Business Summary Links By Day

Business Summary Links By Day

Rosenberg Ruminates On Six Roadblocks For Stocks Durden

‘On this basis, the market as a whole is overpriced by more than 20%.’ { http://albertpeia.com/rosenbergsaysmarketovervaluedmorethan20percent.htm } , The Shocking Truth About Unemployment In America In One Chart http://albertpeia.com/shockingtruthofunemploymentinamerica.htm , We Are Nearing the End Game of Central Bank InterventionApril 9, 2012 By gpc1981 Because of a lack of foreign interest in long-term Treasuries, the Fed decided to step in to pick up the slack. As a result of this, the US Federal Reserve has accounted for 91% of all new debt issuance in the 20+years bracket. Put another way, the US Federal Reserve is now effectively the long-end of the US debt market.Operations Twist 2 has also allowed US commercial banks to unload their long-term Treasury holdings in exchange for new capital: something most of the Primary Dealers are in dire need of. This in turn helps to explain why the US stock market has advanced despite the fact that retail investors have been pulling out of the market in droves.Put another way, the markets have been ramped higher by more juice from the Fed (and corporate buybacks). However, the fact remains that this juice has come from the Fed reallocating its current portfolio holdings, NOT printing more money outright to monetize US debt via QE.So while the media and 99% of analysts believe the Fed is and can continue to act aggressively to prop up the markets, the fact is that the Fed has been reining in its monetary stimulus over the last nine months, largely relying on verbal intervention from Fed Presidents to push stocks higher… , Dave’s Daily: http://www.etfdigest.com BULLS LIVE IN DENIAL 4-9-12 ‘What can rally markets off recent lows is this announcement from Bloomberg: “Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will speak to an Atlanta Fed conference and after will engage in a brief, moderated Q&A session. Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart will also speak at various times during the conference, as will Boston Fed Pres. Eric Rosengren, in Stone Mountain, Ga.” Bernanke et al are stock market tape watchers. No doubt focus groups are giving him some tidbits of QE hope for discouraged bulls. They’ll be looking for it in any parsed phrase.In China inflation data was reported as hot while at the same time authorities wished to ease. This is a contradiction and may not happen as now they’d be trapped. The eurozone is back center stage with reports of their recovery being greatly exaggerated. Spain is on deck and any austerity measures will be greeted with riots. The ECB has already printed nearly $1.3 trillion (about the same as the U.S. Fed) to stimulate and/or bailout their mostly southern neighbors. They may be tapped-out and if not they’re just pushing on a string.Earnings season will begin with Alcoa (AA) leading off once again. Judging by weak base metals prices (DBB & JJC) it’s all about the outlook. Earnings growth is estimated at 3.2% growth for quarter one but if you strip-out Apple (AAPL) earnings this is whittled down sharply to 1.8%.Oil prices (USO) were weaker on what is perceived as declining future demand notwithstanding Iranian issues. Gasoline prices (UGA) got left-wing politicos searching for someone to blame. Washington senator Maria Cantwell wants to pin the blame on ETFs which allow investors (gasp!) to hedge or speculate. She should look in the mirror and then she would know who really is to blame for 30 years of no new refineries being built due to counterproductive regulations. It’s react and distract for many politicians looking for scapegoats…’ , NFP Big Miss: 120K, Expectations 205K, Unemployment 8.2%, "Not In Labor Force" At New All Time High Durden March NFP big miss at just 120K. Unemployment rate declines from 8.3% to 8.2%. Futures slide, for at least a few minutes before the NEW QE TM rumor starts spreading. The household survey actually posted a decline in March from 142,065 to 142,034. Considering Birth Death added 90K to the NSA number, the actual number was almost unchanged. The unemployment rate drops to 8.2% for one simple reason: the number of people not in the labor force is back to all time highs: 87,897,000. And as always, as we predicted when Goldman hiked its NFP forecast yesterday from 175K to 200K saying "if Goldman's recent predictive track record is any