Full Moons, Fraud, and
Lunatics. What More Can Be Said.
NEWS FLASH: Direct from Lost Angeles Learning
Annex – Presenting mobster t_rump of new yoke, new joyzey, and now
caleefornia mob fame with his continuing message for the past several years:
buy real estate (and watch the values go down…..riiiiight!).
Bank sues Trump over
Chicago tower loan...
Trump casino to miss
interest payment...
trump’s fired
Gunfire Erupts
Inside trump Taj Mahal Casino, 1 Dead - Second Such Incident In A Year At
N.J. Mainstay Ends With Employee Killed – What else would you you expect from
a mobster’s casino in mob-infested jersey!
Trump luxury resort folds,
leaving buyers defrauded…litigation has commenced…send for sister maryanne,
the corrupt federal judge to preside, coverup, etc., she’s in n.y./n.j./pa 3rd circuit ct appeals,
understands drug money laundering/fraud and handles her own motions to recuse
her and like mobster trump should be in jail
... (see RICO Case)
ANALYST
FORECASTS: BULLS AND BEARS By Richard
Shaw [there were 3 bull
forecasts which are bull s**t and not included in the following excerpt to
preclude fraud and conserve space; even the neutrals are a stretch]
…..BEAR - May 30: Morgan Stanley equity analyst Jason Todd says sell this
S&P 500 rally. He says Morgan Stanley does not see large upside above
825-850. He said, “In the rush to buy a cyclical recovery, it seems earnings or
valuation no longer matters. We would be comfortable with this view if the
earnings trough was closer, but it is not.”
BEAR - MAY 28: Berkshire
Hathaway possible successor to Warren Buffet, David Sokol, says they see no
evidence of the green shoots that been a stimulus to the stock market. He sees
the most significant headwinds to the electric utility industry in his 30
years, and see continuing housing industry problems.
BEAR?/BULL? -
May 28: PIMCO co-CEO Bill Gross (manager of world’s largest
bond fund) portrays “new normal” including accelerating inflation toward the
latter part of a three- to five-year cycle, and the need to reexamine accepted
notions about investing. He said stocks have not and will not always outperform
bonds, and having 60% to 80% of portfolio assets in stocks may not always make
sense. He believes the dollar will lose its status as the reserve currency;
Brazil, India and China (forget Russia) will offer the best growth. The U.S.
government will be selling trillions in Treasuries; the US savings rate may
rise significantly, and the consumer economy may be shrinking long term due to
the aging of the population.
BULL?/BEAR? -
May 28: GMO CEO Jeremy Grantham predicts higher US savings
and lower consumption with many postponed retirements. He sees some reasonable
values within the stock market now and sees the third year of the presidential
cycle (2011) as the most promising. He is not certain that a robust rally will
continune. Like John Bogle, he believes in the principle of having your age as
the percentage of bonds in your portfolio. He expects a bubble in emerging
market stocks to develop.
BEAR - MAY 26: Comstock
Partners portfolio managers Charlie Minter and Marty Weiner, say P/E’s on “as
reported earnings” are too high in consideration of the long-term trend in
earnings (now in down phase). “Over the past 75 years, most market peaks topped
at around 20 times reported earnings, and the troughs occurred at around 10
times earnings. The financial mania of the late 1990s pushed P/Es to over 40
times reported earnings, and the following bust never brought P/Es below 18
times reported earnings. … Going back to 1950, every instance where actual
earnings rose above trend-line earnings was followed by a period where actual
earnings went well below trend-line earnings. Comstock Partners believes that
we have entered such a period now, and that the market is trading at such a
high multiple of trend-line earnings that it will be difficult to make money.”
BEAR - May 19: Gluskin Sheff
analyst David Rosenberg (formerly of Merill Lynch) says this rally is a
sucker’s rally based on short covering. “The FTSE All-World market P/E ratio on
forward earnings estimates is now around 15x, well above pre-Lehman collapse
levels and nearly double the lows for the cycle … this was a rally built
largely on short covering, pension fund rebalancing and the emergence of hope
wrapped up in ‘green shoot’ data points. … On average, the S&P 500
undergoes a correction of more than 20% … at a minimum, take profits”
NEUTRAL (BEAR?)
