YAHOO [BRIEFING.COM]: The week
of August 6 began with plenty of promise, but disappointment over the July jobs
led to a lackluster finish.
The stock market started the
week with a 2.2% surge that saw it close above its 200-day moving average for
the first time since June. Participants were encouraged by the latest ISM
Manufacturing Index, which pulled back for the third straight month to hit 55.5
for July, but still exceeded the 54.2 that had been widely expected.
Midweek action was much more
muddled. Participants digested a better-than-expected July ISM Service Index of
54.3, a worse-than-forecast 1.2% drop in June factory orders, a surprise
decline in June pending home sales, and flat personal income and spending
figures for June.
Some took hope that the job
market was seeing improvement since the latest ADP Employment Change stated
that private payrolls for July increased by 42,000 when only 25,000 additions
had been expected. However, news that initial jobless claims for the week ended
July 31 climbed more than expected to a three-month high of 479,000 weighed on
sentiment.
Trade on Friday was mostly
dictated by the government's official monthly jobs report, which showed that
131,000 nonfarm payrolls were slashed in July. A sample of economists polled by
Briefing.com had expected, on average, a more moderate decline of 87,000 jobs.
Combining the worse-than-expected July jobs report and the downward revision to
June data, nonfarm payrolls had their worst pair of payrolls reports in eight
months.
Despite that development, the
headline unemployment rate stayed at 9.5%, but that is because the labor force
continues to shrink as discouraged job seekers suspend their efforts.
The dour data at the end of
the week turned many participants into sellers, such that stocks were down as
much as 1.6% Friday. That took the S&P 500 back below its 200-day moving
average and encouraged a flight to safety the drove the yield on the 10-year
Treasury Note as low as 2.81%, which is almost a 16-month low. A late rebound
helped stocks move back above the 200-day average and book a less feeble
finish.
Though the unemployment report
removed an element of uncertainty from trade, it didn't pull any players off of
the sidelines. Plenty of retail investors remain cautious about returning to
the stock market due to concerns about weakening economic conditions and the
prospect of further market corrections. In turn, trading volume remains
depressed. Share volume on the NYSE didn't even break 1 billion Friday
and it averaged just 960 million this week. Prior to this week, the 50-day
moving average on the Big Board stood at 1.3 billion shares.
Corporate earnings continued
to come in above expectations, but their influence over broader trade remained
negligible. Among the more widely held names to report this past week, Dow
components Pfizer (PFE 16.24, +0.05) and Kraft (KFT 30.36, +0.70) exceeded earnings
expectations, while MasterCard (MA 207.42, +5.79) had an upside surprise
of its own. Consumer staples giant and Dow component Procter & Gamble (PG 60.02, +0.16) stood out for being one
of the few notable names that missed Wall Street's consensus earnings estimate.
European banks BNP Paribas and
HSBC (HBC 53.08, -0.25) both reported strong
earnings this week, while embattled energy giant BP (BP 41.33, +0.65) made progress toward
permanently capping its leaking oil well in the Gulf.
Retailers reported same-store
sales figures for July. The results were generally mixed, but retailers still
finished the week 2.4% higher, collectively.
Commodities sold off just over
1.0% this session following the disappointing jobs number.
Losses were led by the energy
complex. September natural gas closed 3.0% lower at $4.46 per MMBtu; it shed
nearly 10% on the week. September crude oil futures shed 1.6%, but were able to
stay above the $80 level. They closed at $80.70 per barrel.
Precious metals benefitted
from a weaker dollar and a flight to safety. December gold rose 0.5% to
$1205.00 per ounce. September silver closed 0.7% higher at $18.444 per ounce.
December Wheat futures closed
limit down ($0.60 -- 7% in this case) at $7.5525. This moves follows a roughly
70% surge in what prices since July 1.
A 1.5% drop during the course
of the past five sessions gave the greenback its ninth consecutive weekly loss.
Such weakness has the dollar down 10% since its June high and at its lowest
level in almost four months. The dollar's decline has come amid concerns about
a weakening U.S. economy. Conversely, there has been a surge in the yen
to a near 15-year high and a bounce by the euro to its best level in three
months. DJ30 -21.42 NASDAQ -4.59 NQ100 -0.1% R2K -0.7% SP400 -0.2% SP500 -4.17
NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1058/1.88 bln/1530 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1384/949 mln/1604