Week
Ended December 23, 2011
Markets
enjoyed a healthy gain for the week as attention shifted back to the U.S.
economy, which continued to show signs of resilience in the face of the
European financial crisis. On Tuesday, stocks surged in response to news that
U.S. housing construction had jumped to its highest level in nearly two years,
with multifamily housing starts showing a particularly strong gain due to the
tight rental market. The positive signals from the housing market were
bolstered later in the week, when word came that single family home sales had reached
their highest level in several months, while the inventory of houses for sale
was at its lowest level in over five years. Thursday brought news that weekly
jobless claims had fallen to their lowest level since April 2008. Perhaps
reflecting greater confidence about the job market, a gauge of consumer
sentiment registered an encouraging increase. Not all the week's news was
favorable, however. Financials shares retreated at the start of the week,
following a reporting that U.S. banks might become subject to international
capital reserve requirements, which would weigh on profitability. Investors
also worried about a dire assessment of the European economy from the head of
the European Central Bank. Indeed, the ECB revealed on Wednesday that it had
loaned $640 billion to the continent's banks as part of its refinancing
operations—a much larger amount than most had
anticipated and one that suggested the severe strains that banks were facing.
In the U.S., a downward revision to third-quarter growth estimates may have
also restrained gains somewhat. In addition, a modestly disappointing capital
goods report for November indicated that fourth-quarter growth might not be as
robust as initially thought.
U.S. Stocks1 |
|||
Index2 |
Friday's Close |
Week's Change |
% Change |
DJIA |
12294.00 |
427.38 |
6.19% |
S&P 500 |
1265.33 |
45.67 |
0.61% |
NASDAQ Composite |
2618.64 |
63.31 |
-1.29% |
S&P MidCap 400 |
883.88 |
30.34 |
-2.58% |
Russell 2000 |
747.36 |
27.02 |
-4.83% |
This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not
represent the performance of any specific security. Past performance cannot
guarantee future results.
1Source of data Reuters, obtained through Yahoo! Finance Closing
data as of 4 p.m. ET.
2The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Standard & Poor's 500
Stock Index of blue chip stocks, the Standard & Poor's MidCap 400 Index,
and the Russell 2000 Index are unmanaged indexes representing various segments
by market capitalization of the U.S. equity markets. The Nasdaq Composite is an
unmanaged index representing the companies traded on the Nasdaq stock market
and the National Market System.
___________
U.S. Bond Market
Week Ended December 23, 2011
The
Commerce Department reported that durable goods orders rose 3.8% from October
through November. The pace of shipments for the two months is below the average
for the third quarter ended in September and suggests that spending on
equipment is slowing in the final quarter of 2011. That said, manufacturing
inventories rose 0.6% last month, providing a partial offset to the data.
Personal income and consumption also rose slightly. Putting the information in
perspective, we would expect to see real economic growth of between 3.0% and
3.5% for the fourth quarter. The news was mixed on the U.S. housing front, with
builders breaking ground on 685,000 new homes in November, a 9.3% increase over
October and the highest level since April 2010. A jump in apartment permits
spurred much of the advance. However, the Commerce Department also reported
that an unsettling 46% of home sales in November were either short or
foreclosure sales, with homes selling for less than the outstanding mortgages
as we approach the five-year mark in the housing crisis. In the political
arena, the Congress wrapped up its business for the year as both houses passed
an extension of the payroll tax cut for two months, ending yet another drawn-out
drama in the nation's capital that has characterized the environment in
Washington through most of the year. Our elected representatives will be forced
to take up the issue again early in 2012, so stay tuned for the next chapter of
this ongoing political saga. Treasury yields ticked up across the board as we
approached the final week of trading with a note of guarded optimism.
U.S. Treasury Yields1 |
||
Maturity |
December 23, 2011 |
December 16, 2011 |
2-Year |
0.28% |
0.23% |
10-Year |
2.02% |
1.85% |
30-Year |
3.06% |
2.85% |
This
table is for illustrative purposes only. Past performance cannot guarantee
future results.
