Stepping Aside Because I Can Always
Buy Back In Leigh Drogen ‘I sold out of everything this
morning, for a few reasons. Either I’ve been in the wrong names or just caught
a bad tape there, either way my long exposure was not performing the way it
should have been. One after another I’ve seen gains get torn away from me by
stocks gapping down overnight on news or whatever it may be. Frankly, it
doesn’t matter, the only thing that does is the bottom line. It’s ok to be
wrong in this business, in fact my trading style is wrong almost half the time,
the key is to take your stops and move on, because at the end of the day the
winners, if you play them right, will far and away make up for the half of your
trades that don’t work.
First, breakouts don’t always work and momentum stocks have a habit of
ending their trends abruptly.
Second, I can always step back in, I don’t run 5 billion dollars, I
don’t move stocks, I can buy back in this afternoon if I change my mind (not
likely). I see more risk to the downside here than I do to the upside. Short
term the market doesn’t look bad, we are still above a rising 5 day moving
average and pushing up against a big resistance level going back to June. But,
in the larger scheme of things I don’t think we crack this level on the first
shot, I think we need a pullback here to regroup and gain more energy. As well,
on the intermediate term time frame, the market is showing a rising wedge
technical pattern, a bearish pattern. No, I’m not calling here for a complete
roll over as I did back in early April, I’m just saying that the risk here is
to the downside and with my underperformance as of late I’m just not confident
enough to be pushing the pedal to the floor at these levels.
Third, the jobs number tomorrow scares me. No, it doesn’t matter what
the number is, we all know it’s going to be bad, what matters is how the market
reacts, and I have the feel it’s not going to be good.
Fourth, many of my oscillators are overbought here.
Fifth, and finally, I don’t like the fact that this rally has primarily
taken place on the back of the most beaten down sectors. We haven’t seen tech,
the leader, make a big move. The oil service names, steel names, agriculture
names, and transports have fueled this rally. They were very very oversold in
early July and needed to bounce, now that they have reverted back to the mean
so to speak, what now? Where is the next leadership, I still don’t see rotation
back into tech, the semis are still stuck in the mud and breakouts in momentum
names are failing.
It all just doesn’t pass the smell test for me. I’ve been successful at this
not because I’m always right, but because I know when I’m wrong and I’m willing
to change course or step aside. Right now, I’ll step aside.’
Were Unemployment Claims Really So 'Unexpected'?
YAHOO [BRIEFING.COM]:
‘A bleak weekly jobless claims count caused consternation ahead of tomorrow's
pivotal nonfarm payrolls report. Stocks responded by plodding along with modest
losses for the entire session. Initial jobless claims for the week ended July
31 to a three-month high of 479,000, which was worse than the expected initial
claims count of 455,000. Continuing claims came down 34,000 from the prior
week, but they remain at uncomfortably high levels above 4.5 million. Even
though the weekly claims figures will not play a part in the calculation of the
July payrolls report, which is due tomorrow, the data stirred concern that the
report might not show the improvement that some had hoped for following a
better-than-expected ADP Employment Change reading yesterday …’
Equities Reflect Caution Ahead of
Jobs Report Midnight Trader 4:22 PM, Aug 5,
2010 --
GLOBAL
SENTIMENT
UPSIDE
MOVERS
(+) KSS says July same-store sales up 4.1%, raises earnings view.
(+) VLNC reports improved Q1 from year-ago result.
(+) PCS beats with Q2 results.
(+) HUN easily tops with Q2 results.
(+) HAUP launches high def video support for Windows Media Center.
(+) GPS sales up, guides for earnings below Stret view.
(+) KLIC beats with earnings and guides for sales above Street.
(+) M says July sales up 7.3%.
(+) ANF sales up 7%.
(+) BP up on cap progress.
(+) MF beats with Q1 earnings.
(+) LIZ results mostly positive, misses with revenue.
DOWNSIDE MOVERS
(-) JCP says same-store sales slip, expects Q2 EPS at low end of
range.
(-) ALXA prices shares.
(-) ARO cuts EPS outlook.
(-) SD down despite earnings beat.
(-) BCS down as earnings about in line.
(-) UN extends European decline to US action after latest earnings.
(-) GYMB sales miss.
MARKET DIRECTION
Stock averages improve late to end barely down. Wall Street traded in soggy
fashion after a surprise rise in weekly jobless benefits applications and mixed
retail sales results. Plus, caution persists ahead of Friday's jobs report. Oil
closed down 0.6% though ending off session lows. September futures settled at
$82.01 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Natural gas for September
delivery slumped 3% to close at $4.60 per million British thermal units.
Natural gas futures lost grip of earlier gains despite a government report
showing a smaller-than-expected increase in inventories for the week ended July
30. Stocks have gained without much of a pause since hitting lows for the year
on July 2. The broad S&P 500 is up 10% since that day. Earnings news
continues to be largely supportive but economic data can be sobering. The
number of people applying for initial unemployment benefits climbed by 19,000
to 479,000 in the latest week. Economists expected a drop in claims. The less-volatile
four-week average of initial claims rose by 5,250 to 453,250. The number of
workers who continue to receive state unemployment checks, meanwhile, fell by
34,000 to 4.54 million in the week ended July 24, the latest data available.
Economists polled by Reuters are expecting Friday's U.S. Labor Department
report to show a drop of 65,000 in non-farm payrolls in July as temporary U.S.
Census Bureau jobs dried up. Private employers are expected to have added
90,000 jobs. Consumers remain one of the bigger question marks in the recovery.
Retailers reported July same-store sales results today. The 28 retailers
tracked by Thomson Reuters reported July same-store sales rose only 2.9%, short
of analysts' expectations for a 3.1% gain.
Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST) and
Limited Brands Inc.(LTD)
reported big jumps in July sales, but the gain was deceiving because last
year's results were poor. Costco is down 1.83% and Limited is up 0.42%. In company news, the Android software from
Google Inc. (GOOG) will likely outpace Apple Inc.'s (AAPL) iPhone in the number of phones in use
worldwide by 2012, reports tech industry research firm iSuppli. Android
software will likely reside in 75 million smart phones by then while iPhone will
be used in 62 million, according to the report. Drugmakers led by Pfizer Inc. (PFE) could soon be able to shrink the amount
of time it takes to test a drug's safety by months to years after it, along
with other companies, get access to a new testing system, according to
Bloomberg. That could add millions of dollars in revenue and savings on
research, according to the report. The new system uses computers to test
produicts against human and animal cells instead of living organisms and was
developed by the federal government, the report says. The June quarter earnings
season rolled from yesterday's after-hours session to this morning before the
bell. Viacom Inc. (VIA) is
struggling in the red in early trading, down 1.56%, but off its early low of
$37.06, after reporting Q2 net income of $420 million, or 69 cents per share,
compared with $277 million, or 46 cents per share, last year. Analysts were
looking for a consensus 66 cents per share on Thomson Reuters. Overall revenue
was flat at $3.3 billion, below analysts' call for $3.4 billion.Meanwhile, The
Gymboree Corp. (GYMB) reports Q2
sales of $219.3 mln, below the analyst mean of $233 million on Thomson Reuters.
Hartford Financial Services (HIG)
shares are down sharply on earlier news the seller of life insurance said
earnings per share for the year would be $2.10 to $2.30 this year instead of
the previous target of $2.70 to $3, according to a Bloomberg report. Second
quarter income was $76 million or $0.14 a share compared with a loss of $15
million or $0.06. Playboy Enterprises (PLA) shares are lower after the company said
June quarter losses were wider than expected due to declines in revenue from
print and digital segments, according to a Reuters report. Net loss at the
company narrowed to $5.4 million, or 16 cents per share, from $8.7 million, or
26 cents per share, a year ago. Still, analysts were expecting a loss of $0.15 a
share on sales of $58 million, according to Thomson Reuters.
WE’RE UNDERESTIMATING THE BEARISH POTENTIAL , August 3, 2010
’… Will Anything Stop the Market? Something Did
… At the same
time, the April numbers were lowered the second time by an additional 24,000
units, while May sales were revised lower by 33,000 units. To summarize, April
and May sales were reduced by 57,000 units. Therefore, June sales were 24%
above May sales. By the way, May sales were the lowest on record. Is this
really reason to celebrate? But wait, there's more. The S&P
Case-Shiller Composite Home Price Index inched from 144.59 to 146.43 for May, a
1.25% increase. Many are unaware that the Case-Shiller Home Price Index is a
three month average and is released with a two month lag. The most recent
3-month average as of May included the period when buyers still received their
$8,000 tax credit. As the chart below shows, despite a 80%+ rally in equities,
trillions worth of stimulus money, $8,000 home-buyers tax credit, and a lot of
hot air, the Case-Shiller Index has only risen 6 points, or 5.15%, from its
March 2009 low and remains 30% below its 2006 high. [chart]
Banks' Toxic Assets: It's no secret that the economy started choking because
banks gorged on toxic real estate assets. As the real estate related losses
piled up, banks got into trouble and started hording their meager funds and
lending dried up. Since then, banks have taken free government money and
invested it in various Treasuries. Even yields for short and long-term
treasuries (NYSEArca: TLT - News)
have fallen, and banks have been earning interest without risk, while
businesses can't obtain funding. Another income source for banks has been
securities trading. But, since stocks have fallen, so have banks' trading
revenue, meanwhile banks' real estate portfolios remain unchanged. Unemployment
is persistent and foreclosures continue to soar. Thus far, free interest and
rising stocks have covered up the losses racked up by banks' portfolios of
toxic assets. But the weak link (falling real estate prices) has not been
fixed. Once pressure is put on the chain, it will break again. The problems
within the financial sector have been visible all along. 106 banks, many of
them regional banks (NYSEArca: KRE - News),
have failed already in 2010. At the same time last year, only 65 banks failed.
An additional 775 banks are on the FDIC's problem bank list. Unlike Wall Street
and the financial media, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter bothers to take a
look under the hood and examine the engines that drive the economy. It's quite
obvious that a number of pistons have blown, the engine is sputtering but the
car is rolling downhill. Once the next hill comes, the car (aka the economy)
will come to a standstill. AAA can't fix blown pistons, neither can the
government.
The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter
regularly and consistently monitors and analysis technical, fundamental,
sentiment and valuation gauges to formulate detailed short, mid and long-term
forecasts, along with a target for the ultimate market bottom. ‘
Temporary
Firehouse Closures Begin In Philadelphia CBS
3 | The
city of Philadelphia has started temporarily closing fire stations in order to
balance its budget.
Warning Signs Suggest Market Headed for Another Collapse
In early January 2008, I had a very troubling conversation with
my colleague at Matrix Analytix regarding a significant warning sign suggesting
that a major crisis loomed on the horizon of the equity markets that year. The
content of our conversation was focused on the implications of a massive
one-year head & shoulders on the S&P 500 (SPY). The issue consistently
pervaded my mind because if what the equity markets seemed to signal was true,
we were probably headed for a major collapse. I remember asking him
specifically, “Can this be for real? What are the implications of a head &
shoulders of that magnitude completely unwinding?”My colleague all but
confirmed my concerns even pointing to a potential culprit for the impending
downturn. He had noted that the markets had all but brushed off early warnings
of systemic risk and liquidity concerns posed by the potential failure of
subprime MBS’s that August, and that such concerns were likely to resurface in
2008. I, for one, didn’t really care what the potential culprit may be. For me,
the fact that market technicals suggested that an impending failure was drawing
near formed the basis of my concerns.The fact that market participants,
investors, and the mainstream media continued to put their heads in the sand
and ignore such blatant signs of the broader market was simply unacceptable. At
the time, the S&P 500 had rallied nearly 35% over the past 2 years. There
was rampant discussion of Dow (DIA) 18,000 as the market continued to “benefit”
from the so-called “Goldilocks economy.” Almost everyone was either oblivious
to the warning signs of the broader market or simply decided to ignore them.
Turn the page to
today, and it’s the same story all over again. While investors, fund managers,
and the mainstream financial media debate whether we’re headed for a double-dip
recession, they simply continue to disregard the obvious technical damage done
on the broader market. Once again, this article is not so much concerned with
the potential fundamental reasons or theories advanced as to why the markets
might unravel. Instead, I’m more concerned with what the broader market seems
to be telling me about the immediate future.
One can find no
shortage of fundamental or mechanical theories explaining what might form the
basis of a future financial collapse published at Zero Hedge, by Nassim
Nicholas Taleb, Nouriel Roubini or Karl Denninger. In fact, I buy into a lot of
the evidence presented by these sources, and believe that one gains a better
grasp of financial reality spending 10 minutes with Zero Hedge than spending 2
weeks listening to the mainstream financial media. It is laughable to compare
the vacant drivel coming out of Dennis Kneale to even one single article
published by Tyler Durden or Ryan Iskander.
Once again, right now
I’m focused on what the trading activity in the broader market seems to be
telling me rather than on what the fundamentals of the economy or the
mechanical structure of the markets indicate. The techncials suggest, as they
did in early 2008, that there is something fundamentally wrong with the
financial markets and that a collapse, whatever the fundamental reasons may be,
is potentially drawing near. There are seven issues I’ll briefly discuss below,
and why it's imperative that my readers should explore these issues in more
detail.
1. HEAD &
SHOULDERS ON THE S&P 500, DOW JONES, AND NASDAQ
The biggest warning
sign the market seems to be giving us right now is the blatant 10-month head
& shoulders formation seen on each of the major indices. Like in 2008, a
massive head & shoulders of this magnitude is not something that investors
ought to take lightly. Millions chose to ignore this warning sign in 2008 at
their peril. I’m not going to sit here and belabor the point as I’ve already
written extensively on this topic, which could be found here.Yet, to summarize,
a head & shoulders formation is arguably the most bearish technical
formation in the books. The time, breadth and size of this head & shoulders
is exactly the same as what we saw in early 2008 just before entering the
biggest bear market in modern history …
[chart]
2. BULLISH FLAG ON
THE VIX?
Almost as important
as the head & shoulders on every broad market index and exchange is the
huge bullish flag on the VIX, VXN and VXX (VXX). Volatility looks like it's
about to explode higher in the September to October time frame. A convergence
of the upper and lower trend lines appears to take place near the end of
August. This certainly does not bode well for the markets. An explosion of
volatility can only be viewed as conclusively negative for the markets. We
can’t have a massive spike in volatility without a coinciding collapse in the
equity markets …
[chart]
3.
THE DEATH-CROSS ON THE S&P SUGGESTS THE 2009 TO 2010 RALLY MIGHT BE OVER
This topic has
already been written about quite extensively over the past few weeks. As you
may or may not be aware, the 50-day moving average crossed under the 200-day on
the S&P 500 signaling that the March 2009 to April 2010 bull market might
be at an end. When the 50 and 200 days cross in this manner, it suggests that
the overall trend has weakened to such a degree that the recent price action is
viewed as a topping process for the markets. We saw this exact same bearish cross
on the S&P 500 in early January 2008 right at the start of the great bear
market. You can read more about the death-cross here, here and here …
4. THE VOLUMELESS
RALLY & MUTUAL FUND OUTFLOWS
Arguably one of the
biggest warning signs suggesting that the entire 2009 to 2010 advance is just a
bear market rally arises from the fact that the move was done on increasingly
less volume. The clear lack of conviction indicates that the move was
orchestrated by very few market participants. Some have advocated that the 2009
to 2010 rally was performed under the complete control of the federal reserve
or by high frequency traders in either a ploy to combat deflation or by fixing
the odds of the market to favor the very few. If Goldman Sachs (GS) posting
gains every day in Q1 isn’t enough evidence that the game is fixed, I don’t
know what is.
Every down move in
the market is done on massive volume, and every up move on little to no volume.
Each day of the February to April melt-up rally was easy to predict. When volume
tanks, the market rises and volume picks up, the market tanks. What kind of
no-conviction fraudulent market rallies on zero volume and tanks on heavy
volume? Even the July bounce to this correction was done on low volume. Down
days in July exhibited huge volume while up days saw declining participation.
This lack of
conviction in the equity markets is further evidenced by the disconcertingly
significant mutual fund outflows seen over the past year. Tyler Durden notes in
an article posted at Zero Hedge last week:
The latest update
from ICI is a doozy: in the week ended July 21, domestic equity mutual funds
saw a 12th sequential outflow of $1.5 billion. Even as the market has surged
10% in the last three weeks, just under $10 billion have been redeemed from
mutual funds, completely invalidating the move and further justifying the
skeptics who see absolutely no reflection to reality in the volumeless ramp
orchestrated by a few momentum HFTs and a couple of Primary Dealers with some
excess leftover Discount Window change. Not to mention that 12 weeks in a row
of outflows pretty much marks game over as far as retail participation is
concerned in stocks…
[chart]
5. 1,000 POINT FLASH
CRASHES
Adding to the
concerns of low volume and mutual fund outflows, if 1,000-point inter-day
swings in the Dow doesn’t raise a clear red flag to investors that the
mechanics of the market is under fire, then clearly nothing can convince the
average investor to consider caution in the coming months. Whether the
so-called “flash-crash” was the result of some questionable “fat-finger” trade
or the result of everyone putting in stop losses at the same level on the
S&P (which I warned about 7-minutes prior to the crash see here) is
anyone’s guess…
[chart]
6. BOND MARKET
DISTRUSTFUL OF THE RALLY
…
7. MARKET LEADERSHIP
IS WEAKENING
[chart] … ‘
Stocks' Late Push: Some
Optimism, Some Pessimism [Late
push … as in a constipated bowel movement … Come on! Another one of those push
the computer programmed trade button and off we go, reality / valuation /
economics be damned. In real security analysis (very simplified / summarized),
as opposed to the continued frauds on wall street, one must begin with the
largest and most significant aggregate (a simple word picture / analogy:
‘rising tide lifts all boats’). If you get this right, the probabilities in
your favor are substantially enhanced. From there, you want leading industries,
and leading companies within said leading industries (again, larger aggregates
then picks, to enhance probabilities, not guarantees, in your favor). Your time
frame, 1-3-5 yrs tops for projections, (including income statement/EPS, balance
sheet, and applying an appropriate P/E – a detailed, multi-faceted approach
beyond what could be described in this summary); and, that’s all they are,
projections. Beyond that time frame, your guess. On fraudulent wall street,
every day, though already discounted in large part (6-8 mos, approx.), the
market spins, churns, and with lightning fast computerized high-frequency trade
programs commissions in huge volumes like no other time in financial history
when real valuation meant something, with no net economic value added, but very
lucrative to the frauds on wall street, which ultimately is a net detriment to
the economy / the nation /and other industries as we’ve seen and as described
elsewhere on this site and in these posts http://albertpeia.com . Preposterously, they
even sometimes refer to seasonal factors as if hearing them for the first time
and ‘explaining’ an up move (almost invariably already discounted). Today, they
shrugged off the deepening economic reality despite the election year frothing
/ manipulations. This is a global depression. This is a secular bear market
in a global depression. The past up move was a manipulated bull (s***) cycle in
a secular bear market. This has been a typically manipulated bubble as has
preceded the prior crashes with great regularity that the wall street frauds
and insiders commission and sell into. This is a typical wall street churn and
earn pass the hot potato scam / fraud as in prior crashes’. This national
decline, economic and otherwise, will not end until justice is served and the
wall street frauds et als are criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and
disgorgement imposed. ].
Slowing economic rebound raises
unemployment fears (AP) [Wow! Talk about understatements!]
