Weekly Recap - Week ending
19-Jun-09Investors took profits this week following an aggressive three-month
rebound, with the stock market selling off on Monday and Tuesday before mixed
trade finished out the week -- S&P 500 -2.6%, Dow -2.9%, Nasdaq Comp -1.7%,
Russell 2000 -2.7%.
Market participants now believe that things are less bad than before with the
economy and earnings prospects, but the lack of action suggests investors are
waiting for headlines to drive the market. Lackluster volume can be partially
explained by the typical summer lull, but participants are also awaiting
further data that confirms signs of an economic recovery, second quarter
earnings season, legislation on regulatory reform for the Financial sector and
reform proposals for the Health Care sector, among other items.
Nine of the 10 S&P sectors finished in the red this week, led by Energy
(-6.5%), Materials (-6.4%) and Industrials (-5.6%). Health Care (+2.1%) was the
only one in the black as that volatile sector seems to move on every reform
headline.
As mentioned above, the stock market made its largest move on Monday, with the
S&P declining 2.4%. The negative disposition was attributed to reports that
G-8 ministers discussed over the weekend how they should prepare to unwind stimulus
spending as the economic recovery begins to take root. The commodities market
and material stocks were also under pressure following a surge in the dollar
after Russian Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin reassured investors of Russia's
confidence in the U.S. currency and the BRIC nations said they do not intend to
discuss new global reserve currencies at their first summit.
Stocks attempted to rebound on Tuesday, but ended up extending Monday's
declines. Industrial Production came in at -1.1% for May (consensus -1.0%),
while the prior month was revised lower to -0.7% from -0.5%. That more than
offset better-then-expected housing data, as Housing Starts came in at 532,000
in May (consensus 485,000) and Building Permits came in at 518,000 for the
month (consensus 508,000).
The stock market actually continued its sell-off on Wednesday morning, as FedEx
(FDX) issued disappointing fiscal Q1 (August) guidance and ratings
agency Standard & Poor's lowered its ratings and revised its outlooks on 22
banks. But stocks were able to recover from their lows, finishing the session
with mixed results.
Thursday and Friday produced more of the same. Volume was extremely low
yesterday, with the NYSE hardly trading 1 billion shares. While it doubled
today, trading over 2 billion shares, that was due to quarterly options
expiration.
Looking ahead to next week, there are a few notable earnings releases,
including Walgreen (WAG) on Monday (6/22), Oracle (ORCL)
on Tuesday (6/23) and Monsanto (MON) on Wednesday (6/24).
There will also be some important economic releases, including Existing Home
Sales on Tuesday, Durable Goods Orders on Wednesday and the Final reading for
Q1 GDP on Thursday (6/25). However, market participants will still be awaiting
resolutions for those items mentioned above, which could impact (further lull)
trading.
Index |
Started Week |
Ended Week |
Change |
% Change |
YTD % |
DJIA |
8799.26 |
8539.73 |
-259.53 |
-2.9 |
-2.7 |
Nasdaq |
1858.80 |
1827.47 |
-31.33 |
-1.7 |
15.9 |
S&P 500 |
946.21 |
921.23 |
-24.98 |
-2.6 |
2.0 |
Russell 2000 |
526.83 |
512.72 |
-14.11 |
-2.7 |
2.7 |