http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com
http://albertpeia.com/feddestroyingsocialsecurity.htm
Last week the mainstream media
hailed QE3 as the "quick fix" that the U.S. economy
desperately needs, but the truth is that the policies that the Federal Reserve
is pursuing are going to be absolutely devastating for our senior
citizens. By keeping interest rates at exceptionally low levels, the
Federal Reserve is absolutely crushing savers and is systematically destroying
Social Security. Meanwhile, the inflation that QE3 will cause is going to
be absolutely crippling for the millions upon millions of retired Americans
that are on a fixed income. Sadly, most elderly Americans have no idea
what the Federal Reserve is doing to their financial futures. Most
Americans that are approaching retirement age have not adequately saved for
retirement, and the Social Security system that they are depending on is going
to completely and totally collapse in the coming years. Right now,
approximately 56 million Americans are collecting Social Security
benefits. By 2035, that number is projected to grow to a whopping 91 million. By law, the Social
Security trust fund must be invested in U.S. government securities. But
thanks to the low interest rate policies of the Federal Reserve, the average
interest rate on those securities just keeps dropping and dropping. The
trustees of the Social Security system had projected that the Social Security
trust fund would be completely gone by 2033, but because of the Fed policy of
keeping interest rates exceptionally low for the foreseeable future it is now
being projected by some analysts that Social Security will be bankrupt by 2023. Overall, the Social Security system
is facing a 134 trillion dollar shortfall over the next
75 years. Yes, you read that correctly. The collapse of Social
Security is inevitable, and the foolish policies of the Federal Reserve are
going to make that collapse happen much more rapidly.
The only way that the Social
Security system is going to be able to stay solvent is for the Social Security
trust fund to earn a healthy level of interest.
By law, all money deposited in
the Social Security trust fund must be invested in U.S. government
securities. The following is from the official website of the Social
Security Administration....
By law, income to the trust funds must be invested, on a daily
basis, in securities guaranteed as to both principal and interest by the
Federal government. All securities held by the trust funds are "special
issues" of the United States Treasury. Such securities are available only
to the trust funds.
In the past, the trust funds have held marketable Treasury
securities, which are available to the general public. Unlike marketable
securities, special issues can be redeemed at any time at face value.
Marketable securities are subject to the forces of the open market and may
suffer a loss, or enjoy a gain, if sold before maturity. Investment in special
issues gives the trust funds the same flexibility as holding cash.
So in order for the Social
Security Ponzi scheme to work, those investments in government securities need
to produce healthy returns.
Unfortunately, the ultra-low
interest rate policy of the Federal Reserve is making this impossible.
The average rate of interest
earned by the Social Security trust fund has declined from 6.1 percent in
January 2003 to 3.9 percent today, and it is going to continue to go even lower
as long as the Fed continues to keep interest rates super low.
A recent article by Bruce Krasting detailed how
this works. Just check out the following example....
$135 billion of old bonds matured this year. This money was
rolled over into new bonds with a yield of only 1.375%. The average yield on
the maturing securities was 5.64%. The drop in yield on the new securities
lowers SSA’s income by $5.7B annually. Over the fifteen year term of the
investments, that comes to a lumpy $86 billion.
So what happens when the Social
Security trust fund runs dry?
As Bruce Krasting also noted, all Social Security payments
would immediately be cut by 25 percent.....
Anyone who is 55 or older should be worried about this. Based on
current law, all SS benefit payments must be cut by (approximately) 25% when
the TF is exhausted. This will affect 72 million people. The economic
consequences will be severe.
In other words, it would be a
complete and total nightmare.
Sadly, the truth is that the
Social Security trust fund might not even make it into the next decade.
Most Social Security trust fund projections assume that there will be no
recessions and that there will be a very healthy rate of growth for the U.S.
economy over the next decade.
So what happens if we have
another major recession or worse?