- May 11: Baring Asset Management portfolio manager Hayes
Miller says “Estimates suggest there isn’t that much further to run because
equities are fairly valued … Earnings growth for 2009 and 2010 can’t support
prices too much higher than where we are today.”
BEAR - May 11: HSBC Global
Asset Management chief investment officer Leon Goldfeld, chief investment
officer at HSBC Global Asset Management said it’s “hard to see” enough profit
growth to justify higher stock prices. The firm’s strategy will be to reduce
its holdings of equities and move into bonds and cash, he said.Bloomberg TV on
June 1, said HSBC forecasts 900 as the year-end price for the S&P 500
index.
NEUTRAL - May
11: Bloomberg compilation of analyst forecasts of 2009 earnings for the
S&P 500 is at $57.17 (not stated whether “as reported” or “operating”). As
of June 1, that puts the S&P at about 16.5 times forecasted earnings. Yale
economist Robert Schiller said the historic average is a multiple of about 16.3.
[we note that we are not in an average situation or stage of a market,
however].
BEAR - May 11: Bank of
America CIO for private wealth management expects a 10% correction. He said,
“We’re going to be in a very volatile, chop-and-grind type of market. We’ve
been shown that there is a small light at the end of the tunnel, it’s dim but
getting brighter, and that’s why stock prices have come this far this fast.
Now, it’s all about ‘show me.’”
BEAR?/ BULL? -
May Letter: PIMCO co-CEO Bill Gross wrote: “Do not be deceived by
the euphoric sightings of “green shoots” and the claims for new bull markets in
a multitude of asset classes. Stable and secure income is still the order of
the day. Shaking hands with the new government is still the prescribed
strategy, although it should be done at a senior level of the balance sheet. If
the government indeed becomes your investment partner, you should keep the big
Uncle in clear sight and without back turned. Risk will not likely be rewarded
until the global economy stabilizes and the Obama rules of order are more
clearly defined.”
BEAR - April
17: Barclay’s analyst Barry Knapp forecasts S&P 500 at 757 by year-end
2009. He said, “The equity market has priced this recovery and then some. It
looks pretty expensive to us.”
(7-1) SELL / TAKE ANY PROFITS IN THIS SECULAR BEAR MARKET SUCKERS’ RALLY
PROGRAMMED TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [ Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest
Pace in Two Years ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [ Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report
(Reuters) [$$] Big Pay
Packages Return to Wall Street as new fraud gains steam (at The Wall Street
Journal Online) ] BASED ON
CONTINUED BAD NEWS (
ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY... Job losses / job concerns realistically
weigh on confidence, real estate values/prices continue downward trend as per
Case / Shiller Index (-18.1%, -21% in california) Gerald Celente speaks on Cap and Trade and other handicaps
to the US economy HOW MANY TIMES CAN THE WALL STREET FRAUDS, WITH CYCLICAL REGULARITY, DO THE
SAME OR SIMILAR FRAUD WITH IMPUNITY (STILL NOT ONE PROSECUTION IN THE MOST
RECENT MASSIVE SECURITIES FRAUD, BUT
PLENTY OF OBFUSCATION EMANATING FROM THE PERPETRATORS AS WELL AS THOSE WHO
SHOULD BE PROSECUTING /PURSUING THEM) NOW REFLATING THE STOCK MARKET BUBBLE
BASED UPON NOTHING AT ALL (BAD NEWS,FRAUD AND BULL S**T), CHANGING ACCOUNTING
RULES TO FACILITATE THE COMMISSIONABLE BUBBLE FROM WHICH THE SOURCE OF FUNDS TO
EVEN PAY BACK LOANS TO AVOID SCRUTINY OF THEIR NEW FRAUD IS GENERATED [SAVINGS
AND LOAN DEBACLE, DOT.COM SELL THE SIZZLE BUST /DEBACLE, RECYCLED /REPACKAGED
/RESOLD /RECOMMISSIONED WORTHLESS COLLATERALIZED SECURITIES /PAPER (IN THE
TRILLIONS YET STILL NOT ADDRESSED), ETC., THE FRAUDS ARE GETTING LARGER, HENCE
THE RIDICULOUS TOO BIG TO FAIL MANTRA … HOW PATHETIC! … THAT MONEY HAS TO COME
FROM SOMEPLACE, IE., PRINTING, CREATING, YOUR POCKETS, … NOT OUT OF THIN AIR! ]
TYPICAL END OF QUARTER FRAUD/WINDOW DRESSING TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [ Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest
Pace in Two Years ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [ Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report
