U.S. Stock Market

Week Ended March 5, 2010

Stocks regained momentum during the week, with the smaller-cap indexes and the technology-oriented Nasdaq performing particularly well. Share prices jumped on Monday in response to favorable news on the bellwether semiconductor industry, which avoided its typical contraction following the end of the holiday shopping season. Investors also appeared encouraged that factories increased production for the seventh consecutive month in February despite logistical troubles caused by massive snowstorms on the East Coast. A reported rise in consumer spending in January may have also boosted sentiment. On Thursday, the favorable news on manufacturing was matched by a positive reading on the larger services sector, which has been slower to emerge from the recession. The Institute for Supply Management announced that its non-manufacturing index rose to its highest level since December 2007, the month the recession began. On Friday, investors reacted with relief when the Labor Department announced that payrolls had declined by only 36,000 in February, while the unemployment rate had remained steady at 9.7%. Over one million people reported being unable to work because of the weather, and many experts had feared that Februarys storms might deal a much larger setback to the elusive employment recovery. Sentiment also got a boost from a Federal Reserve report showing the first increase in consumer borrowing in a year.

U.S. Stocks1

Index2

Friday’s Close

Week’s Change

% Change
Year-to-Date

DJIA

10566.20

248.04

1.32%

S&P 500

1138.69

36.30

2.12%

NASDAQ Composite

2326.35

93.96

2.52%

S&P MidCap 400

770.47

34.70

6.03%

Russell 2000

665.61

38.14

4.97%

This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not represent the performance of any specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee future results.

1Source of data Reuters, obtained through Yahoo! Finance Closing data as of 4:10 p.m. ET.

2The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Index of blue chip stocks, the Standard & Poor’s MidCap 400 Index, and the Russell 2000 Index are unmanaged indexes representing various segments by market capitalization of the U.S. equity markets. The Nasdaq Composite is an unmanaged index representing the companies traded on the Nasdaq stock market and the National Market System.

 

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U.S. Bond Market

Week Ended March 5, 2010

Unit labor costs fell 4.7% throughout 2009, the lowest annual rate in the 62 years these costs have been measured. Labor cost deflation has been restraining overall inflation in the U.S. economy, but that does not mean that we have entered a period of deflation (generally falling prices) or even disinflation (a slowing rate of price increases). In fact, the trend of inflation has been turning higher, creating conditions that will eventually prompt the Federal Reserve to start raising short-term interest ratesmost likely later this year. We believe this shift in Fed policy could begin as early as the third quarter. Unemployment continues to be a problem, holding steady at a lofty 9.7% in February. Treasury yields climbed during the week as investors anticipated higher rates down the road.

U.S. Treasury Yields1

Maturity

March 5, 2010

February 19, 2010

2-Year

0.89%

0.80%

10-Year

3.69%

3.60%

30-Year

4.64%

4.55%

This table is for illustrative purposes only. Past performance cannot guarantee future results.

1Source of data: Bloomberg.com, as of 4 p.m. ET Friday, March 5, 2010.

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Week Ended February 26, 2010

International Stocks

Foreign stock markets closed higher for the week ending February 26, 2010 with the broad international measure, the MSCI EAFE Index (Europe, Australasia, and Far East), gaining 0.54%.

 

Region/Country

Week’s Return

% Change Year-to-Date

EAFE

0.54%

-5.05%

Europe ex-U.K.

-0.55%

-8.51%

Denmark

-0.20%

1.80%

France

-0.39%

-9.51%

Germany

-1.20%

-10.66%

Italy

-2.47%

-13.58%

Netherlands

-1.33%

-7.93%

Spain

-2.44%

-18.10%

Sweden

1.45%

0.31%

Switzerland

1.00%

-1.52%

United Kingdom

-1.23%

-6.19%

Japan

4.04%

3.04%

AC Far East ex-Japan

1.39%

-5.71%

Hong Kong

3.37%

-2.94%

Korea

-0.26%

-4.86%

Malaysia

1.25%

-0.01%

Singapore

1.02%

-5.25%

Taiwan

-0.74%

-9.91%

Thailand

4.88%

-1.19%

EM Latin America

-1.03%

-5.04%

Brazil

-1.31%

-6.88%

Mexico

-0.80%

-2.25%

Argentina

-5.44%

-7.77%

EM (Emerging Markets)

0.32%

-5.21%

Hungary

0.57%

-4.39%

India

2.05%

-4.02%

Israel

2.00%

2.50%

Russia

-1.80%

-2.98%

Turkey

-7.93%

-10.41%

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International Bond Markets

International bond markets in developed countries were higher this week, with the J.P. Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index gaining 2.49%.

 

Region/Country

Week’s Return

% Change Year-to-Date

Developed Markets

2.49%

0.27%

Europe

 

 

Denmark

2.34%

-2.20%

France

2.04%

-2.68%

Germany

2.05%

-2.51%

Italy

1.56%

-3.75%

Spain

1.97%

-3.57%

Sweden

3.61%

2.09%

United Kingdom

0.20%

-5.49%

Japan

3.73%

4.83%

Emerging Markets

1.29%

1.47%

Argentina

0.16%

-9.27%

Brazil

1.10%

1.18%

Bulgaria

0.40%

-0.18%

Russia

0.71%

2.01%

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International Currency Markets

On the currency front, the U.S. dollar was stronger against the major currencies for the week.

 

Currency

Close
(February 26, 2010)

Week’s Return
(U.S. $)

% Change
Year-to-Date (U.S. $)

Japanese yen

88.865

-3.51%

-4.76%

Euro

1.36471

-1.00%

4.88%

British pound

1.52241

1.25%

5.72%

1U.S. dollars per national currency unit.

Sources: Foreign stock markets and currency sections are from Rimes Technologies, using MSCI data. International bond markets are from J.P. Morgan.

Note: All returns are in U.S. dollars. All bond indices are J.P. Morgan. All stock indices are Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI).

Equity Indices

EAFE:

MSCI Europe, Australasia, and Far East Index

Europe Ex-U.K.:

MSCI Europe ex-U.K. Index

Far East Ex-Japan:

MSCI AC Far East ex-Japan Index

Latin America:

MSCI Emerging Markets Latin America Index

Emerging Markets:

MSCI Emerging Markets Index

 

Bond Indices

Developed Markets:

J.P. Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index

Emerging Markets:

J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus


All charts are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the performance of any specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee future results.