Submitted by williambanzai7 on 08/16/2013 16:33
Alert Zero Hedge readers will recall that
about this time last year a new species of monkey was discovered:
CORRUPTOBERNANPITHICUS POMOMIENSUS.
Known by locals in remote parts of Keynesia
as kleptula, the monkey apparently drinks ink, eats savings accounts and shits
greenbacks.The species had been discovered just as it was being
threatened with being hunted and eaten into
extinction by hungry banksters.
This week, scientists announced a startling
new new discovery, a new heretofraud undiscovered species of Keynesian
kleptovore...
Although Oyellinquito is a member of the PhD
racoon lodge, scientists believe Oyellinquito has similar eating, drinking and
shitting habits as the Kleptula.
But even more startling, scientists
now believe that Oyellinquito may be a kind of missing fiat link to an
even bigger and better known creature.
One that has the same eating, drinking and
shitting habits as the other two, only much much much much much much bigger....
BaRRaCK THe RoDeO CLoWN... Posted by : williambanzai7 Post date: 08/12/2013 - That's right, we said Rodeo Clown!!!
Submitted by williambanzai7 on 08/12/2013 14:18 -0400
Obozo's a rodeo clown
He sports an insidious frown
His arrogant charm
Protects him from harm
While his lies bring a whole nation down
The Limerick King
Biting Our Tongues Doesn’t
Keep Us Safe … It Only INCREASES Danger In the Long Run Posted by : George
Washington
Post date: 08/19/2013 - First They
Came …
Move Over Obama Posted by: Pivotfarm Post date: 08/19/2013 - The daily presidential-tracking poll shows that on
Sunday August 18th 51% of US citizens disapprove of what President Obama is
doing in the country.
FRaNKeNDoDD CaBaReT... Posted by: williambanzai7 Post date: 08/19/2013 - Life is is a f*cking cabaret my friends...
Submitted by williambanzai7 on 08/19/2013
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/19/2013 - 17:22
Over
the weekend we
posted an in-depth narrative of what may happen in a theoretical
worst case scenario in Fukushima, one in which the government continues
to do nothing and pretends all is well, and where the end
casualties are millions of innocent Japanese (and other) citizens, whose only
crime is believing their government. Sadly, with every passing day the
theoretical is becoming all too real, and moments ago reality struck again,
when the Nikkei newspaper reported that readings of tritium in seawater taken
from the bay near the crippled Fukushima nuclear plant has shown 4700
becquerels per liter. This was the highest tritium level in the measurement
history. It gets better: Earlier, Tepco admitted that an estimated 20
to 40 trillion becquerels of tritium may have flowed into the Pacific Ocean
since the nuclear disaster.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/19/2013 - 18:50
On July 30, when FERC
announced that it had agreed to resolve it allegations of JPMorgan
manipulation of the energy market for a $410 million fine, with the bank
neither admitting nor denying guilt, we
posited that the only question on Jamie Dimon's mind was whether to pay the
fine from petty cash or just to charge it on his corporate Amex. Three weeks
later he may have some other questions swirling in his head, such as "whose
Christmas lobbying stocking did I not fill with campaign donations?"
after the WSJ reported that it is no longer FERC, but the DOJ itself, led by
Preet Bharara, which is investigating whether JPM manipulated energy markets.
Ironically, this is a deja vu of the SAC take down by the same Bharara, when a
few months after SAC settled with the SEC it was shocked to be crushed by the
Department of Justice which pulled an "Arthur Anderson" on it and for
all intents and purposes shut it down (although with nobody sent to prison). It
remains to be seen if Bharara will have the balls to take this prosecution to the
next level and whether after he made SAC into Arthur Anderson, he will make
JPMorgan into the New Normal's Enron and whether Jamie Dimon or Blythe Masters
will be the next Lay and/or Skilling. One can hope.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/19/2013 - 18:25
With
Greek haircuts likely (or Cyprus-style bail-ins), Merkel elections (and the
potential for less positive coalitions and post-election 'sternness'), and the
possibility for the German court to curtail plans for OMT; there is plenty
to remove the 'magic' that is supporting Europe's market 'recovery'.
However one topic not often discussed is the ongoing surge in people seeking
refuge in EU countries from North Africa and the Middle East.
Countries such as Greece or Italy that make up the European Union's southern
border have long struggled to deal with flows of refugees from across the
Mediterranean. The issue, as
Stratfor notes, has been magnified by high unemployment rates in
destination countries, where social security systems are strained and
anti-immigrant sentiment is high. However, the combination of continued
northern flows of European migrants, the increase in asylum applications and
the spread of the European economic crisis appears primed to weaken
some of the achievements Europe has seen in integration.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/19/2013 - 17:55
So let's pretend for the moment that
the Federal Reserve gets everything it has stated it wants. And even
further: that Washington, D.C. gets everything it wants, too. The
credit markets are repaired, and massive new loan growth flows out the
door. Loans are made to businesses that hire gobs of new people.
Consumers borrow and borrow some more to go to school and buy homes, cars, and
gadgets. Inflation remains low and job growth explodes. Tax receipts
climb and the deficit falls. The stock market goes higher and higher,
gold falls and then falls some more, as confidence in the system, its masters,
and its institutions grows. The Fed wins and D.C. wins. But in
reality, we all lose. It's all just a matter of timing (and un-sustainability).
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/19/2013 - 16:38
BlackRock's fixed income CIO Rick Rieder is
worried about the impact that higher rates will have on the stock market. In
this brief interview with Bloomberg TV's Tom Keene, Rieder explains that while
equities look 'cheap' given where rates are, this is a mis-pricing and warns
(as we have repeatedly) that "people don't spend any time looking
at cash-flow
discounted by cost of financing, which is really where we think equity should
be valued." In that case (as we
have noted), a surge in financing costs will weigh heavily on stocks. While
he is concerned about investors' general lack of awareness of the risk in bond
funds - "the volatility in fixed income could actually be higher than the
equity market," he fears the impact of higher rates on mortgages and other
credit vehicles on the recovery. However, as Rieder notes they have been saying
for a long time, "QE’s too big. You’ve got to taper down QE. It's
created this tremendous distortion in interest rates," as he sees
fair-value for the 10Y around 3.25%.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/19/2013 - 16:06
Treasury
bond yields have risen for 5 of the last 6 days (with the 7Y yield up
35bps in that period) adding 5bps today but since the latest cluster
of Hindenburg Omens began to appear, the S&P 500 has fallen for 9 or the
last 11 days (-3.6% from the 08/02 highs) and closed below its 50DMA today (on
light volume). Today saw 430 new lows (the second highest since Oct
2011) and only 15 new highs. The S&P joined the Dow and the
Trannies in the red for the period post-FOMC (June); and only Healthcare,
Discretionary, and Industrials remain green from that 6/19 event. The USD
ended the day practically unchanged but FX markets were very volatile
(AUD and JPY all over the place in the majors and INR in the locals).
Commodities in general slid lower by around 0.7% or so in a relativley highly
correlated way with stocks. Credit markets continue to underperform,
leading stocks lower. VIX was banged back above 15% to its highest
close in 7 weeks. Today was the 4th negative close in a row for the S&P
- the first time this year.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/19/2013 - 16:02
SEC SAYS FALCONE CONSENTS TO BAN FROM
ASSOCIATION WITH ANY BROKER, DEALER, INVESTMENT ADVISER, OTHER ENTITIES, WITH
RIGHT TO REAPPLY AFTER FIVE YEARS
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/19/2013 - 15:35
The
equity rally that began in 2009 has pushed valuations higher, but has received
little support from earnings. Indeed, as Morgan Stanley notes, since
June 2012 the equity market rally was entirely driven by valuation and not
earnings. While there have been cases when better economic conditions
pushed up earnings, providing equity market support, there have also been
occasions when valuation driven equity market rallies translated into weakness,
as witnessed in October 1987. The equity market rally which began in
1986 and peaked in the summer of 1987 falls into this category.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/19/2013 - 15:33
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/19/2013 - 14:56
In case
Ben Affleck was looking for his next Oscar-winning CIA-o-mentary, the Central
Intelligence Agency (which alas in a time of NSA permasnooping has become a bit
of an anachronism) may have just provided the script, with the first official
admission that the flipflops on the ground orchestrated at least one Iranian
coup and is ostesnibly behind all other global coups (and non-coups coughegyptcough)
in the past 50 years, but until they are confirmed they will remain merely
"conspiracy theories."
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/19/2013 - 14:26
As is
well-known by now, one of the main reasons why the Fed's hands are tied when it
comes to the future of QE, is the dramatic drop in the US budget deficit which
cuts down on the amount
of monetizable gross issuance (read Treasurys) and for which a big reason
is that the GSEs have shifted from net uses of government cash to net sources.
So in what may be the best news for Bernanke, and/or his successor, we learn
that according to a report written by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)
inspector general and reviewed by Reuters, "Fannie Mae and Freddie
Mac are masking billions of dollars losses because of the level of delinquent
home loans they carry."
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/19/2013 - 14:10
Presented
with little comment (over
our earlier detail) but just to note that around the world there are
significant events occurring (even as the US equity market slumbers). So
much for the gold coin ban - gold now trades at 4 month highs in Rupee terms.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/19/2013 - 13:49
In East Africa, the major water resource is
the Nile river, the world’s longest, at 4,130 miles, referred to by Egypt since
antiquity as the country’s heart. Instability, poor governance, lack of
finances and the availability of other water sources left the issue largely
dormant until the 1990s, when Nilotic governments seriously started to consider
using their Nile Basin waters to generate energy and irrigate crops. But
now, most African countries (expecting growth), where only about 25% of the
population is connected to electricity grids, are seeking any and all electric
power sources; guaranteeing an ongoing and increasingly fractious source of
tension for Nilotic states. With the current political turmoil roiling Egypt,
Cairo’s ability to influence upstream states is currently constrained, which
until the dust settles may well provide Egypt with a number of aquatic fait
accomplits. If Kampala and Addis Ababa press forward with their
(Chinese-sponsored) hydroelectric projects in the interim, then they will
probably eventually face some “frank and candid” diplomatic discussions with
Egypt, which, after all, has a 4,000 year old history of Nile concerns.
Not a happy scenario.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/19/2013 - 13:19
Earlier
today we
learned that while some executives at Forever 21 were previously confused
by Obamacare, subsequently they appear to have rectified their confusion... and
full-time staffing levels. Of course, there would have been no confusion had
Forever 21 known what it was getting with Obamacare. So for the benefit of all
their executives, and for all others who may still be confused by America's new
healthcare system, here, once again, is the chart that should explain
everything.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/19/2013 - 12:46
For the
5th day in the last 6, US Treasuries are selling off notably. While equity
volumes remain lack-luster and liquidity still thin in bonds, the weakness is
most pronounced in the 7Y belly (even though selling is across the board). 10Y
rates tagged 2.89% and 30Y 3.90% all pushing back to the pre-US-downgrade
(debt-ceiling) levels of summer 2011. The 10Y yield has just joined the
30Y trading wider than they did when stocks hit their lows in March 2009.
The
next great economic crisis is rapidly approaching, and most people are going to
be totally blindsided by it. Even though the warning signs are glaringly
obvious, most Americans continue to believe that our
"leaders" know what they are doing and that everything will be just
fine. But what will happen when the next great financial crash happens
and trillions of dollars of "paper wealth" disappear into thin
air? What will happen when the coming credit crunch causes economic
activity to dramatically slow down and millions upon millions of people lose
their jobs? This shouldn't sound far-fetched to you. Remember, this
is exactly the kind of thing that we saw back in 2008, and the next great
financial crisis is likely going to be significantly worse. Our economy is
in far worse shape than it was back in 2008, and government
dependence is
now at an all-time high even though most Americans are still
enjoying debt-fueled false prosperity. We are living in the largest debt
bubble in the history of the planet, and when it bursts we are going to
experience a crippling "adjustment" to our standard of loving.
Some people understand this and are busy preparing for what is ahead. It
has been estimated that there are approximately 3 million "preppers" in the
United States, and that number is growing all the time. Unfortunately,
most Americans are not preparing for the coming economic depression and they
are going to bitterly regret it. (Read
More....) So what does
preparing for the coming economic depression look like?
Well,
it doesn't have to be complicated. Most of the things that you should do
are just common sense.
But
there are some people that take things to extremes. For example, a new
National Geographic series is featuring a family that is actually constructing
a "Doomsday Castle". The
former U.S. Army officer that is building this unusual home is
trying to prepare for virtually every type of disaster that he can imagine...
Meet Brent Sr., the leader of the six-person
family. Brent is a former Army
Infantry Training Officer who is heading up the project to build an
“EMP (electromagnetic pulse)-proof medieval castle in the woods of the
Carolinas.”
According to National Geographic, Brent is
teaching five of his 10 children survival skills.
The unfinished, fortified castle
that Brent Sr. is building — an idea he got during the Y2K prep craze —
will be able to sustain an EMP-event that could wipe out a power grid, but
will also survive natural disasters like hurricanes.
He even plans to train his family members to
use crossbows and a catapult to defend against potential home invaders.
Not many people out there are going to take
"prepping" to such extremes.
But even if you don't plan to build a
"Doomsday Castle", that doesn't mean that you should be doing
nothing.
Sadly, most Americans are quite ill-prepared
for a major economic downturn at this point. In fact, most Americans seem
to be doing almost nothing to prepare.
Just consider the following
statistics. Most of these numbers come from one of my previous articles...
-According to a survey that was recently
released, 76 percent of all Americans are living
paycheck to paycheck.
-46 percent of all Americans have less than $800 in
savings.
-27 percent of all Americans do not have
even a single penny saved up.
-Less than one out of every four Americans
has enough money stored away to cover six months of
expenses.
-Each year, 12 million Americans take out
high interest payday loans.
-In 1989, the debt to income ratio of the
average American family was about 58 percent. Today it is up to 154 percent.
-It is estimated that less than 10 percent of the
U.S. population owns any gold or silver for investment purposes.
-44 percent of all Americans do not have
first-aid kits in their homes.
-48 percent of all Americans do not have
any emergency supplies stored up.
-53 percent of all Americans do not have
a 3 day supply of nonperishable food and water in their homes.
-One survey asked Americans how long they thought they would
survive if the electrical grid went down for an extended period of time.
Incredibly, 21 percent said that they would survive
for less than a week, an additional 28 percent said that they would survive
for less than two weeks, and nearly 75 percent said that they would be dead
before the two month mark.
Those numbers are absolutely appalling.
When the system fails, most people are going
to be completely blindsided by it and millions upon millions of people are
going to absolutely freak out.
Don't let that happen to you.
So what are some basic things that you can
do to get prepared for the great economic storm that is coming?
The following are a few of the things that Nicole Foss suggests...
1) Hold no debt (for most people this means
renting)
2) Hold cash and cash equivalents (short
term treasuries) under your own control
3) Don’t trust the banking system, deposit
insurance or no deposit insurance
4) Sell equities, real estate, most bonds,
commodities, collectibles (or short if you can afford to gamble)
5) Gain some control over the necessities of
your own existence if you can afford it
6) Be prepared to work with others as that
will give you far greater scope for resilience and security
7) If you have done all that and still have
spare resources, consider precious metals as an insurance policy
8) Be worth more to your employer than he is
paying you
9) Look after your health!
I think all of those are great pieces of
advice.
In addition, below I have posted some of the
things that I personally recommend. The following is an excerpt from one
of my previous articles entitled "25
Things That You Should Do To Get Prepared For The Coming Economic Collapse"...
#1 An Emergency Fund
Do you remember what happened when the
financial system almost collapsed back in 2008? Millions of Americans
suddenly lost their jobs, and because many of them were living paycheck to
paycheck, many of them also got behind on their mortgages and lost their
homes. You don't want to lose everything that you have worked for during
this next major economic downturn. It is imperative that you have an
emergency fund. It should be enough to cover all of your expenses for at
least six months, but I would encourage you to have an emergency fund that is
even larger than that.
#2 Don't Put All Of Your Eggs Into One
Basket
If the wealth confiscation in
Cyprus has taught us anything, it is that we should not put all of our eggs
in one basket. If all of your money is in one single bank account, it
would be easy to wipe out. But if you have your money scattered around a
number of different places it will give you a little bit more security.
#3 Keep Some Cash At Home
This goes along with the previous
point. While it is not wise to keep all of your money at home, you do
want to keep some cash on hand. If there is an extended bank holiday or
if a giant burst from the sun causes the ATM
machines to go down, you want to be able to have enough cash to buy the things
that your family needs. Just ask the people of Cyprus how crippling a bank
holiday can be. One way to keep your cash secure at home is by storing it
in a concealed safe.
#4 Get Out Of Debt
A lot of people seem to assume that an
economic collapse would wipe out all debts, but that will probably not be the
case. In fact, if you are in a tremendous amount of debt you will be very
vulnerable if the economy collapses and you are not able to find a job.
Just ask the people who were overextended and lost their jobs during the last
recession. So please get out of debt. Many debt collectors are
becoming increasingly ruthless. In many areas of the country they are now
routinely putting debtors into prison. You do not want to
be a slave to debt when the next wave of the economic
collapse strikes.
#5 Gold And Silver
In the long-term, the U.S. dollar is going
to lose a tremendous amount of value and inflation is going to absolutely
skyrocket. That is one reason why so many people are investing very
heavily in gold, silver and other precious metals. All over the globe,
the central banks of the world are recklessly printing money. Everyone
knows that this is going to end very badly. In fact, there is already a
push in more than a dozen
U.S. states to allow gold and silver coins to be used as legal
tender. Someday you will be glad that you invested in gold and silver now
while their prices were still low.
#6 Reduce Your Expenses
A lot of people claim that they can't put
any money toward prepping, but the truth is that we all have room to reduce our
expenses. We all spend money on things that we do not really need.
Those that are "lean and mean" will tend to do much better during the
times that are coming.
#7 Start A Side Business
If you do not have much money, a great way
to increase your income is by starting a side business. And it does not
take a lot of money - there are many side businesses that you can start for
next to nothing. And starting a side business will allow you to become
less dependent on your job. In this economic environment, a job could
disappear at literally any time.
#8 Move Away From The Big Cities If Possible
For many people, this is simply not
possible. Many Americans are still completely and totally dependent on
their jobs. But if you are able, now is a good time to move away from the
big cities. When the next major economic downturn strikes, there will be
rioting and a dramatic rise in crime in the major cities. If you are able
to move to a more rural area you will probably be in much better shape.
#9 Store Food
Global food reserves have reached their
lowest level in nearly 40 years. As the
economy gets even worse and global weather patterns become even more unstable,
the price of food will go much higher and global food supplies will become much
tighter. In the long run, you will be glad for the money that you put
into long-term food storage now.
#10 Learn To Grow Your Own Food
This is a skill that most Americans
possessed in the past, but that most Americans today have forgotten.
Growing your own food is a way to become more independent of the system, and it
is a way to get prepared for what is ahead.
#11 Nobody Can Survive Without Water
Without water, you would not even make it a
few days in an emergency situation. It is imperative that you have a plan
to provide clean drinking water for your family when disaster strikes.
#12 Have A Plan For When The Grid Goes Down
What would you do if the grid went down and
you suddenly did not have power for an extended period of time? Anyone
that has spent more than a few hours without power knows how frustrating this
can be. You need to have a plan for how you are going to provide power to
your home that is independent of the power company.
#13 Have Blankets And Warm Clothing On Hand
This is more for emergency situations or for
a complete meltdown of society. During any major crisis, blankets and
warm clothing are in great demand. They also could potentially make great
barter items.
#14 Store Personal Hygiene Supplies
A lot of preppers store up huge amounts of
food, but they forget all about personal hygiene supplies. During a long
crisis, these are items that you would greatly miss if you do not have them
stored up. These types of supplies would also be great for barter.
#15 Store Medicine And Medical Supplies
You will also want to store up medical
supplies and any medicine that you may need. In an emergency situation,
you definitely would not want to be without bandages and a first-aid kit.
Over the course of a long crisis, you do not want to run out of any medicines
that are critical for your health.
#16 Stock Up On Vitamins
A lot of preppers do not think about this
either, but it is very important. These days, it is becoming increasingly
difficult to get adequate nutrition from the foods that we eat. That is
why it is very important to have an adequate store of vitamins and other
supplements.
#17 Make A List Of Other Supplies That You
Will Need
During any crisis, there will be a lot of
other things that you will need in addition to food and water. The
following are just a few basic things that it would be wise to have on hand...
- an axe
- a can opener
- flashlights
- battery-powered radio
- extra batteries
- lighters or matches
- fire extinguisher
- sewing kit
- tools
This list could be much, much longer, but
hopefully this will get you started.
#18 Don't Forget The Special Needs Of Your
Babies And Your Pets
Young children and pets have special
needs. As you store supplies, don't forget about the things that they
will need as well.
#19 Entertainment
This may sound trivial, but the truth is
that our entertainment-addicted society would become very bored and very
frustrated if the grid suddenly went down for an extended period of time.
Card games and other basic forms of entertainment can make enduring a crisis
much easier.
#20 Self-Defense
In the years ahead, being able to defend
your home and your family is going to become increasingly important. When
the economy crashes, people are going to start to become very desperate.
And desperate people do desperate things.
#21 Get Your Ammunition While You Still Can
Your firearms will not do you much good if
you do not have ammunition for them. Already there are widespread reports
of huge ammunition shortages. The following is from a recent CNS News article...
"The run on ammunition has
manufacturers scrambling to accommodate demand and reassure customers, as many
new and seasoned gun owners stock up over fears of new firearms regulations at
both the state and federal levels."
Don't just assume that you will always be
able to purchase large amounts of ammunition whenever you want. Get it
now while you still can.
#22 If You Have To Go...
Have a plan for what you and your family
will do if you are forced to leave your home. If you do have to go, the
following are some items that you will want to have on hand...
- a map of the area
- a compass
- backpacks for every member of the family
- sleeping bags
- warm clothing
- comfortable shoes or hiking boots
#23 Community
One of the most important assets in any
crisis situation is community. If you have friends or neighbors that you
can depend upon, that is invaluable. The time spent building those bonds
now will pay off greatly during a major crisis.
#24 Have A Back-Up Plan And Be Flexible
Mike Tyson once said the following...
"Everyone has a plan until they get
punched in the mouth."
No plan ever unfolds perfectly. When
your plan is disrupted, what will you do?
It will be imperative for all of us to have
a back-up plan and to be flexible during the years ahead.
#25 Keep Your Prepping To Yourself
Do not go around and tell everyone in the
area where you live about your prepping. If you do, then you may find
yourself overwhelmed with "visitors" when everything falls apart.
And please do not go on television and brag
about your prepping to a national audience.
Prepping is something that you want to keep
to yourself, unless you want hordes of desperate people banging on your door in
the future.
*****
For much more on prepping, I would encourage
you to check out the dozens of excellent
websites out there that teach people advanced prepping techniques for free.
So what do you think about all of this?
Are you getting prepared for the coming
economic depression?
Please feel free to share your perspective
on prepping by posting a comment below...
Be Sociable, Share!
Instead
of making sure that U.S. employers are not hiring illegal immigrants, the Obama
administration has actually signed a secret deal with Mexico to protect “the
rights” of illegal immigrants in the workplace. According to this
“memorandum of understanding”, the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission will
spend U.S. taxpayer dollars to educate illegal immigrants about their civil
rights, workplace safety, and minimum wage laws. This is yet another
example of how the Obama administration is openly flouting the law and doing
all that it can to promote even more illegal immigration. We
are rapidly becoming a lawless nation that has absolutely no regard for the
rule of law, and it all starts with the horrendous example that is being set at
the very top. (Read
More.....)
High quality global journalism
requires investment. Please share this article with others using the link
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NOW IT'S PERSONAL! ‘…Mr Rusbridger was writing after the
partner of Glenn Greenwald, the reporter who interviewed Edward Snowden, the
former contractor for the National Security Agency who exposed the programme,
was detained at Heathrow for nine hours under the Terrorism Act…’
White
House Had Advance Notice on Heathrow Detention...
British security seized encrypted computer files...
'They
said I would be put in jail if I didn't cooperate'...
Agents
asked 'about my entire life'...
GUARDIAN:
'A betrayal of trust and principle'...
Britain forced newspaper to destroy copy of Snowden material...
Obama administration asks Supreme Court to allow warrantless
cellphone searches...
1
in 4 adults in NJ moving back in with parents...
CHICAGO
TRIB ON OBAMACARE: 'Let's delay, rewrite this ill-conceived law'...
Admin
Has Missed Half of Legally Imposed Deadlines...
FOREVER
21 to do away with full-time employees...
Fed
Ownership of U.S. Debt Breaks $2 Trillion...
Ex
NSA head insults Bloggers As Privacy Violations Mount...
New
Utah spy center requires 1.7M gallons of water daily to operate...
Steve Watson | There should be a ‘death penalty’ for
government agencies that betray the American people.
Paul Joseph Watson | Enough for its agents to fire 9,400
bullets a day, every day of the year.
Malcolm Byrne | American and British involvement in
Mosaddeq’s ouster has long been public knowledge.
Alex Jones & Paul Joseph Watson | Soldiers being forced to pop pills by
exempt officer class.
Adan Salazar | Legendary rocker says Democrats are
“fascists disguised as liberals.”
Paul Joseph Watson | ‘Big government helps protect our
rights’.
Mac Slavo | Earlier this year President
Obama detailed his new educational initiatives aimed at “closing America’s
school readiness gap.”
Ron Paul | They are routinely breaking their
own rules and covering it up.
Those That Are Not Preparing For
The Coming Economic Depression Are Going To Bitterly Regret It
Economic
Collapse | The next great economic crisis is rapidly approaching, and most
people are going to be totally blindsided by it.
Krugman Admits Keynesian
“Economics” Is About Empowering the State
LewRockwell.com | The essence of Keynesian “economics” is giving the Political
Classes more power.
What Is Going To Happen If
Interest Rates Continue To Rise Rapidly?
Michael Snyder
| If you want to track how close we are to the next financial collapse, there
is one number that you need to be watching above all others.
Washington Post | The British government raided the
Guardian’s offices in order to destroy hard drives containing information
provided by Snowden.
Steve Watson | There should be a ‘death penalty’ for
government agencies that betray the American people.
Media Research Center | You are now permitted to shower and change
in the girls’ locker room despite the fact that you may have male…ahem….parts.
Paul Joseph Watson | Enough for its agents to fire 9,4000
bullets a day, every day of the year.
Paul Joseph Watson | Despite being detained under the Terrorism
Act, Miranda was not asked anything about terrorism.
Alex Jones & Paul Joseph Watson | Soldiers being forced to pop pills by
exempt officer class.
The Atlantic | It is time for the
organization to apologize and take responsibility for the consequences of its
actions and its inaction.
Business Insider | Geo-political expert Ian
Bremmer of the Eurasia Group has suggested that the motive is far more serious
than intimidation.
Paul Joseph Watson | ‘Big government helps protect our
rights’.
Ron Paul | They are routinely breaking their
own rules and covering it up.
It’s Official: 2012 Deficit Was
$1.087T; $1T+ All 4 Yrs of Obama’s 1st Term
CNS
News | The Congressional Budget Office last week released updated historical
budget data for the federal government, reporting a deficit of $1.087 trillion
in fiscal 2012.
Commodities: Egyptian bloodbath
threatens crucial routes for oil and gas supplies
London
Telegraph | Egypt is a key bottleneck in the global oil industry. Should the
current turmoil in the North African country get any worse, a potential oil
spike could damage any nascent economic recovery.
Germany recognizes Bitcoin as
‘private money’
RT
| Bitcoin has been recognized for legal and tax purposes in Germany, making it
the first country to take an official stance on the status of using the online
currency as money.
JPMorgan Is Selling The Building
That Houses Its Gold Vault
Zero
Hedge | On the surface, there is nothing spectacular about the weekend news
that JPMorgan is seeking to sell its 1 Chase Manhattan Plaza office building.
JPMorgan Is Selling The Building
That Houses Its Gold Vault Zero Hedge
August 19, 2013
On the surface, there is nothing spectacular
about the weekend news that JPMorgan is seeking to sell its 1 Chase Manhattan
Plaza office building. After all, the former headquarters of Chase Manhattan
Bank, located deep in the heart of the financial district and which was built
by its then chairman David Rockefeller, is a remnant to another time – a time
when banking was about providing loans, not about managing and trading assets
which has become the realm of Midtown New York, and since JPM already has
extensive Midtown exposure with its offices at 270, 270 and 245 Park, the 1 CMP
building always stood out as a bit of a sore thumb. Of course, as Zero Hedge
readers first learned, the big
surprise is literally below the surface, some 90
feet below street level to be exact, where the formerly secret JPM gold vault
is located, which also happens to be the biggest commercial gold vault in the
world.
