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‘Why does it seem like wherever there is
human suffering, some giant bank is making money off of it? According to
a new report from the World Development Movement, Goldman Sachs made about 400 million dollars
betting on food prices last year. Overall, 2012 was quite a banner year
for Goldman Sachs. As I reported in a previous article, revenues for Goldman increased
by about 30 percent in 2012 and the
price of Goldman stock has risen by more than 40 percent over the past 12
months. It is estimated that the average banker at Goldman brought in a
pay and bonus package of approximately $396,500 for 2012. So without a doubt, Goldman Sachs
is swimming in money right now. But what is the price for all of this
"success"? Many claim that the rampant speculation on food
prices by the big banks has dramatically increased the global price of food and
has caused the suffering of hundreds of millions of poor families around the
planet to become much worse. At this point, global food prices are more than twice as high as
they were back in 2003. Approximately 2 billion people on the planet
spend at least half of their incomes on food, and close to a billion people
regularly do not have enough food to eat. Is it moral for Goldman Sachs
and other big banks such as Barclays and Morgan Stanley to make hundreds of
millions of dollars betting on the price of food if that is going to drive up
global food prices and make it harder for poor families all over the world to
feed themselves?
This is another reason why the derivatives bubble is so bad for the world
economy. Goldman Sachs and other big banks are treating the global food
supply as if it was some kind of a casino game. This kind of reckless
activity was greatly condemned by the World
Development Movement report...
"Goldman
Sachs is the global leader in a trade that is driving food prices up while
nearly a billion people are hungry. The bank lobbied for the financial
deregulation that made it possible to pour billions into the commodity
derivative markets, created the necessary financial instruments, and is now
raking in the profits. Speculation is fuelling volatility and food price
spikes, hurting people who struggle to afford food across the world."
So
shouldn't there be a law against this kind of a thing?
Well,
in the United States there actually is, but the law has been blocked by the big
Wall Street banks and their very highly paid lawyers. The following is
another excerpt from the report...
"The
US has passed legislation to limit speculation, but the controls have not been
implemented due to a legal challenge from Wall Street spearheaded by the
International Swaps and Derivatives Association, of which Goldman Sachs is a
leading member. Similar legislation is on the table at the EU, but the UK government
has so far opposed effective controls. Goldman Sachs has lobbied against
controls in both the US and the EU."
Posted
below is a chart that shows what this kind of activity has done to commodity
prices over the past couple of decades. You will notice that commodity
prices were fairly stable in the 1990s, but since the year 2000 they have been
extremely volatile...
The
reason for all of this volatility was explained in an excellent article by Frederick Kaufman...
The
money tells the story. Since the bursting of the tech bubble in 2000, there has
been a 50-fold increase in dollars invested in commodity index funds. To put
the phenomenon in real terms: In 2003, the commodities futures market still
totaled a sleepy $13 billion. But when the global financial crisis sent
investors running scared in early 2008, and as dollars, pounds, and euros
evaded investor confidence, commodities -- including food -- seemed like the
last, best place for hedge, pension, and sovereign wealth funds to park their
cash. "You had people who had no clue what commodities were all about
suddenly buying commodities," an analyst from the United States Department
of Agriculture told me. In the first 55 days of 2008, speculators poured $55
billion into commodity markets, and by July, $318 billion was roiling the
markets. Food inflation has remained steady since.
The
money flowed, and the bankers were ready with a sparkling new casino of food
derivatives. Spearheaded by oil and gas prices (the dominant commodities of the
index funds) the new investment products ignited the markets of all the other
indexed commodities, which led to a problem familiar to those versed in the
history of tulips, dot-coms, and cheap real estate: a food bubble. Hard red
spring wheat, which usually trades in the $4 to $6 dollar range per 60-pound
bushel, broke all previous records as the futures contract climbed into the
teens and kept on going until it topped $25. And so, from 2005 to 2008, the
worldwide price of food rose 80 percent --and has kept rising.
Are
you angry yet?
You
should be.
Poor
families all over the planet are suffering so that Wall Street bankers can make
bigger profits.
It's
disgusting.
