Week
Ended August 12, 2011
Stocks
closed modestly lower for the week, but the 1% to 2% drop in the major averages
masked one of the most volatile weeks in market history. Stock prices plunged
on Monday, causing the major averages to record their worst daily losses since
the financial crisis of 2008. A major drop had been feared all weekend
following Standard & Poor’s announcement after the close of
trading on Friday that it was downgrading the U.S. credit rating, from AAA to
AA+. The downgrade was widely interpreted as an indictment of the nation’s
political system and its ability to wrestle with long-term fiscal challenges
rather than signaling any risk of default in the foreseeable future. Indeed,
the price of U.S. Treasuries increased—and some Treasury yields reached
all-time lows—as investors continued to treat
government bonds as a safe haven and worried less about inflation given the
worsening economic outlook. Markets came roaring back late Tuesday following
the Federal Reserve’s announcement that it would keep
short-term interest rates near 0% for another two years while exploring "a
range of policy tools" to provide more stimulus to the economy. Stocks
reversed their gains on Wednesday, however, as worries grew that French banks
might suffer further damage from the European banking crisis. As was the case
earlier in the week, financial stocks bore the brunt of the selling on U.S.
markets. Thursday saw yet another swing higher as an encouraging weekly jobless
claims report in the U.S. encouraged investors to seek bargains among trammeled
shares. Signs that the economic recovery was continuing helped the markets
rally to end the week. Investors were encouraged by a healthy rise in retail
sales in July, which suggested that consumers were opening their wallets
despite widespread gloom about the economy and political situation.
U.S. Stocks1 |
|||
Index2 |
Friday's Close |
Week's Change |
% Change |
DJIA |
11269.02 |
-175.59 |
-2.66% |
S&P 500 |
1178.81 |
-20.57 |
-6.27% |
NASDAQ Composite |
2507.98 |
-24.43 |
-5.46% |
S&P MidCap 400 |
843.08 |
-1.70 |
-7.07% |
Russell 2000 |
696.90 |
-18.98 |
-11.25% |
This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not
represent the performance of any specific security. Past performance cannot
guarantee future results.
1Source of data Reuters, obtained through Yahoo! Finance Closing
data as of 4:10 p.m. ET.
2The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Standard & Poor's 500
Stock Index of blue chip stocks, the Standard & Poor's MidCap 400 Index,
and the Russell 2000 Index are unmanaged indexes representing various segments
by market capitalization of the U.S. equity markets. The Nasdaq Composite is an
unmanaged index representing the companies traded on the Nasdaq stock market
and the National Market System.
____________
Week
Ended August 12, 2011
Treasury
prices rose for the third straight week on rising concerns that the U.S.
economy is stalling and Europe’s debt crisis is worsening. Yields on
U.S. Treasuries touched new lows in a volatile trading week triggered by Standard
& Poor's downgrade of U.S. government debt last Friday. Two- and 10-year
note yields fell to record lows on Tuesday, after the Federal Reserve said it
would keep its benchmark short-term interest rate close to 0% for another two
years as the economic outlook has deteriorated. Economic and political
uncertainty in recent weeks has buoyed the Treasury market as investors sought
safety amid severe market volatility, despite the S&P downgrade of the
nation’s credit rating. In the U.S., fears
about a possible government default gave way to worries about the flagging
recovery; in Europe, investors fretted that the sovereign debt crisis may
spread to Italy and Spain, both of which are struggling with huge debt. In
economic news, the Commerce Department on Friday reported that U.S. retail
sales rose 0.5% in July, the most in four months. However, the relatively
strong retail sales data were offset by a later report showing that U.S.
consumer confidence sank in August to its lowest reading since 1980, underscoring
how the weak jobs market, the threat of a U.S. default, and the previous week’s
stock plunge took its toll on consumer sentiment.
U.S. Treasury Yields1 |
||
Maturity |
August 12, 2011 |
August 5, 2011 |
2-Year |
0.18% |
0.28% |
10-Year |
2.24% |
2.55% |
30-Year |
3.71% |
3.84% |
This
table is for illustrative purposes only. Past performance cannot guarantee
future results.