Marc Faber Questions if Dow
Could Hit 1,000 In the August edition of the ‘The Gloom, Boom
& Doom Report’ Marc Faber questions whether the Dow could hit 1,000 as predicted by Robert Prechter, based
on his interpretation of Elliot Waves, Fibonacci numbers and socioeconomic
trends. Prechter, who has written 13
books on finance (external link), believes
that the stock market is historically overvalued in terms of dividends and
earnings, because of a “great rise in positive social mood.” But the mood
changed in 2000 and the “trend toward negative social mood will lead to an
economic contraction,” according to Prechter. “Small bear markets lead to
recessions, big bear markets lead to depressions. The current bear market will
be the biggest in nearly 300 years, so the depression will be correspondingly
deep,” Prechter said.
Wall
St falls after weak outlooks drag (Reuters) U.S. stocks sagged in volatile
trading on Thursday after weak outlooks from technology companies and downbeat
comments from a Federal Reserve official gave investors little reason to buy.
Fed says some districts report slowing economy (Reuters)
Flaws of the European Stress Test … 'Bank stress test' became the magic phrase. Nothing calms fear
like a stress test that's labeled as rigorous. The stress test raises a few
very obvious questions: 1) Will it work? 2) Why was it needed in addition to a
$1 trillion aid package? 3) Is the stress test just a gimmick to appease
investors? The stress test is conducted by the London-based Committee of
European Banking Supervisors (CEBS). Ironically, the test has ignored the
majority of banks' holdings of sovereign debt. Sovereign debt concerns by the
so-called PIGS countries (Portugal, Italy, Greece, and Spain) triggered the
latest wave of financial problems. Ignoring sovereign debt in the Euro stress
test would be like ignoring toxic real estate assets in the U.S. 10%
Good - 90% Bad According to a Morgan Stanley survey, European banks hold about 90%
of their Greek government bonds in their banking books and 10% in their trading
books. The bonds in the banking book are generally held until maturity, the
bonds in the trading book are traded more frequently. According to a document
obtained by Bloomberg, the stress test assumes a loss of 23.1% on Greek debt,
14% on Portuguese bonds, 12.3% on Spanish debt, 4.7% on German debt, 10% on
U.K. debt, and 5.9% on French debt. However, the stress test only looks at the
bonds held in banks' trading books, which account for a mere 10% of Greek bond
holdings. Can that be called a stress test? Nouriel Roubini says that 'the
assumptions made about economic growth, about sovereign risk are not realistic
enough.' The fact that only seven banks failed the test with a combined
shortfall of $4.5 billion confirms the lax nature of the test. … The U.S. Bank Stress Test - A Nice Façade A closer look under the hood of
the U.S. bank stress test, however, shows that there's not much substance
behind the facade either. It was determined that the 19 tested U.S. banks need
to increase their balance sheets by $75 billion to meet the conditions of
what's termed the 'worst case scenario.' To a large extent, the $75 billion of
additional capital was financially engineered. Banks didn't have to actually
raise $75 billion. They were able to change the label of some of their assets
on their balance sheets. The government supported this practice via mandatory
convertible preferred shares (detailed analysis in May 2009 issue of the ETF
Profit Strategy Newsletter) …’
Moody's:
Regional banks on review for downgrade (AP)
Consumer
confidence dims (Reuters)
Job worries drove July U.S. consumer confidence to its lowest since
February, with one in six people expecting lower income in the next six months,
underscoring the precarious state of econo...
Global
steelmakers paint gloomy picture (Reuters)
US
bank failures in 2010 surpass 100
WASHINGTON (AP) -- U.S. bank failures this year have surpassed a bleak
milestone of 100 as regulators shut down banks in Georgia, Florida, South
Carolina, Kansas, Nevada and Minnesota. The six bank seizures announced Friday
bring to 102 the failures so far in 2010. The pace of bank closures this year
is well ahead of that of last year, which saw a total 140 bank shuttered amid
the recession and mounting loan defaults …
On the Disconnect Between the Market and the Economy Michael Shulman:
(No recession helicopter ben) Bernanke Admits Major Policy Failures; Stocks Soar Darryl Montgomery What's wrong with this picture?
In his bi-annual testimony before Congress yesterday, Fed Chair Ben Bernanke
admitted that after more than a year and a half of zero interest rates and $3
trillion in federal deficit spending since 2008, the best case
scenario for the U.S. economy is slow growth and high unemployment. The S&P
500 is up 2.5% so far this morning on this 'good' news. Bernanke's congressional testimony included the
following statements (emphasis added by me):
"Most [FOMC] participants viewed uncertainty
about the outlook for growth and unemployment as greater than normal, and the
majority saw [at the June Fed meeting] the risks to growth as weighted to
the downside."
"Financial conditions--though much improved
since the depth of the financial crisis--have become less supportive of
economic growth in recent months."
"Many banks continue to have a large volume
of troubled loans on their books, and bank lending standards remain tight.
With credit demand weak and with banks writing down problem credits, bank
loans outstanding have continued to contract."
"After two years of job losses, private payrolls
expanded at an average of about 100,000 per month during the first half of this
year, a pace insufficient to reduce the unemployment rate materially.
In all likelihood, a significant amount of time will be required to restore the
nearly 8-1/2 million jobs that were lost over 2008 and 2009."…
‘The Obama Deception’
Censored ‘The Obama Deception’ has
been censored In light of
this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be
complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if
incomplete) http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv
Preparing
for World War III, Targeting Iran Humanity is at a dangerous crossroads.
War preparations to attack Iran are in “an advanced state of readiness”. Hi
tech weapons systems including nuclear warheads are fully deployed.
Pentagon tells WikiLeaks: "Do right thing" (Reuters) [Great
advice … if only the endless war, military complex based pentagon could take
it!] The Pentagon demanded on Thursday that whistle-blower web site WikiLeaks
immediately hand over about 15,000 secret Afghan war records it had not yet
published and erase material it had alrea…
Oliver
Stone has apologized for his anti-Semitic rant, but is the damage already done.
What damage? To perceived reality as opposed to reality? When you look at
america’s pro-israel, self-destructive, contra-indicated policies, including
the hands off policy vis-à-vis fraudulent wall street, you see the truth to
what he says which is what so many astute individuals are already thinking /
realizing. How can people continue to ignore the truth, to their own detriment
Think about it. Do you really think he would risk the typical onslaught if the
same weren’t true? ‘Director Oliver
Stone has been forced to make a grovelling apology over an anti-Semitic
outburst. The double Academy Award winner claimed that the Russians suffered
more during the Second World War and that there was a Jewish 'domination of the
media'. Stone also said that Jews had '****ed up' U.S. foreign policy for years
and suggested the British supported Hitler ...’ The relentless attacks on Mel
Gibson are of the same caliber and purpose; suppression of truth!
WASHPOST
Ombudsman: Why Silence on Black Panther Story? (Washington Post) ‘Thursday's Post reported about a growing controversy
over the Justice
Department's decision to scale down a voter-intimidation case against members
of the New Black Panther Party. The story succinctly summarized the issues
but left many readers with a question: What took you so long? For months,
readers have contacted the ombudsman wondering why The Post hasn't been
covering the case. The calls increased recently after competitors such as the New
York Times and the Associated Press wrote stories. Fox News and right-wing
bloggers have been pumping the story. Liberal bloggers have countered, accusing
them of trying to manufacture a scandal. But The Post has been virtually
silent. The story has its origins on Election Day in 2008, when two members of
the New Black Panther Party stood in front of a Philadelphia polling place. YouTube
video of the men, now viewed nearly 1.5 million times, shows both wearing
paramilitary clothing. One carried a nightstick…’
Latino
KKK: You are too white to be American! ALIPAC | Tan
Klan woman can scream racist comments because the Obama administration and most
of the major news networks in America have her back.
Drudgereport:
NEW
LOW FOR O: USATODAYGALLUP HAS OBAMA APPROVE AT 41%...
Michelle
Obama 'modern-day Marie Antoinette'...
Strolls
Marbella after State Dept. 'racist' Spaniards gaffe...
GALLUP:
Blacks and Whites Continue to Differ Sharply on Obama...
JUDGE
KNOCKS DOWN MARRIAGE PROP IN CA
BLOW
TO O: MO SAYS NO
Voters
overwhelmingly rejected federal mandate to purchase health insurance...
Americans
swap passports; Desire to avoid tax leads some to renounce citizenship...
Ahmadinejad
survives blast near motorcade...
'Stupid
Zionists have hired mercenaries to assassinate me'...
FALTERING RECOVERY TRIPS DOLLAR...
GM,
FORD and CHRYSLER Sales All Lag Estimates...
Stimulus
Slammed: Republican Senators Release Report Alleging Waste...
The
100 worst stimulus projects...
SHOCK
VIDEO: DEM CONGRESSMAN BRAGS: 'FEDERAL GOVERNMENT CAN DO MOST ANYTHING IN THIS
COUNTRY'...
Deadliest Month Of Afghan War
Paper:
Will Washington's Failures Lead To Second American Revolution
Maxine
Waters faces trial over bank bailout funds...
HOT WATERS
Dems
Say Sorry, Charlie...
Democrats
Say Rangel Should Resign...
Obama:
Time For Rangel To End Career 'With Dignity'...
Dutch
become 1st NATO member to quit Afghanistan...
GATES:
Few U.S. troops to leave in 2011 … Sounds like a … no plan! ...
JOINT CHIEFS CHAIRMAN: Defacto bankrupt u.s. has Iran strike plan
Riiight! … new war plan the u.s. plan for dealing with failed plans ...
Gdp:
2.4%
Mediocre
Growth...
Recession
Deeper Than Gov't Previously Thought...
Nyt:
Employment Outlook Fades...
Prince
Charles: 'My Duty Is To Save The World' … Well, so much for that. There Goes
The World! ...
AP:
A bleaker outlook for economy into 2011...
Rangel
faces 13 ethics charges...
(wobama) Calls
African-Americans a 'mongrel people'...
'We
are now in the trial phase'...
Catalonia (Dali, Picasso,
etc.) bans bullfighting (very civilized)...
CLAIM: Giant asteroid on
course to hit Earth...
SEC Says New
FinReg Law Exempts It From Public Disclosure...
Oprah Hits All-Time Ratings
Low- like O -- Again!
GOLDMAN reveals where
bailout cash went -- overseas banks!
POLLS:
NEW LOWS FOR O...
Top U.S. officer
warns Afghan war will get worse...
Bank
failure tally passes 100 for year...
BUDGET DEFICIT TO REACH RECORD $1.47 TRILLION...
WH: A 'FISCAL SITUATION THAT REQUIRES
ATTENTION'...
Kerry
Docks New Yacht In RI To Duck MA Taxes...
PRICE
TO ATTEND OBAMA'S BIRTHDAY BASH: $30,000...
CHARLIE
RANGEL CHARGED WILL
FACE TRIAL
RACE
MESS: Obama Said Vilsack 'Jumped Gun' on Woman's Ouster...
Buchanan:
Obama team's panic over losing whites...
POLL: ANY REPUBLICAN WOULD
BEAT OBAMA IN '12...
Whites, Independents
Deserting Obama...
PACK
YOUR BAGS: CONGRESS CONFIDENCE AT 11%...
BAILOUT REACHES $3.7
TRILLION...
Gov't watchdogs: Mortgage
program not working...
Bernanke: 'Unusually Uncertain'...
Unemployment rate high
through Obama term...
Developing... NYT:
WORKERS ON DOOMED RIG VOICED CONCERN ON SAFETY...
Arab
guilty of rape after consensual sex with Jew...
Come on! Preposterous!
Service sector? You mean the the b*** s*** sector. Even if believed (I don’t
believe anything they say, and at the least all must be discounted down, as
they do later when people have forgotten that’s the purported reason they
rallied), what is 17,000 service (predominantly b*** s*** government bought
jobs with non-existent deficit building funds with some exceptions – yes, 80%
of america’s economy is now b*** s*** and as on wall street, fraud) jobs in the
relative scheme of things given the magnitude of the problems, structural and
otherwise? Nothing! Stocks went up on typically spun ‘nothing’.
General's
record is set straight (Washington Post) Knowing for sure, you know, that it
truly was Nixon who banged that pregnant girl just like the tea shirt said is
kind of a mind altering experience. After all, just as Truman once said, Nixon
didn’t know whether he’s lying or telling the truth. Well, that’s one for old
saint Nixon since that militates against intent; you know, the not knowing
part, and after all, he was a liar(sic) by trade. Truth be told, by more
current american standards of corruption, venality, verity, etc., Nixon was but
a choir boy. The irony of it all. Oh,
the times they are a changin’.
Go to following pages for
above links:
http://www.albertpeia.com/currentopics2ndqtr10108.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com
http://www.albertpeia.com/alresume.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com/wallstreetlunacy2ndqtr10108.htm
You may post a comment on my
blog on any topic: http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com
GATES:
Few U.S. troops to leave in 2011 … Sounds like a … no plan! ...
JOINT CHIEFS CHAIRMAN: Defacto bankrupt u.s. has Iran strike plan
Riiight! … new war plan the u.s. plan for dealing with failed plans ...
Gdp:
2.4%
Mediocre
Growth...
Recession
Deeper Than Gov't Previously Thought...
Nyt:
Employment Outlook Fades...
Prince
Charles: 'My Duty Is To Save The World' … Well, so much for that. There Goes
The World! ...
AP:
A bleaker outlook for economy into 2011...
Rangel
faces 13 ethics charges...
(wobama) Calls
African-Americans a 'mongrel people'...
'We
are now in the trial phase'...
Catalonia (Dali, Picasso,
etc.) bans bullfighting (very civilized)...
CLAIM: Giant asteroid on
course to hit Earth...
SEC Says New
FinReg Law Exempts It From Public Disclosure...
Oprah Hits All-Time Ratings
Low- like O -- Again!
GOLDMAN reveals where
bailout cash went -- overseas banks!
POLLS:
NEW LOWS FOR O...
Top U.S. officer
warns Afghan war will get worse...
Bank
failure tally passes 100 for year...
BUDGET DEFICIT TO REACH RECORD $1.47 TRILLION...
WH: A 'FISCAL SITUATION THAT REQUIRES
ATTENTION'...
Kerry
Docks New Yacht In RI To Duck MA Taxes...
PRICE
TO ATTEND OBAMA'S BIRTHDAY BASH: $30,000...
CHARLIE
RANGEL CHARGED WILL
FACE TRIAL
RACE
MESS: Obama Said Vilsack 'Jumped Gun' on Woman's Ouster...
Buchanan:
Obama team's panic over losing whites...
POLL: ANY REPUBLICAN WOULD
BEAT OBAMA IN '12...
Whites, Independents
Deserting Obama...
PACK
YOUR BAGS: CONGRESS CONFIDENCE AT 11%...
BAILOUT REACHES $3.7
TRILLION...
Gov't watchdogs: Mortgage
program not working...
Bernanke: 'Unusually Uncertain'...
Unemployment rate high
through Obama term...
Developing... NYT:
WORKERS ON DOOMED RIG VOICED CONCERN ON SAFETY...
Arab
guilty of rape after consensual sex with Jew...
Go to following pages for
above links:
http://www.albertpeia.com/currentopics2ndqtr10108.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com
http://www.albertpeia.com/alresume.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com/wallstreetlunacy2ndqtr10108.htm
Comment on: Jobs
in the cards? at 8/4/2010 6:11 AM EDT
How Obama can help small
business (Washington Post) You’re a bit late … they’ve already decided how to
help … you might call their plan of putting them out of their vaunted misery
mercy killing, euthanasia, etc..
FHA: Mortgage insurance claims down (Washington Post) At least somethin’s goin’
up, according to tiny tim ‘God bless us, everyone’! Treasury Secretary Timothy
Geithner: Unemployment Could Go Up Before It Comes Down Infowars.com - [Ooooh!
Sounds like a plan ‘tiny tim’! … God bless us everyone! ] Treasury Secretary
Timothy Geithner acknowledged that it is still a “tough economy” for most
americans, and warned it’s possible the unemployment rate will go up for a
couple of months before it comes down as more people enter the labor force.
U.S. savings rate at highest level in a year, data show: UNEASE ABOUT U.S.
ECONOMY
Data suggest recovery not yet self-sustaining (Washington Post) Riiiight!
Income and spending basically unchanged with falloff in both, while pending
housing sales down to the lowest level on record. The half-glass full frauds on
wall street will take it. They can spin that.
Drudgereport: NEW LOW FOR O: USATODAYGALLUP HAS OBAMA APPROVE AT 41%...
Americans swap passports; Desire to avoid tax leads some to renounce
citizenship...
FALTERING RECOVERY TRIPS DOLLAR...
GM, FORD and CHRYSLER Sales All Lag Estimates...
Comment on: FHA
is in better shape than expected at
8/4/2010 5:55 AM EDT
FHA: Mortgage insurance
claims down (Washington Post) At least somethin’s goin’ up, according to tiny
tim ‘God bless us, everyone’! Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner: Unemployment
Could Go Up Before It Comes Down Infowars.com - [Ooooh! Sounds like a plan
‘tiny tim’! … God bless us everyone! ] Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner
acknowledged that it is still a “tough economy” for most americans, and warned
it’s possible the unemployment rate will go up for a couple of months before it
comes down as more people enter the labor force.
Comment on: As
wages stall, savings rate rises at
8/4/2010 4:56 AM EDT
U.S. savings rate at
highest level in a year, data show (Washington Post) Riiiight! Income and
spending basically unchanged with falloff in both, while pending housing sales
down to the lowest level on record. The half-glass full frauds on wall street
will take it.
Comment on: Democrats
turn to manufacturing for jobs at 8/4/2010
4:52 AM EDT
Manufacturing focus of
jobs plan (Washington Post) L’il bit late, but, sounds like a plan. The
government’s defacto bankrupt, but, they could always use an extra pen or two
for signing those spending bills. No bics allowed. Made in usa pens only. Ah!
But alas. Defacto bankrupt america’s expertise now lies in manufacturing wars.
Temporary
Firehouse Closures Begin In Philadelphia Philadelphia has started temporarily closing fire stations in
order to balance its budget.
Slowing economic rebound raises
unemployment fears (AP) [Wow! Talk about understatements!]
Marc Faber Questions if Dow
Could Hit 1,000 In the August edition of the ‘The Gloom, Boom
& Doom Report’ Marc Faber questions whether the Dow could hit 1,000 as predicted by Robert Prechter, based
on his interpretation of Elliot Waves, Fibonacci numbers and socioeconomic
trends. Prechter, who has written 13
books on finance (external link), believes
that the stock market is historically overvalued in terms of dividends and
earnings, because of a “great rise in positive social mood.” But the mood
changed in 2000 and the “trend toward negative social mood will lead to an
economic contraction,” according to Prechter. “Small bear markets lead to
recessions, big bear markets lead to depressions. The current bear market will
be the biggest in nearly 300 years, so the depression will be correspondingly
deep,” Prechter said.
Latino
KKK: You are too white to be American! ALIPAC | Tan
Klan woman can scream racist comments because the Obama administration and most
of the major news networks in America have her back.
PricewaterhouseCoopers
laying off 500 employees
(Washington Post) Well, the least you can say for these accountants is
that unlike washington, they can do basic math (add / subtract).
Regulators
close banks (108 total 2010) in Fla., Ga., Ore., Wash. (Washington Post)
Sounds like a plan! Things going swimmingly. Just separating the wheat from the
chaff, so to speak.
