Stocks regained momentum
during the week, with the smaller-cap indexes and the technology-oriented
Nasdaq performing particularly well. Share prices jumped on Monday in response
to favorable news on the bellwether semiconductor industry, which avoided its
typical contraction following the end of the holiday shopping season. Investors
also appeared encouraged that factories increased production for the seventh
consecutive month in February despite logistical troubles caused by massive
snowstorms on the East Coast. A reported rise in consumer spending in January
may have also boosted sentiment. On Thursday, the favorable news on
manufacturing was matched by a positive reading on the larger services sector,
which has been slower to emerge from the recession. The Institute for Supply
Management announced that its non-manufacturing index rose to its highest level
since December 2007, the month the recession began. On Friday, investors
reacted with relief when the Labor Department announced that payrolls had
declined by only 36,000 in February, while the unemployment rate had remained
steady at 9.7%. Over one million people reported being unable to work because
of the weather, and many experts had feared that February’s
storms might deal a much larger setback to the elusive employment recovery.
Sentiment also got a boost from a Federal Reserve report showing the first
increase in consumer borrowing in a year.
U.S.
Stocks1 |
|||
Index2 |
Friday’s Close |
Week’s Change |
% Change |
DJIA |
10566.20 |
248.04 |
1.32% |
S&P
500 |
1138.69 |
36.30 |
2.12% |
NASDAQ
Composite |
2326.35 |
93.96 |
2.52% |
S&P
MidCap 400 |
770.47 |
34.70 |
6.03% |
Russell
2000 |
665.61 |
38.14 |
4.97% |
This chart
is for illustrative purposes only and does not represent the performance of any
specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee future results.
1Source of data Reuters, obtained through Yahoo! Finance Closing
data as of 4:10 p.m. ET.
2The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Standard & Poor’s 500
Stock Index of blue chip stocks, the Standard & Poor’s MidCap 400 Index,
and the Russell 2000 Index are unmanaged indexes representing various segments
by market capitalization of the U.S. equity markets. The Nasdaq Composite is an
unmanaged index representing the companies traded on the Nasdaq stock market
and the National Market System.
____________________________
Week Ended March
5, 2010
Unit labor costs fell 4.7%
throughout 2009, the lowest annual rate in the 62 years these costs have been
measured. Labor cost deflation has been restraining overall inflation in the
U.S. economy, but that does not mean that we have entered a period of deflation
(generally falling prices) or even disinflation (a slowing rate of price increases).
In fact, the trend of inflation has been turning higher, creating conditions
that will eventually prompt the Federal Reserve to start raising short-term
interest rates—most likely later this year. We believe
this shift in Fed policy could begin as early as the third quarter.
Unemployment continues to be a problem, holding steady at a lofty 9.7% in
February. Treasury yields climbed during the week as investors anticipated
higher rates down the road.
U.S.
Treasury Yields1 |
||
Maturity |
March 5, 2010 |
February 19, 2010 |
2-Year |
0.89% |
0.80% |
10-Year |
3.69% |
3.60% |
30-Year |
4.64% |
4.55% |
This table is for
illustrative purposes only. Past performance cannot guarantee future
results.
1Source of data: Bloomberg.com, as of 4
p.m. ET Friday, March 5, 2010.
____________________________
Week Ended February 26,
2010
International
Stocks
Foreign stock markets closed higher for the week ending February
26, 2010 with the broad international measure, the MSCI EAFE Index (Europe,
Australasia, and Far East), gaining 0.54%.
|
||
Region/Country |
Week’s Return |
% Change Year-to-Date |
EAFE |
0.54% |
-5.05% |
Europe ex-U.K. |
-0.55% |
-8.51% |
Denmark |
-0.20% |
1.80% |
France |
-0.39% |
-9.51% |
Germany |
-1.20% |
-10.66% |
Italy |
-2.47% |
-13.58% |
Netherlands |
-1.33% |
-7.93% |
Spain |
-2.44% |
-18.10% |
Sweden |
1.45% |
0.31% |
Switzerland |
1.00% |
-1.52% |
United
Kingdom |
-1.23% |
-6.19% |
Japan |
4.04% |
3.04% |
AC
Far East ex-Japan |
1.39% |
-5.71% |
Hong Kong |
3.37% |
-2.94% |
Korea |
-0.26% |
-4.86% |
Malaysia |
1.25% |
-0.01% |
Singapore |
1.02% |
-5.25% |
Taiwan |
-0.74% |
-9.91% |
Thailand |
4.88% |
-1.19% |
EM
Latin America |
-1.03% |
-5.04% |
Brazil |
-1.31% |
-6.88% |
Mexico |
-0.80% |
-2.25% |
Argentina |
-5.44% |
-7.77% |
EM
(Emerging Markets) |
0.32% |
-5.21% |
Hungary |
0.57% |
-4.39% |
India |
2.05% |
-4.02% |
Israel |
2.00% |
2.50% |
Russia |
-1.80% |
-2.98% |
Turkey |
-7.93% |
-10.41% |
International
Bond Markets
International bond markets in developed countries were higher
this week, with the J.P. Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index gaining
2.49%.
|
||
Region/Country |
Week’s Return |
% Change Year-to-Date |
Developed
Markets |
2.49% |
0.27% |
Europe |
|
|
Denmark |
2.34% |
-2.20% |
France |
2.04% |
-2.68% |
Germany |
2.05% |
-2.51% |
Italy |
1.56% |
-3.75% |
Spain |
1.97% |
-3.57% |
Sweden |
3.61% |
2.09% |
United
Kingdom |
0.20% |
-5.49% |
Japan |
3.73% |
4.83% |
Emerging
Markets |
1.29% |
1.47% |
Argentina |
0.16% |
-9.27% |
Brazil |
1.10% |
1.18% |
Bulgaria |
0.40% |
-0.18% |
Russia |
0.71% |
2.01% |
International
Currency Markets
On the currency front, the U.S. dollar was stronger against the
major currencies for the week.
|
|||
Currency |
Close |
Week’s Return |
% Change |
Japanese
yen |
88.865 |
-3.51% |
-4.76% |
Euro |
1.36471 |
-1.00% |
4.88% |
British
pound |
1.52241 |
1.25% |
5.72% |
1U.S. dollars per national currency
unit.
Sources: Foreign stock markets and currency sections are from
Rimes Technologies, using MSCI data. International bond markets are from J.P.
Morgan.
Note: All returns are in U.S. dollars. All bond indices are J.P.
Morgan. All stock indices are Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI).
Equity
Indices |
|
EAFE: |
MSCI
Europe, Australasia, and Far East Index |
Europe
Ex-U.K.: |
MSCI
Europe ex-U.K. Index |
Far East
Ex-Japan: |
MSCI AC
Far East ex-Japan Index |
Latin
America: |
MSCI
Emerging Markets Latin America Index |
Emerging
Markets: |
MSCI
Emerging Markets Index |
Bond
Indices |
|
Developed
Markets: |
J.P.
Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index |
Emerging
Markets: |
J.P.
Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus |
All charts are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the
performance of any specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee
future results.