Week Ended April
19, 2013
Stocks lower on
growth and earnings concerns
Stocks saw
significant losses and high volatility after a disquieting week of
disappointing economic data, earnings concerns, and renewed terrorism worries.
The small-cap Russell 2000 Index, which typically sees the largest swings, fell
the most and endured its biggest daily decline in 17 months. All indexes remain
significantly higher year to date, however, and some observers interpreted the
pullback as a predictable consolidation following the market's brisk rally of
recent months.
China's growth
data send commodity prices lower
Falling commodity
prices and weak economic signals from Asia led to a sharp selloff to start the
week, and alarm over the bombings at the Boston Marathon appeared to accelerate
the selling Monday afternoon. Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the
S&P 500 Index endured their largest single-day declines of the year. U.S.
markets followed Asian markets lower as investors reacted to disappointing
Chinese growth data.
Concerns over
China helped drive the biggest daily decline in gold prices in the past three
decades—the price of an ounce fell by
9.4% in U.S. dollar terms—and caused materials stocks to
perform particularly poorly. T. Rowe Price's natural resources
analysts note that while China's modest slowdown in growth could curb demand,
they believe the region's growing middle class is a positive long-term driver
for the industry.
Earnings reports
mixed on weak top-line growth
Mixed
first-quarter earnings data kept stocks volatile through the balance of the
week. Some major firms beat earnings estimates, but investors remained
concerned that weak top-line (revenue) growth would eventually hit profits.
Declining trading and loan volumes at some large banks weighed on the
financials sector.
Week ends on
better note
Some reassuring economic
data helped limit the week's losses. U.S. home construction reached multiyear
highs in March, while industrial production data also exceeded estimates. Asian
stocks rallied as commodity prices stabilized, and Japanese officials
reiterated their commitment to stronger growth.
U.S. Stocks1 |
|||
Index2 |
Friday's Close |
Week's Change |
% Change |
DJIA |
14547.51 |
-308.55 |
11.01% |
S&P
500 |
1555.26 |
-33.59 |
9.05% |
NASDAQ
Composite |
3206.06 |
-88.89 |
6.18% |
S&P
MidCap 400 |
1120.75 |
-27.86 |
9.83% |
Russell
2000 |
911.38 |
-31.03 |
7.30% |
This
chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not represent the performance
of any specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee future results.
1Source of data Reuters, obtained through Yahoo! Finance Closing
data as of 4 p.m. ET.
2The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Standard & Poor's 500
Stock Index of blue chip stocks, the Standard & Poor's MidCap 400 Index,
and the Russell 2000 Index are unmanaged indexes representing various segments
by market capitalization of the U.S. equity markets. The Nasdaq Composite is an
unmanaged index representing the companies traded on the Nasdaq stock market
and the National Market System.
Week Ended April
19, 2013 U.S. Treasuries
advance amid heightened investor worries Long-term U.S.