It was only a month ago when we learned that
JPM was planning to exit the physical
commodity business, and today we know that the firm is set on disposing
of its one crowning asset in the commercial gold vaulting industry. This begs
the question: is JPM set to fully and completely exit the precious metals
vertical which it inherited when it was handed Bear Stearns on a $10 platter
(together with the now defunct firm’s legacy short positions)? If so, is it
also in the process of unwinding any and all legacy precious metals exposure
including rumored “whale-sized” shorts in the paper silver and/or gold axes,
and what happens to the price of silver and gold when a massive stock position
becomes “flow” in the other direction (i.e., short covering)?
Finally, if indeed JPM is getting out dodge,
is there some hope that a semblance of normalcy will return to a market best
known for the AM-PM closing fix arbitrage, as well as the occasional bid stack
take out slam and close (and open) banging? Or, will the buyer of the building,
and vault, be none other than the Federal Reserve, which will merely take this
opportunity to merge its own, and the world’s largest commercial gold vaults,
which just happen to be located next to each other and connected by tunnel deep
below the ironically named Liberty Street?
Inquiring minds certainly want to know.
More from Bloomberg on the
sale process:
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) is seeking to
sell 1 Chase Manhattan Plaza, the lower Manhattan tower built by David
Rockefeller in the late 1950s, as the company reduces its office space in the
city.
The bank would relocate about 4,000
employees, most of the people who work in the 60-story skyscraper, to other New
York locations, said Brian Marchiony, a spokesman. JPMorgan occupies about half
of the space in 2.2 million-square-foot (204,000-square-meter) building,
according to CoStar Group Inc. (CSGP), a Washington-based firm that follows
office leasing.
The building may fetch at least $600
million, according to a person with knowledge of the offering. The cost to
buyers would be higher because they would assume any conversion expenses, said
the person, who asked not to be identified because the discussions are private.
An offering of the tower, a city landmark
designed by architect Gordon Bunshaft, would test the downtown office market.
Shrinking financial companies have left lower Manhattan landlords with at least
6.3 million square feet of space to fill, according to data from brokerage
Newmark Knight Frank Grubb. The tower may achieve its highest value as a
mixed-use property, with a hotel, additional retail or apartments added, said
Dan Fasulo, managing director of Real Capital Analytics Inc., a New York-based
research firm that tracks commercial real estate sales.
“You could do a department store in the
base,” he said. “It’s a very exciting potential mixed-use opportunity, in my
mind. I think the market will receive it very well.”
And the vault in the basement, “longer than
a football field,” would become a restaurant or a paintball arena?
* * *
For those who missed it, here is the excerpt
from the exclusive Zero Hedge expose shining some light on the world’s biggest
and now supposedly almost empty, commercial gold vault.
From: Why Is JPMorgan’s Gold Vault, The Largest In The World,
Located Next To The New York Fed’s?
Curiously (or perhaps not at all), when the
CME on behalf of JPM submitted the certification filing alongside the
comparable such supplements as filed by Brinks above, it requested a FOIA
(Freedom of Information Act) confidential treatment. As a reminder, to be
eligible for FOIA exemption status the protected information must be of vital
importance to the nation’s safety. This is precisely what JPM thought the
details surrounding its New York vault are. To wit:
Pursuant to Sections 8 and 8(a) of the
Commodity Exchange Act (“CEA”), as amended, and Commission Regulation 145.9(d),
NYMEX and COMEX request confidential treatment of Appendix A, Appendix B, and
this letter on the grounds that disclosure of Appendix A and/or Appendix B
would reveal confidential commercial information of the submitters (NYMEX and
COMEX) and of other persons. Pursuant to Commission Regulation 145.9(d)(5),
NYMEX and COMEX request that confidential treatment be maintained for Appendix
A and Appendix B until further notice from the Exchanges. We also
request that the Commission notify the undersigned immediately after receiving
any FOIA request for said Appendix A, Appendix B or any other court order,
subpoena or summons for same. Finally, we request that we be
notified in the event the Commission intends to disclose such Appendix A and/or
Appendix B to Congress or to any other governmental agency or unit pursuant to
Section 8 of the CEA. NYMEX and COMEX do not waive their notification rights
under Section 8(f) of the CEA with respect to any subpoena or summons for such
Appendix A or Appendix B.
Please contact the undersigned at (212)
299-2207 should you have any questions concerning this letter.
Sincerely, /s/ Felix Khalatnikov
Yet oddly enough, the FOIA request letter
itself, while also being filed with a request for Confidential Treatment, never
got it. As a result it was posted at this address. Ooops.
But a far bigger oops, is that on the first
page of said declassified confidential FOIA app, in black ink, we get the
missing piece:
In addition, the Exchanges are providing the
Commission with the application summary of requirements for the JP Morgan Chase
Bank N.A. facility located at 1 Chase Manhattan Plaza, New York,
NY.
And so, despite the extended attempts at
secrecy, we finally hit the proverbial goldmine vault.
So what do we know about 1 Chase Manhattan
Plaza. Well, aside from the fact that the 60-story structure, built in the
1950s, was the headquarters of the once-legendary Chase Manhattan corporation,
and which when it was built was the world’s sixth tallest building, not much.
So we set off to learn more.
To learn more, we first went to the
motherlode: the Landmarks Preservation Commission, whose report on 1 CMP describes
everyone one wants to know about this building and then much more, such as
that:
One Chase Manhattan Plaza combines three
main components: a 60-story tower, a 2½ acre plaza, and a 6-story base, of
which 5 floors are beneath grade.
So the old Chase HQ, once the stomping
grounds of one David Rockefeller, and soon to be the other half of JPMorgan
Chase, has 5 sub-basements, just like the NY Fed…
Reading on:
Excavations, said to be the largest in New
York City history, reached a depth of 90 feet
Or, about the same depth as the bottom-most
sub-basement under the NY Fed…
But then we hit the jackpot:
Originally constructed with white marble
terrazzo paving and enclosed by a solid parapet of white marble travertine that
was personally selected by Bunshaft in Tivoli, Italy, the L-shaped plaza levels
the sloping site and conceals six floors of operations that would have been
difficult to fit into a single floor of the tower, including an auditorium
seating 800 [and] the world’s largest bank vault.
And there you have it: the JPM vault,
recommissioned to become a commercial vault, just happens to also be the
“world’s largest bank vault.”
Digging some more into the curious nature of
this biggest bank vault in the world, we learn the following, courtesy of
a freely available book written
by one of the architects:
On the lowest level was the vault, which
rested directly on the rock – the “largest bank vault in the world,
longer than a football field.” It was anchored to the bedrock with
steel rods. This was to prevent the watertight, concrete structure from
floating to the surface like a huge bubble in the event that an
atomic bomb falling in the bay would blow away the building and
flood the area.
In other words, the world’s biggest bank
vault, that belonging to the private Chase Manhattan empire, and then, to
JPMorgan, was so safe, the creators even had a plan of action should it sustain
a near-direct hit from a nuclear bomb, and suffer epic flooding (such as that
from Hurricane Sandy).
It is no surprise, then, that the street
entrance to this world’s biggest vault located under 1 Chase Manhattan Plaza
makes the entrance to any medieval impregnable fortress seem like child’s play
in comparison. Courtesy of Google StreetView:
Yet it is not what is on this side of the
street, which just happens to be known as Liberty Street, that is what is the
most interesting part of this whole story. It is what is on the
other:
Or, shown another way…
That’s right, ladies and gentlemen, as a
result of our cursory examination, we have learned that the world’s largest
private, and commercial, gold vault, that belonging once upon a time to Chase
Manhattan, and now to JPMorgan Chase, is located, right across the street, and
at the same level underground, resting just on top of the Manhattan bedrock, as
the vault belonging to the New York Federal Reserve, which according to
folklore is the official location of the biggest collection of sovereign,
public gold in the world.
At this point we would hate to be
self-referential, and point out what one of our own commentators noted
on the topic of the Fed’s vault a year ago, namely that:
Chase Plaza (now the Property of JPM) is
linked to the facility via tunnel… I have seen it. The elevators on the
Chase side are incredible. They could lift a tank.
… but we won’t, and instead we will let
readers make up their own mind why the the thousands of tons of sovereign gold
in the possession of the New York Fed, have to be literally inches
across, if not directly connected, to the largest private gold vault in the
world.
We think readers can do a good enough job on
their own.
Related posts:
This article
was posted: Monday, August 19, 2013 at 4:46 am
You Won’t BELIEVE What’s
Going On with Government Spying on Americans Posted by : George
Washington
Post date: 08/17/2013 - New
Revelations Are Breaking Every Day
Revelations
about the breathtaking scope of government spying are coming so fast that it’s
time for an updated roundup:
Just
weeks after NSA boss Alexander said that a review of NSA spying found not
even one violation, the Washington Post published an internal
NSA audit showing that the agency has broken its own rules thousands of times each year
2
Senators on the intelligence committee said the violations revealed in the Post
article were just the “tip of the iceberg”
Glenn
Greenwald notes: “One key to the WashPost story: the reports are
internal, NSA audits, which means high likelihood of both under-counting
& white-washing”.(Even so, the White House tried to do damage control
by retroactively
changing on-the-record quotes)
The
government is spying on essentially everything we
do. It is not just “metadata” … although that is enough to destroy your privacy
The
government has adopted a secret interpretation of the Patriot Act which allows
it to pretend
that “everything” is relevant … so it
spies on everyone
NSA
whistleblowers say that the NSA collects all of our conversations word-for-word
It’s
not just the NSA … Many
other agencies, like the FBI and IRS – concerned only with domestic issues – spy on Americans as well
The
information gained through spying is shared with federal, state and local agencies,
and they are using that information to prosecute petty crimes such as drugs and
taxes. The agencies are instructed to intentionally “launder” the
information gained through spying, i.e. to pretend that they got the
information in a more legitimate way … and to hide that
from defense attorneys and judges
Top
counter-terror experts say that the government’s mass spying doesn’t keep us safe
Indeed,
they say that mass spying actually hurts U.S. counter-terror efforts.
They
say we can, instead, keep everyone
safe without violating the
Constitution … more cheaply and efficiently than the current
system
There
is no real oversight by Congress, the courts, or the executive branch of
government. And see this and this.
Indeed,
most Congress
members have no idea what the NSA is
doing. Even staunch defenders of the NSA now say they’ve been kept in the dark
A
Federal judge who was on the secret spying court for 3 years says that it’s a kangaroo court
Even
the current judges on the secret spying court now admit that they’re
out of the loop and powerless to exercise real oversight
A
former U.S. president says that the spying program shows that we no longer have a functioning
democracy
The
chairs of the 9/11 Commission say that NSA spying has gone way too far
Top
constitutional experts say that Obama and Bush are worse than Nixon … and the Stasi East Germans
While
the government initially claimed that mass surveillance on Americans prevented
more than 50 terror attacks, the NSA’s deputy director John Inglis walked that
position back all the way to saying that – at
the most – one (1) plot might
have been disrupted by the bulk phone records collection alone. In
other words, the NSA can’t prove that stopped any terror attacks. The
government greatly exaggerated an alleged recent terror
plot for political purposes (and
promoted the fearmongering of serial liars). The argument that recent
terror warnings show that NSA spying is necessary is so weak that American
counter-terrorism experts have slammed it as “crazy pants”
Even
President Obama admits that you’re
much less likely to be killed by terrorists than a car accident. So
the government has resorted to lamer and lamer excuses
to try to justify mass surveillance
Experts
say that the spying program is illegal, and is exactly the kind of
thing which King
George imposed on the American colonists … which led to the Revolutionary War
The
top counter-terrorism Czar under Clinton and Bush says that revealing
NSA spying programs does not harm
national security
The feds are
considering prosecuting the owner
of a private email company – who shut down his business rather than turning
over records to the NSA – for refusing to fork over the information and keep
quiet. This is a little like trying to throw someone in jail because he’s
died and is no longer paying taxes
Whistleblowers
on illegal spying have
no “legal” way to get the information out
There
are indications that the government isn’t just passively gathering the
information … but is actively using it for
mischievous purposes
Spying started before 9/11 …
and various
excuses have been used to spy on Americans over the years
Governments
and big corporations are doing everything they can to destroy anonymity
Mass
spying creates
an easy mark for hackers.
Indeed, the Pentagon now sees the collection
of “big data” as a “national security threat” … but the NSA is the biggest data
collector on the planet, and thus provides a tempting mother lode of
information for foreign hackers
Mass
surveillance by the NSA directly
harms internet companies, Silicon Valley, California … and the entire U.S. economy. And see these reports
from Boingboing and the Guardian
IT and security professionals are quite
concerned about government spying
Some
people make a lot of money
off of mass spying. But the government isn’t using the spying
program to stop the worst
types of lawlessness
Polls
show that the public doesn’t believe
the NSA … and thinks that the government has gone way too far in the name of
terrorism
While
leaker Edward Snowden is treated as a traitor by the fatcats and elites, he is considered a hero by the American public
Congress
members are getting an earful from their
constituents about mass surveillance
The
heads of the intelligence services have repeatedly been caught lying
about spying. And even liberal publications are starting to say that Obama
has been intentionally lying about spying
Only 11% of Americans trust Obama to
actually do anything to rein in spying
A
huge majority of Americans wants the director of intelligence – Clapper – prosecuted for perjury
While
the Obama administration is spying on everyone in the country – it is at the
same time the most secretive administration ever
(background). That’s despite Obama saying
he’s running the most transparent administration ever
A
Congressman noted that – even if a mass surveillance program is started
for good purposes – it will inevitably turn into a witch
hunt
Surveillance
can be used to frame
you if someone in government happens to take a dislike to you
Government
spying has always
focused on crushing dissent … not on keeping
us safe
An
NSA whistleblower says that the
NSA is spying on – and blackmailing –
top government officials and military officers (and see this)
High-level
US government officials have warned
for 40 years that mass surveillance would lead to
tyranny in America
A
top NSA whistleblower says that the only way to fix things is to fire all of the corrupt government officials who
let it happen. As the polls above show, the American public is
starting to wake up to that fact
NSA BouNDLeSS INFoRMaNT... Posted by: williambanzai7 Post date: 08/17/2013 - Customer Service Hotline...
Submitted by williambanzai7 on 08/17/2013 14:00 -0400
Regarding our tyranny trend
Elites have a message to send
The rights we hold dear
May soon disappear
Our lives are a means to an end
The Limerick King
By:@blumaberlin
On Civil Disobedience and Whistleblowing
Dana Boyd: http://www.zephoria.org/thoughts/archives/2013/07/19/edward-snowden-whis...
WB7: Vichy Congress...What does an
institution that can't even balance it's own fucking checkbook know about
checks and balances?
Stock Market Crash Just Ahead?
Lew Rockwell.com | Central bank manipulation are fueling recessions.
Sky News | It was passed to the police by the
parents-in-law of a former soldier.
London Guardian | Leading critics of NSA Ron Wyden and Mark
Udall say ‘public deserves to know more about violations of secret court
orders’.
NY Daily News | It was a scene straight out of Tiananmen
Square.
VIDEO:
2 Men Rob Priests at Gunpoint in Front of Church... { Niggers, of course! ‘…BSO describes the
suspects as two black males. One suspect is about 5’7” tall and approximately
in his late 20s or early 30s. His accomplice is about 6’ tall, heavy-set and
was wearing a black shirt with a white stripe…’ }
NSA
broke privacy rules 'thousands of times'...
Funds
New 'Top Secret' Data Lab...
NOONAN:
What We Lose if We Give Up Privacy...
Dems
Angry...
Scotland
Yard examines new information on death of Princess Diana...
Photo: REX FEATURES
6:10PM BST 17
Aug 2013
It said last night that it had asked
specialist detectives to examine new allegations and evidence passed to it
“recently”. The move was approved by Sir Bernard Hogan-Howe, its most senior
officer.
The claims were given to the force by the
Royal Military Police, after surfacing during the trial of Sgt Danny
Nightingale, the SAS sniper convicted of illegal weapons possession.
The dossier is said to include a claim that
the SAS “was behind Princess Diana’s death”. Scotland Yard declined to confirm
the content or origin of the material.
Officers from the specialist crime and
operations command will carry out a “scoping” exercise to assess if a
full-scale investigation is justified into whether the Princess, her boyfriend
Dodi Fayed and driver Henri Paul were murdered.
Last night’s disclosure comes in spite of
the inquest into the death of the Princess and Mr Fayed dismissing any claims
of murder made by Mohammed Fayed, Dodi’s father, and conspiracy theorists.
BBC
man calls for answers over Diana's death
16 Aug 2013
Naomi
Watts: 'I was very nervous about Princess Diana's accent'
13 Aug 2013
Mohamed
Fayed will not challenge Princess Diana inquest verdict
09 Apr 2008
Key
events surrounding deaths Diana, Princess of Wales and Dodi Fayed
17 Aug 2013
Since then murder claims have continued to
be made but have never been looked into by British police – making last night’s
move unprecedented.
The decision to examine the new claims
suggests that officers believe they must be looked at by detectives to assess
whether they have any weight.
However they come from the estranged
parents-in-law of “Soldier N”, an SAS soldier who was a key witness in the
successful prosecution of Sgt Nightingale. He was himself convicted of illegal
weapons possession.
His estranged wife’s parents wrote to the
SAS’s commanding officer claiming the soldier had told his wife that the unit
had “arranged” the Princess’s death and that this had been “covered up”.
The source of the claims will inevitably
raise questions over their credibility, and why Scotland Yard acted.
Scotland Yard emphasised last night that it
was not reopening the previous investigation into the deaths, Operation Paget,
and highlighted the verdict of the inquest held after that inquiry was
completed.
Officers will have to assess whether the
information has not been investigated previously and can potentially shed new
light on the deaths.
The development comes ahead of next week’s
16th anniversary of the Princess’s death as a result of injuries she suffered
when the Mercedes in which she was travelling crashed in a tunnel in Paris.
A spokesman said: “The Metropolitan Police
Service is scoping information that has recently been received in relation to
the deaths and assessing its relevance and credibility.
"The assessment will be carried out by
officers from the specialist crime and operations command. This is not a
reinvestigation and does not come under Operation Paget.
“On April 7, 2008, the [inquest] jury
concluded their verdict as 'unlawful killing, grossly negligent driving of the
following vehicles and of the Mercedes’.”
Detectives are understood to have contacted
the former soldier’s estranged wife.
A royal spokesman said there would be no
comment from the Duke of Cambridge, Prince Harry or Clarence House.
A spokesman for Mr Fayed said he would be
“interested in seeing the outcome”.
The jury at the inquest returned a majority
verdict in April 2008, which indicated that paparazzi photographers who pursued
the Princess were to blame for her “unlawful killing”.
Mr Paul was also culpable for her death due
to his “gross negligence” in driving while three times over the drink-drive
limit, the jury found.
An earlier French police investigation
cleared the photographers of being directly linked to the tragedy.
If you say the “wrong thing” in America today, you could be
penalized, fired or even taken to court. Political correctness is running
rampant, and it is absolutely destroying this nation. In his novel 1984,
George Orwell imagined a future world where speech was greatly
restricted. He called that the language that the totalitarian state in
his novel created “Newspeak”, and it bears a striking resemblance to the
political correctness that we see in America right now. According to Wikipedia, Newspeak is
“a reduced language created by the totalitarian
state as a tool to limit free thought, and
concepts that pose a threat to the regime such as freedom, self-expression, individuality, peace, etc. Any form of thought
alternative to the party’s construct is classified as ‘thoughtcrime.’”
Yes, people are not usually being hauled off to prison for what they are saying
just yet, but we are heading down that path. Every single day, the
mainstream media in the United States bombards us with subtle messages about
what we should believe and what “appropriate speech” consists of. Most of
the time, most Americans quietly fall in line with this unwritten speech
code. In fact, most of the time we enforce this unwritten speech code
among each other. Those that would dare to buck the system are finding
out that the consequences can be rather severe. The following are 19
shocking examples of how political correctness is destroying America… (Read
More.....) #1
The Missouri State Fair has permanently banned a rodeo clown from performing
just because he wore an Obama mask, and now all of the other rodeo clowns are
being required to take “sensitivity training“…
But the state commission went further,
saying it will require that before the Rodeo Cowboy Association can take part
in any future state fair, “they must provide evidence to the director of the
Missouri State Fair that they have proof that all officials and subcontractors
of the MRCA have successfully participated in sensitivity training.”
#2 Government workers in Seattle have been told that they should
no longer use the words “citizen” and “brown bag” because they are potentially offensive.
#3 A Florida police officer recently lost his job for calling Trayvon Martin
a “thug” on Facebook.
#4 “Climate change deniers” are definitely not wanted at the U.S.
Department of the Interior. Interior Secretary Sally Jewell was recently quoted as making
the following statement: “I hope there are no climate-change deniers in the
Department of Interior”.
#5 A professor at Ball State University was recently banned from
even mentioning the concept of intelligent design because it would supposedly “violate the academic
integrity” of the course that he was teaching.
#6 The mayor of Washington D.C. recently asked singer Donnie
McClurkin not to attend his own
concert because of his views on homosexuality.
#7 U.S. Senator Chuck Schumer is calling on athletes marching in
the opening ceremonies at the Winter Olympics in Sochi next year to “embarrass” Russian President Vladimir Putin
by protesting for gay rights.
#8 Chaplains in the U.S. military are being forced to perform gay
marriages, even if it goes against their personal religious beliefs. The
few chaplains that have refused to follow orders know that it means the end of
their careers.
#9 The governor of California has signed a bill into law
which will allow transgendered students to use whatever bathrooms and gym
facilities that they would like…
Transgendered students in California will
now have the right to use whichever bathrooms they prefer and join either the
boys’ or girls’ sports teams, thanks to landmark legislation signed by
Democratic Gov. Jerry Brown on Monday.
The law amends the state’s education code, and
stipulates that each student will have access to facilities, sports teams, and
programs that are “consistent with his or her gender identity,” rather than the
student’s actual biological composition. A male student who self-identifies as
female could therefore use the girls’ bathroom, even if he is anatomically
male.
#10 In San Francisco, authorities have
installed small plastic “privacy screens” on library
computers so that perverts can continue to exercise their “right” to watch
pornography at the library without children being directly exposed to it.
#11 In America today, there are many groups
that are absolutely obsessed with eradicating every mention of God
out of the public sphere. For example, an elementary school in North
Carolina ordered a little six-year-old girl to remove the word “God”
from a poem that she wrote to honor her two grandfathers that had served in the
Vietnam War.
#12 A high school track team was disqualified
earlier this year because one of the runners “made a gesture thanking God”
once he had crossed the finish line.
#13 Earlier this year, a Florida Atlantic
University student that refused to stomp on the name of Jesus was banned from class.
#14 A student at Sonoma State University was
ordered to take off a cross that she was wearing because someone “could be offended“.
#15 A teacher in New Jersey was fired for giving his own Bible to a
student that did not own one.
#16 Volunteer chaplains for the
Charlotte-Mecklenburg Police Department have been banned from using the
name of Jesus on government property.
#17 According to a new Army manual, U.S.
soldiers will now be instructed to avoid “any criticism of pedophilia” and to
avoid criticizing “anything related to Islam”. The following is from a Judicial Watch article…
The draft leaked to the newspaper offers a
list of “taboo conversation topics” that soldiers should avoid, including
“making derogatory comments about the Taliban,” “advocating women’s rights,”
“any criticism of pedophilia,” “directing any criticism towards Afghans,”
“mentioning homosexuality and homosexual conduct” or “anything related to
Islam.”
#18 The Obama administration has banned all U.S. government agencies
from producing any training materials that link Islam with terrorism. In
fact, the FBI has gone back and purged references to Islam and terrorism from hundreds of old
documents.
#19 According to the Equal Employment
Opportunity Commission, it is illegal for employers to discriminate against
criminals because it has a “disproportionate” impact on
minorities.
It would be hard to overstate the power that
all of this relentless “thought training” has on all of us. And young
people are particularly susceptible to the power of suggestion. If you
doubt this, just check out this video of a little boy praying to Barack Obama as if he was a deity…
It would be a huge mistake to underestimate the power of the
mainstream media in America today. As I mentioned the other day, Americans watch an average of about
153 hours of television a month. When Americans go to work or go to
school, the conversations that they have with others are mostly based on
content that the media feeds them. And about 90 percent of what we watch
on television is controlled by just six gigantic corporations.
But the media is not the only source that is
telling us what to think. The truth is that the messaging that comes from
all of our major institutions (the government, the media, the education system,
etc.) is remarkably consistent. The establishment wants to control what
we say and how we think, and they have a relentless propaganda machine that
never stops working.
The way that we all see the world has been
greatly shaped by the thousands of hours of “thought training” that we
have all received over the years. Understanding what is being done to us
is the first step toward breaking free.
FRiDaY BioLoGY: KeYNeSiAN
MoNKeY BuSiNeSS... Posted by: williambanzai7 Post date: 08/16/2013 - One that has the same eating, drinking and shitting
habits as the other two, only much much much bigger...
Cisco CEO Chambers' Warning:
Record Sales And “Lumpy” Demand (Just Like In November 2007, A Month Before
Stocks Began To Crash) Posted by : testosteronepit Post date: 08/16/2013 - But this time it’s different
Obama must be fuming like a pile of
something in the pristine Oval Office today as he hears of the latest
Edward-Snowden revelations. You can just imagine him sitting there saying to an
imaginary spy behind the door of Russia something that would go like: “Come
out and take it, you dirty, yellow-bellied rat, or I'll give it to you through
the door!", a true Cagney tough guy (although the line is misquoted
half the time by poor rate actors and imitators). No offence Mr. President. But
anyhow, the scene would be perfect Hollywood action, and I’m sure a movie will
hit the screens before the year is out. Maybe we could turn the whole world on
its head and rather than having an actor that turns President of the US, we
could have a President turn actor in Hollywood: “…and starring B. Obama in
his very own role”.
The Snowden affair looks as if it will be
keeping us interested for months to come as new revelations are made that he
actually started downloading secret documents while he was working at Dell
Inc. as far
back as April 2012, which is a year prior to the date that he had
officially announced. Although, one might well question the truth that comes
from anyone these days. Is it true? Is it a lie? Is it what he did or is it
what some would like to make us believe? Will the fact that he lied discredit
him? Will the fact that he downloaded secret documents while working for Dell
discredit the good that he might have been seen to do blowing the whistle on
the state surveillance? There are too many subsidiary parameters and not enough
calculations being made and the result is an unknown equation that even the
best couldn’t fathom out right now.
It was in 2009 that Edward
Snowden began
working for Dell Inc. His contract ran until earlier this year, when he was
transferred and assigned to the National Security Agency as a contractor in March, in the United States and also in Japan.
The information was revealed by an anonymous
source that only spoke on that proviso. It was stated that while working at
Dell Inc. Snowden downloaded information regarding the
National Security Agency, the eavesdroppingand surveillance programs that they were
running and left an electronic footprint after having accessed the files. He
also downloaded information regarding fiber-optic cables, transoceanic cables
and statistics regarding internet traffic and also related to communication
over the internet.
The US government has announced ‘special
measures’ that will be taken to stop unauthorized people from downloading
documents to which they would normally have no access. What? You mean, Mr.
President that that wasn’t done before? There seem to have been a whole string
of events that have enabled Snowden to end up where he is today. But, they seem
far too unlikely for them all to have happened in a chain that went off in
reaction. Imagine the scenario: Snowden is employed by Dell, downloads
documents, gets hired by the contractor to the NSA and accesses top-secret
material without any vetting having taken place and no surveillance. Nice, but
unlikely; or revealing of the failings of the NSA.
According to Reuters, Snowden seems to have written in 2010 on an internet forum called Ars Technica under the name ‘The
True HooHA’. He wrote: “It really concerns me how little this sort of
corporate behavior bothers those outside of technology circles” (regarding
the technology companies and IT firms that provided the US government with
information and allowed departments to access private data of individuals). He
went on to state: “Society really seems to have developed an unquestioning
obedience towards spooky types”.
Apparently, few have delved into Snowden’s
stint at Dell Inc. and most concentration and focus has been on the contractor
for whom Snowden was working while he was at the NSA: Booz
Allen Hamilton Holding Corp.
Although, perhaps if the NSA were spending less time listening into our own
boring and anecdotal communications via Skype,Google and Facebook, they might be able to concentrate on the
really good stuff. I think we should all sit down and apply the Tinkerbell
Effect. Things only
exist if we believe that they do, like the Fiat system and the value of money.
It only has a value because we allow it to have, because we believe that it is
valuable. If we all stop believing that the NSA is powerful, then they won’t
exist anymore. Fairy magic! I can see the pixies running from the NSA right
now.
We commonly call Snowden a whistleblower.