(Reuters) ] BASED ON
CONTINUED BAD NEWS (
ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY... , personal income up modest .2% and spending down, China calls for new
reserve currency to supplant worthless dollar
Dollar And
Stocks Drop As China Calls For New Global Currency , continuing unemployment claims at or near record 627,000,
weekly unemployment claims up 15,000, and GDP contraction –5.5%, all worse than
expected (lennar wider than expected quarterly loss rallies stock…riiiiight!) Jobless claims rise; GDP dips in 1Q ; soothing words/b.s. from fed which previously predicted no
recession that economy still contracting but that the contraction is somewhat
slowing…what b**l s**t!…, analysts- buffet/economy in shambles, Hogan/negative
GDP growth and inflation owing to debasement of the dollar as well as deficit
spending/pump-priming in the trillions, joker stein/economy a mess and
continued job losses, new home sales down .6%; U.S. Home Prices Drop 6.8 Percent in
April as Foreclosures Rise foreclosure sales up 2.4%, prices down 17% year over
year, [$$] Market Suffers Some Technical
Damage Stocks tumble on bleak outlook for world economy U.S. regulators close their
40th bank of the year , Next
Major Move In Stock Market Will Be Down world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9%
and big difference between not getting worse and getting better, market got ahead of itself, stalled out, still
depression/more job losses, higher oil-gas prices / higher interest rates /
heavy debt to pare down is 1-3 year drag on economy, even if believed (I don’t)
the labor dept. far better than expected job numbers by increased debt
(spending) to produce same is not economically sound or sustainable, viz.,
record spending with record low revenues, rating cuts for bank sector, analysts
concur in significant 5-15% (reality says 15-25%) pullback/correction for
stocks , institutional selling,
industrial production/construction down 1.1%, housing starts allegedly
up but if believed will only increase the plethora of unsold inventories, empire
manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit dard
defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support stock
rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful
reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should
be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher
interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits,
hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless
Weimar dollar crashing, money supply
exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at
new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says
inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of
fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even
more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year,
Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting
out of Dodge and u.s. assets , new record for continuing unemployment
claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’
rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., BUFFET:
ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY... , world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9%
and big difference between not getting worse and getting better, leading indicators up far more than
expected … bull s**t …based in large part on inflated stock price component …
more bull s**t … new reform with same old frauds
say increased capital requirements and oversight of the overseers/rating
agencies (riiiiight!…same old,same old - already have but no will to enforce
existing laws, etc.), analyst who called crash says inflationary depression,
banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting
rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and
a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed
policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s.
assets Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest
Pace in Two Years BUFFET:
ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY... foreclosure sales up, prices down
, ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE
PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!
