Utilities |
11.93% |
Apparel |
4.83% |
Medical Care |
20.11% |
Gasoline (all types) |
65.12% |
Transportation |
23.36% |
Tuition, other school fees, and childcare |
29.28% |
Recreation |
2.87% |
..
The standard unemployment rate most often used by the Fed is currently at 9.1%,
up 90% since Bernanke started. The more inclusive (realistic) U6 number
stands at 15.8%, up 75% in the same period. The Civilian Participation
Rate has declined 2.87% to 64.2%.
This is the
lowest level the U.S. has seen since March, 1984. The decline amounts to
8,946,844 fewer Americans in the labor force. Had they not dropped out
because of a lack of jobs, the “official” unemployment rate would be
significantly higher. While we can debate the meaning of the term maximum
employment, it is clear that the jobs data has deteriorated considerably since
Bernanke took the reins at the Fed. ..
In conclusion,
it is evident that Ben Bernanke is failing his mandates. We believe it must
come down to one of the following reasons:
1.
Bernanke does not know how to achieve his mandates;
2.
The policy tools employed don’t work;
3.
He does not have the ability to implement policies that would work;
4.
He is not trying to achieve his mandates;
5.
He has goals other than his legal mandates;
6.
He does not look at the data, and believes he is succeeding.
Matt Marcewicz
& Robert Barone, Ph.D.
.. ‘
Poll:
Sharp dissatisfaction with D.C. The public doubts the government can fix
the nation’s economic problems, Post poll shows. An
unlikely landlord: Uncle Sam
(Washington Post) [ No surprise there (the doubts)! Uncle as landlord? Sounds like a typical
scam / fiasco / debacle in the making! Add limey (brits)-looking (green) frogs
(french) to the mix(ed up) in the pervasively corrupt defacto bankrupt
disunited states Italy
unveils plan to calm fears of escalating crisis (Washington Post) [ Yeah, dem piigs were back in the news. ’ Dem PIIGS still got problems. Europe’s
debt crisis threatens Italy (WP) [ Yeah, dem’ darn PIIGS. Reminds me of that joke (I won’t repeat it
here except the punch line): ‘That’s black bart’s girl’. Pelosi:
‘We are not Greece’ ( but greecy
Italy Italians voice concern over Italian debt crisis scenario [ Whew! Close
call! There you go. Nothing to worry about now that wobama’s got a boehner … so
not to be so hard on them; if pelosi says it, it must be true … Not!
…Pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, they, she look pretty greecey
to me. After all, if the same’s wobama’s ‘far-reaching plan on debt’, we all
know ‘wobama the b’ (for b***s***) is total b***s*** which means like Greecey
PIIGS they’ll be back to the trough for more … slop … py. Deficits
And Stimulus Only Delay The Inevitable Collapse Bob Chapman |
America is insolvent and has been so
for a long time. US
Is in Even Worse Shape Financially Than Greece: Gross When adding in all of
the money owed to cover future liabilities in entitlement programs the US is
actually in worse financial shape than Greece and other debt-laden European
countries, Pimco’s Bill Gross told CNBC Monday. Maierhofer: ‘USA INCOME STATEMENT:Total
federal spending in 2010 amounted to $3.456 trillion. Total receipts added up
to $2.162 trillion. USA Inc.'s 2010 deficit was $1.294 trillion.The 2011
federal budget is $3.7 trillion with a projected deficit of$1.6 trillion. …USA BALANCE SHEET: Consensus estimates for
unfunded obligations vary. Mary Meeker pegs the shortfall at $31 trillion,
PIMCO's Bill Gross estimates the unreported debt to be $75 trillion, while
other estimates exceed $100 trillion (these amounts are insurmountable) …’ Famed
economist predicts economic calamity in 2012. See the evidence.Newsmax http://w3.newsmax.com/a/aftershockb/video.cfm?promo_code=CA79-1 Watch for fake gov’t data / reports owing
to political desperation! Why
You Shouldn't Buy Into This Plunge Forbes/O'Neil‘The market is
building momentum to the downside’. Wall
Street closes worst week since '08 with wild day NEW YORK (Reuters) S&P
on U.S. downgrade: Debt pact 'falls short' - Reuters S&P
downgrades US credit rating from AAA S&P
Shocks the U.S. with Credit Downgrade to AA+ from Prestigious AAA Rating Wall St. Cheat Sheet What
Recovery? Forbes
‘…we can’t call this a recovery. There’s no reason to celebrate when a
job report was better than expected. Why? Because the expectation was abysmal
to begin with. And while we’re at it, we can’t ignore increasing sovereign debt
problems in Europe…’ ‘Top
3 Reasons Markets Erased the Year’s Gains Wall St. Cheat Sheet 1) Japan and Europe 2) Unemployment.3)
Capital goods - billions of dollars in lost revenue. Financial
Crisis Phase II Is Ahead at Forbes Bert Dohmen ‘ In
late 2007, I wrote the book Prelude To
Meltdown,
predicting the global crisis that occurred the following year. I
now see a similar confluence of events that warns of phase II of the
global crisis… My work shows that “the new recession has started.”… Over the
past 33 years, we have called the start of every recession, often on the exact
month, or within one month, of the official start as determined one year later
by the official arbiter of recession, the National Bureau of Economic Research
(NBER)… However, inflation is far understated for political reasons. Currently,
the GDP deflator is 1.8%, which hardly reflects the true rise in prices.
