http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com
http://albertpeia.com/masscollapseincypress.htm
‘European officials are openly admitting that
the two largest banks in Cyprus are "insolvent", and it is now being
reported that Cyprus Popular Bank only has "enough
liquidity to cover the next few hours". Of course all banks in
Cyprus are officially closed until Tuesday at the earliest, but there have been
long lines at ATMs all over Cyprus as people scramble to get whatever money they
can out of the banks. Unfortunately, some ATMs appear to be "malfunctioning" and others appear
to have already run out of cash. You can see some photos of huge lines at
one ATM in Cyprus right here. Some businesses are
now even refusing to take
credit card payments. This is creating an atmosphere of panic on the
streets of Cyprus. Meanwhile, the EU is holding a gun to the head of the
Cyprus financial system. Either Cyprus meets EU demands by Monday, or
liquidity for the banks will be totally cut off and Cyprus will be forced out
of the euro. It is being reported that European officials believe that
the "economy
is going to tank in Cyprus no matter what", and that it would be okay
to let the financial system of Cyprus crash and burn if politicians in Cyprus
are not willing to do what they have been ordered to do. Apparently
European officials are very confident that the situation in Cyprus can be
contained and that it will not spread to other European nations.
Unfortunately,
European officials are losing sight of the bigger picture. If the largest
banks in Cyprus are allowed to fail, it will be another "Lehman Brothers moment". The
faith that people have in banks all over Europe will be called into question,
and everyone will be wondering what major European banks will be allowed to
fail next.
Meanwhile,
European officials have already completely shattered confidence in deposit
insurance at this point. Everyone now knows that when there is a major
bank failure that depositors will be expected to share in the pain.
Expect to see "bank jogs" all over southern Europe over the coming
weeks.
The
banks in Cyprus had been scheduled to reopen on Tuesday, but very few people
expect that to actually happen at this point. In fact, Bloomberg is reporting that EU officials
are actually thinking about shutting down the two biggest banks in Cyprus and
freezing their assets...
Finance ministers for the 17
euro countries are considering a plan to shutter the two biggest banks in
Cyprus and freeze the assets of uninsured depositors, said the four officials,
who asked not to be named because the talks are ongoing. The ministers are
holding a teleconference tonight.
Cyprus Popular Bank Pcl (CPB)
and the Bank of Cyprus Plc would be split to create a so-called bad bank, one
of the officials said. Insured deposits -- below the European Union ceiling of
100,000 euros ($129,000) -- would go into a so-called good bank and not sustain
any losses, while uninsured deposits would go into the bad bank and be frozen
until assets could be sold, said the four officials.
Losses to unsecured creditors,
including uninsured depositors, could reach 40 percent under the plan, which
has support from the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank.
The proposal, a version of which was rejected last week, is considered a better
option than taxing insured deposits or allowing Cypriot banks to collapse in a
disorderly fashion if they lose access to ECB aid, the officials said.
Such a scenario would be an
utter disaster.
How would you feel if you woke
up someday and 40 percent of your life savings was suddenly gone?
According to Greek newspaper
Kathimerini, European officials are also openly discussing the possibility
of a Cyprus exit from the eurozone if a suitable bailout agreement is not
worked out...
The possibility of Cyprus
exiting the eurozone was discussed during teleconference involving technocrats
from the Euro Working Group on Wednesday, Kathimerini understands.
A reliable source told
Kathimerini that the technical implications of a euro exit, as well as the
adoption of capital controls were debated by the Euro Working Group officials
during the teleconference.
As I mentioned above, European
officials seemed resigned to the fact that there will be an economic collapse
in Cyprus "no matter what", and so letting Cyprus leave the euro
would not make that much of a difference. Either way, the banks are going
to have to be "reorganized" and capital controls will be imposed...
In detailed notes of the call
seen by Reuters, the group’s chair Austria's Thomas Wieser said: “The economy
is going to tank in Cyprus no matter what. Restrictions on capital will
probably be imposed.”