(6-30) SECULAR BEAR MARKET SUCKERS’ RALLY TO END WELL OFF SESSION LOWS TYPICAL END OF QUARTER FRAUD/WINDOW DRESSING
TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED Job losses / job concerns realistically weigh on
confidence, real estate values/prices continue downward trend as per Case /
Shiller Index (-18.1%, -21% in california)
Consumer
confidence suffers steep fall... Home prices post 18% annual
drop... Worldwide Depression: Review of Global Markets . Four banks
fail, bringing 2009 tally to 19 more than all of 2008 at a total thus far of 44 Dollar Falls Most in Month as China Urges New Reserve
Currency Gerald Celente speaks on Cap and Trade and other handicaps
to the US economy HOW MANY TIMES CAN THE WALL STREET FRAUDS, WITH CYCLICAL REGULARITY, DO THE
SAME OR SIMILAR FRAUD WITH IMPUNITY (STILL NOT ONE PROSECUTION IN THE MOST
RECENT MASSIVE SECURITIES FRAUD, BUT
PLENTY OF OBFUSCATION EMANATING FROM THE PERPETRATORS AS WELL AS THOSE WHO
SHOULD BE PROSECUTING /PURSUING THEM) NOW REFLATING THE STOCK MARKET BUBBLE
BASED UPON NOTHING AT ALL (BAD NEWS,FRAUD AND BULL S**T), CHANGING ACCOUNTING
RULES TO FACILITATE THE COMMISSIONABLE BUBBLE FROM WHICH THE SOURCE OF FUNDS TO
EVEN PAY BACK LOANS TO AVOID SCRUTINY OF THEIR NEW FRAUD IS GENERATED [SAVINGS
AND LOAN DEBACLE, DOT.COM SELL THE SIZZLE BUST /DEBACLE, RECYCLED /REPACKAGED
/RESOLD /RECOMMISSIONED WORTHLESS COLLATERALIZED SECURITIES /PAPER (IN THE
TRILLIONS YET STILL NOT ADDRESSED), ETC., THE FRAUDS ARE GETTING LARGER, HENCE
THE RIDICULOUS TOO BIG TO FAIL MANTRA … HOW PATHETIC! … THAT MONEY HAS TO COME
FROM SOMEPLACE, IE., PRINTING, CREATING, YOUR POCKETS, … NOT OUT OF THIN AIR! ]
TYPICAL END OF QUARTER FRAUD/WINDOW DRESSING TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [ Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest
Pace in Two Years ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [ Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report
(Reuters) ] BASED ON
CONTINUED BAD NEWS (
ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY... , personal income up modest .2% and spending down, China calls for new
reserve currency to supplant worthless dollar
Dollar And
Stocks Drop As China Calls For New Global Currency , continuing unemployment claims at or near record 627,000,
weekly unemployment claims up 15,000, and GDP contraction –5.5%, all worse than
expected (lennar wider than expected quarterly loss rallies stock…riiiiight!) Jobless claims rise; GDP dips in 1Q ; soothing words/b.s. from fed which previously predicted no
recession that economy still contracting but that the contraction is somewhat
slowing…what b**l s**t!…, analysts- buffet/economy in shambles, Hogan/negative
GDP growth and inflation owing to debasement of the dollar as well as deficit
spending/pump-priming in the trillions, joker stein/economy a mess and
continued job losses, new home sales down .6%; U.S. Home Prices Drop 6.8 Percent in
April as Foreclosures Rise foreclosure sales up 2.4%, prices down 17% year over
year, [$$] Market Suffers Some Technical
Damage Stocks tumble on bleak outlook for world economy U.S. regulators close their
40th bank of the year , Next
Major Move In Stock Market Will Be Down world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9%
and big difference between not getting worse and getting better, market got ahead of itself, stalled out, still
depression/more job losses, higher oil-gas prices / higher interest rates /
heavy debt to pare down is 1-3 year drag on economy, even if believed (I don’t)
the labor dept. far better than expected job numbers by increased debt
(spending) to produce same is not economically sound or sustainable, viz.,
record spending with record low revenues, rating cuts for bank sector, analysts
concur in significant 5-15% (reality says 15-25%) pullback/correction for
stocks , institutional selling,
industrial production/construction down 1.1%, housing starts allegedly
up but if believed will only increase the plethora of unsold inventories,
empire manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit
dard defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support
stock rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful
reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should
be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher
interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits,
hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless
Weimar dollar crashing, money supply
exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at
new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says
inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of
fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even
more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year,
Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting
out of Dodge and u.s. assets Jim Rogers: “The Worst is Not Over”
6/9/2009 , new record for continuing
unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for
suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., BUFFET:
ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY... , world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9%
and big difference between not getting worse and getting better, leading indicators up far more than
expected … bull s**t …based in large part on inflated stock price component …
more bull s**t … new reform with same old frauds
say increased capital requirements and oversight of the overseers/rating
agencies (riiiiight!…same old,same old - already have but no will to enforce
existing laws, etc.), analyst who called crash says inflationary depression,
banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting
rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and
a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed
policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest
Pace in Two Years BUFFET:
ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY... The
Next Bubble Is Here. Have You Bought In? foreclosure sales up, prices down
, ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE
PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!