Therefore, what is counted as “growth,” is actually price increases. Actual
inflation, according to free market economists who calculate inflation as it
was done in 1980 before the politician re-engineered it, is now more than 11%.
Using that to adjust GDP for inflation, would show that the economy is now in a
very sharp contraction…’FLASHBACK HERE: Selling
In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding
Remember: Sell in May and Go Away and If You’ve Not Sold by
June, You’re a Loon! ‘ ‘Albert Edwards: Thinks the Market Could Fall 70%’ [
He’s not alone! PRECHTER:
We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Stock
Market: 4 Current Warning Signs
Navin ‘…1) The
5-year high in the level of insider corporate stock sales is telling. At 565
sells for every 1 buy, it’s never been higher.
The
following is my comment to an LA Times article regarding a Justice Department cover-up!
As for your inquiry, all I think about day and night is a long overdue
resolution to the RICO litigation as set forth therein:
I believe him!
Here’s some real,
complicit cover-up / fraud on the part of the federal government, et als:
October
15, 2010 (*see infra {ultimately delivered by UPS})
Steven M. Martinez,
Assistant Director In Charge
Federal Bureau of Investigation, USDOJ
11000 Wilshire Blvd., Suite 1700
Los Angeles, CA 90024
Dear Sir:
I enclose herewith 3
copies of the within DVD rom autorun disk (which will open in your computer’s
browser) as per your office’s request as made this day (the disk and contents
have been scanned by Avast, McAfee, and Norton which I’ve installed on my
computer to prevent viral attacks / infection and are without threat). I also
include 1 copy of the DVD as filed with the subject court as referenced therein
(which files are also included on the aforesaid 3 disks in a separate folder
named ‘112208opocoan’). The (civil) RICO action (as you’re aware, the RICO Act
is a criminal statute which provides a civil remedy, including treble damages
and attorney fees, as an incentive for private prosecution of said claims
probably owing to the fact that the USDOJ seems somewhat overwhelmed and in
need of such assistance given the seriousness and prevalence of said violations
of law which have a corrupting influence on the process, and which corruption
is pervasive). A grievance complaint against Coan was also filed concurrently
with the subject action and held in abeyance pending resolution of the action
which was illegally dismissed without any supporting law and in contravention
of the Order of The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District
Connecticut. The files below the horizontal rule are the referenced documents
as filed. (Owing to the damage to the financial interests of both the U.S. and
the District of Congresswoman Roybal-Allard, viz., Los Angeles, the Qui Tam
provisions of the Federal False Claims Act probably would apply and I
would absent resolution seek to refer the within to a firm with expertise in
that area of the law with which I am not familiar).
The document in 5 pages
under penalty of perjury I was asked to forward to the FBI office in New Haven
is probably the best and most concise summary of the case RICO Summary to
FBI Under Penalty of Perjury at Their Request (5
pages) [ ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf
http://albertpeia.com/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf
].
The correspondence I
received from the Congresswoman by way of email attachment (apparent but
typical problem with my mail) along with my response thereto is included on the
3 disks as
fbicorrespondencereyes.htm . With regard to
the calls to the FBI’s LA and New Haven, CT offices: There was one call to the
LA office and I was referred to the Long Beach, CA office where I personally
met with FBI Agent Jeff Hayes to whom I gave probative evidentiary documents of
the money laundering which he confirmed as indicative of same (he was
transferred from said office within approximately a month of said meeting and
his location was not disclosed to me upon inquiry). The matter was assigned to
FBI Agent Ron Barndollar and we remained in touch for in excess of a decade
until he abruptly retired (our last conversation prior to his retirement related
to the case and parenthetically, Rudy Giuliani whose father I stated had been
an enforcer for the mob to which he registered disbelief and requested I prove
it, which I did – he served 12 years in prison, aggravated
assault/manslaughter? – and no, there is no Chinese wall of separation – Andrew
Maloney’s the one that prosecuted gotti).
In contradistinction to
the statement in said correspondence, there is a plethora of information
including evidence supporting the claims set forth in the RICO VERIFIED COMPLAINT (see
infra). Such includes and as set forth in the case, inter alia,
There is applicable insurance / surety coverage and
neither LA, nor creditors, nor I should continue to have been damaged by this
brazened corrupt and illegal scenario, which should be resolved in accordance
with the meaningful rules of law apposite thereto.
Sincerely,
Albert L. Peia
611 E. 5th Street, #404
Los Angeles, CA 90013
(213) 219-**** (cell phone)
(213) 622-3745 (listed land line but there are
unresolved problems with the line, computer connection may be the reason but I
hesitate to chance greater non-performance / worsening by their ‘fix’ so cell
phone best for contact).{recent change 323-786-6651 -magic jack}
----------
*The foregoing and as
indicated therein was previously send 9-14-10 but delivery confirmation was
flawed as set forth below and my inquiries to the u.s. postal service rebuffed
(I believe tampered with inasmuch as your office could not locate same). This
cover letter (9-13-10) is on the 3 disks with navigable hyperlinks to the
subject files for ease of reference, including the files in the RICO action as
indicated. (10-15-10) I spoke with Rose, FBI, ADIC Secretary, who indicates
once again that your office has not received the aforesaid and which can
reasonably be presumed to have been tampered with, and hence, a violation of
the federal statute concerning same. (Ultimately delivered by UPS) ]
http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf
http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target
financial fraud WP Obama
has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown. America Is a Failed State Because It Won’t Prosecute Financial
Crime Washington’s Blog / the grim economic reality
[ http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm
Rank |
|
||
# 1 |
11,877,218 |
|
|
# 2 |
6,523,706 |
|
|
# 3 |
6,507,394 |
|
UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE... ‘ignore cases that involve black
defendants and white victims ' Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target
financial fraud WP | Obama
has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.
THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv
Sincerely
and Regards,
Al
Peia
Drudgereport: TEMPLETON chairman: Financial
Crisis 'Around Corner'...
'WE ARE ON THE VERGE OF A GREAT, GREAT DEPRESSION...'
Obama Economists Admit:
'Stimulus' Cost $278,000 per Job...
GALLUP SHOCK: 'REPUBLICAN'
BEATS OBAMA BY 8%
APPROVE: 42%
Return of Mass Layoffs a Grim
Sign...
RIOTS BREAK OUT AROUND GLOBE
AMID ECONOMIC ANXIETY
Dollar Tumbles on Fed Pledge;
Swiss Franc Soars Most Since 1971...
Merkel faces revolt over
eurozone deal...
Philadelphia Implements
Strict Curfew To Combat Violent Mobs...
MAYOR TO BLACK YOUTH: 'You
have damaged your own race'...
OBAMA APPROVE HITS NEW
LOWS...
'There is something wrong
with our politics'[ Yeah! You, among many others! All those false campaign
promises, etc.! ] ...
6 YEAR OLDS CAUGHT WORKING ON
FARMS...
Thirty-year Treasury yields
rise most since 1980s...
CHICAGOLAND: State can no
longer afford to bury dead poor...
Feds Called In To Curb 'Wild
West' Violence In E. St. Louis...
REPORTS: Olympics ambassador
is London rioter!
5 more US troops
killed in Afghanistan...
SAVE THE EURO: Sarkozy,
Merkel in emergency meeting...
HYPERSONIC PLANE LOST (What
was the cost?) ...
REPORT: ENTIRE US STEALTH
FLEET GROUNDED...
OBAMA CONSIDERS BECOMING
NATIONAL LANDLORD...
Still going on vaca...
Approval: 40%...
Highest approval among
Muslims...
WRONG TRACK: 73%...
Obama Marks Ramadan with
Iftar dinner...
BANK STOCKS PLUNGE...
MOODY's warns states, local
govts...
Treasury sells 10-year notes
at record low rate...
SONY 'CLASSIFIED' BIN LADEN
MOVIE;
WHITE HOUSE REJECTS FAVORS
CLAIM
UK locks down as nights of
unrest spread...
Manchester
riots on scale not seen in 30 years...
Rioters rob people on street,
force them to strip naked...
DOW -634...
CURSED: S&P falls 6.66%
IT TANKED AS HE TALKED...
BARACKALYPSE NOW
CHINA: Dollar to Be 'Discarded' by World...
Lectures How 'Good Old Days' of Borrowing Have Ended...
NOW BUFFETT DOWNGRADED!
Tel Aviv stocks fall 7% after
USA debt downgrade...
Nikkei drops 2%...
Wall St braces...
European leaders scramble to
calm investors...
S&P: 1 in 3 chance USA
will fall ANOTHER notch!
Recession without shock
absorbers...
Gold soars above $1,700...
PRE-MARKETS... DEVELOPING...
BLOODY WEEKEND
USA DOWNGRADED: FIRST CREDIT
RATING CUT IN NATION'S HISTORY...
DETAILS [.PDF FILE]...
DEMOCRATS CALL FOR HIGHER
TAXES...
CHINA: 'Good old days' of
borrowing are over...
LONDON BURNS...
...the underclass lashes out
Violence continues...
Rioting spreads beyond
capital...
DAY 3...
Riot Hits London After Police
Shooting...
...shops looted
RAMPAGE...
Fears of more...
DOWNGRADED!
DETAILS [.PDF FILE]
FLASHBACK: 'No risk' USA will
lose its top credit rating, says Treasury's Geithner … [ Well, we all know the
powers of foresight possessed by ‘no-recession-helicopter ben’ and tiny tim
geithner ] ...
FOOD STAMPS: Record 45.8
million dependent...
One in seven Americans...
Postal Service warns it could
default…[ No surprise here .. the usps is totally unreliable! ] ...
Post Office
proposes cutting 120,000 jobs, pulling out of healthcare plan …[ Let UPS take
over the usps! ]...
Controversy over White House
'Hip-Hop BBQ'...
'Mob' beatings at WI state
fair...
'Hundreds of young black
people beating white people'... [ Typical n*****s! Good thing there are food stamps; otherwise
they’d be reverting to their inherent proclivity for canabalism (send them back
to africa … even give them a lump sum for an irrevocable repatriation incentive
… a huge cost-saving beyond the first year with substantial salutary effects
for the nation, the economy, and the remaining civilized non-blacks). The other
major crimes they do anyway. It’s their nature. You’ll never change the nigger
… they evolved only to ‘a point’ and no further. ]
Fairgoers 'pulled out of cars'...
'They were just going after
white people'...
Heightened security...
