As
bad as the month of January was for the global economy, the truth is that the
rest of 2016 promises to be much worse. Layoffs are increasing at a pace
that we haven’t
seen since the last recession, major retailers are shutting down hundreds of
locations, corporate profit margins are plunging, global trade is slowing down
dramatically, and several major European banks are in the process of completely
imploding. I am about to share some numbers with you that are truly
eye-popping. Each one by itself would be reason for concern, but when you
put all of the pieces together it creates a picture that is hard to deny.
The global economy is in crisis, and this is going to have very serious
implications for the financial markets moving forward. U.S. stocks just
had their worst January in seven years, and if I am right much worse is still
yet to come this year. The following are 22 signs that the global
economic turmoil that we have seen so far in 2016 is just the beginning… (Read More....)
1. The number of job cuts in the United States
skyrocketed 218 percent during the month of January
according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas.
2. The Baltic Dry Index just hit yet another brand new
all-time record low. As I write this article, it is sitting at 303.
3. U.S. factory orders have now dropped for 14 months in a row.
4. In the U.S., the Restaurant Performance Index just
fell to the lowest level that we have seen since 2008.
5. In January, orders for class 8 trucks (the big
trucks that you see shipping stuff around the country on our highways) declined
a whopping 48 percent from a year ago.
6. Rail traffic is also slowing down
substantially. In Colorado, there are hundreds of train engines that are just
sitting on the tracks with nothing to do.
7. Corporate profit margins peaked during the third
quarter of 2014 and have
been declining steadily since then. This usually happens when we are
heading into a recession.
8. A series of extremely disappointing corporate
quarterly reports is sending stock after stock plummeting. Here is a
summary from Zero Hedge of a few examples
that we have just witnessed…
9. Junk bonds
continue to crash on Wall Street. On Monday, JNK was down to 32.60 and HYG was down to 77.99.
10. On Thursday, a major British news source
publicly named five large European banks that are considered to be in very
serious danger…
Deutsche
Bank, Credit Suisse, Santander, Barclays and RBS are among the stocks that are
falling sharply sending shockwaves through the financial world, according to
former hedge fund manager and ex Goldman Sachs employee Raoul Pal.
11. Deutsche Bank is
the biggest bank in Germany and it has more exposure to derivatives than any
other bank in the world. Unfortunately, Deutsche Bank credit default
swaps are now telling us that there is deep turmoil
at the bank and that a complete implosion may be imminent.
12. Last week, we
learned that Deutsche Bank had lost a staggering 6.8 billion euros in
2015. If you will recall, I warned about massive problems at Deutsche
Bank all the way back in September.
The most important bank in Germany is exceedingly troubled, and it could end up
being for the EU what Lehman Brothers was for the United States.
13. Credit Suisse
just announced that it will be eliminating 4,000 jobs.
14. Royal Dutch Shell
has announced that it is going to be eliminating 10,000 jobs.
15. Caterpillar has
announced that it will be closing 5 plants and getting rid of 670 workers.
16. Yahoo has
announced that it is going to be getting rid of 15 percent of its total workforce.
17. Johnson &
Johnson has announced that it is slashing its workforce by 3,000 jobs.
18. Sprint just laid
off 8 percent of its workforce and GoPro is
letting go 7 percent of its workers.
19. All over America,
retail stores are shutting down at a staggering pace. The following list
comes from one of my previous articles…
-Wal-Mart
is closing 269 stores, including 154 inside the United States.
-K-Mart
is closing down more than two dozen stores
over the next several months.
-J.C.
Penney will be permanently shutting down 47
more stores after closing a total of 40 stores in 2015.
-Macy’s has decided that it
needs to shutter 36 stores and lay off approximately 2,500 employees.
-The
Gap is in the process of closing 175 stores in North America.
-Aeropostale
is in the process of closing 84 stores all across America.
-Finish
Line has announced that 150 stores will be shutting down over
the next few years.
