U.S. Stock Market

Week Ended October 21, 2011

Stocks posted mixed returns for the week ended October 21, 2011. Blue chip stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 Index moved higher as investors grew more hopeful that European leaders would stem the Continent's financial crisis, while the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index generated losses. Overall, volatility remained high, and equities took investors on a rollercoaster ride throughout the week. Markets plunged on Monday, after two weeks of gains. Fear reemerged that U.S. economic growth and corporate earnings might be faltering and that progress on the eurozone sovereign debt problem had stalled. The next day, stocks recouped almost all of their losses in a late-day rally after news that the leaders of France and Germany had agreed to increase the size of the eurozone bailout fund to $2.7 trillion. Equity markets reversed course again on Wednesday, following the release of the Fed's "beige book" report, which contained a cautious assessment of the U.S. economy. Technology stocks fell sharply after Apple reported disappointing revenues and earnings. European sovereign debt issues were again in the spotlight on Thursday, and markets seesawed violently but ended the session about where they began. On Friday, stocks posted strong, across-the-board gains as several large companies reported solid earnings and the jobs picture appeared to improve. The Labor Department reported that unemployment rates fell in half of the U.S. states in September. Nationwide, employers added 103,000 jobs in September and claims for unemployment benefits fell to a six-month lownews that helped ease concerns that the economy was slipping back into recession. The unemployment rate has nonetheless remained stuck near 9% for the past two years.

U.S. Stocks1

Index2

Friday's Close

Week's Change

% Change
Year-to-Date

DJIA

11808.79

164.30

2.00%

S&P 500

1238.25

13.67

-1.54%

NASDAQ Composite

2637.46

-30.39

-0.58%

S&P MidCap 400

859.40

4.60

-5.27%

Russell 2000

710.42

-1.01

-9.53%

This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not represent the performance of any specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee future results.

1Source of data Reuters, obtained through Yahoo! Finance Closing data as of 4:10 p.m. ET.

2The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Standard & Poor's 500 Stock Index of blue chip stocks, the Standard & Poor's MidCap 400 Index, and the Russell 2000 Index are unmanaged indexes representing various segments by market capitalization of the U.S. equity markets. The Nasdaq Composite is an unmanaged index representing the companies traded on the Nasdaq stock market and the National Market System.

 

 

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U.S. Bond Market

Week Ended October 21, 2011

Investors finally found a ray of hope in economic data released during the week. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said the U.S. economy is growing more slowly than he would like, but the U.S. does not appear to be headed into another recession. First-time jobless claims fell to their lowest level since last April. September housing starts rose 15% over the previous month, primarily driven by multifamily housing starts, which climbed to a three-year high. In addition, the results of the October Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey dispelled fears of an immediate recession thanks to sharp rebounds in orders and shipments, which outweighed a drop in inventories. The encouraging news was tempered by an increase in wholesale prices, which rose sharply because of higher costs for gasoline, food, and some household items, revealing inflationary pressures in the production pipeline. Consumer prices also went up in September at a rate of 0.3%. As economic activity begins to pick up, the usual tradeoff is higher inflation in the months ahead. Still, the Fed is unlikely to push short-term interest rates higher until signs of a sustained economic upturn are clearly visible. Longer-term Treasury yields were fairly stable during the week, closing near their levels of the week before.

U.S. Treasury Yields1

Maturity

October 21, 2011

October 14, 2011

2-Year

0.27%

0.26%

10-Year

2.21%

2.24%

30-Year

3.27%

3.22%

This table is for illustrative purposes only. Past performance cannot guarantee future results.

1Source of data: Bloomberg.com, as of 4 p.m. ET Friday, October 21, 2011.

 

 

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International Market

Week Ended October 14, 2011

International Stocks

Foreign stock markets closed higher for the week ending October 14, 2011 with the broad international measure, the MSCI EAFE Index (Europe, Australasia, and Far East), gaining 4.5%.

 

Region/Country

Week's Return

% Change Year-to-Date

EAFE

4.50%

-8.99%

Europe ex-U.K.

6.44%

-9.50%

Denmark

4.38%

-20.09%

France

6.80%

-9.14%

Germany

8.18%

-10.91%

Italy

8.11%

-12.12%

Netherlands

7.92%

-8.33%

Spain

4.22%

-2.30%

Sweden

6.65%

-14.86%

Switzerland

4.32%

-4.54%

United Kingdom

4.31%

-3.42%

Japan

0.40%

-12.26%

AC Far East ex-Japan

5.39%

-14.50%

Hong Kong

5.20%

-15.38%

Korea

5.98%

-11.85%

Malaysia

4.31%

-4.95%

Singapore

6.37%

-12.73%

Taiwan

2.75%

-18.08%

Thailand

6.13%

-6.14%

EM Latin America

7.16%

-18.40%

Brazil

7.88%

-20.21%

Mexico

6.14%

-12.84%

Argentina

10.69%

-29.60%

EM (Emerging Markets)

5.89%

-16.69%

Hungary

12.27%

-21.56%

India

5.43%

-23.95%

Israel

2.77%

-27.45%

Russia

10.35%

-16.63%

Turkey

3.48%

-23.35%

 

International Bond Markets

International bond markets in developed countries were higher this week, with the J.P. Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index gaining 0.1%.

 

Region/Country

Week's Return

% Change Year-to-Date

Developed Markets

0.10%

6.77%

Europe

 

 

Denmark

1.54%

10.44%

France

0.69%

6.51%

Germany

1.67%

9.44%

Italy

1.39%

-0.58%

Spain

1.37%

7.78%

Sweden

1.31%

11.34%

United Kingdom

0.09%

11.45%

Japan

-0.96%

6.72%

Emerging Markets

1.98%

6.58%

Argentina

6.71%

-12.82%

Brazil

1.28%

9.99%

Bulgaria

0.67%

1.35%

Russia

2.58%

4.54%

 

International Currency Markets

On the currency front, the U.S. dollar was weaker against the major currencies for the week.

 

Currency

Close
(October 14, 2011)

Week's Return
(U.S. $)

% Change
Year-to-Date (U.S. $)

Japanese yen

77.365

0.78%

-4.83%

Euro

1.38651

-2.76%

-3.35%

British pound

1.57991

-1.17%

-0.91%

1U.S. dollars per national currency unit.

Sources: Foreign stock markets and currency sections are from Rimes Technologies, using MSCI data. International bond markets are from J.P. Morgan.

Note: All returns are in U.S. dollars. All bond indices are J.P. Morgan. All stock indices are Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI).

Equity Indices

EAFE:

MSCI Europe, Australasia, and Far East Index

Europe Ex-U.K.:

MSCI Europe ex-U.K. Index

Far East Ex-Japan:

MSCI AC Far East ex-Japan Index

Latin America:

MSCI Emerging Markets Latin America Index

Emerging Markets:

MSCI Emerging Markets Index

 

Bond Indices

Developed Markets:

J.P. Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index

Emerging Markets:

J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus


All charts are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the performance of any specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee future results.