But, was he really one? It seems doubtful since legally the definition of a
whistleblower is one that reveals actions that are illegal by a body or a state
and that are provided to the public. What Snowden did was reveal what was
legally made possible by the US state in the name of security and in the fight
against terrorism. He revealed nothing that was being done illegally by the
country, only what was unknown by the public, but legal. Whistleblowing reveals
corruption, wrong-doing, mismanagement and illegality. Snowden is no
whistleblower.
But in the light of revelations also about
the fact that the NSA kept hold of telephone conversations of 3, 000 US citizens from February
2012 (despite
being ordered to destroy them) means that we have more information still to
come on the NSA. Information that has been released shows today that the NSA
audit mentions that there were 2, 776 violations of the code of conduct of
the NSA. For example, if you dialed 020 for the US area code the computer system
picked it up as +20 or the international dialing code
for Egypt and
your calls became immediately logged and recorded.
What was the objective of the revelation and
what will be the effect on people today with regard to Edward Snowden? Does
this mean that we shall see Snowden as a scheming ‘dirty rat’? Did he plan this
long before and get taken on at the NSA in that objective? Or is that what some
would have us believe? If it were true for one moment, then the first question
that springs to mind is: why did the National Security Agency not manage to
carry out adequate surveillance on Edward Snowden? The Prism program was
listening in to everyone in the world and his wife. One thing is certain Edward
Snowden has created a ‘true HooHA’.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/17/2013 - 17:44
In lieu of the Japanese government doing the
right thing and finally coming clean about the epic environmental catastrophe
that is Fukushima, which it hopes to simply dig under the rug even as the
inconvenient reality gets worse and thousands of tons of radioactive water make
their way into the ocean, one is forced to rely on third-party sources for
information on this tragedy. We present a useful primer from Scientific
American on Fukushima "water retention" problem and "what you
need to know about the radioactive water leaking
from Japan’s Fukushima nuclear plant into the Pacific Ocean."
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/17/2013 - 16:25
Want
to throw the world into sheer panic and outright chaos? Then just take out
Google. At least that is what a brief five minute outage of the world's
favorite search engine on Friday night shows, when after all of Google's
services were hit with unprecedented downtime from 3:52 pm until 3:57 pm
Pacific Dauylight Time, some 40% of global internet traffic was lobbed off.
According to Topsy analytics, tweets per minute skyrocketed around the point
that Google went black, from an average of 200 tweets per minute about Google
to more than 1,000. "For five freakin' minutes!" one Twitter user
complained. Another wrote, "Google was down for five minutes… Is
it a sign that the END OF THE WORLD has started?"
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/17/2013 - 14:52
There was so much excitement generated last
week over Elon Musk's hyperloop idea, that the world almost forgot
that California already has a high-speed rail project
in place. A very, very expensive project. And the
problem with that particular $68 billion project, which is just as unrealistic,
just as unprofitable, and just as hyper-pipedreamy, is that as the SacBee
reports, is that it is on the verge of being shut down now that over 5
years since its launch someone actually did the math and found out that, oops,
there is no money!
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/17/2013 - 13:53
The latest default bull argument
supporting higher levels of growth in China than I believe possible is the
urbanization argument. Beijing is planning another major urbanization
push, and according to this argument China can resolve the problem of wasted
investment by investing in the urbanization process, that is it can engage in a
massive investment program related to the need to build infrastructure for all
the newly urbanized. Like so many of the earlier bull arguments, however,
this new belief that urbanization is the answer to China’s growth slowdown is
based on at least one fallacy and probably more - urbanization
accommodates, it doesn‘t cause, growth. It is not the act of building
all this stuff that creates wealth or real, long-term growth. It is only if
building the stuff caused overall productivity to rise by more than the cost of
capital and labor employed in building it that a society gets richer.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/17/2013 - 12:28
While bullish talking heads are quick to
point out that corporate earnings have never been higher, they tend to get very
quiet the second corporate cash flow generation is mentioned. The reason is
simple: where non-GAAP earnings, much of which are vaporware such as exclusions
and other adjustment involving addbacks for "non-recurring" events
such as Cisco's now annual mass termination announcement are indeed at
nosebleed levels, actual corporate cash generation is a shadow if its former
self which peaked in 2007 and has never been retraced. The problem is that
since corporations generate less cash, they also spend
less cash. As the following chart confirms, corporate capital use
which peaked at a little over $1.8 trillion in 2007 has yet to be surpassed.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/17/2013 - 11:16
The price-to-trend-earnings multiples also
raise questions about the Federal Reserve’s long campaign to prop up asset
prices through unconventional policies. The “wealth effects” sought by the
Fed are mostly bringing forward gains that would have otherwise occurred in the
future. They’re weakening tomorrow’s growth in return for a shot in
the arm today. Of course, policymakers would like you to
believe their actions are stabilizing. But the last two decades suggest
otherwise. And the chart above reinforces the risk that we’re stuck in a
Groundhog Day-like loop of living through the same boom-bust cycle over and
over. It shows that the next policy-induced bust may be gradually coming into
view.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/17/2013 - 10:29
Overnight the (pre) civil war in Egypt took
a turn for the worse when the local military conducted the political and
religious equivalent of shooting inside a hornets' nest, or rather at the
al-Fatah mosque off Ramses square, where up to a 1000 Muslim Brotherhood
supporters of the deposed president had been barricaded. Subsequently,
security forces rounded up protesters inside and forcefully dragged them out.
As the Telegraph videos below suggest, the sound of gunfire could be heard in
the background. Egypt's official news agency MENA reported that gunmen opened
fire on security forces from the mosque's minaret. Local television stations
broadcast live footage of soldiers firing assault rifles at the minaret. It
goes without saying that firing on religious protesters inside a sanctum of a
mosque will hardly derail the country's flaming train ride straight into civil
war, but it also begs the question: why is Egypt so intent on culminating with
a civil war, split along religious lines, that will be the bloodiest in
decades, involve over 80 million people and is sure to lead to unprecedented
death and destruction. Cui bono, aside from the Fed's balance sheet, of course?
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 20:18
We hope the Bundesbank, and certainly the
German people, will be using one of these in the near-term (up to and including
2020) future.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 18:56
Presented with little comment aside to note
that while every night we are told by how much the Dow closed green, many await
the day the chart below flashes anything but red.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 18:41
We can waste readers' time with the latest
revelations about the NSA's espionage activities against Americans, highlighted
fully in the following WaPo article "NSA
broke privacy rules thousands of times per year, audit finds" whose
title is sufficiently self-explanatory about how seriously the administration
takes individual privacy, or we can just showcase the following cartoon which
shows how the Miranda rights have been 'adjusted' for the New Normal...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 18:19
Real or fake, you decide (and there are ample
reasons to consider doctored imagery). For Reuters
it was definitive enough to go straight to the front page.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 17:59
That China faces a number of serious
economic (and potentially social) problems is no surprise and as Guggenheim's
Scott Minerd notes, trying to predict when persistent structural problems will
lead to a shock for markets is extremely difficult (as
we noted here). However, from a symbiotic collapse in the previously
'virtuous' bond-market-to-banking-system relationship, to the
drying up of easy credit for all but the largest (and least over-capacity)
firms, it appears that China's private sector leverage has crossed the tipping
point that signalled crises in the US, UK, Japan and South Korea. Although
the recent data (believe
it or not) show signs of a stabilization in the Chinese economy, the
elevated debt burden should continue to cast doubt over its growth
sustainability and the "childish" and non-transparent nature
of China's bond market offers little or no hope for a free market solution.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 16:51
After 2000 years, why do we not know which
economic theory is correct: Keynesian, Marxism, or Hayek-Friedman? Surely,
there is a demonstrably, statistically correct answer. It appears not. Then why
do we have cargo-cult faiths (Keynesianism) instead of demonstrably correct
models of economic behavior.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 16:19
The
Hilsenrumor turned out to be a Hilsenstocktease, and with a closing that will
leave many wondering "why hast he forsaken us" and ES going into the
weekend at the lows, stocks end their worst week since November.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 15:23
Just in case there is still some confusion
about what passes for a "catalyst" in this market, moments ago just
as the 10 Year was threatening to run away on its unmerry way to 3.00% and
higher in the aftermath of the fatalistic tweet by Bill Gross, there promptly
emerged, since it is 3pm on a Friday after all, a rumor that Hilsenrath was
about to hit public on the latest NYFed plant handed to him in order to
stabilize the market. Not in itself surprising: we have seen it a million times
in the past, the only difference is that this time the target of the WSJ
"intervention" would be the bond market, not stocks. Which is the
saddest thing: while idiot stocks traditionally move on the dumbest of
triggers, at least bonds had been immune from such stupidity. To see even the
bond market succumb to the lowest of rumormonerging, is indeed a slap in the
face.
Infowars | A video shows Muslim Brotherhood
protesters posing for a staged photo-op in which deaths and injuries are
hoaxed.
Sky News | It was passed to the police by the
parents-in-law of a former soldier.
Kurt Nimmo | Many residents ready to send legendary
control freak packing.
Washington’s Blog | New revelations are breaking every day.
London Guardian | Leading critics of NSA Ron Wyden and Mark
Udall say ‘public deserves to know more about violations of secret court
orders’.
NY Daily News | It was a scene straight out of Tiananmen
Square.
Zero Hedge | Real or fake, you decide (and there are
ample reasons to consider doctored imagery).
Michael Snyder | If you want to track how close we are to
the next financial collapse, there is one number that you need to be watching
above all others.
If
you want to track how close we are to the next financial collapse, there is one
number that you need to be watching above all others. The number that I
am talking about is the yield on 10 year U.S. Treasuries, because it affects
thousands of other interest rates in our financial system. When the yield
on 10 year U.S. Treasuries goes up, that is bad for the U.S. economy because it
pushes long-term interest rates up. When interest rates rise, it
constricts the flow of credit, and a healthy flow of credit is absolutely
essential to the debt-based system that we live in. Just imagine someone
squeezing a tube that has water flowing through it. The higher interest
rates go, the more economic activity will be squeezed. If interest rates
continue to rise rapidly, it will be more expensive for the U.S. government to
borrow money, it will be more expensive for state and local governments to
borrow money, the housing market may crash again, consumer debt will become
more expensive, junk bond investors will be in for a world of hurt, the stock
market will experience a tremendous amount of pain and there is a good chance
that we could see the 441 trillion dollar interest
rate derivatives bubble implode. And that is just for
starters. (Read
More....)
The
largest Islamic nation in the Middle East is on the verge of descending into
civil war, the Syrian civil war is starting to spill over into Lebanon, and the
worst violence in five years has just hit Iraq, but Barack Obama is way too
busy to be bothered with any of that. Right now, Obama is enjoying one of
the true loves of his life - golf. According to the Washington Post, Obama has "played 18 holes
of golf every day but one this week", and without a doubt he appears to
really be enjoying his time up in Martha's Vineyard. I hear that it is
absolutely beautiful up there this time of the year. And apparently he
needs the rest. After all, prior to this vacation he has only had time to
play 133 rounds of golf
since becoming president. Between snubbing world leaders and getting the U.S. economy going again, it must be
really tough for Obama to find enough time to sharpen his game. (Read
More....)
Christie
Will Ease Kids' Access to Pot With Doctor Notes...
Armed
vigilantes and police clash with Muslim Brotherhood in Cairo...
'Urban
Warfare'...
At
least 60 dead in new clashes...
Tourism
faces meltdown...
Saudi
king calls on Arabs to stand with Egypt...
Military
promises to rebuild churches...
NSA
broke privacy rules 'thousands of times'...
...
Funds New 'Top Secret' Data Lab
NOONAN:
What We Lose if We Give Up Privacy...
Head
of MO NAACP Calls Clown Mask 'Hate Crime'...
FLASHBACK:
Obama wore Obama mask on 'Saturday Night Live'...
NAACP
ripped for demanding federal probe...
NAACP attacks Dartmouth students
for throwing 'Crips and Bloods' frat party...
The
Dartmouth College chapter of the National Association for the Advancement of
Colored People (NAACP) harshly criticized a “Bloods and Crips” themed-party, despite
apologies from the sorority and fraternity that hosted the event earlier this
summer.
A fraternity and sorority at Dartmouth
College have come under fire for hosting a Bloods-Crips themed party.
The
strongly worded letter, penned by the NAACP chapter on campus, and signed by
the Afro-American Society and the Dartmouth Chapter of the and Women of Color
Collective, accuses the mostly white students of hosting a “racist” event
thinly veiled by the South Los Angeles gangland theme.
“Our peers mingled for hours while dressed as bloods or Crips while using
racialized language,” accused the letter, circulated on campus. “It then turned
into a ‘ghetto party’ with racialized language, speech and dress. Over 200
individuals attended this racist and classist event.”
The letter went on to urge students to report the event to the Dartmouth
administration “as a bias incident” using an included hyperlink.
"We
are asking everyone to flood the bias incident account with our call for
justice, right now,” reads the email. “[O]rganizations across campus will be
mobilizing for further steps. Reporting with the above link is our first step
toward meaningful changes.”
That link leads to the college’s bias incident reporting page which promises to
direct all complaints to the the Office of Pluralism and Leadership, and the
office of Safety and Security.
According to a
popular Dartmouth blog, the Dartblog, however, the
NAACP’s letter came after apology letters from both the sorority and fraternity
that hosted the event.
“The idea was never meant to be derogatory to any group, and was intended to
introduce a costume theme to the party,” wrote the fraternity, Alpha Delta. We
“now realize that it was insensitive and thoughtless to make light of a very
serious issue.”
The Tri Delta sorority also emailed an apology to Dartblog pledging to
“continue to educate our members regarding cultural sensitivity and awareness.”
The NAACP did not not acknowledge either apology in its letter, but demanded
that Dartmouth administrators take action against those who had planned the
party.
“The College has yet to deliver consequences to the aforementioned
organizations, so we have to declare their lack of response as not only
unacceptable but as disregard for our experiences,” read the letter.
Neither Dartmouth College, the NAACP, or Alpha Delta returned Campus Reform’s
requests for comment.
Administrators at the school, however, released a statement suggesting an
investigation has been launched into the incident.
“Dartmouth is continuing to gather information about the scope and nature of
the event and will follow its standard process to review and determine whether
any violations of College policy have occurred,” it said, according to the Huffington Post.
Follow the author of this article on Twitter: @kctimpf
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 18:56
Presented with little comment aside to note
that while every night we are told by how much the Dow closed green, many await
the day the chart below flashes anything but red.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 18:19
Real or fake, you decide (and there are ample
reasons to consider doctored imagery). For Reuters
it was definitive enough to go straight to the front page.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 17:59
That China faces a number of serious
economic (and potentially social) problems is no surprise and as Guggenheim's
Scott Minerd notes, trying to predict when persistent structural problems will
lead to a shock for markets is extremely difficult (as
we noted here). However, from a symbiotic collapse in the previously
'virtuous' bond-market-to-banking-system relationship, to the
drying up of easy credit for all but the largest (and least over-capacity)
firms, it appears that China's private sector leverage has crossed the tipping
point that signalled crises in the US, UK, Japan and South Korea. Although
the recent data (believe
it or not) show signs of a stabilization in the Chinese economy, the
elevated debt burden should continue to cast doubt over its growth
sustainability and the "childish" and non-transparent nature
of China's bond market offers little or no hope for a free market solution.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 16:51
After 2000 years, why do we not know which
economic theory is correct: Keynesian, Marxism, or Hayek-Friedman? Surely,
there is a demonstrably, statistically correct answer. It appears not. Then why
do we have cargo-cult faiths (Keynesianism) instead of demonstrably correct
models of economic behavior.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 16:19
The
Hilsenrumor turned out to be a Hilsenstocktease, and with a closing that will
leave many wondering "why hast he forsaken us" and ES going into the
weekend at the lows, stocks end their worst week since November.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 15:51
We can waste readers' time with the latest
revelations about the NSA's espionage activities against Americans, highlighted
fully in the following WaPo article "NSA
broke privacy rules thousands of times per year, audit finds" whose
title is sufficiently self-explanatory about how seriously the administration
takes individual privacy, or we can just showcase the following cartoon which
shows how the Miranda rights have been 'adjusted' for the New Normal...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 15:23
Just in case there is still some confusion
about what passes for a "catalyst" in this market, moments ago just
as the 10 Year was threatening to run away on its unmerry way to 3.00% and
higher in the aftermath of the fatalistic tweet by Bill Gross, there promptly
emerged, since it is 3pm on a Friday after all, a rumor that Hilsenrath was
about to hit public on the latest NYFed plant handed to him in order to
stabilize the market. Not in itself surprising: we have seen it a million times
in the past, the only difference is that this time the target of the WSJ
"intervention" would be the bond market, not stocks. Which is the
saddest thing: while idiot stocks traditionally move on the dumbest of
triggers, at least bonds had been immune from such stupidity. To see even the
bond market succumb to the lowest of rumormonerging, is indeed a slap in the
face.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 15:06
John
Adams famously described the American government as being “of laws and not
men.” The managerial state has wiped clean that wisdom in favor of countless
and arbitrary dictates enforced by worthless bodies. The narcolepsy-inducing USA
Today recently reported
the Federal Bureau of Investigation granted informants immunity to break
government law in certain circumstances. Newly disclosed documents reveal that
thousands of so-dubbed “crimes” were committed in 2011 by the FBI’s pet
players. The misdeeds include drug trafficking, plotting robberies, and
bribery. Last year, the New York Times published a damning report on
how the good-natured agents of Washington’s infamous law investigator work
tirelessly at foiling
terrorist plots they go to great lengths at concocting. These faux plots of
destruction are used to beef up the reputation of the agency so as to solidify
its monopoly of police power. The selective enforcement of law
negates the very purpose of social order. How can there be a universally
recognized limits to mankind’s behavior if a minority are permitted to
disregard governing laws? The result is a contradiction – either the law
applies everywhere or it does not.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 14:26
With the latest hope-mongering rumor du jour
that the beleaguered handheld device maker Blackberry will be
LBO'd (or seek 'strategic partnerships'), we couldn't help but recall the
proceedings of the previous decades' best known handheld device maker - Palm.
As Needham's Charlie Wolf warns, "I saw what happened with Palm 3 years
ago [HP's take-under] - the stories are very similar," as it appears the
patents are what counts for BBRY.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 14:02
Guess what comes next in the numbered
sequence: 30.0%, 60.0%, 66.666%? If you said 71.4%, or 2/5, which just
happens to be Larry Summers' latest Fed Chairmanship odds according to Paddy
Power, you are correct. Janet Yellen, who was once a 1/3 favorite
has now plunged to just 7/4 or about 30% odds. And while Bill Gross' tweet
certainly moved the market, perhaps a far greater concern to longs everywhere
(of both bonds and stocks) is the realization that with every passing day Larry
Summers gets closer to becoming the next Fed chairman.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 13:36
Bonds are being sold off as concerns about
the Fed's taper (aka the Zero Hedge-penned in May "Taper
Tantrum") propagate through the bond market, and as Bill Gross reminds
everyone of what a non-centrally planned, and Fed-backstopped, market may
one day look like (nothing good). But today's action is nothing compared to
what a real tapir tantrum looks like as one unluckly
child and its mother were forced to find out.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 12:54
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 12:38
There is one problem with the Fed's plan
that bond yields will progress ever higher in calm, cool and collected fashion
from here to 3%, 4%, 5% and onward: it assumes that those who don't
sell today, will patiently await turn to sell (with much bigger) losses
tomorrow. Of course, what happens instead is that everyone will try to sell
today, to avoid any losses tomorrow. What results, are spikes such as the one
seen on the chart below, which just took the 10 Year yield to a fresh 2 year
high of 2.8269% and rising. But perhaps most important, there are now just
under 70 bps until the
3.50% "disorderly rotation" threshold beyond which bad things
start happening.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 12:05
The chart below explains, in the simplest
possible terms, why there are many more "Detroits" on deck. It shows
the underfunded status of public vs private retiree healthcare plans. It needs
no commentary, although it may deserve one question: what happens when all
those public servants who have been promised over a trillion in healthcare
benefits upon retirement, realize it was all a lie? And then come... the
pensions.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/16/2013 - 11:46
Somehow it is not very surprising that the
person who should be most concerned should the Egyptian (non) coup spread,
namely the head of the House of Saud, is the one to condemn the previous
US-supported regime, and to voice his praises for the current US-supported
regime.
Julie Wilson | Arrested 14-year old says, “I have a
right to peacefully protest my government.”
Paul Joseph Watson | Federal agency initially denied it had
investigated Rolling Stone journalist.
Kit Daniels | Each fully loaded, magazines combined
hold almost 18,000,000 rounds.
Julie Wilson | Houston deputy sues 9-1-1 caller for
$200,000.
Kurt Nimmo | Brainchild of the insurance and
pharmaceutical industries.
Paul Joseph Watson | Wikileaks founder also praises Matt
Drudge for ‘breaking media censorship’.
Paul Joseph Watson | Center will analyze information from
private emails, cell phone calls, Google searches.
Michael Snyder | The largest Islamic nation in the Middle
East is on the verge of descending into civil war.
Larry Summers’ Fed Chair Odds
Surge Again, Cross 70%; Yellen In The Dust
zerohedge.com
| Larry Summers’ latest Fed Chairmanship odds.
Stock Market Crash Just Ahead?
Lew Rockwell.com | Central bank manipulation are fueling recessions.
Ron Paul Dismantles Corporate
Boondoggle Known as Obamacare
Kurt Nimmo
| Brainchild of the insurance and pharmaceutical industries.
The demand for physical gold is exploding all over the
world, and bullion banks are now experiencing a supply crunch that is
absolutely unprecedented. As physical demand continues to rise, the
massive Ponzi scheme that the bullion banks have been engaged in is going to
become increasingly obvious, and at some point the lack of physical gold is
going to break the back of the paper gold market and we are going to see the
price of gold go to levels that we have never seen before. You see, the
truth is that the central banks of the world and the bullion banks have made
“paper promises” that vastly exceed the amount of actual physical gold in
existence. This kind of scheme works fine if everyone does not come
asking for their gold at the same time. Unfortunately for the ones
running this scheme, people are now starting to ask for their gold back and it
is causing huge problems. (Read
More.....)
PAPER
TAKES DOWN CLINTON FOUNDATION...
'Ran
multimillion-dollar deficits, despite vast amounts of money flowing in'...
Rife
with Cronyism...
DC
Obamacare Exchange Awards $375K Grant to PLANNED PARENTHOOD...
NBCNEWS:
Businesses, Unions, Colleges all say employee hours being cut...
JESSE
JACKSON JR, WIFE OFF TO JAIL...
Kurt Nimmo | Segment aired on Wednesday, August 14,
2013, and carried a number of unsubstantiated claims.
‘…Following
MSNBC’s propaganda piece, Alex issued the following statement:
“No
one should feel safe in this climate. The establishment media can put out
whatever lie they want and the Republican Party, represented on Wagner’s show
by Michael Steele, will just agree with it because it shows the establishment
itself is threatened by the awakening that is happening. They’ve identified
Infowars.com and the journalistic system we’re building as a major threat.
That’s what the MSNBC segment is — a premeditated attack. Anyone who supports
freedom of the press needs to get behind Infowars.com and other alternative
media under attack, like investigative journalist Glenn Greenwald,
whistleblower Edward Snowden, and so many others. This is exactly how countries
fall to authoritarianism, because if they can intimidate us, shut us down and
defame us, they can defame anybody. If you care about freedom, remember this
quote from German pastor Martin Niemöller, who resisted the Nazis:
First they came for the communists,
and I didn’t speak out because I wasn’t a communist.
Then they came for the socialists,
and I didn’t speak out because I wasn’t a socialist.
Then they came for the trade unionists,
and I didn’t speak out because I wasn’t a trade unionist.
Then they came for the Jews,
and I didn’t speak out because I wasn’t a Jew.
Then they came for the Catholics,
and I didn’t speak out because I wasn’t a Catholic.
Then they came for me,
and there was no one left to speak for me.”
Alex then addressed defamation of character:
“This meets the precise definition of
willful, conscious defamation with malice of forethought with intent to do
harm. I have sued people before for defamation successfully. I don’t like to do
this, but clearly, if I don’t respond to this they will make up even more
outrageous stuff… will I be a child molester tomorrow? Will they say I’m the
bomber? They’re already saying I made people bomb stuff and I’m deeply racist
without showing a shred of proof. This is outrageous authoritarianism. So, I am
putting them on notice. I want massive retractions right now. This is your tort
warning. You are now on notice. Do you guys think you’re invincible because you
have the White House behind you? Richard Nixon thought he was invincible, too.
The American people are going to stand up against this intimidation against the
press.”
Paul Joseph Watson | Claims Tsarnaev brothers inspired by talk
show host, who is “getting paid to be racist”.
Paul Joseph Watson | Washington will not tolerate “Arab
Spring” that threatens puppet dictatorship.
Kurt Nimmo | “I believe that this president will be
tempted, if nothing happens in Congress,” said Florida senator.
Steve Watson | “He’s creating an economic
incentive for people to actually drop their insurance.”
Julie Wilson | “Low grades in school” and “brushes with
the law” initially kept teenager off heart transplant list.
Kurt Nimmo | Rodeo clown furor tyrannical attack as
NAACP calls to criminalize free speech.
Paul Joseph Watson | Ubiquitous surveillance to “detect your
moods,” “pinpoint the sources of your stress,” and “present relevant
information”.
Blunder at the Money Factory:
Feds misprint $3 billion in $100 bills, Taypayers Foot Bill To Replace
New Yorker
| Disposing of the bad bills? That’s on taxpayers… as are the additional hours
spent making up for the mistake.
This Is The Biggest Cluster Of
Hindenburg Omens Since The Last Stock Market Crash
Economic
Collapse | Are we heading for a major stock market decline?
They Are Systematically
Destroying Our Independence And Making Us All Serfs Of The State
Economic
Collapse | The percentage of Americans that are economically independent has
dropped to a stunningly low level.
London Guardian | Critics demands answers
from chairman Mike Rogers after claims that committee failed to share document
before key vote
CNS News | He also said that “ever since the
end of the Cold War, forces have been unleashed that were tamped down for
centuries by dictators.”
Paul Joseph Watson | Calls for removal of President over NSA
spying, prosecution of whistleblowers, Benghazi cover-up.
I've Got Nothing to Hide Posted by : Capitalist
Exploits
Post date: 08/13/2013 - Regardless
of what I (or you) do throughout the day we're tracked, logged, profiled and
otherwise "identified" in a hundred different ways.
Obama: Worst President in
History of the USA? Posted by: Pivotfarm Post date: 08/13/2013 - So is President Obama the worst President in
history?
Letting Tepco "Clean
Up" Fukushima Is Like Letting a Murderer Do Brain Surgery On a VIP Posted by : George
Washington
Post date: 08/14/2013 - In 3 Months,
Do We Want to Entrust U.S. "National Security" and Perhaps Even
"Human Survival” In the Northern Hemisphere to THESE Guys?
GoOGLe PoRN... Posted by: williambanzai7 Post date: 08/14/2013 - Just think of the Goldfish who wanted to die...
Submitted by williambanzai7 on 08/14/2013 13:10 -0400
.
h/t @blumaberlin
WTF!
Can I rape you?
All Search with no Porn, makes Jack a dull
boy...
Pitiful Net Serflings...
I would be concerned too if I weren't in the
government...
Is it safe?
Bwahahahahahahaha!
Honey, you'll have to sleep in the Wookie
House tonight...
Boom Booooooom!
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 20:18
Presented with no comment...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 21:16
While many Wall Street economists and
strategists shrugged in the face of tin-foil-hat-wearing
bloggers who suggested the disaster that is the part-time jobs receovery was
due to The Affordable Care Act - of 953,000 jobs created In 2013,
77%, or 731,000 are part-time - epitomized
best by Larry Kudlow and Deutsche Bank's ever-smiling Joe Lavorgna; it
seems the drag on employers' hiring has now hit the mainstream media.
As NBC
Nightly News reports in this succinct clip, things are not going according
to plan for the President's better bargain even as Fed's Bullard proclaims
"clear improvement in labor markets." Perhaps he should watch TV
this evening?
Housing Bubble Bungle Posted by : Pivotfarm Post date: 08/15/2013 - The housing market. It would be the done-thing
normally to imagine that one might learn from mistakes that have been made in
the past; and not only learn from them, but make sure that they don’t...
Physical Gold Demand Surges
53% In Q2, Total Supply Down 6% - Price Falls 35% Posted by: GoldCore Post date: 08/15/2013 - The latest World Gold Council Gold Demand
Trends report, which covers the period April-June 2013, confirms again how
recent falls in the gold price were due to speculators selling paper gold...
RoDeO CLoWN GuLaG? Posted by: williambanzai7 Post date: 08/15/2013 - Who woulda' thought? I know who...
Submitted by williambanzai7 on 08/15/2013 10:40 -0400
Rodeo Clown Gulag?
Who woulda' thought?
I know who...