U.S.
recovery hopes fade as economic growth dips (Washington
Post) Gross domestic product is not rising fast enough to ease unemployment …
Previous-Mideast
Digest Israeli shelling kills 2 wounds 6 Gaza civilians: (Washington Post)
[War criminal israelis justified their attack saying when the 10 year
old girl grew up to be a woman she’d be prepared to fire rockets at them]
In 1948, U.S. Secretary of Defense James Forrestal, an opponent
of the creation of a Jewish state in Palestine, warned that, even though
failure to go along with the Zionists might cost President Truman the states of
New York, Pennsylvania, and California, it was about time that somebody should
pay some consideration to whether we might not lose the United States. Mr.
Forrestal was absolutely correct! Isn’t that exactly what’s happened to defacto
bankrupt america in intractable decline.
TIME
TO REVOKE AND NULLIFY THE BALFOUR DECLARATION AND ABROGATE THE CREATION OF THE
NATION STATE OF ISRAEL
‘The Obama Deception’
Censored ‘The Obama Deception’ has
been censored In light of
this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be
complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if
incomplete) http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv
DIGEST: Consumer confidence down; home
prices up (from and at low levels which Shiller’s concedes are for
the moment stabilized but unsustainable) (Washington Post) The positive here is that at least the
consumers / populace have finally got something right.
Consumer
confidence dims (Reuters)
Job worries drove July U.S. consumer confidence to its lowest since
February, with one in six people expecting lower income in the next six months,
underscoring the precarious state of econo...
Moody's:
Regional banks on review for downgrade (AP)
Global
steelmakers paint gloomy picture (Reuters)
US
bank failures in 2010 surpass 100
WASHINGTON (AP) -- U.S. bank failures this year have surpassed a bleak
milestone of 100 as regulators shut down banks in Georgia, Florida, South
Carolina, Kansas, Nevada and Minnesota. The six bank seizures announced Friday
bring to 102 the failures so far in 2010. The pace of bank closures this year
is well ahead of that of last year, which saw a total 140 bank shuttered amid the
recession and mounting loan defaults …
This is quite incredible. The wobama market … based on b*** s***
alone. Yes, there’s a waning full moon. Yes, this is an election year and we’ve
seen frothing, false data / reports before. But come on! This is downright
ridiculous. I had occasion to hear from a so-called money manager on what used
to be a balanced business / finance radio program (I seldom listen to said
program anymore, truth be told, but owing to a scheduling quirk caught same
this day) say that all the economic / business news last week was good. In
point of fact, the actual news was all bad (except for some sporadic earnings
reports that were discounted many months ago). What parallel universe are these
foisty feisty frauds living in? Again, waning full moon Then the infamous
federal but not really federal, express in only a month (with blazing full
moon) changed downward guidance to upward guidance and based on b*** s***, and
voila … another full moon rally (oh yeah, the percentage up from low level
housing still low). Are the 30 day lunar cycles at work or just election year
frothing? Preposterous. Fundamentals have not changed. Structural problems to
the economy and insurmountable debt remain and will worsen. All their computer
programmed trading tricks with eye towards so-called technical support,
resistance, etc., levels will suck some suckers in as always, they’ll still get
their commissions on the way down, and we’ll see the bubble deflate again.
This is an especially great opportunity to sell and take whatever
profits / gains because there is truly much worse to come and the nation’s
defacto bankrupt in every way.
This Week in the Markets -
Suttmeier ‘ …Bank Failure Friday – The
FDIC closed seven banks last Friday bringing the total for the month of July to
17 and 103 for the year. Month to date bank failures have drained the FDIC
Deposit Insurance fund by $925.7 million brining the year to date today to
$18.5 billion well above the $15.33 billion prepaid assessments for all of
2010. I estimate that the DIF is now in arrears by $32.7 billion.
The Death of Paper Money Ambrose
Evans-Pritchard | As they
prepare for holiday reading in Tuscany, City bankers are buying up rare copies
of an obscure book on the mechanics of Weimar inflation published in 1974.
Yes! I just (7-24-10) looked up and a
quandary no longer as I saw the reason for the market action to the upside the
last few sessions. A blazing full moon! Lest there be any doubt, truly a
testament to the reality of lunacy and the lunar links thereto are the lunatic
fraudulent rallies on fraudulent wall street; criminally insane by any
standard.
This
is a global depression. This is a secular bear market in a global depression.
The past up move was a manipulated bull (s***) cycle in a secular bear market.
This has been a typically manipulated bubble as has preceded the prior crashes
with great regularity that the wall street frauds and insiders commission and
sell into. This is a typical wall street churn and earn pass the hot potato
scam / fraud as in prior crashes’. This national
decline, economic and otherwise, will not end until justice is served and the wall street frauds et als are criminally prosecuted,
jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.
US
bank failures in 2010 surpass 100
WASHINGTON (AP)
Seven
banks fail Europe stress test (Reuters)
‘The Obama Deception’
Censored ‘The Obama Deception’ has
been censored In light of
this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be
complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if
incomplete) http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv
Go to following pages for
above links:
http://www.albertpeia.com/currentopics2ndqtr10108.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com
http://www.albertpeia.com/alresume.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com/wallstreetlunacy2ndqtr10108.htm
Comment on: Mideast
Digest at 8/4/2010 5:44 AM EDT
Mideast Digest
(Washington Post, August 4, 2010) Blowback’s a reality. One that only fools
would ignore, defacto bankrupt america. Time to throw hated war criminal nation
israel under the bus. Why should america sacrifice itself for the war mongering
israelis. They’d NEVER do that for america. I’ve even heard analysts with
regional expertise say that the nation was better off under sadam.
U.S. looks to replicate Iraq
strategy, tactics (Washington Post ) [Oh right! Stick with that winning plan that worked so swimmingly (as
in drowning, in ie., debt, death, regional if not wordly anti-american
sentiment, etc.)]. In Kandahar, U.S. military
officials hope that a secure green zone, similar to the area in Baghdad, will
make it more difficult for Taliban insurgents to mount attacks to key buildings
in the Afghan city.
Previous-Mideast
Digest Israeli shelling kills 2 wounds 6 Gaza civilians: (Washington Post)
[War criminal israelis justified their attack saying when the 10 year
old girl grew up to be a woman she’d be prepared to fire rockets at them …
press on says fellow war criminal defacto bankrupt nation america] israeli shellfire killed two Palestinian freedom
fighters and wounded six people, including a 10-year-old girl, in the Gaza
Strip, Palestinian medical workers and an official with a militant group said.
An israeli military spokeswoman said soldiers opened fire on militants
suspected of preparing to fire a rocket at them.
Top Secret America: How
the DOD does it (Washington Post) Does what? Come On! You can’t take this
guy seriously. First, he’s military; what do you expect him to say. Second, he
talks of wars as if they always have to have one or be searching for one and we
all know they “find” them. Finally, he all but ignores what the underrated
President General Eisenhower warned of in the form of the unscrupulous,
insatiably greedy military/industrial complex which as colonel he but a very
small cog in who goes along to get along. The fact is also that they can’t be
managed and also that they don’t even try!
Afghanistan war deaths (Washington
Post) What a colossal waste; the u.s. might even spin this to a growth
scenario, albeit in deaths. For General Petraeus, battling corruption in
Afghanistan is a priority (Washington Post) If Betraeus is
serious, he better look closer to home / u.s.!
WikiLeaks documents cause little concern over
public perception of war: WikiLeaks documents cause little concern over
public perception of war (Washington Post) Of course not! That’s what defacto
coup d’etat is all about (even beyond their propaganda). The public,
overwhelming against these nation-bankrupting illegal wars (america is defacto
bankrupt) which fact propelled spineless incompetent vegetable wobama to the
whitehouse, has become irrelevant in their view,; but, not so fast as mass unrest
is afoot.
Ron
Paul: After ‘CIA coup,’ agency ‘runs military’ US House Rep. Ron Paul
says the CIA has has in effect carried out a “coup” against the US government,
and the intelligence agency needs to be “taken out.” I also personally
believe there has been a defacto coup d’etat which has manifested in
various substantial, blatant, brazened frauds, ie., wall street, missing 360
tons of $100 bills in Iraq, war profiteering, etc., without any fear of
prosecution, and of course concomitant decline for u.s. as the treasury is
looted. But I also believe its scope is beyond just the CIA with many complicit
within the corrupted 3 branches of u.s. government (fed judges, us attorneys,
illegal system, etc.) plus the military and private big money, ie., Goldman
Sachs / wall street men, etc., among other organized crime. america is defacto
bankrupt in every way!
In
Iraq, $2.6B unaccounted for (Washington Post) [Daaah! Fog of war frauds among others; the nation’s
treasury pillaged and plundered; I’ve previously commented here and included on
my website http://albertpeia.com , see infra] Pentagon can't account for how it spent $2.6 billion of Iraqi oil
proceeds, an IG report says.
Articles on Catherine Austin Fitts' Blog: http://solari.com
Billions
over Baghdadby
Donald L. Barlett and James B. Steele - Vanity FairSeptember 2007
Those Who Blow Whistle on
Contractor Fraud in Iraq Face PenaltiesDeborah Hastings -
APAugust 2007
Auditor Quits with NASA
Finances in ChaosBy
Arindam Nag and Deborah ZabarenkoMay 15, 2004
The War on WasteCBS NewsCiting "cooked books" at DoD,
Rumsfeld on the missing $2.3 trillion, ... January 29, 2002
Military Stashes Covert
Millions St.
Petersburg TimesSeptember 28, 2003
Key
Documents
U.S.
Department of Defense Web Site "The technology revolution has transformed
organizations across the private sector, but not ours, not fully, not yet. We
are, as they say, tangled in our anchor chain. Our financial systems are
decades old. According to some estimates, we cannot track $2.3 trillion in
transactions. We cannot share information from floor to floor in this building
because it's stored on dozens of technological systems that are inaccessible or
incompatible."- Remarks as Delivered by Secretary of Defense Donald H.
Rumsfeld, The Pentagon, Monday, September 10, 2001 Independent Audit Report - Department of DefenseRe: $1.1 Trillion Missing from DODFebruary 26, 2002
Testimony of the Inspector General - Department of Housing
& Urban DevelopmentRe: $59 Billion Missing from HUD March 22, 2000 Discrepancies in America's
Accounts Hide a Black Hole By Daniel Gros, Financial Times June 15, 2006
Road to Ruin by Eric Sprott, Sprott Asset Management Regarding
the $11 Trillion Deficit in the US Government in FY 2004January 2005
U.S.' Missing $Trillions Make
Mainstream At LastScoop
Media's version of the Chronicle Story with more links addedMay 26, 2003
Dillon,
Read & Co. Inc. and the Aristocracy of Stock Profits by Catherine
Austin Fitts A case study of two teams
each with competing visions for America.April 2006
Estimate $3.3 Trillion Missing From U.S. Treasuryby Buddy Grizzard An excellent overview integrating
coverage by key investigative journalists August 2002
Where is the Collateral? and So, Where is the Collateral?A two-part series by Chris Sanders of Sanders
Research Associates in London
These articles connect the dots between the missing money, the Where is the
Money? litigation,
questionable HUD deals, and the impact on the investment communityOctober 2003
and July 2004
U.S. "Could Be Going
Bankrupt"by
Edmund Conway, Economics EditorUK TelegraphJuly 2006
whereisthemoney.org Web site documenting the missing money -- includes
petition, FAQs, Who's Who ... also available in Spanish
Top Secret America: How
the DOD does it (Washington Post) Does what? Come On! You can’t take this
guy seriously. First, he’s military; what do you expect him to say. Second, he
talks of wars as if they always have to have one or be searching for one and we
all know they “find” them. Finally, he all but ignores what the underrated
President General Eisenhower warned of in the form of the unscrupulous,
insatiably greedy military/industrial complex which as colonel he but a very
small cog in who goes along to get along. The fact is also that they can’t be
managed and also that they don’t even try!
‘The Obama Deception’
Censored ‘In light of this
development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be
complete http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv
Web Site Archived FLV Version
of Esoteric Agenda http://albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv
(Previously) I’d say this
alito vs. wobama is a tempest in a teapot inasmuch as alito is more than just a
lightweight, hack, liar, fraud etc., as set forth in the comments. alito is a
criminal who should have served / should be serving time in prison for
obstruction of justice, bribery, among other RICO violations. To alito, drug
money is as green as corporate money and worth his vote as well. In addition to
being an inept [I looked in on the one mob case he had brought, bungled, lost
(accidently on purpose?) since I was suing some mob-connected under RICO and
the court (I had known / previously met outside of court the judge Ackerman
through a client) was absolute bedlam and a total joke since incompetent
corrupt alito brought in all 20 mob defendants (rather than prosecute one or a
few to flip them first) who feigning illness had beds/cots in the courtroom
along with their moans during testimony and had the jury in stitches)] and
corrupt (see below and particularly the summary provided to the FBI under
penalty of perjury [
http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf
http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm
] ) u.s. attorney.
You’re naïve to think
that the so-called supreme court is any different from the rest of the
meaningfully lawless and pervasively corrupt american ‘system’. I knew well an
accomplished trial lawyer, fellow american college of trial lawyers / and a bar
examiner, who pondered from time to time becoming a judge “so he’d never have
to work again” – his words.
Some comments on
alito…all appropriate:
Probably the worst appointment in one
hundred years.
Posted by: mnjam
-----------------------
Really? That's a pretty sweeping
statement to make about someone who's only been on the court a short few years.
And I thought that liberals were in
universal agreement that Clarence Thomas was the worst appointment in all of
history?
Posted by: blert | January 28, 2010 2:11
AM | Report abuse
----------------------------
Yes. Really. Alito is a total lightweight and hack. He makes Thomas look like
John Marshall or Oliver Wendell Holmes. I KNOW ALITO.
Posted by: mnjam | January 28, 2010 2:24 AM |
the loser here is alito.lost his composure not good for a judge especially
afederal or supreme justice .loser big time this will live with guy for a very
time.roberts and the other justices will have a talk with him that is a
given.this relly larger than o one day news cycle.
Posted by: donaldtucker | January 28, 2010 1:12 AM |
Should Alito resign or be impeached?
Posted by: jdmca | January 28, 2010 1:05 AM |
I
include the first two comments to the foregoing headline:
Billo Says:
June 11th, 2010 at 6:15
am
Lunacy? Keep in mind
that this country is run and controlled by lunatics. Our press government and
military seem to take their orders from Israel. Isarel wants to be known as a
pack of “mad dogs. Do we want “mad dogs” controlling us?
Here we see a bunch of phony accusations against Iran just
like we did in the run up to the bogus wars in Iraq, Afghanistan and now
Pakistan. The boy has cried wold ten thousand times. It’s time to identify the
“lunatics” and kindly take away the car keys. If you won’t let your friends
drive drunk, why do we let a bunch of “lunatic” enemies run this place.
Glen Reply:
June 11th, 2010 at 6:47
am
Lunacy it would be.
But it is also to their
great credit that the Iranians have not made their own threats.
Everyone knows there are
3 WMD threats, Nuclear Biological and chemical. The scariest of which is
Biological.
Any attack done under
the threat of immediate biological retaliation would deter only the insane.
Watch out america home
of the insane, home of the leaders who want an 80% population reduction.
Mideast
Digest Israeli shelling kills 2 wounds 6 Gaza civilians: (Washington Post)
[War criminal israelis justified their attack saying when the 10 year
old girl grew up to be a woman she’d be prepared to fire rockets at them …
press on says fellow war criminal defacto bankrupt nation america] israeli shellfire killed two Palestinian freedom
fighters and wounded six people, including a 10-year-old girl, in the Gaza
Strip, Palestinian medical workers and an official with a militant group said.
An israeli military spokeswoman said soldiers opened fire on militants
suspected of preparing to fire a rocket at them.
A
Plague Upon The World: The USA is a “Failed State” Dr. Paul
Craig Roberts | The American people are lost in la-la land. They have
no idea that their civil liberties have been forfeited. US
citizen killed on flotilla reportedly shot four times in head Raw
Story | A forensic report said Furkan Dogan was shot at close range,
with four bullets in his head and one in his chest, according to the Anatolian
news agency. The explanation foisted off on the americans by war criminal israelis
is probably something on the order of ‘they just wanted to make sure they
missed him’. Roberts:
‘AIPAC purchases US elections’ Russia Today | Paul
Craig Roberts says that there will be nothing that is going to be done by the
United States to change the relationship with Israel.
‘US
funding terrorist group against Iran’ Press TV | A
member of a terrorist organization operating in Iran says that a US State
department radio station originally put him in touch with the group.
Paul
Craig Roberts: Government Abandoned Vietnam POWs Kurt Nimmo
| John McCain worked overtime to make sure Vietnam POWs never came home. I
think the even bigger story vis-à-vis mccain is: http://www.albertpeia.com/heroenot.htm
‘Did you know that that so-called "american heroe" john mccain was
referred to by his fellow pows in Vietnam as something akin to the
"songbird" inasmuch as he was constantly "singing" to his
Viet-Cong captors to curry favor and better treatment? This has been documented
with authority by Colonel David Hackworth. The same violates military
code/protocol (other soldiers have been court-martialed for far less) click Here, Here. [ http://www.albertpeia.com/hackworth.htm
] But, you see, this covered up scenario, compromizing the false facade
of far less than a heroe, is exactly what a criminal (lie of a) nation as
america loves and encourages (get everyone's hands dirty so no-one dares to
rectify same, ie., bush, sr., clinton, bush, jr.). That is, "toe the
(corrupt, propagandized) line", become a criminal, or be exposed,
prosecuted, and/or ruined; and, hasn't anyone asked how "wall street"
has been "spared the spotlight" (and even was accorded protective
legislation from their criminal culpability) and focus of inquiry, attention,
and prosecution despite being the primary beneficiaries financial and otherwise
of these scams (you know the wall street motto, "churn and earn"; huge
conflicts of interest if not outright fraud)…’
Coalition wants UK space lift-off [ Don’t make me laugh! ]
Israel’s
Nukes Out of the Shadows Israel faces unprecedented pressure to
abandon its official policy of “ambiguity” on its possession of nuclear weapons
as the international community meets at the United Nations in New York this
week to consider banning such arsenals from the Middle East.
NASA wants mission to bring Martian rocks to Earth (AP) Why?
They already have that and more:
Launch
of secret US space ship masks even more secret launch of new weapon
http://www.albertpeia.com/UFOetryWeNeverWentToTheMoonPNTV.wmv
[To the
Professor at the beginning of the course]
10-5-09
Postscript: Professor *****,
I felt compelled to thank you again for the add; not to curry your favor but
indeed to express profound thanks inasmuch as this is probably the last formal
course at a formal educational institution I'll ever take; and among the most
important. While I had bought at discount a library-discarded 1993 Anthropology
by Embers text, though meaning to read same never quite got to it. I am
astounded by the substantial amount of time involved in the evolutionary
process, not that I ever stopped to think about it, and one must come away with
the sense of 'and all that...for this?'. This course should be required
curriculum along with psychology, sociology, etc., but probably won't be owing
to what is, as it should be, a very humbling educational experience for any
member of the human race.
Regards,
Al Peia
Go to following
pages for above links:
http://www.albertpeia.com/currentopics2ndqtr10108.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com
http://www.albertpeia.com/alresume.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com/wallstreetlunacy2ndqtr10108.htm
You may post a comment on my blog on any topic: http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com
‘The Obama Deception’
Censored ‘The Obama Deception’ has
been censored In light of
this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be
complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if
incomplete) http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv
How
much is $1.4 trillion? | Doing
the math (Washington Post) Math?
