U.S. Stock Market
Week Ended
April 20, 2012
Stocks
gain on solid earnings, but questions linger over U.S. economy and European debt
Markets enjoyed their first weekly gain
this month, although the technology-heavy Nasdaq
moved lower. Earnings remain generally strong, highlighted during the week by
solid reports from some prominent consumer and health care firms. Tech shares
were particularly volatile during the week, however, due to revenue and margins
concerns. Apple, whose large weighting in the Nasdaq and S&P 500 can have a significant effect
on market moves, also proved volatile as investors reconsidered the stock's
exceptional rally in recent months.
The week's economic data restrained the
market's advance, as investors worried that the U.S. economy was experiencing a
third consecutive springtime slowdown. Investors appeared particularly
discouraged by a decline in March housing starts. Although much of the decline
reflected a pullback in multifamily construction following strong recent gains,
the more important single-family construction trend remains on a moderate
upward trajectory. Nevertheless, the headline weakness, coupled with a decline
in an index of regional manufacturing activity, weighed on sentiment. A
smaller-than-expected decline in weekly jobless claims and an upward revision
to the previous week's numbers also raised questions about the labor market
recovery. T. Rowe Price economists note that while employment growth
is indeed slowing from its heated pace in the last two quarters, they expect
that the deceleration should be far milder than last year.
Some reassuring signals regarding the
European debt crisis may have buoyed markets, but the news from Europe was mixed. A Spanish government bond auction on
Tuesday was met with healthy demand, and European officials denied the need for
a bailout of the country—a much larger task than rescuing the relatively small
Greek economy. Nevertheless, Spanish stocks fell to a new post-financial crisis
low on Thursday, after a disappointing rise in yields following an auction of
10-year Spanish bonds. Worries remain that Spanish bond yields will increase
further once banks are unable to purchase them with expiring loans provided by
the European Central Bank.
U.S. Stocks1
|
Index2
|
Friday's Close
|
Week's Change
|
% Change
Year-to-Date
|
DJIA
|
13029.26
|
179.67
|
6.64%
|
S&P 500
|
1378.53
|
8.27
|
9.62%
|
NASDAQ Composite
|
3000.45
|
-10.88
|
15.17%
|
S&P MidCap 400
|
977.11
|
12.91
|
11.10%
|
Russell 2000
|
804.34
|
8.00
|
8.59%
|
This chart is for
illustrative purposes only and does not represent the performance of any
specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee future results.
1Source of data Reuters, obtained through Yahoo! Finance Closing data as of 4 p.m. ET.
2The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Standard & Poor's 500
Stock Index of blue chip stocks, the Standard & Poor's MidCap
400 Index, and the Russell 2000 Index are unmanaged indexes representing
various segments by market capitalization of the U.S. equity markets. The Nasdaq Composite is an unmanaged
index representing the companies traded on the Nasdaq
stock market and the National Market System.
___________
U.S. Bond Market
Week Ended April 20, 2012
Good
Demand for Spanish Bonds, but Crisis Not Over
The auction of Spanish bonds went
better than expected during the week, as solid demand helped allay the concerns
of many fixed income investors. Satisfactory demand, however, was not enough to
hold interest rates in check. The yield on Spanish 10-year securities rose
close to 6% compared with 1.7% for more stable German bonds with the same
maturities. Part of the spread reflected higher inflation forecasts in the eurozone and the UK and an upwardly revised global
growth forecast from the IMF. The weakness in Spanish bonds following the
auction also indicated that more work needs to be done to resolve the ongoing
European sovereign debt crisis. The country that is at the heart of Europe's
fiscal crisis, Greece,
saw its 10-year bond yield soar to 21%, indicating that investors are not yet
convinced that the worst is finally over.
In the U.S. market, investment-grade
corporate bonds have benefited from significant investor inflows in recent
months, and our corporate sector team has been emphasizing bonds that appear to
offer good value within this asset class to maximize return potential. Treasury
inflation protected securities ended mixed, with the two-year yield
differential tightening and longer-term yields spreads growing wider. Treasury
yields were more stable and closed near their levels of a week earlier.
U.S. Treasury Yields1
|
Maturity
|
April 20, 2012
|
April 13, 2012
|
2-Year
|
0.27%
|
0.27%
|
10-Year
|
1.96%
|
1.98%
|
30-Year
|
3.12%
|
3.13%
|
This table is for illustrative purposes
only. Past performance cannot guarantee future results.
1Source
of data: Bloomberg.com, as of 4 p.m. ET Thursday, April 20, 2012.