-Sears
has shut down about 600 stores over the past
year or so, but sales at the stores that remain open continue to fall
precipitously.
20. According to the
New York Times, the Chinese economy is facing a mountain of bad loans that “could exceed $5 trillion“.
21. Japan has
implemented a negative interest
rate program in a desperate attempt to try to get banks to make more loans.
22. The global
economy desperately needs the price of oil to go back up, but Morgan Stanley
says that we will not see $80 oil again until 2018.
It
is not difficult to see where the numbers are trending.
Last
week, I told my wife that I thought that Marco Rubio was going to do better
than expected in Iowa.
How
did I come to that conclusion?
It
was simply based on how his poll numbers were trending.
And
when you look at where global economic numbers are trending, they tell us that
2016 is going to be a year that is going to get progressively worse as it goes
along.
So
many of the exact same things that we saw happen in 2008 are happening again
right now, and you would have to be blind not to see it.
Hopefully
I am wrong about what is coming in our immediate future, because millions upon
millions of Americans are not prepared for what is ahead, and most of them are
going to get absolutely blindsided by the coming crisis.
Stock markets around the world
continue to collapse as this new global financial crisis picks up more
steam. In the U.S., the Dow lost 254 more points on Thursday, and it has
now fallen for five days in a row. European stocks continued to get obliterated, and
financial institutions are leading the way. But this week what is
happening in Japan has been the most sobering. After falling 918 points the other day, the Nikkei plunged another 760
points early on Friday. The Nikkei has now fallen for seven of the past
eight days, and investors in Japan are in full panic mode. Overall,
global stocks are well into bear market
territory, and nearly 17 trillion dollars of global stock market wealth has
already been wiped out. (Read More....)
On Tuesday junk bonds continued to crash, the price of
oil briefly dipped below 28 dollars a barrel, Deutsche Bank was forced to deny
that it is on the verge of collapse, but the biggest news was what happened in
Japan. The Nikkei was down a staggering 918 points, but that stock crash
made very few headlines in the western world. If the Dow had crashed 918
points today, that would have been the largest single day point crash in all of
U.S. history. So what just happened in Japan is a really big deal.
The Nikkei is now down 23.1 percent from the peak of the market, and that
places it solidly in bear market territory. Overall, a total of 16.5 trillion dollars of
global stock market wealth has been wiped out since the middle of 2015.
As I stated yesterday, this is what a global financial crisis looks
like. (Read More....)
There
is so much chaos going on that I don’t even know where to start. For a very long
time I have been warning my readers that a major banking collapse was coming to
Europe, and now it is finally unfolding. Let’s start with Deutsche
Bank. The stock of the most important bank in the “strongest economy in
Europe”
plunged another 8 percent on Monday,
and it is now hovering just above the all-time record low that was set during
the last financial crisis. Overall, the stock price is now down a
staggering 36 percent since 2016 began, and Deutsche Bank credit default swaps
are going parabolic. Of course my readers were
alerted to major problems at Deutsche Bank all the way back in September, and
now the endgame is playing out. In addition to Deutsche Bank, the list of
other “too
big to fail”
banks in Europe that appear to be in very serious trouble includes Commerzbank,
Credit Suisse, HSBC and BNP Paribas. Just about every major bank in Italy could fall on that list as well,
and Greek bank stocks lost close to a quarter of their value on Monday
alone. Financial Armageddon has come to Europe, and the entire planet is going to feel the pain. (Read More....)
Do
you remember how much stocks went down when the first dot-com bubble
burst? Well, it is happening again, and tech stocks are already down more
than half a trillion dollars since the middle of 2015. On
Friday, the tech-heavy Nasdaq dropped to its lowest level in more than 15
months, and it has now fallen more than 16 percent from the peak of the
market. But of course some of the biggest names have fallen much more
than that. Netflix is down 37 percent, Yahoo is down 39 percent, LinkedIn
is down 60 percent, and Twitter is down more than 70 percent. If you go
back through my previous articles, you will find that I specifically warned
about Twitter again and again. Irrational financial bubbles like this always
burst eventually, and many investors that got in at the very top are now losing
extraordinary amounts of money. (Read More....)
