U.S. Stock Market

Week Ended October 29, 2010

U.S. stocks were largely flat for the week, although the technology-focused Nasdaq recorded a modest gain to close out October. Investors weighed another round of generally favorable earnings reports against worries about the strength of the recovery and how aggressive the Federal Reserve might be in attempting to stimulate growth and bring down unemployment. Markets got a boost to start the week when the National Association of Realtors announced that existing home sales had jumped in September by 10%, the biggest monthly gain on record. While a revival in home sales was buttressed later in the week by news of a similar jump in sales of new homes, a gauge of home prices showed a second monthly decline in August. On Wednesday, investors bid large-caps modestly lower, apparently in response to reports that the Federal Reserve would be less aggressive than many hoped in its new round of quantitative easingwidely referred to as QE2which investors widely expect to be announced following the next policy meeting in early November. Investors kept a close eye on the U.S. dollar, which wavered relative to other currencies in response to mixed economic signals and speculation about the scope of QE2. A decline in the dollar is generally perceived as beneficial to corporate profits, as U.S. exports become more competitive in overseas markets.

U.S. Stocks1

Index2

Friday's Close

Week's Change

% Change
Year-to-Date

DJIA

11118.49

-14.07

6.62%

S&P 500

1183.26

0.18

6.11%

NASDAQ Composite

2507.41

28.02

10.50%

S&P MidCap 400

829.13

4.22

14.10%

Russell 2000

703.87

0.30

11.01%

This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not represent the performance of any specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee future results.

1Source of data Reuters, obtained through Yahoo! Finance Closing data as of 4:10 p.m. ET.

2The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Standard & Poor's 500 Stock Index of blue chip stocks, the Standard & Poor's MidCap 400 Index, and the Russell 2000 Index are unmanaged indexes representing various segments by market capitalization of the U.S. equity markets. The Nasdaq Composite is an unmanaged index representing the companies traded on the Nasdaq stock market and the National Market System.

 ____________

 


U.S. Bond Market

Week Ended October 29, 2010

U.S. Treasury yields ended mostly higher as investors sold off government bonds early in the week. Fears seemed to be growing that the Federal Reserve's stimulative monetary policy could eventually lead to high inflation a major threat to owners of long-term bonds. The yields on Treasury inflation-protected securities (TIPS), which provide higher income to investors when consumer prices increase, fell as the yields on ordinary Treasuries rose. In fact, the Treasury auctioned TIPS at a negative yield for the first time ever on Monday. With the sub-zero yield, investors paid a premium for inflation protection and will realize a positive return only if inflation heats up. Along with inflation, the bond market's focus in recent weeks has been on the central bank's expected resumption of asset purchases to support a slowing economic recovery. Speculation that the Fed would pump as much as $2 trillion into the financial system helped drive up the prices of bonds and other securities in anticipation of the event. However, bond prices fell sharply after a midweek article in The Wall Street Journal suggested that the Fed's program might turn out to be smaller and more gradual than many assumed. Bond buyers returned at the end of the week. On Friday, the Commerce Department reported that the nation's gross domestic product rose by an estimated 2% in the third quarter. Although in line with expectations, many viewed the meager growth rate as reinforcement of the need for Fed actions.

U.S. Treasury Yields1

Maturity

October 29, 2010

October 22, 2010

2-Year

0.34%

0.35%

10-Year

2.60%

2.56%

30-Year

3.99%

3.94%

This table is for illustrative purposes only. Past performance cannot guarantee future results.

1Source of data: Bloomberg.com, as of 4 p.m. ET Friday, October 29, 2010.

 ___________



International Market

 

Week Ended October 22, 2010

International Stocks

Foreign stock markets closed lower for the week ending October 22, 2010 with the broad international measure, the MSCI EAFE Index (Europe, Australasia, and Far East), losing -0.45%.

 

Region/Country

Week's Return

% Change Year-to-Date

EAFE

-0.45%

5.58%

Europe ex-U.K.

0.27%

4.26%

Denmark

0.04%

26.46%

France

0.39%

0.93%

Germany

1.09%

7.91%

Italy

1.46%

-5.92%

Netherlands

-1.04%

3.66%

Spain

-0.17%

-8.50%

Sweden

1.12%

29.72%

Switzerland

-1.25%

8.23%

United Kingdom

-1.45%

5.65%

Japan

-0.33%

5.79%

AC Far East ex-Japan

-0.96%

15.39%

Hong Kong

-0.01%

22.82%

Korea

-1.15%

16.04%

Malaysia

-0.72%

31.87%

Singapore

-1.00%

19.18%

Taiwan

-0.92%

4.79%

Thailand

-1.39%

52.08%

EM Latin America

-2.98%

10.11%

Brazil

-4.71%

3.13%

Mexico

1.38%

16.62%

Argentina

3.85%

51.80%

EM (Emerging Markets)

-1.43%

14.19%

Hungary

-0.65%

4.06%

India

-0.98%

20.86%

Israel

-1.37%

1.07%

Russia

2.01%

8.96%

Turkey

-0.09%

44.03%

 

International Bond Markets

International bond markets in developed countries were lower this week, with the J.P. Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index losing -0.79%

 

Region/Country

Week's Return

% Change Year-to-Date

Developed Markets

-0.79%

10.08%

Europe

 

 

Denmark

-1.13%

7.46%

France

-1.15%

4.74%

Germany

-1.15%

5.02%

Italy

-1.07%

1.27%

Spain

-1.18%

-0.71%

Sweden

-0.91%

13.52%

United Kingdom

-2.08%

5.97%

Japan

-0.18%

17.99%

Emerging Markets

-0.34%

15.84%

Argentina

-2.13%

28.29%

Brazil

-0.55%

15.39%

Bulgaria

0.13%

8.11%

Russia

-0.67%

11.85%

 

International Currency Markets

On the currency front, the U.S. dollar was stronger against the major currencies for the week.

 

Currency

Close
(October 22, 2010)

Week's Return
(U.S. $)

% Change
Year-to-Date (U.S. $)

Japanese yen

81.420

0.09%

-14.34%

Euro

1.39251

0.62%

2.95%

British pound

1.5671

2.14%

2.97%

1U.S. dollars per national currency unit.

Sources: Foreign stock markets and currency sections are from Rimes Technologies, using MSCI data. International bond markets are from J.P. Morgan.

Note: All returns are in U.S. dollars. All bond indices are J.P. Morgan. All stock indices are Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI).

Equity Indices

EAFE:

MSCI Europe, Australasia, and Far East Index

Europe Ex-U.K.:

MSCI Europe ex-U.K. Index

Far East Ex-Japan:

MSCI AC Far East ex-Japan Index

Latin America:

MSCI Emerging Markets Latin America Index

Emerging Markets:

MSCI Emerging Markets Index

 

Bond Indices

Developed Markets:

J.P. Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index

Emerging Markets:

J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus


All charts are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the performance of any specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee future results.