How plebian a task on capital hill. I think the lack thereof is as much a lack
of aptitude / intelligence as it is a lack of will. And, this is a bi-partisan
foible. According to the Debt Clock (approx. two months ago):
• Total national debt: $13 trillion (near 13.3 now)
• Debt per citizen: $42,026
• Debt per taxpayer: $117,982
• Total interest due: $1.9 trillion
• Interest per citizen: $2,211
Click here to see the Debt Clock, which is updated every
second.
• Total personal debt: $16.5 trillion
• Total mortgage debt: $14.1 trillion
• Total consumer debt: $2.45 trillion
• Personal debt per citizen: $53,483
• Debt held by foreign countries: $4.07
trillion
Go to following
pages for above links:
http://www.albertpeia.com/currentopics2ndqtr10108.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com
http://www.albertpeia.com/alresume.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com/wallstreetlunacy2ndqtr10108.htm
Jobless
claims jump higher than expected (Washington Post) Sounds like a reason for a feel good rally on
fraudulent wall street, however ephemeral.
They
ensured financial regulation overhaul (Washington Post) What
overhaul? New bureaucracy, more power to the fed and corrupt incompetents as
tiny tim geithner (that $4 trillion’s still missing from the ny fed), no
recession helicopter ben bernanke, perps scot free and keep their loot, etc..
Real reform requires that the wall
street frauds et als be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement
imposed.
Existing-home
sales drop for second month (Washington Post) Bad economic news … what
better reason for a typically fraudulent suckers’ bear market, short-covering
rally for the high-frequency computerized churn-and-earn wall street frauds to
commission and ultimately sell into.
Go to following pages for
above links:
http://www.albertpeia.com/currentopics2ndqtr10108.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com
http://www.albertpeia.com/alresume.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com/wallstreetlunacy2ndqtr10108.htm
You may post a comment on my blog on any
topic: http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com
WASHPOST Ombudsman: Why
Silence on Black Panther Story? (Washington Post) ‘Thursday's Post reported about a growing
controversy over the Justice
Department's decision to scale down a voter-intimidation case against members
of the New Black Panther Party. The story succinctly summarized the issues
but left many readers with a question: What took you so long? For months,
readers have contacted the ombudsman wondering why The Post hasn't been
covering the case. The calls increased recently after competitors such as the
New York Times and the Associated Press wrote stories. Fox News and right-wing bloggers
have been pumping the story. Liberal bloggers have countered, accusing them of
trying to manufacture a scandal. But The Post has been virtually silent. The
story has its origins on Election Day in 2008, when two members of the New
Black Panther Party stood in front of a Philadelphia polling place. YouTube
video of the men, now viewed nearly 1.5 million times, shows both wearing
paramilitary clothing. One carried a nightstick…’
DRUDGEREPORT: Arab guilty of rape after
consensual sex with Jew... ‘An Israeli man of Arab origin has been convicted of rape after having
consensual sex with a woman who had believed him to be a fellow Jew. Sabbar
Kashur, 30, was sentenced to 18 months in prison on Monday after the court
ruled that he was guilty of rape by deception. According to the complaint filed
by the woman with the Jerusalem district court, the two met in downtown Jerusalem
in September 2008 where Kashur, an Arab from East Jerusalem, introduced himself
as a Jewish bachelor seeking a serious relationship. The two then had
consensual sex in a nearby building before Kashur left. When she later found
out that he was not Jewish but an Arab, she filed a criminal complaint for rape
and indecent assault …’
Mideast
Digest Israeli shelling kills 2 wounds 6 Gaza civilians: (Washington Post)
[War criminal israelis justified their attack saying when the 10 year
old girl grew up to be a woman she’d be prepared to fire rockets at them …
press on says fellow war criminal defacto bankrupt nation america] israeli shellfire killed two Palestinian freedom
fighters and wounded six people, including a 10-year-old girl, in the Gaza
Strip, Palestinian medical workers and an official with a militant group said.
An israeli military spokeswoman said soldiers opened fire on militants
suspected of preparing to fire a rocket at them.
Mideast
Digest Israeli shelling kills 2 wounds 6 Gaza civilians: (Washington Post)
[War criminal israelis justified their attack saying when the 10 year
old girl grew up to be a woman she’d be prepared to fire rockets at them …
press on says fellow war criminal defacto bankrupt nation america] israeli shellfire killed two Palestinian freedom
fighters and wounded six people, including a 10-year-old girl, in the Gaza
Strip, Palestinian medical workers and an official with a militant group said.
An israeli military spokeswoman said soldiers opened fire on militants
suspected of preparing to fire a rocket at them.
Top Secret America: How
the DOD does it (Washington Post) Does what? Come On! You can’t take this
guy seriously. First, he’s military; what do you expect him to say. Second, he
talks of wars as if they always have to have one or be searching for one and we
all know they “find” them. Finally, he all but ignores what the underrated
President General Eisenhower warned of in the form of the unscrupulous,
insatiably greedy military/industrial complex which as colonel he but a very
small cog in who goes along to get along. The fact is also that they can’t be
managed and also that they don’t even try!
‘The Obama Deception’
Censored ‘In light of this
development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be
complete http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv
Web Site Archived FLV Version
of Esoteric Agenda http://albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv
(Previously) I’d say this
alito vs. wobama is a tempest in a teapot inasmuch as alito is more than just a
lightweight, hack, liar, fraud etc., as set forth in the comments. alito is a
criminal who should have served / should be serving time in prison for
obstruction of justice, bribery, among other RICO violations. To alito, drug
money is as green as corporate money and worth his vote as well. In addition to
being an inept [I looked in on the one mob case he had brought, bungled, lost
(accidently on purpose?) since I was suing some mob-connected under RICO and
the court (I had known / previously met outside of court the judge Ackerman
through a client) was absolute bedlam and a total joke since incompetent
corrupt alito brought in all 20 mob defendants (rather than prosecute one or a
few to flip them first) who feigning illness had beds/cots in the courtroom
along with their moans during testimony and had the jury in stitches)] and
corrupt (see below and particularly the summary provided to the FBI under
penalty of perjury [
http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf
http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm
] ) u.s. attorney.
You’re naïve to think
that the so-called supreme court is any different from the rest of the
meaningfully lawless and pervasively corrupt american ‘system’. I knew well an
accomplished trial lawyer, fellow american college of trial lawyers / and a bar
examiner, who pondered from time to time becoming a judge “so he’d never have
to work again” – his words.
Some comments on
alito…all appropriate:
Probably the worst appointment in one
hundred years.
Posted by: mnjam
-----------------------
Really? That's a pretty sweeping
statement to make about someone who's only been on the court a short few years.
And I thought that liberals were in
universal agreement that Clarence Thomas was the worst appointment in all of
history?
Posted by: blert | January 28, 2010 2:11
AM | Report abuse
----------------------------
Yes. Really. Alito is a total lightweight and hack. He makes Thomas look like
John Marshall or Oliver Wendell Holmes. I KNOW ALITO.
Posted by: mnjam | January 28, 2010 2:24 AM |
the loser here is alito.lost his composure not good for a judge especially
afederal or supreme justice .loser big time this will live with guy for a very
time.roberts and the other justices will have a talk with him that is a
given.this relly larger than o one day news cycle.
Posted by: donaldtucker | January 28, 2010 1:12 AM |
Should Alito resign or be impeached?
Posted by: jdmca | January 28, 2010 1:05 AM |
I
include the first two comments to the foregoing headline:
Billo Says:
June 11th, 2010 at 6:15
am
Lunacy? Keep in mind
that this country is run and controlled by lunatics. Our press government and
military seem to take their orders from Israel. Isarel wants to be known as a
pack of “mad dogs. Do we want “mad dogs” controlling us?
Here we see a bunch of phony accusations against Iran just
like we did in the run up to the bogus wars in Iraq, Afghanistan and now
Pakistan. The boy has cried wold ten thousand times. It’s time to identify the
“lunatics” and kindly take away the car keys. If you won’t let your friends
drive drunk, why do we let a bunch of “lunatic” enemies run this place.
Glen Reply:
June 11th, 2010 at 6:47
am
Lunacy it would be.
But it is also to their
great credit that the Iranians have not made their own threats.
Everyone knows there are
3 WMD threats, Nuclear Biological and chemical. The scariest of which is
Biological.
Any attack done under
the threat of immediate biological retaliation would deter only the insane.
Watch out america home
of the insane, home of the leaders who want an 80% population reduction.
The yardarm is the
remedy Dozens of our friends and comrades, of wonderful compassionate
activists are dead and wounded in the pirate attack in the high seas on
humanitarian aid boats. This is a dreadful crime that will forever be
remembered and should be punished. The Israeli pirates attacked the
humanitarian aid Freedom Flotilla in the international waters over 150 km out
of their territorial waters. The boats carried no arms; the participants
strictly adhered to Ghandian mode by asking the Greek and Cyprus authorities to
search the boats to avoid later claims that they were armed.
A
Plague Upon The World: The USA is a “Failed State” Dr. Paul
Craig Roberts | The American people are lost in la-la land. They have
no idea that their civil liberties have been forfeited. US
citizen killed on flotilla reportedly shot four times in head Raw
Story | A forensic report said Furkan Dogan was shot at close range,
with four bullets in his head and one in his chest, according to the Anatolian
news agency. The explanation foisted off on the americans by war criminal
israelis is probably something on the order of ‘they just wanted to make sure
they missed him’. Roberts:
‘AIPAC purchases US elections’ Russia Today | Paul
Craig Roberts says that there will be nothing that is going to be done by the
United States to change the relationship with Israel.
‘US
funding terrorist group against Iran’ Press TV | A
member of a terrorist organization operating in Iran says that a US State
department radio station originally put him in touch with the group.
Paul
Craig Roberts: Government Abandoned Vietnam POWs Kurt Nimmo
| John McCain worked overtime to make sure Vietnam POWs never came home. I
think the even bigger story vis-à-vis mccain is: http://www.albertpeia.com/heroenot.htm
‘Did you know that that so-called "american heroe" john mccain was
referred to by his fellow pows in Vietnam as something akin to the
"songbird" inasmuch as he was constantly "singing" to his
Viet-Cong captors to curry favor and better treatment? This has been documented
with authority by Colonel David Hackworth. The same violates military
code/protocol (other soldiers have been court-martialed for far less) click Here, Here. [ http://www.albertpeia.com/hackworth.htm
] But, you see, this covered up scenario, compromizing the false facade of
far less than a heroe, is exactly what a criminal (lie of a) nation as america
loves and encourages (get everyone's hands dirty so no-one dares to rectify
same, ie., bush, sr., clinton, bush, jr.). That is, "toe the (corrupt,
propagandized) line", become a criminal, or be exposed, prosecuted, and/or
ruined; and, hasn't anyone asked how "wall street" has been
"spared the spotlight" (and even was accorded protective legislation
from their criminal culpability) and focus of inquiry, attention, and prosecution
despite being the primary beneficiaries financial and otherwise of these scams
(you know the wall street motto, "churn and earn"; huge conflicts of
interest if not outright fraud)…’
Coalition wants UK space lift-off [ Don’t make me laugh! ]
Israel’s
Nukes Out of the Shadows Israel faces unprecedented pressure to
abandon its official policy of “ambiguity” on its possession of nuclear weapons
as the international community meets at the United Nations in New York this
week to consider banning such arsenals from the Middle East.
NASA wants mission to bring Martian rocks to Earth (AP) Why?
They already have that and more:
Launch
of secret US space ship masks even more secret launch of new weapon
http://www.albertpeia.com/UFOetryWeNeverWentToTheMoonPNTV.wmv
[To the
Professor at the beginning of the course]
10-5-09
Postscript: Professor *****,
I felt compelled to thank you again for the add; not to curry your favor but
indeed to express profound thanks inasmuch as this is probably the last formal
course at a formal educational institution I'll ever take; and among the most
important. While I had bought at discount a library-discarded 1993 Anthropology
by Embers text, though meaning to read same never quite got to it. I am
astounded by the substantial amount of time involved in the evolutionary
process, not that I ever stopped to think about it, and one must come away with
the sense of 'and all that...for this?'. This course should be required
curriculum along with psychology, sociology, etc., but probably won't be owing
to what is, as it should be, a very humbling educational experience for any
member of the human race.
Regards,
Al Peia
Go to following
pages for above links:
http://www.albertpeia.com/currentopics2ndqtr10108.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com
http://www.albertpeia.com/alresume.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com/wallstreetlunacy2ndqtr10108.htm
You may post a comment on my blog on any topic: http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com
Mideast DIGEST (Washington
Post, July 19, 2010) netanayahu
admits on video he deceived US to destroy Oslo accord The contents of a
secretly recorded video threaten to gravely embarrass not only Benjamin
netanayahu, the Israeli prime minister but also the US administration of Barack
Obama.
22
Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Systematically Wiped Out Of
Existence In America The 22
statistics that you are about to read prove beyond a shadow of a doubt that the
middle class is being systematically wiped out of existence in America.
Congress
Passes Bankster Consolidation Bill Kurt
Nimmo | Financial reform is a three-card Monte scam, a confidence
game, a sleight of hand.
Wall
Street Is Laundering Drug Money And Getting Away With It
They still know how to
count. When you defraud for many billions, paying $550 million is chump change.
Goldman
to pay $550M to settle civil fraud charges (AP) Late stock rally
ahead of Goldman settlement news And the beat goes on!
Goldman Sachs beats the SEC– ‘Can Goldman Sachs Group Inc. wheel and deal or
what? The bank and brokerage's settlement with the Securities and Exchange
Commission on Thursday over the ill-fated Abacus deal may be its best trade
ever. At $550 million, it's not
terribly expensive. (GS 152.19, +6.97, +4.80%) hasn't agreed to restrict its practices
in any meaningful way. And poof! The firm can go back to work with its biggest
liability paid. Investors are ecstatic, Goldman shares rocketed 5.5% in after-hours
trading. No wonder Goldman called it "the right outcome for our firm
shareholders and clients." See
full story on the SEC settlement. For the regulators, the settlement is
more than just anticlimactic. Having bet all of its chips on reversing
embarrassing episodes such as the Bernie Madoff fiasco in an aggressive case
against Wall Street, the SEC whiffed.
Sure, the settlement is the biggest in the agency's history. Yes, the
SEC was able to squeeze Goldman on the settlement language and admit it was a
"mistake" not to have disclosed Paulson & Co.'s role in picking
the ill-fated securities. But come on. Goldman's net income last year was $12.1
billion. It could be even higher this year, given the robust first quarter
Goldman already has had. The settlement amounts to less than 5% of profits.
Maybe Goldman Sachs will even be able to write it off …’
‘This is
a global depression. This is a secular bear market in a global depression. The
past up move was a manipulated bull (s***) cycle in a secular bear market. This
has been a typically manipulated bubble as has preceded the prior crashes with
great regularity that the wall street frauds and insiders commission and sell
into.’
Harry Dent, Jr. Economy will be in a
Depression by 2011
The worst of this next depression is likely to hit between mid-2010 and
mid-2013, especially around early 2011, but if the banking system continues to
implode a deep downturn or depression could begin sometime in 2009 instead of
2010.
Dow will Fall to 3,800 – 4,500 by 2012
Nasdaq will Fall Below 1,100, its 2002 low, by late 2010 or mid-2012 at the
latest.
Inflation will Increase until mid- 2010 and then turn to Deflation
Interest Rates will Increase
U.S. Dollar will Decline
Housing will Decline by 40 – 60% from Today’s Levels
Greatest Economic and Banking Crisis since the 1930s will Occur Between 2010
and 2012
Exports
are up, but where are the jobs? (Washington Post) Gone with the wind?
Sorry, I must have been thinking of million dollar movies. Seriously though, I
dare say everyone knows they were gone with that ‘bi-partisan executive /
congressional, think-tank, cia / nsa ill wind’ that others might refer to as
flatulence / passing gas, also called NAFTA, and also proudly hailed by the
foregoing as ‘strategy’. They’re gone, and never to return. Moreover, the
flipside of the exports, viz., imports, doesn’t bode well despite the
fraudulent wall street b*** s*** and their chorus of cheerleaders in
washington. Some might say self-delusion but I would say fraud covers all.
Companies
pile up cash but still won't add jobs (Washington Post) Unlike the public sector (which now exceeds private
sector in job gains and average compensation), the private sector attempts to
mesh hiring with economic supply / demand factors to maximize (shareholder) profits / wealth. Whatever
faults american companies have, with relatively few exceptions, this still
remains a very basic fundamental and building surplus (generating profits) is a
necessary precept to ensure survival and the capacity to be a good ‘citizen’ so
to speak. Then there’s reality:
Retail
sales down for 2nd consecutive month (Washington Post) Another ‘Come on’ day on fraudulent wall street! This
time it’s the unexpected downward revision to previous market-frothing retail
sales report and poor retail sales and plunge in mortgage applications and then
there’s the fed minutes pointing to extended bad economy. See Dave Fry’s
(Daily) summary below referencing in euphemistic fashion, yet another ongoing
manipulation also known as fraud. (Absent prosecutions, they’ll continue to do
what comes natural to frauds on wall street). Great opportunity to sell / take
profits since much worse, also called reality beyond the b*** s***, to come.
Then there’s also the bad but typical news; viz., retail sales, mortgage apps, economic outlook down, and yesterday
deficits, trade and budget, up.
NATION NEWS DIGEST: J.P. Morgan Chase
posts $4.8 billion profit (Washington Post) Yet another ‘Come on’ day on fraudulent wall street! This
time it’s the unexpected jump in continuing claims for unemployment, yesterday
the downward revision to previous market-frothing retail sales report and poor
retail sales and plunge in mortgage applications and then there’s the fed
minutes pointing to extended bad economy. Then there’s also now the ‘goldfinger
factor’ as in goldman’s middle finger. When you defraud for many billions, paying $550 million is
chump change. Goldman shares rocketed 5.5% in after-hours trading. No wonder
Goldman called it "the right outcome for our firm shareholders and
clients." (Absent
prosecutions, they’ll continue to do what comes natural to frauds on wall
street). Great opportunity to sell / take profits since much worse, also called
reality beyond the b*** s***, to come. Then there’s also the bad but typical
news; viz., previous retail sales, mortgage apps, economic outlook down, and
continuing claims for unemployment, deficits, trade / budget, up. (Just in:
7-16-10 Poll – only 43% of Americans approve of the Afganistan War, down from
52% in January, 2010)
Pearlstein: Can
regulation beget innovation? (Washington Post) I believe the more seminal question to be,
whether american companies, consistent with overall american decline and
corruption in so pervasive a fashion, are capable of or inclined toward real
innovation where enhancements to productivity, as well as greater profits, is
the consequence as desired. Certainly there has been ‘innovation’ by the wall
street frauds in the types of (ultimately worthless / fraudulent) paper and high
frequency trade programs enhancing their bottom-lines but little else; and,
those cutting edge ‘weapons of mass destruction’ produced or financed (israel)
by america are hardly productive in the economic sense but innovative and
profitable in the short run, and unwise and nation-bankrupting in the longer
run which we’re in right now!
Ex-Justice
official: CIA may have exceeded limits (Washington
Post) Wee doggies! This sounds like the
stuff that SNL Weekend Update ‘Really’ skits are made of; also fitting into
that list of queries as, ‘Is the Pope Catholic?’, ‘Do bears **** in the
woods?’, etc.. Come on! Wake up! This
is the kind of complicit cover-up / corruption found betwixt and between all
three branches of the u.s. government leading ineluctably to america’s current
decline and to which I’ve attested under penalty of perjury in the context of
the RICO litigation [ http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf
http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm
].
