YAHOO [BRIEFING.COM] : Stocks
struggled as investors grappled with ongoing uncertainty and the threat of
continued losses from the financial sector.
The fate of the Big Three
automakers remains uncertain, even though the White House signaled that a more
thorough relief plan for automakers is on the way. While the comments aim to
reassure investors, details remain absent. There has been no detail on
timing, amounts, or terms. General Motors (GM 4.08, +0.14) and Ford (F 3.18, +0.14) both finished higher.
Financials (-4.0%) made up the
session's worst performers, thanks to notable weakness in major banks like JPMorgan Chase (JPM 28.63, -2.31) and Bank of America (BAC 14.14, -0.79). JPMorgan had its
shares downgraded to Underperform by analysts at Merrill Lynch, citing exposure
to lending markets. Shares of Bank of America suffered on related weakness.
Reports indicated Bank of America is laying off top executives, which follows
announcements last week that the bank will cut between 30,000 and 35,000
employees from its workforce.
Investors also sent shares of Goldman Sachs (GS 66.46, -1.28) and Morgan Stanley (MS 13.64, -0.21) lower. Shares of the
former investment banks have been shunned in recent sessions as investors anticipate
heavy losses from the pair when they report quarterly results Tuesday and
Wednesday, respectively.
Losses stemming from the
financial sector have wreaked havoc on the broader financial system and, in
turn, the economy. November industrial production slipped 0.6%, which was about
in-line with expectations, but reflects the underlying weak trend. In November,
manufacturing output fell a sharp 1.4%.
The recent drops suggest
business retrenchment is underway as production is now down 5.5% over the past
year. Declines of about 0.5% per month are likely in the immediate months
ahead.
Such trends have the Federal
Open Market Committee (FOMC) fighting to kick-start lending in order to induce
economic growth. As such, fed funds futures imply a reduction to the fed funds
target rate is certain. There is currently a 66% implied probability the target
rate will be cut to 0.25% from 1.00%. There is a 34% implied probability the
rate will be cut to 0.5%.
The expected drop in interest
rates combined with weak economic conditions has currency traders rotating out
of U.S. dollars. The greenback slipped roughly 1.6% against a basket of major
foreign currencies.
The dollar's slide helped fuel
an early advance in commodities such as natural gas, gold, silver, and crude
oil. Crude was up as much as 8.2% during the session, but came under pressure
as the threat of a production cut from OPEC was no longer a surprise. Crude
prices already advanced more than 10% last week alone. OPEC meets Wednesday and
is expected to cut daily production by 2 million barrels.
The initial gains helped the
energy and materials sectors stand out as early leaders. Energy was up 2.7% at
its session high, while the materials sector was up 2.2% at its session high.
However, the gains turned to losses as sellers extended their reach and oil
went on the slide. Energy finished 0.3% lower, while materials shed 0.4%.
All 10 of the major economic
sectors settled lower, which contrasts with the broad-based gains sported
shortly after the session's opening bell.
European stocks also traded
with weakness, despite sporting gains through the first half of their
session. France's CAC shed 0.9%, while Germany's DAX dropped 0.2% and
London's FTSE fell 0.1%.
Asian markets fared far
better, though their markets were closed before weakness crept into U.S.
markets. Hong Kong's Hang Seng advanced 2.0%. Japan's Nikkei
climbed 5.2%.DJ30 -65.15 NASDAQ -32.38 NQ100 -2.1% R2K -3.4% SP400 -2.6% SP500
-11.16 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 679/1.68 bln/2074 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 818/1.21 bln/2309