Treasuries and high-grade municipal bonds generated gains (and yields drifted
lower) in a week that saw stocks and commodity prices—especially gold and oil—tumble. Although positive
reports on U.S. industrial production and housing starts indicated steady
economic improvement, an uptick in weekly jobless claims, continued benign
inflation (the lowest year-over-year core inflation since last summer), and
weaker-than-expected Chinese economic data kept market participants largely in
the "safe haven camp." New issuance in the investment-grade corporate
bond market was met with firm investor demand, particularly in shorter-maturity
issues. The sector, with the exception of mining companies, responded well to a
decline in U.S Treasury yields. TIPS and below
investment-grade bonds stumble Treasury inflation
protected securities (TIPS) declined due to a poorly received auction of
five-year notes on Thursday. Inflation expectations, as highlighted in the
yield difference between nominal and inflation-linked Treasuries, have
plummeted since mid-March, largely due to the recent modest inflation readings,
falling commodity prices, and faltering global growth expectations. The high
yield and bank loan markets also trended lower. Commodity-related sectors
experienced the most pressure. Housing gains
point to better economic growth T. Rowe Price
economists believe that positive trends in the housing market should continue
to gather momentum, underpinning sustained growth in the broader economy
despite the drag from recent tax hikes and federal spending cuts. The housing
industry is on track to create about 300,000 jobs this year, helping to reduce
the unemployment rate trend and bolster economic growth. The income paid to
these workers in construction, real estate services, mortgage banking, and
housing-related manufacturing—will be an important
contributor to the broader economic recovery. U.S. Treasury Yields1 Maturity April 19, 2013 April 12, 2013 2-Year 0.23% 0.23% 10-Year 1.70% 1.72% 30-Year 2.88% 2.92% This table is for
illustrative purposes only. Past performance cannot guarantee future
results. 1Source of data: Bloomberg.com,
as of 4 p.m. ET Friday, April 19, 2013. ___________ Week Ended April
12, 2013 International
Stocks Foreign stock markets closed higher for the week ending April
12, 2013 with the broad international measure, the MSCI EAFE Index (Europe,
Australasia, and Far East), gaining 3.4%. Region/Country Week's Return % Change Year-to-Date EAFE 3.40% 7.98% Europe ex-U.K. 2.62% 5.21% Denmark 2.41% 6.88% France 2.37% 2.54% Germany 1.81% 1.69% Italy 3.94% -5.23% Netherlands 2.80% 4.85% Spain 4.61% -0.89% Sweden 3.39% 11.90% Switzerland 2.47% 13.53% United Kingdom 2.26% 3.36% Japan 6.50% 18.86% AC Far East ex-Japan 0.93% -1.84% Hong
Kong 1.90% 3.23% Korea 0.17% -8.60% Malaysia 1.01% 2.79% Singapore 0.33% 3.19% Taiwan -1.66% -1.44% Thailand 3.18% 9.96% EM Latin America 1.68% 1.08% Brazil 1.39% -0.57% Mexico 3.49% 8.16% Argentina 3.89% 5.31% EM (Emerging Markets) 1.22% -2.89% Hungary 4.26% 0.65% India -0.31% -5.62% Israel -1.01% 6.37% Russia 0.80% -5.63% Turkey 4.03% 8.57% International
Bond Markets International bond markets in developed countries were lower
this week, with the J.P. Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index losing
-1.23%. Region/Country Week's Return % Change Year-to-Date Developed Markets -1.23 -4.95 Europe Denmark 0.07 -0.92 France 0.24 0.30 8Germany 0.19 -0.20 Italy 0.87 1.33 Spain 0.97 4.26 Sweden 1.19 2.18 United
Kingdom -0.92 -4.31 Japan -3.22 -10.82 Emerging Markets 0.87 -0.11 Argentina 6.81 -8.43 Brazil 0.86 -1.11 Bulgaria 0.23 0.66 Russia 0.68 -0.66 International
Currency Markets On the currency front, the U.S. dollar was stronger against the
major currencies for the week. Currency Close Week's Return % Change Japanese
yen 98.740 1.59% 12.43% Euro 1.30981 -0.58% 0.66% British
pound 1.53681 -0.11% 5.46% 1U.S. dollars per national
currency unit. Sources: Foreign stock markets and currency sections are from
Rimes Technologies, using MSCI data. International bond markets are from J.P.
Morgan. Note: All returns are in U.S. dollars. All bond indices are J.P.
Morgan. All stock indices are Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI). Equity Indices EAFE: MSCI
Europe, Australasia, and Far East Index Europe
Ex-U.K.: MSCI
Europe ex-U.K. Index Far
East Ex-Japan: MSCI
AC Far East ex-Japan Index Latin
America: MSCI
Emerging Markets Latin America Index Emerging
Markets: MSCI
Emerging Markets Index
Bond Indices Developed
Markets: J.P.
Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index Emerging
Markets: J.P.
Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus
(April 12, 2013)
(U.S. $)
Year-to-Date (U.S. $)
All charts are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the
performance of any specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee
future results.