Go to following pages for
above links:
http://www.albertpeia.com/currentopics2ndqtr10108.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com
http://www.albertpeia.com/alresume.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com/wallstreetlunacy2ndqtr10108.htm
You may post a comment on my
blog on any topic: http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com
For
now, spew of oil into Gulf of Mexico is halted (Washington Post) Well, thank God for small favors! I suggest they change that
name, ‘integrity test’; that’s doomed to end in failure. Yes, the brits are
back. They’ve clogged the well, with help from the ‘usual suspects’, the
americans. What precision! What
teamwork! Victory at last … riiiiight!
Then there is the well researched,
produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to
this forlorn point: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257#
Pentagon
warns Congress: Accounts running dry...(Drudgereport) Isn’t this headline
eerily reminiscent of that seminal B film by Roger Corman for Jack Nicholson,
‘Little Shop of Horrors’ (and remake) wherein a murderous vegetable / plant
clamors incessantly and insatiably, ‘feed me’. Eight U.S. service members killed in series
of attacks in southern Afghanistan (Washington Post, July 15,
2010) . This ridiculous war apparently for the sake of the american sponsored
reinvigorated heroin trade was a bad idea ab initio even if america wasn’t
defacto bankrupt.
‘This is
a global depression. This is a secular bear market in a global depression. The
past up move was a manipulated bull (s***) cycle in a secular bear market. This
has been a typically manipulated bubble as has preceded the prior crashes with
great regularity that the wall street frauds and insiders commission and sell
into.’
Harry Dent, Jr. Economy will be in a
Depression by 2011
The worst of this next depression is likely to hit between mid-2010 and
mid-2013, especially around early 2011, but if the banking system continues to
implode a deep downturn or depression could begin sometime in 2009 instead of
2010.
Dow will Fall to 3,800 – 4,500 by 2012
Nasdaq will Fall Below 1,100, its 2002 low, by late 2010 or mid-2012 at the
latest.
Inflation will Increase until mid- 2010 and then turn to Deflation
Interest Rates will Increase
U.S. Dollar will Decline
Housing will Decline by 40 – 60% from Today’s Levels
Greatest Economic and Banking Crisis since the 1930s will Occur Between 2010
and 2012
Exports
are up, but where are the jobs? (Washington Post) Gone with the wind?
Sorry, I must have been thinking of million dollar movies. Seriously though, I
dare say everyone knows they were gone with that ‘bi-partisan executive /
congressional, think-tank, cia / nsa ill wind’ that others might refer to as
flatulence / passing gas, also called NAFTA, and also proudly hailed by the
foregoing as ‘strategy’. They’re gone, and never to return. Moreover, the
flipside of the exports, viz., imports, doesn’t bode well despite the
fraudulent wall street b*** s*** and their chorus of cheerleaders in
washington. Some might say self-delusion but I would say fraud covers all.
Companies
pile up cash but still won't add jobs (Washington Post) Unlike the public sector (which now exceeds private
sector in job gains and average compensation), the private sector attempts to
mesh hiring with economic supply / demand factors to maximize (shareholder) profits / wealth. Whatever
faults american companies have, with relatively few exceptions, this still
remains a very basic fundamental and building surplus (generating profits) is a
necessary precept to ensure survival and the capacity to be a good ‘citizen’ so
to speak. Then there’s reality:
Retail
sales down for 2nd consecutive month (Washington Post) Another ‘Come on’ day on fraudulent wall street! This
time it’s the unexpected downward revision to previous market-frothing retail
sales report and poor retail sales and plunge in mortgage applications and then
there’s the fed minutes pointing to extended bad economy. See Dave Fry’s
(Daily) summary below referencing in euphemistic fashion, yet another ongoing
manipulation also known as fraud. (Absent prosecutions, they’ll continue to do
what comes natural to frauds on wall street). Great opportunity to sell / take
profits since much worse, also called reality beyond the b*** s***, to come.
Then there’s also the bad but typical news; viz., retail sales, mortgage apps, economic outlook down, and yesterday
deficits, trade and budget, up.
WHICH WAY IS THE MARKET GOING NEXT? Gomes: ‘Having been a technical analyst for the first 10 years of my
investing career and a fundamental analyst for the past 15 years, I'm a
believer that technical patterns form as fundamentals unfold. As such, if you
know something about both, you can confirm both against each other. At this
point in time, I see a market that is technically reaching up toward its 200
day moving average (2,250 for the NASDAQ). I also see a 50 day moving average
that is threatening to drop below that 200 day moving average. Technically,
that is usually a very bad sign for the market. The question is, "will the
50DMA drop below the 200DMA?" I think the answer is inevitably
"yes". The thing about the moving averages, is that you can see which
points of data are about to fall off. Meanwhile, you can make reasonable
assumptions regarding the points of data that will take their place. By doing
so, you can construct a range of probabilistic scenarios. In this case, some
high numbers are about to come out of the 50DMA, making it go lower. Meanwhile,
some low numbers are about to come out of the 200DMA, making it go higher.
Since both are VERY close to each other right now, it's safe to assume that the
50DMA will indeed fall below the 200DMA. So, that's probably bad news for the
market...technically. Fundamentally, it appears that Q2 turned out well for
most companies. However, most of the investing world knows this and stocks have
rallied about 8% on the news. Ever hear the saying "buy the rumor, sell
the news"? Well, the rumor has been bought and the news is just starting
to flow in. This means that we have to look at the NEXT bit of news to figure
out what rumor the market will be buying or selling. To me, it's clear that the
global economic environment will come back to the front burner as the #1 driver
of stock prices...and that's bad news for stocks. A good Q2 does not mean that
the future is bright. Rather, I believe that Q2 will represent the peak of
earnings health. Starting in Q3, good earnings will become a bit harder to come
by. Why?
1) Economic indicators are dropping fast. For all intents and purposes, the unemployment
rate has not budged. Meanwhile, store shelves are stocked again, PCs have been
upgraded, etc. In other words, the pent-up demand that drove the current
rebound has almost run its course. What little remains no longer has the power
to drive the economy as it has over the past 18-months.
2)
"Follow the money". This is one of the most powerfully simple rules
on Wall Street. When money is flowing into the economy (i.e. via lower interest
rates or stimulus $$$), it's usually good for stocks..and vice versa. At
present, interest rates can't go much lower and the numerous stimulus programs
are losing effectiveness. This means that the money is no longer flowing in.
Worse yet, the money that was spent is not generally viewed as having been
money well spent. This does not bode well for a new stimulus package to come
anytime soon. In other words, money is not flowing in AND doesn't appear poised
to flow in anytime soon. In fact, state and municipal budgets are being cut
(money flowing OUT), while they raise local sales and income taxes (more money
flowing out). if federal taxes go up in 2011, as planned, even more money will
be flowing out. If you follow that, you should be flowing out of the stock
market. In short, barring a new stimulus package of other major money-flowing
event, I believe the economy slips back toward recession. Whether or not we
double-dip, we will almost certainty slip in that direction.
3)
If you follow the money in Europe, you will run for the hills. Europe has
decided to spin 180-degrees and shift from stimulus to austerity (if you don't
know the definition, look it up -- you'll likely hear it again -- and not just
from me). Effectively the opposite of stimulus, austerity will pull money away
from the European economies...which tells us to pull money away from stocks.
Worse yet, the effect of the EU/IMF bailout is already wearing off. Greek
yields are rising again and Portuguese credit ratings have been reduced.
4)
Global bubbles are bursting. Most notably, home sales in China and Canada are
starting to fall. Remember what happened when the U.S. housing market cracked?
That's right -- that's what started this mess in the first place.
5)
Politically, this period in time has a tendency to be bad for stocks. There is
uncertainty around the mid-year elections...and the market hates uncertainty.
Historically, the political picture doesn't become clear until October, at
which point we might expect a rally. Until then, expect the democrats to do
everything they can to retain their jobs in November. That means, "stop
pissing off the public"...and the public seems pretty pissed about how the
stimulus $$$ worked out for them (or more accurately, how it DIDN'T work out
for them). Thus, the political pressure will lean against further stimulus
until after the elections.
The
Bottom Line: I believe that the market will start to reflect these concerns
very soon. These are real fundamental concerns, which you can see reflected in
the technicals. As the market reaches the 50DMA and the 200DMA, it will be inclined
to retreat (barring some new, hugely positive news). Meanwhile, the 50DMA is
90%+ likely to cross below the 200DMA, giving the market more reason to
retrench. At some point, if the economy sinks far enough and if the market
drops far enough, political pressure for more stimulus will mount. At that
point, money will flow back into the economy. But that time is not now. Now,
money is flowing away like the tide...and so should your invested capital. I'm
not always right, but I do my best, based on the information before me. Based
on what I see right now, the most logical conclusion is to expect a long, ugly
summer for stocks. If I see information that changes that view, I'll be sure to
post an update to this post. Disclosure: I have short positions against the
market
DRUDGEREPORT: 'White House waving white
flag'...
Panic button...
WIRE: Dems show signs of
battle fatigue...
Federal deficit gap tops $1
trillion through June...
Republicans propose cutting
Obama budget...
'CREDIBILITY CRISIS'
No
help in sight for jobless (Washington Post) Well, from their perspective, they
really don’t feel your pain, and, it gives the frauds on wall street another
b*** s***, market frothing, false talking point in the form of ‘fewer
continuing claims for unemployment’. Then there’s that ‘ depression thing’.
The
big crash — America plunges into Depression Alexander
Cockburn
‘This is a global
depression. This is a secular bear market in a global depression. The past up
move was a manipulated bull (s***) cycle in a secular bear market. This has
been a typically manipulated bubble as has preceded the prior crashes with
great regularity that the wall street frauds and insiders commission and sell
into. This is a typical wall street churn and earn, pass the hot potato scam /
fraud as in prior crashes.’
Making
millions from mowing lawns [Sounds like a plan … riiiiight!]
(Washington Post) Value Added | Entrepreneur's reinvestment and diversification
… By Thomas Heath For the less entrepreneurial at heart
there’s always … flippin’ burgers … Washington,
D.C.: the nation's (burger) capital? (Washington Post) | ‘The
Washington area has emerged as fertile ground for ground chuck
…’ Survey:
A satisfied federal workforce (Washington Post) Indeed they should be since
they’re totally expendable and a waste of taxpayer money.
Return of the No-Volume Melt-Up
Momentum Book Update: Trend Indicators Still Pointing Negative
Employment Picture Is Getting Bleaker
The Debt Party Is Over ‘… In a Ponzi scheme, the end comes
when the marginal investor decides to do something else with his money. Then
the house of cards stars falling apart. …’
DRUDGEREPORT: BOMBSHELL: Media Mogul Mort
Zuckerman Admits He Wrote One Of Obama's Speeches...
Were White House Officials Ready to Expose Collaboration?
Zuckerman Now: Obama Barely
Treading Water...
MICHELLE TELLS BLACKS TO 'INCREASE INTENSITY'
6 troops killed in Afghanistan...
DEM GOVS WARN: OBAMA SUIT VS. AZ IS 'TOXIC'
Debt panel has gloomy outlook...
Crisis Awaits World’s Banks as Trillions Come
Due...
G20 looks to Beijing to drive global growth …
They’re dreamin’! ...
They say ‘stocks oversold’. Preposterous!
Stocks have been overbought based on bad news or nothing at all, rallying on
‘not as bad as expected’. Even if that were true (I don’t believe anything they
say), who cares what the criminally insane frauds on wall street say what they
expect. It’s fundamentals, economic and financial, that ultimately count; but,
in the meantime, they’re like termites eating away at the nation’s foundation
with lightning fast computerized trade programs, all of which excessively huge
commission churn / earn revenues are a net negative for the economy in real
economic terms which is evidenced by unprecedented economic decline in all
productive sectors of the economy. This is a great opportunity to SELL / TAKE
PROFITS since this suckers rally to suck suckers in and keep them sucked in is
based on fraud and b*** s*** alone
and: ‘This is a global depression. This is a secular bear market in a
global depression. The past up move was a manipulated bull (s***) cycle in a
secular bear market. This has been a typically manipulated bubble as has
preceded the prior crashes with great regularity that the wall street frauds
and insiders commission and sell into. This is a typical wall street churn and
earn pass the hot potato scam / fraud as in prior crashes.’
Technical Indicators Trigger Major
Sell Signal ‘…In summary, the bearish picture is confirmed by technical
indicators, a fundamental outlook, sentiment gauges, and valuations.Based on
what the market considered fair market valuations at prior historic market
bottoms, one can conclude how far stocks have to drop to reach the previously
attained level of fair valuations …’
: ‘On Friday July 9, 2010,
4:32 pm EDT It rarely ever happens, but when it does, it's serious. It
has only happened nine times in 10 years. We are referring to crossovers
between the 200-day and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs).Very few technical
indicators receive as much attention and media coverage as the 50 and 200-day
SMAs. The 200-day MA is perceived to be the dividing line between a stock that
is technically healthy and one that is not. It's a Big
Deal It's a big deal when a stock or an index drops
below the 200-day SMA. It's an even bigger deal when the 50-day SMA of any
given stock or index drops below the 200-day SMA. Such a crossover reflects
internal weakness - at least in theory. We'll discuss in a moment how the
actual numbers match up with theoretic assumptions. On June 22, 2010, the
S&P 500 (SNP: ^GSPC) and Dow Jones (DJI: ^DJI) dropped below the 200-day
SMA. One day later the Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) followed. On July 2, 2010, the
50-day SMA for the S&P (NYSEArca: SPY
- News)
dropped below the 200-day SMA. On July 6, the Dow Jones (NYSEArca: DIA
- News)
followed. As of today, the Nasdaq (Nasdaq: QQQQ
- News)
is barely hanging on. This sounds like a doomsday scenario. Does a rigid
analysis show that there is validity to 200-day and 50-day SMA crossover
buy/sell signals? Let's investigate.Crossovers - Lagging but Notable Many argue that
the SMA crossover is a delayed signal that emphasizes past weakness more than
it foreshadows future declines. To an extent, that is true. There are other
warning signals that point to a market turn long before the SMA does. For
example, on April 16, 2010, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter noted an
extremely low put/call ratio along with other bullish sentiment extremes. The
newsletter stated that 'the message conveyed by the composite bullishness is
unmistakably bearish. Once prices start to fall and investors get afraid of
incurring losses, the only option is to sell (due to the low put/call ratio).
Selling, results in more selling. This negative feedback loop usually results
in rapidly falling prices.' Prices did fall rapidly. The 22 trading days
following the April 26 high, erased eight months worth of gains. It took a 17%
drop for the SMA crossover to trigger a sell signal. When the ETF Profit
Strategy Newsletter issued a strong buy signal on March 2, 2009, it emphasized
that the developing rally would be a counter trend rally followed by a steep
decline and maintained this viewpoint even though prices kept rallying
relentlessly into the April highs. The SMA crossover now expresses the
possibility that even lower prices are ahead. 200 and
50-day SMA Crossovers - How Accurate? How about the
SMA crossover track record? Over the past 10 years, there have been nine
S&P SMA crossovers with five sell and four buy signals. We have yet to see
the results of the most recent sell signal. However, of the eight previous
signals, six were correct. Average gains following each signal were 14.91%.
$10,000 invested according to the buy/sell recommendations given right after
the first sell signal was triggered on October 30, 2000 at S&P 1,399, would
be worth $24,769 today. More Than just Crossovers If it sounds
too good to be true, it often is. As is the case with so many technical
indicators, crossovers need to be viewed in context with other indicators. In
other words, take a step back and evaluate how crossovers fit into the larger
picture. The larger picture (going back to 2007) reveals that trading volume
associated with market declines has been generally high, while trading volume
seen during rallies has been generally low; a bearish sign. Does
Wednesday's 3.13% Rally Invalidate the Sell Signal? On Wednesday,
the S&P rallied 32 points or 3.13%. The Dow rallied 2.82%, while the Nasdaq
rallied 3.13%. Does this mean the bull market is back on track?Since the
April market top, we've seen about a handful of 2-3% bounces. All associated
gains were erased within a matter of days. Chances are this time will be the
same. In fact, some sort of bounce was to be expected. On July 5, the ETF
Profit Strategy Newsletter stated 'considering that the S&P is butting
against the 100-week SMA, lower accelerations band, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement
levels, round number resistance at 1,000, and weekly s1 at 994, there is a good
chance we will see some sort of a bounce develop from the 990 - 1,015 area.
Weekly r1 at 1,066 and pivot at 1,063 should serve as resistance.' This bounce
is in its later stages right now. What's Next? Let's revisit
the larger picture. Out of the nine leading industry sectors, seven have seen
their 50-day SMA cross below the 200-day SMA - financials (NYSEArca: XLF
- News),
technology (NYSEArca: XLK - News),
consumer staples (NYSEArca: XLP - News),
materials (NYSEArca: XLB - News),
utilities (NYSEArca: XLU - News),
energy (NYSEArca: XLE - News)
and healthcare (NYSEArca: XLV - News).
The consumer discretionary (NYSEArca: XLY
- News)
and industrial sector (NYSEArca: XLI - News)
are the only holdouts. All nine sectors, however, trade below their 200-day
SMA. Fundamentals, sentiment readings and valuations also point south. Some of
the fundamentals we have discussed in these pages are crafty accounting
practices designed to hide huge losses racked up by big financial institutions
not yet realized along with a continually bad unemployment picture. Sentiment
surrounding the April highs recorded extremes not seen since the 2000, 2007,
and even 1987 market top. There are multiple sentiment measures (such as the
VIX, cash allocation, put/call ratio, percentage of bullish/bearish advisors,
mutual fund cash levels, etc.). Each sentiment measure is one piece of
the puzzle. The more pieces of the puzzle you have, the clearer the picture
becomes. Leading up to the April highs, nearly all sentiment indicators peaked,
painting a complete bearish picture. In summary, the bearish picture is
confirmed by technical indicators, a fundamental outlook, sentiment gauges, and
valuations. Based on what the market considered fair market valuations at prior
historic market bottoms, one can conclude how far stocks have to drop to reach
the previously attained level of fair valuations. The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter
includes a detailed analysis of four valuation metrics with a track record of
accuracy, along with the implied target range for an ultimate market bottom.
This is provided in addition to its short, mid and long-term forecast. When the
market speaks, it behooves investors to listen. Fighting the tape has often
proven to be foolish, as the market will always have the final word.’
A
Market Forecast That Says ‘Take Cover’ New York Times
| We have entered a market decline of staggering proportions — perhaps the
biggest of the last 300 years.
Commercial Real Estate Loans Extend
and Pretend ‘…Courtesy of Thomson / Reuters
Commercial Real Estate Loans – Extend and Pretend Community banks have commercial real estate
loans where the borrower cannot make scheduled interest and principle payments.
