YAHOO [BRIEFING.COM]: A couple
of pleasing economic reports brought about a barrage of broad-based buying
today. That drove both the Dow and S&P 500 to multi-month highs, while the
Nasdaq notched its best level in more than a decade.
Market participants turned
bullish with the release of the official payrolls report for January. The
unemployment rate surprised many by falling to 8.3% from 8.5%, which is where
most economists had expected it to remain. Behind the headline number, nonfarm
payrolls jumped by 243,000 when an increase of 155,000 had been widely
expected. Private payrolls climbed by 257,000 when an increase of 168,000 was
what many economists had forecasted.
The ISM Service Index jumped
in January to 56.8 from 52.6 in the prior month, exceeding the 53.1 that had
been expected, on average, among economists polled by Briefing.com.
December factory orders
climbed 1.1%, which is less than the 1.5% increase that had been widely
expected, but the report was given less regard since fourth quarter GDP data
was already released last week.
Buying was aggressive in the
early going, but action in the afternoon became quiet. Still, a steady bid
allowed stocks to enter a consolidative, sideways drift.
Financials scored the
strongest gains. Their near 3% rally fed a weekly gain of more than 4%. The
sector's strong finish to this week's trade contrasted its start, which
featured a 1.0% loss on Monday.
The S&P 500 advanced more
than 2% for the week. That stands as its fifth consecutive weekly gain,
including an incrementally higher finish last week. Stocks haven't had such a
strong streak of gains since the S&P 500 scored seven straight weekly gains
to round out 2010 and start 2011.
Climbs of the past several
weeks may have lacked share volume, but investors concerned only with portfolio
growth will likely be pleased that the S&P 500 settled at its highest level
since summer, the Dow booked its best close since 2008, and the Nasdaq is now
at its highest level since late 2000.
Amid the stock market's
strength, the Volatility Index has tumbled to its lowest level in seven months.
At about 17, it is down more than 25% year to date.
Participants were generally
less risk averse today, but the dollar didn't suffer from any kind of a
concerted selling effort. Although it was unable to sustain a gain, it was flat
against a collection of competing currencies by session's end.
Treasuries were trounced,
however. The benchmark 10-year Note was dropped a full point. That took its
yield back to where it started the week.
Action among stocks was more
varied before trade commenced Friday. Earnings in focus included
better-than-expected results from Dow Chemical (DOW 34.18,
+0.64), Qualcomm (QCOM 61.06, +0.33), MasterCard (MA
390.32, +8.75), Cardinal Health (CAH 42.05, -0.17), Seagate
Tech (STX 26.42, +0.67), Broadcom (BRCM 37.67,
+0.67), Whirlpool (WHR 68.66, +4.30), Pfizer (PFE
21.20, +0.09), and Eli Lilly (LLY 39.51, -0.09). Exxon
Mobil (XOM 84.92, +1.39) had in-line earnings results, while Amazon.com
(AMZN 187.68, +5.96), Boston Scientific (BSX 6.03,
+0.19), and CIGNA (CI 43.55, -0.58) came short of what Wall
Street had expected of their earnings.
Retailers were out with monthly
same-store sales results, but overall numbers were uninspiring. Gap (GPS
21.71, +0.19) and Target (TGT 52.14, +0.14) were among those
that exceeded expectations, but Macy's (M 36.12, +0.89) and Nordstrom
(JWN 50.27, +1.16) were among those that disappointed.
Social network outfit Facebook
made headlines by filing for an initial public offering that some estimate will
value the company up to $100 billion. That would more than quadruple the $23
billion valuation that Google (GOOG 596.33, +11.22) garnered
in its IPO.
Market participants also had
plenty of data to digest this week. Given the significance of the payrolls
report on Friday, only modest attention was given to the latest weekly initial
jobless claims tally. It showed that 367,000 claims were filed. That's less
than the 375,000 initial claims that had been broadly expected.
The ADP Employment Change gave
market participants a mid-week preview of the official payrolls report. It
suggested that private payrolls increased in January by 170,000, which is less
than the increase of 200,000 that many economists had expected.
The ISM Manufacturing Index
improved in January to 54.1 from 53.1 in the prior month, but many had expected
it to make a slightly stronger climb to 54.5. China reported mixed
manufacturing data, but a handful of major eurozone members reported
incremental improvements in their PMI Manufacturing readings.
The latest Chicago PMI fell to
60.2 in January from 62.5 in the prior month, contrasting the consensus
forecast for a modest improvement to 62.8. The Consumer Confidence Index for
January also proved disappointing. It fell to 61.1 from 64.8 in the prior
month, clashing with expectations for an improvement to 67.0.
In the wake of last week's
Advance fourth quarter GDP report personal spending data for December caused
little stir. It was unchanged for the month. That's not too different than the
expected increase of 0.1%. Core personal consumption expenditures increased by
0.2%, just as many had expected. Of interest to some, though, was news that the
lack of spending came in the face of an increase in personal income of 0.5%,
which actually exceeds the 0.4% increase that had been expected.
The CRB Index rallied to a
1.1% gain today. That snapped a four-session losing streak, but wasn't enough
to avoid a weekly loss, which totaled 1.1%.
Oil displayed strength, helped
by encouraging economic data and speculation over rising tensions in the Middle
East. Continuous futures contract prices closed pit trade at $97.79 per barrel
for a 1.5% gain. Elsewhere in the energy complex, natural gas prices fell 1.2%
to $2.53 per MMBtu.
Precious metals traded with little
direction this morning, but both gold and silver slid lower as trade
progressed. As a result, gold settled with a 0.8% loss at $1740.20 per ounce,
while silver settled with a 0.7% loss at $33.73 per ounce.
Fed Chairman Bernanke offered
up testimony on the economy to the House of Representatives Budget Committee,
but his statement caused little stir. Few were surprised by his analysis that
the sluggish expansion of the economy has left it vulnerable to shocks.
Bernanke did indicate, though, that concerns about the domestic outlook and
developments in Europe are abating, even as Greece continues to grapple with
creditors over its lending terms. DJ30 +156.82 NASDAQ +45.98 NQ100 +1.3% R2K
+2.2% SP400 +1.6% SP500 +19.36 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 2039/2.14 bln/506 NYSE
Adv/Vol/Dec 2361/905 mln/647