[ I refrained from using
the ‘n word’ (or even blacks / negroes) in referring to the culprits in the
following two incidents (those tender sensibilities) but I’m sure you’ve
guessed that they were niggers and I include same here in light of the
foregoing incident (and yes, the victims were white), which is typical. ‘..
while walking through Military Park (a sliver of a “park” - more a pedestrian
thoroughfare/cement walks) in newark, new jersey on the way to the bank during
lunch hour, I heard the clearly audible screams/cries of what turned out to be
an old lady on the ground with blood streaming from her mouth. I ran toward the
sound of the cries, the source of which I could not see because there were so
many people in and about this thoroughfare so as to block any vision of the
source of the cries. When I came to the woman, on the ground, blood streaming
from her mouth, I asked what happened, to which she responded she had been hit
in the mouth and knocked to the ground, her purse stolen/put inside her
shopping bag, and she pointed out the criminal casually now walking across the
main street. Nobody stopped to help her, many having passed her by. I slammed
the thug to the ground so hard that, in light of all the blood and confusion (limbic
system / adrenalin flow) I thought I had been stabbed (the blood was from his
elbows hitting the pavement so hard - no one helped / a crowd gathered / an
undercover cop happened along). When I testified at the Grand Jury Proceeding I
made sure his threat on my life was set forth in prima facie fashion so as to
maximize the DA’s position with both felonies ( he went to prison – pled out ).
The other case I wrote about here ( This was included on my website in the
Psychology forum discussion of ‘bystander effect’ / diffusion of
responsibility. ) - Having had occasion to have run down a mugger in newark,
n.j. who apparently had followed a girl from the bank on her way to the bursar
to pay tuition, though in pretty good shape, I was astounded by how totally
exhausting such a pursuit was, how much like rubber my arms were when I traded
punches with the perpetrator, and truth be told, if I had a flashlight on my
belt, I have little doubt that I would have probably used it to subdue the perp
(a police officer here in California was the object of intense criticism for
having used a flashlight to subdue a criminal
/ nigger after a long chase so I included that here) . The girl was not
that seriously injured, did get her pocketbook and tuition back, and the criminal
/ nigger went to jail (where they belong). The other thing about such a pursuit
that amazed me was that no one else assisted the girl or me despite being in a
position to do so. I was also mugged by 4 niggers and 2 hispanics in an
incident here in Los Angeles, CA. But, to be fair and balanced, the RICO
litigation involves those uncivilized who consider themselves ‘whites’ http://albertpeia.com/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf
(predominantly but not exclusively jews / romans-italians / mobsters /
government slugs). ]
DOW PLUMMETS 512...
OBAMA HAS BBQ COOKOUT...
GAINS FOR YEAR GONE...
'CORRECTION'...
PANIC RIPS THROUGH GLOBAL
MARKETS...
Intervention fails to quell
nerves...
'NOT SINCE JIMMY CARTER'...
Military money on chopping
block...
Grim economic news clouds
Obama 50th...
Two-year Treasury yield drops
to record low...
RACE TO CASH: Bank imposes
fee on rapidly growing deposits...
DEM RUNS FROM OBAMA...
Leaders Issue Warning on
Joblessness...
Woman dies from heat after AC
stolen...
San Fran tourist mugged of
money, clump of hair...
RENTER STEALS AC, SELLS FOR
GAS MONEY...
HUMAN HAIR TRADE SURGES...
Bronze Dog Statue Stolen From
Humane Society...
Thieves steal school's
bleachers!
Mom Arrested For Robbing Girl
At Gunpoint -- For Bike...
10-Year-Old Boys Held Up For
Sneakers At Summer Camp...
MOODY'S: 'NEGATIVE'
Massive rout spells trouble
for Wall St...
Europe on Brink of 'Major Financial Collapse'...
DOW PULLS OFF A WIN!
[ Based as usual on b***s*** alone! ]
Scary Chart Pattern Suggests More Selling on Way...
Economy struggles to find footing...
Obama, Bernanke out of ammo
to boost jobs, growth...
Gold at $2,000 by year-end...
MORNING AFTER: BORROWING TOPS 100% OF GDP
European leaders feel the
strain...
Berlusconi fails to stem
rising panic...
'The coming crises of
governments'...
Silent bank run hits
Greece...
...exodus
Italy under fire...
Pain in Spain...
Woes Get Messier...
DEBT DEAL BACKLASH:
LIMBAUGH: A Total Waste of
Time and Effort...
SAVAGE: America has been
'hoodwinked'...
DAILY SHOW: Where are the Tax
INCREASES?
FT: Obama's image takes
beating...
Ron Paul Sounds Alarm on
'Disturbing' Super Congress...
DER SPIEGEL: 'Civil War
Atmosphere' in Washington...
Dollar falls to all-time low
against Swiss franc...
PUTIN: USA 'parasite' on
global economy... [Unfortunately, this is very true. More unfortunately is the fact that
most worldwide don’t realize that fact! I mean, think about it: pervasively
corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s cancerous
perma wars, over-printed debased ‘Weimar’ paper ‘reserve’ currency, huge
frauds in securities and otherwise, etc..
]
House approves debt deal --
day before deadline!
Borrowing to surge after cap
raised...
May not save AAA rating...
BIDEN [‘Lobotomy Joe’]CALLS
TEA PARTY 'TERRORISTS'[ Riiiiight, ‘Lobotomy Joe’; anything you say
joe, now calm down… ]
Manufacturing drops to lowest
level in two years...
'Double Dip Here'...
RI Town Files for
Bankruptcy...
Dog Airlifted Out of National
Forest After Growing Too Tired to Finish Hike... [ Just another dog
day afternoon in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america. ]
SURVEY: Internet Explorer
users have lower IQs...
Obama Threatens
Another Veto...