Read George Orwell's letter on why he wrote
1984 via the Daily Beast: http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2013/08/12/george-orwell-s-letter-...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/15/2013 - 18:03
We have the equity market surging to new
highs. We now have the surge in yields. As Citi's FX Technicals group warn,
that's "2 down and 1 to go"… A push above the 2011-2012 peaks
in Brent crude ($127-128.40) would be the “straw” that breaks the proverbial
camel’s back with the elevated likelihood of a negative feedback
loop... knocking the third leg of consumer confidence out.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/15/2013 - 17:29
Remember when housing was the primary
aspirational asset for a still existent US middle class, to be purchased with
some equity down by your average 30 year-old hoping to start a family in his or
her brand new home, and, as the name implies, aspire to reach the American
dream? Those days are long gone. Back in those days the interest rate on the 10
Year bond mattered as it determined the prevailing marginal affordability of
leveraged real estate. That is no longer the case, at least not for about 90%
of Americans, because as Goldman shows, while before the great crisis only 20%
of home purchases were "all cash", since then the number has
soared threefold, and currently the estimated percentage of cash transactions
(by count and amount) has hit a record 60%. In other words, less than
half of all home purchases are debt-funded, and thus less than half of all home
purchases are actually representative of what middle-class America is doing.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/15/2013 - 16:44
It seems to us that the corporate bond
market (now absent the underpinning of a dominating retail technical flow) has reverted
back to the macro background reality.... the question is - what
happens when the equity market 'admits' that perhaps things are not so rosy...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/15/2013 - 16:09
Equity markets saw their highest volume in 7
weeks as the major indices plunged the most since June 20th, falling back to
their lowest level in 5 weeks.
380 new 52-week lows dominated the meager 18 new 52-week highs. The early snap
higher in Treasury yields (following the claims data) sparked the 'disorderly
rotation' out of stocks that we have warned of and as stocks saw no significant
BTFD mentality so Treasuries went modestly bid (ending the day only 5bps higher
in yield) with the belly (7Y) 8bps off its intraday high yields. The USD was
smashed lower as JPY and EUR strength dominated flow (and carry-unwind) which
further helped push the story of the day - gold and silver - up large
on the day (+2.1% and 5.6% respectively on the day). VIX surged to
14.5%, credit underperformed, as the Dow broke its 50DMA (15,280) closing near
its 100DMA (15,097). Nikkei futures are -530 From yesterday's
highs
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/15/2013 - 15:57
For the last 18 months we have been
inundated with asset-gatherers explaining that stocks are cheap and investors
should by them for they yield advantage over Treasuries. However, that 'meme', like
most others once it disagrees with the "Always Be Buying Stocks"
thesis, has been ignored recently. At current levels, 10Y US Treasuries
offer a 70bps yield advantage over the S&P 500 - the highest in 2 years
(that is a 32% yield advantage over 'the
most levered equity market ever'). Tapering 'rock' meet
'leverage-unwind' hard place...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/15/2013 - 15:37
The last time there were two aircraft
carriers and one more more amphibious groups in the 5th Fleet Area of
Responsibility (i.e., the Middle East), an Israeli invasion of Iran seemed
imminent. This time, Iran is deeply on the backburner, however Egypt, Syria,
Lebanon and others certainly are front and center. So how are key US naval
assets positioned this time around? As the Stratfor graphic below shows, the US
is currently fully prepared for any "surprises" that may happen in
the immediate and not so immediate future.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/15/2013 - 15:11
It would seem the demand
for physical gold and the apparent limit on paper-gold decompression (given
recent
musical chairs in COMEX and Gold ETF holdings rising) are
hitting at an inopportune time for the confidence-inspiring central banks of
the world... Seasonally (for 30 years), August has marked the cylical
low.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/15/2013 - 14:48
Earlier today, while looking for a certain
picture of president Obama, we used the Google Images function searching for Obama
Golfing Pics. We had no idea what Pandora's box we were about to unleash...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/15/2013 - 14:38
Unlike the supposed reality that is being
broadcast on mainstream media TV, today's volume is considerably above average.
In fact, S&P 500 futures have traded 1.8 million contracts against
a recent average of 1.125 million for this time of day. The S&P
500 has already traded its highest volume in 7 weeks (and there remains 90
minutes until the cash close). So - where is the low volume that CNBC seems
to be seeing?
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/15/2013 - 14:11
Just in case the borderline civil war in
Egypt isn't enough to inflame hostilities in the middle east region
sufficiently so the US finally gets involved, the US-funded, Al-Qaeda backed
Syrian rebels decided to launch a second escalation offensive, this time near
the very headquarters of the pro-Damascus Shiite group Hezbollah when a
powerful car bomb killed at least 14 people and wounded about 200 others,
national news agency NNA said. AFP reports
that a previously unknown group believed to be a Syrian rebel cell said it
carried out the attack. The bombing, reminiscent of the frequent attacks during
Lebanon's 1975-1990 civil war, caused enormous damage to buildings. Whether
this provocation (US funded or not) will be sufficient to force a Lebanon
escalation in the Syrian conflict is unknown, but there is only so much more
that the region, already at its breaking point, can take.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/15/2013 - 13:33
Conventional Left-Right ideologies shed
little light on the structural causes of inequality or systemic solutions to
poverty.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/15/2013 - 13:03
The reason why gold just did an upward spike
move of the type not seen since the summer of 2011, when it exploded higher by
$20 in seconds, is clear - as we noted
yesterday, JPM is now actively buying up gold in the market to meet
delivery demands. That, and countless stops getting hit, helps. But the most
important factor: Paulson, Soros et al finally got out of the yellow metal.
That meant there is only upside as the latent selling overhand is gone. As for
silver: why not...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/15/2013 - 12:59
Draghi is a clever man in charge of a
pretend central bank
(for it’s only equipped to fight inflation, not a
banking-turned-sovereign-debt-and-unemployment crisis). He must guess that
bond investors will soon figure out that a stateless central bank defending a
stateless currency is so hamstrung politically that it carries far less firepower
than, say, the Federal Reserve has over the US economy and US dollar. If his
outright-monetary-transactions bluff collapses, he may well have other tricks
ready to suppress yields on struggling sovereign debt and save the euro
(without which there is no need for the ECB). If Draghi is out of surprises, he
can be thanked for buying time for politicians to come up with durable
solutions to the eurozone’s woes. Oh, that’s another flaw with
Draghi’s scheme; it removed the pressure for politicians to act. So they
haven’t.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/15/2013 - 12:46
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/15/2013 - 12:21
While the 'people of Wal-Mart' may reflect the
people of America, we hope - based on the chart below - that the growth in
Wal-Mart does not reflect the growth of America...
DEATH TOLL SURPASSES 600
Islamic
group vows to bring down 'military coup' in Egypt...
Anger
'is beyond control now'...
Supporters
storm gov't buildings, set on fire...
Military
authorizes use of live fire on protesters...
'Scores'
of Christian churches, homes torched...
Warning
issued to tourists...
WIRE:
Snowden downloaded NSA secrets while working for DELL...
LEVIN:
FEDS MUST BE STOPPED BEFORE AMERICA IS LOST!
FBI
raids Philadelphia Sheriff's Office...
Should
taxpayer dollars be used to buy sushi and lobster for a young man whose future
plans consist entirely of surfing and partying as much as he possibly
can? When I first saw the video that I am about to share with you, I was
absolutely floored. Recently, Fox News interviewed a self-described beach
bum named Jason Greenslate who was very open about the fact that he has no
problem sponging off of all the rest of us. When he was asked if he ever
had any interest in actually getting a job, his response was "not
whatsoever". Instead, he says that his job is to "make sure the
sun's up and the girls are out" and he would rather spend his days
partying. Of course every American should be free to live their own lives
as they see fit, but the problem is that Jason Greenslate is using food stamps
to help support his lifestyle. In fact, he took Fox News into the gourmet
section of a local supermarket where he purchased sushi and lobster with his
EBT card. Sadly, he is just like millions of other young men in America
today that seemingly have had the drive to succeed and to be independent
totally sucked out of them. But what is the future of America going to
look like if we continue to produce millions upon millions of young men that
have absolutely no desire to make a living, get married and start a family? (Read
More....)
Kurt Nimmo | Ramped up propaganda effort to get you to
love NSA surveillance.
Julie Wilson | “Then he started tying everybody down and
it just got really scary.”
Steve Watson | “Head mounted” technology
will relay “emotional analytics” to advertisers.
Paul Joseph Watson | Another grisly reminder that the White
House is supporting jihadist extremists in Syria.
Paul Joseph Watson | Claims Tsarnaev brothers inspired by talk
show host, who is “getting paid to be racist”.
Paul Joseph Watson | Fallujah veteran says government is
afraid of its own citizens.
Kurt Nimmo | Segment aired on Wednesday, August 14,
2013, and carried a number of unsubstantiated claims.
Julie Wilson | Hate groups rise because whites are no
longer “geographically dominating.”
Obama’s Economic Approval Slips
to 35%
Gallup
| Approval slips even further from 42% from June.
Wall Street Journal | Dow Jones sheds 205 points.
If This Guy Is What The Future Of
America Looks Like, We Are In BIG Trouble
Economic
Collapse | Should taxpayer dollars be used to buy sushi and lobster for a young
man whose future plans consist entirely of surfing and partying as much as he
possibly can?
Ex-bosses at JPMorgan unlikely to
face charges in ‘Whale’ scandal
Reuters
| The JPMorgan Chase & Co executives who supervised the traders at the
center of the “London Whale” scandal are unlikely to face any charges.
US oil reserves reach highest
level in 28 years
Washington
Examiner | The highest level since 1985.
The “Obamacare Part-Time Jobs”
Effect Goes Mainstream
Zero
Hedge | Of 953,000 jobs created In 2013, 77%, or 731,000 are part-time.
Beck Warns Of Mass Chaos: “The
Likes of Which the Globe Has Never Seen”
Mac
Slavo | There will come a time this decade when everything that we have come to
believe about the stability of our socio-economics system will be revealed for
the underlying disaster that it really is.
Huffington Post | The New York Post promptly reported that
Gregory could be dropped from the show.
Julie Wilson | “Then he started tying everybody down and
it just got really scary.”
Steve Watson | “Head mounted” technology
will relay “emotional analytics” to advertisers.
Paul Joseph Watson | Fallujah veteran says government is
afraid of its own citizens.
Paul Joseph Watson | Another grisly reminder that the White
House is supporting jihadist extremists in Syria.
Julie Wilson | Hate groups rise because whites are no
longer “geographically dominating.”
Paul Joseph Watson | Federal agency launches aggressive
copyright claims to shut down free speech.
Kurt Nimmo | “The army’s here,” frantic woman tells
her husband.
Zero Hedge | Those damn Egyptians are so
inconsiderate, breaking out in civil war just as Obama is on vacation.
Kit Daniels | In 40-foot high watch towers, police
officers are practically prison guards over population.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 20:47
With the US denouncing actions left, right,
and center, it is tough to know what they stand for (or against) as the
coup-less coup appears to have turned into a bloody civil war. Casualty reports
vary; from 278 people dead (health ministry) to 2,000 dead (Muslim Brotherhood)
including 43 policemen and from 2,001 injured (health ministry) to 10,000
(Muslim Brotherhood). As the dreadful images below suggest, the Egyptian people
have grown divided beyond the point of no return, and despite the jingoist
platitudes and rhetoric of John Kerry describing the "deplorable"
situation on the ground, the reality of a civil war now seem inevitable. So
with the US still stuck in denial (and for the CIA - phonetically so),
pro-Mursi protesters clash with police, military, and one another as all
hell breaks loose.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 19:38
Today, we believe, we are a bit more
enlightened that those in the past. Humanity has progressed, and we can look
back on those days with utter incredulity wondering how
anyone could have possibly believed such nonsense... how anyone
could pass off such ridiculous assertions as real science. Well guess what...
in the future, they’ll probably look back and say the same thing about us. Only
this time, our ‘faux science’ is economics.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 19:10
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 17:58
With Silver's strong recent run, Citi FX
Technicals suggest the present technical set up is now starting to look very
constructive. At the same time, they add, Gold is also starting to move higher;
and trending moves in the precious metals (up or down) tend to be led by the
Silver price and the Gold/Silver ratio remains supportive of that view again.
Given that they remain cautious near term about the fortunes of the US Dollar,
all of the above would suggest, Citi concludes, that the
"playbook" is to be long Silver against the USD.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 17:32
It seems like it was just yesterday when
CSCO announced
it would fire 10,000 people. And then another
1,300. And then another
500. Fast forward to today when the "one-time, non-recurring"
termination charges are back, as the "recovery", now in its 5th year,
progresses a little differently than expected, this time with another 4,000 FTE
told to pack their bags.
CISCO TO CUT 4,000 JOBS OR 5% OF WORKFORCE
CISCO SAYS IT REMAINS 'VERY MUCH A COMPANY ON THE OFFENSIVE'
Nobody can blame the company, however: why
keep full-time workers, when switching over to part-timers will do just as
fine, and generate significant benefits to the bottom line and shareholders.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 16:36
Something funny happened on the road to the
epic consumer balance sheet cleansing and subsequent releveraging (without
which there can be no actual non-Fed sugar high fueled
recovery): the second quarter. And specifically, as the Fed just
disclosed in its quarterly Household
Debt and Credit Report, the number of consumer bankruptcies during the
second quarter, just jumped by 71K, to 380K from 309K in Q1, the
biggest quarterly jump in precisely three years - on both an absolute
and relative basis - and the most since the 158K jump recorded in Q2 2010.
It appears that when the "releveraging" US consumer isn't
busy buying stuff on credit, they are just as busy filing for bankruptcy.
Healthy consumer-led recovery and all that.
There’s an Obama Page on Facebook that has over 131,
000 likes from
people, Americans or not. There are more than double that number of people that are ‘talking
about’ the page by posting it on their own walls. A fan page (of sorts)
dedicated to the President of the United States. But, not your normal fan page. It’s the ‘Obama
is the Worst President Ever’ page.
By the time President Obama steps down from
office, the USA will more than likely not be anything more than a shadow of its
former self. That won’t be all due to the doing of President Obama, but
the Chinese rise
to glory as thefirst country in the world economically-speaking by the year 2016, amongst other things of course (it’s not
all the fault of the Chinese either, is it?).
So is President Obama the worst President in
history? Does he really live up to his fan (?) page on Facebook? How do you measure whether or not he is
the worst, at any rate?
Obama said in 2009 ‘the recession is over’, but
few believed him. Anyhow, when he said that the US was doing ‘better’
at the time than ‘the worst of the recession’, that couldn’t have been
hard, could it? By definition, recoveries are always better than the worst of
the recessions that we have gone through in history. Isn’t that the way they
always work? But, it’s not the recovery in comparison with the recession that
should be compared, it’s the recovery and the boom-times after those historical
recessions that need comparison to see just where we stand today and if the US
has got back on track with President Obama’s policies.
According
to the records of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, it took an average of just over two years
(25 months,
to be exact) to regain the level of employment prior to every one of the last ten recessions that the country has gone
through.
When
the Great Recession officially began in December
2007, there was an
unemployment rate of 4.9%.
Some
analysts say that the US won’t reach that sort of level until at least 2023.
Obama
will be long gone by then, somewhere probably with Ben Bernanke in a hide-out.
The
latest figures for unemployment stand at 7.4%, although admittedly if we look at real
unemployment figures, then we are talking at least 14% since many of those that are classed
as U6 (who
are seeking full-time employment) are not counted in the figures if they are
marginally employed (working for as little as just one hour a week perhaps).
U3 people (but doesn’t include anyone who
has not been looking for work for the previous four weeks) are the most used for figures
to express US unemployment rates.
It’s
not about the numbers; it’s all about what you actually do with them that
counts. It’s a bit like a game of poker. Get the cards and it’s what you do
with them that’s going to make you come up a winner when the chips get thrown
on the table. Obama has thrown his cards in already.
It’s
been 5 and a half years down the line now since the
Great Recession began. It’s been over for over 3 years now that the Great
Recession has
officially been declared behind the US and part of history only to be
remembered.
We
are still waiting to see a return to the job level of pre-2007. Time’s up, Mr. Obama.
The six levels of unemployment are all published
by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, but only one gets any coverage, and
that’s not the real one.
The
US is still trying to make up for a shortfall of at least 2% on the pre-Great Recession
unemployment figures. The US has 2.5
million fewer
jobs today (but that’s not the real unemployment).
The
US has experienced the second longest period of unemployment above 8% ever between 1948 and 2013(the worst period being in 1981-1982).
Unemployment
may well fall to around 6% in 2015 as estimated, but that might well be
only due to the fact that people who are discouraged fall out of the figures.
In
the past ten recessions before the Great Recession
took place, Gross Domestic Product returned to levels seen prior to the
recession within a period on average of 4-5
quarters.
The
Obama recovery took 16 quarters.
GDP
reached 1.1% in the first quarter of 2013 and then rose to 1.7% in the second quarter.
It
managed to reach just 2.8% in 2012.
According
to statisticians, if you were to take the real GDP growth under Obama and
then double it (just for fun), Obama would still
come out of it all as the worst president for the last 60 years.
Real median household income in the USA fell by $4,
500 under
Obama’s first mandate, which is the average monthly salary.
US
middle-class households have lost a month’s salary, therefore; or about 8%.
In
comparison with 2009, real median household income has declined
under Obama by 6% today.
The
decline in real median househould income during the official dates of the recession
(2007 until 2009) only fell by 2.6%.
Under
Obama it has doubled.
Since 2009, the USA has seen the number of poor in the
country increase by 31%.
There
are now nearly 50 million that are classed as ‘poor’ in
the country.
The
Federal poverty threshold is an annual income of $23,
550 for four people in a family (subtracting or
adding$4, 020 per
person for additional or fewer people in the family).
A
single poor person has an annual income of $11,
490.
The
Census Bureau calculates in a different way, but the poverty threshold stands
at $23, 283 (family
of four).
The
levels of poverty and the number of people living in poor conditions have never
been higher for the past 50 years.
Yes, granted the Great Recession has been
the worst possible recession experienced in history by its speed and by its
knock-on effects, so the past might not be a useful tool to equate the new-style
of slumps that we will possibly experience from now on. But, the Great
Recession officially only lasted a short while. Maybe they were too quick at
getting out the flags and the bunting to announce that it was over. At any
rate, the Great Recession has had no Great Recovery. Not, yet, anyhow.
But why have all of these points been the
failures of a man elected on a promise to rush in a new era in the US? Obama
increased spending when he got into office and brought it to record levels.
The
deficit was already nearly at $1 trillion when he arrived, to which he added
the $830 billion stimulus
program, plus the $1.7-trillion Obamacare, with the bailouts and the financial
reforms to boot.
The
second reason why Obama has not managed to reduce unemployment is because the
economy has not been relaunched. The tax proposal issued in April this year
would increase taxation for 98% of those on incomes over $200,
000 a year in
the USA. Increasing taxation will not bring about a revamping of the economy.
Regulations
have also increased under Obama and made doing business more difficult.
The Code of Federal Regulations increased under Obama by more
than 11 thousand pages. That means that businesses have
to spend more money on complying with the regulations, at a time when they just
don’t have it. Annual compliance has been estimated at roughly $1.7
trillion per
year (all federal regulations).
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‘…He’s
nothing today but that actor, simply because the US has lost all notion of
democracy.
Obama
just acts for the shop-front window-dressing game that is played out on
television and in the mainstream media. It’s the others that are running the
country. They are the ones that are mightily more powerful than any president
will ever manage to be in the future, unless a dictator pops out of the wings
and runs on stage to pull the final curtain. The spy-agencies,
the National Security Agency, the private
interest groups and the lobbies run
the United States of America today, not Obama, not anyone else. Throw in a
little bit of Wall Street and
the BanksterGangsters and hey
presto we have a Republic. But, it’s a republic in which bananas have
been replaced by other such commodities as gold, or steel or gas and petrol,
but the government employees are no less influenced to illegitimately
exploit their positions to further their own personal gains, while the workers
of the country actually pay back the sums that are siphoned off, embezzled and
fraudulently obtained.
The media no longer reports on what is going
wrong in the puppet-show as they have already suffered the consequences of an
embittered NSA that has wrapped them over the knuckles in a stance that would
liken them to patriots turned bad. Edward Snowden has
just made a statement that accuses the National Security Agency of
drawing up a list of journalists that were critical of the US state in the wake
of 9/11.
In an interview to the New York
Times Magazine he declared: “After 9/11, many of the most
important news outlets in American abdicated their role as a check to power –
the journalistic responsibility to challenge the excesses of government – for
fear of being seen as unpatriotic and punished in the market during a period of
heightened nationalism”.
Heightened nationalism and extended
patriotism in the USA is the order of the day. Fall into line, or the guys that
pull the strings on the puppet will target you.
Paul Craig Roberts, economist and former Assistant secretary
of the Treasury under the Reagan Administration,
believes that the US is a ‘lawless’ state in which ‘humanity is
drowning in Washington’s criminality’.
James Risen, the New York Times national
security reporter risks being jailed for refusing to provide the name of a
source. A court of appeal in Virginia has just ordered that a journalist must
provide a source upon request from the state and that puts journalism on a bad
footing for the future. Risen says he’ll stand by his convictions and go to
prison if it comes down to that. The US administration has turned into a
ministry of propaganda and a mouthpiece for the organs that stand behind the
President.
The US administration has closed down
embassies around the world and shipped the diplomats out, packing up and
fleeing. The attack on the United States is so imminent that for the first time
in history the US has fled? Really?
But, hang on, Al-Qaeda was
done and dusted ages ago we were told when the government of the United States
andPresident Obama announced that Bin Laden was
dead, back in 2011. But, now the National Security Agency
is justified in listening in on us. Without them, millions of Americans might
have suffered around the world. I’m with you, now! The imminently ‘strategically-significant’
attacks caused 21 embassies to be closed. Then 9 reopened
the following day.
James R. Clapper, the Director of the National
Intelligence Agency itself, apologized not so long ago for lying
to Congress about the activities of the NSA. When asked if the NSA collected
data on millions of Americans he replied that “no, Sir” it did not.
Clapper is still in his position at the head of the National Intelligence
Agency, but it’s hardly likely to change. Who would boot him out? It’s one of
the agencies running the show.
We should have realized long ago when Ben
Bernanke said to Senator (when asked to whom $2.2
trillion had been lent in the bail-out program) just one short,
sharp word: “No”. Back then in2009, it was Congress that
had lost the battle and the Federal Reserve that had thrown down the gauntlet
at the feet of the American people.
The Federal Reserve was
no longer accountable to anybody, let alone those that had been elected by the
people, for the people. But the Gettysburg Address is
only history, isn’t it? Impotency comes with old age, so we are told and
Congress was getting on a bit, wasn’t it?
The Americans are immensely proud of their
country. Their nation was constructed on an idea of unity in diversity. Being
diverse meant that they had to hold on to one thing. That one thing was
incarnated in the body of the imaginary Presidential ideal. But, that’s long
gone. Although the pride exists and lingers on still today, but the only unity
is that of repaying the national debt of close to $17 trillion.
Although, Professor Lawrence Kotlikoff of the University
of Boston has estimated that this figure too is pure
wool-over-our-eyes fantasy. The real national debt, when we have included the
full cost of unfunded liabilities such as Medicare and the Social Security
programs, then we reach about $222 trillion in
national debt.
Obama the worst President? Probably not in
the light of the fact that he isn’t President and nobody will be unless the
system is modified. But, we love a scapegoat. We defend the underdog. How many
of us have stood our ground and defended the banksters that
were sent down for billions, the guys that have brought down the banks? How
many of us have said that it was unfairly contemptible to condemn one single
man as the lone wolf, the agitator of the banks’ crimes? How many of us have
seen the Kerviel-ing of bankers brought to justice for what
they were told to do by the guys at the top lapping up the cream? Yet, we
criticize one sole man that stands as a window-dressed statue in the shop front
of the Oval Office in some big White House that stood for something once and
bring him down like a crashing monument after the revolution has long moved on?
Originally
posted Obama
NOT Worst President in reply to Obama: Worst President in US
History?
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Technical
Analysis: Bear
Expanding Triangle | Bull Expanding Triangle | Bull Falling Wedge | Bear Rising Wedge | High & Tight Flag
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 16:06
We have not been shy of sharing our opinion
on the hedonics-adjusted, constantly recalibrated-basket-based idiocy that is
the government's measures of inflation. However, this morning's Liesman-led
cognitive dissonance at the PPI was smashed from the government's Matrix by
Rick Santelli's frustration spilling over... Santelli barks, "Listen, I
don't believe the government's calculations. There, I said
it... I don't have better numbers; I have common sense;" adding that
(just as we
noted here with energy and real
expenses) that "there's a difference between real life and the
government."
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 17:58
With Silver's strong recent run, Citi FX
Technicals suggest the present technical set up is now starting to look very
constructive. At the same time, they add, Gold is also starting to move higher;
and trending moves in the precious metals (up or down) tend to be led by the
Silver price and the Gold/Silver ratio remains supportive of that view again.
Given that they remain cautious near term about the fortunes of the US Dollar,
all of the above would suggest, Citi concludes, that the
"playbook" is to be long Silver against the USD.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 17:32
It seems like it was just yesterday when
CSCO announced
it would fire 10,000 people. And then another
1,300. And then another
500. Fast forward to today when the "one-time, non-recurring"
termination charges are back, as the "recovery", now in its 5th year,
progresses a little differently than expected, this time with another 4,000 FTE
told to pack their bags.
CISCO TO CUT 4,000 JOBS OR 5% OF WORKFORCE
CISCO SAYS IT REMAINS 'VERY MUCH A COMPANY ON THE OFFENSIVE'
Nobody can blame the company, however: why
keep full-time workers, when switching over to part-timers will do just as
fine, and generate significant benefits to the bottom line and shareholders.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 16:36
Something funny happened on the road to the
epic consumer balance sheet cleansing and subsequent releveraging (without
which there can be no actual non-Fed sugar high fueled
recovery): the second quarter. And specifically, as the Fed just
disclosed in its quarterly Household
Debt and Credit Report, the number of consumer bankruptcies during the
second quarter, just jumped by 71K, to 380K from 309K in Q1, the
biggest quarterly jump in precisely three years - on both an absolute
and relative basis - and the most since the 158K jump recorded in Q2 2010.
It appears that when the "releveraging" US consumer isn't
busy buying stuff on credit, they are just as busy filing for bankruptcy.
Healthy consumer-led recovery and all that.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 16:13
The cluster of Hindenburgs is indicating a very worried market (for
example 99 New Highs and 231 New Lows) and for a change a Fed speaker was unable
to provide the headline-reading BTFD ammo to save us from the drop in stocks.
The 6th down day in the last 8 in stocks and red on the
month-to-date screens is not something we are used to seeing. The USD was flat
to slightly lower on the day (even as AUD surged and JPY leaked higher) as were
Treasury yields (which took a pause after 2 days of being smashed higher). While
bonds were flatish, homebuilders and utilities stocks were jammed lower once
again (as AAPL pulled Tech and the Nasdaq to outperform again). Copper
and oil were also flat on the day but gold saw some improvement (over $1330)
and Silver surged 2% (up over 6% on the week now - biggest week since
Oct 2011). Yesterday's near-record steepness in VIX's term structure
that we warned about seems to have been followed by the usual short-end rip as VIX
broke back above 13%.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 15:39
How Bad Can Things Get? Nobody knows the answer, so we have to
consider our responses to a spectrum of possibilities. President Calvin
Coolidge famously remarked, "If you see ten troubles coming down the
road, you can be sure that nine will run into the ditch before they reach
you." While there is certainly much wisdom in this reassurance, that
still leaves us the task of preparing for the one that doesn't run harmlessly
into the ditch.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 15:12
Freshly-minuted MBAs "are willing to
sleep on a couch for a year or two, but they can't do it with the
burden of student loans," is how on senior lecturer describes the
entrepreneurial-spirit-sucking debt loads that college-leavers face in the new
normal. Faced with mounting monthly payments, the
WSJ reports that would-be-Bezos have little choice but to look for the
steady paychecks that accompany a regular job. Recent surveys find that "the
single largest inhibitor to entrepreneurship is the student loan" burden
and it seems states are beginning to realize this growth-inhibiting reality. In
order to tamp down ambition-busters such as "I would be a serial
entrepreneur if it weren't for my student loans," California (and Rhode
Island) are enacting legislation to reduce college costs and looking at the
feasibility of temporary forbearance. While some see their
student-loans as a motivator, it seems many more are forced down a different
path due to the "real responsibilities."
