U.S. Stock Market

Week Ended January 29, 2010

Stocks declined for the third week in a row to round out the worst month for the market since the rally began last March. Investors appeared concerned that quarterly earnings, while generally favorable, did not meet the high expectations that have been built into stock gains in recent months. The lukewarm reception given to Apple’s new tablet computer may have helped lead the technology sector sharply lower on Thursday. Early in the week, investors also seemed concerned about a rising tide of populist anger in Washington, which threatened to have a particular impact on the financials sector. The rising anger at the banking bailout and other measures appeared for a time to threaten the reappointment of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, although he was confirmed for another term by the Senate on Thursday. The week’s economic news was mixed. Weekly jobless claims did not come down as much as many hoped, and existing home sales plunged in December. On the brighter side, durable goods orders outside of the transportation sector showed a good gain in December. The Commerce Department also reported its advance estimate that the economy had grown at an annualized rate of 5.7% in the final quarter of 2009, its best showing in six years and well above consensus expectations.

U.S. Stocks1

Index2

Friday’s Close

Week’s Change

% Change
Year-to-Date

DJIA

10067.33

-105.65

-3.46%

S&P 500

1073.87

-17.89

-3.70%

NASDAQ Composite

2147.35

-57.94

-5.37%

S&P MidCap 400

702.80

-18.85

-3.29%

Russell 2000

603.51

-14.37

-4.82%

This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not represent the performance of any specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee future results.

1Source of data Reuters, obtained through Yahoo! Finance Closing data as of 4:10 p.m. ET.

2The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Index of blue chip stocks, the Standard & Poor’s MidCap 400 Index, and the Russell 2000 Index are unmanaged indexes representing various segments by market capitalization of the U.S. equity markets. The Nasdaq Composite is an unmanaged index representing the companies traded on the Nasdaq stock market and the National Market System.

 

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U.S. Bond Market

Week Ended January 29, 2010

The U.S. economy grew at an annualized rate of 5.7% in the fourth quarter of 2009, according to initial estimates. The robust activity was driven largely by federal stimulus packages. Recent data suggest, however, that the rate of growth is slowing in the first quarter of 2010 as companies remain reluctant to expand capacity and step up their hiring, which puts ongoing pressure on the labor market. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) met during the last week of the month and stated that “economic activity has continued to strengthen,” but the FOMC also cited ongoing weakness in both the housing and labor markets. The FOMC decided to leave short-term interest rates near 0% as expected, but the decision was not unanimous. Kansas City Federal Reserve President Thomas Hoenig voted against it, fueling speculation that the Fed could be closer to raising rates than most analysts anticipated. Treasury rates were fairly stable during the week, closing near their levels of the week before.

U.S. Treasury Yields1

Maturity

January 29, 2010

January 22, 2010

2-Year

0.83%

0.78%

10-Year

3.60%

3.58%

30-Year

4.50%

4.51%

This table is for illustrative purposes only. Past performance cannot guarantee future results.

1Source of data: Bloomberg.com, as of 4 p.m. ET Friday, January 29, 2010.

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International Market

 

Week Ended January 22, 2010

International Stocks

Foreign stock markets closed higher for the week ending January 22, 2010 with the broad international measure, the MSCI EAFE Index (Europe, Australasia, and Far East), losing -3.73%.

 

Region/Country

Week’s Return

% Change Year-to-Date

EAFE

-3.73%

-0.92%

Europe ex-U.K.

-4.48%

-3.70%

Denmark

-4.56%

1.67%

France

-4.89%

-4.05%

Germany

-4.75%

-5.64%

Italy

-5.34%

-4.20%

Netherlands

-3.97%

-2.58%

Spain

-5.63%

-6.46%

Sweden

-4.31%

-1.09%

Switzerland

-2.68%

-1.16%

United Kingdom

-3.51%

-2.11%

Japan

-1.94%

7.21%

AC Far East ex-Japan

-4.35%

-2.53%

Hong Kong

-4.22%

-4.29%

Korea

-3.28%

0.98%

Malaysia

-1.98%

2.65%

Singapore

-3.77%

-3.15%

Taiwan

-6.22%

-3.70%

Thailand

-5.17%

-2.41%

EM Latin America

-5.78%

-5.56%

Brazil

-6.10%

-6.96%

Mexico

-6.08%

-4.92%

Argentina

-4.31%

-0.99%

EM (Emerging Markets)

-4.62%

-2.54%

Hungary

-6.63%

1.59%

India

-4.85%

-1.79%

Israel

-0.96%

2.90%

Russia

-4.36%

3.11%

Turkey

-2.11%

1.39%

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International Bond Markets

International bond markets in developed countries were lower this week, with the J.P. Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index losing -0.47%.

 

Region/Country

Week’s Return

% Change Year-to-Date

Developed Markets

-0.47%

1.06%

Europe

 

 

Denmark

-1.55%

-0.28%

France

-1.45%

-0.54%

Germany

-1.38%

-0.32%

Italy

-1.78%

-1.22%

Spain

-2.22%

-1.83%

Sweden

-1.83%

-0.42%

United Kingdom

-0.75%

0.35%

Japan

0.88%

3.19%

Emerging Markets

-0.58%

0.23%

Argentina

-1.65%

-6.63%

Brazil

-0.28%

-0.10%

Bulgaria

-0.31%

0.19%

Russia

-0.33%

0.91%

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International Currency Markets

On the currency front, the U.S. dollar was stronger against the major currencies for the week.

 

Currency

Close
(January 22, 2010)

Week’s Return
(U.S. $)

% Change
Year-to-Date (U.S. $)

Japanese yen

90.085

-0.86%

-3.34%

Euro

1.41291

1.67%

1.52%

British pound

1.61251

0.79%

0.15%

1U.S. dollars per national currency unit.

Sources: Foreign stock markets and currency sections are from Rimes Technologies, using MSCI data. International bond markets are from J.P. Morgan.

Note: All returns are in U.S. dollars. All bond indices are J.P. Morgan. All stock indices are Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI).

Equity Indices

EAFE:

MSCI Europe, Australasia, and Far East Index

Europe Ex-U.K.:

MSCI Europe ex-U.K. Index

Far East Ex-Japan:

MSCI AC Far East ex-Japan Index

Latin America:

MSCI Emerging Markets Latin America Index

Emerging Markets:

MSCI Emerging Markets Index

 

Bond Indices

Developed Markets:

J.P. Morgan Global Government Bond Less U.S. Index

Emerging Markets:

J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus


All charts are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the performance of any specific security. Past performance cannot guarantee future results.