___________
International Market
Week Ended
April 13, 2012
International
Stocks
Foreign stock markets closed lower for
the week ending April 13, 2012 with the broad international measure, the MSCI
EAFE Index (Europe, Australasia, and Far East), losing -1.13%.
|
Region/Country
|
Week's Return
|
% Change Year-to-Date
|
EAFE
|
-1.13%
|
6.46%
|
Europe ex-U.K.
|
-2.53%
|
5.09%
|
Denmark
|
0.08%
|
18.99%
|
France
|
-3.35%
|
3.20%
|
Germany
|
-2.50%
|
13.06%
|
Italy
|
-5.52%
|
-3.59%
|
Netherlands
|
-2.45%
|
1.22%
|
Spain
|
-4.62%
|
-13.36%
|
Sweden
|
-1.51%
|
7.99%
|
Switzerland
|
-1.23%
|
6.32%
|
United Kingdom
|
-0.95%
|
4.85%
|
Japan
|
0.36%
|
7.95%
|
AC Far East ex-Japan
|
0.02%
|
13.45%
|
Hong Kong
|
-0.32%
|
13.28%
|
Korea
|
-1.96%
|
15.73%
|
Malaysia
|
0.67%
|
9.09%
|
Singapore
|
0.93%
|
18.29%
|
Taiwan
|
0.94%
|
12.66%
|
Thailand
|
-0.73%
|
18.53%
|
EM Latin America
|
-2.25%
|
10.58%
|
Brazil
|
-1.59%
|
9.58%
|
Mexico
|
-4.86%
|
9.60%
|
Argentina
|
-1.37%
|
-19.01%
|
EM (Emerging Markets)
|
-0.93%
|
12.60%
|
Hungary
|
-6.09%
|
10.31%
|
India
|
-3.21%
|
16.63%
|
Israel
|
-1.55%
|
8.48%
|
Russia
|
-0.05%
|
16.89%
|
Turkey
|
-0.39%
|
23.54%
|
International Bond
Markets
International bond markets in developed
countries were higher this week, with the J.P. Morgan Global Government Bond
Less U.S.
Index gaining 1.18%.
|
Region/Country
|
Week's Return
|
% Change Year-to-Date
|
Developed Markets
|
1.18%
|
-0.70%
|
Europe
|
|
|
Denmark
|
0.98%
|
-0.25%
|
France
|
0.35%
|
2.06%
|
Germany
|
0.65%
|
1.90%
|
Italy
|
-0.38%
|
9.92%
|
Spain
|
-0.89%
|
-1.10%
|
Sweden
|
0.02%
|
0.46%
|
United Kingdom
|
1.37%
|
1.43%
|
Japan
|
2.04%
|
-4.48%
|
Emerging Markets
|
0.62%
|
4.56%
|
Argentina
|
1.03%
|
0.71%
|
Brazil
|
1.44%
|
2.93%
|
Bulgaria
|
-0.19%
|
3.22%
|
Russia
|
0.00%
|
4.51%
|
International Currency
Markets
On the currency front, the U.S. dollar
was weaker against the major currencies for the week.
|
Currency
|
Close
(April 13, 2012)
|
Week's Return
(U.S.
$)
|
% Change
Year-to-Date (U.S. $)
|
Japanese yen
|
80.975
|
-1.72%
|
4.98%
|
Euro
|
1.30831
|
-0.15%
|
-0.78%
|
British pound
|
1.58851
|
-0.34%
|
-2.21%
|
1U.S. dollars per national currency
unit.
Sources: Foreign stock markets and
currency sections are from Rimes Technologies, using MSCI data. International
bond markets are from J.P. Morgan.
Note: All returns are in U.S. dollars.
All bond indices are J.P. Morgan. All stock indices are Morgan Stanley Capital
International (MSCI).
Equity Indices
|
EAFE:
|
MSCI Europe,
Australasia, and Far East Index
|
Europe Ex-U.K.:
|
MSCI Europe
ex-U.K. Index
|
Far East Ex-Japan:
|
MSCI AC Far East
ex-Japan Index
|
Latin America:
|
MSCI Emerging Markets Latin America Index
|
Emerging Markets:
|
MSCI Emerging
Markets Index
|
Bond Indices
|
Developed Markets:
|
J.P. Morgan Global
Government Bond Less U.S.
Index
|
Emerging Markets:
|
J.P. Morgan Emerging
Markets Bond Index Plus
|
All charts are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the
performance of any specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee
future results.