http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com
http://albertpeia.com/mainstreammediasunemploymentlies.htm
‘The mainstream media is
absolutely giddy that the U.S. unemployment rate has hit a "four-year
low" of 7.7 percent. But is unemployment in the United States
actually going down? After all, you would think that it should be.
The Obama administration has "borrowed" more than 6 trillion dollars
from future generations of Americans, interest rates have been pushed to
all-time lows, and the Federal Reserve has been wildly printing more money in a
desperate attempt to "stimulate" the economy. So have those
efforts been successful? Well, according to the mainstream media, the
U.S. unemployment rate is falling steadily. Headlines all over the nation
boldly declared that "236,000 jobs" were added to the economy in
February, but what they didn't tell you was that the number of Americans
"not in the labor force" rose by 296,000. And that is how they
are getting the unemployment rate to go down - by pretending that huge numbers
of unemployed Americans don't want jobs. Sadly, as you will see below,
the truth is that the percentage of working age Americans that have a job is
just 0.1% higher than it was exactly three years ago. And we have not
even come close to getting back to where we were before the last economic
crisis. For example, more than 146 million
Americans were employed back in 2007. But today, only 142.2 million Americans have a job even
though our population has grown steadily since then. So where in the
world is this "economic recovery" that they keep talking about?
At this point, the
"unemployment rate" has become so meaningless that it really isn't
even worth paying much attention to. If you really want to know what the
employment picture looks like in the United States, you need to look at the
employment-population ratio.
As Wikipedia tells us, many economists
consider the employment-population ratio to be far superior to other
measurements of employment...
The
Organization
for Economic Co-operation and Development defines the employment rate as the employment-to-population ratio. The
employment-population ratio is many American economist's favorite gauge of the
American jobs picture. According to Paul Ashworth, chief North American
economist for Capital Economics, "The employment population ratio is the
best measure of labor market conditions." This is a statistical ratio
that measures the proportion of the country's working-age population (ages 15
to 64 in most OECD countries) that is employed. This includes people that have
stopped looking for work.
A
chart of the employment-population ratio in the United States over the past
several years is posted below...
As
you can see, the percentage of Americans with a job fell from about 63 percent
to below 59 percent during the last economic crisis. Since that time, it
has not risen back above 59 percent. This is the first time in the
post-World War II era that we have not seen the employment rate bounce back
following a recession. At this point, the employment-population ratio has
been below 59 percent for 42 months in a row.
Yes,
we should be thankful that things have stabilized, but as you can see there
has been no recovery. The percentage of Americans with a job is
essentially exactly where it was three years ago. Despite the trillions
of dollars that the U.S. government has borrowed, and despite the reckless money printing that the Federal Reserve has been doing, the employment
situation in the U.S. has not turned around.
Data
for the employment-population ratio from the beginning of 2008 is posted
below...
2008-01-01
62.9
2008-02-01 62.8
2008-03-01 62.7
2008-04-01 62.7
2008-05-01 62.5
2008-06-01 62.4
2008-07-01 62.2
2008-08-01 62.0
2008-09-01 61.9
2008-10-01 61.7
2008-11-01 61.4
2008-12-01 61.0
2009-01-01 60.6
2009-02-01 60.3
2009-03-01 59.9
2009-04-01 59.8
2009-05-01 59.6
2009-06-01 59.4
2009-07-01 59.3
2009-08-01 59.1
2009-09-01 58.7
2009-10-01 58.5
2009-11-01 58.6
2009-12-01 58.3
2010-01-01 58.5
2010-02-01 58.5
2010-03-01 58.5
2010-04-01 58.7
2010-05-01 58.6
2010-06-01 58.5
2010-07-01 58.5
2010-08-01 58.5
2010-09-01 58.5
2010-10-01 58.3
2010-11-01 58.2
2010-12-01 58.3
2011-01-01 58.3
2011-02-01 58.4
2011-03-01 58.4
2011-04-01 58.4
2011-05-01 58.4
2011-06-01 58.2
2011-07-01 58.2
2011-08-01 58.3
2011-09-01 58.4
2011-10-01 58.4
2011-11-01 58.5
2011-12-01 58.6
2012-01-01 58.5
2012-02-01 58.6
2012-03-01 58.5
2012-04-01 58.5
2012-05-01 58.6
2012-06-01 58.6
2012-07-01 58.5
2012-08-01 58.4
2012-09-01 58.7
2012-10-01 58.7
2012-11-01 58.7
2012-12-01 58.6
2013-01-01 58.6
2013-02-01 58.6
So
is there anyone out there that still wants to insist that the employment
picture in the United States is getting significantly better?
Anyone
that wants to claim that "unemployment is going down" should at least
wait until the unemployment-population ratio gets back up to 59 percent.
Otherwise they just look foolish.
Yes,
the Dow is at an all-time high right now. But a bubble is always the
biggest right before it bursts.
Most
Americans understand that the Dow has been pumped up with all of the funny
money that the Fed has been printing. Most Americans understand that the
stock market really does not accurately reflect the health of the U.S. economy
as a whole.
Just
consider these numbers...
-The
number of homeless people sleeping in homeless shelters in New York City has
increased by 19 percent over the past year.
-The
number of Americans on food stamps has risen from 32 million to 47 million
while Barack Obama has been in the White House.
-According
to the U.S. Census Bureau, more than 146 million
Americans are either "poor" or "low income" at this
point.
-Median
household income in the United States has fallen for four consecutive years.
No,
the truth is that everything is most definitely not fine.
If
everything is fine, then why did the Federal Reserve inject another 100 billion dollars
into foreign banks during the last full week of February?
The
U.S. government and the Federal Reserve are desperately trying to prop up the
entire global economy. Unfortunately, the global financial system has
been built on a foundation of sand and the tide is coming in.
Back
in 2008, a derivatives crisis was one of the primary causes
of the worst financial panic since the Great Depression.
So
did we learn our lesson?
No,
the boys on Wall Street are back at it again as a recent article by Jim Armitage described...
Historically,
stock markets, being driven by humans, have tended to have a similar length
memory of catastrophes, before making the same dumb mistakes again.
But
it hasn't even been five years since derivatives (on that occasion based on
daft mortgages) blew up the world, and yet these exotic creatures have already
returned. With a vengeance.
Research
from Thomson Reuters declared that banks were creating more derivatives known
as asset-backed securities than at any time since before the Lehman Brothers
crash. Of those, 22 percent were made up of – and forgive me the alphabet soup
here – CDOs and CLOs. The very type of derivatives that exploded last time. At
this stage last year, only 6 percent fell into those categories.
In
other words, banks are creating more of the riskiest types of the riskiest
products.
At
some point, we will have another derivatives crisis even worse than the last
one.
When
that happens, financial markets all over the globe will crash, economic
activity will grind to a standstill and unemployment will go skyrocketing once
again.
But
as you saw above, we have never even come close to recovering from the last
crisis.
So
you can believe the mind-numbing propaganda that the mainstream media is trying to feed you if you
want. Unfortunately, the reality of the matter is that we have not
recovered from the last major economic crisis, and another one is rapidly approaching.
I
hope that you are getting ready…’