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 14:47
It appears John Kerry has once
more disembarked from the "Isabel" and was kind enough to share
his latest incisive thoughts on the borderline civil war in non-coup'y,
democratic Egypt.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 14:33
The Wall Street Journal recently ran a front-page
article reporting that the monetary-policy “doves,” who had forecast
low inflation in the United States, have gotten the better of the “hawks,”
who argued that the Fed’s monthly purchases of long-term securities, or
so-called quantitative easing (QE), would unleash faster price growth. The
report was correct but misleading, for it failed to mention why
there is so little inflation in the US today. Those who believe that
inflation will remain low should look more thoroughly and think more clearly.
There are plenty of good textbooks that explain what too many policymakers
and financial-market participants would rather forget.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 14:07
Nothing like kicking a beached scapewhale
when it's down.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 13:54
It seems the headline-reading algos are in
charge once again... as Fed's Bullard held an informal discussion this
lunchtime, Bloomberg headlines sent the S&P 500 (the index that
represents 500 major US corporations economic viability) up and down
rapidly...
*BULLARD SAYS FED DOING 'WHAT IT CAN DO' TO
AID U.S. RECOVERY (not
so hopeful)
*BULLARD SEES 'A LOT OF RISK GOING FORWARD' OF HIGHER INFLATION (uh
oh, Sell!)
*BULLARD: FED NEEDS TO MAINTAIN CRED. ON 2% INFLATION GOAL (oh
wait, Buy!)
*BULLARD SAYS U.S. SHOULD MAKE BIGGEST BANKS SMALLER (umm,
Sell!)
And so the game goes on...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 13:25
Taper worries got you down? Then forget
Europe, don't mess with China, and run from Emerging markets and instead do
what all other professional traders do and chase the momentum in this best
performing in 2013 stock market.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 12:49
“For my own part I did not see and did not
appreciate what the risks were with securitization, the credit ratings
agencies, the shadow banking system, the S.I.V.’s — I didn’t see any of that
coming until it happened.” - Janet Yellen, 2010
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 12:34
Unlike the previously 'staged' Muslim
Brotherhood demonstrations, we suspect this 'real' clip of the escalating
and deadly situation in Egypt will open a few eyes to how close the nation is
to civil war.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/14/2013 - 12:15
Http/1.1 Service Unavailable
SH*T You WoN'T See IN NYC... Posted by: williambanzai7 Post date: 08/13/2013 - Frisk and Sink...
Are
we heading for a major stock market decline? Warnings about a crash of
the financial markets are quite common these days, and usually they don't
materialize. But this time may be different. A number of top
analysts are pointing out the fact that the biggest cluster of "Hindenburg
Omens" has appeared since the last stock market crash. And those
that have studied this insist that the more "Hindenburg Omens" there
are in a cluster, the stronger the signal is. Meanwhile, another very
disturbing sign is the fact that the yield on 10 year U.S. Treasuries is
starting to soar again. On Tuesday it shot up from 2.62% to 2.727%.
As I have written about previously, the yield on 10 year U.S. Treasuries is the most important number in the
U.S. economy right now. If that number continues to rise, it
is going to be very, very bad news for the financial system. (Read
More....)
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/13/2013 - 18:15
Back in 2010, when few still
dared to question that the entire move in the market is predicated on the
Fed's daily POMO (then still on QE2), we
laid out, in a way so easy even
a caveman could grasp it, how every tiny move in the stock market is
nothing but a function of the Fed's daily POMO on those days in which Bernanke
would be directly injecting liquidity into the capital markets using his
Primary Dealer frontmen. Since then nearly three years have passed, and
thousands of POMO days. All of which brings us to this quarter's Treasury
refunding presentation, and specifically the section "Effects of
policy and market structure" from the Presentation to the Treasury
Borrowing Advisory Committee, in which we learn that we had in fact been right
all along, and that perhaps for the first time ever, the Treasury admitted that
not only "no one dares fight the Fed" but that, as
expected, it is "all POMO."
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/13/2013 - 20:01
A recent survey of asset managers globally,
managing USD 27.4 trillion between them, found that 78% of defined-benefit
plans would need annual returns of at least 5% per year to meet their
commitments, while 19% required more than 8%, "a target of 5% per year
can be reached but only by using leverage, shorting, and derivavtives."
And sure enough, as Deutsche Bank (DB) reports, in short, investors have rarely been more levered than today!
According to DB, a MoM change in NYSE margin debt >10% has to be taken
as a critical warning signal as there are astonishing similarities in the
sequence of events among all crises. As the S&P 500 just hit a new
all-time high, investors might want to ask themselves when it is a good
time to become more cautious – yesterday, in our view. Simply put, the
higher margin debt levels rise, the more fragile the underlying basis on which
prices trade; with even a less severe sell-off in equities capable of
triggering a collapse.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/13/2013 - 19:30
The percentage of Americans that are
economically independent has dropped to a stunningly low level. What we have in America today is a situation
where economic independence is being systematically eradicated and the
government is increasingly being expected to provide our daily bread and to
take care of all of us from the cradle to the grave. And once you
become a serf of the state, it is very hard to resist anything the government
is doing in a meaningful way. After all, the money that you are
getting from the government is enabling you to survive. In essence, your
allegiance has been at least partially purchased and you may not even realize
it. At this point, the number of Americans that are financially dependent
on the government is absolutely staggering, and it gets worse with each passing
year. Just consider the following statistics...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/13/2013 - 18:54
While all the attention of the world's
investing public - focused on the short-term repo markets in China - has been
ameliorated by the PBOC's 'fold' thanks to ~CNY600bn in liquidity provision (or
an equivalent 65bp RRR cut), liquidity concerns remain high (and not so
hidden if one knows where to look). Not only has there been a surge in
copper imports - based on the cash-for-copper deals replacing short-term
funding but concerns raised by investors and the PBOC over duration mismatches
(exposed by the recent crisis) has forced Chinese banks to seek longer-term
funding. Banks are now raising longer-term deposit rates in order to attract
stickier term-deposits and this is causing medium-term Chinese bond
yields to surge.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/13/2013 - 17:54
"Preservation of Capital" is much
more important than any other strategy in the marketplace and this has been
demonstrated time and time again over the centuries. Gold, since
ancient times, has served four functions. The first is for jewelry
and this is a subject for lunch at the Four Seasons. This is not where we are
dining today. The three other functions of gold are a replacement for a
currency, an asset that rises in value in times of inflation and an asset that
becomes more valuable when Fear is hard upon the market place. It is then
a matter of viewpoint where you think we are now but given the sell-off in
gold, the possibility of a dark horse or two beginning to trot after
the German elections or the fantasy numbers pumped out of China becoming unmasked;
gold is an interesting option these days. But there is potentially
another 'trade'...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/13/2013 - 17:31
British Prime Minister David Cameron has written
an article in the Daily Telegraph in which he has called for all UK
communities to show support for the fracking industry, and welcome the coming
shale gas boom, stating that such a boom will lower energy bills and
create jobs. Despite his demand for Brits to do the patriotic thing, "experts
from Ofgem to Deutsche Bank to drilling company Cuadrilla itself argue that UK
shale will not bring down bills, because, unlike the US, the
UK is part of a huge European gas market.”
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/13/2013 - 16:50
With European stocks at multi-month highs,
European bond risk at multi-year lows, US equities near all-time highs, US
equity volatility expectations near post-crisis lows, and credit risk
volatility fading, one could be forgiven for believing it's all gonna be ok. Of
course, that assumes we get through the next six weeks unscathed...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/13/2013 - 16:12
Intraday volatility remains extreme in
almost every asset class.
Today it was bonds and corn's turn as the former saw 7Y yields jump over 10bps
(for the worst 2 days in 6 weeks on moar Taper talk) and the latter dropped 4%
on the day to 3-year lows (on record crop expectations). Equity markets
performed the now-ubiquitous intraday reversal as early shorting was
squeezed back quickly to a green close. short-term VIX was smashed lower soon
after the US open but faded back higher into the close to end around 12.5% (but
the VIX term structure is now at 4 months steeps). FX markets were very
active (JPY -2% and AUD -1% on the week) pulling the USD +0.75% but Treasuries
have been battered (10Y near 2 year high yields) with 7Y adding 15bps
this week (and Utility and homebuilder stocks have suffered the most).
Gold dropped a little on the USD strength, silver stayed green and copper and
oil were flat. Oh and Carl Icahn tweeted and pulled Tech and the Nasdaq to
outperform.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/13/2013 - 15:55
For the 5th time in the last 7 days, equity market internals have triggered an
anxiety-implying Hindenburg Omen. Based on our data, this is the most
concentrated cluster of new highs, new lows, advancing/declining based
confusion on record. The last few occurrences have not ended well (though
obviously not disastrously) but as the creator of the 'Omen' notes, the more
occurrences that cluster, the stronger the signal.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/13/2013 - 15:37
From goal-seeked GDP, manipulated inflation,
liquidity-flow-exaggerated trade data, and hidden (and divergent) PMI details, the
question of the unreliability of Chinese data is not a new one. However,
anecdotes aside, a new study from Peking University finds, conservatively,
correcting for housing price inflation in the Chinese CPI data adds
approximately 1% to annual consumer price inflation in China, reducing
real GDP by 8-12% or more than $1 trillion.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/13/2013 - 15:09
While we congratulate Carl Icahn (or is that
iCahn) for once again taking over the spotlight in what has otherwise been a
newsflow empty summer doldrum week, and like everyone else, are surprised by
his most recent activist target, the country's on-again, off-again most
valuable by market cap company, Apple, we do, as we did before when David
Einhorn proposed virtually the same activist play, have some questions. Chief
among them: how will AAPL fund any proposed expanded buyback or
increased dividend using domestic cash?
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/13/2013 - 15:00
Every failing organization, from empires to
school districts, responds to its embarrassingly visible failure by proclaiming
one reform after another. To
take but a few from a long list, China is "reforming" its
hopelessly corrupt, debt-based central-planning economy, President Obama is
"reforming" the Global Surveillance State (into a presumably kinder,
gentler machine gun hand?), The European Union is "reforming" its banking
sector and the overly complex U.S. Sickcare system is being reformed with 2,300
pages of additional complexity under the Orwellian title of Affordable Care Act
(ACA), a.k.a. ObamaCare. The one dynamic that matters is of course left
unsaid: the inability of the Status Quo to reform itself, i.e.
undertake fundamental, systemic reforms. This inability has many
facets but only one root: political sclerosis caused by entrenched, vested
interests seeking to protect their perquisites and power. This is as true of
local school districts as it is of entire states.
Clowns
ordered to 'sensitivity training'...
Announcer,
Rodeo President Resign...
'I
know I'm a clown, Obama just running around acting like one, doesn't know he is
one'...
MO CONTROVERSY SPIRALING OUT OF
CONTROL...
'It's
entertainment'...
NAACP:
DOJ, Secret Service Should Investigate...
Obama
Feasts on Fried Shrimp, Fried Oysters, Onion Rings...
Teen
unemployment rate in CA: 33%...
Snowden:
NSA targeted journalists critical of government after 9/11...
Secret
Service monitored REDDIT co-founder before suicide...
Michael
Hastings Was Investigating CIA Director John Brennan...
NC
guv signs extensive voter ID law...
POLITICO:
'The coming war'...
Missouri
Fair clown draws criticism for Obama mask...
'Shameful'
and 'unacceptable'...
Hooting
and hollering from the stands...
DEMS
BLAST RODEO CLOWN...
DOG
DAYS: BO AIRLIFTED TO OBAMA HOLIDAY HOME...
Quadruple
amputee has wheelchair stolen while on vacation...
AMERICANS
RENOUNCING CITIZENSHIP AT RECORD LEVELS...
WEINER
OFFERS SUPPORTERS 'SNEAK PEEK'...
POLL:
Sets new record with 80% disapproval...
Two-thirds
of NYC say Weiner, Spitzer 'embarrassing'...
Have
things gotten so bad that it is time to leave the United States for good?
That is a question that a lot of Americans are dealing with these days, and an
increasing number of them are choosing to leave the country of their birth
permanently. Some are doing it for tax reasons, some are doing it because
they believe the future is brighter elsewhere, and others are doing it because
they are very distressed about the direction that America is heading and they
don't see any hope for a turnaround any time soon. Personally, I have
several friends and contacts that regard themselves as "preppers"
that have decided that the United States is too far gone to recover. They
have moved their families out of the country and they never plan to
return. As this nation continues to head down the very troubled road that
it is currently on, this trend is probably only going to accelerate even more. (Read
More....)
The
percentage of Americans that are economically independent has dropped to a
stunningly low level. In order to be economically independent, you have
got to be able to take care of yourself without any assistance from anyone
else. Unless you are independently wealthy, that means that you either have
your own business or you have a full-time job. Unfortunately, as you will
see below, the percentage of Americans that are self-employed is at an all-time
record low and the percentage of Americans with a full-time job has declined to
a level not seen in about 30 years. As a result, more Americans than ever
find themselves forced to turn to the government for assistance. When you
add it all up, about half of all Americans get money from the government each
month these days. And yes, there will always be poor people that cannot
take care of themselves that need help, but when you have more than half of the
population dependent on the government that is a major problem. You see,
the truth is that our independence is systematically being taken away from us and
we are steadily being made serfs of the state. And once you become a serf
of the state, it is very hard to resist anything the government is doing in a
meaningful way. After all, the money that you are getting from the
government is enabling you to survive. In essence, your allegiance has
been at least partially purchased and you may not even realize it. (Read
More....)
Are
the current personnel cuts the beginning of the end for the U.S. Marines?
Could these actually be the last days of the U.S. Marine Corps? A decade
ago, such a notion would have been absolutely unthinkable, but times have
changed. The Marine Corps was already in the process of drawing down from
a peak of 202,100 Marines to 182,100, and now Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel is
warning that the sequester cuts may force the Army to be cut down to a size of 380,000
and the Marine Corps to be cut down to a size of 150,000.
Unfortunately for the Marines, even larger cuts may eventually be coming.
Many in the Obama administration and in the Pentagon are now openly questioning
whether there will be an important role for the Marines to play in the
future. After all, the U.S. military has not conducted a major amphibious
landing since the Korean War. As our politicians look for even more ways
to cut military expenses in the years ahead, the Marines may end up being very
tempting "low hanging fruit" that the bureaucrats can't resist.
And unless another major conflict erupts, it seems clear that more cuts are
probably coming. In fact, even the New York Times admits that "deep
reductions" to the U.S. military have long been an important goal for
Barack Obama. (Read
More....)
How
much is 1,000,000,000,000,000 yen worth? Well, a quadrillion yen is worth
approximately 10.5 trillion dollars. It is an amount of money that is
larger than the "the economies of Germany, France
and the U.K. combined". It is such an astounding amount
of debt that it is hard to even get your mind around it. The government
debt to GDP ratio in Japan will reach 247
percent this year, and the Japanese currently spend about 50
percent of all central government tax revenue on debt service.
Realistically, there are only two ways out of this overwhelming debt trap for
the Japanese. Either they default or they try to inflate the debt
away. At this point, the Japanese have chosen to try to inflate the debt
away. They have initiated the greatest quantitative easing experiment
that a major industrialized nation has attempted since the days of the Weimar
Republic. Over the next two years, the Bank of Japan plans to
zap 60 trillion yen into existence out of thin air and
use it to buy government bonds. By the time this program is over, the
monetary base in Japan will have approximately doubled.
But authorities in Japan are desperate. They know that the Japanese debt
bomb could set off global panic at any time, and they are trying to find a way
out that will not cause too much pain. (Read
More....)
Have you ever seen the movie “Idiocracy”? It is a
movie about an “average American” that wakes up 500 years in the future only to
discover that he is the most intelligent person by far in the “dumbed down”
society that is surrounding him. Unfortunately, that film is a very
accurate metaphor for what has happened to American society today. We
have become so “dumbed down” that we don’t even realize what has happened to
us. But once in a while something comes along that reminds us of how far
we have fallen. In Kentucky, an eighth grade exam from 1912 was recently donated
to the Bullitt County History Museum. When I read this exam over, I was
shocked at how difficult it was. Could most eighth grade students pass
such an exam today? Of course not. In fact, I don’t even think that
I could pass it. Sadly, this is even more evidence of “the deliberate
dumbing down of America” that former Department of Education official Charlotte
Iserbyt is constantly warning us about. The American people are not
nearly as mentally sharp as they once were, and with each passing generation it
gets even worse. (Read
More.....)
Just
check out some of the questions from the eighth grade exam that was
discovered. Do you think that you could correctly answer these?…
-Through
which waters would a vessel pass in going from England through the Suez Canal
to Manila?
-How
does the liver compare in size with other glands in the human body?
-How
long of a rope is required to reach from the top of a building 40 feet high to
the ground 30 feet from the base of a building?
-Compare
arteries and veins as to function. Where is the blood carried to be purified?
-During
which wars were the following battles fought: Brandywine, Great Meadows,
Lundy’s Lane, Antietam, Buena Vista?
A
copy of the exam is posted below. Today, it would be a real challenge for
many college students to correctly answer most of these questions correctly…
If
you would like to know what the correct answers to these questions are, you can
find them right here.
One
of the areas that Americans are horribly deficient in today is geography.
If you give them a blank world map, most Americans can only identify a very
limited number of countries. In fact, according to a survey that was
conducted by the National Geographic Society several years ago, only 37 percent of all Americans between the
ages of 18 and 24 could find the nation of Iraq on a map of the world even
though the United States was actively fighting a war there at the time.
Our
young people are also horribly deficient when it comes to math and
science. At this point, 15-year-olds in the United States do not even rank in
the top half of all industrialized nations when it comes to math
and science literacy.
How
do we expect to thrive as a nation with these kinds of results?
In
a previous article entitled “Dumb
As A Rock: You Will Be Absolutely Amazed At The Things That U.S. High School
Students Do Not Know“, I discussed some more survey results that show how
dumb our high school students have become…
*Only
43 percent of all U.S. high school students knew that the Civil War was fought
some time between 1850 and 1900.
*More
than a quarter of all U.S. high school students thought that Christopher
Columbus made his famous voyage across the Atlantic Ocean after the year 1750.
*Approximately
a third of all U.S. high school students did not know that the Bill of Rights
guarantees freedom of speech and freedom of religion.
*Only
60 percent of all U.S. students knew that World War I was fought some time
between 1900 and 1950.
Even
more shocking were the results of a survey of Oklahoma high
school students conducted back in 2009. The following is a list of the
questions that were asked and the percentage of students that answered
correctly….
What
is the supreme law of the land? 28 percent
What
do we call the first ten amendments to the Constitution? 26 percent
What
are the two parts of the U.S. Congress? 27 percent
How
many justices are there on the Supreme Court? 10 percent
Who
wrote the Declaration of Independence? 14 percent
What
ocean is on the east coast of the United States? 61 percent
What
are the two major political parties in the United States? 43 percent
We
elect a U.S. senator for how many years? 11 percent
Who
was the first President of the United States? 23 percent
Who
is in charge of the executive branch? 29 percent
So
why is this happening?
Well,
for one thing, our system of public education is a complete and total
joke. We have millions of kids “graduating from high school” that can
barely read, that have almost no ability to speak in public, that cannot write
a decent essay and that cannot balance a checkbook.
It
also doesn’t help that Americans (especially young Americans) are absolutely
addicted to entertainment. Americans spend an average of 153 hours watching television each month,
and when we aren’t watching television we are watching movies, playing video
games, surfing the Internet, etc.
When
is the last time that you saw a young person actually reading a book that was
not required for school? Yes, it does happen once in a while, but it is
so rare that it is kind of startling when you spot it happening.
But
it is not just our young people that have been “dumbed down”. Even our
presidents have been “dumbed down”. If you doubt this, just check out this amazing graphic which
shows how the reading level of State of the Union addresses has steadily
declined since the beginning of our nation.
Personally,
I have an awareness that I should be able to think much more clearly than I am
able to right now. I can feel the effect that our society has had on my
own mental abilities, and it frustrates me.
A
lot has been written about the decline of our health here in America, but very
little gets written about our mental decline. That is a shame, because
our ability to think clearly and rationally is so very critical to our future.
So
what do you think about all of this?
Do
you agree that America has been “dumbed down”?
Please
feel free to share your opinion by posting a comment below…
How the linguistic standard
of the presidential address has declined
Using the Flesch-Kincaid
readability test the Guardian has tracked the reading level of every state
of the union
Year of
address18001820184018601880190019201940196019802000Flesch–Kincaid Reading
Level8101214161820222426Number of words3000030,00030003,000
2 December 1823
James Monroe delivers an address that would later become
known as the Monroe Doctrine, a key tenet of US foreign
policy for almost two centuries
2 December 1913
Woodrow Wilson’s speech follows more than
100 years of the address being delivered to
Congress as a written submission. His precedent
is (mostly) followed to this day
3 January 1934
Franklin D Roosevelt changes
the name of the address from
the President’s Annual Message
to Congress to State of the Union
16 January 1981
Jimmy Carter's final address, delivered as a written message, is the longest
ever state of the union
Avg. reading level
8.6
1989199019911992
Average sentence
Education is the
one investment that means more for our future, because it means the most for
our children.
Avg. reading level
9.2
20092010201120122013
Average sentence
And if there's
one thing that has unified Democrats and Republicans, it's that we all hated
the bank bailout.
Avg. reading level
9.8
19931994199519961997199819992000
Average sentence
I noticed the
announcement of the leadership today that Congress is taking similar steps to
cut its costs.
Avg. reading level
10
196419651966196719681969
Average sentence
We have built a
strong economy that has put almost 3 million more Americans on the payrolls in
the last year alone.
Avg. reading level
10
200120012002200320042005200620072008
Average sentence
And we will
address the concerns of those who have health coverage yet worry their
insurance company does not care and will not pay.
Avg. reading level
10.4
1982198319841985198619871988
Average sentence
But from this
podium, Winston Churchill asked the free world to stand together against the
onslaught of aggression.
Avg. reading level
10.9
19461947194819491950195119521953
Average sentence
In this
connection, the Congress will wish to consider legislation to take the place of
the 1937 Sugar Act which expires at the end of this year.
Avg. reading level
11.2
197519761977
Average sentence
We must strike a
reasonable compromise on environmental concerns with coal.
Avg. reading level
11.6
1978197919801981
Average sentence
While the budget
deficits during my term are higher than I would have liked, their size is
determined for the most part by economic conditions.
Avg. reading level
11.8
19701971197219731974
Average sentence
Ours has
become--as it continues to be, and should remain--a society of large
expectations.
Avg. reading level
12.1
192319241925192619271928
Average sentence
It is exceedingly
gratifying to observe this progress, both in its method and in its result
promises so much that is beneficial to the world.
Avg. reading level
12.3
196119621963
Average sentence
Concessions, in
this bargaining, must of course be reciprocal, not unilateral.
Avg. reading level
12.4
193419351936193719381939194019411942194319441945
Average sentence
We know what
might happen to us of the United States if the new philosophies of force were
to encompass the other continents and invade our own.
Avg. reading level
12.6
195319541955195619571958195919601961
Average sentence
So dedicated, and
with faith in the Almighty, humanity shall one day achieve the unity in freedom
to which all men have aspired from the dawn of time.
Avg. reading level
13.2
1929193019311932
Average sentence
In a large sense
these undertakings have been adhered to and we have not witnessed the usual
reductions of wages which have always heretofore marked depressions.
Avg. reading level
13.8
1881188218831884
Average sentence
The organization
and conduct of this relief expedition reflects great credit upon all who
contributed to its success.
Avg. reading level
14.5
19211922
Average sentence
In the three
decades ending in 1920 the country's freight by rail increased from 631,000,000
tons to 2,234,000,000 tons; that is to say, while our population was
increasing, less than 70 per cent, the freight movement increased over 250 per
cent.
Avg. reading level
14.6
1861186218631864
Average sentence
In the exercise
of my best discretion I have adhered to the blockade of the ports held by the
insurgents, instead of putting in force by proclamation the law of Congress
enacted .
Avg. reading level
15.5
19011902190319041905190619071908
Average sentence
Not merely would
this be wholly ineffective, but the diversion of our efforts in such a
direction would mean the abandonment of all intelligent attempt to do away with
these evils.
Avg. reading level
15.6
19131914191519161917191819191920
Average sentence
It makes little
difference what minority it is; whether capital or labor, or any other class;
no sort of privilege will ever be permitted to dominate this country.
Avg. reading level
15.9
1857185818591860
Average sentence
They accordingly
inserted an article in the constitution for this purpose similar in form to
those which had been adopted by other Territorial conventions.
Avg. reading level
15.9
1889189018911892
Average sentence
This has not,
however, been done, and the Federal officers and courts have no power in such
cases to intervene, either for the protection of a foreign citizen or for the
punishment of his slayers.
Avg. reading level
16.6
18691870187118721873187418751876
Average sentence
From my own
experience upon the frontiers and in Indian countries, I do not hold either
legislation or the conduct of the whites who come most in contact with the
Indian blameless for these hostilities.
Avg. reading level
16.9
1865186618671868
Average sentence
These questions
are of such moment that they must have commanded the attention of the great
powers, and are so interwoven with the peace and interests of every one of them
as to have insured an impartial decision.
Avg. reading level
16.9
1897189818991900
Average sentence
Frear, of Hawaii,
as commissioners to confer and recommend to Congress such legislation
concerning the Hawaiian Islands as they should deem necessary or proper.
Avg. reading level
17.3
1909191019111912
Average sentence
The treaty
annexing Korea to the Empire of Japan, promulgated August 29, 1910, marks the
final step in a process of control of the ancient empire by her powerful
neighbor that has been in progress for several years past.
Avg. reading level
17.7
1845184618471848
Average sentence
Until that result
is known I forbear to recommend to Congress such ulterior measures of redress
for the wrongs and injuries we have so long borne as it would have been proper
to make had no such negotiation been instituted.
Avg. reading level
17.7
185018511852
Average sentence
Our commerce
spreads over every sea and visits every clime, and our ministers and consuls
are appointed to protect the interests of that commerce as well as to guard the
peace of the country and maintain the honor of its flag.
Avg. reading level
17.8
1877187818791880
Average sentence
My purpose in
this respect has been to return to the system established by the fundamental
law, and to do this with the heartiest cooperation and most cordial
understanding with the Senate and House of Representatives.
Avg. reading level
17.9
17901790179117921793179417951796
Average sentence
In pursuing this
course, however, I can not forget what is due to the character of our
Government and nation, or to a full and entire confidence in the good sense,
patriotism, self-respect, and fortitude of my country-men.
Avg. reading level
17.9
18171818181918201821182218231824
Average sentence
Several new
States have been admitted into our Union to the west and south, and Territorial
governments, happily organized, established over every other portion in which
there is vacant land for sale.
Avg. reading level
18.2
1797179817991800
Average sentence
It is with you,
gentlemen, to consider whether the local powers over the District of Columbia
vested by the Constitution in the Congress of the United States shall be
immediately exercised.
Avg. reading level
18.3
1849
Average sentence
The United States
did not at any time interfere in the contest, but the feelings of the nation
were strongly enlisted in the cause, and by the sufferings of a brave people,
who had made a gallant, though unsuccessful, effort to be free.
Avg. reading level
18.3
18851886188718881893189418951896
Average sentence
This important
field of control and regulation having been thus left entirely unoccupied, the
expediency of Federal action upon the subject is worthy of consideration.
Avg. reading level
18.5
18011802180318041805180618071808
Average sentence
The love of peace
so much cherished in the bosoms of our citizens, which has so long guided the
proceedings of their public councils and induced forbearance under so many
wrongs, may not insure our continuance in the quiet pursuits of industry.
Avg. reading level
19.1
1841184218431844
Average sentence
While just
confidence is felt in the judiciary of the States, yet this Government ought to
be competent in itself for the fulfillment of the high duties which have been
devolved upon it under the organic law by the States themselves.
Avg. reading level
19.7
18291830183118321833183418351836
Average sentence
With the nation
that was our earliest friend and ally in the infancy of our political existence
the most friendly relations have subsisted through the late revolutions of its
Government, and, from the events of the last, promise a permanent duration.
Avg. reading level
19.9
1825182618271828
Average sentence
The public faith
no less than the just rights of individuals and the interest of the community
itself appears to require further provision for the speedy settlement of those
claims, which I therefore recommend to the care and attention of the
Legislature.
Avg. reading level
20
1853185418551856
Average sentence
The aggregate
amount of public land sold during the last fiscal year, located with military
scrip or land warrants, taken up under grants for roads, and selected as swamp
lands by States is 24,557,409 acres, of which the portion sold was 15,729,524
acres, yielding in receipts the sum of $11,485,380.
Avg. reading level
20.7
1837183818391840
Average sentence
The erection of a
national foundry and gunpowder manufactory, and one for making small arms, the
latter to be situated at some point west of the Allegany Mountains, all appear
to be of sufficient importance to be again urged upon your attention.
Avg. reading level
21.6
18091810181118121813181418151816
Average sentence
In reviewing the scenes
through which it has been attained we can rejoice in the proofs given that our
political institutions, founded in human rights and framed for their
preservation, are equal to the severest trials of war, as well adapted to the
ordinary periods of repose.
