Week Ended July 16, 2010
After a good start, stocks
ended the week lower. Large-cap stocks fared better than small- and mid-cap
shares while the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index posted a smaller loss.
Investors bid shares sharply higher on Tuesday in response to good corporate
earnings news, particularly from Alcoa. The aluminum giant is often considered
a bellwether for the global economy. Financial stocks were in the spotlight in
the final two days of the week. The long-debated financial reform bill was
approved by Congress and awaits President Obama's signature, global finance
officials gathered in Switzerland to craft stricter regulations for
international banks, Goldman Sachs agreed to pay a $550 million penalty to
settle SEC charges related to the firm's sale of mortgage securities, and some
of the largest U.S. banks reported higher earnings but disappointed Wall Street
analysts with their revenue numbers. Stocks fell sharply on the final day of
trading amid the disappointing revenue totals and a report showing that
American consumer confidence declined more than economists anticipated.
U.S.
Stocks1 |
|||
Index2 |
Friday's Close |
Week's Change |
% Change |
DJIA |
10097.90 |
-99.82 |
-3.17% |
S&P
500 |
1064.87 |
-13.06 |
-4.50% |
NASDAQ
Composite |
2179.05 |
-17.40 |
-3.97% |
S&P
MidCap 400 |
726.96 |
-12.93 |
0.04% |
Russell
2000 |
612.41 |
-16.23 |
-3.42% |
This chart
is for illustrative purposes only and does not represent the performance of any
specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee future results.
1Source of data Reuters, obtained through Yahoo! Finance Closing
data as of 4:10 p.m. ET.
2The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Standard & Poor's 500
Stock Index of blue chip stocks, the Standard & Poor's MidCap 400 Index,
and the Russell 2000 Index are unmanaged indexes representing various segments
by market capitalization of the U.S. equity markets. The Nasdaq Composite is an
unmanaged index representing the companies traded on the Nasdaq stock market
and the National Market System.
____________
Week Ended July 16, 2010
The week brought more bad
news on the retail front, with sales down 0.5% in June (-0.1% excluding autos).
May sales were off -1.1% and -1.2%, respectively. The weak sales suggest that
consumer spending in the second quarter was sluggish and economic growth could
be slower than anticipated in the months ahead. We expect a slower increase in
consumer spending, from 2.5% to 2.75% in the first half of the year to between
1.5% and 2.0% over the second half. Income gains have been limited by weakness
in the labor market, along with a rising savings rate that constrains spending
growth. At their last meeting in June, Federal Reserve officials lowered their
forecasts for growth this year and stated that they might have to adopt new
measures to keep the recovery alive. Core inflation has been steady in recent
months at 1.00% to 1.25% a year, but looking ahead, it appears to be headed
below 1%. Treasury yields slipped for all maturities during the week, closing
below their levels of the week before.
U.S.
Treasury Yields1 |
||
Maturity |
July 16, 2010 |
July 9, 2010 |
2-Year |
0.58% |
0.62% |
10-Year |
2.93% |
3.06% |
30-Year |
3.95% |
4.04% |
This table is for
illustrative purposes only. Past performance cannot guarantee future
results.
1Source of data: Bloomberg.com, as of 4
p.m. ET Friday, July 16, 2010.
___________
Week Ended July 9, 2010
International
Stocks
Foreign stock markets closed higher for the week ending July 09,
2010 with the broad international measure, the MSCI EAFE Index (Europe,
Australasia, and Far East), gaining 5.03%.
|
||
Region/Country |
Week's Return |
% Change Year-to-Date |
EAFE |
5.03% |
-8.59% |
Europe ex-U.K. |
5.73% |
-12.06% |
Denmark |
4.03% |
10.51% |
France |
6.18% |
-16.42% |
Germany |
4.21% |
-10.32% |
Italy |
7.41% |
-19.98% |
Netherlands |
5.09% |
-8.94% |
Spain |
10.43% |
-23.22% |
Sweden |
5.93% |
6.38% |
Switzerland |
4.71% |
-4.27% |
United
Kingdom |
5.55% |
-9.67% |
Japan |
2.93% |
-0.21% |
AC
Far East ex-Japan |
4.41% |
-1.41% |
Hong Kong |
2.70% |
-1.41% |
Korea |
6.54% |
-0.02% |
Malaysia |
2.28% |
11.72% |
Singapore |
2.75% |
2.03% |
Taiwan |
6.79% |
-7.43% |
Thailand |
2.05% |
13.50% |
EM
Latin America |
4.21% |
-4.86% |
Brazil |
4.32% |
-9.08% |
Mexico |
3.93% |
1.55% |
Argentina |
8.26% |
7.32% |
EM
(Emerging Markets) |
4.35% |
-2.42% |
Hungary |
9.60% |
-11.16% |
India |
2.10% |
2.37% |
Israel |
3.56% |
-8.12% |
Russia |
3.62% |
-6.90% |
Turkey |
3.35% |
6.13% |
International
Bond Markets
International bond markets in developed countries were lower
this week, with the J.P. Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index losing
-0.42%.
|
||
Region/Country |
Week's Return |
% Change Year-to-Date |
Developed
Markets |
-0.42% |
-0.46% |
Europe |
|
|
Denmark |
0.02% |
-4.31% |
France |
0.58% |
-6.37% |
Germany |
0.00% |
-5.98% |
Italy |
0.48% |
-10.55% |
Spain |
0.52% |
-13.64% |
Sweden |
1.27% |
0.35% |
United
Kingdom |
-0.44% |
-0.59% |
Japan |
-1.38% |
7.19% |
Emerging
Markets |
1.14% |
6.28% |
Argentina |
6.22% |
3.91% |
Brazil |
0.75% |
6.59% |
Bulgaria |
1.41% |
1.76% |
Russia |
0.92% |
3.63% |
International
Currency Markets
On the currency front, the U.S. dollar was stronger against the
major currencies for the week.
|
|||
Currency |
Close |
Week's Return |
% Change |
Japanese
yen |
88.485 |
0.89% |
-5.21% |
Euro |
1.26341 |
-0.25% |
11.95% |
British
pound |
1.5111 |
0.52% |
6.43% |
1U.S. dollars per national currency
unit.
Sources: Foreign stock markets and currency sections are from
Rimes Technologies, using MSCI data. International bond markets are from J.P.
Morgan.
Note: All returns are in U.S. dollars. All bond indices are J.P.
Morgan. All stock indices are Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI).
Equity
Indices |
|
EAFE: |
MSCI
Europe, Australasia, and Far East Index |
Europe
Ex-U.K.: |
MSCI
Europe ex-U.K. Index |
Far East
Ex-Japan: |
MSCI AC
Far East ex-Japan Index |
Latin
America: |
MSCI
Emerging Markets Latin America Index |
Emerging
Markets: |
MSCI
Emerging Markets Index |
Bond
Indices |
|
Developed
Markets: |
J.P.
Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index |
Emerging
Markets: |
J.P.
Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus |
All charts are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the
performance of any specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee
future results.