http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com
http://albertpeia.com/japfinsyswild.htm
‘The financial system of the third largest
economy on the planet is starting to come apart at the seams, and the ripple
effects are going to be felt all over the globe. Nobody knew exactly when
the Japanese financial system was going to begin to implode, but pretty much
everyone knew that a day of reckoning for Japan was coming eventually.
After all, the Japanese economy has been in a slump for over a decade, Japan
has a debt to GDP ratio of well over 200 percent and they are spending about 50
percent of all tax revenue on debt service. In a desperate attempt to
revitalize the economy and reduce the debt burden, the Bank of Japan decided a
few months ago to start pumping massive amounts of money into the economy.
At first, it seemed to be working. Economic activity perked up and the
Japanese stock market went on a tremendous run. Unfortunately, there is
also a very significant downside to pumping your economy full of money.
Investors start demanding higher returns on their money and interest rates go
up. But the Japanese government cannot afford higher interest
rates. Without super low interest rates, Japanese government finances
would totally collapse. In addition, higher interest rates in the private
sector would make it much more difficult for the Japanese economy to
expand. In essence, pretty much the last thing that Japan needs right now
is significantly higher interest rates, but that is exactly what the policies
of the Bank of Japan are going to produce.
There is a lot of fear in Japan
right now. On Thursday, the Nikkei plunged 7.3 percent. That was
the largest single day decline in more than two years. Then on Monday the
index fell by another 3.2 percent.
And according to Business Insider, things are not looking good for
Tuesday at this point...
In
post-close futures trading, the
Nikkei has dropped by another couple hundred points, and has dropped below
14,000.
Are
we witnessing the beginning of a colossal financial meltdown by the third
largest economy on the planet? The Bank of Japan is starting to lose
control, and if Japan goes down hard the crisis could spread to Europe and
North America very rapidly. The following is from a recent article by Graham Summers...
As Japan has indicated, when bonds start to plunge, it’s not
good for stocks. Today the Japanese Bond market fell and the Nikkei plunged 7%. The
entire market down 7%… despite the Bank of Japan funneling $19 billion
into it to hold things together.
This is what it looks like when a Central Bank begins to lose
control. And what’s happening in Japan today will be coming to the US in the
not so distant future.
If you think the Fed is not terrified of this, think again. The Fed
has pumped over $1 trillion into foreign banks, hoping to stop the mess from
getting to the US. As Japan is showing us, the Fed will fail.
Investors, take note… the financial system is sending us major
warnings…
If you are not already preparing for a potential market collapse,
now is the time to be doing so.
And
all of this money printing is absolutely crushing the Japanese yen. Since
the start of 2013, the yen has declined 16 percent against the U.S. dollar, even though the U.S.
dollar is also being rapidly debased. Just check out this chart of the
yen vs. the U.S. dollar. It is absolutely stunning...
The
term "currency war" is something that you are going to hear a lot
more over the next few years, and what you can see in the chart above is only
the beginning.
What
the Bank of Japan is doing right now is absolutely unprecedented. It has
announced that it plans to inject the equivalent of approximately $1.4 trillion into the Japanese economy in less than
two years.
As
Kyle Bass recently discussed, that dwarfs
the quantitative easing that the Federal Reserve
has been doing...
"What
they're doing represents 70% of what the Fed is doing here with an economy 1/3
the size of ours"
The
big problem for Japan will come when government bond yields really start to
rise. The yield on 10 year government bonds has been creeping up over the
past few months, and if they hit the 1.0% mark that will set off some major red
flags.
Because Japan has a debt to GDP ratio of
more than 200 percent, the only way that it can avoid a total meltdown of
government finances is to have super low interest rates. The video posted below does a great
job of elaborating on this point...
It really is very simple. If
interest rates rise substantially, Japan will be done.
Investor Kyle Bass is one of those that have been
warning about this for a long time...
There's a fatalism, he says, in everyone he
talks to in Japan. Their thinking is changing, and the way they talk to him
about debt is changing. They already spend 50% of tax revenue on debt service.
"If rates go up, it's game over."
The
financial problems in Cyprus and Greece are just tiny blips compared to what a
major financial crisis in Japan would potentially be like. The Japanese
economy is larger than the economies of Germany and Italy combined. If
the house of cards in Japan comes tumbling down, trillions of dollars of
investments all over the globe are going to be affected.
And
what is happening right now in Japan should serve as a sober warning to the
United States. Like Japan, the money printing that the Federal Reserve has been doing has caused
economic activity to perk up a bit and it has sent the stock market on an
unprecedented run.
Unfortunately,
no bubble that the Federal Reserve has ever created has been able to last
forever. At some point, we will pay a very great price for all of the
debt that the U.S. government has been accumulating and all of the reckless
money printing that the Fed has been engaged in.
So
enjoy the calm before the storm while you still can.
It
won't last for long.’