http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com
http://albertpeia.com/euusdepression.htm
‘When you get into too much debt, eventually
really bad things start to happen. This is a very painful lesson that
southern Europe is learning right now, and it is a lesson that the United
States will soon learn as well. It simply is not possible to live way
beyond your means forever. You can do it for a while though, and
politicians in the U.S. and in Europe keep trying to kick the can down the road
and extend the party, but the truth is that debt is a very cruel master and at
some point it inevitably catches up with you. And when it catches up with
you, the results can be absolutely devastating. Greece, Italy, Spain and
Portugal all tried to just slow down the rate at which their government debts
were increasing, and look at what happened to their economies. In each
case, GDP is shrinking, unemployment is skyrocketing, credit is freezing up and
manufacturing is declining. And you know what? None of those
countries has even gotten close to a balanced budget yet. They are all
still going into even more debt. Just imagine what would happen if they
actually tried to only spend the money that they brought in?
I have always said that the next
wave of the economic collapse would start in Europe and that is exactly what is
happening. So keep watching Europe. What is happening to them will eventually happen
to us.
The following are 17 signs that
a full-blown economic depression is raging in southern Europe...
#1 The Italian economy is in the midst of a
horrifying "credit crunch" that is causing
thousands of companies to go bankrupt...
Confindustria,
the business federation, said 29pc of Italian firms cannot meet
"operational expenses" and are starved of liquidity. A "third
phase of the credit crunch" is underway that matches the shocks in
2008-2009 and again in 2011.
In
a research report the group said the economy was caught in a "vicious
circle" where banks are too frightened to lend, driving more companies
over the edge. A thousand are going bankrupt every day.
#2 During the 4th quarter of 2012, the
unemployment rate in Greece was 26.4 percent. That was 2.6
percent higher than the third quarter of 2012, and it was 5.7 percent higher
than the fourth quarter of 2011.
#3 During the 4th quarter of 2012, the youth
unemployment rate in Greece was 57.8 percent.
#4 The unemployment rate in Spain has reached 26 percent.
#5 In Spain there are 107 unemployed workers for
every available job.
#6 The unemployment rate in Italy is now 11.7
percent. That is the highest that it has been since Italy joined the euro.
#7 The youth unemployment rate in Italy has
risen to a new all-time record high of 38.7
percent.
#8 Unemployment in the eurozone as a whole has
reached a new all-time high of 11.9 percent.
#9 Italy's economy is starting to shrink at a frightening pace...
Data
from Italy's national statistics institute ISTAT showed that the country's
economy shrank by 0.9pc in the fourth quarter of last year and gross domestic
product was down a revised 2.8pc year-on-year.
#10 The Greek economy is contracting even faster than the Italian economy
is...
Greece
also sank further into recession during the fourth quarter of 2012, with
figures on Monday showing the economy contracted by 5.7pc year-on-year.
#11 Overall, the Greek economy has contracted by more than 20 percent
since 2008.
#12 Manufacturing activity is declining just
about everywhere in Europe except for Germany...
Research
group Markit said its index of activity in UK manufacturing – where 50 is the
cut off between growth and decline – sank from 50.5 in January to 47.9 in
February. It left Britain on the brink of a third recession in five years after
the economy shrank by 0.3 per cent in the final quarter of 2012.
Chris
Williamson, chief economist at Markit, said: ‘This represents a major setback
to hopes that the UK economy can return to growth in the first quarter and
avoid a triple-dip recession.’
The
eurozone manufacturing index also read 47.9. Germany scored 50.3 but Spain hit
46.8, Italy 45.8 and France 43.9.
#13 The percentage of bad loans in Italian
banks has risen to 12.2 percent. Back in 2007, that
number was sitting at just 4.5 percent.
#14 Bank deposits experienced significant
declines all over Europe during the month of
January.
#15 Private bond default rates are soaring all over southern Europe...
S&P
said the default rate for Italian non-investment grade bonds jumped to 9.5pc
last year from 5.7pc in 2012 as local banks shut off funding. It was even worse
in Spain, doubling to 14.3pc.
The
default rate in France rocketed from 0.8pc to 8.7pc, the latest in a blizzard
of bad news from the country as the delayed effects of tax rises, fiscal
tightening, and the strong euro do their worst.
#16 Lars Feld, a key economic adviser to German
Chancellor Angela Merkel, recently said the following...
"The
sustainability of Italian public finances is in jeopardy. The euro crisis will
therefore return shortly with a vengeance."
#17 Things have gotten so bad in Greece that
the Greek government plans to sell off 28 state-owned buildings -
including the main police headquarters in Athens.
One
of the few politicians in Europe that actually understands what is happening in
Europe is Nigel Farage. A video of one of his recent rants is posted
below. Farage believes that "the Eurozone has been a complete
economic disaster" and that the worst is yet to come...
Most people believe that the
eurozone has been "saved", but that is not even close to the truth.
In
fact, it becomes more likely that we will see the eurozone break up with each
passing day.
So
who would leave first?
Well,
recently there have been rumblings among some German politicians that Greece
should be the first to leave. The following is from a recent Reuters article...
Greece
remains the biggest risk for the euro zone despite a calming of its economic
and political crisis and may still have to leave the common currency, a senior
conservative ally of German Chancellor Angela Merkel said.
But
there is also a chance that Germany could eventually be the first nation that
decides to leave the euro. In fact, a new political party is forming in
Germany that is committed to getting Germany out of the euro. The
following is a brief excerpt from a recent article by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard...
A
new party led by economists, jurists, and Christian Democrat rebels will kick
off this week, calling for the break-up of monetary union before it can do any
more damage.
"An
end to this euro," is the first line on the webpage of Alternative für
Deutschland (AfD). "The introduction of the euro has proved to be a fatal
mistake, that threatens the welfare of us all. The old parties are used up.
They stubbornly refuse to admit their mistakes."
They
propose German withdrawl from EMU and return to the D-Mark, or a breakaway
currency with the Dutch, Austrians, Finns, and like-minded nations. The French
are not among them. The borders run along the ancient line of cleavage dividing
Latins from Germanic tribes.
However
this all plays out, the reality is that things are about to get much more
interesting in Europe.
No
debt bubble lasts forever. The Europeans are
finding that out right now, and the U.S. won't be too far behind.
But
for the moment, most Americans assume that everything is going to be okay
because the Dow keeps setting new all-time record highs.
Well,
enjoy this little bubble of debt-fueled false prosperity while you can, because
it won't last for long.
A
massive wake up call is coming, and it will be exceedingly painful for those
that are not ready for it.