http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com http://albertpeia.com/doomed.htm
If
you increased your credit card spending by a couple thousand dollars per month
would your lifestyle improve? Of course it would. By going into
large amounts of debt, it is possible to live a lifestyle that you can't really
afford, at least for a while. But if you keep racking up huge amounts of
credit card debt every single month, eventually it gets to a point where it is
extremely difficult to even keep up with the minimum monthly payments and the
credit card companies will not lend you any more money. Well, on a larger
scale it is the same thing with government debt. Right now, the U.S.
government is spending more than a trillion dollars more than it takes in every
year. Even if the U.S. government spends all of that money on incredibly stupid stuff, it
still gets into the pockets of ordinary Americans. In turn, those
ordinary Americans use that money to pay the mortgage, buy food, shop at the
mall, etc. All of this borrowing and spending by the U.S. government has
created a "false prosperity" bubble that is not real. It may
feel real to you right now, but it is unsustainable by definition. If the
U.S. government suddenly started spending only the money that it actually
brought in every year, our economy would be doomed and all of this "false
prosperity" would rapidly disappear. But if the U.S. government
continues to rack up debt at this pace we are doomed as well. In fact,
every dollar that gets borrowed makes our eventual collapse ever worse.
We are heading down the exact same road that Greece has gone. Eventually
the rest of the world is not going to lend us gigantic mountains of super cheap
money anymore. When the flow of cheap money stops, it can be extremely
painful. Anyone that has ever seen the interest rates on their credit
cards go above 20 percent knows how this feels. If we had addressed these
problems as a nation a decade or two ago, perhaps we could have found a
solution. But now there is no way out under our current financial system
and a devastating economic collapse is on the horizon no matter what we do.
If
there was a Hollywood movie where some crooks successfully stole 150 million
dollars, what would you think of those crooks?
Would
you have admiration for them?
Would
you be disgusted with them?
Would
you feel like your intelligence was insulted because nobody could ever steal
150 million dollars and get away with it?
Well,
right now the federal government is stealing approximately 150 million dollars
from our children and our grandchildren every single hour.
That's
right - the U.S. government is borrowing an astounding 150 million dollars an
hour that our children and our grandchildren will be expected to deal
with.
It
is a theft so vast that it is almost unimaginable.
So
what should be done?
A
lot of people out there think that our problems would be solved if the
government would just quit borrowing so much money.
Well,
it is just not that simple.
Look
at Greece. They were forced by the EU and the IMF to dramatically reduce
government spending. But when Greece reduced government spending, that
caused the economy to shrink rapidly and it caused tax receipts to go down more
than expected. So Greek budget deficits were even larger than anticipated
and so Greece was forced to cut spending even more. But that created even
more economic problems.
A
recent article by John
Mauldin described the nightmarish effect that this cycle has had on
Greece....
And as Greece began shake and bake its
way to "austerity," the very act of cutting deficits pushed the
country into recession, which lowered tax revenues and increased expenses,
putting the elusive goal of a balanced budget even further off. We should
quickly note that this is not just a Greek problem. Spain's
"draconian" cuts have meant that its 6% deficit target for the year
has this week been raised to a more likely 8%, making it harder to get back to
even.
For country after country, this is the
Endgame. It is the end of the Debt Supercycle. Debt has grown to the size that
it cannot be sustained. The market will not lend any more money on terms that
can be afforded, and any efforts to cut spending and raise taxes will result in
an even worse economy, in various degrees of recession, with falling revenues
and rising costs.
This is what happens when a country
that has been spending far beyond its means is forced to dramatically cut back.
Those that are convinced that balancing
the federal budget in the United States will be relatively painless should take
a close look at what is happening in Greece.
As I have written about previously, the Greek
economy has been plunged into a 21st century "Great Depression".
In Greece, 20 percent
of all retail stores have already shut down, the unemployment rate for those
under the age of 24 is sitting at 39 percent,
and one third of the entire nation is living in poverty.
And this is only just the beginning for
Greece.
Things are going to get even worse.
Unfortunately, many believe that the
United States is destined to experience far worse pain than Greece is currently
experiencing.
For example, Peter Schiff insists that
the United States is in worse financial shape than Europe at this point.
Just check out this video....
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=01oT6XcV-tQ
Anyone that attempts to
downplay the U.S. debt problem is
making a serious mistake. Yes, we are still able to borrow trillions of
dollars for next to nothing, but that is going to come to an end.
Remember all of those
"suckers" that signed up for mortgages at "teaser rates"
that later got jacked up dramatically?
Of course you do.
