YAHOO [BRIEFING.COM]: Concerns
about sovereign debt downgrades stirred sellers on Friday, but stocks were able
to cut losses. That ensured the broad market a modest weekly gain of about 1%.
Stocks slid to a loss in excess of 1% this morning. The descent came in
response to headlines that downgrades could be in store for several eurozone
countries. France actually confirmed that analysts at S&P made a
single-notch downgrade to the country's credit rating. That decision
contradicted word earlier this week that analysts at Fitch expect France to
keep its top-notch credit rating in 2012.
Banking bellwether and Dow component JPMorgan Chase (JPM 35.84, -0.98) reported
disappointing quarterly results this morning. It made for a lackluster
follow-up to the unceremonious start that earnings season made earlier this
week when fellow blue chip Alcoa (AA 9.80, -0.13) posted a mixed report. The
financial sector suffered all session as most other diversified banks and
financial services stocks traded lower in sympathy.
Not a single sector scored a gain on Friday, but shares of many retailers were
helped higher by the latest Consumer Sentiment Survey from the University of
Michigan. It improved from 69.9 in December to 74.0 in the preliminary reading
for January. Not only did that best the Briefing.com consensus call for a
reading of 71.2, but it marked the highest reading since May 2011.
The euro had a volatile week before it suffered a sharp slide on Friday. The
currency ended the day at $1.2681, which makes for a -1.1% loss.
Prior to Friday participants were dealt a sizable dose of data after being
deprived from such catalysts for a few days. Retail sales during December
increased 0.1%, while sales less autos fell 0.2%. Both came short of what had
been expected, but prior month sales were revised upward. Economists noted that
sales weakened while aggregate earnings increased, likely since consumer debt
remains a hindrance for current consumption.
Initial weekly jobless claims made an unexpected jump to 399,000 from 375,000,
which is where many had expected them to remain. Initial claims have steadily
increased over the past few weeks, but the latest increase is likely due to
disappointing December retail sales resulting in staffing cuts.
After the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England opted to keep
interest rate targets at 1.00% and 0.5%, respectively, ECB President Draghi
offered a reminder of the substantial downside risks to regional economic
activity. Although the nature of the comments was unsurprising, Draghi's words
cast a pall over news that recent debt offerings from both Spain and Italy were
successful.
Midweek trade was mostly listless and lackluster, a consequence of little news
flow. The only economic item was the Fed's Beige Book. Once again it made
mention of a modest increase in economic activity, but did nothing to assuage
concerns about the pace of the economic recovery.
Tuesday saw stocks jump in response to robust gains staged by many of the major
averages abroad. Investors gained confidence from word that analysts at Fitch
believe both France and Germany will maintain their top-notch credit ratings in
2012. Meanwhile, some believe that China might ease monetary policy so as to
hedge against disruptions to the country's economy.
Trade on Monday was generally uneventful as market participants prepared for
the unofficial start of earnings season. It got going when Alcoa (AA) announced
quarterly results after the close. The Dow component posted a strong top line,
but its earnings came short of what Wall Street had expected.
The pace of earnings announcements will pick up next week, but traders will
have to wait an extra day since U.S. markets will be closed on Monday in
observance of Martin Luther King, Jr. Day.
Crude oil prices fell $0.29 to
$98.68 per barrel. They had been as low as $97.70 per barrel. The slide by
natural gas became less steep as the energy component shed $0.03 to settle at
$2.67 per MMBtu.
Precious metals were caught up
in today's slide. Specifically, gold prices shed $16.60 to settle pit trade at
$1631.10 per ounce. Its session low was set at $1625.70 per ounce. Silver
prices sank $0.64 to settle at $29.48 per ounce. Its session low was set at
$29.42 per ounce.
Overall weakness in the
commodity complex took the CRB Index down 0.7%. It shed 0.6% this week.
Treasury Auction recap: Results from an auction of 3-year Notes featured a
bid-to-cover of 3.73, dollar demand of $119.4 billion, and an indirect bidder
rate of 38.5%. For comparison, the prior auction featured a bid-to-cover of
3.62, dollar demand of $115.8 billion, and an indirect bidder rate of 39.1%. An
average of the past six auctions results in a bid-to-cover of 3.33, dollar
demand of $106.6 billion, and an indirect bidder rate of 38.9%. An auction of
10-year Notes drew a bid-to-cover ratio of 3.29, dollar demand of $69.1
billion, and an indirect bidder rate of 38.3%. For comparison, an average of
the past six auctions results in a bid-to-cover of 3.08, dollar demand of $66.2
billion, and an indirect bidder rate of 44.0%. An auction of 30-year Bonds drew
a bid-to-cover of 2.60, dollar demand of $33.8 billion, and an indirect bidder
participation rate of 31.9%. For comparison, an average of the previous six
auctions results in a bid-to-cover of 2.69, dollar demand of $37.2 billion, and
an indirect bidder rate of 29.8%.DJ30 -48.96 NASDAQ -14.03 SP500 -6.41 NASDAQ
Adv/Vol/Dec 796/1.63 bln/1676 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1062/827 mln/1972