Never before have we seen
European officials impose such a harsh ultimatum with such a short
deadline. It is almost as if they want to boot Cyprus out of the
euro. The following comes from a recent CNBC
report...
In stark twin warnings on
Thursday, the European Central Bank said it would cut off liquidity to Cypriot
banks and a senior EU official made clear to Reuters that the bloc was ready to
see the bankrupt island banished from the euro in the belief it could then
contain damage to the wider European economy.
And European officials are
even publicly talking about the possibility that Cyprus will soon need to start
using "their own currency"...
In Brussels, a senior European
Union official told Reuters that an ECB withdrawal would mean Cyprus's biggest
banks being wound up, wiping out the large deposits it has sought to protect,
and probably forcing the country to abandon the euro.
"If the financial sector
collapses, then they simply have to face a very significant devaluation and
faced with that situation, they would have no other way but to start having
their own currency," the EU official said.
This is absolutely shocking.
Everyone always thought that Greece would be the first to leave the euro, but
now it looks like it might be Cyprus.
However, there is still a
chance that Cyprus may find a way to comply with EU demands. Politicians
in Cyprus are frantically searching for a way to raise the needed cash without
raiding private bank accounts. The following is what CNN is saying about the latest
efforts...
Leaders of Cyprus' political
parties agreed Thursday to create an "investment solidarity fund,"
which would issue bonds backed by state and church assets.
The plan was due to be
discussed by the Cypriot government and parliament on Thursday evening, but few
details were available and it was not clear how much the fund would be worth.
According to Reuters, other proposals have been
under consideration as well...
The government said a
"Plan B" was in the works.
Officials said it could
include: an option to nationalize pension funds of semi-government
corporations, which hold between 2 billion and 3 billion euros; issuing an
emergency bond linked to future natural gas revenues; and possibly reviving the
levy on bank deposits, though at a lower level than originally planned and
maybe excluding savers with less than 100,000 euros.
At this point it is unclear
whether any of those proposals will turn out to be acceptable to European
officials.
In fact, the tone of European
officials has noticeably changed from previous bailout efforts. They now
seem much more willing to play hardball. For example, just check out
what German Finance Minister
Wolfgang Schaeuble is saying about the situation in Cyprus...
German finance minister
Wolfgang Schaeuble told the ZDF public broadcaster on Tuesday night (19 March)
he "took note with regret" of the Cypriot parliament's rejection of
the bailout deal, but insisted that the terms will stay the same.
Asked if the eurozone was
willing to let Cyprus go bust, he answered: "Well, we are much more stable
in the eurozone - we took measures to protect ourselves from the risks of
contagion ... but I don't want to have any of this."
He added: "It is a
serious situation, but this cannot lead to a decision that makes absolutely no
sense, to rescue a business model that has failed. Cyprus has a banking sector
that is totally oversized and this made Cyprus insolvent. And nobody outside
Cyprus is to blame for it."
Schaeuble knows that the EU is
holding all of the cards and that Cyprus is doomed without their help...
"The Cypriot state cannot
fund itself on the markets. Its two largest banks are insolvent and are being
kept afloat with emergency funding from the ECB, but only on the condition that
there will be a long-term rescue programme. If this condition is no longer met,
Cyprus will no longer be solvent and this is something Cypriot decision makers
must know"
But the truth is that the EU
can't really afford to allow major banks to fail or for a single member to
leave the eurozone. If either of those things happen, the confidence game
that has been holding the European financial system together will begin to
rapidly evaporate.
If the EU thinks that they can
abandon Cyprus without the crisis spreading to the rest of southern Europe they
are just being delusional.
At least there are a few
politicians in Europe that understand what is happening. Nigel Farage, a
very outspoken member of the European Parliament, is telling people to get
their money out of banks in southern Europe as quickly as they can. He is
warning that a great collapse of the European financial system is coming and
that people need to get prepared for it...
So
what do you think?
Do you believe that we are on
the verge of a major financial collapse in Europe?
Please feel free to post a
comment with your thoughts below...’