Just hours after urging
compromise...
Carney Admits Obama Has No
Plan...
BALL IN YOUR COURT, HARRY[,
aka Mr. Milktoast, aka Majority Leader of Harry’s Wh*r* House]!
SWEAT CEILING: House approves
debt bill...
NO! 22 REPUBLICANS BUCKED
BOEHNER...
DC racing against clock...
HARRY BELAFONTE: Obama 'has
failed'...
NOONAN: 'HE IS A LOSER'...
GALLUP: 40% APPROVAL...
Obama takes debt battle to
TWITTER, loses more than 33,000 followers...
NYT reporter advises WH
staff?
Illegal Aliens Head South to
Mexico in Search of 'American Dream'...
4.9% unemployment in Mexico
vs. 9.4% in US...
Black Middle Class Eroding As
Unemployment Rate Soars...
CHAOS... CLOCK TICKING... NO PANIC...
THE VOTE: 'TEA PARTY' IN
CHARGE!
Boehner Delays Vote on
Debt...
Limbaugh: We've Been
Played...
GALLUP: Obama Rates Higher Than
Boehner, Reid on Debt Situation!
Ron Paul: 'Default Is
Coming'...
Treasury Contingency Plan on
Debt Gives Priority to Bondholders...
Carney: If We Have No Other Alternative We Will 'Take
Action'...
Obama faces legal bind if
time runs out...
PELOSI: 'We're Trying to Save
Life on Planet as We Know it'… [ Riiiiight! Keep feeding those perma wars
despite bankruptcy of this nation … Is life as she knows it on this planet
really death? … Why does ‘doo,doo,doo,doo’ to the tune of Twilight Zone Theme
come to mind when hearing her total b***s***?…Oh, riiiiight! She’s caught wobamanoid
fever ] ...
6 days from 'default', both
sides scrambling...
FURY OVER STALEMATE BOILS
OVER...
House Dem leader
urges Obama to raise debt ceiling without Congressional approval...
SHOCK POLL: 46% Think Most in
Congress Corrupt...
WASHPOST/ABC: Blacks,
liberals flee in droves...
SANDERS: Obama should face
primary challenger...
The Immelt Way: WH Advisor on
Jobs Moving GE X-Ray Business to China...
OBAMA SECRETLY
SIGNALS BANKS: 'NO DEFAULT'...
WH to FOXNEWS: 'Tell your
viewers there's nothing to worry about'...
BORGER: 'Nobody today is
talking about tax increases -- except Barack Obama'...
TWT: Liberals hijacking
Reagan to raise taxes...
PANIC: WH'S PFEIFFER SAYS
DEFAULT COULD LEAD TO 'DEPRESSION'...
CA seeks bridge loan to pay
bills...
Guv OKs financial aid for
illegal aliens...
Brazilian currency at highest
level since '99...
USA Can Avoid Default 'at
Least Until September'...
Obama still pushing for tax
hikes...
Endorses New Plan with 'Sham'
Savings...
'Cuts' include money not
spent in Afghanistan over next 10 years...
BOEHNER: Plan 'full of
gimmicks'...
'DOING THINGS ON MY OWN VERY
TEMPTING' [Why would anyone believe or follow anything ‘wobama the b’
(for b***s***) says when his actions belying his words have led to this
disaster? Hasn’t he ‘done things on his own’ and contrary to campaign promises
leading to this debacle? Indeed, he cannot be trusted! ]
Widest wealth gap
between whites, minorities on record … [and they’re thanking ‘wobama the b’
(for b***s***)] ...
DEPENDANT STATES OF
AMERICA: Geithner Warns: 'We Write 80 Million Checks a Month'...
BOEHNER TO OBAMA:
'CONGRESS WRITES THE LAWS, YOU DECIDE WHAT YOU WANT TO SIGN'...
...President 'worried about
his next election'
...Putin considering Kremlin
return
Pelosi splits, heads to
fundraiser...
CNN: OBAMA LOSING LIBERALS...
Farm thieves target grapes,
avocados -- even bees...
Thieves target ambulances...
Thieves Steal 100 Storm Drain
Covers In Sacramento...
RASMUSSEN SHOCK POLL: Obama
41% Ron Paul 37%...
DEBT DEAL DEAD...
BOEHNER WALKS...
Terrorism shatters peace in
home of Nobel prize...
NYT: 'Helpers of Global
Jihad' claim...
Fake cop opens fire at youth
camp...
'Tall, blond, of Nordic
looks'...
REUTERS UPDATE...
BBC LIVE...
Obama, Boehner discuss new
debt plan... Developing...
PRESSURE: S&P renews
warning...
SCORCH: HIGH TEMPS TO LAST
WEEKS...
Now covers 1 million sq
miles...
NEW YORKERS WARNED TO EXPECT
ROLLING OUTAGES...
Rolling Blackouts Begin In
Detroit...
Fears mount about 'Big
Brother' database in Massachusetts...
Florida made $63M selling names, addresses, dates of
birth...
Latin America Lectures US
over Debt Crisis...
US talks get 'messy'...
Obama now open to short-term
deal...
Euro meltdown: Sarkozy jets
into Berlin for crisis talks with Merkel...
24 HOURS TO 'SAVE GREECE'...
Ron Paul: 'We Will Default,
Debt Is Unsustainable'...
DEAL: SENATE HUDDLES TO HIKE
TAXES...
Obama praises...