1Source of data: Bloomberg.com, as of 4 p.m. ET Friday, August
12, 2011.
___________
International Stocks
Foreign stock markets closed lower for
the week ending August 05, 2011 with the broad international measure, the MSCI
EAFE Index (Europe, Australasia, and Far East), losing -9.82%.
|
||
Region/Country |
Week's Return |
% Change Year-to-Date |
EAFE |
-9.82% |
-6.49% |
Europe ex-U.K. |
-11.54% |
-6.22% |
Denmark |
-11.74% |
-12.60% |
France |
-11.88% |
-5.69% |
Germany |
-14.06% |
-4.94% |
Italy |
-13.86% |
-12.69% |
Netherlands |
-9.17% |
-7.98% |
Spain |
-10.39% |
-3.41% |
Sweden |
-13.79% |
-12.72% |
Switzerland |
-7.66% |
0.68% |
United Kingdom |
-9.58% |
-4.46% |
Japan |
-6.38% |
-7.59% |
AC Far East ex-Japan |
-7.71% |
-3.82% |
Hong Kong |
-6.56% |
-5.97% |
Korea |
-10.20% |
-0.80% |
Malaysia |
-3.06% |
4.45% |
Singapore |
-7.08% |
-1.29% |
Taiwan |
-9.04% |
-10.46% |
Thailand |
-5.20% |
8.11% |
EM Latin America |
-10.18% |
-14.58% |
Brazil |
-11.27% |
-16.35% |
Mexico |
-7.99% |
-8.67% |
Argentina |
-8.09% |
-18.57% |
EM (Emerging Markets) |
-8.43% |
-7.83% |
Hungary |
-12.37% |
-0.70% |
India |
-5.97% |
-15.91% |
Israel |
-9.72% |
-18.17% |
Russia |
-9.55% |
1.58% |
Turkey |
-12.30% |
-23.51% |
International Bond Markets
International bond markets in developed
countries were lower this week, with the J.P. Morgan Global Government Bond
Less U.S. Index losing -0.83%.
|
||
Region/Country |
Week's Return |
% Change Year-to-Date |
Developed Markets |
-0.83% |
6.43% |
Europe |
|
|
Denmark |
0.14% |
10.53% |
France |
-0.50% |
9.23% |
Germany |
0.14% |
10.39% |
Italy |
-2.10% |
0.87% |
Spain |
-0.59% |
5.88% |
Sweden |
-1.80% |
10.86% |
United Kingdom |
1.16% |
11.63% |
Japan |
-1.16% |
4.83% |
Emerging Markets |
0.20% |
7.40% |
Argentina |
-5.85% |
-3.99% |
Brazil |
0.67% |
9.26% |
Bulgaria |
-0.51% |
2.50% |
Russia |
-0.31% |
6.58% |
International Currency Markets
On the currency front, the U.S. dollar
was stronger against the major currencies for the week.
|
|||
Currency |
Close |
Week's Return |
% Change |
Japanese yen |
78.490 |
1.66% |
-3.33% |
Euro |
1.41931 |
1.23% |
-5.80% |
British pound |
1.63851 |
0.19% |
-4.65% |
1U.S. dollars per national currency unit.
Sources: Foreign stock markets and
currency sections are from Rimes Technologies, using MSCI data. International
bond markets are from J.P. Morgan.
Note: All returns are in U.S. dollars.
All bond indices are J.P. Morgan. All stock indices are Morgan Stanley Capital
International (MSCI).
Equity Indices |
|
EAFE: |
MSCI Europe, Australasia, and Far East Index |
Europe Ex-U.K.: |
MSCI Europe ex-U.K. Index |
Far East Ex-Japan: |
MSCI AC Far East ex-Japan Index |
Latin America: |
MSCI Emerging Markets Latin America Index |
Emerging Markets: |
MSCI Emerging Markets Index |
Bond Indices |
|
Developed Markets: |
J.P. Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index |
Emerging Markets: |
J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus |
All charts are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the
performance of any specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee
future results.