All
over America, rates of violent crime are absolutely soaring. As you will
see below, violent crime overall shot up by 20 percent in Los Angeles last
year, and the police are telling people that “they need to be able to
protect themselves” because the police may not be able to get there in
time when they call. Thanks to deep budget cuts, police departments
across the nation are already severely undermanned, and our major cities are
now seeing crime rates increase at a pace that we have not seen in ages.
In a previous article, I encouraged my
readers to focus on the five basics of preparation – food, water, shelter,
energy and self-defense. Of those five, it is often self-defense that is
the most neglected. When bad people break into your house in the middle
of the night intending to do bad things, what are you going to do? Many
of us have not had to think about that for a long time, but now conditions are
rapidly changing in America. (Read More....)
Why
are small towns in conservative states being specifically targeted for refugee resettlement?
Of course the Obama administration will never publicly admit that this is
happening, but it doesn’t take a genius to figure out what is going on.
Just look at the uproar that refugee resettlement is now causing in small
communities in Idaho, Montana, North Dakota and Kansas. The Obama
administration has deemed large cities such as Washington D.C. to be “too expensive” for the refugees, and so
large numbers of them are being dispersed throughout smaller communities all
over the nation. If you drop a few hundred refugees into a major city of
several million people, it isn’t going to make much of a difference. But if
you drop a few hundred refugees into a small town that has only a few thousand
people living there, you can start to fundamentally alter the character of the
whole area. Could it be possible that this is yet another way that Barack
Obama is attempting to “fundamentally transform” America? (Read More....)
Did you know that more Americans now die from suicide than are
killed in car crashes each year? According to the CDC, there has been a substantial
spike in suicide deaths in the United States in recent years. Today,
approximately 9.3 million Americans admit to having suicidal thoughts, and
approximately 2.7 million Americans each year actually make a plan for how they
would commit suicide. We are a deeply, deeply unhappy nation, but of
course this phenomenon is not just limited to America. According to the
World Health Organization, suicide is now the third highest cause of
death in the entire world. Globally, suicide rates have soared by 60
percent over the past 45 years, and the WHO is now projecting that by the year
2020 someone will be committing suicide somewhere in the world every 20 seconds. (Read More...)
Are Saudi Arabia and Turkey about
to send ground troops into Syria? If so, how will Russia, Iran and the
Syrian government respond? In 2016, Syria has become ground zero for a
conflict that has been raging for centuries. For more than a thousand
years, the Sunnis and the Shiites have been wrestling with one another for
control of the Middle East. Saudi Arabia, Turkey and other Sunni nations
had hoped to turn Syria into a Sunni nation, and for years they have been
funding and arming ISIS and other Sunni insurgent groups in an attempt to
overthrow the Assad regime. Initially the Assad regime was losing quite a
bit of ground, but the tide turned once the Syrians invited the Russians and
the Iranians to help them. Of course the Iranians have their own
long-term goals. Once Assad leaves power, the Iranians hope to turn Syria
into a truly Shiite nation that is run and dominated by Hezbollah. At this
moment, the Sunnis and losing and the Shiites are winning. Relentless
Russian airstrikes have enabled Syrian, Iranian and Hezbollah ground forces to
advance, and now they have surrounded Aleppo. Before the war Aleppo was
the largest city in Syria, and if it falls, the war will be very close to over.
(Read More...)
If you are a Christian, you better
brace yourself for great persecution. It has gotten very little attention from
the mainstream media, but federal authorities have uncovered an ISIS plot to “shoot up” a Detroit megachurch. 21-year-old
Khalil Abu-Rayyan of Dearborn Heights, Michigan told authorities that he
actually intended to take a gun into a very large church in Detroit that can
seat up to 6,000 people and start killing Christians. He has been charged with
supporting the Islamic States and with “illegally having a firearm while using a controlled
substance”.