RESTATES THREAT TO VETO
SPENDING CUTS...
LIBS EYE DEEP CUTS TO
NATIONAL DEFENSE...
Cash-Strapped Connecticut Fire Sale, To Axe 365-Year-Old Ferry, Nation's Oldest...
OBAMA MAKES JOKE; NO ONE LAUGHS...
Gold Has Longest Run of Gains
Since 1980...
Gas prices on the rise; top
$4 in eight states...
Cash-Strapped SF To Shutter
Courtrooms; Lay Off 200 Court Workers (and yet another feinstein? From direct
experience with the superior courts of california, no loss here, and
eliminating them entirely not a bad idea in light of their costly corruption as
in the federal system! )...
DEM FLASHES RACE CARD IN DEBT
DEBATE...[ Oh come on! This jive-talking, failed ‘president’ has
been indulged in every way imaginable and possible (all those false campaign
promises that got him elected, etc.). He may not have been the first (clinton
has been said even by blacks to have been the first ‘black president’), but he
most assuredly is the last black president, fitting every negative stereotype
imaginable including racist hypocrisy. UPDATE:
MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE... ‘ignore cases that involve black
defendants and white victims ' Cases
against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud WP
Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown. America
Is a Failed State Because It Won’t Prosecute Financial Crime Washington’s Blog Roche 'The worst part of it ...Obama, who vowed change, has done almost
nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped
get us here in the first place’ ‘INSIDE
JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant
fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with
oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted …
despite ‘earning’ billions from the fraud )THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv
'Only THIS president has
received the kind attacks and disagreements'...
BOEHNER: HE HAS NO PLAN... [ It’s true;
‘wobama the b’ (for b***s***) has no plan whatsoever. Ask Mr. Teleprompter. ]
KRAUTHAMMER: CALL THE BLUFF!
Feds Issue Warning After 4
Mailboxes Lifted From Post Offices...
O'DRAMA...
'ENOUGH IS ENOUGH'...
WALKS OUT OF WHITE HOUSE
MEETING...
'DON'T CALL MY BLUFF'...
REID CALLS CANTOR NAMES...
CAMP DAVID SUMMIT?
BOEHNER: NO NEED...
MCCONNELL: GOP won't be 'tax
collectors for Obama economy'...
Hometown congressman tells
Obama to 'quit lying'...
PELOSI: 'Almost too busy' to
continue debt talks...
GEITHNER: Out of time...
Cash-Strapped NYC Fines Man
$2,000 -- For Not Watering Beehive?
STUDY: Black men survive
longer in prison than out...
Man falls into Maui blow hole, disappears...
PRESSURE: MOODY'S
PUTS USA ON DOWNGRADE WATCH
Boehner Rails on Obama: 'Like
dealing with Jell-O'...
WH Cracks Down on Press: No
Yelling at Obama Today...
President 'chafes' at
unscripted questions...
BERNANKE BARKS BACK AT
PAUL...
Fed May Launch New Round of Stimulus...
DOLLAR TUMBLES...
Putin calls Feds
'hooligans'...
Gold hits new high...
DEBT TALKS BREAK DOWN...
McConnell: Deal Not Possible
With Obama … [ I think this shoe fits wobama ... African-American unemployment at
16% ... (But there’s rationality in this stat as people avoid their
disgustingly uncivilized noisy rap ‘boomboxes’. Then there’s the attitude. I
truly believe from direct experience that even when their outright aggression,
assaults on persons and the senses, and otherwise obnoxious behavior is not
apposite, the personality disorder ‘passive / aggressive’ is applicable,
however indirectly expressed.) ] ...
'Backup plan'...
OBAMA
THREATENS TO HOLD UP SOCIAL SECURITY CHECKS
RUBIO: Every Aspect of Life
in America is Worse Since Obama Took Over...
GE Immelt lectures biz
owners: 'Stop complaining about government'...
FLASHBACK: (GE )Company Paid
NO TAXES Last Year...
OBAMA: LET'S STAY IN IRAQ...
FLASHBACK: 'I intend to
remove all U.S. troops from Iraq by the end of 2011'...
KARZAI'S BROTHER ASSASSINATED
IN KANDAHAR...
Gunned down in home by
bodyguard...
'Huge boost for Taliban'...
Obama 'far apart' from
Republicans on debt deal...
Boehner: Debt Deal Not
Imminent...
TORMENT @ 9.2%
State and local governments
bleeding jobs...
Top Obama adviser says
unemployment won't be key in '12 … (riiiiight!…talk about wishful thinking and
self-delusion)...
BUCHANAN: DC Establishment
'in Panic'...
S&P WARNS GREECE OF
DEFAULT -- EVEN WITH BAILOUT!
'Impossible knot'...
SANTELLI: 'The answer is easy: Spend less!'
Italy's borrowing costs
soar...
Berlusconi
appeals for national unity and 'sacrifices'...
New Fears on Italy Jolt
Europe...
Soros: Europeans now need
'plan B'...
Mob Of Teenage Girls Attacks
Minneapolis Mom, 4-Year-Old Daughter...
Air Conditioner Thieves Hit 7
Churches In Texas...
THEY'RE HERE! [ Uh!
That ‘nausea’ factor; though not nearly of the magnitude of america’s unctuous
duo, ‘wobama the b’ (for b***s***) and michelle his belle (see infra). After
all, the cloyingly cutesy couple from across the pond is hardly in a position
to do damage as are the wobamas. Yet, one must ask: just what exactly are they?
