YAHOO [BRIEFING.COM]: The
broad market mustered a modest gain on Friday, feeding a 1.4% gain for the
week. The climb has the S&P 500 at a new nine-month high.
A steady climb in the
prior session was followed by only modest buying this morning. Many
participants seemed hesitant to commit new money to the market now that it is
up more than 25% from its October intraday low. The hesitation allowed stocks
to drift lower, but the broad market was able to find support at the flat line.
From there it gradually worked its way to a narrow gain, which helpd feed the
stock market's sixth weekly advance in seven weeks.
Financials offered support by
climbing to a 0.6% gain, but consumer discretionary stocks were the session's
best performers with their 0.8% climb.
Tech stocks, which represent
the largest sector by market weight, lagged all session and settled with an
incremental loss. Still, relative weakness among tech issues weighed on the
Nasdaq, which had actually outperformed its counterparts in the prior session
to book its best close since late 2000.
Hardly any commotion came in
response to headlines that both the House and Senate have passed payroll
tax extensions since both were widely expected to do so.
There weren't any official
updates on the dealings between officials from Greece and the eurozon, but the
euro managed to attract some support. It finished the week near $1.32. That
made for a 0.2% gain on Friday, but a 0.3% loss for the week.
The expiration of monthly
options drove share volume higher, but the number of shares exchanged on the
NYSE still didn't come anywhere close to breaking 1 billion.
Global Themes for the Week
Earlier this week China's
officials expressed their intent to expand their coutnry's investment in
Europe. That helped bolster confidence in the precarious eurozone.
Greece's parliament approved
austerity measures last weekend, but market participants became concerned that
efforts to get the flagging country bailout funds will remain bogged down because
of stories suggesting that eurozone officials question the sincerity of
Greece's commitment to measures intended to shore up fiscal and financial
conditions.
Even though most of the
market's concern is on Greece, and other countries in the eurozone periphery,
market participants were reminded of precarious conditions in the core of
Europe when analysts at Moody's issued negative outlooks on France, Austria,
and the United Kingdom. Meanwhile, headline GDP for the fourth quarter featured
a 0.3% decline for the eurozone, a 0.2% decline in Germany, and a 0.2% increase
in France.
Corporate Developments
Consistent with the the
patterns and trends of the past several weeks, earnings announcements had
little influence over broad market trade, but they did drive stock-specific
swings.
Among the more widely held
names that reported this past week, Comcast (CMCSA 29.17, +0.52), Teva Pharma
(TEVA 44.65, +0.50), Deere & Co. (DE 83.87, +0.76), Marsh McLennan (MMC
32.22, +0.72), MetLife (MET 38.86, +0.19), HJ Heinz (HNZ 54.47, +2.37), and
Nordstrom (JWN 51.14, -1.04) all posted Upside earnings surprises.
Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF 48.48, -0.01), General Motors (GM 27.34,
+0.17), Enbridge (ENB 37.73, -1.65), and Marriott (MAR 34.93, +0.11)
missed the consensus estimate.
Separately, Kellogg (K 52.53,
-0.03) announced that it has agreed to acquire the Pringles brand from Procter
& Gamble (PG 64.91, -0.29) for nearly $2.7 billion. SanDisk (SNDK 47.79,
-0.44) announced it has agreed to acquire FlashSoft, but the financial terms of
the deal were not disclosed.
A bevy of major banks and
financial institutions, including Bank of America (BAC 8.02, -0.07), Citigroup
(C 32.92, +0.21), JPMorgan Chase (JPM 38.47, +0.47), were thrown into a
negative light when analysts at Moody's decided to review their ratings. The
news only temporarily slowed the ascent of financials and bank stocks, which
have taken the KBW Bank Index up to a new multi-month high.
Although there weren't any
driving headlines, Apple (AAPL 502.12 -0.09) experienced some mid-week
volatility that sent the stock retreating from a record high above $525 per
share, which reflected a climb of more than 25% since it reported earnings
barely a month ago. Given that the stock is the single largest by market cap,
its movement pulled the broad market along with it.