Presidents James A. Garfield (1881) and
William Henry Harrison (1841) did not deliver a State of the Union address.
Sources: Gerhard Peters
and Brad
Borevitz
By Michael Snyder, on January 10th, 2012
Are we raising the stupidest generation in American
history? The statistics that you are about to read below are incredibly
shocking. They indicate that U.S. high school students are basically as
dumb as a rock. As you read the rest of this article, you will be
absolutely amazed at the things that U.S. high school students do not
know. At this point, it is really hard to argue that the U.S. education
system is a success. Our children are spoiled and lazy, our schools do
not challenge them and students in Europe and in Asia routinely outperform our
students very badly on standardized tests. In particular, schools in
America do an incredibly poor job of teaching our students subjects such as
history, economics and geography that are necessary for understanding the
things that are taking place in our world today. For example, according
to a survey conducted by the National Geographic Society, only 37 percent of Americans between the ages
of 18 and 24 can find Iraq on a map of the world. According to that same
survey, 50 percent of Americans between the ages
of 18 and 24 can’t even find the state of New York on a map. If our
students cannot even find Iraq and New York on a map, what hope is there that they
will be able to think critically about the important world events of our day?
Sadly, almost every survey or study about
high school students that gets done shows that most of our students are not
even receiving a basic education.
For example, the following comes from an
article posted on MSNBC….
Just 13 percent of high school seniors who
took the 2010 National Assessment of Educational Progress — called the Nation’s
Report Card — showed solid academic performance in American history.
So only 13 percent of our high school
seniors are proficient in history?
That doesn’t sound good.
So what does that mean exactly?
Well, there have been some other surveys and
studies that have quizzed U.S. high school students about specific historical
facts.
The following are some of the absolutely amazing results of a study
conducted a few years ago by Common Core….
*Only 43 percent of all U.S. high school
students knew that the Civil War was fought some time between 1850 and 1900.
*More than a quarter of all U.S. high school
students thought that Christopher Columbus made his famous voyage across the
Atlantic Ocean after the year 1750.
*Approximately a third of all U.S. high
school students did not know that the Bill of Rights guarantees freedom of
speech and freedom of religion. (This is a topic that I touched on yesterday).
*Only 60 percent of all U.S. students knew
that World War I was fought some time between 1900 and 1950.
Even more shocking were the results of a survey of Oklahoma high
school students conducted back in 2009. The following is a list of
the questions that were asked and the percentage of students that answered
correctly….
What is the supreme law of the land? 28
percent
What do we call the first ten amendments to
the Constitution? 26 percent
What are the two parts of the U.S. Congress?
27 percent
How many justices are there on the Supreme
Court? 10 percent
Who wrote the Declaration of Independence? 14
percent
What ocean is on the east coast of the
United States? 61 percent
What are the two major political parties in
the United States? 43 percent
We elect a U.S. senator for how many years? 11
percent
Who was the first President of the United
States? 23 percent
Who is in charge of the executive branch? 29
percent
Some have criticized the survey results
above because they came from a telephone survey, but the truth is that they are
not some sort of an anomaly. Many other surveys have produced similar
results. It doesn’t take a genius to realize that a large percentage of
our high school students are as dumb as a rock.
The following is from an article written by reporter
Mark Morford in which he described his conversations with a longtime Oakland
high school teacher that was nearing retirement….
It’s gotten so bad that, as my friend nears
retirement, he says he is very seriously considering moving out of the country
so as to escape what he sees will be the surefire collapse of functioning
American society in the next handful of years due to the absolutely irrefutable
destruction, the shocking — and nearly hopeless — dumb-ification of the
American brain. It is just that bad.
Now, you may think he’s merely a curmudgeon,
a tired old teacher who stopped caring long ago. Not true. Teaching is his
life. He says he loves his students, loves education and learning and watching
young minds awaken. Problem is, he is seeing much less of it.
Later on in that same article, Morford tells
us that the high school teacher even admitted that very few of his students
even know how to put a sentence together….
It gets worse. My friend cites the fact
that, of the 6,000 high school students he estimates he’s taught over the span
of his career, only a small fraction now make it to his grade with a
functioning understanding of written English. They do not know how to form a
sentence. They cannot write an intelligible paragraph. Recently, after giving
an assignment that required drawing lines, he realized that not a single
student actually knew how to use a ruler.
It is not that our students do not have the
capacity to be great.
It is just that they have learned to be
incredibly lazy and our schools do not challenge them at all.
One study found that 55 percent of all U.S. high school
students spend 3 hours or less per week preparing for class.
Other nations require their students to work
far longer and far harder.
And they get much better results.
Today, American 15-year-olds do not even rank in
the top half of all advanced nations when it comes
to math or science literacy.
So how do we expect to compete if this
continues?
If we would just challenge our students and
require more out of them we could do so much better. What most public
schools are doing right now simply does not work. The following is from a
report that John Stossel did a few years ago entitled “Stupid In America“….
I talked with 18-year-old Dorian Cain in
South Carolina, who was still struggling to read a single sentence in a
first-grade level book when I met him. Although his public schools had spent
nearly $100,000 on him over 12 years, he still couldn’t read.
So “20/20″ sent Dorian to a private
learning center, Sylvan, to see if teachers there could teach Dorian to read
when the South Carolina public schools failed to.
Using computers and workbooks, Dorian’s
reading went up two grade levels — after just 72 hours of instruction.
His mother, Gena Cain, is thrilled with
Dorian’s progress but disappointed with his public schools. “With Sylvan, it’s
a huge improvement. And they’re doing what they’re supposed to do. They’re on
point. But I can’t say the same for the public schools,” she said.
It absolutely amazes me how millions upon
millions of our students can get all the way through high school without ever
learning how to read, write or speak at a functional level.
Instead of producing the leaders of
tomorrow, our education system is producing a bunch of sheep that are trained to take orders and
that are pretty good at taking multiple choice tests.
If you want to get really depressed about
the future of America, just watch some of the Jaywalking segments that Jay Leno does.
Yes, it is funny to watch as he demonstrates how little Americans actually know
about world events. But it is also a sign of how far our education system
has fallen.
If Americans cannot even answer basic factual
questions about our own government, then how in the world will anyone ever be
able to persuade them to think critically about the Federal Reserve, the economic crisis or about our corrupt political system?
Our children are the future of this nation,
and right now that future is looking quite bleak.
So what do all of you think about the U.S.
education system? Do any of you have any education horror stories to
share? Do you believe that our schools have rapidly gone downhill?
Feel free to leave a comment with your thoughts below….
By John Nyaradi
Multiple fundamental and technical red flags
warn investors of potentially stormy seas as we travel through the dog days of
summer.
1. Price/earnings ratios for the S&P 500
range from just above fair value to seriously overpriced.
A key indicator as to whether stocks are
overvalued is the price/earnings ratio for the S&P 500. On a
forward-earnings-estimate basis, the S&P 500 P/E is just over 15, slightly
higher than its long-term medium of 14.5.
Many analysts prefer Yale Professor Robert
Shiller's system of comparing earnings per share (EPS) with price performance.
Using Shiller's formula of averaging earnings over a 10-year time frame, the
CAPE (also known as the "P/E 10") is currently 24, roughly 45% above
its long-term median of approximately 16, which tells us that stocks are about
as expensive as a reasonable investor should be willing to pay.
2. Retail investors, who are traditionally
wrong, have been pouring money into the stock market.
As major U.S. indexes stall just below
recent all-time highs, retail investors seem convinced that the party will
continue forever. They have invested more than $90 billion into the stock
market in 2013, which is comparable to levels seen in 2007, just before the
last financial crash. This action is a contrarian indicator, as retail
investors have historically demonstrated a penchant for buying high and selling
low.
3. Margin debt is at near-record levels
Record levels of margin debt often times
precede market meltdowns, and today's situation again finds near-record levels
of margin debt. High levels of margin debt also preceded previous stock-market
crashes in 2000 and 2008.
4. Hindenburg Omens everywhere
Last week saw Hindenburg Omen sightings on
four out of five days, and clusters like this tend to add credence to the
indicator's reliability. The most recent cluster follows a previous group of
sightings that occurred on April 15, May 29, June 4 and June 10.
Hindenburg Omens are wildly controversial;
however, confirmed Hindenburg Omen clusters also occurred in July 2007 and
October 2007. Those sightings were followed by a greater than 10% decline on
the S&P 500 following the July event, and the big waterfall descent in the
S&P 500 of more than 55% that began in October 2007.
Going further back in history, we see a
Hindenburg Omen preceding the tech-wreck crash in October 2000 when the October
Hindenburg Omen came just in front of the 50% S&P 500 and Dow Jones
Industrial Average declines that started that same month. A
Hindenburg Omen also preceded a 30-percent-plus drop in the S&P 500 in
1987. Furthermore, every stock-market crash going back to 1985 was preceded by
a Hindenburg Omen. Only 8% of Hindenburg Omens have not resulted in at
least mild declines in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500.
5. "Dr. Doom," Marc Faber, adds
his warning
Well-known bear Marc Faber added to the
warnings last week when he went on CNBC
to predict the potential for a 1987-style crash in coming months. Like the
Hindenburg Omen, Dr. Faber says that even though the S&P 500 is near
all-time highs, there are also a growing number of stocks hitting 52-week lows
and fewer stocks reaching 52-week highs which indicates a lack of underlying
strength in the market. His overall bottom line is a downturn on the order of
20% in the stock market between now and the end of the year.
6. Tobin's Q, a measurement of long-term
value, indicates that the S&P 500 is 53% overvalued
While not a market-timing indicator since
markets can stay overvalued for a long time, Tobin's
Q indicates that stocks are overpriced on a long-term historical basis
7. Stocks appear to be overbought and overextended on a
technical basis
Eighty-eight percent of S&P 500 stocks
are currently above their 200-day moving average. Similar levels in the 75%-85%
range were also seen in 2007 (85%) before the plunge that took the percentage
of stocks above their 200-day moving average down into the one-percet range.
The S&P 500 is currently nearly 10%
above its 200-day moving average. This is a level comparable to those preceding
previous significant corrections, and many analysts point out that the farther
the rubber band is stretched, the more violently it snaps back to mean.
9. The dreaded taper and uncertainty at the
Federal Reserve
Stock prices have been riding the wave of
quantitative easing for nearly half a decade. With the Fed apparently about to
taper its bond-buying program, fundamentals will likely again be the
determining measure of stock prices, rather than market mania. Just "taper
talk" makes markets nervous and so when/if it actually happens, we can
expect significant turbulence in global financial markets.
Furthermore, a public battle between hawks
and doves at the Federal Reserve is breaking out, and this ambiguity can only
add further insecurity to global markets. The "Fed Chairman Guessing
Game" is also now well underway, with Larry
Summers and Janet
Yellen apparently the two top contenders. As the entertainment
unfolds, we can expect markets to handicap which candidate will win as they
have significantly divergent views regarding the effectiveness of quantitative
easing and whether or not it should be continued.
Red flags fly everywhere as global financial
markets travel through the dog days of summer. As always, danger arrives hand
in hand with opportunity, and the current environment will generate both peril
and the potential for profits. Wall Street Sector Selector stands in “red-flag
status,”expecting rough water ahead.
BiG TRouBLe, LiTTLe TaPeR... Posted by : williambanzai7 Post date: 08/13/2013 - BANZAI7 BEVERAGE WARNING!
Submitted by williambanzai7 on 08/13/2013 10:18 -0400
The Incredible Shrinking
COMEX Gold Warehouse Inventories Posted by: smartknowledgeu Post date: 08/13/2013 - Since the end of last April, registered gold held
at the COMEX depositories has collapsed from a total of 2,147,398 ounces to
just 852,930 ounces. That is a collapse of 60% of the registered gold...
Demise of the USA Posted by: Pivotfarm Post date: 08/13/2013 - For the first time in 2016 according to estimates,
the US will not be the most economically-powerful country in the world, but the
second since World War II.
Michelle
Obama releasing rap album...
OBAMA
CLOWN BANNED FROM FAIR...
'Shameful'
and 'unacceptable'...
Hooting,
hollering from stands...
DEMS
AGHAST...
Kurt Nimmo | More evidence CIA is arming its al-Qaeda
proxy in Syria with deadly munitions.
Paul Joseph Watson | Whistleblower slams establishment press.
Paul Joseph Watson | Brennan named as being “behind the witch
hunts of investigative journalists”.
Kit Daniels | Operation Tiger emulates military control
of local, elected officials.
Washington’s Blog | Spymaster Clapper to
lead investigation into spying
American Dream | We have become so “dumbed
down” that we don’t even realize what has happened to us.
Liberty Blitzkrieg | Are we going to see
more leaks?
Economic Collapse | The percentage of
Americans that are economically independent has dropped to a stunningly low
level.
They Are Systematically
Destroying Our Independence And Making Us All Serfs Of The State
Economic
Collapse | The percentage of Americans that are economically independent has
dropped to a stunningly low level.
London Guardian | The NSA claims it
‘touches’ only 1.6% of internet traffic – doesn’t sound a lot. In fact, that’s
practically everything that matters.
Daily Caller | The U.S. Department of
Education’s “live-shooter” section doesn’t recommend that schools arm teachers
or employ armed guards. It doesn’t even advise schools to add door locks for
classrooms.
Washington Post | A rebranded version of
Iraq’s al-Qaeda affiliate is surging onto the front lines of the war in neighboring
Syria.
Kurt Nimmo | More evidence CIA is arming its al-Qaeda
proxy in Syria with deadly munitions.
Paul Joseph Watson | Brennan named as being “behind the witch
hunts of investigative journalists”.
Kit Daniels | Operation Tiger emulates military control
of local, elected officials.
Economic Collapse | The percentage of
Americans that are economically independent has dropped to a stunningly low
level.
Liberty Blitzkrieg | Are we going to see
more leaks?
American Dream | We have become so “dumbed
down” that we don’t even realize what has happened to us.
CNN | Rep. Blake Farenthold said the House
could impeach the president. { Well,
don’t just talk about it … Just do it! It’s the best thing to do for GOD and
country! }
Bloomberg: ‘There’s a huge run on
physical gold right now.’
Bloomberg
| Co-founder of commodity trading firm Grafite Capital, remarks that his
company bought physical gold eight weeks ago but still hasn’t gotten delivery
yet.
Crypto-currency for NSA leaker:
Snowden fund accepts Bitcoin
RT
| US fugitive Edward Snowden’s defense fund, launched recently by WikiLeaks to
raise money for the legal protection of the NSA leaker, has announced it now
accepts donations in virtual currency Bitcoin.
University of California Study:
National Debt Is Really $70 Trillion
New
American | James Hamilton, an economics professor at the University of
California, San Diego, just published his best estimate of the federal
government’s “off-balance-sheet” liabilities.
Gold Shorts Cover At Fastest Pace
In 13 Years
Zero
Hedge | Gold shorts covered an enormous 23,518 futures contracts last week –
the equivalent of 2,351,800 ounces of gold.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/13/2013
Wonder why the Fed and the banks are so
desperate to reflate the second housing bubble, to the delight of flippers and
taxpayer consequences (deja vu) be damned? Simple: as Goldman points out in a
note released last night, "without the boost from housing, real
GDP growth would fall below 1% this year." That's the revised GDP
by the way, the one that now includes iTunes song sales and underfunded pension
plans in the sumtotal. Which in reality means that ex housing, GDP would almost
certainly be negative. So the bigger question is what happens to housing which
has already seen a shock to the system following the surge in interest rates in
the past month and which hobbled both homebuilders and mortgage applications?
This is what Goldman sees there: "On house prices, we have started
to see the first signs of deceleration and expect a slowdown from the 10%+ pace
observed over the past year. Our bottom-up house price model projects
4-5% annual growth rate in the next two years." Alas, since prices moves
from top and bottom inflection point never happen in a straight line as
everyone rushes to buy, or sell as the case may be, resulting in a skewed and
pronounced move, once the reality seeps in that the artificial housing
'recovery' is over, watch what happens when everyone rushes for the door. That
goes for GDP as well.
The American people deserve to know the truth about gun
control. Passing strict gun control laws will not make us all
safer. In fact, as you will read about below, even a study conducted
at Harvard found that the more guns a nation has the less crime it
tends to have. In other words, there is a very strong positive
correlation between more guns and less crime. This is the exact opposite
of what the mainstream media would have us believe, but it makes sense.
You see, the reality is that criminals really, really, really don’t want to get
shot. When you pass strict gun control laws, you take the fear of getting
shot away and criminals tend to flourish. Just look at what is going on
in America today. The places with the highest crime rates are the major
cities where strict gun control laws have been passed. In some of those
cities the police are so overwhelmed that they have announced that they
simply won’t even bother responding to certain kinds of crime anymore.
The truth is that the government cannot protect us adequately, and that is one
reason why millions of preppers are arming
themselves and gun sales have been setting new records year after year.
Unfortunately, the mainstream media and many of our politicians seem absolutely
obsessed with trying to restrict our constitutional right to own guns.
They are waging a relentless campaign to try to convince the American people
that guns are bad. But is that actually the case? Of course not.
The following are 18 little-known gun facts that prove that guns make us
safer… (Read
More.....)
Millions upon millions of fish are suddenly
dying in mass death events all over the world, and nobody seems to know why it
is happening. In many of the news reports that are linked to below,
locals are quoted as saying that they have never seen anything like this
before. So is there a connection between all of the fish deaths that are
now occurring all over the planet? If there is a connection, is there
anything that we can do to stop the fish die-off? Sadly, because the big
mainstream news networks in the United States have been virtually silent about
this phenomenon, most Americans have absolutely no idea that it is
happening. Millions of fish are dying in mass death events every single
month and most of the public is totally clueless.
Please share the list posted below with as
many people as you can. This list was originally started by Frank DiMora, but I have edited it and expanded
it. If there were just three or four items on this list, you could
dismiss these news stories as coincidences, but taken together this list really
is quite startling…
Bernanke Just Felt a Chill
Down His Spine
Posted by: Phoenix
Capital...
Post date: 08/12/2013 - The “QE
generates economic growth” story is officially dead. This will have severe
repercussions throughout the financial system.
The Secret GOOD NEWS from
Fukushima
Posted by: George
Washington
Post date: 08/12/2013 - 1Nuclear
Regulatory Commission Is Using Obviously Faulty Models to Pretend Crumbling
Nuclear Reactors Are Safe
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/12/2013 - 17:16
First, it was
JPM asking HSBC
for assistance and getting a handout of over 6k ounces of gold.
The next
day, following a shut out by HSBC, JPM had no choice but to go to the
second largest vault, that of Scotia Mocatta and get more than triple times
that, or just over 20k ounces.
Today, the Comex gold crunch has gotten so
confusing, nothing short of a color-coded schematic can do it justice.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/12/2013 - 18:21
While there are a fair-share of descriptive
statistics that show the USA is no longer the "Number 1" that so many
believe it to be; Pando
Daily put together the following infographic that reveals the Top Ten
nations and Top Twenty states that serve up the most illicit content...
and the winner is U-S-A! 66% of the pron hosted in the US comes from
California and interestingly only 0.62% of all porn sites use the
".xxx" domain name. Of course, hard numbers are tough to
come by, but as ExtremeTech
illustrates, Xvideos - the largest porn site on the web - gets a
stunning 4.4 billion page-views per month - 3x the size of CNN or
ESPN. Ironically, the biggest difference is 'duration' - typical news sites are
visited for 3 to 6 minutes; while the average time spent on a porn site
is between 15 and 20 minutes... Overall, porn websites are
estimated to receive a whopping
30% of total internet traffic around the world.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/12/2013 - 17:46
One of these things is an imaginary (but
certainly money-losing) idea from a larger-than-life character who appears to
live in an alternate fictional universe... the other is The Simpsons' take on
'The Monorail'.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/12/2013 - 16:49
'Larry Summers for Fed Chair' proponents are
working hard to reverse his generally poor reputation and seem to have gained
some ground. They’ve tempted even Fed skeptics with reports that Summers
doesn’t believe much in quantitative easing. But his supporters are also making
claims that don’t stand up to the facts. Call us old-fashioned, but we
think we should be wary of power-hungry egotists whose personal philosophy is
to obscure the truth.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/12/2013 - 16:17
Aside from an opening short-squeeze
that saw 'most-shorted' stocks surge 0.8% in the first 15 minutes of the day,
stocks did very little for the rest of the day. Ranges were extremely narrow
with whatever lift stocks got based on small AUDJPY (carry)
sparks but the Dow and S&P end the day red (Nasdaq and
Russell 2000 green). Nasdaq was driven by AAPL exuberance (what no a new iPhone
model??) which grabbed the Tech sector to the best peformance on the day. Utes
were the biggest losers as rates reversed early gains and Treasury yields
(especially 30Y) surged 6-7 bps from their per-open low yields. The
big story was precious metals as Silver and Gold surged on the day. Silver
is now up over 9% in the last 3 days - its best run in 22 months.
Interestingly, VIX was pushed notably lower on the day (but it appears
investors are moving hedges further out in time - to September). Credit
notably underperformed. Today was all about pre- and post-Europe (as
normal).
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/12/2013 - 15:53
The U.S. stock market’s return to nominal
all-time highs amid artificial zero interest rates is sending
yield-hungry investors down a dangerous path, one they hope will
continue to lead to quick and easy returns. Such pursuits ignore a reality
grounded in some of the oldest human wisdom, dating back 25 centuries to the
Daoist sages of ancient China, who eschewed the direct in favor of the indirect
- the roundabout that leads to better strategic advantage. No matter
how appealing the direct path, it will likely not best take us where we want to
go. Most often it leads only to loss - the hare ultimately loses to
the accelerating, roundabout tortoise.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/12/2013 - 15:26
Perhaps the best source of real, actionable
financial information, at least as sourced by Wall Street itself, comes in the
form of the appendix to the quarterly Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee (TBAC, aka the
Goldman-JPM chaired supercommittee that really
runs the world) presentation published as part of the Treasury's refunding
data dump. These have informed us in the past about Goldman's
view on floaters, as well as Credit Suisse's view on the massive
and deteriorating shortage across "high quality collateral." This
quarter was no different, only this time the indirect author of the
TBAC's section on fixed-income market liquidity was none other than Citi's Matt
King, whose style is well known to all who frequent these pages simply because we
cover his reports consistently. The topic: liquidity. Or rather the
absolute lack thereof, despite what the HFT lobby would like.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/12/2013 - 15:05
This one is too ridiculous to not pass
along. I’ve long written that desperate governments try to ‘control’ everything
as they slide into insolvency. They impose capital controls, exchange controls,
wage and price controls, gun controls, border controls, and more. But the
government of Argentina has really taken this to another level. Their latest stunt?
Manufacturing Viagra at a state-owned pharmaceuticals company... and
giving it out for free to the people. It’s the ultimate reminder
of how absurd government control can be when things get really desperate. They
reach a certain point where, after capital controls, gun controls, wage and
price controls, etc., the only controls left to implement are
people controls.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/12/2013 - 14:37
In a somewhat stunning revelation from the
masters-of-money-printing, the SF
Fed (whose former head is none other than alleged Fed chairwoman
frontrunner Janet Yellen) has found that "asset purchase programs
like QE appear to have, at best, moderate effects on economic growth and
inflation." One has to wonder why this sudden change of heart? Perhaps
to pave the way for the less-than-enamored-with-QE Larry Summers' arrival... as
we noted previously his views that “QE is less efficacious for the real
economy than most people suppose." Or maybe this is a way for
Ms. Yellen, to ingratiate herself with the president by indirecly toning down
expectations she would go "feral hog" on the CTRL-P button? In
any case, markets appear a little concerned at this rising Fed
canon of removing the liquidity spigot despiet the all-time-highs in stocks.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/12/2013 - 14:15
George Orwell's prescient book 1984
envisioned a technologically-enabled authoritarian state of ubiquitous
surveillance, propaganda and fear that constantly rewrote history to suit the
needs of the present regime. Welcome to the new, improved 1984, America
2013. Ubiquitous surveillance: check.
Ubiquitous propaganda extolling the state and central bank: check.
Perpetual fear-mongering: check.
Perpetual war against an unseen enemy who can never be defeated: check.
Police state with essentially unlimited powers to suppress "enemies of the
state": check. Continual revision of
history to support the current party line: check.
However, Orwell underestimated the power of complicity; once
you get a check from the state, you begin loving your servitude.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/12/2013 - 13:42
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/12/2013 - 13:19
"Mommy, we're on vacation.
We're here to have fun. This is not what we expected," was the
comments from kids after luxury resort condos crumbled into a massive sinkhole
a few miles from of Disney World. About 30% of the three-story
structure collapsed into the sinkhole - which is about 50 feet in diameter and
15 feet deep. Luckily
among the 24 units, only 20 people were present (perhaps an nsight into the
real economy on its own), and with only 10 to 15 minutes to escape the
cracking, collapsing building, it is good fortune that no one was injured.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/12/2013 - 13:05
The last few days have seen JCPenney's saga
take a decided turn for the worse - if that's possible. With the stock price
EKG-ing on every utterance from a CNBC mouthpiece, a desperate hedge fund
manager, or a board looking to remain relevant; it seems - as usual - that
credit markets not only saw through the news but remained stoic in their
cash-flow-discounting reality check. Critically, the last few days have seen
the short-end of the JCP CDS curve surge and the term structure has
inverted. At current levels, the credit market assigns a 13%
probability that JCP will default by March 2014. Not good... It is
extremely unusual (though not unprecedented) for a credit to 'recover' from an
inversion such as this.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/12/2013 - 12:34
The Bank of England has missed its inflation
target more than any other major European central banks in the past five years. As Bloomberg Brief notes, while BOE
Governor Mark Carney linked monetary policy to unemployment last week, the BOE
has failed to meet its CPI goal 90 percent of the time. Hungary is the
second-worst performing, having missed its target 88 percent of the time. The best
performers have been the Swiss and Norwegian central banks, which have
a 5 percent and 20 percent miss rate, respectively. To rub further salt into
the open wound of hope in the UK, it has also had the largest average deviation
from its target inflation rate overall.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/12/2013 - 12:06
When it comes to political rhetoric, no one
can top the un-filtered awesomeness of 89-year-old Robert "we are
delivering democracy on a platter" Mugabe. Following his 61% of the
vote winning election at the end of July, Sky
News reports that Mugabe's first public speech was full of his typically
defiant pith. He dismissed his defeated "western-sponsored stooge"
rivals as "pathetic puppets" that can "go hang," adding a
particularly downbeat assessment that "if they die, not even dogs
will sniff them." Mr. Tsangviri - the dog-despised opposition -
is challenging the poll vowing to expose "glaring evidence of the
stolen vote," as the renewed leader celebrates Heroes Day - the
end of white minority rule (pledging that Zimbabwe will never be a colony of
Britain) and ironically for the hyperinflater, Mugabe stated that he
will " Never give thieves the power to rule."
BlackBerry, Vical, Steinway,
Alliance One, Zoltek
online.wsj.com
| U.S. stocks traded mixed Monday as the Dow Jones Industrial Average recently
lost 18 points to 15407.
University of California Study:
National Debt Is Really $70 Trillion
Bob Adelmann
| Enormous sacrifices from future taxpayers. ‘…According to the ITF, the real
national debt is, at the moment, $74.3 trillion, and counting.
Even
that number may be too small to reflect accurately the promises made versus the
revenues expected to fund them. Boston University professor Laurence Kotlikoff was
interviewed in February and was asked by his host:
You’re
the one who stated that America is rogue and in even worse shape than Greece
and Ireland. How so? What exactly do you mean by that?
Kotlikoff:
We economists look at all the bills the government has to pay, and in the US
case we have enormous bills that have been kept off the books….
Host:
You said the amount of the fiscal gap in the United States is, in your
estimation, $222 trillion. This is an astonishing number, which is like three
times the world’s GDP. This is more than what the world makes!
Kotlikoff:
If you add all the spending obligations into the distant future and you compare
them with all the taxes, and you include in the spending all the interest
payments … you have $222 trillion of present value….
This
is why we are in worse shape that Greece….
Host:
So are they intentionally hiding the enormity of it?
Kotlikoff:
They’re intentionally hiding this. They’ve been spending in our country [for]
six decades, running a massive Ponzi scheme, taking from young people, giving
to old people, and then telling the young people, “Don’t worry, you’ll get
yours when you’re old,” promising pensions, promising healthcare benefits.
The
study by Professor Hamilton from the University of California, San Diego,
serves as a reminder that, as the debt ceiling draws ever closer, the
discussion bound to take place will have little do with the reality of what the
federal government actually owes. That discussion, expected to begin when Congress reconvenes after Labor
Day, will be a sideshow, distracting attention from the real issue: The
U.S. government is broke and its promises won’t be kept.