More than 50% of all FDIC-insured institutions have loan pipelines that are 80%
to 100% funded. This is a measure of how banks are stuck with noncurrent
assets, but they are not classified that way. Instead, community banks are
giving borrowers more time to make their payments on the theory that it’s better to collect zero on some loans rather than
owning the real estate that collateralizes those loans. This concept is dubbed
“extend and pretend” hoping that the borrower will
eventual pay the loan back. Banks in this practice are known as “Zombie Banks” as
they can’t
lend, can’t lure in new investors, and wait for the FDIC to knock
on their doors on Friday afternoon. This strategy includes stretching out loan
maturities and allowing below-market interest rates to slow the number of
defaults and preserving the capital of banks that would be expended if property
had to become “Other Real Estate Owned.” As a result “Loans 30 to 89 Days in Arrears” and “Noncurrent”
loans are not growing as fast as they should be. The net result of these
practices masks the true toxicity of the Commercial Real Estate market. It’s not just the small banks that
are employing “extend and pretend”
tactics. I read that the Bank of America (BAC) has extended a large real estate loan in
Buckhead, Georgia the high-class area north of Atlanta. The loan finances the
development of a high-end shopping and residential project in 2007 and now three
years later the cranes are silent and the project is fenced in. The banking
regulators are helping the banks by allowing the lenders several ways to
restructure loans. While doing so the banks are allowed to keep these loans as
“performing” even with collateral values below the loan
amounts. Extend and pretend is also known as kicking the can down the road. It
seems to me that we have wasted billions if not trillions in stimulus money and
bank bailouts when this money could have been used to actually fund the
completion of these projects. Such a plan would have cost tax payers much less
and would have kept Americans working on Main Street USA, as finishing
incompleted real estate projects are clearly “shovel ready” projects.
According to Foresight Analytics banks hold $176 billion of CRE loans that
could be declared toxic. This is the tip of the iceberg as the FDIC Quarterly
Banking Profile shows $1.09 trillion in nonfarm nonresidential real estate
loans and $418 billion in Construction & Development loans on the books of
our nation’s banks. About two-thirds of
the CRE loans are maturing between now and 2014, and are underwater. Commercial
real estate property values are down 42% from the October 2007 peak. At the end
of the first quarter 9.1% are delinquent up from 7% a year earlier. Bankers
justify “extend and pretend” saying
that it’s better than calling the loan and dumping more property
on a depressed market. We need a stronger economy to entice new investors to
resurrect projects and to find new demand for competed offices, hotels, condos
etc which are the finished products of completed CRE projects. Without a strong
economic recovery these loans will eventually have to be written off down the
road. The problem is that while these loans are on hold banks can’t justify new
loans, which would be the engine of economic growth. And the beat goes on. Disclosure:
No positions’
Light Volume Temptations: Dave's Daily ‘Volume still matters, doesn't it?
It seems not as the financial media ignores our light volume market in favor of
writing bullish headlines. With hedge funds mostly sidelined according to
reports posted here yesterday, the primary buyers must be trading desks on Wall
Street and a handful of algo traders. It's tempting to come off the sidelines
and join the fun but perhaps it's just the trap they're laying for you. A
headline at Reuters read this afternoon: "Weaker Economic Views Equals
Stronger 3-Year Note Sale". So, if equity markets are forward-looking one
must wonder what these few buyers are seeing beyond a short-term trade.
Headline writers say its strong earnings growth that will prop markets coupled
with rosy outlooks. That would have to be the case otherwise this is just a
sucker's rally. As stated, volume was holiday-like light (40% below average)
making it really easy for the machines to take over trading, and so they did
... ‘
DRUDGEREPORT: PAPER:
Optimism on hold; Recovery economy falters...
USA
marks 3rd-largest, single-day debt increase...
Deficit
hits $1 trillion in June for second year...
IMF presses US
to cut debt...
NSA
INTERNET GRAB; SPY AGENCY SHIFTS TO DOMESTIC EAVESDROPPING...
CIVIL
RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...
RESET: Russia slams
Clinton for 'groundless' comments...
Mortgage Delinquencies Rising Again as
Home Prices Stay Flat...
Roubini: Banks Too Big to Fail, Too Big
to Bail Out...
COOKED APPLE: 103...
UPDATE:
MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...
US v. AZ...
Banks
are Still at the Derivatives Casino (at Seeking Alpha)
[video]
Washington's Bungled Bank Bailout (at TheStreet.com)
ECRI Weekly Leading Index Growth Lowest in 13 Months Be on the Right Side of S&P Earnings Estimate Cuts
Inventory Cycle Has Run Its Course Harrison – ‘… This is the scenario I have been predicting for
months now.
David Rosenberg says the
ISM leads jobs. And, the latest jobs
numbers were weak.
I would be nonplused about the recent ISM data if it
weren’t for the column highlighted in red. Notice how the momentum for
everything is slowing. Not just the overall index, but new orders, production
and employment …’
DRUDGEREPORT: TORN
ON FOURTH OF JULY: OBAMA DIVIDES NATION...
Great
Republic in parlous state -- politically, economically...
YEAR
9: Petraeus in Afghanistan warns of tough mission...
'We are in this
to win' … Win what? The fact of america’s defacto bankruptcy and being there IS
failure no matter what they ultimately call this debacle ...
Illinois
Stops Paying Its Bills...
Facing
'outright disaster' amid budget crisis...
Turn On, Tune In...Nah, Just Drop Out … Discouraged workers at a new
cycle high And small wonder. The median unemployment duration went to a new
all-time high (since the 1940s, anyway, when that series begins) and shows no
signs of slowing its ascent …
(Chart, source Bloomberg)…
NY
Times’ Krugman: We Are Entering The Third Depression Recessions are
common; depressions are rare. [Correction: we’re already in a depression].
JUNE UNEMPLOYMENT 9.5%... 125,000 JOBS
LOST...
Rate
dips as 652,000 give up search...
Depressing...
[That’s why they’re called depressions (just kidding … but no laughing matter)
… At this rate, with all those lost jobs and jobseekers no longer seeking
those lost jobs that aren’t there, by their calculations (9.5% the bright spot
… riiiiight!) we should be at full employment very soon … you can’t make this
stuff up … really!].
Ron
Paul: 114 Flip Flop on Audit The Fed Causing Bill to Fail 229 – 198 Ron
Paul’s attempt to audit the Federal Reserve, which was previously co-sponsored
by 320 members of the House (HR 1207), failed by a vote of 229-198. All
Republicans voted in favor of the measure with 23 Democrats crossing the aisle
to vote with Republicans. 122 co-sponsors of HR 1207, all Democrats, jumped
ship and voted against the measure. The Future of Audit the
Fed Congressman Ron Paul discusses the latest in the efforts to get a
full and complete audit of the Fed as well as the future of Fed transparency.
Like Congressman Paul says, we’ve accomplished a lot of good with our movement,
and there’s many reasons to be optimistic for the future.
Ditch
the Buck! Dollar demise ‘a matter of months’ A report by the United
Nations says the American dollar should be ditched as the main global reserve
currency. It said that the global financial meltdown has exposed systematic
weaknesses, one of which is the reliance on the
greenback. G-20
is Relying on China To Drive the World Economy … But China Isn’t Looking So Hot
The G-20 is apparently relying on China to drive the world economy.
Middle
class families face a triple whammy Edmund Conway |
Falling pensions, cuts and the banking crisis will impoverish many families.
The following are 50 random facts that show
just how dramatically america has changed….
#50) A new report released by the United
Nations is publicly calling for the establishment of a world
currency and none of the major news networks are even
covering it.
#49) Arnold Schwarzenegger has ordered California
State Controller John Chiang to reduce state worker pay for July to the federal
minimum allowed by law — $7.25 an hour for most
state workers.
#48) A police officer in Oklahoma recently tasered an 86-year-old disabled grandma in her bed
and stepped on her oxygen hose until she couldn’t breathe because they
considered her to be a “threat”.
#47) In early 2009, U.S. net national savings as a
percentage of GDP went negative for the first time since
1952, and it has continued its downward trend since then.
#46) Corexit 9500 is so incredibly toxic that the
UK’s Marine Management Organization has completely banned it, so if there
was a major oil spill in the North Sea, BP would not be able to use it.
And yet BP has dumped over a million gallons of dispersants such as Corexit
9500 into the Gulf of Mexico.
#45) For the first time in U.S. history, more than 40 million Americans are on food stamps,
and the U.S. Department of Agriculture projects that number will go up to 43
million Americans in 2011.
#44) It has come out that one employee used a Federal
Emergency Management Agency credit card to buy $4,318 in “Happy
Birthday” gift cards. Two
other FEMA officials charged the cost of 360 golf umbrellas ($9,000) to the
taxpayers.
#43) Researchers at the State University of New York at
Buffalo received $389,000 from the U.S. government to pay
100 residents of Buffalo $45 each to record how much malt liquor they drink and how much
pot they smoke each day.
#42) The average duration of unemployment in the United States
has risen to an all-time high.
#41) The bottom 40 percent of all income earners in
the United States now collectively own less than 1 percent of the nation’s
wealth.
#40) In the U.S., the average federal worker now earns about twice as much as the average
worker in the private sector.
#39) Back in 1950 each retiree’s Social Security benefit
was paid for by 16 workers. Today, each retiree’s Social
Security benefit is paid for by approximately 3.3 workers.
By 2025 it is projected that there will be approximately two workers
for each retiree.
#38) According to a U.S. Treasury Department report to
Congress, the U.S. national debt will top $13.6 trillion this year and climb to an estimated $19.6 trillion by 2015.
#37) The federal government actually has the gall to ask for online
donations that will supposedly go towards paying off the national
debt.
#36) The Cactus Bug Project at the University Of
Florida was allocated $325,394 in economic stimulus funds to study the mating decisions of cactus bugs.
#35) A dinner cruise company in Chicago got nearly $1
million in economic stimulus funds to combat terrorism.
#34) It is being reported that a 6-year-old girl from Ohio is
on the “no fly” list maintained by U.S. Homeland Security.
#33) During the first quarter of 2010, the total number of
loans that are at least three months past due in the United States increased for the 16th consecutive quarter.
#32) According to a new report, Americans spend twice as much as residents of other
developed countries on healthcare, but get lower quality and far less
efficiency.
#31) Some experts are warning that the cost of bailing
out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could reach as high as $1
trillion.
#30) The FDA has announced that the offspring of cloned animals could be in our food
supply right now and that there is nothing that they can do about
it.
#29) In May, sales of new homes in the United States dropped to the lowest level ever
recorded.
#28) In 1950, the ratio of the average executive’s paycheck to
the average worker’s paycheck was about 30 to 1. Since the year 2000,
that ratio has ranged between 300 to 500 to one.
#27) Federal border officials recently said that Mexican
drug cartels have not only set up shop on American soil, they are
actually maintaining lookout bases in
strategic locations in the hills of southern Arizona.
#26) The U.S. government has declared some parts
of Arizona off limits to U.S. citizens because of
the threat of violence from Mexican drug smugglers.
#25) According to the credit card repayment calculator, if you owe
$6000 on a credit card with a 20 percent interest rate and only pay the minimum
payment each time, it will take you 54 years to pay off that credit card.
During those 54 years you will pay $26,168 in interest rate charges
in addition to the $6000 in principal that you are required to pay back.
#24) According to prepared testimony by Goldman Sachs Chief
Operating Officer Gary Cohn, Goldman Sachs shorted roughly $615 million of
the collateralized debt obligations and residential mortgage-backed securities
the firm underwrote since late 2006.
#23) The six biggest banks in the United States now
possess assets equivalent to 60 percent of America’s gross national product.
#22) Four of the biggest U.S. banks (Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan
Chase, Bank of America and Citigroup) had a “perfect
quarter” with zero days of trading losses during the
first quarter of 2010.
#21) 1.41 million Americans filed for personal bankruptcy in
2009 – a 32 percent increase over 2008.
#20) BP has hired private security contractors
to keep the American people away from oil cleanup sites and nobody
seems to care.
#19) Barack Obama is calling for a “civilian expeditionary force”
to be sent to Afghanistan and Iraq to help overburdened military troops build
infrastructure.
#18) On June 18th, two Christians decided that they would
peacefully pass out copies of the gospel of John on a public sidewalk
outside a public Arab festival in Dearborn, Michigan and within 3 minutes
8 policemen surrounded them and placed them under arrest.
#17) It is being reported that sales of foreclosed homes in
Florida made up nearly 40 percent of all
home purchases in the first part of this year.
#16) During a recent interview with Larry King,
former first lady Laura Bush revealed to the world that she is actually in
favor of legalized gay marriage and a woman’s “right” to abortion.
#15) Scientists at Columbia University are warning that the
dose of radiation from the new full body security scanners going into airports
all over the United States could be up to 20 times higher
than originally estimated.
#14) 43 percent of Americans have less than $10,000
saved for retirement.
#13) The FDIC’s deposit insurance fund now has negative 20.7 billion dollars in it,
which represents a slight improvement from the end of 2009.
#12) The judge that BP is pushing for to hear an
estimated 200 lawsuits on the Gulf of Mexico oil disaster gets tens of thousands of dollars a
year in oil royalties and is paid travel expenses to industry
conferences.
#11) In recent years the U.S. government has spent $2.6
million tax dollars to study the drinking habits of Chinese prostitutes and
$400,000 tax dollars to pay researchers to cruise six bars in Buenos
Aires, Argentina to find out why gay men engage in risky sexual behavior
when drunk.
#10) U.S. officials say that more than three billion
dollars in cash (much of it aid money paid for by U.S. taxpayers)
has been stolen by corrupt officials in Afghanistan and flown out of Kabul
International Airport in recent years.
#9) According to a report by the U.S. Department of Transportation’s
Bureau of Transportation Statistics, the baggage check fees collected by U.S.
airlines shot up 33% in the first
quarter of 2010 to $769 million.
#8) Three California high school students are fighting for
their right to show their American patriotism - even on a Mexican
holiday - after they were forced to remove
their American flag T-shirts on Cinco de Mayo.
#7) Right now, interest on the U.S. national debt and spending
on entitlement programs like Social Security and Medicare are somewhere in
the neighborhood of 10 to 15 percent of GDP. By 2080, they are
projected to eat up approximately 50 percent of GDP.
#6) The total of all government, corporate and consumer
debt in the United States is now about 360 percent of GDP.
#5) A 6-year-old girl was recently handcuffed and sent to
a mental facility after throwing temper tantrums at her
elementary school.
#4) In Florida, students have been arrested by police for things as
simple as bringing a plastic butter knife to school, throwing an eraser,
and drawing a picture of a gun.
#3) School officials in one town in Massachusetts are
refusing to allow students to recite the Pledge of Allegiance.
#2) According to one new study, approximately 21 percent
of children in the United States are living below the poverty line in 2010.
#1) Since 1973, more than 50 million babies have been
murdered in abortion facilities across the United States.
Drudgereport: JUNE UNEMPLOYMENT 9.5%... 125,000 JOBS
LOST...
Rate
dips as 652,000 give up search...
Depressing...
[That’s why they’re called depressions (just kidding … but no laughing matter)
… At this rate, with all those lost jobs and jobseekers no longer seeking
those lost jobs that aren’t there, by their calculations (9.5% the bright spot
… riiiiight!) we should be at full employment very soon … you can’t make this
stuff up … really!].
New
jobless claims rise [again]...
'Surprise'...
Pending
home sales plunge record 30%...
Weak economic
data suggest 'recovery' fizzling...
Fears
mount over slowing global demand...
UN
committee calls for dumping US dollar...
Six Months
to Go Until the Largest Tax Hikes in History...
From Ryan Ellis on Thursday, July 1, 2010 4:15 PM
Read more: http://www.atr.org/six-months-untilbr-largest-tax-hikes-a5171##ixzz0sVN5aBH3
In just six months, the largest tax hikes in the history of America
will take effect. They will hit families and small businesses in three
great waves on January 1, 2011:
First Wave: Expiration of 2001 and 2003 Tax Relief
In 2001 and 2003, the GOP Congress enacted several tax cuts for investors,
small business owners, and families. These will all expire on January 1,
2011:
Personal income tax rates will rise. The top income tax
rate will rise from 35 to 39.6 percent (this is also the rate at which
two-thirds of small business profits are taxed). The lowest rate will
rise from 10 to 15 percent. All the rates in between will also
rise. Itemized deductions and personal exemptions will again phase out,
which has the same mathematical effect as higher marginal tax rates. The
full list of marginal rate hikes is below:
- The 10% bracket rises to an expanded 15%
- The 25% bracket rises to 28%
- The 28% bracket rises to 31%
- The 33% bracket rises to 36%
- The 35% bracket rises to 39.6%
Higher taxes on marriage and family. The “marriage
penalty” (narrower tax brackets for married couples) will return from the first
dollar of income. The child tax credit will be cut in half from $1000 to
$500 per child. The standard deduction will no longer be doubled for
married couples relative to the single level. The dependent care and
adoption tax credits will be cut.
The return of the Death Tax. This year, there is no
death tax. For those dying on or after January 1 2011, there is a 55
percent top death tax rate on estates over $1 million. A person leaving
behind two homes and a retirement account could easily pass along a death tax
bill to their loved ones.
Higher tax rates on savers and investors. The capital
gains tax will rise from 15 percent this year to 20 percent in 2011. The
dividends tax will rise from 15 percent this year to 39.6 percent in
2011. These rates will rise another 3.8 percent in 2013.
Second Wave: Obamacare
There are over twenty new or higher taxes in Obamacare.
Several will first go into effect on January 1, 2011. They include:
The “Medicine Cabinet Tax” Thanks to Obamacare,
Americans will no longer be able to use health savings account (HSA), flexible
spending account (FSA), or health reimbursement (HRA) pre-tax dollars to
purchase non-prescription, over-the-counter medicines (except insulin).
The “Special Needs Kids Tax” This provision of Obamacare
imposes a cap on flexible spending accounts (FSAs) of $2500 (Currently, there
is no federal government limit). There is one group of FSA owners for
whom this new cap will be particularly cruel and onerous: parents of special
needs children. There are thousands of families with special needs
children in the United States, and many of them use FSAs to pay for special
needs education. Tuition rates at one leading school that teaches special
needs children in Washington, D.C. (National Child Research Center) can easily
exceed $14,000 per year. Under tax rules, FSA dollars can be used to pay
for this type of special needs education.
The HSA Withdrawal Tax Hike. This provision of Obamacare
increases the additional tax on non-medical early withdrawals from an HSA from
10 to 20 percent, disadvantaging them relative to IRAs and other tax-advantaged
accounts, which remain at 10 percent.
Third Wave: The Alternative Minimum Tax and Employer Tax Hikes
When Americans prepare to file their tax returns in January of 2011, they’ll be
in for a nasty surprise—the AMT won’t be held harmless, and many tax relief
provisions will have expired. The major items include:
The AMT will ensnare over 28 million families, up from 4 million last
year. According to the left-leaning Tax Policy Center, Congress’ failure to index
the AMT will lead to an explosion of AMT taxpaying families—rising from 4
million last year to 28.5 million. These families will have to calculate
their tax burdens twice, and pay taxes at the higher level. The AMT was
created in 1969 to ensnare a handful of taxpayers.
Small business expensing will be slashed and 50% expensing will
disappear. Small businesses can normally expense (rather than
slowly-deduct, or “depreciate”) equipment purchases up to $250,000. This
will be cut all the way down to $25,000. Larger businesses can expense
half of their purchases of equipment. In January of 2011, all of it will
have to be “depreciated.”
Taxes will be raised on all types of businesses. There
are literally scores of tax hikes on business that will take place. The
biggest is the loss of the “research and experimentation tax credit,” but there are many, many others. Combining
high marginal tax rates with the loss of this tax relief will cost jobs.
Tax Benefits for Education and Teaching Reduced. The
deduction for tuition and fees will not be available. Tax credits for
education will be limited. Teachers will no longer be able to deduct
classroom expenses. Coverdell Education Savings Accounts will be
cut. Employer-provided educational assistance is curtailed. The
student loan interest deduction will be disallowed for hundreds of thousands of
families.
