YAHOO
[BRIEFING.COM]: Volatility returned to the market this week, with a sharp 3%
drop in the S&P 500 on Thursday and big swings in the major averages today.
However, looking at the end result the picture is less dramatic,
as S&P 500 declined just -0.7% on the week. The increased volatility
has stemmed from sovereign debt concerns centered around the more fiscally
troubled European nations such as Portugal, Spain and Greece. This uncertainty
pressured overseas markets over the past two days, and resulted in strength in
the dollar.
The dollar has played a key role in the market action of the past two days,
with dollar-denominated assets exhibiting a strong inverse relationship with
the currency. This was very evident in this afternoon's strong rebound, as a
pullback from 6-month highs in the dollar index coincided with a sharp
short-covering rally that erased triple-digit losses in stocks. Technical
levels have also played a role in the end-of-week action, with the S&P 500
managing to hold its 200-day exponential moving average after slicing through
key support levels yesterday.
Looking at today's action more closely, stocks attempted to trade higher ahead
of the opening bell, despite the worse-than-expected January Employment Report.
The report showed that 20,000 nonfarm jobs were lost in January, worse than the
consensus expectation for a gain of 15,000 jobs. However, a pullback in the
headline unemployment rate to 9.7% from 10.0% proved a silver lining for some.
While buyers temporarily had control as the dollar eased off morning highs,
strength in stocks was short-lived. After declining as much as 1.8% during the
first half of the day, the market was able to erase triple-digit losses (the
DJIA rebounded over 170 pts) in a late-day short-covering spike that coincided
with a pullback in the dollar.
Looking out to next week, earnings season continues but there are fewer major
names scheduled to report, with only two Dow components (DIS
& KO) due out during the week. Volatility could remain elevated
as the market continues to digest macro factors and growing uncertainty. DJ30
+10 NASDAQ +16 NQ100 +0.8% R2K +0.6% SP400 +0.2% SP500 +3 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec
1433/1822059383/1214 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1326/1562194266/1740