And most Americans know that
something is up with Social Security. According to a Gallup survey, 67 percent of all Americans believe that
there will be a Social Security crisis within 10 years.
Part of the problem is that
there are way too many people retiring and not nearly enough workers to support
them.
Back in 1950, each retiree's
Social Security benefit was paid for by 16 U.S. workers. But now things are much
different. According to new data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor
Statistics, there are now only 1.75 full-time
private sector workers for each person that is receiving Social Security
benefits in the United States.
And remember, the number of
Americans drawing on Social Security will increase by another 35 million by the
year 2035.
Another factor that is rapidly
becoming a major problem is the growth of the Social Security disability
program.
Since 2008, 3.6 million more Americans have been
added to the rolls of the Social Security disability insurance program.
Today, more than 8.7 million
Americans are collecting Social Security disability payments.
So how does this compare to the
past?
Back in August 1967, there were
approximately 65 workers for each American that was collecting
Social Security disability payments.
Today, there are only 16.2 workers for each American that is
collecting Social Security disability payments.
The Social Security Ponzi scheme
is rapidly approaching a crisis point.
Sadly, the Federal Reserve has
made it incredibly difficult to save for your own retirement.
Millions upon millions of Baby
Boomers that diligently saved money for retirement are finding that their
savings accounts are paying out next to nothing thanks to the ultra-low
interest rate policies of the Federal Reserve.
The following is one example of how the low interest
rate policies of the Fed have completely devastated the retirement plans of
many elderly Americans....
You can understand the impact of the invisible tax on the
elderly by watching the decline of interest income from $50,000 invested in a
five-year Treasury obligation. As recently as 2000, this would have yielded
about 6.15 percent and an interest income of $3,075 a year. Now the same
obligation is yielding 0.7 percent and an interest income of $350 a year. This
is the lowest yield on this maturity of Treasury debt since the Federal Reserve
started keeping an index of the yields in 1953.
But it's more than a low interest rate. It's an income decline
of nearly 89 percent in just 12 years.
And after you account for
inflation, those that put money into savings accounts today are actually losing
money.
Of course most Americans have
not saved up much money for retirement anyway. According to the Employee
Benefit Research Institute, 46 percent of all American workers have
less than $10,000 saved for retirement, and 29 percent of all American workers have
less than $1,000 saved for retirement.
Overall, a study conducted by
Boston College's Center for Retirement Research discovered that American
workers are $6.6 trillion short of what they need
to retire comfortably.
So needless to say, we have a
major problem.
Baby Boomers are just starting
to retire and the Social Security system is still solvent at the moment, and
yet the number of elderly Americans that are experiencing financial problems is
already soaring.
For example, between 1991 and
2007 the number of Americans between the ages of 65 and 74 that filed for
bankruptcy rose by a staggering 178 percent.
Also, at this point one out of every six elderly
Americans is already living below the federal poverty line.
So how bad are things going to
be when Social Security collapses?
That is frightening to think
about.
In the short-term, millions upon
millions of retired Americans that are living on fixed incomes are going to be
absolutely crushed by the inflation that QE3 is going to cause.
Just like we saw with QE1 and
QE2, a lot of the money from QE3 is going to end up in agricultural commodities
and oil. That means that retirees (and all the rest of us) are going to
end up paying more for food at the supermarket and gasoline at the pump.
But those on fixed incomes are
not going to see a corresponding increase in their incomes. That means
that their standards of living will go down.
Things are tough for retirees
right now, but they are going to get a lot tougher.
Right now, there are somewhere
around 40 million senior citizens. By 2050 that number is projected to
increase to 89 million.
So how will our society cope
with more than twice as many senior citizens?
Sadly, we will likely never get
to find out.
The truth is that our system is
almost certainly going to totally collapse long before then.
We are rapidly approaching a
financial crisis unlike anything we have ever seen before in U.S. history, and
the foolish policies of the Federal Reserve just keep making things even worse.