A
graduate of Cornell University and a former investment advisor, Bob is a
regular contributor to The
New American magazine and blogs frequently at www.LightFromTheRight.com,
primarily on economics and politics. He can be reached at [email protected] …’
The Wall Street Journal | Teenagers have had the hardest time out
of all age groups.
Steve Watson | Intelligence Committee has
repeatedly failed to share key information; “oversight” justification for spy
program legality is now laughable.
Paul Joseph Watson | Infanticide is now being seriously
proposed by some in medical establishment.
Paul Joseph Watson | Terror plot manufactured to dampen
opposition to drone strikes.
Kurt Nimmo | Terror war supporters take Obama to the
woodshed over his promise to “reform” pervasive NSA abuse.
NBC News | The NYPD’s “stop and frisk”
tactic has violated constitutional rights, a federal judge ruled Monday.
STL Beacon | A clown wearing a mask of
President Barack Obama was chased by a bull at the Missouri State Fair’s rodeo,
prompting an apology Sunday by fair officials.
Natural News | Anyone who still supports the
usurper-and-cheat Obama based on his agriculture “policies” has apparently not
been paying any attention whatsoever to reality.
Zero Hedge | What he really owes is at least
a resignation, and frankly much more. {
Aw … come on … he’s just a typical nigger … and as such, you can’t apply
rational civilized standards of behavior, especially those that comport with
law … after all, the niggers among other american criminals are all in it
together, typical obama/nigger bull s***/rhetoric aside … shhhh…don’t say a
word … everyone’s afraid to offend the archaic neanderthalic niggers … }
Zero
Hedge
August 12, 2013
Bloomberg’s
Jon Weil, who has compiled the following stunning array of lies regarding the
DOJ’s enforcement activity disclosed by none other than its head, Eric Holder,
is far too kind when he says that the “fast and furious” Holder owes
the American people an apology. What he really owes is at least a
resignation (and frankly much more, but it is too early on Monday to become too
politically incorrect). And considering that the DOJ in its now former
employee Lanny Brauer’s words refused to prosecute those banks which
were deemed “too big to prosecute”, the lying here has now became a meta
phenomenon, as the DOJ is effectively caught lying about lying. How many more
meta levels of higher up fraud “inception” can Holder take this, before the
American people finally demand his head, metaphorically-speaking of course?
Sadly, judging by the response to unprecedented scandals coming out of this
administration so far, the answer is… more.
From BBG’s
Jonathan Weil:
Eric Holder Owes the American People an Apology
The
Justice Department made a long-overdue disclosure late Friday: Last year when
U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder boasted about the successes that a
high-profile task force racked up pursuing mortgage fraud, the numbers he
trumpeted were grossly overstated.
We’re
not talking small differences here. Originally the Justice Department said 530
people were charged criminally as part of a year-long initiative by the
multi-agency Mortgage Fraud Working Group. It now says the actual figure was
107 — or 80 percent less. Holder originally said the defendants had victimized
more than 73,000 American homeowners. That number was revised to 17,185, while
estimates of homeowner losses associated with the frauds dropped to $95 million
from $1 billion.
The
government restated the statistics because it got caught red-handed by a couple
of nosy reporters. Last October, two days after Holder first publicized the
numbers, Phil Mattingly and Tom Schoenberg of Bloomberg News broke the story
that some of the cases included in the Justice Department’s tally occurred
before the initiative began in October 2011. At least one was filed more than
two years before President Barack Obama took office.
After their
initial story, I asked a Justice Department spokeswoman, Adora Andy, several
times over the course of a month for a list of the people charged and their
case details so I could look them up myself. She promised repeatedly to provide
one, until she finally stopped responding to my requests.
Her e-mails to me were priceless. On Oct.
19, Andy said: “We’ll have a list to you — it will take some time to
pull it together.” On Oct. 26, she said: “You will get a list,”
explaining that “this is a labor-intensive process.” On Nov.
5, she said: “It looks like we should have the list to you by the end
of the week if not sooner.” On Nov. 13: “Hold tight.
Finalizing things on this end. Should have something to you tonight.”
Again, no list. “I assure you I’m working as hard as I can to get this
to you along with the lead agency on this matter, FBI,” she said later
that same day. “It’s just very laborious with so much going on and so
little staff.”
My column about the Justice Department’s
refusal to come clean ran a few days later last fall. And it seems obvious now
why I wasn’t given the list. The government would have been handing me the
proof that the numbers it was touting were wrong.
In an updated press release Friday, which
corrected its initial release of last October, the Justice Department said a
review of the cases found that the inflated figures included defendants who had
been sentenced or convicted in fiscal year 2012 — not just people who had been
criminally charged, as originally reported. Its original, lofty tally also
included cases in which the victims weren’t distressed homeowners.
“As a result, the announcement
overstated the number of defendants that should have been included as part of
the Distressed Homeowner Initiative, as well as the corresponding estimated
loss amount and number of victims,” the Justice Department said.
When Holder first trotted out these figures
last October, he bragged during a press conference about the results of the
government’s “Distressed Homeowner Initiative,” which he called “a
groundbreaking, yearlong mortgage-fraud enforcement effort” and “the first ever
to focus exclusively on crimes targeting homeowners.” Secretary of Housing and
Urban Development Shaun Donovan joined him at the press conference.
What a charade. No wonder the government
found it so difficult to bring a meaningful number of accounting-fraud cases
against bank executives after the financial crisis. Its own books were cooked.
* * *
This was the second time, mind you, that
Holder’s Justice Department had pulled a stunt like this. In December 2010,
Holder held a press conference to tout a supposed sweep by the president’s
Financial Fraud Enforcement Task Force called “Operation Broken Trust.” (The
mortgage-fraud program was part of the same task force.) As with the
mortgage-fraud initiative, Broken Trust wasn’t actually a sweep. All the
Justice Department did was lump together a bunch of small-fry, penny-ante fraud
cases that had nothing to do with one another. Then it held a press gathering.
Related posts:
This article
was posted: Monday, August 12, 2013 at 11:20 am
Gold Shorts Cover At Fastest Pace
In 13 Years
Zero
Hedge | Gold shorts covered an enormous 23,518 futures contracts last week –
the equivalent of 2,351,800 ounces of gold.
First dog Bo is airlifted to
Obama holiday home
London
Telegraph | When President Barack Obama goes on holiday to the seaside things
can get complicated.
NSA Spying Costing US Companies
Billions and American Job Loss
Daniel
G. J. | The massive surveillance efforts being conducted by agencies like the
NSA are not just illegal, immoral, and unconstitutional; they could be
seriously damaging our economy.
Natural
News | Will Americans ever wake up and actually resist the powers that are
enslaving them?
Paul Joseph Watson | “Do they need a SWAT team to make sure
you’ve paid your taxes?”
Paul Joseph Watson | Terror plot manufactured to dampen
opposition to drone strikes.
Steve Watson | Intelligence Committee has
repeatedly failed to share key information; “oversight” justification for spy
program legality is now laughable.
Paul Joseph Watson | Infanticide is now being seriously
proposed by some in medical establishment.
Julie Wilson | DPS director plans to “re-familiarize”
his officers with the department’s policy on roadside cavity and strip
searches.
Kurt Nimmo | Terror war supporters take Obama to the
woodshed over his promise to “reform” pervasive NSA abuse.
Adan Salazar | Man says he was “on the verge of death.”
Paul Joseph Watson | “Do they need a SWAT team to make sure
you’ve paid your taxes?”
Economic Collapse | Have things gotten so
bad that it is time to leave the United States for good?
Will
rapidly rising interest rates rip through the U.S. financial system like a
giant lawnmower blade? Yes, the U.S. economy survived much higher
interest rates in the past, but at that time there were not hundreds of
trillions of dollars worth of interest rate derivatives hanging over our
financial system like a Sword of Damocles. This is something that I have
been talking about for
quite some time, and now a Mexican billionaire has come forward with
a similar warning. Hugo Salinas Price was the founder of the Elektra
retail chain down in Mexico, and he is extremely concerned that rising interest
rates could burst the derivatives bubble and cause "massive bankruptcies
around the globe". Of course there are a whole lot of people out
there that would be quite glad to see the "too big to fail" banks go
bankrupt, but the truth is that if they go down our entire economy will go down
with them. Our situation is similar to a patient with a very advanced
stage of cancer. You can try to kill the cancer with drugs, but you will
almost certainly kill the patient at the same time. Well, that is
essentially what our relationship with the big banks is like. Our entire
economic system is based on credit, and just like we saw back in 2008, if the
big banks start failing credit freezes up and suddenly nobody can get any money
for anything. When the next great credit crunch comes, every important
number in our economy will rapidly start getting much worse.
(Read
More....)
The
big banks are going to play a starring role in the next financial crash just
like they did in the last one. Only this next crash may be quite a bit
worse. Just check out what billionaire Hugo Salinas
Price told King World News recently...
I think we are going to see a series of
bankruptcies. I think the rise in interest rates is the fatal sign which is
going to ignite a derivatives crisis. This is going to bring down the
derivatives system (and the financial system).
There are (over) one quadrillion dollars of
derivatives and most of them are related to interest rates. The spiking of
interest rates in the United States may set that off. What is going to happen
in the world is eventually we are going to come to a moment where there is
going to be massive bankruptcies around the globe.
What is going to be left after the dust
settles is gold, and some people are going to have it and some people are not.
Then the problem is going to be to hold on to what you’ve got because it’s not
going to be a very pleasant world.
Right
now, there are about 441 trillion dollars of interest
rate derivatives sitting out there. If interest rates stay about where
they are right now and they don't go much higher, we will be fine. But if
they start going much higher, all bets will be off and we could see financial
carnage on a scale that we have never seen before.
And
at the moment the big banks have got to behave themselves because the
government is investigating allegations that they have been cheating pension
funds and other investors out of millions of dollars by manipulating the
trading of interest rate derivatives. The following is from an article
that the Telegraph posted on Friday...
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission
(CFTC) is probing 15 banks over allegations that they instructed brokers to
carry out trades that would move ISDAfix, the leading benchmark rate for
interest rate swaps.
Pension funds and companies who invest in
interest rate derivatives often deal with banks to insure against big movements
in the ISDAfix rate or to speculate on changes to interest rate swaps
ISDAfix is published each morning after
banks submit bids for swaps via Icap, the inter-dealer broker, in a number of
currencies. The CFTC has been investigating suggestions that the banks
deliberately moved the rate in order to profit on these deals.
Given the hundreds of trillions of dollars
worth of interest rate derivatives trades that occur annually, even the
slightest manipulation can have a substantial effect. The CFTC, which started
to investigate ISDAfix after last summer’s Libor scandal has now been handed
emails and phone call recordings that show the rate was deliberately moved,
according to Bloomberg.
Essentially
they got their hands caught in the cookie jar and so they have got to play it
straight (at least for now).
Meanwhile,
it looks like the Fed may not be able to keep long-term interest rates down for
much longer.
The
Federal Reserve has been using quantitative easing to try to keep long-term
interest rates low, but now some officials over at the Fed are becoming
extremely alarmed about how bloated the Fed balance sheet has become. For
example, the following was recently written by the head of the Dallas Fed, Richard Fisher...
This later program is referred to as
quantitative easing, or QE, by the public and as large-scale asset purchases,
or LSAPs, internally at the Fed. As a result of LSAPs conducted over three
stages of QE, the Fed’s System Open Market Account now holds $2 trillion of
Treasury securities and $1.3 trillion of agency and mortgage-backed securities
(MBS). Since last fall, when we initiated the third stage of QE, we have
regularly been purchasing $45 billion a month of Treasuries and $40 billion a
month in MBS, meanwhile reinvesting the proceeds from the paydowns of our
mortgage-based investments. The result is that our balance sheet has ballooned
to more than $3.5 trillion. That’s $3.5 trillion, or $11,300 for every man,
woman and child residing in the United States.
Fisher
has compared the current Fed balance sheet to a "Gordian Knot", and
he hopes that the Fed will be able to unwind this knot without creating
"market havoc"...
The point is: We own a significant slice of
these critical markets. This is, indeed, something of a Gordian Knot.
Those of you familiar with the Gordian
legend know there were two versions to it: One holds that Alexander the Great
simply dispatched with the problem by slicing the intractable knot in half with
his sword; the other posits that Alexander pulled the knot out of its pole pin,
exposed the two ends of the cord and proceeded to untie it. According to the
myth, the oracles then divined that he would go on to conquer the world.
There is no Alexander to simply slice the
complex knot that we have created with our rounds of QE. Instead, when the
right time comes, we must carefully remove the program's pole pin and gingerly
unwind it so as not to prompt market havoc. For starters though, we need to
stop building upon the knot. For this reason, I have advocated that we
socialize the idea of the inevitability of our dialing back and eventually
ending our LSAPs. In June, I argued for the Chairman to signal this possibility
at his last press conference and at last week’s meeting suggested that we
should gird our loins to make our first move this fall. We shall see if that
recommendation obtains with the majority of the Committee.
But
of course it should be obvious to everyone that the Fed is not going to be able
to reduce the size of its balance sheet without causing huge distress in the
financial markets. A few weeks ago, just the suggestion that the Fed may
eventually begin to slow down the pace of quantitative easing caused the markets
to throw an epic temper tantrum.
Unfortunately,
the Fed may not be able to keep control of long-term interest rates even if
they continue quantitative easing indefinitely. Over the past several
weeks long-term interest rates have been rising steadily, and the yield
on 10 year U.S. Treasuries crept a bit higher on Monday.
At
this point, many on Wall Street are convinced that the bull market for bonds is
over and that rates will eventually go much, much higher than they are right
now no matter what the Fed does. The following is an excerpt from a
recent CNBC article...
The Federal Reserve will lose control of
interest rates as the "great rotation" out of bonds into equities
takes off in full force, according to one market watcher, who sees U.S. 10-year
Treasury yields hitting 5-6 percent in the next 18-24 months.
"It is our opinion that interest rates
have begun their assent, that the Fed will eventually lose control of interest
rates. The yield curve will first steepen and then will shift, moving rates
significantly higher," said Mike Crofton, President and CEO, Philadelphia
Trust Company told CNBC on Wednesday.
If
the yield on 10 year U.S. Treasuries does hit 6 percent, we are going to have a major disaster on our hands.
Hugo
Salinas Price is exactly right - the derivatives bubble is the number one
threat that our financial system is facing, and it could potentially bring down
a whole bunch of our big banks.
But
for the moment, Wall Street is still in a euphoric mood. The Dow is near
a record high and many investors are hoping that this rally will last for the
rest of the year.
Unfortunately,
I wouldn't count on that happening. The truth is that the stock market
has become completely divorced from economic reality.
Since
March 2009, the size of the U.S. economy has grown by approximately $1.3
trillion, but stock market wealth has grown by an astounding $12
trillion.
And
the stock market has just kept on rising even though GDP growth forecasts have been steadily falling.
It
doesn't make any sense.
But
Obama, Bernanke and the wizards on Wall Street assure us that there is no end
to the party in sight.
Believe
them at your own peril.
The
people at the controls are completely and totally clueless and we are rapidly
careening toward disaster.
Perhaps
we should do what one little town in Minnesota did and put a 4-year-old kid in charge.
That
kid certainly could not be much worse than our current leadership, don't you
think?
How
would America ever survive without the central planners in the Obama
administration and at the Federal Reserve? What in the world would we do
if there was no income tax and no IRS? Could the U.S. economy possibly
keep from collapsing under such circumstances? The mainstream media would
have us believe that unless we have someone "to pull the levers" our economy would descend
into utter chaos, but the truth is that the best period of economic growth in
U.S. history occurred during a time when there was no income tax and no Federal
Reserve. Between the Civil War and 1913, the U.S. economy experienced
absolutely explosive growth. The free market system thrived and the rest
of the world looked at us with envy. The federal government was very
limited in size, there was no income tax for most of that time and there was no
central bank. To many Americans, it would be absolutely unthinkable to
have such a society today, but it actually worked very, very well.
Without the inventions and innovations that came out of that period, the world
would be a far different place today. (Read
More....)
Number of Americans Renouncing Citizenship Surges...
EXIT
TAX...
DEM:
WE'VE GOT VOTES IN HOUSE TO PASS AMNESTY!
OBAMA:
'Absolutely certain'...
Majority
of House support 'DREAM Act'...
ZUCKERBERG
GROUP DEFENDS PAUL RYAN...
Illegals
target GOP in town halls...
Reid: 'If we go to conference, we will win'...
Americans
Sign Petition To Let Illegals Out Of Prison, No Matter What Crimes They
Committed...
Russian
minister tells US to behave 'like grown-ups'...
Julie Wilson | Children that get immunized receive
crayons, pencils and jump drives.
Adan Salazar | Cops under investigation for violating
reporter’s rights.
Kit Daniels | Landlords in Texas are allegedly allowing
police inside homes for “inspections.”
Infowars.com | There are rules for the common people and
rules for their “leaders.”
Julie Wilson | Former Tulsa cop sentenced to 35 years
for robbing Hispanic motorists on duty.
Steve Watson | Public supports letting
murderers, rapists and thieves back on the streets.
Kurt Nimmo | Democrat wants to exclude bloggers and
alternative media from constitutional protection.
Paul Joseph Watson | Did White House jeopardize national
security while prosecuting whistleblowers?
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/07/2013 - 18:21
What
happens when 63.5K ounces of registered gold in your warehouse (16% of total)
just has their warrants detached and the vault is about to finds itself 63.5k
ounces of gold emptier? If you are JPM you call the gold vault with most
inventory in town, that of HSBC, and politely request that they transfer as
much eligible gold as they can on short notice - in this case a tiny 6,444.936
oz to be exact. None of which changes the fact that in a few days, the
inventory in JPM's gold vault will drop to another record low of only 380K
ounces and the JPM "rescue" pleas from HSBC and other Comex members
will become ever louder and more desperate until one day they may just go
straight to voicemail.
Obama Says He’ll “Reform” NSA
Spying … Should We Believe Him? Posted by : George
Washington
Post date: 08/09/2013 - “Who You Are
Speaks So Loudly I Can’t Hear What You’re Saying”
Europe's Crisis Will Be Back
Soon
Posted by: Phoenix
Capital...
Post date: 08/09/2013 - Could
it be coincidence that the worst Crisis in years suddenly went away right as
the women with her finger on the “bailout” button needed to convince German
voters that she’s doing a great...
TiLT: THe CHiLLiNG DeFeCT... Posted by: williambanzai7 Post date: 08/09/2013 - The constitutional legacy of Barrack Moebama (Der
FUBAR).
Submitted by williambanzai7 on 08/09/2013 13:33 -0400
Full Article: http://www.jstor.org/discover/10.2307/1121147?uid=3738176&uid=2129&uid=2...
.
Professor Moebama and his Neo-Fascist Zombie
Corpse, in the finest tradition of Goebbels-speak, aspire to twist this
constitutional term of art by asserting that the Manning case will have a
chilling effect, not on the unfettered exercise of the First Amendment (for
example in the form of secure email communications between journalists and
whistle blowers), but on Der FUBAR's ability to conduct foreign relations.
This kind of twisted constitutional
terrorism will be remembered as a cornerstone of the fascist legacy of Barrack
Moebama (Heil FUBAR!)
.
I wonder what Justice Brennan would think
about this...
And in case you are wondering what kind of
delusive thinking is driving the Zombie Corpse.
Look at this...
And speaking of delusive thinking...
So here it is...the Banzai7
.
On the Nature of Creeping Fascism
“And one day, too late, your principles, if
you were ever sensible of them, all rush in upon you. The burden of
self-deception has grown too heavy, and some minor incident, in my case my
little boy, hardly more than a baby, saying ‘Jew swine,’ collapses it all at
once, and you see that everything, everything, has changed and changed
completely under your nose. The world you live in – your nation, your people –
is not the world you were born in at all. The forms are all there, all
untouched, all reassuring, the houses, the shops, the jobs, the mealtimes, the
visits, the concerts, the cinema, the holidays. But the spirit, which you never
noticed because you made the lifelong mistake of identifying it with the forms,
is changed. Now you live in a world of hate and fear, and the people who hate
and fear do not even know it themselves; when everyone is transformed, no one
is transformed.”
Excerpt from: They Thought They Were Free,
Milton Mayer
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 11:34
... what has been different about the
current negative GOFO episode is that while in the past GOFO spiked negative
and promptly reverted to normal, short-end GOFO rates (1-3 Month) have
been negative now for the longest period on record: 25 consecutive work days.
And it's only getting worse: after the 6 Month GOFO rate also slid below 0% in
mid-July, only to recover positive for the next two weeks, as of today it has
again turned negative for the second day in a row while the short-end
procurement situation has gone from bad to worse.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 19:31
Inflows into equity funds around the world
have been presented as the driver of the next leg higher in this 'secular' bull
market. As liquidity slooshes around the world (as David Stockman so eloquently described)
there is nothing but hot money chasing what 'worked' not what will
work... or, as investors have now been conditioned to do, BTFD. US
asset gatherers' dissonance is high as they know the pillars of their 'just
keep buying' thesis remain wobbly at best (and broken in all honesty) but flows
(aside from the fact that retail appears to have just folded) are holding hope
ransom for now (oh and the
money-on-the-sidelines idiocy meme - buyer meet seller). So what nation
saw the largest relative equity fund inflows in the world?
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 18:58
The folks at Funny or Die have come up with
an ingenious solution to render the NSA’s spy program useless.
Operation: Everyone Talk Like a Terrorist All the Time. It makes a lot
of sense, especially since the government already clearly considers everyone
with the ability to think critically a potential “domestic terrorist.” Short
video and really funny. Enjoy!
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 18:22
Day after day we are blessed with media
prognostications on the employment data. We are incessantly fed 'facts' and
data that shows how great this recovery is but more still needs to be done (so
please don't taper quite yet). We
have been vociferous in the exposure of facts about the 'quality' versus 'quantity' of jobs in the
'recovery' but there is another sentiment-sapping angle to the employment
environment in the US. As Bloomberg's Rich Yamarone notes, the number of people
with a job that were not at work in June or July because they were on vacation
fell to 11.2 million this year from 11.59 million a year ago, a far cry from
the 13.5 million vacationers in 2008 just prior to the Great Recession. Workers
may be too uneasy with their situations to take off and enjoy the summer.
Perhaps the need for a living real disposable personal income has kept them
at their desks longer this year.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 17:54
Succinctly summarizing the positive and
negative news, data, and market events of the week...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 17:11
The marginal economic strength that was
described in the most recent GDP release from Washington has caused many to
double down on their belief that the Federal Reserve will begin tapering Quantitative
Easing sometime later this year. While some believe that is a fantasy given our
economy's extreme dependence on QE, market observers should have learned long
ago that the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) initial GDP estimates can't be
trusted. A perusal of their subsequent GDP revisions in the last five years
reveals a clear trend: They are almost twice as likely to revise
initial estimates down rather than up, and the downward adjustments have been
much larger on average. As a result of this phenomenon, an overall
optimism has pervaded the economic discussion that has consistently been
unfulfilled by actual performance. The government is continuously over
promising and under delivering. Unfortunately, no one seems to care.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 16:38
Presented with no comment...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 16:18
For the 4th day this week
new highs, new lows, advancers and decliners flashed an angst-prone market and
triggered a Hindenburg Omen. A glimpse at Treasuries
close-to-close from Friday and one might think it was a quiet week (though 30Y
rallied 5bps the rest of the curve ended only modestly lower in yield) but in
every other asset-class, the 'Taper' talk sent levered momo running for the
exits... with JPY's 2nd strongest week in 4 years the main
carry-unwind driver.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 16:01
It just never stops...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 15:49
At 4.4 years old, the post-March 2009 rally
is already older than both the post-World War II and post-1900 bull market
averages of 4.2 years and 3.5 years, respectively. In addition, the Dow's 136% rally off of the
March 2009 low close now exceeds the post-World War II average of +128%, and
falls just shy of the post-1900 average of +141%. As is clear from the chart
below, the US equity market's post-March 2009 rally is close to being
on the verge of becoming an outlier... so BTFATH?
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 15:29
In what some would call a victory for free
speech, Lukas Novy, a follower of the Church of the Flying Spaghetti Monster,
has been granted permission to wear a sieve on his head in his official
ID card. As Prague Daily reports, Novy explains that the plastic
kitchenware is a crucial part of his "Pastafarianism" faith.
Officials, who initially denied his request, were swayed by his commitment to "His
Noodliness," agreeing that this fits in with laws that allows
Czech citizens to wear headgear for religious or medical reasons. Think
that is 'humorous', look at a chart of TSLA... or listen to any recent 'Abe'
speech...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 14:58
President Obama is due to answer some
supposedly unprepared questions from a press-corps not 'specifically'
benefiting from his questions at 1500ET. From 'pissed-off about Putin' to
flogging the American Dream once again and the wide-spread closure of US
embassies... we are sure there'll be some interesting off-teleprompter comments
for all...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 14:44
Do you see what happens Larry when you float
a strategic trial balloon or two? Your odds literally surge, at least according
to Irish
bookmaker Paddy Power, which in the absence of InTrade has become the only
market polling venue where pundits put money where their mouth is (as opposed
to countless clueless Op-Eds written by every self-proclaimed Fed expert in
existence). Where two
weeks ago, on July 24, Larry "the hawk" Summers was a long 20%
odds challenger to Janet Yellen, who was a solid 75% favorite to become the
next Fed chair, since then Yellen's odds have crumbled to just 33% currently,
while Summers has exploded higher and after peaking at 60%
two days ago has climbed even higher, and is a 66.6% (appropriately enough)
favorite currently. Time for the perma-Doves to panic yet?
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 14:36
"The rich are feeling better
about their prospects and starting to rediscover real estate as a place to park
money," notes one analyst who was seemingly not alive 7 years ago,
adding, "the stock market has created a tremendous amount of wealth, and
that's being put into homes." It seems we are destined to 'never' learn
that too much of a good thing might just not be... a good thing. Following
President Obama's homeownership is patriotic roadshow this week and his almost
too ironic to be real comments that the U.S. has "got to turn the page on
this kind of bubble-and-bust mentality that helped to create this mess in the
first place," it appears we have gone perfectly 360 as once again home
prices for the wealthiest are soaring. Homes priced at more than
$1 million lost about 46% of their value during the housing crash; since then,
based on Bloomberg's survey of Zillow data, their value has more than doubled.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 14:05
There are real-world consequences to
over-issuing credit and currency. Eventually this leads to a bidding war for trust:
Whose credit/cash will be trusted to retain its purchasing power? There is a
grand irony here, of course; as issuers of credit/cash attempt to debase their
currency to boost their exports, their debased currency buys fewer real-world
resources.
THe TaPeR EFFeCT
DeMoNSTRaTeD...
Posted by : williambanzai7 Post date: 08/07/2013 - By well known PhDs...
Submitted by williambanzai7 on 08/07/2013 15:26 -0400
Official: Tepco Plan Could
Cause Fukushima Reactor Buildings to “Topple” Posted by: George
Washington
Post date: 08/07/2013 - Japan’s
Nuclear Accident Response Director Warns that Tepco’s Actions Might Cause
Reactor BuIldings to Collapse
NSA Pricked The “Cloud”
Bubble For US Tech Companies Posted by: testosteronepit Post date: 08/07/2013 - Foreign companies react; at the expense of already
revenue-challenged US tech companies
Counter-Terror Experts:
Government's Mass Surveillance Program - And Justifications - Are So Dumb
They're "Crazy Pants" Posted by : George
Washington
Post date: 08/08/2013 - D'Oh!
FiSHiN WiTH VLaD... Posted by: williambanzai7 Post date: 08/08/2013 - Catch of the day...
Submitted by williambanzai7 on 08/08/2013 12:33 -0400
Average:
The Fed Will Bankrupt the US
Trying to "Create" Jobs Posted by: Phoenix
Capital...
Post date: 08/08/2013 - There is
literally no evidence that printing money creates jobs. Look at Japan, they
have and continue to maintain QE efforts equal to 40+% of their GDP and
unemployment hasn’t budged in...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/08/2013 - 16:27
Yesterday,
it
was HSBC. Today, the lucky respondent to JPM's polite gold 'procurement'
request, is the second "fullest" New York commercial gold vault: Scotia
Mocatta.
GALLUP LOWEST: OBAMA FALLS TO
41%
REID:
OBAMACARE JUST STEP TOWARDS SINGLE-PAYER...
FLASHBACK:
'Rigged to Fail'...
Insurance
Co's Flee Exchanges...
Number
of Americans Renouncing Citizenship Surges...
EXIT
TAX...
V
A C A T I O N !
Inside
Obama's $7.6 million Martha's Vineyard rental...
STARED
DOWN BY SNOWDEN...
Assange:
Changes vindicate release of information...
In
Misstep, President Discusses Sealed Indictment...