indication, tomorrow's NFP will be a disaster", Goldie once again skewers everyone. Finally, Joe LaVorgna's +250,000 forecast was just 100% off... as usual. , IceCap Asset Management March Perspectives: "I Need A Job" , Guest Post: Ten Minutes After The Titanic Struck The Iceberg , Is William Cohan Right That Wall Street "Regulation" Has To First And Foremost Curb Greed? Durden Now that the world is covered in at least $707 trillion in assorted unregulated Over the Counter derivatives (as of June 30, the most recent number is easily tens of trillions greater) and with at least one JPMorgan prop|non-prop trader exposed to having a ~$100 billion notional position in some IG-related index trade, pundits, always eager to score political brownie points, are starting to ruminate over ways to put the half alive/half dead cat back into the box. Unfortunately they are about 20 years too late: with the world literally covered in various levered bets all of which demand hundreds of billions in variation margin on a daily basis, the second the one bank at the nexus of the derivative bubble (ahem JPMorgan) starts keeling over, it will once again be "the end of the world as we know it" unless said bank is immediately bailed out. Again. , Another Nail In The Greek Coffin: Cheap, Migrant Workers Are Now Returning Home To Albania , Union Pension Underfunding Time-Bomb Soars By 75% In One Year, Nears $400 Billion , Don't Show This Chart To The President Durden One can write lengthy essays, op-eds, and client letters explaining both why the labor force participation rate is plunging due to innocuous reasons such as everyone over 40 retiring yesterday full of jouissance and excitement to begin the sunset phase of their lives using copious life savings earning 0.0001% in interest, or, inversely, why this is one great big propaganda ploy by the BLS to make Obama look good a few short months ahead of the pre-election debt ceiling breach, pardon, his re-election date. We prefer cutting to the chase. Here is today's chart of the day from BofA, which begs one simple question: when will the two time series recouple, because recouple they will, and how will America react to the realization it was lied to for 2% worth of unemployment "improvement"? The chart says it all. , PBOC To Defer To Fed On Easing After Inflation Comes In Hotter Than Expected , Goldman Closes Long Russell 2000 Recommendation At A Loss Durden And so the latest Goldman recommendation to muppets is now officially a dud. , America: A Government Out Of Control , 150 Years Of US Fiat , Spain: The Ultimate Doomsday Presentation , Guest Post: There Will Never Be A Failed US Treasury Auction... Until There Is Durden Do you think the US will always and forever be able to pay for our over-bloated military-industrial complex and our wars of choice? Do you think the federal housing agencies will always and forever be able to subsidize the real estate industry with money losing, non-economic mortgage loans? Do you think the government will always and forever be able to pay on the promises they've made regarding Social Security, Medicare and Medicade? Do you think the government will always and forever be able to extend debt-enslaving, subsidized student loans to anyone with a pulse? Do you think the fiat ponzi central planners at the Fed will always and forever be able to manipulate the Treasury curve to whatever levels the Oracles of Delphi decide? If you answer yes to the above, ask yourself this: how would all of these things be affected if the average interest rate paid by the US was to rise to 5%? At today's debt level of $15.6 trillion, the interest expense would be approximately $780 billion or about 35% of total government revenues. Welcome to the United States of Greece. Next stop, bankruptcy. , 51 Months After The Start Of The Recession, Here Is The Report Card Durden Recovery? What Recovery? 4 years after central banks have progressively injected over $7 trillion in liquidity into the global markets (and thus, by Fed logic, the economy), and who knows how many trillion in fiscal aid has been misallocated, to halt the Second Great Depression which officially started in December 2007, the US "recovery" is the weakest in modern US history! How many more trillions will have to be printed (and monetized) before the central planners realize that fighting mean reversion by using debt to defeat recore debt, just doesn't work? Our guess - lots.

