YAHOO [BRIEFING.COM] The
major equity averages hugged the flat line in early trade as participants
prepared for commentary from the Fed and its Chairman, Ben Bernanke. Stocks
eventually broke free from their narrow range to extend their recent highs.
Although the stock market
has been on an upward trend in recent sessions, traders were apprehensive to
chase stocks higher this morning. Their pause preceded the latest FOMC policy
statement, which indicated that the Fed expects to keep the Fed Funds Rate --
still at 0.00% to 0.25% -- at exceptionally low rate levels for an extended
period. The Fed also noted that the economic recovery is proceeding at a
moderate pace, instead of the firmer pace that it had noted in its previous
statement.
Fed Chairman Bernanke later
indicated in a press conference that the Fed has lowered its GDP forecast for
2011 to the range 3.1% to 3.3%, from 3.4% to 3.9%. The Fed also trimmed the top
end of GDP estimates for 2012 and 2013, but narrowed their long-run growth
estimate so that it ranges from 2.5% to 2.8%, instead of 2.4% to 3.0%.
Although GDP growth is
expected to moderate, Bernanke announced that the Fed expects unemployment in
2011 to be between 8.4% and 8.7%, which is down from the range of 8.8% to 9.0%
that had been previously estimated.
The revisions to economic
growth and unemployment come ahead of tomorrow's report on first quarter GDP,
which is widely expected to show growth of 1.7%. It was learned early this
morning that the United Kingdom economy expanded at a 0.5% rate in the first
quarter.
Following today's Fedspeak,
gold and silver prices made sharp gains into electronic trade. Gold actually
set a new record high of roughly $1530 per ounce while silver extended its
30-year high to more than $48 per ounce.
Earnings were generally of
secondary interest to the overall market today, but there were some dramatic
swings at the individual level.
Amazon.com (AMZN 196.63, +14.33) ascended almost
8% to a record high following its latest quarterly report. Boeing (BA
76.12, +0.57) and WellPoint (WLP 75.54, +2.57) also benefited
from a positive response to their quarterly reports; both set fresh 52-week
highs.
ConocoPhillips (COP 79.83, -1.38) came short of the
consensus earnings estimate. That initially imbued Exxon Mobil (XOM
87.78, +0.36) ahead of its quarterly report tomorrow morning. Although COP
couldn't fully recover, shares of XOM rebounded to close within one dollar of
their 52-week high. International integrated plays BP Plc (BP
46.53, +0.21) and CNOOC (CEO 250.71, -2.55) finished in mixed
fashion, though.
The overall energy sector
managed to fully erase a loss of more than 1%. Hess (HES
82.74, +2.07) and Baker Hughes (BHI 77.28, +3.22 were leaders,
thanks to stronger-than-expected earnings. Shares of BHI actually hit a 52-week
high.
Broadcom (BRCM 35.45, -4.96) also had an upside
earnings surprise for the latest quarter, but that mattered little in light of
the company's disappointing forecast. In turn, the stock dropped to a six-month
low.
Several commodities
encountered selling pressure in early pit trade, but they were able to recover
for a strong close.
Precious metals prices were
backed down toward the neutral line this morning, but both rallied in afternoon
trade. As a result, gold settled with a 0.6% gain at $1526.30 per ounce. Silver
settled with a 3.5% gain at $47.56 per ounce.
Oil prices set session lows
of about $111 per barrel this morning, shortly after it was learned that weekly
oil inventories had a greater-than-expected increase. Oil settled rebounded to
positive territory not long after that, then chopped to a 0.2% gain at $112.95
per barrel.
Natural gas had a
relatively quiet session that kept the energy component near $4.38 per MMBtu
just about all day.
Advancing Sectors: Telecom (+1.3%), Health Care (+1.2%),
Consumer Discretionary (+1.1%), Utilities (+0.8%), Financials (+0.6%),
Industrials (+0.6%), Tech (+0.5%), Consumer Staples (+0.5%), Materials (+0.2%)
Unchanged: Energy
Declining Sectors: (None)DJ30 +95.59 NASDAQ +22.34 NQ100 +0.7%
R2K +0.6% SP400 +0.6% SP500 +8.42 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1618/2.08 bln/956 NYSE
Adv/Vol/Dec 1932/959 mln/1041