The major U.S. indices
closed lower on the week but finished the month with moderate gains despite
concerns about the economy. For the month, small- and mid-cap shares strongly
outperformed their large-cap peers. The Commerce Department announced that the
economy grew at a 5.9% annual rate in the fourth quarter of 2009, an increase
from last month's initial estimate of 5.7% and the fastest pace in over six
years. However, many economists expect growth to slow in 2010 due to continued
weak consumer demand. This view was supported by Tuesday's Conference Board
report showing a greater-than-expected drop in consumer confidence in February.
The housing market also remains fragile due to tight lending standards and employment
worries for potential buyers. Reports this week showed that sales of both new
and existing homes fell in January, the former number hitting a record-low
rate. U.S. markets also responded to developments in Greece, where government
leaders met with European finance officials to discuss progress in reducing the
country's budget deficit to a manageable level. Investors are concerned that
Greece could default on its debt, or that its woes could spread to other
heavily indebted countries, resulting in increased risk aversion.
U.S.
Stocks1 |
|||
Index2 |
Friday’s Close |
Week’s Change |
% Change |
DJIA |
10325.26 |
-77.09 |
-0.99% |
S&P
500 |
1104.49 |
-4.68 |
-0.95% |
NASDAQ
Composite |
2238.26 |
-5.61 |
-1.36% |
S&P
MidCap 400 |
738.36 |
-1.80 |
1.61% |
Russell
2000 |
630.12 |
-1.38 |
-0.62% |
This chart
is for illustrative purposes only and does not represent the performance of any
specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee future results.
1Source of data Reuters, obtained through Yahoo! Finance Closing
data as of 4:10 p.m. ET.
2The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Standard & Poor’s 500
Stock Index of blue chip stocks, the Standard & Poor’s MidCap 400 Index,
and the Russell 2000 Index are unmanaged indexes representing various segments
by market capitalization of the U.S. equity markets. The Nasdaq Composite is an
unmanaged index representing the companies traded on the Nasdaq stock market and
the National Market System.
____________________________
Week Ended February
26, 2010
Consumer confidence took a
surprising tumble in February, reflecting investors' concerns about the
strength of the economic recovery. The Conference Board reported that its
widely watched consumer confidence index fell more than 10 points, to 46.0 from
56.5 the month before. Analysts had been expecting a small drop to 55. A
reading above 90 signals that the economy is on solid ground, so the sharp
decline indicates that we have a long way to go before we put the recession
safely behind us. Consumer confidence is particularly important since consumer
demand accounts for more than two-thirds of total economic activity. Federal
Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke told Congress that continuing low interest rates
are necessary to support the economy. He was optimistic about the long-term
prospects for a recovery, but he maintained that low-cost borrowing over an
"extended period" will be necessary to stimulate growth. Indeed, the
economy grew at an annualized rate of 5.9% in the fourth quarter of 2009,
according to the latest reading, but that brisk pace is not expected to
continue. Treasury rates fell against the backdrop of the subdued economic
outlook.
U.S.
Treasury Yields1 |
||
Maturity |
February 26, 2010 |
February 19, 2010 |
2-Year |
0.80% |
0.92% |
10-Year |
3.60% |
3.78% |
30-Year |
4.55% |
4.71% |
This table is for
illustrative purposes only. Past performance cannot guarantee future
results.
1Source of data: Bloomberg.com, as of 4
p.m. ET Friday, February 26, 2010.
____________________________
Week Ended February 19,
2010
International
Stocks
Foreign stock markets closed higher for the week ending February
19, 2010 with the broad international measure, the MSCI EAFE Index (Europe,
Australasia, and Far East), gaining 1.71%.
|
||
Region/Country |
Week’s Return |
% Change Year-to-Date |
EAFE |
1.71% |
-5.55% |
Europe ex-U.K. |
3.33% |
-8.00% |
Denmark |
1.57% |
2.01% |
France |
3.86% |
-9.16% |
Germany |
3.23% |
-9.58% |
Italy |
2.65% |
-11.39% |
Netherlands |
2.23% |
-6.69% |
Spain |
3.69% |
-16.05% |
Sweden |
2.42% |
-1.12% |
Switzerland |
3.96% |
-2.50% |
United
Kingdom |
2.83% |
-5.02% |
Japan |
-2.57% |
-0.96% |
AC
Far East ex-Japan |
-0.96% |
-7.00% |
Hong Kong |
-1.79% |
-6.10% |
Korea |
-0.77% |
-4.61% |
Malaysia |
0.35% |
-1.24% |
Singapore |
-0.21% |
-6.20% |
Taiwan |
0.00% |
-9.24% |
Thailand |
0.46% |
-5.79% |
EM
Latin America |
4.46% |
-4.05% |
Brazil |
5.07% |
-5.65% |
Mexico |
4.12% |
-4.46% |
Argentina |
3.24% |
-2.46% |
EM
(Emerging Markets) |
1.27% |
-5.51% |
Hungary |
2.85% |
-4.92% |
India |
0.77% |
-5.94% |
Israel |
0.82% |
0.49% |
Russia |
4.18% |
-1.20% |
Turkey |
4.46% |
-2.70% |
International
Bond Markets
International bond markets in developed countries were lower
this week, with the J.P. Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index losing
-1.57%.
|
||
Region/Country |
Week’s Return |
% Change Year-to-Date |
Developed
Markets |
-1.57% |
-2.17% |
Europe |
|
|
Denmark |
-1.20% |
-4.43% |
France |
-1.08% |
-4.63% |
Germany |
-1.12% |
-4.47% |
Italy |
-0.86% |
-5.23% |
Spain |
-0.92% |
-5.44% |
Sweden |
-0.24% |
-1.48% |
United
Kingdom |
-2.31% |
-5.67% |
Japan |
-2.18% |
1.06% |
Emerging
Markets |
0.19% |
0.18% |
Argentina |
0.51% |
-9.41% |
Brazil |
0.47% |
-0.08% |
Bulgaria |
0.12% |
-0.57% |
Russia |
0.34% |
1.30% |
International
Currency Markets
On the currency front, the U.S. dollar was stronger against the
major currencies for the week.
|
|||
Currency |
Close |
Week’s Return |
% Change |
Japanese
yen |
91.985 |
2.16% |
-1.21% |
Euro |
1.35131 |
0.72% |
5.82% |
British
pound |
1.54171 |
1.44% |
4.53% |
1U.S. dollars per national currency
unit.
Sources: Foreign stock markets and currency sections are from
Rimes Technologies, using MSCI data. International bond markets are from J.P. Morgan.
Note: All returns are in U.S. dollars. All bond indices are J.P.
Morgan. All stock indices are Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI).
Equity
Indices |
|
EAFE: |
MSCI
Europe, Australasia, and Far East Index |
Europe
Ex-U.K.: |
MSCI
Europe ex-U.K. Index |
Far East
Ex-Japan: |
MSCI AC
Far East ex-Japan Index |
Latin
America: |
MSCI
Emerging Markets Latin America Index |
Emerging
Markets: |
MSCI
Emerging Markets Index |
Bond
Indices |
|
Developed
Markets: |
J.P.
Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index |
Emerging
Markets: |
J.P.
Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus |
All charts are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the
performance of any specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee
future results.