Many
big financial institutions just seem to love to make money on the backs of the
poor. I have previously reported on how JP Morgan makes
billions of dollars issuing food stamp cards in the United States. When
the number of Americans on food stamps goes up, so does the amount of money
that JP Morgan makes. You can read much more about all of this right
here: "Making
Money On Poverty: JP Morgan Makes Bigger Profits When The Number Of Americans
On Food Stamps Goes Up".
Sadly,
the global food supply is getting tighter with each passing day, and things are
looking rather ominous for the years ahead.
According
to the United Nations, global food reserves have reached their lowest level in nearly 40 years. Global
food reserves have not been this low since 1974, but the population of the
world has greatly increased since then. If 2013 is another year of
drought and bad harvests, things could spiral out of control rather quickly...
World
grain reserves are so dangerously low that severe weather in the United States
or other food-exporting countries could trigger a major hunger crisis next
year, the United Nations has warned.
Failing
harvests in the US, Ukraine and other countries this year have eroded reserves
to their lowest level since 1974. The US, which has experienced record
heatwaves and droughts in 2012, now holds in reserve a historically low 6.5% of
the maize that it expects to consume in the next year, says the UN.
"We've
not been producing as much as we are consuming. That is why stocks are being
run down. Supplies are now very tight across the world and reserves are at a
very low level, leaving no room for unexpected events next year," said
Abdolreza Abbassian, a senior economist with the UN Food and Agriculture
Organisation (FAO).
The
world has barely been able to feed itself for some time now. In fact, we
have consumed more food than we have produced for 6 of the last 11 years...
Evan
Fraser, author of Empires of Food and a geography lecturer at Guelph University
in Ontario, Canada, says: "For six of the last 11 years the world has
consumed more food than it has grown. We do not have any buffer and are running
down reserves. Our stocks are very low and if we have a dry winter and a poor
rice harvest we could see a major food crisis across the board."
"Even
if things do not boil over this year, by next summer we'll have used up this
buffer and consumers in the poorer parts of the world will once again be
exposed to the effects of anything that hurts production."
We
desperately need a good growing season next summer, and all eyes are on the
United States. The U.S. exports more food than anyone else does, and last
summer the United States experienced the worst drought that it had seen in
about 50 years. That drought left deep scars all over the country. The
following is from a recent Rolling Stone article...
In
2012, more than 9 million acres went up in flames in this country. Only
dredging and some eleventh-hour rain kept the mighty Mississippi River from
being shut down to navigation due to low water levels; continuing drought
conditions make "long-term stabilization" of river levels unlikely in the near future.
Several of the Great Lakes are soon expected to hit their lowest levels in
history. In Nebraska last summer, a 100-mile stretch of the Platte River simply
dried up. Drought led the USDA to declare federal disaster areas in 2,245
counties in 39 states last year, and the federal government will likely have to pay tens of billions for crop
insurance and lost crops. As ranchers became increasingly desperate to feed
their livestock, "hay
rustling" and other agricultural crimes rose.
Ranchers
were hit particularly hard. Because they couldn't feed their herds, many
ranchers slaughtered a tremendous number of animals. As a result, the
U.S. cattle herd is now sitting at a 60 year low.
What
do you think that is going to do to meat prices over the next few years?
Meanwhile,
the drought continues. According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, this is one of the worst
winter droughts the U.S. has ever seen. At this point, more than 60 percent of the entire nation is
currently experiencing drought.
If
things don't turn around dramatically, 2013 could be an absolutely nightmarish
year for crops in the United States. If 2013 does turn out to be another
bad year, food prices would soar both in the U.S. and on the global
level. The following is from a recent CNBC
article...
The
severe drought that swept through much of the U.S. last year is continuing into
2013, threatening to cripple economic growth while forcing consumers to pay
higher food prices.
"The
drought will have a significant impact on prices, especially beef, pork and
chicken," said Ernie Gross, an economic professor at Creighton University
and who studies farming issues.
So
let us hope for the best, but let us also prepare for the worst.
It
looks like higher food prices are on the way, and millions of poor families all
over the planet will be hard-pressed to feed their families.
Meanwhile,
Goldman Sachs will be laughing all the way to the bank.’