YAHOO [BRIEFING.COM]:
The S&P 500 ended this week with a bang, roaring to a new
all-time high on the back of stronger-than-expected economic data, influential
leadership, and an ongoing appreciation for the Fed's monetary policy support.
The bullish bias was evident in premarket action as the S&P futures pointed
to a higher start without the benefit of any definitive news
catalyst. Stocks indeed benefited from a blast of buying interest at the
opening bell on this options expiration day that enabled the S&P 500
to reclaim all of yesterday's losses and then some in the first 30 minutes of
trading.
Although things settled down, the market's bullish underpinnings were
solidified by the stronger-than-expected University of Michigan Consumer
Sentiment report for May and the Leading Indicators report for
April. The former checked in at 83.7 versus 76.4 in the prior month
and the Briefing.com consensus estimate of 78.5. In turn, the Index
of Leading Indicators showed a 0.6% increase versus a 0.2% decline in
March and the Briefing.com consensus estimate of 0.3%.
Today's economic news
helped mitigate the disappointment of Thursday's generally
underwhelming news for initial claims, housing starts, and the
Philadelphia Fed Index.
After establishing its highs in the first 30 minutes, the S&P
500 traded sideways until about 2:00 p.m. ET, holding close to the 1658
level. There was never any concerted effort by sellers during that
time. The market, however, broke out of its sideways stupor over the last
two hours in a broad-based buying effort that was led by the cyclical sectors.
The breakout followed
news that Minneapolis Fed President Kocherlakota said in a speech today that
the FOMC has not lowered real interest rates sufficiently. Mr.
Kocherlakota is not a voting FOMC member this year, and just as we were
reluctant to assign credit for yesterday's afternoon selloff to the
regurgitated views of San Francisco Fed President Williams (also a non voter)
about the Fed possibly tapering its asset purchases soon, we were reluctant to
suggest the afternoon rally was caused by Mr. Kocherlakota's dovish view.
It didn't hurt matters, yet the breakout didn't occur until roughly 20
minutes after his remarks hit the wires.
Our sense of things is that the afternoon move was more of the same with short
sellers capitulating in the face of the stock market's resilience to selling
interest and bullish participants being emboldened further by the
continued leadership of the sectors one would expect to see leading in a
cyclical upturn: financials (+1.4%), energy (+1.6), industrials (+1.4%),
materials (+1.2%), and technology (+1.2%).
There was little fixation on the disappointing earnings reports from Dell (DELL 13.40, -0.03), J.C. Penney (JCP 18.01, -0.78), Autodesk (ADSK 37.11, -2.67), and Nordstrom (JWN 60.67, -0.46) as the
broader trend of capitalizing on the Fed's liquidity support continued to drown
out any disappointing developments.
The upside bias in the stock market once again took the wind out of the
Treasury market's sails (10-yr note -20/32 at 1.95%) and weighed
further on other so-called safety trades like gold (1356.60, -30.30).
With today's gain, the S&P increased 2.0% for the week; and it is now
up 4.3% for the month, clearly decoupling itself from the "sell in May and
go away" couplet.DJ30 +121.18 NASDAQ +33.72 SP500 +15.65 NASDAQ
Adv/Vol/Dec 1711/1.78 bln/755 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2168/848 mln/797
3:30 pm :