Data Review
The latest weekly initial
jobless claims tally made a surprise drop to 348,000. That stands as a near
four-year low and is consistent with the steady decline in claims
reaching back to the beginning of the year.
Housing starts improved in
January to an annualized rate of 699,000 from an upwardly revised rate of
689,000 in the prior month. That surpassed the pace of 671,000 housing starts
that had been broadly expected. What's more, the three-month moving average hit
a rate of 697,000 units, which stands as a three-year high. That suggests
that builders expect demand to strengthen and supports the idea that the
housing market is improving.
Measures of both consumer
prices and core consumer prices in January increased by 0.2%, contrasting with
calls for a 0.3% increase in overall prices and a 0.1% increase in core prices.
Overall consumer prices climbed 2.9% from the prior year, but core consumer
prices climbed 2.3% year over year for their sharpest annual increase snce
2008.
Total producer prices were up
0.1% in January as a drop in residential energy and gas prices offset higher
gasoline prices. Meanwhile, a run up in pharmaceutical costs drove core prices
0.4% higher for their biggest jump since summer. Respective increases of 0.3%
and 0.1% had been expected, on average, among economists polled by
Briefing.com.
Leading Indicators climbed by
0.4% in January for their fourth consecutive increase, but economists polled by
Briefing.com had generally expected a 0.5% jump. The actual score was hampered
by some unexpected weakness in manufacturer orders of consumer goods and
non-defense capital goods that exclude aircraft.
The Philadelphia Fed Survey
improved in February to 10.2 from 7.3 in the prior month. Economists had
generally expected a reading on the order of 10.0, so the improvement wasn't a
complete surprise. Underlying data showed a pickup in unfilled orders, which
should provide production stability into next month.
The Empire Manufacturing
Survey imrpoved to 19.5 in February from 13.5 in the prior month, surpassing
the reading of 14.0 that had been widely anticipated.
News that industrial
production in January was flat disappointed since the consensus among
economists polled by Briefing.com called for a 0.6% increase after industrial
production had increased by 1.0% in the prior month.
Overall retail sales for
January increased by 0.4% following flat sales in the prior month, but a much
stronger increase of 0.8% had been broadly expected. Slower-than-expected clip
came as auto sales stalled. Taking autos out of the equation, retail sales
actually climbed by 0.7%, which bested the 0.5% increase that had been
widely predicted to follow a 0.5% decline in the prior month.
Total business inventories
increased in December by 0.4%, which is slightly less than the 0.5% increase
that had been broadly expected to follow the 0.3% increase in the prior month.
Underlying data is thought unlikely to have any significant effect on revisions
to the headline GDP number for the fourth quarter.
Oil prices pushed up to new
multi-month highs before settling at $103.27 per barrel for a 0.9% gain.
Meanwhile, natural gas extended its prior session climb by tacking on another
4.7% to settle the week at $2.69 per MMBtu.
Precious metals were bid up
this morning, but were clipped as trade progressed. That left gold to settle
pit trade with a 0.2% loss at $1725.70 per ounce, while silver shed 0.4% to
settle at $33.24 per ounce.
Higher energy prices
underpinned a 0.3% advance by the CRB Index today. Although modest, that gain
contributed to a 1.7% weekly gain, which comes after two consecutive weekly
losses.
The only relative surprise to
minutes from the most recent FOMC meeting was that Regional Fed President
Lacker made it known that he believes exceptionally low levels of the federal
funds rate, which stands at 0.00% to 0.25%, may need tightening prior to the
end of 2014 so as to prevent inflation projections or expectations. DJ30 +45.79
NASDAQ -8.07 NQ100 -0.3% R2K -0.2% SP400 -0.2% SP500 +3.19 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec
1282/1.94 bln/1246 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1704/897 mln/1271