Charitable Contributions from IRAs no longer allowed.
Under current law, a retired person with an IRA can contribute up to $100,000
per year directly to a charity from their IRA. This contribution also
counts toward an annual “required minimum distribution.” This ability
will no longer be there.
Read more: http://www.atr.org/six-months-untilbr-largest-tax-hikes-a5171##ixzz0sVMwYIhK
Investors get more gloomy & bearish We just had a very
difficult three month stretch for stocks. The S&P 500 fell 12% for
the quarter as did NASDAQ. The Shanghai Composite, China’s largest stock index, fell 22.9 in its local
currency, the yuan. The MSCI EAFE Index (foreign stocks) was down 14%.
Given the negative news, it is not surprising that investors are becoming more
bearish on stocks. This chart from Bespoke is based on the weekly Investors
Intelligence survey, which is getting close to levels from a year
ago. This is not close the peak we reached in early 2009, but the mood is
definitely more negative now: [chart]
Double Dip on the Way There were many events contributing to yesterday’s sell-off, and the
most likely culprits around the globe included more protests in Greece,
continued to concerns about Europe at large, and a downward revision (due to a
calculation error) of a leading economic indicator reading in China for the
month of April. But when it comes down to it, our own economy has yet to stand
on solid ground. While the recovery has continued to be shaky at best, recent
economic readings may be pointing to a double dip recession. Yesterday’s batch
of economic data seemed to be confirming that, as it brought a very dismal
reading on consumer confidence. June’s number stood at 52.9, far below
expectations of 62.5, and pointing to the consumers’ weariness about the job
market, and economic recovery in general. To go further, the previous reading
for May was revised downward, to 62.7 from 63.3. But the drop from May to June
really sends the message home: we’re not out of the woods yet. Earlier in the
week, we saw personal savings rates rise again, even while personal income
growth was meager. Americans, despite bringing home a little more cash,
continued to save more for the expected rainy days, and have yet to return to
their spendthrift ways. After yesterday’s precipitous selling, one would expect
to see a bit of a bounce in today’s trading session. That wasn’t the case,
however, as more weak data continued to dampen economic hopes. Today’s culprit
was the ADP private sector job report. The report stated that private payroll
gains were muted in June, with only 13,000 jobs added – far less than the
60,000 expected by economists. While May’s reading was revised slightly upwards
(to 57,000 hires from previously reported 55,000), today’s release does not
bode well for the much anticipated report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics
due out on Friday. The non-farms payroll survey includes government workers and
has been inflated in recent months due to hiring for the 2010 Census … [chart]
…The June report, however, will reflect many of those workers being laid off in
the past month. In May, 431,000 jobs were added, but without support from
temporary government hires, economists are predicting job losses in June. Last
week, consensus estimates were for a loss of 70,000 jobs for the month. By
yesterday, those estimates were downgraded further, to 110,000. With the help
of today’s ADP report, expectations have continued to fall: economists now
expect a reading of negative 125,000 …
Barron's: Why the Market Will Keep Sliding Perry D- Barron's has a nice summary of what the future may hold in its
"Up and Down Wall Street." It summarizes as well as anything I've
read recently where we're likely headed. Bugging the (stock) market is the increasingly
obvious disparity between what the Street's incorrigible cheerleaders see and
prophesy and what's actually happening in the real world...The double dip in
housing may or may not be a template of what's in store for the economy as a
whole. But at the very least, it is a precursor of other serious
disappointments destined to feed the unease among the jittery populace, which
most emphatically includes investors.
It cites the predictions of SDK Captial's Dee Kessler:
--the massive
fiscal and monetary stimulus so liberally applied in 2008-2009 is starting to
run out of steam, with financial conditions tightening and leading economic
indicators pointing to a stretch of "anemic activity."
--"structural
headwinds," such as public and private deleveraging, higher taxes, greater
regulation and trade tensions.
--the
well-publicized woes of the European bloc, which accounts for 20% of the
world's GDP, as further evidence that the global economy, as he puts it, is
downshifting.
--The period of
easy comparisons in corporate results, he says, is coming to a close,
--"Although
the fundamentals in the U.S., Europe and Japan are worse," Dee spots
plenty of downside in emerging markets and doesn't fancy the notion of
decoupling.
--Come another
financial crisis, "the only policy response left will be to print
money." Which, of course, is what the gold bugs are counting on and why
bullion has glistened so brightly.
That about sums
up the outlook. The nice insight here is that anxiety over future economic
malaise -- and the additional money printing that'll be done to mask it --
might be a bigger factor than current inflationary pressure behind the surge in
gold prices.
In other words,
for the deflation-believers: deflation today? Perhaps. But big-time inflation
tomorrow.
Disclosure: No positions
NY
Times’ Krugman: We Are Entering The Third Depression Recessions are
common; depressions are rare. [Correction: we’re already in a depression].
Stocks: Once More Up, Then the Big Down Smith -The
ingredients for a classic head and shoulders topping pattern in the stock
market are all present. That suggests one more rise and then a massive grinding
move down to 2009 lows. Officially, of course, everything's peachy with
the economy. Europe is fixed, China is booming, consumer confidence is rising,
and we are encouraged to resume our borrow and spend ways as the economy will
not "double-dip" into recession. The economy will not slide into
another recession, we are reassured constantly, even though roughly 80% of
Americans don't think we ever left the recessionary quicksand. Please see
"Two
Scoop Special": Double-Dip Recession Guaranteed (May 21, 2010) for
more … Exactly what drivers are there for future gains in corporate profits? I
can't think of any, short of Martians landing and going on a shopping spree
with gold they manufacture in their spacecraft. On the negative side, we have:
1. The rising dollar is a huge headwind to sales in the
eurozone and elsewhere.
2. The low-hanging fruit of pushing the workforce to produce more output for
the same salary/wages have all been picked.
3. The inventory build-out is done for everything but the iPhone 4 and iPad.
4. So-called "fiscal austerity" (when did living within one's means
become some sort of brutual "austerity"? Talk abour propaganda!) in
the eurozone and U.S. states will remove tens of billions of dollars from
corporate sales.
5. Global overcapacity is alive and well. There is overcapacity in everything
manufactured except the iPhone 4, and that will be in glut by 2011 as well.
6. Uncle Sam is not distributing trillions of dollars quite as freely. There
seems to be some glimmer of awareness that there could be consequences of
squandering trillions of borrowed dollars on essentially worthless projects
such as occupying Iraq, inflating the housing market by socializing the entire
mortgage market, propping up Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and FHA, etc.
7. Housing is rolling over now that the socialized mortgage market has been
tentatively allowed to go off life-support (it is wheezing and turning blue in
the face, not signs of vibrant health).
8. There is no pricing power anywhere once stimulus-goosed demand declines to
organic demand (flat to down) …
Momentum Book Update: The Market Is a Mess and the Long Bond Is
About to Break Out … Not only do us swing traders have to fight the urge
to chase price action up, but lay off the keyboard trying to catch falling
knives in the relative strength stocks which are holding up. If you tried to
buy support in your favorite names this week, you got your hands cut up. I’ll continue to rely on the understanding of my own
emotions as they have served me well. When we opened higher on Monday morning I
knew I was in the right place, cash, as the market was just way overbought. If
you bought most relative strength names last week, by the end of this week you
were well underwater. So where do we go from here? I’ve got no clue, the market is a mess, the charts are a mess, and the
long bond is about to break out. If that happens all bets are off, we could see
an “event”. If the smart money is lining up at the exits and moving into
bonds, there’s a good chance they see
something coming down the pipe …
SUITING UP FOR A POST-DOLLAR WORLD John Browne ‘The
global financial crisis is playing out like a slow-moving, highly predicable
stage play. In the current scene, Western governments are caught between the
demands of entitled welfare beneficiaries and the anxiety of bondholders who
fear they will be stuck with the bill. As the crisis reaches an apex, prime
ministers and presidents are forced into a Sophie's choice between social
unrest and bankruptcy. But with the "Club Med" economies set to fall
like dominoes, the US Treasury market is not yet acting the role we would have
anticipated. Our argument has always been that the US benefits from its
reserve-currency status, allowing it to accumulate unsustainable debts for an
unusually long period without the immediate repercussions of inflation or
higher borrowing costs. But this false sense of security may be setting us up
for a truly monumental crash. There is fresh evidence that time is running out
for the dollar-centric global monetary order. In fact, central banks outside
the US are already making swift and discrete preparation for a post-dollar
era.To begin, the People's Bank of China has just this week decided to permit a
wider trading range between the yuan and the dollar. This is the first step
toward ending the infernal yuan-dollar peg. While the impetus behind this
abrupt change remains a mystery, I have a sneaking suspicion that, as my
colleague Neeraj Chaudhary explained in his commentary
last week, the nationwide labor strikes were a prime motivator. In response to
the 2008 credit crunch, the Fed printed so many dollars that the People's Bank
of China was forced to drive Chinese inflation into double digits to maintain
the peg. The pain has fallen on China's workers, who have seen their wages
stagnate while prices for everything from milk to apartments have skyrocketed.
This week's move indicates that, regardless of its own policy motives, the
Communist Party can no longer afford to keep pace with the dollar's
devaluation. The result will be a shift in wealth from America to China, which
may trigger a long-anticipated run on the dollar, while creating investment
opportunities in China. Just days before China's announcement, Russian
President Dmitry Medvedev rattled his monetary sabre by telling the press of
his intention to lead the world toward a new monetary order based on a broad
basket of currencies. Giving strength to his claim, the Central Bank of Russia
announced that it would be adding Canadian and Australian dollars to its
reserves for the first time. Analysts suggest that the IMF may follow suit.
While Russia floats in the limbo between hopeless kleptocracy and emerging
economy, it does possess vast natural resources and a toe-hold in both Europe
and Asia. In other words, it will be a strategically important partner for
China as it tries to cast off dollar hegemony. Speaking of Europe, the major
powers there are moving toward a post-dollar world by rejecting President
Obama's calls to jump on America's debt grenade. The prescriptions coming from
Washington translate loosely to: our airship is on fire, so why don't you light
a candle under yours so that we may crash and burn together. Given that dollar
strength is largely seen as a function of euro weakness (as Andrew Schiff
discussed in our most recent newsletter,
debt troubles in the eurozone's fringe economies have created a distorted
confidence in the greenback. However, as you might imagine, Europe has higher
priorities than being America's fall guy. Led by an ever-bolder Germany, the
European states are wisely choosing not to throw themselves on our funeral
pyre, but to wisely clean house in anticipation of China's rise. In another
ominous sign for the dollar, the Financial Times reported Wednesday that after
two decades as net sellers of gold, foreign central banks have now become net
buyers. What's more, more than half of central bank officials surveyed by UBS
didn't think the dollar would be the world's reserve in 2035. Among the
predicted replacements were Asian currencies and the euro, but - by far - the
favorite was gold. This is supported by Monday's revelation by the Saudi
central bank that it had covertly doubled its gold reserves, just about a year
after China made a similar admission. There is no reason to assume these are
isolated incidents, or that the covert trade of dollars for gold doesn't
continue. To the contrary, this is compelling evidence that foreign governments
are outwardly supporting the status quo while quietly preparing for the
dollar's almost-inevitable devaluation. What people like Paul Krugman believe
to be a return to medieval economics may, in fact, be the wave of the future.
In peacetime, hardened troops will likely tolerate a blowhard general for an
extended period; but when the artillery opens up with live ordnance, an
ineffectual leader risks rapid demotion. The newspapers are now riddled with
hints that foreign governments have lost faith in Washington and the dollar
reserve system. It seems to me only natural that after a century of war,
inflation, and socialism, the next hundred years would belong to those people
who hold the timeless values of hard money and fiscal prudence. Unfortunately,
our policymakers are not those people.’
China's
Hu Jintao Says Group of 20 Must Coordinate to Consolidate Recovery Bloomberg … How about the G195
countries in the world collectively be considered in this task of
coordination owing to the abject failure of the so-called G20 which have in
lockstep coordination precipitated this global crisis including the war
mongering, war criminal acts of the so-called nato allies et als, particularly
the u.s., and as well the likes of war criminal nation israel which have never avoided
a contra-indicated, anti-recovery war / conflict they could contrive /
rationalize. The so-called G7, 8, 9, 20, etc., are a pathetic bunch of
incompetent vegetables / jokers / showmen / clowns.
The following is really the
quintessential question and issue, particularly in light of america’s defacto
bankruptcy and international law; but paramount humanitarian concerns alone
would militate against america’s current misguided course. Is Petraeus McChrystal’s Replacement or Obama’s? Paul
Craig Roberts | All of this drama is playing out despite the
continuing lack of any valid reason for the american invasions of Iraq and
Afghanistan.
3 SIGNS OF A SUCKER RALLY AFTER
EXAMINING TECHNICAL EVIDENCE, SENTIMENT INDICATORS AND VARIOUS VALUATION
METRICS, IT BECOMES OBVIOUS THAT THE RECENT BOUNCE PROVIDES A SELLING, NOT
BUYING OPPORTUNITY ...’
Reports:
IAF Landed at Saudi Base, US Troops near Iran Border Arutz
Sheva | The Israeli Air Force recently unloaded military equipment at
a Saudi Arabia base, a semi-official Iranian news agency claimed Wednesday.
It’s time for the world to take a close look at
the despotic, totalitarian regime that presently exists for the grandeur and
wealth of a few while hiding behind Islam as they betray same and Muslims
everywhere. The time has come for regime change in Saudi Arabia to yield a
nation of and for the people of Saudi Arabia and the glory of Islam.
Connecticut
vegetable lieberman: China Can Shut Down The Internet, Why Can’t We … (great
logic from a totalitarian zionist)? Senator joe Zelig the zionist
israeli lieberman, co-author of a bill that would give President Obama a ‘kill
switch’ to shut down parts of the Internet, attempted to reassure CNN viewers
yesterday that concerns about the government regulating free speech on the web
were overblown, but he only stoked more alarm by citing China, a country that
censors all online dissent against the state, as the model to which American
should compare itself.
Soros
Says ‘We Have Just Entered Act II’ of Crisis Bloomberg
| Soros said the current situation in the world economy is “eerily” reminiscent
of the 1930s. Gerald
Celente: U.S. Financial Markets to Collapse by End of 2010 Infowars.com
| Gerald Celente is a renowned trend forecaster, publisher of the Trends
Journal, business consultant and author who makes predictions about the global
financial markets and other events of historical
importance. Jobless
Claims in U.S. Decreased Last Week to 456,000 Bloomberg |
More Americans than anticipated filed applications for unemployment benefits
last week.
Market Outlook: Bearish Background to Bullish Storyline Sean
Hannon: ‘The last two weekly market
commentaries have discussed how the underlying trend of the market is now
bearish and all rallies should be used to sell stocks and reduce risks. With
nearly every news outlet spouting the bullish storyline, these articles served
as an outline of a disciplined investment strategy. Those who followed the
outline have done well as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow), S&P 500,
and NASDAQ each declined over 5% since my initial warning. With the Dow still
stuck below the psychologically important 10,000 level and all three major U.S.
markets trading beneath their 200-day moving averages (MA), the bearish
backdrop is clear. Even if many are still looking for a rally, we should
understand that the primary trend is lower. Instead of focusing on how high
prices will rally, we should instead consider how much further prices can fall
…’
Greek
Default Seen by Almost 75% in Poll Doubtful About Trichet Global
investors have little confidence in Europe’s efforts to contain its debt crisis
or in European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet, with 73 percent
calling a default by Greece likely. 12
Reasons Why The U.S. Housing Crash Is Far From Over Over the past
several months, many in the mainstream media have hailed the slight improvement
in the U.S. real estate market as a “housing
recovery”. US
Needs Austerity Too: Hedge Fund Strategist The United States will
have to adopt austerity measures similar to the ones taken in Europe, because
the problems faced are largely the same, Timothy Scala, macro-strategist at
Sophis Investments, told CNBC.com. Market
Analyst: ‘BP’s Not Going to Last as a Company More Than a Matter of Months’ We’ve
heard politicians, even conservative Republicans, suggest BP would be held
completely responsible for the devastation caused by the oil spill plaguing the
Gulf of Mexico, even if it means its very existence.
US
Media Terrified Of Mentioning USS Liberty Do you know that an
american naval vessel was attacked by israel in international waters, 43 years
ago today, resulting in the deaths of dozens of american sailors
Arab lawmaker on flotilla sparks outrage in israel (AP) -
An Israeli-Arab lawmaker's decision to join hundreds of activists on a
pro-Palestinian flotilla has elevated her from relative political obscurity,
transforming her into the poster child for the ...
DEBT
POISED TO OVERTAKE GDP Key
Indicators of a New Depression Neeraj Chaudhary |
Great Depression II developing into something far more devastating than its
predecessor You’re Being Decieved
Infowars.com | We’re heading over an economic cliff and
there’s nothing the government can or will do about it except
lie. The
Folly of Blindly Trusting the Government
‘What Does China Want?’ They want to speak to Rosanne
Rosanna Danna, of course! ‘Asian markets tumble on fears over Hungary’
…Riiiiight! Hungary’s the thing! … Rosanne Rosanna Danna, formerly of SNL fame
wanted in Asia to chime in with what her mama always used to say, ‘ It’s always
something ‘ . Of course, it matters little to the frauds on wall street what
the something is said to be since the reality is … ‘This is a global
depression. This is a secular bear market in a global depression. This was a
manipulated bull (s***) cycle in a secular bear market. This has been a
typically manipulated bubble as has preceded the prior crashes with great
regularity that the wall street frauds and insiders commission and sell into.
This is a typical wall street churn and earn pass the hot potato scam / fraud
as in prior crashes.’ ( It should be noted, and there
have been a multitude of other instances, that I’m getting substantial
‘attacks’ vis-à-vis my internet connection which has slowed dramatically these
posts. I don’t think the interference is either accidental nor just
coincidental but consistent with corrupt defacto bankrupt america’s critics of
which I am one and not alone in that regard – slowing, militating against the
devastating truth about america.) Europe
is Heading for a Depression Despite a nearly-$1 trillion rescue operation,
financial conditions in the eurozone continue to deteriorate. All the gauges of
market stress are edging upwards and credit default swaps (CDS) spreads have
widened to levels not seen since the weekend of the emergency
euro-summit. Key
Indicators of a New Depression With the mainstream media focusing on the
country’s leveling unemployment rate, improving retail sales, and nascent
housing recovery, one might think that the US government has successfully
navigated the economy through recession and growth has
returned. Get Ready for a Double Dip … but many warning
flags point towards significant deterioration in the U.S. and global economy
going forward and so I think that by the end of the year or early 2011, we
could very well be facing a new leg down in the world’s economic situation …
[I’d say too optimistic since, to reiterate: This
is a global depression. This is a secular bear market in a global depression.
