http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com
http://albertpeia.com/dumpthecliff.htm
By Michael Snyder, on November 13th, 2012
The
election results made it abundantly clear that taxes are going to be going up,
and right now a lot of wealthy people all over America are trying to figure out
how to best position themselves for the hit that is coming. There are a
whole host of tax cuts that are set to expire on December 31st, and many
analysts are now speculating that we could see a race to dump stocks and other
financial assets before 2013 in order to get better tax treatment on those
sales. Of course it is still possible that Congress may reach a bargain
which would avoid these tax increases, but with each passing day that appears
to be increasingly unlikely - especially regarding the tax increases on the
wealthy. Whatever you may believe about this politically, the truth is
that we should all be able to agree that these looming tax increases provide an
incentive for wealthy people to sell off financial assets now rather than
later. After all, there are very few people out there that would actually
prefer to pay higher taxes on purpose. If the race to dump financial
assets becomes a landslide, could this push stocks down significantly late in
the year? Already there are all sorts of technical signs that indicate
that stocks are ready for a "correction" at the very least. For
example, the S&P 500 has already closed below its 200 day moving average
for several days in a row. Could the "sell off" that has
already begun become a race for the exits?
A lot of Americans have heard
about the looming "fiscal cliff", but most don't really understand
the specifics.
For investors, there are several
key changes which will happen unless Congress does something by January 1st.
First of all, the tax rate on
capital gains will go from 15 percent to 20 percent. For those with high
incomes, the rate will be even higher than that thanks to a tax increase that
our politicians managed to sneak into Obamacare. So, some wealthy
individuals will see their capitals gains taxed at nearly 24 percent in 2013
unless something is done.
For dividends, the outlook is
even more frightening. The tax rate on dividends will increase from 15
percent right now to over 43 percent for the highest income earners.
We have already seen these tax
increases play into business decisions that have been made in recent
months. For example, it is being reported that George Lucas potentially
saved hundreds of millions of dollars in taxes by selling Star Wars to Disney
this year rather than next year.
Anyone out there that wants to
take advantage of the current tax rates on capital gains and dividend income
better do so now, because these tax rates look like they are going to go away
and they probably will not be back for a very, very long time.
According to CNBC,
this makes the next couple of months an ideal time to dump stocks and other
financial assets...
For many of the wealthy,
2012 is becoming a good year to sell.
They're worried about the
"fiscal cliff,"
which is when tax cuts expire and spending cuts are set to go into effect at
the end of the year.
Fearing an increase in
capital gains and dividend taxes, many of the rich are unloading stocks,
businesses and homes before the end of the year.
And the truth is that stocks
simply did not have much higher that they could possibly go anyway.
Anyone that is trying to "get out while the getting is good" should
take heed of what Marc Faber recently told CNBC...
"The market is going
down because corporate profits will begin to disappoint, the global economy
will hardly grow next year or even contract, and that is the reason why stocks,
from the highs of September of 1,470 on the S&P, will drop at least 20
percent, in my view."
In fact, Faber is absolutely
convinced that a full-blown stock market crash is coming no matter what happens
with the fiscal cliff...
"I think the whole
global financial system will have to be reset and it won’t be reset by central
bankers but by imploding markets — either the currency [markets, debt market or
stock markets,” he said. “It will happen — it will happen one day and then
we’ll be lucky if we still have 50 percent of the asset values that we have
today."
Politics and economics have
always been deeply intertwined. The results of the most recent election
are going to have some very deep consequences. Already we have seen a large number of businesses either
announce layoffs or that hours for their workers will be cut back. You
can find a bunch of tweets from small business owners talking about how they
won't be hiring anyone or that they will be forced to reduce hours right here. You can find a bunch
of tweets from average citizens all over the country talking about how their
hours are already being cut back right here.
With each passing day, our
country is getting poorer, it is getting even deeper in debt and our economy is
becoming even more unstable. We are on a path that will only lead to total economic disaster, but the American
people just voted for more of the same.
So now we will get to see how
this all plays out.
Is there anyone out there that
is still optimistic about what is coming next for the U.S. economy?