Tiny Tim says dollar assets
safe...
Laughter from audience... Why The Chinese Laughed At Geithner Paul Craig Roberts | The red ink that Washington is generating is a far greater threat to
Americans than any foreign “enemies.”
(6-3) ONLY MODEST LOSSES RELATIVE TO REALITY WITH PROGRAMMED
SHORT-COVERING/SUCKERS RALLY INTO THE CLOSE TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED BASED ON
CONTINUED BAD NEWS (
ie., mortgage apps. down, service sector job losses/factory orders worse than
expected, new record continuing unemployment claims, bernanke spend more money
you don’t have but cut debilitating deficit…riiiiight…sounds like a plan with
more job losses to come, etc., Economic data disappoint, indicate slow recovery Worse-than-expected economic data thwarts
rally Jobless rates in U.S. cities zoom higher in April Sector Snap: Homebuilders tumble (AP) As the
Dollar Falls Off the Cliff … Bernanke warns on
deficits as Treasury rates rise ----- GOV'T OWES RECORD
$63.8 TRILLION... The Big Collapse
Is Very Near Dollar Declines as Nations Mull Reserve Currency
Alternative AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., $100 Billion Bailout For IMF Tagged
On To War Funding Bill Economic recovery is wishful thinking Gold, Silver Climb as Dollar Falls
OPEC:
OIL COULD REACH $90... ----- , ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO
AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO
RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!
(6-2) SUCKERS’ RALLY CONTINUES TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED BASED ON CONTINUED
BAD NEWS The Big Collapse Is Very Near U.S. auto sales drop, but rays of stability
seen Economic crisis boosts distrust of business: watchdog Dollar Declines as Nations Mull Reserve Currency Alternative
Grand Theft Auto: How Stevie the Rat bankrupted GM Gold, Silver Climb as Dollar Falls Home
foreclosure sales up, no profit discount car sales better than expected
…When measured in ounces of Gold, the DOW has been in a
secular bear market since peaking in late 1999. (Click charts,
courtesy of stockcharts.com, for full size image). The markets, measured by the
S&P500 (S&P500 Charts) and DIJA (DJIA
Charts), may have recovered to new highs in 2007, but the DOW:Gold ratio
told a different, truer story of just how unhealthy the US economy was…
BEWARE OF THE
SUCKER'S RALLY? ‘…Most recently, the S&P 500 soared 24 per cent
over seven weeks ending in early January, only to plunge to a new low. It was a
fairly typical sucker’s rally and bear markets often need more than one to
create sufficient disillusionment for a definitive bottom. The 2000–2002 bear market had three, with
average gains of 21 per cent in the Dow Jones Industrials over 45 days. The
granddaddy of all bear markets, 1929 –1932, had six false alarms with an
average gain of 47 per cent. And Japan’s ongoing bear saw the Nikkei rise by at
least a third four times in its first four years with 10 more false dawns since
then. Bear markets typically end with a whimper rather than a bang, casting
doubt on the latest recovery according to Hussman Econometrics, which analysed
numerous US market bottoms and bear market rallies. With the exception of the
1987 crash, the month before the lowest point of a downturn saw a gradual
descent. By contrast, bear market rallies were preceded by steeper declines and
had sharper rebounds. Another characteristic of bear market rallies has been
modest volume on the rebound compared to the decline. The current recovery fits
the pattern of bear market rallies in terms of volume and the “V” shape of the
trough. Analysts at Bespoke Investment Group noted that there have been only
seven other periods in the past 110 years with rallies of similar magnitude for
the Dow. Three preceded the Great Depression, three came during the Depression
and one in 1982…’
New record for continuing unemployment
claims and as with all government data, adp data, etc., is fudged to whatever
way necessary to help froth the market. Short-covering explaining part of what
remains of this continuing suckers’ bear market rally and as admonished by
analyst at Farr Miller is a bull trap. How about plain old bull crap! One
analyst (Craig Brown) points out that we’re not at the bottom yet: excerpt-‘ I hate repeating myself, but I do not see the economy
at bottom just yet, so in some respects I will keep repeating myself until
either other people wake up to this reality or something changes to wake me up.