Mascots? Non-emmissary emissaries? Indeed, in this economy it’s quite
embarrassing for members of the so-called commonwealth, struggling economically
and otherwise, england/uk being no exception (royals wealth’ is ultimately the
product of common expense) to be celebrating celebrity for the sake of nothing
more than celebrity. Worse is the pathetic display here in the defacto bankrupt
disunited states (uk not much better and in many ways worse) relative to their
former colonial masters. Then there was that ostentatious marriage display so
well publicized even as the uk’s (eu, u.s. et als) ‘rank and file’ are
sacrificing and the respective nation states crumbling. Even so-called
celebrities here shun such meaningless displays of themselves and at least
serve a cinematic (art form) purpose. Truth be told, I bear them no ill will;
but, I bear them no good will either. After all, quite simply, they are but a
meaningless, extravagantly costly welfare couple that are simply irrelevant.
How pathetic and embarrassing for their fans, followers, onlookers and their
liege. And, though I’m biased (I think Grace Kelly to have been the most
exquisite of creatures to have graced this earth – Alfred Hitchcock with an eye
for such things thought so too and said as much), clearly Prince Albert of
Monaco and his bride’s wedding was tastefully and not cloyingly about right.
Now that’s real royalty via Grace Kelly; with a purpose; the management /
leadership of a prime travel / gambling / entertainment / resort destination;
viz., Monaco. ]
BOEHNER: Taxes 'off table'...
Debt Talks Turn to
Social Security Cuts...
CHARGE: Bypassing Congress to
raise debt would be 'impeachable'...
LONDON BRIDGES FALLING DOWN:
Coulson 'to be
arrested tomorrow'...
Gov't decision on SKY
takeover 'delayed'...
UPDATE: China warns U.S. officials
not to meet Dalai Lama...
CHICAGOLAND: THIEVES STEAL
ENTIRE A/C UNITS FROM HOUSES
UPDATE: Teen Dead After Beach
Brawl...
Wisc beating victim: 'They
just said "Oh, white girl bleeds a lot"'...
US Lawmakers Accuse DOJ of
Cover-up in Botched Gun-Running Op...
CA Prison Shrink
Paid $838,706 Last Year...
CA companies flee state...
No recession for 454 White
House aides: They'll make $37,121,463 this year...
United States of 'gloom'...
Iran Ridicules: America is
Not Independent...
SHOCK: Father with HIV raped
6-month-old son...
MEDIA BLOWS IT, AGAIN...
NANCY GRACE LEFT SPUTTERING:
'SOMEWHERE OUT THERE, THE DEVIL IS DANCING TONIGHT'...
Attorney: Case Was 'Media
Assassination'...
'Now you have learned a
lesson'...
CBS host breaks down...
'TOT MOM' CLEARED BY COURT...
JURY: NO MURDER!
Only guilty of lying to cops...
Portugal's Debt Downgraded to
Junk...
CHINA: USA 'ALREADY
DEFAULTING'...
DOLLAR TO 'LOSE RESERVE
STATUS'
Economy Expected to Have Major Slide in Months Ahead...
NEW IMF CHIEF FROM
CHICAGOLAND...
MARK HALPERIN CALLS OBAMA 'A
DICK' ON LIVE TV...
POLL: Obama 42%, any Republican 46%...
Campaign signals fundraising
fail...
UPDATE: Minnesota Government
Shuts Down...
Washington state closes
tourism office...
Florida state workers get
pink slips, more cuts ahead...
FEDS STRIKE DOWN STATE'S BAN
ON RACE CONSIDERATION IN COLLEGE ADMISSIONS...
SoCal Looks to Secede from
California...
REPORT: U.S. Air Force, Navy
still flying hundreds of missions over Libya...(FLASHBACK: Obama: U.S. Involvement
Would Last 'Days, Not Weeks'... OBAMA FIGHTS FOR HIS RIGHT TO BOMB LIBYA...)
GETTING NERVOUS
NEWT: Obama 'most successful
food stamp president in American history'...
Palin: Hollywood stars as
'full of hate'...
["What would make someone be so full of hate?" palin asks … answer:
resistance to someone as dumb and full of war-mongering hate as she is! ]
REPORT: NATO forces ARE trying to assassinate
Qaddafi...
Los Alamos under
siege from wildfire...
'Throwing
absolutely everything at this that we got'...
BLAGO LIKELY HEADED TO PRISON...
'What happened?'
But he gets to keep his
hair...
Fitz finally wins one!
GUILTY IN CHICAGOLAND...
17 of 20 counts...
Tried To Sell Obama's senate
seat...
Jury DEADLOCKED on Rahm
shakedown...
Blago to lawyer: 'What
happened?'
'Stunned'...
JOBLESS WEAK: 429,000...
...disappointed
Economic trouble puzzles Fed
chief...
FARRAKHAN: 'THAT'S A MURDERER
IN THE WHITE HOUSE'...
THE NEW 'NORMAL'
GALLUP PLUNGE...
Approval -4, disapproval +5
-- in one day!
DOWN TO THIRD: USA 'TO FALL BEHIND INDIA' IN TRADE...
DEM FIX: MORE SPENDING!
Bernanke speaks, stocks
sink...
FORBES: 'Admits he's
clueless'...
CBO: Long-Term Debt Picture
Worsens...
Would reach 101% of GDP by
2021...
STUDY: State, local gov'ts must raise taxes $1,400 a year for 30 years to fund pensions...
