Michael Snyder
Economic
Collapse
Nov 28, 2012
http://albertpeia.com/giantcurrencysuperstormcoming.htm
‘By
recklessly printing, borrowing and spending money, our authorities are absolutely
shredding confidence in the U.S. dollar. The rest of the world is
watching this nonsense, and at some point they are going to give up on the U.S.
dollar and throw their hands up in the air. When that happens, it is
going to be absolutely catastrophic for the U.S. economy. Right now, we
export a lot of our inflation. Each year, we buy far more from the rest
of the world than they buy from us, and so the rest of the
world ends up with giant piles of U.S. dollars. This works out pretty
well for them, because the U.S. dollar is the primary reserve currency of the
world and is used in international trade far more than any other currency
is. Back in 1999, the percentage of foreign exchange reserves in U.S.
dollars peaked at 71 percent, and since then it has slid
back to62.2 percent. But that is still
an overwhelming amount. We can print, borrow and spend like crazy because
the rest of the world is there to soak up our excess dollars because they need
them to trade with one another. But what will happen someday if the rest
of the world decides to reject the U.S. dollar? At that point we would
see a tsunami of U.S. dollars come flooding back to this country. Just
take a moment and think of the worst superstorm that you can possibly imagine,
and then replace every drop of rain with a dollar bill. The giant
currency superstorm that will eventually hit this nation will be far worse than
that.
Most
Americans don’t realize that there are far more dollars in use in the rest of
the world than in the United States itself. The following is from a
scholarly article by Linda Goldberg…
The dollar is a major
form of cash currency around the world. The majority of dollar banknotes are
estimated to be held outside the US. More than 70% of hundred-dollar notes and
nearly 60% of twenty- and fifty-dollar notes are held abroad, while two-thirds
of all US banknotes have been in circulation outside the country since 1990
For
decades we have been exporting gigantic quantities of our currency.
So
what would happen if that process suddenly reversed and massive piles of
dollars started coming back into the country?
It
is frightening to think about.
Well,
I guess the key is to get the rest of the world to continue to have confidence
in the U.S. dollar so that will never happen, right?
Unfortunately,
there are lots of signs that the rest of the world is accelerating their move
away from the U.S. dollar.
For
example, it was recently announced that the BRICS countries are
developing their own version
of the World Bank…
The BRICS (Brazil,
Russia, India, China and South Africa) bloc has begun planning its own
development bank and a new bailout fund which would be created by pooling
together an estimated $240 billion in foreign exchange reserves, according to
diplomatic sources. To get a sense of how significant the proposed fund
would be, the fund would be larger than the combined Gross Domestic Product
(GDP) of about 150 countries, according to Russia and India Report.
And
as I noted in a previous article, over the past
few years there have been a whole host of new international currency agreements
that encourage the use of national currencies over the U.S. dollar. The following
are just a few examples…
China
and Germany (See Here)
China
and Russia (See Here)
China
and Brazil (See Here)
China
and Australia (See Here)
China
and Japan (See Here)
India
and Japan (See Here)
Iran
and Russia (See Here)
China
and Chile (See Here)
China
and the United Arab Emirates (See Here)
China,
Brazil, Russia, India and South Africa (See Here)
Will
this movement soon become a stampede away from the U.S. dollar?
That
is a very important question.
But
you don’t hear anything about this in the U.S. media and our politicians are
not talking about this at all.
Meanwhile,
our “leaders” seem to be doing everything that they can to destroy confidence
in the U.S. dollar. The Federal Reserve is printing money like there is no tomorrow, and the
federal government continues to run up trillion dollar deficits year after year.
They
do not seem to understand that they are systematically destroying the U.S.
financial system.
Other
world leaders get it. For example, Russian President Vladimir Putin once said the following…
“Unreasonable expansion of the budget
deficit, accumulation of the national debt – are as destructive as an
adventurous stock market game.
During the time of the Soviet Union the
role of the state in economy was made absolute, which eventually lead to the
total non-competitiveness of the economy. That lesson cost us very dearly. I am
sure no one would want history to repeat itself.”
Wow.
Why
can’t most of our politicians see how destructive debt is?
What
the federal government continues to do is absolutely insane. The national
debt increased by more than 24 billion
dollars on the day after Thanksgiving this year. But utter disaster
has not struck yet, and most Americans are not really that concerned about the debt.
So things just keep rolling along.
And
of course our national debt of $16,309,738,056,362.44 is nothing when compared
to the future liabilities that our federal government is facing. Just
check out what a recent article in the Wall Street Journal
had to say about all this…
The actual liabilities of
the federal government—including Social Security, Medicare, and federal
employees’ future retirement benefits—already exceed $86.8 trillion, or 550% of
GDP. For the year ending Dec. 31, 2011, the annual accrued expense of Medicare
and Social Security was $7 trillion. Nothing like that figure is used in
calculating the deficit. In reality, the reported budget deficit is less than
one-fifth of the more accurate figure.
Other
economists paint an even gloomier picture. According to economist Niall
Ferguson, the U.S. government is facing future unfunded liabilities of 238 trillion dollars.
So
where are we going to get all that money?
Well,
why don’t we just print more money than ever before so that the U.S. government
can borrow and spend more money than ever before?
Don’t
laugh. That is actually what some of the top economists in the country
are actually recommending.
The
most famous economic journalist in the entire country, Paul Krugman of the New
York Times, is boldly proclaiming that the solution to all of our problems is
to print, borrow and spend a lot more money. He insists that there is no reason to fear
that the giant mountain of debt that we are accumulating will someday collapse
the system…
For we have our own
currency — and almost all of our debt, both private and public, is denominated
in dollars. So our government, unlike the Greek government, literally can’t run
out of money. After all, it can print the stuff. So there’s almost no risk that
America will default on its debt — I’d say no risk at all if it weren’t for the
possibility that Republicans would once again try to hold the nation hostage
over the debt ceiling.
But if the U.S.
government prints money to pay its bills, won’t that lead to inflation? No, not
if the economy is still depressed.
Now, it’s true that
investors might start to expect higher inflation some years down the road. They
might also push down the value of the dollar. Both of these things, however,
would actually help rather than hurt the U.S. economy right now: expected inflation
would discourage corporations and families from sitting on cash, while a weaker
dollar would make our exports more competitive.
Of
course what he is prescribing is complete and utter madness.
At
some point this con game is going to collapse and the rest of the world is
going to say a big, fat, resounding “NO” to the U.S. dollar.
Why
should they continue to use a currency that is becoming extremely unstable and
that is constantly being manipulated?
And
when the rest of the world rejects the U.S. dollar, the value of the dollar
will drop like a rock because there will be far less global demand for it.
In
addition, if the rest of the world is not using the U.S. dollar for trade any
longer, other nations will cease to soak up our excess currency and huge
mountains of our currency that are floating around out there will start
flooding back to our shores.
At
that point we will be looking at inflation unlike anything we have ever seen
before. The era of cheap imports will be over and we will pay far more
for everything from oil to the foreign-made plastic trinkets that we buy at
Wal-Mart.
Most
Americans don’t even know what a “reserve currency” is, but when the U.S.
dollar loses reserve currency status it is going to unleash a nightmare that
most economists cannot even imagine.
So
enjoy this holiday season while you can. There are still lots and lots of
cheap imports filling the shelves of our stores.
Once
the coming giant currency superstorm strikes, we will dearly wish for the good
old days of 2012.
Yes,
the U.S. dollar is alive and ticking for now. But at the pace that our
authorities are abusing it, I would not say that things are looking good for a
long and healthy lifespan.’