YAHOO [BRIEFING.COM] : Wednesday
marked an ugly session on Wall Street, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq tumbling
to their lowest levels in five years and the Dow dropping to a five-year
closing low. Concerns over the fate of U.S. automakers, disappointing economic
data, a dour outlook from the Fed and the market's inability to hold its
lows fueled the selling interest.
The major indices ended the
session at their worst levels, in above average volume. The Dow, Nasdaq
and S&P 500 fell 5.1%, 6.5% and 6.1%, respectively.
October CPI fell by the
largest amount on record, which is good news in terms of the inflation outlook,
but also represents the weakness of the economy. Specifically, CPI fell 1.0%
month-over-month as energy prices plummeted 8.6%. Prices also declined outside
of energy, indicating weak demand -- core CPI fell 0.1% as used car prices
dropped 2.4% and apparel prices fell 1.0%.
The latest new residential
construction data fell to the lowest levels on record, and provide another weak
point for fourth quarter GDP calculations. October housing starts declined 4.5%
month-over-month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 791,000, which was
slightly higher than the consensus estimate of 780,000. Building permits
dropped 12% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 708,000, which was worse
than the consensus estimate of 774,000.
The Federal Reserve's 2008 and
2009 projections, released today in the FOMC Oct. 29 meeting minutes, mirrored
the latest economic data, with the Fed reducing forecasts for GDP growth and
inflation. For 2008, the Fed expects the economy will grow between 0.0% and
0.3%, down sharply from its previous forecast of 1.0% to 1.6%. The 2009
forecast now calls for growth between -0.2% and 1.1%, down from the previous forecast
of 2.0% to 2.8%. The Fed also raised its unemployment forecast.
The minutes hinted at the
likelihood of further monetary easing, as some FOMC members saw potential
for further rate cuts.
Although weakness was
broad-based with losses posted by all ten sectors and 492 of the 500
components within the S&P 500, the financial sector got hit the hardest
with a decline of 11.5%.
Citigroup (C 6.45, -1.91) tumbled 23% to its lowest
level since 1995. Citi said it will buy the remaining $17.4 billion in structure
investment vehicles it advised.
Automakers (-21.2%) got
clipped as executives from General Motors (GM 2.77, -0.32), Ford
(F 1.27, -0.41) and Chrysler, and the head of the UAW testified before
the House Financial Services Committee in an attempt to secure a government
loan. There were plenty of opponents in the House, which was similar to views
that were expressed by Senate Banking Committee members yesterday. GM's CEO
said on CNBC that the company is doing everything it can to avoid bankruptcy,
as he sees a high risk that a Chapter 11 filing (restructuring) could turn into
a Chapter 7 (liquidation). Reports that Toyota Motor (TM
59.64, -3.61) is going to cut North America production also weighed on
automakers.
A risk aversion trade lifted
Treasuries, with the 30-year bound rallying 3 points to yield 3.94% -- marking
the lowest yield since the 30-year bond was introduced in 1977. The 10-year
note rose 44 ticks to send its yield down to 3.36%.
In commodity trading, crude prices fell 2.4% to $53.10 per barrel. The government's weekly energy inventory showed a larger-than-expected build in crude and gasoline stockpiles, indicating decreased demand.DJ30 -427.47 NASDAQ -96.85 NQ100 -5.9% R2K -7.9% SP400 -7.4% SP500 -52.54 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 2519/2.36 bln/298 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 187/1.63 bln/2998