So what happened to them?
When the rates went up many of them
ended up losing everything.
Well, we have gotten ourselves into the
exact same kind of a position. All of this cheap money has enabled us to
live very nicely for now, but when the cheap money ends the nightmare will
begin.
Right now, our debt is growing much,
much faster than our economy is. Between 2007 and 2010, U.S. GDP grew by
only 4.26%, but the U.S. national debt soared by 61%
during that same time period.
What would your household finances look
like if your total debt grew by 61 percent next year but your income only grew
by 4 percent?
When I was a little boy, the U.S.
national debt was considered to be a huge national crisis. Politicians
from both major political parties were promising that they would fix things.
But what has happened since then?
Well, when Ronald Reagan took office
the U.S. national debt was less than 1
trillion dollars. Today, the U.S. national debt is over 15.2 trillion dollars.
During 2011, the federal government went
into more debt than the U.S. government accumulated from the time that George
Washington became president to the time that Ronald Reagan became president.
That may be hard to believe, but it is
true.
During fiscal year 2011, the U.S.
government spent 3.7
trillion dollars but it only brought in 2.4 trillion dollars.
That is utter insanity, and yet most
Americans have become convinced that this is "normal" and that there
is nothing to worry about.
It is hard to grasp how much money a
trillion dollars is.
If right this moment you went out and
started spending one dollar every single second, it would take you more than 31,000 years to spend one
trillion dollars.
That is how much money a trillion
dollars is.
And things look even worse when you
look at the balance sheet of the U.S. government.
The U.S. government has total assets of
2.7 trillion dollars
and has total liabilities of 17.5 trillion dollars.
Those liabilities do not even count 4.7 trillion dollars
of intragovernmental debt that is currently outstanding.
But it is not just the federal
government that has been living a fantasy.
The chart posted below shows the growth
of total debt in America over the past several decades. Consumers,
businesses and government officials have been on a debt binge that is
absolutely unprecedented....
http://albertpeia.com/doomed.png
The scary thing is that even with all
of this borrowed money, our economy is still in the dumps.
So what in the world is it going to
look like when the debt bubble totally bursts?
Even with all of this "borrowed
prosperity", anger at the government is rapidly growing. A recent
Gallup poll found that "satisfaction with government" in the United
States is now at an all-time record low of 29 percent.
So how angry will the American people
be when all of this "borrowed prosperity" disappears?
When this whole thing comes tumbling
down, a lot of people are going to blame our problems on
"capitalism".
In fact, it is already happening.
Just check out what the founder of the World Economic Forum is saying....
"We have a general morality gap,
we are over-leveraged, we have neglected to invest in the future, we have
undermined social coherence, and we are in danger of completely losing the
confidence of future generations," said Klaus Schwab, host and founder of
the annual World Economic Forum.
"Solving problems in the context
of outdated and crumbling models will only dig us deeper into the hole.
"We are in an era of profound
change that urgently requires new ways of thinking instead of more
business-as-usual," the 73-year-old said, adding that "capitalism in
its current form, has no place in the world around us."
But capitalism is not the problem.
Capitalism has produced the greatest eras of prosperity that the world has ever
seen.
No, the real problem is our debt-based
financial system that is managed and run by the central banks of the world.
You see, debt-based central banking is
not capitalism. But way too many people equate the two.
A lot of people cannot even imagine
this, but theoretically you could have capitalism without any debt whatsoever.
But what we have today is a financial
system that has debt as the very foundation. And such a system is
inevitably going to fail someday.
As I have written about so many times
before, the Federal Reserve is at the very heart of
our economic problems here in the United States.
The Federal Reserve was designed to be
a perpetual debt machine. And it has performed that task very well.
The U.S. national debt is now more than 5000 times larger than it was when the Federal Reserve
was first created.
So yes, even though things seem
somewhat "stable" for the moment, there are all kinds of reasons to
be concerned about the viability of our economy and our financial system in the
years ahead.
The other day, I was quoted in a Reuters
article about our coming economic problems....
"Most people have a gut feeling
that something has gone terribly wrong, but that doesn't mean that they
understand what is happening," he said. "A lot of Americans sense
that a massive economic storm is coming and they want to be prepared for
it."
Of course the Reuters reporter did not
even bother to spell my name correctly, but at least he got the quote right.
A great economic storm is
coming.
Don't let this false prosperity and
this "calm before the storm" fool you.
We are living in the greatest debt
bubble the world has ever seen, and no matter how it plays out there is going
to be a massive amount of pain.
You might want to get yourself and your
family prepared for that.