YAHOO [BRIEFING.COM]: Failure
to sustain a rebound from midday losses left stocks to roll into the red during
the final hour. They still made it out with week 2% higher than where they
started.
The major equity averages lacked direction this morning, even though premarket
participants had cheered the September jobs report. Nonfarm payrolls grew by
103,000, up from an upwardly revised 57,000 in August. However, the upside
surprise is mostly due to the end of a strike at Verizon. Excluding those
workers, payrolls increased by 58,000, which is on par with the 60,000 new jobs
that had been generally expected among economists polled by Briefing.com.
Meanwhile, private payrolls increased by 137,000, which came on top of the
upwardly revised 42,000 jobs that were added during the prior month. An
increase of 83,000 had been broadly expected.
The number of people entering the workforce was roughly the same as the number
of workers who found jobs in September, so the unemployment rate remained at
9.1%, which is exactly what had been expected. However, job gains were mostly
part-time, resulting in an increase in underemployment that took the
"real" unemployment rate up to 16.5% from 16.2% in the prior month.
Even though the payrolls report proved better-than-expected, stocks lacked leadership
at the open of trade. That made it difficult for the major equity averages to
extend their streak of gains to a fourth straight session.
The listlessness of early
trade left stocks to slide into negative territory. Selling intensified in
response to news that analysts at Fitch cut their ratings on Italy and Spain.
At its low, the stock market was down more than 1%.
Stocks managed to stage a
steady afternoon rebound that took the market back to a modest gain, but the
move ultimately broke down in the final few minutes of trade. Although the late
dive took all three major equity averages into negative territory, losses were
steepest for the Nasdaq, which was hurt by weakness among biotech plays.
Strength among a few blue chips helped limit the extent of the Dow's decline.
Financials were a drag all
session. The sector descended to a 3.7% loss as bank stocks buckled. Banks were
likely imbued by news that analysts at Moody's downgraded a dozen banks in the
United Kingdom and a handful of others in Portugal.
Financials actually fueled
broad market gains in the prior session, but only after the sector rallied back
from an early loss. Their leadership yesterday helped the S&P 500 push
through resistance at the 1160 line. Of course, the late slide on Friday caused
the S&P 500 to finish the week below that mark.
Shares or retailers were also
in play yesterday. The attention came after a relatively mixed batch of
same-store sales results for September.
Initial weekly jobless claims
on Thursday didn't have much of an influence on the mood of market
participants, mostly because the 401,000 initial claims essentially matched
what had been widely expected. That tally was indicative of an improving labor
sector since it stayed at a level that is within the Briefing.com
"Recovery Zone."
Europe was in close focus
yesterday, too. Participants were generally surprised at the lack of
accommodative action taken by the European Central Bank, which opted to keep
its benchmark lending rate at 1.50%. The Bank of England opted to keep its
target rate at 0.50%, but it increased its asset purchase plan to 275 billion
pounds from 200 billion pounds. That news initially put pressure on the pound,
but it eventually rallied back and even finished the week on a positive note.
Tuesday and Wednesday saw
stocks climb sharply for the broad market's best back-to-back performance in
more than a month. On Wednesday, participants were given insight into the
official September payrolls number by an ADP Employment Change report that
showed that private payrolls increased by 91,000. The Briefing.com consensus
had called for an increase of 45,000. Although the report doesn't always
accurately forecast the exact payrolls number, it is often directionally
accurate relative to expectations. The ISM Services Index for September was
shrugged off; it slipped to 53.0 from 53.3 in the prior month, but still
narrowly exceeded the 52.8 that had been widely expected.
Trade on Tuesday may have
kicked off a three-day rally, which took stocks 6% higher, but what's more
impressive is that stocks had to crawl out of a hole that had the S&P 500
at a 52-week low and more than 20% below its May high. The rally from those
depths came once participants opted, for the time being, to look past the
threat that Greece could default on its debt, let alone meet its deficit
reduction targets, and the systemic troubles of the broader eurozone.
Several closely tracked
commodities succumbed to selling pressure this session. Specifically, oil
prices ended pit trade at $82.79 per barrel for a 0.2% loss. For the week,
though, they advanced 4.5%. Elsewhere in the energy complex, natural gas prices
tumbled 3.1% to $3.49 per MMbtu. The decline fueled a weekly loss of almost 5%.
Precious metals failed to find
favor amid a downturn among equities. In turn, gold prices gave up 1.1% to end
the day at $1635.50 per ounce, but they managed to muster a 0.8% gain for the
week. As for silver, it slid 3.0% to $31.05 per ounce for the session, but
still scored a 3.2% gain for the week.
Such threats had weighed
heavily on trade in the first session of the week, overshadowing an improvement
in the ISM Manufacturing Index to 51.6 from 50.6 when it had been expected to
slip to 50.5. The increase came amid solid growth in new orders, which actually
played a part in the first increase in order backlogs since early summer.
Weakness on Monday marked an extension of the selling that caused stocks to
slide so sharply in the fourth quarter -- the worst quarter for the market in
almost three years. That weakness had many seeking the safety of the benchmark
10-year Note. The Note's yield was down to 1.75% at the start of the week, but
climbed back 2.00 by week's end. The bond market will be closed on Monday in
observance of Columbus Day.DJ30 -20.21 NASDAQ -27.47 NQ100 -0.7% R2K -2.6%
SP400 -1.6% SP500 -9.51 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 620/2.09 bln/1918 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec
867/1.14 bln/2147