Millionaires shrug off
downturn; Wealthy richer than before crisis...
Zuckerman: 'We now have more
idle men, women than at any time since Great Depression'...
SHOCK POLL: ONLY 3 in 10 WILL
VOTE FOR OBAMA...
66% say US headed in 'wrong
direction'...
Greece Agrees on New Austerity Plan With EU, IMF...
ANGER IN ATHENS...
'BLACK HOLE'...
DEBT TALKS BREAKDOWN; TAX
BUST
S&P: Risk of U.S. credit
rating downgrade increased...
Chicago county faces $108 billion gap in pensions....
Greek Streets 'Explosive'...
PM wins confidence vote 'but outlook remains dire'...
Huntsman announces
presidential bid at Statue of Liberty...
Harry Reid endorses...
Bachmann surges to primary
lead...
Iraq hunting $17 billion
missing after U.S. invasion...
NATO NIGHTMARE: 9 CIVILIANS
KILLED [NATO strike kills 15 Libyan civilians]
Census: Whites lose majority
among babies...
German Giant Says US Workers Lack Skills...
PAPER: AMERICA'S LOST DECADE?
States look to Internet taxes
to close budget gaps...
SPANIARDS ON MARCH OVER BLEAK
PROSPECTS...
House will move this
week to limit funding for effort in Libya...
'DON'T BE SURPRISED IF ATHENS
GOES UP IN FLAMES'...
GREEK PM PLEADS FOR UNITY!
...warns against default
Threat to downgrade Italian
debt raises contagion fears...
Princess Diana Conspiracy
Movie Headed to Theaters... [ Uh, oh! Time to gear up the already
harsh ‘censors’ in england. ]
Bachmann: Obama 'has failed'
blacks, Hispanics... [ Come on! ‘Wobama the b’ (for b***s*** has failed
everyone. ]
Presidential no-show miffs
Hispanics...
African-American unemployment
at 16%... [ But there’s rationality in this stat as people avoid
their disgustingly uncivilized noisy rap ‘boomboxes’. Then there’s the
attitude. I truly believe from direct experience that even when their outright
aggression, assaults on persons and the senses, and otherwise obnoxious
behavior is not apposite, the personality disorder ‘passive / aggressive’ is
applicable, however indirectly expressed.
]
SHE'S OFF! (on the road
again) Michelle Obama embarks on Africa visit … (stay there!) ...
Michelle Obama
Admits: 'Fortunately, We Have Help From The Media'...
CHICAGOLAND: Rahm's Top Cop
Blames Gangs, Crime on 'Gov't-Sponsored Racism'...
Likens federal gun laws to
'racism'...
Teen Mob Of 50 Hits Chicago
WALGREENS...
Teen brutally beaten by mob of blacks; cops mull 'lynching' charge...
Princess Diana Conspiracy
Movie Headed to Theaters... [ British
queen arrives in Ireland Queen Elizabeth II’s visit overshadowed by
security scares. (Washington Post) [ ‘How sweet she is’ … that ‘sweet liz’ …
that is … Diana
film causes stir at Cannes
“Unlawful Killing” has a combination of celebrity, controversy and canny
hype-mongering. (Washington Post) [
Let’s not kid ourselves … and, Dodi Fayed’s father was no dope and knew the
score. Indeed, it’s not coincidental that William’s the over-riding favorite of
granny Liz II; after all, Harry’s the bastard son of Hewitt (don’t buy into
their DNA proffer which they did buy – you know, that ‘bloodline thing’).
Moreover, it was reported that Diana had another ‘potential challenger in the
oven’ at the time of her death and we all know how dicey such english affairs
of state can be (ie., Henry VIII, Richard III, etc.). Then there’s the contempt
of Diana for having brought the son of her bosom, Chas, down. Do I think she
said flat out ‘kill Diana’. No … more of a ‘do what’s necessary’ to mi6 et als.
Ultimately, William will require some substantial therapy to sort out this
looming conflict. After all, Diana was his mother. Drudgereport: British woman decapitated in
grocery store; killer flees with head... Cannes: Diana doc slams UK
royals as 'gangsters'... ]
Drudgereport: Protesters burn American flag
during Obama visit to Puerto Rico -- a U.S. territory... [ I
find even his retirement costs objectionable. Obama: My
family is ‘fine’ with one term Politico | President Barack
Obama says his family is “not invested” in a second term. The unctuous pandering
by the wobamas is nauseating. And, michele’s fundraisers? What’s up with that? Wobama’s such a glomming
golem / slug. Obama
says if he were Weiner, he’d resign
President Obama on Monday waded into the debate over whether embattled
Rep. Anthony Weiner should step down, saying, “If it was me, I would resign..Barack Obama: The
Naked Emperor Shocking but true revelations from David Icke| ..Obama is
just more of the same, a big smile with strings attached, and controlled
completely by those that chose him, trained him, sold him and provided his record
funding, kept his many skeletons under wraps, like the gay sex and crack
cocaine .. Larry Sinclair (from affidavit: 1. Who is Ron Allen that claims to
be with your Presidential camp, who is alleged to claim that someone claiming
to represent me called asking for $100,000, to keep me from coming forward
about our (Obama and I) November 1999 encounter of sex and cocaine use?), ...
Obama is just another Banksters' moll prostituting himself .., and that's why
he supported the grotesque bail-out of the banking system and why he will
always put their interests before the people. ] http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv