YAHOO [BRIEFING.COM]: Today's
session was highlighted by a risk rally sparked by the Federal Reserve's
decision to increase policy accommodations by purchasing additional agency
mortgage-backed securities at a pace of $40 billion per month. The program is
open-ended by design, which allows the Federal Reserve to terminate it once the
employment picture shows substantial improvement. The S&P 500 was the best
performing index and it settled higher by 1.6%.
In addition, the Federal Reserve has released its latest economic projections.
Among items of note, the 2012 GDP growth expectation has been lowered, while
the outlook for 2013 and 2014 was raised. This year's GDP is now expected to
increase by a rate between 1.7% to 2.0%, which is lower than the previous
forecast of growth between 1.9% and 2.4%. Looking ahead, the 2013 GDP growth is
now expected to be between 2.5% and 3.0% while the previous forecast suggested
growth expectations between 2.2% and 2.8%. The Federal Reserve extended its
forward guidance, suggesting rates will likely remain at exceptionally low
levels through at least mid-2015. Lastly, ‘Operation Twist' will conclude at
the end of 2012.
Financial stocks made broad advances following the news. Bank of America (BAC 9.40, +0.43) led all majors with an
advance of 4.8%. Meanwhile, Citigroup (C 34.45, +1.40), JPMorgan Chase (JPM 41.40, +1.48), Wells Fargo (WFC 35.55, +1.22), and American Express (AXP 59.05, +1.78) all posted gains
between 3.0% and 4.2%. The SPDR Financial Select Sector ETF (XLF 16.15, +0.41) advanced 2.6%.
The materials sector outperformed with a 2.5% gain. The group was paced by
steelmakers as AK Steel (AKS 6.44, +0.36), Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF 43.18, +2.56), and Steel Dynamics (STLD 12.40, +0.60), all added between
5.0% and 6.3%. Paper and packaging stocks were lifted as well. Louisiana-Pacific (LPX 14.60, +0.37) and Neenah Paper (NP 30.11, +0.63) both gained near 2.5%.
Among chemical producers, OM Group (OMG 20.15, +1.06) and LyondellBasell (LYB 51.92, +2.31) jumped 5.6% and 4.7%,
respectively.
Coal stocks within the energy sector made notable advances. Alpha Natural Resources (ANR 8.23, +0.89) surged 12.1% while Arch Coal (ACI 7.39, +0.68) spiked 10.1%. Large
energy names Halliburton (HAL 36.44, +0.71) and ConocoPhillips (COP 57.65, +1.11) both closed higher by
2.0%.
The 30-yr yield briefly crossed the 3.00% threshold and closed at 2.967%, its
highest yield in four months. Maturities across the rest of the complex
reversed their post-FOMC selling to finish the day with fractional gains. The
10-yr yield settled at 1.756% after running to almost 1.840% in reaction to the
Federal Reserve launching another round of quantitative easing.
Overall producer prices rose by 1.7% in August, which is hotter than the 1.2%
increase that had been widely forecasted. Core producer prices were up 0.2%
which is in-line with the 0.2% Briefing.com consensus.
Separately, the latest weekly initial jobless claims count totaled 382,000,
which is higher than the 369,000 that had been expected. The tally is above the
revised prior week count of 367,000. As for continuing claims, they fell to
about 3.283 million from 3.322 million.
The U.S. Treasury has released its August budget which showed a deficit of $191
billion. This was slightly better than the broadly expected deficit of $192
billion.
Most commodities simply
rallied following the Fed's announcement this afternoon, mainly the metals
including gold, silver, copper, platinum and palladium.
In the energy space, crude oil popped and displayed some real volatility in the
early minutes of the Fed's announcement by selling off to $96.50, immediately
after rallying to $98.46 due to the Fed news. Ultimately, that sell-off was
recovered as traders bid up oil futures and pushed it higher into the close,
ending the day 1.3% higher at $98.30/barrel.
Natural gas spent today's session in negative territory and really didn't move
following the Fed's announcement. Nat gas was in the red in early morning
action and extended losses as it dropped to $2.96 on bearish inventory data at
10:30am ET. Nat gas began to surge higher, just before 1pm ET, which erased
over half of the day's losses. By the end of the day, nat gas ended 2 cents
lower at $3.04/MMBtu.
Precious metals are the big winners on the Fed's announcement. Gold rallied as
much as approx. $50/oz, while silver surged as much as $2/oz (or 6%) all due to
the Fed's announcement. By the end of the floor trading session, Dec gold ended
2.2% higher at $1772/oz and Dec silver finished 4.1% higher at $34.67/oz.
Tomorrow's economic calendar contains a full slate of releases. Retail sales,
retail sales ex-auto, CPI, and core CPI will all be announced at 8:30 ET.
Industrial production and capacity utilization will hit the wires at 9:15 ET,
while the Michigan Sentiment and business inventories will be released at 9:55
ET and 10:00 ET, respectively.DJ30 +206.51 NASDAQ +41.52 SP500 +23.43 NASDAQ
Adv/Vol/Dec 1783/1.83 bln/676 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2406/802.4 mln/647