This was a manipulated bull (s***) cycle in a secular bear market. This has
been a typically manipulated bubble as has preceded the prior crashes with
great regularity that the wall street frauds and insiders commission and sell
into. This is a typical wall street churn and earn pass the hot potato scam /
fraud as in prior crashes.]
european
central banks intervened to shore up the ever more worthless euro, buying into
that fraudulent wall street b*** s*** story that that ‘s a good thing, rallying
stocks off their lows. It is amazing how dumb europe has become so quickly. An
exception is what I believe was Germany’s steps against derivatives, which
market according to a derivatives trader on the radio this day is a $40
trillion market (missed his name). To reiterate as applicable to yet another
fraudulent scheme previously stated, said market is paper on paper moving
around and generating commissions at lightning computerized speed but adding no
real value in real economic terms; again, the analogy of termites eating away
at the (nation’s) foundation is apposite. As such, that money has to come from
some real place and hence, the ever more frequent and larger crashes we are
seeing. Don’t forget that the worthless paper from previous such fraudulent
schemes now marked to anything is still out there in a magnitude some have
placed in the hundreds of trillions.
The
Worst Money Supply Plunge Since The Depression Means A Double Dip Is Now A
‘Virtual Certainty’ The stock of U.S. money as measured by ‘M3′
money supply fell to $13.9 trillion from $14.2 trillion during the three months
ending in April. [ This is still an extraordinarily
high level but … I don’t buy it. I believe the printing presses have been
working overtime to pump out ever more worthless fiat currency and with the
many trillions of worthless fraudulent paper still out there and marked to
anything. I further believe the same is being surreptitiously used to supplant
the fraudulent paper, the consequences of which will be devastating, of course,
as is invariably so in depressions in any event. This scenario would also mean
huge fraud accomplis. ] Fiat
Money Supply Contracting at Great Depression Level The bankster
operative who helped destroy Glass-Steagall is back. Larry Summers, Obama’s top
economic adviser, has told Congress to “grit its teeth” and approve a fresh
fiscal boost of $200 billion to keep growth on track, reports the Daily
Telegraph. Fiat
Money Supply Contracting at Great Depression Level Kurt Nimmo
| The Federal Reserve stopped publishing M3 figures back in 2006.
The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally
prosecuted, jailed, fined and disgorgement imposed. If that were so, they
wouldn’t be worrying about who wins / loses since those who fraudulently play,
invariably would (and should) pay. If they’re not prosecuted, everyone
loses.
POST MORTEM AND REVIEW Ricky:
A post mortem is in order. The elements of this
worldwide con game are remarkably simple, not complex at all. Apparently you
only need a few things to make a mockery of the entire global economic system,
and big banks garnered these few important things through “regulatory capture”:
1) Unregulated, unenforced rules (particularly for
derivatives)
2) license to “mark to model” (assign your own values to your assets)
3) ability to peg present value to irrational expected future returns (based on
unlimited, exponential growth)
4) infinite leverage (no effective requirements for reserve capital in
unregulated “shadow” markets)
5) massive size, so that the bank is "too big to fail"
6) non-transparency and non-accountability.
SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY!
THE FORECASTS:
Harry Dent, Jr.
Economy will be in a Depression by 2011
The worst of this next depression is likely to hit between mid-2010 and
mid-2013, especially around early 2011, but if the banking system continues to
implode a deep downturn or depression could begin sometime in 2009 instead of
2010.
Dow will Fall to 3,800 – 4,500 by 2012
Nasdaq will Fall Below 1,100, its 2002 low, by late 2010 or mid-2012 at the
latest.
Inflation will Increase until mid- 2010 and then turn to Deflation
Interest Rates will Increase
U.S. Dollar will Decline
Housing will Decline by 40 – 60% from Today’s Levels
Greatest Economic and Banking Crisis since the 1930s will Occur Between 2010
and 2012
Russell Napier is the author of the book “Anatomy of the Bear”, a professor at the
Edinburgh Business School and a consultant to CLSA Ltd. which is one of the top
research houses in Asia. Napier’s research indicates (and I paraphrase) that:
The S&P 500 will Decline to 400 by 2014 (the Dow 30 to 3800)
The S&P 500 will then undergo a major crash that will see U.S. equity
prices bottom at almost 50% below current levels (i.e. to 400 or less; the Dow
30 to 3800 or less) sometime around 2014 as Tobin’s “q” drops to 0.3 signaling
the end of the bear market, as it has done at the end of the four largest U.S.
market declines in 1921, 1932, 1949 and 1982.
U.S. Treasury Sales Collapse Leading to End of U.S. Dollar as Reserve Currency
Robert R. Prechter Jr. is author of a number of newsletters and books including
“Elliott Wave Principle” (1978) in which he predicted the super bull market of
the 1980s; “At the Crest of the Tidal Wave – A Forecast of the Great Bear
Market” (1995) in which he predicted a slow motion economic earthquake, brought
about by a great asset mania, that would register 11 on the financial Richter
scale causing a collapse of historic proportions; and “Conquer the Crash: You
can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression” (2002) in which he
described the economic cataclysm that we are just beginning to experience and
advised how to position one’s self financially during that period of time.
Depression is Imminent
The Dow Jones Industrial Average will go down to at least 1000, most likely to
below 777 which was the starting point of its mania back in August 1982, and
quite likely drop below 400 at one or more times during the bear market.
According to the Debt Clock:
• Total national debt: $13 trillion
• Debt per citizen: $42,026
• Debt per taxpayer: $117,982
• Total interest due: $1.9 trillion
• Interest per citizen: $2,211
Click here to see the Debt Clock, which is updated every
second.
• Total personal debt: $16.5 trillion
• Total mortgage debt: $14.1 trillion
• Total consumer debt: $2.45 trillion
• Personal debt per citizen: $53,483
• Debt held by foreign countries: $4.07
trillion
Go to following pages for
above links:
http://www.albertpeia.com/currentopics2ndqtr10108.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com
http://www.albertpeia.com/alresume.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com/wallstreetlunacy2ndqtr10108.htm
NATION NEWS DIGEST: J.P. Morgan Chase
posts $4.8 billion profit (Washington Post) Yet another ‘Come on’ day on fraudulent wall street! This
time it’s the unexpected jump in continuing claims for unemployment, yesterday
the downward revision to previous market-frothing retail sales report and poor
retail sales and plunge in mortgage applications and then there’s the fed
minutes pointing to extended bad economy. Then there’s also now the ‘goldfinger
factor’ as in goldman’s middle finger. When you defraud for many billions, paying $550 million is
chump change. Goldman shares rocketed 5.5% in after-hours trading. No wonder
Goldman called it "the right outcome for our firm shareholders and
clients." (Absent
prosecutions, they’ll continue to do what comes natural to frauds on wall
street). Great opportunity to sell / take profits since much worse, also called
reality beyond the b*** s***, to come. Then there’s also the bad but typical
news; viz., previous retail sales, mortgage apps, economic outlook down, and
continuing claims for unemployment, deficits, trade / budget, up. (Just in:
7-16-10 Poll – only 43% of Americans approve of the Afganistan War, down from 52%
in January, 2010)
Pearlstein: Can
regulation beget innovation? (Washington Post) I believe the more seminal question to be,
whether american companies, consistent with overall american decline and
corruption in so pervasive a fashion, are capable of or inclined toward real
innovation where enhancements to productivity, as well as greater profits, is
the consequence as desired. Certainly there has been ‘innovation’ by the wall
street frauds in the types of (ultimately worthless / fraudulent) paper and
high frequency trade programs enhancing their bottom-lines but little else;
and, those cutting edge ‘weapons of mass destruction’ produced or financed
(israel) by america are hardly productive in the economic sense but innovative
and profitable in the short run, and unwise and nation-bankrupting in the
longer run which we’re in right now!
Mideast DIGEST (Washington
Post, July 19, 2010) netanayahu
admits on video he deceived US to destroy Oslo accord The contents of a
secretly recorded video threaten to gravely embarrass not only Benjamin
netanayahu, the Israeli prime minister but also the US administration of Barack
Obama.
‘The Obama Deception’
Censored A viral You Tube upload of
one of Alex Jones’ most popular feature films ‘The Obama Deception’ has been
censored following a spur of the moment campaign to elevate the movie’s title
to the top of the major internet search engines. In light of
this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be complete
(but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if
incomplete) http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv
(Previously) I’d say this
alito vs. wobama is a tempest in a teapot inasmuch as alito is more than just a
lightweight, hack, liar, fraud etc., as set forth in the comments. alito is a
criminal who should have served / should be serving time in prison for
obstruction of justice, bribery, among other RICO violations. To alito, drug
money is as green as corporate money and worth his vote as well. In addition to
being an inept [I looked in on the one mob case he had brought, bungled, lost
(accidently on purpose?) since I was suing some mob-connected under RICO and
the court (I had known / previously met outside of court the judge Ackerman
through a client) was absolute bedlam and a total joke since incompetent
corrupt alito brought in all 20 mob defendants (rather than prosecute one or a
few to flip them first) who feigning illness had beds/cots in the courtroom
along with their moans during testimony and had the jury in stitches)] and
corrupt (see below and particularly the summary provided to the FBI under
penalty of perjury [
http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf
http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm
] ) u.s. attorney.
You’re naïve to think
that the so-called supreme court is any different from the rest of the
meaningfully lawless and pervasively corrupt american ‘system’. I knew well an
accomplished trial lawyer, fellow american college of trial lawyers / and a bar
examiner, who pondered from time to time becoming a judge “so he’d never have
to work again” – his words.
Some comments on
alito…all appropriate:
Probably the worst appointment in one
hundred years.
Posted by: mnjam
-----------------------
Really? That's a pretty sweeping
statement to make about someone who's only been on the court a short few years.
And I thought that liberals were in
universal agreement that Clarence Thomas was the worst appointment in all of
history?
Posted by: blert | January 28, 2010 2:11
AM | Report abuse
----------------------------
Yes. Really. Alito is a total lightweight and hack. He makes Thomas look like
John Marshall or Oliver Wendell Holmes. I KNOW ALITO.
Posted by: mnjam | January 28, 2010 2:24 AM |
the loser here is alito.lost his composure not good for a judge especially
afederal or supreme justice .loser big time this will live with guy for a very
time.roberts and the other justices will have a talk with him that is a
given.this relly larger than o one day news cycle.
Posted by: donaldtucker | January 28, 2010 1:12 AM |
Should Alito resign or be impeached?
Posted by: jdmca | January 28, 2010 1:05 AM |
I
include the first two comments to the foregoing headline:
Billo Says:
June 11th, 2010 at 6:15
am
Lunacy? Keep in mind
that this country is run and controlled by lunatics. Our press government and
military seem to take their orders from Israel. Isarel wants to be known as a
pack of “mad dogs. Do we want “mad dogs” controlling us?
Here we see a bunch of phony accusations against Iran just
like we did in the run up to the bogus wars in Iraq, Afghanistan and now Pakistan.
The boy has cried wold ten thousand times. It’s time to identify the “lunatics”
and kindly take away the car keys. If you won’t let your friends drive drunk,
why do we let a bunch of “lunatic” enemies run this place.
Glen Reply:
June 11th, 2010 at 6:47
am
Lunacy it would be.
But it is also to their
great credit that the Iranians have not made their own threats.
Everyone knows there are
3 WMD threats, Nuclear Biological and chemical. The scariest of which is
Biological.
Any attack done under
the threat of immediate biological retaliation would deter only the insane.
Watch out america home
of the insane, home of the leaders who want an 80% population reduction.
The yardarm is the
remedy Dozens of our friends and comrades, of wonderful compassionate
activists are dead and wounded in the pirate attack in the high seas on
humanitarian aid boats. This is a dreadful crime that will forever be
remembered and should be punished. The Israeli pirates attacked the
humanitarian aid Freedom Flotilla in the international waters over 150 km out
of their territorial waters. The boats carried no arms; the participants
strictly adhered to Ghandian mode by asking the Greek and Cyprus authorities to
search the boats to avoid later claims that they were armed.
A
Plague Upon The World: The USA is a “Failed State” Dr. Paul
Craig Roberts | The American people are lost in la-la land. They have
no idea that their civil liberties have been forfeited. US
citizen killed on flotilla reportedly shot four times in head Raw
Story | A forensic report said Furkan Dogan was shot at close range,
with four bullets in his head and one in his chest, according to the Anatolian
news agency. The explanation foisted off on the americans by war criminal
israelis is probably something on the order of ‘they just wanted to make sure
they missed him’. Roberts:
‘AIPAC purchases US elections’ Russia Today | Paul
Craig Roberts says that there will be nothing that is going to be done by the
United States to change the relationship with Israel.
‘US
funding terrorist group against Iran’ Press TV | A
member of a terrorist organization operating in Iran says that a US State
department radio station originally put him in touch with the group.
Paul
Craig Roberts: Government Abandoned Vietnam POWs Kurt Nimmo
| John McCain worked overtime to make sure Vietnam POWs never came home. I
think the even bigger story vis-à-vis mccain is: http://www.albertpeia.com/heroenot.htm
‘Did you know that that so-called "american heroe" john mccain was
referred to by his fellow pows in Vietnam as something akin to the
"songbird" inasmuch as he was constantly "singing" to his
Viet-Cong captors to curry favor and better treatment? This has been documented
with authority by Colonel David Hackworth. The same violates military
code/protocol (other soldiers have been court-martialed for far less) click Here, Here. [ http://www.albertpeia.com/hackworth.htm
] But, you see, this covered up scenario, compromizing the false facade
of far less than a heroe, is exactly what a criminal (lie of a) nation as
america loves and encourages (get everyone's hands dirty so no-one dares to
rectify same, ie., bush, sr., clinton, bush, jr.). That is, "toe the
(corrupt, propagandized) line", become a criminal, or be exposed,
prosecuted, and/or ruined; and, hasn't anyone asked how "wall street"
has been "spared the spotlight" (and even was accorded protective
legislation from their criminal culpability) and focus of inquiry, attention,
and prosecution despite being the primary beneficiaries financial and otherwise
of these scams (you know the wall street motto, "churn and earn";
huge conflicts of interest if not outright fraud)…’
Coalition wants UK space lift-off [ Don’t make me laugh! ]
Israel’s
Nukes Out of the Shadows Israel faces unprecedented pressure to
abandon its official policy of “ambiguity” on its possession of nuclear weapons
as the international community meets at the United Nations in New York this
week to consider banning such arsenals from the Middle East.
NASA wants mission to bring Martian rocks to Earth (AP) Why?
They already have that and more:
Launch
of secret US space ship masks even more secret launch of new weapon
http://www.albertpeia.com/UFOetryWeNeverWentToTheMoonPNTV.wmv
[To the
Professor at the beginning of the course]
10-5-09
Postscript: Professor *****,
I felt compelled to thank you again for the add; not to curry your favor but
indeed to express profound thanks inasmuch as this is probably the last formal
course at a formal educational institution I'll ever take; and among the most
important. While I had bought at discount a library-discarded 1993 Anthropology
by Embers text, though meaning to read same never quite got to it. I am
astounded by the substantial amount of time involved in the evolutionary
process, not that I ever stopped to think about it, and one must come away with
the sense of 'and all that...for this?'. This course should be required
curriculum along with psychology, sociology, etc., but probably won't be owing
to what is, as it should be, a very humbling educational experience for any
member of the human race.
Regards,
Al Peia
Go to following
pages for above links:
http://www.albertpeia.com/currentopics2ndqtr10108.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com
http://www.albertpeia.com/alresume.htm
http://www.albertpeia.com/wallstreetlunacy2ndqtr10108.htm
You may post a comment on my blog on any topic: http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com
Drudgereport:
KRUGMAN:
'We are now, I fear, in the early stages of a third depression'...
STOCKS HIT LOWEST OF YEAR...
DEBT
SOARS TO HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE WWII...
PRIVATE SECTOR SEES WEAKER JUNE JOBS...
Sputtering...
Dow Loses 10% in Q2...
Fed
Officials Express Caution on Outlook, Avoid Talk of Further Stimulus...
NEW CLASHES IN ATHENS...
Greeks
Walk Off Job...
NEARLY
2,000 PAGES: The legislation would redraw how money flows through economy...
Bank stocks soar … see new old opportunities for new old
frauds ...
buzz
aldrin wants to colonize Mars … Riiiiight buzzed! Better check with Dipalma to
see if he already has the footage in the can since you won’t be able to use the
moon footage for the new boondoggle video ...
WSJNBCNEWS:
Confidence Waning in Obama, U.S. Outlook...
SCARY
OBAMA: 'VERY DIFFICULT CHOICES AHEAD' ON DEFICITS
CHICAGOLAND BOMBSHELL: Obama knew plot to trade Cabinet post
for appointing Jarrett to Senate -- Testimony...
RAHM DELIVERED THE LIST...
BLAGO TAPE: Get Obama to fundraise from Buffett, Gates...
Greece puts its islands up for sale in futile attempt to save
economy...
DEUTSCHE BANK says US financial conditions are worse...
New
home sales plunge 33%...
Record
low...
CIA:
AFGHAN PROGRESS 'SLOWER' THAN ANTICIPATED… Daaaaah! ...
GEN.
PRAYFORUS
JUNE:
DEADLIEST MONTH...
Obama's
choice suggests longer troop presence...
Obama doubles down
on war...
New General,
Old Strategy...
President's real problem: War plan in trouble...
WIRES:
Gen.'s remarks echo troubled strategy...
'Doubt
among soldiers that counterinsurgency will work'...
REPORT: Traded Favors with Blago...
Sticker
Shock Among Dems Jeopardizing Obama's Agenda...
CHINA
TO OVERTAKE USA IN MANUFACTURING...
Canada's
economy suddenly the envy of world...
Germany
Rejects Obama's Call on Growth, Stoking G-20 Conflict...
States Take
Aim at Pension Costs...
...Bank
failure pace more than double last year
REPORT:
Madoff tells cellmates of $9 billion stash... they all have them … Cases
against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud
FANNIE
AND FREDDIE tab 146B and rising; Foreclosed on home every 90 seconds...
THOMAS
SOWELL: Is USA Now On Slippery Slope To Tyranny?
DEBT RISE TO
$19,600,000,000,000.00 BY 2015
GALLUP: NEW LOW FOR O, SLIPS TO 44%...
POLL:
Voter support for Congress at all-time low...
GALLUP:
Obama's Weekly Job Approval Rating Skid...
RASMUSSEN
POLL...
Obama
Approval Falls to New Low: 42%
Obama
Approval Index: -20
Strongly
Approve 24%
Strongly
Disapprove 44%
Total
Approval 42%
UN rebukes of
Israel permitted in US policy shift...
DEBT
POISED TO OVERTAKE GDP
WH
PRESS QUEEN: JEWS GET OUT OF ISRAEL, GO BACK TO POLAND … UPON REFLECTION, A
GOOD IDEA … AFTER ALL, THE ENGLISH BALFOUR DECLARATION WAS A PRO-COMMUNIST
CONCESSION, A BAD IDEA, AND THE CREATION OF ISRAEL U.S. DOD CHIEF JAMES
FORRESTAL OPPOSED IN 1948 AS AN AMERICA KILLER!
'Three
Cheers for Helen Thomas'...
Census
Worker Claims Job Numbers Being Inflated...
Bilderberg
2010: Between the sword and the wall...
Protesters
'being detained, searched, questioned'...
Final
List of Participants...
Stephen Hawking: Aliens exist but don't talk to them --
it's too dangerous … might not like us… Oh pshaw! … Human nature, man’s
inhumanity to man? … Such humble beginnings and evolutionary history …
What’s not to like? … Besides, not to worry. With their advanced
technologies that defy human understanding, the aliens already know you’re here
… to stay. So, not to worry. After all, as we know from that documentary of
that same name, ‘Earth Girls Are Easy’ … and then there’s photosynthesis on
earth in a very big way also going for it! ...
Seeing
Aliens Will Likely Take Centuries. Centuries? Not goin’ to happen; at best,
decades.