1Source of data: Bloomberg.com, as of 3 p.m. ET Friday, December
23, 2011.
___________
International Stocks
Foreign stock markets closed lower for
the week ending December 16, 2011 with the broad international measure, the
MSCI EAFE Index (Europe, Australasia, and Far East), losing -4.01%.
|
||
Region/Country |
Week's Return |
% Change Year-to-Date |
EAFE |
-4.01% |
-14.40% |
Europe ex-U.K. |
-6.11% |
-18.18% |
Denmark |
-4.02% |
-18.74% |
France |
-8.20% |
-20.70% |
Germany |
-7.01% |
-19.84% |
Italy |
-8.22% |
-24.79% |
Netherlands |
-6.39% |
-16.80% |
Spain |
-7.60% |
-14.76% |
Sweden |
-5.01% |
-20.10% |
Switzerland |
-2.54% |
-9.32% |
United Kingdom |
-3.12% |
-5.85% |
Japan |
-2.15% |
-15.68% |
AC Far East ex-Japan |
-1.84% |
-15.82% |
Hong Kong |
-1.33% |
-17.65% |
Korea |
-3.02% |
-12.00% |
Malaysia |
-0.47% |
-4.26% |
Singapore |
-1.20% |
-17.96% |
Taiwan |
-2.10% |
-23.95% |
Thailand |
-1.68% |
-1.55% |
EM Latin America |
-4.47% |
-20.12% |
Brazil |
-5.25% |
-22.45% |
Mexico |
-4.12% |
-13.83% |
Argentina |
-4.21% |
-39.40% |
EM (Emerging Markets) |
-3.18% |
-19.30% |
Hungary |
-1.92% |
-30.87% |
India |
-5.44% |
-36.03% |
Israel |
3.77% |
-25.19% |
Russia |
-2.28% |
-19.93% |
Turkey |
-5.63% |
-34.44% |
International Bond Markets
International bond markets in developed
countries were lower this week, with the J.P. Morgan Global Government Bond
Less U.S. Index losing -0.29%.
|
||
Region/Country |
Week's Return |
% Change Year-to-Date |
Developed Markets |
-0.29% |
5.13% |
Europe |
|
|
Denmark |
-0.34% |
9.73% |
France |
-0.94% |
1.99% |
Germany |
-0.60% |
6.54% |
Italy |
-1.98% |
-9.31% |
Spain |
0.47% |
2.45% |
Sweden |
-2.41% |
10.18% |
United Kingdom |
0.65% |
15.06% |
Japan |
0.01% |
6.62% |
Emerging Markets |
-0.22% |
8.45% |
Argentina |
-3.12% |
-14.83% |
Brazil |
-0.05% |
13.36% |
Bulgaria |
0.36% |
2.06% |
Russia |
-0.75% |
5.16% |
International Currency Markets
On the currency front, the U.S. dollar
was stronger against the major currencies for the week.
|
|||
Currency |
Close |
Week's Return |
% Change |
Japanese yen |
77.710 |
0.12% |
-4.37% |
Euro |
1.30471 |
2.38% |
2.75% |
British pound |
1.55271 |
0.60% |
0.83% |
1U.S. dollars per national currency unit.
Sources: Foreign stock markets and
currency sections are from Rimes Technologies, using MSCI data. International
bond markets are from J.P. Morgan.
Note: All returns are in U.S. dollars.
All bond indices are J.P. Morgan. All stock indices are Morgan Stanley Capital
International (MSCI).
Equity Indices |
|
EAFE: |
MSCI Europe, Australasia, and Far East Index |
Europe Ex-U.K.: |
MSCI Europe ex-U.K. Index |
Far East Ex-Japan: |
MSCI AC Far East ex-Japan Index |
Latin America: |
MSCI Emerging Markets Latin America Index |
Emerging Markets: |
MSCI Emerging Markets Index |
Bond Indices |
|
Developed Markets: |
J.P. Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index |
Emerging Markets: |
J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus |
All charts are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the
performance of any specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee
future results.