YAHOO [BRIEFING.COM]:
After alternating between gains and losses for 14 straight sessions, the
S&P 500 has pulled a hat trick this week. It has now scored gains in
every session this week and, boy, the third time was a charm.
The market rallied
sharply, bolstered by its confidence in the support of the Federal Reserve and
healthy gains in influential leadership groups that helped both the Dow and
S&P 500 register all-time intraday highs and closing highs today.
The minutes from the
March FOMC meeting were the focal point throughout the session. To begin,
they caused a stir after being released early (9:00 a.m. ET) since the Fed
discovered they were inadvertently released to 100 Congressional staffers and
employees of trade organizations around 2:00 p.m. ET on Tuesday. The
matter of their premature release is under investigation, yet the minutes
themselves underpinned today's gains.
Several views were
expressed in the minutes, but the compilation of those views pointed to a
majority view that the Fed should at least start tapering its purchases by the
end of the year on the assumption labor market conditions are improved by
then. It is important not to forget that what the FOMC decides to do will
ultimately be dictated by incoming data. The Fed has been clear on that
reminder for a long time. To that end, the minutes also pointed out that a
couple of members noted the pace of purchases might appropriately be increased (emphasis
our own) if progress toward the committee's economic goals was not
maintained.
Our view is that the minutes were supportive for the equity market for the
following reasons:
The debate about the inferences of the FOMC Minutes will persist,
yet the equity market certainly did not act as if it feared an
earlier-than-expected tapering. The major averages moved
steadily higher from the sound of the opening bell before leveling off around
1:00 p.m. ET. From that point on, they held in tight trading ranges that
left them in close proximity to their best levels of the day by the time the
closing bell rang.
Every sector participated in the advance, although the strongst
gains were registered by the technology (+1.8%), health care (+1.7%), and
industrial (+1.3%) sectors. Separately, the Dow Jones Transportation
Average soared 1.8%. The worst-performing group was the energy sector,
which was up "only" 0.5%.
There were some pockets of weakness, like the homebuilders, which
failed to ride the coattails of the Taylor Morrison Home IPO (TMHC 23.05, +1.05). Gold
($1558.80, -$27.90) was another laggard after Goldman Sachs cuts its price
targets for the yellow metal through 2014. Treasuries, meanwhile, were
weak with the 10-year Note dropping 15 ticks, bringing its yield up to 1.81%.
By and large, stock monitors were filled with green figures.
Advancers outpaced decliners by a 3-to-1 margin at the NYSE and by
a nearly 4-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. Per usual, there was a volume
spike in the final hour that made lackluster volume totals throughout the
day look more respectable at the closing bell. In total, 701 mln
shares traded hands at the NYSE. That was slightly ahead of yesterday's
total, yet it wasn't heavy at all in the context of the breakout move that was
made today.
The moderate volume could be interpreted as a sign of reservations
ahead of the first quarter earnings reports, which will start flooding in next
week. JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC), however, report before
the open this Friday.
Results from Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) will be in focus on
Thursday along with the initial claims report for the week ending April 6,
which will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET. The Briefing.com consensus
estimate for initial claims is pegged at 365,000.
DJ30 128.78 NASDAQ 59.39 SP500 19.12 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec
1984/1.71 bln/531 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2293/701 mln/731