Miscellaneous Business Headlines

The Creeping Cost of Consumer Inflation

fedupusa.org | Unintended consequences when policy aims at depreciating a currency in favor of bolstering an ailing banking system.

“Not In Labor Force” At New All Time High

Zero Hedge | Number of people not in the labor force is back to all time highs: 87,897,000.

World food prices rise further, raising fears of unrest

Reuters | Global food prices rose in March for a third straight month with more hikes to come.

America’s JOBS Act Power Elite Yelp

Anthony Wile | Did you read that on March 27th Congress passed the JOBS act, which stands for “Jumpstart Our Business Start-ups.”

MARC FABER: This Is Just The Beginning

Business Insider | In an interview with CNBC this past weekend, Faber said that last Friday’s disappointing jobs report only affirms his opinion that the U.S. economy remains anemic.

Gold Surges As Indian Jeweller Strike Ends, Equity Futures Slide

Zero Hedge | As reported earlier, the Indian gold buying strike is now over, and just as we predicted, gold futures are off to the races.

GOP lawmaker calls for change to how government measures unemployment

The Hill | A Republican lawmaker is intensifying his push for legislation that would change how the government measures the unemployment rate.

AP Business Highlights

...Yahoo Market Update…

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{ some prior links of current interest }

A Warning Sign For The World http://albertpeia.com/warningsignfortheworld.htm, 20 Signs You Might Be A Typical American Worker http://albertpeia.com/20signsoftypicalamericanworker.htm , 10 Signs That America Is Decomposing Right In Front Of Our Eyes http://albertpeia.com/10signsamericadecomposing.htm , 8 Reasons Why The Greek Debt Deal May Not Stop A Chaotic Greek Debt Default http://albertpeia.com/8reasonsgreekdebtdefaultstillcoming.htm , 55 Interesting Facts About The U.S. Economy In 2012 http://albertpeia.com/55factsaboutus2012economy.htm , http://albertpeia.com/debtpercapita.jpg , Double-dip recession setting in across eurozone: EU , America 1950 vs. America 2012 http://albertpeia.com/downhillslideofamerica.htm , Society’s Five Stages of Economic Collapse http://albertpeia.com/5stagesofcollapse.htm , No Housing Recovery - Case Shiller Shows 8th Consecutive Month Of House Price Declines Durden , Goldman: Germany Is Now On The Hook By €1 Trillion (Or 40% Of GDP) Durden, , 20 Economic Statistics To Use To Wake Sheeple Up From Their Entertainment-Induced Comas http://albertpeia.com/20ecostatstowakesheeple.htm , Central bank balance sheet expansion since end 2007 Mar 1st, 2012 by News (ZeroHedge) — SNB +230%; Fed +222%, BOJ +125%, BOE +87%, PBOC +93%, ECB +51%. USA Gold / PG View: Pretty strong evidence that the rally in bonds — and by extension the rally in stocks — is nothing but a charade. , 10.7 Percent: Unemployment In Europe Is Worse Than It Was At The Peak Of The Last Recession http://albertpeia.com/europeunemploymentworsethanrecession.htm , Inflation Is A Tax And The Federal Reserve Is Taxing The Living Daylights Out Of Us http://albertpeia.com/inflationisatax.htm , 15 Potentially Massive Threats To The U.S. Economy Over The Next 12 Months http://albertpeia.com/15massivethreatstoeconomy.htm , 1 Through 30 – The Coming U.S. Financial Crisis By The Numbers http://albertpeia.com/1-30usfinancialcrisiscoming.htm , Greece Has Defaulted - Which Country In Europe Is Next? http://albertpeia.com/greecehasdefaultedwhonext.htm , Five Charts That Prove We’re in a Depression and That the Federal Reserve and Washington Are Wasting Money gpc1981 http://albertpeia.com/usindepressionfedandgovwastingmoney.htm , Broken Promises: Pensions All Over America Are Being Savagely Cut Or Are Vanishing Completely .http://albertpeia.com/uspensionscutorvanishing.htm , America Is Being Transformed From A Wealthy Nation Into A Poor Nation At Breathtaking Speed http://albertpeia.com/ustransformedfromwealthytopoor.htm , ECRI Stays with Recession Call New American | The vicious cycle is starting where lower sales, lower production, lower employment and lower income [leads] back to lower sales…BOB ADELMANN New American Tuesday, March 13, 2012 http://albertpeia.com/ecricallsrecession.htm , Consumer prices rise on high gas costs But outside higher pump prices, inflation stayed mild. (Washington Post) [ Wake up! They’d have a hard time denying what’s in plain sight for everyone to see. Yet, apparently they’ve not gone grocery shopping lately; you know, all that catered food for fools in Washington. , Financial Crisis Phase II Is Ahead at Forbes Bert Dohmen ‘ In late 2007, I wrote the book Prelude To Meltdown, predicting the global crisis that occurred the following year. I now see a similar confluence of events that warns of phase II of the global crisis… My work shows that “the new recession has started.”