Abu-Rayyan actually admitted that since he can’t be part of the jihad in
the Middle East, that he would “do my jihad over here”. As I have warned so many times before, ISIS
terrorists are already here, and what we have seen so far is just the
beginning. (Read More...)
Have
you ever come away discouraged after trying to talk about prepping with friends
or family members that just don’t seem to be interested? Over the years, I have
heard countless excuses from people for why they aren’t getting prepared for
what is about to happen to America. Some of the excuses, like a lack of
money, are definitely legitimate. But in many other instances, the
objections don’t seem to make a lot of sense. In America
today, most people let others do most of their thinking for them. And in
general, our political, religious and cultural leaders are telling Americans
that there really is no reason to be overly concerned about the future.
They assure us that they have everything under control, and that life is only
going to get better in the years ahead. Bad beliefs lead to bad decisions
which in turn lead to bad actions, and most Americans have chosen to believe
what the elite are telling them at this point. As a result, only a small
fraction of society is getting physically, mentally, emotionally and
spiritually prepared for the exceedingly hard times that are rapidly
approaching. The following are 53 common excuses that people like to use
for not prepping… (Read More....)
Are
you living “the
American Dream”? If so, you should consider yourself to be very
fortunate, because most Americans are not. In fact, as you will see
below, a new survey has found that there is nowhere on the entire planet where
the average wage earner is making enough money to live “the American Dream”. Once upon a time,
the United States had the largest and most prosperous middle class in the
history of the world, but now the middle class makes up a minority of the
population, 51 percent of all American workers make
less than $30,000 a year, and poverty is growing rapidly. The American
Dream is essentially dead, and even the mainstream media is starting to figure
this out. (Read More...)
This
isn’t
how it was supposed to go for Donald Trump. Iowa was supposed to be the first
in a series of convincing wins that would cement his status as the inevitable
nominee of the Republican Party. But instead, Iowa dealt a very serious blow to
Trump’s
candidacy, and it threw the race for the Republican nomination wide open. Of course
Trump is far from dead, but now New Hampshire becomes a must win for him. If
Trump does not win in New Hampshire where he is heavily favored, he will be 0-2
and it will send the political sharks in the Republican Party into a feeding
frenzy. As I will explain below, Trump needs to win at least 60 percent of the
delegates before the convention to secure the nomination, and as I write this
tonight it appears to be extremely doubtful that he will be able to do that. If
he can only pull in 24 percent of the vote in Iowa, then he definitely does not
have the overwhelming momentum that many people believed that he had. (Read More...)
Major
retailers in the United States are shutting down hundreds of stores, and
shoppers are reporting alarmingly bare shelves in many retail locations that
are still open all over the country. It appears that the retail
apocalypse that made so many headlines in 2015 has gone to an entirely new
level as we enter 2016. As economic activity slows down and Internet retailers
capture more of the market, brick and mortar retailers are cutting their
losses. This is especially true in areas that are on the lower portion of
the income scale. In impoverished urban centers all over the nation, it
is not uncommon to find entire malls that have now been completely
abandoned. It has been estimated that there is about a billion square
feet of retail space sitting empty in this country, and this crisis is only
going to get worse as the retail apocalypse accelerates. (Read More...)
Just
within the past few days, three major high yield funds have completely
imploded, and panic is spreading rapidly on Wall Street. Funds run by
Third Avenue Management and Stone Lion Capital Partners have suspended payments
to investors, and a fund run by Lucidus Capital Partners has liquidated its
entire portfolio. We are witnessing a race for the exits unlike anything
that we have seen since the great financial crash of 2008, and many of those
that choose to hesitate are going to end up getting totally wiped out. In
case you are wondering, this is what a financial crisis looks like. In
2008, other global stock markets started to tumble, then junk bonds began to crash, and finally U.S. stocks
followed. The exact same pattern is playing out again, and the carnage that
we have seen so far is just the tip of the iceberg. (Read More....)