Week Ended July 9, 2010
Investors appeared to come
back refreshed from the holiday weekend and bid stocks sharply higher. The
broad indexes scored their biggest weekly gains in nearly a year despite the
market's closure on Monday. Stock prices surged on Wednesday as investors
appeared to anticipate the release of healthy earnings reports in the coming
days, optimism that was fed by a favorable profit forecast by a prominent
financial firm. Sentiment may also have been boosted by the release of details
on stress tests of European banks, which many hope will resolve uncertainty in
the sector, as well as word of a merger in the technology sector. Gains
continued on Thursday after the Labor Department reported a large drop in
weekly jobless claims. Some retailers also reported stronger-than-expected
increases in June sales.
U.S.
Stocks1 |
|||
Index2 |
Friday's Close |
Week's Change |
% Change |
DJIA |
10197.72 |
511.24 |
-2.21% |
S&P
500 |
1077.93 |
55.35 |
-3.33% |
NASDAQ
Composite |
2196.45 |
104.66 |
-3.20% |
S&P
MidCap 400 |
739.89 |
37.60 |
1.82% |
Russell
2000 |
628.64 |
27.27 |
-0.86% |
This chart
is for illustrative purposes only and does not represent the performance of any
specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee future results.
1Source of data Reuters, obtained through Yahoo! Finance Closing
data as of 4:10 p.m. ET.
2The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Standard & Poor's 500
Stock Index of blue chip stocks, the Standard & Poor's MidCap 400 Index,
and the Russell 2000 Index are unmanaged indexes representing various segments
by market capitalization of the U.S. equity markets. The Nasdaq Composite is an
unmanaged index representing the companies traded on the Nasdaq stock market
and the National Market System.
____________
Week Ended July 9 2010
Inventories held by
wholesalers rose in May for the fifth month in a row, but retail sales fell for
the first time in more than a year, suggesting that the economy is still
struggling to gain some traction. Weak sales could discourage businesses from
increasing their orders and result in a slowdown in production. Nevertheless,
we do not believe the economy is heading back into a recession. Sharp increases
in productivity as a result of cost-cutting appear to be coming to an end, setting
the stage for an eventual improvement in job gains and household spending.
Modest but continued growth would bode well for credit-sensitive securities
including lower-grade corporate issues at the expense of Treasuries—particularly
if risk aversion begins to subside and Treasury yields turn higher. Longer-term
Treasury yields did rise during the week, pushing the 10-year yield back above
3% and the 30-year bond above 4%.
U.S.
Treasury Yields1 |
||
Maturity |
July 9, 2010 |
July 2, 2010 |
2-Year |
0.62% |
0.62% |
10-Year |
3.06% |
2.98% |
30-Year |
4.04% |
3.94% |
This table is for
illustrative purposes only. Past performance cannot guarantee future
results.
1Source of data: Bloomberg.com, as of 4
p.m. ET Friday, July 9, 2010.
___________
Week Ended July 2, 2010
International
Stocks
Foreign stock markets closed lower for the week ending July 02,
2010 with the broad international measure, the MSCI EAFE Index (Europe,
Australasia, and Far East), losing -2.47%.
|
||
Region/Country |
Week's Return |
% Change Year-to-Date |
EAFE |
-2.47% |
-12.96% |
Europe ex-U.K. |
-1.70% |
-16.83% |
Denmark |
-0.75% |
6.23% |
France |
-2.24% |
-21.29% |
Germany |
-1.50% |
-13.94% |
Italy |
-1.91% |
-25.50% |
Netherlands |
-2.38% |
-13.35% |
Spain |
0.02% |
-30.47% |
Sweden |
-2.07% |
0.43% |
Switzerland |
-1.87% |
-8.58% |
United
Kingdom |
-2.72% |
-14.42% |
Japan |
-2.54% |
-3.06% |
AC
Far East ex-Japan |
-3.38% |
-5.57% |
Hong Kong |
-3.16% |
-4.01% |
Korea |
-5.08% |
-6.16% |
Malaysia |
-0.54% |
9.23% |
Singapore |
0.02% |
-0.70% |
Taiwan |
-3.02% |
-13.32% |
Thailand |
-0.25% |
11.21% |
EM
Latin America |
-4.18% |
-8.70% |
Brazil |
-3.99% |
-12.85% |
Mexico |
-6.03% |
-2.29% |
Argentina |
-5.68% |
-0.87% |
EM
(Emerging Markets) |
-3.51% |
-6.49% |
Hungary |
3.39% |
-18.94% |
India |
-1.85% |
0.27% |
Israel |
-1.30% |
-11.28% |
Russia |
-3.75% |
-10.15% |
Turkey |
0.65% |
2.69% |
International
Bond Markets
International bond markets in developed countries were higher
this week, with the J.P. Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index gaining
2.41%.
|
||
Region/Country |
Week's Return |
% Change Year-to-Date |
Developed
Markets |
2.41% |
-0.04% |
Europe |
|
|
Denmark |
2.66% |
-4.33% |
France |
3.19% |
-6.91% |
Germany |
2.73% |
-5.99% |
Italy |
3.01% |
-10.97% |
Spain |
2.44% |
-14.09% |
Sweden |
2.28% |
-0.91% |
United
Kingdom |
2.03% |
-0.14% |
Japan |
2.31% |
8.68% |
Emerging
Markets |
0.22% |
5.09% |
Argentina |
-1.59% |
-2.17% |
Brazil |
0.63% |
5.80% |
Bulgaria |
0.16% |
0.35% |
Russia |
-0.02% |
2.69% |
International
Currency Markets
On the currency front, the U.S. dollar was weaker against the
major currencies for the week.
|
|||
Currency |
Close |
Week's Return |
% Change |
Japanese
yen |
87.695 |
-1.81% |
-6.16% |
Euro |
1.26021 |
-2.52% |
12.17% |
British
pound |
1.51891 |
-1.41% |
5.94% |
1U.S. dollars per national currency
unit.
Sources: Foreign stock markets and currency sections are from
Rimes Technologies, using MSCI data. International bond markets are from J.P.
Morgan.
Note: All returns are in U.S. dollars. All bond indices are J.P.
Morgan. All stock indices are Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI).
Equity
Indices |
|
EAFE: |
MSCI
Europe, Australasia, and Far East Index |
Europe
Ex-U.K.: |
MSCI
Europe ex-U.K. Index |
Far East
Ex-Japan: |
MSCI AC
Far East ex-Japan Index |
Latin
America: |
MSCI
Emerging Markets Latin America Index |
Emerging
Markets: |
MSCI
Emerging Markets Index |
Bond
Indices |
|
Developed
Markets: |
J.P.
Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index |
Emerging
Markets: |
J.P.
Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus |
All charts are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the
performance of any specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee
future results.