The markets were down a bit yesterday and, according to Bloomberg, they
were down due to fears of the stress test results. I don't fear them; I fear
what they hide. I fear that a reported 10 out of 19 banks failed when the tests
were not at all stringent enough. I fear that the government will soft-pedal
the results to make them bad enough to have a tad of credibility but not so bad
that people run for the exits. Don't buy my word for it, others are saying the
same, including Nouriel Roubini. Nouriel has been complaining for weeks on how the worst case
scenario in the stress tests is already rosier than reality.’ Some
perspective from Sajal… Excerpts – ie., …Mark Hulbert: That bullish
bandwagon. Commentary: Some sentiment measures showing too much optimism Art Cashin:
"This rally is still somewhat suspect. Albert Edwards :
"Despite one of the biggest economics and profit collapses in history, US
stocks have failed to get cheap in the same way that they have in Europe or
Japan. My concern is that the US equity bear market has not yet fully
played out. "The current pop in the market is not dissimilar to
the many bear market rallies between 1929-1933, where signs of economic
stabilisation were met with 25% plus rallies... This optimism was subsequently
crushed." Charles Allmon … He
still thinks the stock market could decline to 3,200-4,200 on the Dow by
2011-2012 -- and that it could cross the price of gold. Jim Bianco: "I don't think we are
getting out of this for a long while. This has been a lousy stock rally. … …traders
living in a fool's paradise if they continue to drive the markets higher by
buying stocks based on earnings that are down, say, 50 percent from this time
last year, only because they're not down 75 percent… Diane Garnick, investment strategist at Invesco...In an interview on Tech Ticker, Garnick says that
companies are beating earnings expectations in the first quarter by Draconian
cost-cutting, an unsustainable strategy for long-term growth. More importantly,
although companies are beating profit estimates, thanks to the cost-cutting,
they are missing expectations for revenue, she says. Further, cost-cutting via
layoffs hurts the economy as a whole, Garnick argues, because the unemployed
spend less money… U.S. Economy: GDP
Shrinks in Worst Slump in 50 Years "You have to balance hope with
reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment
Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where
you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through…” …[The upshot is that the
fraud continues in churn-and-earn fashion with investors, taxpayer, etc.,
getting burned for the sake of wall street greed/fraud. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their
substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution,
especially since none of the real problems (hundreds
of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc. - Analyst Andre Egleshion
puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been
addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is
but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to
solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed,
etc.]. U.S. Economy in 2nd Straight Quarter
of Steep Decline "You have
to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at
Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good
example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality
coming through Wall Street sags on oil; S&P ends worst week
in 2 months Following Chrysler, GM slashing U.S. dealers SEC lawyers probed for insider trading GM, Chrysler to drop 1,900 dealers by end of
2010 The Financial Storm Obama Says U.S. Long-Term Debt Load
‘Unsustainable’ “The Worst Is Yet to Come” China’s yuan
’set to usurp US dollar’ as world’s reserve currency Former
Treasury Official who Devised Formula for Rate-Setting Based on Outlook for
Inflation and Growth Warns that Inflation Looms, Slams Fed Policy Dr.
Doom: Capitalism Could Fail Like Communism New York Fed: Most Powerful Financial
Institution You’ve Never Heard Of along with the missing $4 trillion you’ve
never heard of Home Prices Drop Most on
Record... Federal Hiring
Frenzy......average pay $75,419 A Coming Flood
of Equity Issuance, aka The Dilution Solution Fed cut banks' deficits after negotiations: sounds like a
plan…riiiiight!…report Buffett's Berkshire has first loss since 2001 Are stocks a loser's bet?YES! Deficits soar
even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...
America is broke. How broke? White House forecasts higher budget
deficit US red ink rising even higher, to $1.8T
Deficits soar
even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget... STIMULUS WATCH:
Early road aid leaves out neediest; Auditors can't track transportation
funds... Gas price jumps
to 6-month high... |