… Over the past 33 years, we have called the start of every recession, often on the exact month, or within one month, of the official start as determined one year later by the official arbiter of recession, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)… However, inflation is far understated for political reasons. Currently, the GDP deflator is 1.8%, which hardly reflects the true rise in prices. Therefore, what is counted as “growth,” is actually price increases. Actual inflation, according to free market economists who calculate inflation as it was done in 1980 before the politician re-engineered it, is now more than 11%. Using that to adjust GDP for inflation, would show that the economy is now in a very sharp contraction…’ , Conned 2012: Joseph Kony Is A CIA Contractor [ Yeah, cia, mossad, kony, they look like and are a bunch of spooks. ] Saman Mohammadi | Former European MP, journalist, and author Richard Cottrell says Lord Resistance Army is backed by CIA and Mossad. , 11 Reasons Why America Would Be A Better Place Without Goldman Sachs [ If only it was just 11 and not an endless number of reasons why the aforesaid is true! And, though america particularly, not just america, but the entire world as well! ] http://albertpeia.com/americabetterwithoutgoldmansachs.com , The Obama Flag: Who Decided That It Was Okay To Replace The Stars On The American Flag With The Face Of Barack Obama? http://endoftheamericandream.com http://albertpeia.com/monkeyflag.htm [Aside from the desecration issues, from a purely aesthetic perspective, that picture on the flag of that ugly monkey obama is an absolute disgrace and affront to any rational person’s aesthetic sensibilities!] , Who Decided That It Would Be A Good Idea.... http://albertpeia.com/misplacedfaith.htm , As US Rakes Largest Monthly Deficit In History, 2012 Tax Revenues Net Of Refunds Trail 2011 Durden, Guest Post: Money from Nothing - A Primer On Fake Wealth Creation And Its Implications (Part 1) Durden 3-12-12 What is fraud except creating “value” from nothing and passing it off as something? Frauds interlink and grow upon each other. Our debt-based money system serves as the fraud foundation. In our debt-based money system, debt must grow in order to create money. Therefore, there is no way to pay off aggregate debt with available money. More money must be lent into the system to make the payments for old debts. This causes overall debt to expand as new money for actual people (vs. banks) always arrives at interest and compounds exponentially. This process is called financialization. Financialization: The process of making money from nothing in which debt (i.e. poverty, lack) is paradoxically considered an asset (i.e. wealth, gain). In current financialized economies “wealth expansion” comes from the parasitic taxation of productivity in the form of interest on fiat lending. This interest over time consumes a greater and greater share of resources, assets, labor, and livelihood until nothing is left., Guest Post: Money from Nothing - A Primer on Fake Wealth Creation and its Implications (Part 2) ZeroHedge.com 3-14-12 Only in a debt-based money system could debt be curiously cast as an asset. We’ve made “extend and pretend” a quaint phrase for a burgeoning market for financial lying and profiteering aimed toward preventing the collapse of a debt- (or lack-) based system that was already doomed by its initial design to collapse. , Guest Post: The Audacity of Bonuses At MF Global Durden 3-12-12 In the spirit of George Orwell’s Animal Farm commandment: “all animals are equal, but some animals are more equal then others” comes the galling news that bankruptcy trustee, Louis Freeh, could approve the defunct, MF Global to pay bonuses to certain senior executives. This, despite the fact that nearly $1.6 billion of customer funds remains “missing” or otherwise partially accounted for, yet beyond the reach of those customers, perhaps forever, since before the firm declared bankruptcy on October 31, 2011... ,