Russian
minister tells US to behave 'like grown-ups'...
How
much is 1,000,000,000,000,000 yen worth? Well, a quadrillion yen is worth
approximately 10.5 trillion dollars. It is an amount of money that is
larger than the "the economies of Germany, France
and the U.K. combined". It is such an astounding amount
of debt that it is hard to even get your mind around it. The government
debt to GDP ratio in Japan will reach 247
percent this year, and the Japanese currently spend about 50
percent of all central government tax revenue on debt service.
Realistically, there are only two ways out of this overwhelming debt trap for
the Japanese. Either they default or they try to inflate the debt
away. At this point, the Japanese have chosen to try to inflate the debt
away. They have initiated the greatest quantitative easing experiment
that a major industrialized nation has attempted since the days of the Weimar
Republic. Over the next two years, the Bank of Japan plans to
zap 60 trillion yen into existence out of thin air and
use it to buy government bonds. By the time this program is over, the
monetary base in Japan will have approximately doubled.
But authorities in Japan are desperate. They know that the Japanese debt
bomb could set off global panic at any time, and they are trying to find a way out
that will not cause too much pain. (Read
More....)
STiLL NiGHT, AuGuST MooN... Posted by : williambanzai7 Post date: 08/10/2013 - 15:05 Zen
and the art of contamination...
Submitted by williambanzai7 on 08/10/2013 15:05 -0400
Still night, August moon
Water, water, pump, pump, pump
What strange fish to fry!
Should we roll out the red carpet and allow millions upon
millions of thieves, rapists, gang members and drug dealers to come waltzing
into this country any time they would like? Should we broadcast a message
to the rest of the world that anyone that can find a way to enter this country
and somehow get to a “sanctuary city” can sign up for a plethora of welfare
benefits and live a life of leisure at the expense of hard working American
citizens? Yes, those questions sound absurd, but what I have just
described will essentially be official U.S. government policy if the
immigration bill going through Congress becomes law. And unfortunately,
Democrats now say that they have the Republican votes that
they need to get “immigration reform” through the House of
Representatives. If this amnesty bill becomes law, it will encourage even
more illegal immigration and it will be one more step toward making the U.S.
border essentially meaningless. (Read
More.....)
Paul Joseph Watson | Amidst national debate about amnesty for
undocumented immigrants.
Infowars.com | Charlie Strange, father of
late SEAL Team Six member Michael Strange, joins the show.
Michael S. Rozeff | There is no stability of law as the
government now operates. Any freedom can be attacked.
Rand Paul | Feds eager to defend astounding level of
surveillance.
Techdirt | His comments represent a fundamental
misunderstanding of why the public doesn’t trust the government.
American Dream | Should we roll out the red
carpet and allow millions upon millions of thieves, rapists, gang members and
drug dealers to come waltzing into this country any time they would like?
Steve Watson | Public supports letting
murderers, rapists and thieves back on the streets.
Bloomberg | Americans renouncing U.S.
citizenship surged sixfold in the second quarter from a year earlier as the
government prepares to introduce tougher asset-disclosure rules.
The Wall Street Journal | Teenagers have had the hardest time out
of all age groups.
Release of August Jobs Report is
D-Day for Tapering
Fox Business
| It’s becoming increasingly clear that Friday Sept. 6 is D-Day for tapering.
Agent: IRS Still Targeting Tea
Party Groups
NewsMax
| “… the IRS is still targeting tea party cases,” Rep. Dave Camp, chairman of
the House Ways and Means Committee, said.
Paul Joseph Watson | Amidst national debate about amnesty for
undocumented immigrants.
American Dream | Should we roll out the red
carpet and allow millions upon millions of thieves, rapists, gang members and
drug dealers to come waltzing into this country any time they would like?
Bloomberg | Americans renouncing U.S.
citizenship surged sixfold in the second quarter from a year earlier as the
government prepares to introduce tougher asset-disclosure rules.
Prison Planet.com | Charlie Strange, father
of late SEAL Team Six member Michael Strange, joins the show.
We Are Change | We Are Change headed to
Miami Beach — the site where Israel Hernandez was killed after being tased by
Miami Beach Police.
Washington Post | The Obama administration
on Friday asserted a bold and broad power to collect the phone records of
millions of Americans.
NBC News | Obama announces new reforms of the
government’s classified surveillance programs.
Adan Salazar | Cops under investigation for violating
reporter’s rights.
Steve Watson | Public supports letting
murderers, rapists and thieves back on the streets.
A Quadrillion Yen And Counting –
The Japanese Debt Bomb Could Set Off Global Panic At Any Moment
Economic
Collapse | How much is 1,000,000,000,000,000 yen worth? Well, a quadrillion yen
is worth approximately 10.5 trillion dollars.
Obama set to begin vacation at
$7.6M estate after meeting press
The
Hill | President Obama begins an eight-day vacation in Martha’s Vineyard,
Mass., on Saturday, hoping to recharge his battery before tough fights over the
budget and debt ceiling this fall.
Marc Faber On Today’s 1987 Redux
“Market May Drop 20% Or More”
Zero
Hedge | With the 3rd Hindenburg Omen in 4 days suggesting anxiety is high,
maybe he is on to something.
Shortages Are Going to Drive
People Out of Their Minds: “That’s When the Riots Will Start”
Mac
Slavo | When will the breakdown of the system begin?
GATA's Chris Powell on 1200
Tonnes of Missing Gold at the Bank of England Posted by: EBPost
date: 08/10/2013 - You're not going to believe
this: gold is manipulated. Also, Paul Craig Roberts debunks GDP and lifts
the veil off our disinformational gov't
A Japanese Crisis Nears Posted by: Asia
Confidential
Post date: 08/10/2013 - Two upcoming
events could prove catalysts for a Japanese sovereign debt crisis.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/10/2013 - 14:37
It was only last week that
yet another conspiracy theory became fact when we learned, for the first
time after nearly three years of lies, that Tepco had been deceitful and wrong
with its "all clear" message about Fukushima, and that instead some
300 tons of contaminated, irradiated water had been flowing into the Pacific
ocean every
day. So now that the opportunity cost of telling more lies is zero, and the
radioactive cat is out of the bag, so to say, the news about the absolute,
unmitigated disaster that Fukushima is, and will be for decades, are coming
fast and furious. Sure enough, moments ago Tepco reported, and Kyodo confirmed,
that radioactive water has risen above the protective barrier and is
freely leaking into the surrounding environment.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/10/2013 - 18:41
The Department of Justice’s (DOJ) latest
civil suit against Bank of America (B of A) is an embarrassment of tragic
proportions on multiple dimensions. We're "only" going to explore seven of its epic
fails here. The two most obvious fails (except
to most of the media, which failed to mention either) are that the DOJ has
once again refused to prosecute either the elite bankers or bank that committed
what the DOJ describes as massive frauds and that the DOJ has refused to bring
even a civil suit against the senior officers of the banks despite filing a
complaint that alleges facts showing that those officers committed multiple
felonies that made them wealthy by causing massive harm to others. Those
two fails should have been the lead in every article about the civil suit. There
are many more...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/10/2013 - 17:28
The Chinese demand for gold essentially
comes from three segments:
(1) the People’s Bank of China; (2); the banking sector; and (3) Chinese
citizens. We can count on the Chinese central bank to pursue the same
steady course they have been pursuing for a while: buying additional gunpowder
by increasing their gold reserves. More importantly, it is very likely that the
current forced deleveraging will be accompanied by, for instance, a significant
cut in interest rates or a lowering of the reserve requirements to offer the
banking sector a helping hand (as the PBOC appears to be folding a little on
its hard stance). This could have a major impact on gold. We’ll see why by
observing that the bulk of Chinese gold demand comes from its third source:
Chinese citizens. China has one of the world's highest saving rates,
and the public faces few investment options. With negative real
interest rates, in case the PBoC does lower rates to support the banking
system, gold seems to be an opportune alternative.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/10/2013 - 13:58
Whether
or not BitCoin actually wants to be regarded as an
accepted currency, and thus subject to US government regulation, remains to be
seen. However, one thing is certain: a currency is not a currency, until it
gets its own Bloomberg ticker. Just recall the confusion that followed the appearance of XGD,
or the GREEK DRACHMA (POST EURO), BBG currency ticker in June 2012 caused a
panic tsunami across Europe when everyone started asking what does Bloomberg
know that nobody else does.
Enter XBT Curncy <GO>
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/10/2013 - 12:12
"Mr. Martin-Artajo thought that the
market was irrational."
- Permanent Subcommittee on
Investigations, US Senate, Report on JPM
Whale Trades: A Case History of Derivatives Risks and Abuses, p. 104
Just like Breaking Bad, the most exciting
trading drama of 2012 is coming to an end.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/10/2013 - 10:47
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/10/2013 - 09:53
With all of the problems afflicting the
world economy nowadays, inflation seems to be the least of our worries. In
addressing the post-2008 economic malaise, which stems from over-indebtedness,
policymakers are correct to focus on the threat of debt deflation, which can
lead to depression. But dismissing inflation as “yesterday’s problem”
could undermine central banks’ efforts to address today’s most pressing issues
– and, ultimately, facilitate inflation’s resurgence. Understanding
how the Great Inflation from the late 1960’s to the early 1980’s was tamed
offers important lessons for addressing far-reaching economic problems, however
different ours may be, and provides insight into the dangers that may lie
ahead.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 22:07
Tyranny, even when discussing villains like
Hitler, Mao and Stalin, does not have a single pedigree.
Tyranny is a process, rarely gained via force until the defense mechanism of
the host is destroyed. Hitler took seed in the ideas of Otto von Bismarck
which preceded him by more than half a century. The process is well
underway in America.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 21:31
A majority of Americans say they think
gun crime has increased over the past 20 years, even though it has actually
fallen dramatically, a recent Pew Research Center survey shows. The
infographic below provides a closer look at some recent numbers.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 21:00
How would America ever survive without the
central planners in the Obama administration and at the Federal Reserve?
What in the world would we do if there was no income tax and no IRS?
Could the U.S. economy possibly keep from collapsing under such circumstances?
The mainstream media would have us believe that unless we have someone
"to pull the levers" our
economy would descend into utter chaos, but the truth is that the best
period of economic growth in U.S. history occurred during a time when there was
no income tax and no Federal Reserve. We never needed a central bank, we
never needed the IRS and we never needed an income tax. America would be
doing just fine without any of them. But instead, America chose to go down the
path of collectivization and central planning, and now we are heading toward
the biggest economic disaster in the history of mankind.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 20:45
Since Detroit’s Chapter 9 filing in late
July, it has slipped off the front-pages to some extent. The Chapter 9 process
is underway and Barclays provides a deep-dive look at the various liabilities
involved in the bankruptcy. From the pension obligation certificates
(POC), which they believe could be subject to the most volatility over the
course of the bankruptcy process and will likely recover no more than
30 cents on the dollar, Barclays' muni team expands on the various
aspects of the eligibility process, historical precedents (such as Stockton,
CA), and the tough decisions that investors face in deciding between short-term
goal of certainty of payment or a long-term goal of maximizing returns. The
judge has set a mid-March 2014 deadline for the city to file its plan of
adjustment.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 19:31
Inflows into equity funds around the world
have been presented as the driver of the next leg higher in this 'secular' bull
market. As liquidity slooshes around the world (as David Stockman so eloquently described)
there is nothing but hot money chasing what 'worked' not what will
work... or, as investors have now been conditioned to do, BTFD. US
asset gatherers' dissonance is high as they know the pillars of their 'just
keep buying' thesis remain wobbly at best (and broken in all honesty) but flows
(aside from the fact that retail appears to have just folded) are holding hope
ransom for now (oh and the
money-on-the-sidelines idiocy meme - buyer meet seller). So what nation
saw the largest relative equity fund inflows in the world?
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 18:58
The folks at Funny or Die have come up with
an ingenious solution to render the NSA’s spy program useless.
Operation: Everyone Talk Like a Terrorist All the Time. It makes a lot
of sense, especially since the government already clearly considers everyone with
the ability to think critically a potential “domestic terrorist.” Short video
and really funny. Enjoy!
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/09/2013 - 18:22
Day after day we are blessed with media
prognostications on the employment data. We are incessantly fed 'facts' and
data that shows how great this recovery is but more still needs to be done (so
please don't taper quite yet). We
have been vociferous in the exposure of facts about the 'quality' versus 'quantity' of jobs in the
'recovery' but there is another sentiment-sapping angle to the employment
environment in the US. As Bloomberg's Rich Yamarone notes, the number of people
with a job that were not at work in June or July because they were on vacation
fell to 11.2 million this year from 11.59 million a year ago, a far cry from
the 13.5 million vacationers in 2008 just prior to the Great Recession. Workers
may be too uneasy with their situations to take off and enjoy the summer.
Perhaps the need for a living real disposable personal income has kept them
at their desks longer this year.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/08/2013 - 18:35
The
JGB market was completely unfazed by the news that the prime minister’s office
was reconsidering the planned consumption tax hike. While the tax hike is
unlikely to be changed; in BNP's view, the market’s lack of response to tail
risk looks like proof that its function has been impaired by the BoJ’s massive
buying. Even if the Abe regime is opting for financial repression to reduce the
public debt, however, BNP warns that some degree of fiscal reform is needed to
control the long-term interest rate. If the unfazed market is deemed to
mean that fiscal reforms can be shelved without fear of a bond-yield spike as
long as massive BoJ buying continues, serious problems could ensue.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/08/2013 - 18:04
Secure
and free web-based email service provider Lavabit shut down today. What makes
Lavabit different from countless other email providers who have shuttered over
the years is that according
to BoingBoing, Lavabit is the email service supposedly used by Edward
Snowden. Which would explain the nebulous tone in the farewell letter posted on
the company's front page by owner Ladar Levison. It also explains why Lavabit
was shut down by the US government, although that was mostly inferred from the
letter which due to legal limitations does not expound on the official reasons
for the shut down - one can imagine. It certainly explains the following
punchline in Levison's letter: "This experience has taught me one
very important lesson: without congressional action or a strong judicial
precedent, I would _strongly_ recommend against anyone trusting their private
data to a company with physical ties to the United States."
We
wholeheartedly agree.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/08/2013 - 17:53
That the U.S. trade deficit shrank to $34 billion in June is
being presented as good news all around (no surprise there, as all news is presented
as good news). The petroleum boom in the U.S. has pushed oil imports down by
over $2 billion a month to $10 billion/month, and non-petroleum trade generated
a deficit of $37 billion/month, down $5 billion. Slowing imports and modestly
higher exports are being presented as reasons for stronger GDP growth going
forward. Nice, except nobody is talking about the negative consequences
of a shrinking trade deficit on U.S. corporate profits. The
financial media doesn't talk about this because it doesn't understand the
connection, which is based on Triffin's Paradox... All those counting on a
weaker dollar and rising U.S. corporate profits will be doubly surprised.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/08/2013 - 17:04
While
remaining unapologetically bullish US equities long-term, Guggenheim's
Scott Minerd warns that historically, markets that have rallied as
aggressively as U.S. equities since November 2012 (an increase of 25 percent),
pause or correct to digest their advances. Also, earnings among U.S.
companies have flattened and could turn negative within two to three quarters,
meaning further upside can only come from multiple expansion. Of
the 19 percent rise in stocks year-to-date, 16 percent has already come from multiple
expansion. Finally, it appears GDP growth could be entering a soft
patch as we work through a number of short-term issues such as the headwinds in
housing, reduced growth in China, the full impact of the sequester, and the
budget and debt ceiling debates that will take place in Washington in the third
quarter – all of which will put downward pressure on stock prices. The
near-term outlook for equities makes now a good time to consider the old Wall
Street adage, "Nobody ever lost money by taking a profit."
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/08/2013 - 16:19
Equity markets gapped up at the cash open and the S&P
regained 1,700 briefly,
then dumped along with JPY strength on decent volume only to be rescued almost
as fast after the European close (on JPY weakness) dragging the S&P back up
to test 1,700 once again. Once 1,700 was regained, volume departed and until
the last few minutes, stocks did nothing (ignoring JPY post-30Y Auction)
with a drop at the close in the futures (but a green close to break the worst
streak of 2013) The 3rd Hindenburg Omen in 4 days shows the
level of anxiety in this volumeless levitation as
highs/lows/advancers/decliners signal all is not well amid the major
JPY-carry-unwind. Treasuries managed small gains on the day (and week) and
while credit markets rallied modestly they remain notably
underperforming in this afternoon's equity spike. As JPY weakened and
dragged stocks higher, VIX also collapsed but going into the close, it was
clear hedgers were active. Gold, Silver, and Copper all
surged on the day, WTI dropped (helped by RINs dump to only 67c).
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/08/2013 - 16:02
In
a little under 90 seconds, the venerable "Gloom, Boom, and
Doom"er draws a number of eery similarities between the fundamental
and technical backdrop before 1987's equity market collapse and the current
environment. With the 3rd Hindenburg Omen in 4 days suggesting
anxiety is high, maybe he is on to something.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/08/2013 - 15:40
Submitted
by Simon Black via Sovereign
Man blog,
A
massive 1,131 individuals renounced their US citizenship last quarter,
according to data that has yet to be officially released (though I was able to
procure an advanced copy).
This
is a HUGE jump.
Compared
to the same quarter last year in which 188 people renounced their US
citizenship, this year’s number is over SIX TIMES higher.
Not to mention, it's 66.5% higher than last quarter's 679
renunciations.
This
brings the total number of renunciations so far this year to 1,810.
While still embryonic, it's difficult to ignore this trend–
more and more people are starting to renounce their US citizenship.
After
all, the number of people who renounced citizenship this past quarter is
roughly the same as the number of people who renounced for the previous four
quarters COMBINED.
This
movement shouldn't be that surprising for a species that began as nomadic
hunter gatherers, or for a society that was founded by foreigner settlers in
search of a better life.
Yet,
in a rather anomalous twist, the emotional ties we have for our passports are
incredibly strong.
It
doesn’t matter where you’re from - the United States, Sweden, New Zealand, or
Venezuela... many people all over the world are inculcated from birth with a
sense that their country is ‘better’ than all the others.
We
grow up with the songs, the flag waving, and the parades until the concept of
motherland becomes deeply rooted in our emotional cores.
Not
to mention, when so many of our friends and neighbors unquestionably fall in
line, it’s a powerful social reinforcement that only strengthens the bond.
We
come to view our nationalities rather ironically as a big piece of our core
individuality. I am an American. I am a Canadian. I am an Austrian. Instead of
- I am a human being.
It has taken decades... centuries even... to reach this point.
So the fact that more and more people are making the gut-wrenching decision to
ditch their US passports is truly a powerful trend.
So what’s driving it? Taxes... and the search for liberty.
For
many, their tax bills constitute a financial breaking point. Particularly for
people who spend most of their time outside of the United States and are
constantly hamstrung by worldwide taxation and information disclosures, the
burden for many of them has just become too much to bear.
The
US government figured this out some years ago and began charging an exit tax to
certain high income / high net worth expatriates seeking to renounce.
This
applies to anyone whose average US tax liability over the last five years was
about $150,000 (the equivalent of roughly $500,000 in taxable income in 2012
dollars), and/or has a net worth of at least $2 million on the date of
expatriation. Curiously this net worth figure does not adjust with inflation.
The
ironic thing is that in the "Act of July 27, 1868", the United States
Congress declared that "the right of expatriation is a natural and
inherent right of all people, indispensable to the enjoyment of the rights of
life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness."
Yet I would expect that as the number of expatriates continue
to grow, this exit tax will become more and more onerous as the government
tries to trap people, and their wealth, in the country.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/08/2013 - 15:19
When federal spending grows faster than American's paychecks,
the burden of government on taxpayers becomes greater. Over the past four decades, Americans'
earnings have risen only 24%; while spending by the government has risen 288%,
which begs the question - where did it all go?
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/08/2013 - 14:58
Presented
with no comment...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/08/2013 - 13:28
In
May 22 testimony to the Joint Economic Committee of Congress, Fed Chairman Ben
Bernanke issued another of many similar positive interpretations of central
bank policy. Yet again, he continued to argue that quantitative easing has
decreased long-term interest rates and produced other benefits. The Fed's polices have not produced the
much-promised re-acceleration in economic growth. The standard of living - defined as median
household income - has fallen back to the level of 1995. The best approach
would be for the Fed to recognize the failure of QE and end the program
immediately, thereby allowing price distortions in the markets to correct
themselves. By ending the illusion that the Fed can take constructive
actions, this might even serve to force federal government leaders to deal with
the growing fiscal policy imbalances. Otherwise, debt levels will
continue to build and serve to further limit the potential for economic growth.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/08/2013 - 13:15
On the surface today's last of the
week sale of $16
billion in 30 Year paper was not very different from last month's: at
a high yield of 3.652%, it was virtually unchanged from July's 3.66% pricing
yield. However, when one looks at the When Issued which was trading notably
inside at 3.645%, it becomes clear that this was the first 30Y auction to tail
in a while. The real dirt, however, is revealed when looking at the Bid To
Cover. Confirming the trend we discussed during yesterday's 10 Year auction
of plunging
BTCs, today was no difference, and there was just 2.11 dollars in bids
for every dollar offered. This was well below the 2.26 BTC from July, far below
the 2.56 TTM average, and would have been the lowest going back all
the way to February 2009 except for the 2.05 BTC seen during the August 11,
2011 30 Year auction when as a result of the debt ceiling fiasco and the
S&P downgrade of the US, there was sheer chaos when it came to
bonds which ironically saw a paradoxical collapse in yields even as end demand
also plunged. Overall this was a very weak auction, but that's precisely
what the Fed wants: after all, soon the US may will fund itself by selling
equity directly into the biggest Fed bubble ever created, and no longer bother
with something as trivial as debt.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/08/2013 - 14:24
Curious
where all that dramatic stock footage of one (or the other) side in the ongoing
Egyptian (non-)coup comes from? Apparently quite a bit of it is from repeated
takes of the best staged (counter) revolution that Straight-To-YouTube
money can buy. The following clip released by LiveLeak shows a
Muslim Brotherhood "demonstration" in Egypt that was
specifically staged to get the most dramatic poses, as the actors freeze their
poses for the photographers. Injuries and even bloodstains are faked.
Which is not to say only the MB is responsible for such drama: what is shown
below is a prevalent tactic used across various ideologies and factions around
the world to generate sympathy with the naive, gullible and easily influenced
"western" audiences who are always willing to accept
"reality" at face value. The take home, if there is one? Never trust
anything you are told or shown, especially when national interests or
intelligence agencies are involved and/or providing the funding. And always
verify independently: after all the video below may well be a
counterprovocation to discredit the MB, or not. Nobody knows for sure.
8 ways
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The Russian
Bear is stronger and more powerful than it has ever been before. Sadly,
most Americans don't understand this. They still think of Russia as an
"ex-superpower" that was rendered almost irrelevant when the Cold War
ended. And yes, when the Cold War ended Russia was in rough shape.
I got the chance to go over there in the early nineties, and at the time Russia
was an economic disaster zone. Russian currency was so worthless that I
joked that I could go exchange a 20 dollar bill and buy the Kremlin. But
since that time Russia has roared back to life. Once Vladimir Putin
became president, the Russian economy started to grow very rapidly.
Today, Russia is an economic powerhouse that is blessed with an abundance of
natural resources. Their debt to GDP ratio is extremely small, they
actually run a trade surplus every year, and they have the second most powerful
military on the entire planet. Anyone that underestimates Russia at this
point is making a huge mistake. The Russian Bear is back, and today it is
a more formidable adversary than it ever was at any point during the Cold War. (Read
More....)
Should
the government be trying to figure out if we are going to commit a crime in
advance? That sounds like something out of a Tom Cruise movie, but the
truth is that “pre-crime” technologies such as were portrayed in Minority
Report are being aggressively developed, and some have actually already been
deployed. We live at a time when technology is advancing at an
exponential rate, and it can be really hard to keep up with how rapidly our
world is changing. In the future, authorities may not only be able to use
pre-crime technology to read our minds, they might also be able to use
technology to directly control our minds as well. Yes, I know that sounds
science fiction, but after I tell you about some cutting edge research that has
been taking place at Harvard Medical School you might not think that such a
notion seems so bizarre.
But
first I want to discuss some of the very disturbing pre-crime technologies that
the government is working on. One of the most prominent programs is known
as FAST (Future Attribute Screening Technology). According to Wikipedia,
this pre-crime system is already so advanced that developers claim that it has
about an 80% success (Read
More....)
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/08/2013 - 13:48
A
month ago we reported
that cocaine production out of Latin America had dropped to a new 21st
century low. Whether that move was supply or demand-driven was unclear, just as
it is unclear if it was due to the "scarcity" of cocaine and other
more expensive drugs that forced drug-addicts to shift to other narcotics, but
what is clear is that WSJ reports,
"Heroin use in the U.S. is soaring, especially in rural areas, amid
ample supply and a shift away from costlier prescription narcotics that are
becoming tougher to acquire. The number of people who say they
have used heroin in the past year jumped 53.5% to 620,000 between 2002 to 2011,
according to the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services
Administration. There were 3,094 overdose deaths in 2010, a 55% increase from
2000, according to the federal Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention."
ANTI-SMOKING
BATTLE MOVES OUTDOORS; BANS INCREASE {
Ridiculous! Particularly in light of
america’s pervasive serious crime problems … and, there’s the
decriminalization of marijuana, etc., for a dose of reality … these smoking
bans are absolutely ridiculous and should be lumped in the category of unconstitutionally regulating soda sizes …
beaches? … I can buy that! }
MIKE STOBBE 8 hours ago
ATLANTA
(AP) — First it was bars, restaurants and office buildings. Now the front lines
of the "No Smoking" battle have moved outdoors.
City
parks, public beaches, college campuses and other outdoor venues across the
country are putting up signs telling smokers they can't light up. Outdoor
smoking bans have nearly doubled in the last five years, with the tally now at
nearly 2,600 and more are in the works.
But
some experts question the main rationale for the bans, saying there's not good
medical evidence that cigarette smoke outdoors can harm the health of children
and other passers-by.
Whether
it is a long-term health issue for a lot of people "is still up in the
air," said Neil Klepeis, a Stanford University researcher whose work is
cited by advocates of outdoor bans.
Ronald
Bayer, a Columbia University professor, put it in even starker terms.
"The
evidence of a risk to people in open-air settings is flimsy," he said.
There
are hundreds of studies linking indoor secondhand smoke to health problems like
heart disease. That research has bolstered city laws and workplace rules that
now impose smoking bans in nearly half of the nation's bars, restaurants and
workplaces.
In
contrast, there's been little study of the potential dangers of whiffing
secondhand smoke while in the open air. But that hasn't stopped outdoor bans
from taking off in the last five years. The rules can apply to playgrounds,
zoos, beaches and ball fields, as well as outdoor dining patios, bus stops and
building doorways.
Growing Push for Outdoor Smoking BansPlay
video."
"Secondhand
smoke is harmful. It's particularly harmful to children," said
Councilwoman Mary Cheh of the District of Columbia, one of more than 90 U.S.
municipalities or counties considering an outdoor smoking law.
But
is it really dangerous outdoors?
Federal
health officials say yes. Studies have clearly established that even a brief
exposure indoors to cigarette smoke can cause blood to become sticky and more
prone to clotting. How long that lasts after just one dose isn't clear,
officials say. The best-known studies so far have measured only up to about a
day afterward.
Repeated
exposures are more dangerous, and can worsen your cholesterol, increase the
odds of plaque building in arteries, and raise the risk of chest pain,
weakness, or heart attack.
Health
officials say there's no reason to think that can't happen from breathing in
smoke outdoors.
"There's
no risk-free level of secondhand smoke," said Brian King, an expert on
secondhand smoke with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
However,
it's hard to pin down the health effects of outdoor smoke. There have been some
studies — fewer than a dozen — that tried to measure how much secondhand smoke
can be found outdoors. Some have found levels that rival what people may
breathe indoors, depending on which way the wind is blowing or whether there's
an overhang or sheltered area that can trap smoke. One study detected
significant fumes as far as 44 feet away from a smoker.
"If
you can smell it, it's obviously there," said James Repace, a
Maryland-based scientist-consultant who's done some of the outdoor studies.
Two
small studies tested about two dozen nonsmokers at a smoky outdoor dining area
in Athens, Ga. The saliva tests detected significant jumps in cotinine, a
substance produced when the body metabolizes nicotine.
That
doesn't mean it's causing chronic illness, though. Repace thinks only two kinds
of people may face a serious health risk outdoors — those with severe asthma
and staff at outdoor cafes where smoking is allowed.
Indeed,
health advocates in some places have focused on sites like sidewalk cafes,
feeling they can't make the case for beaches or open-air parks.
"We
only get involved where there's a real health risk," said Flory Doucas,
co-director of Canada's Quebec Coalition for Tobacco Control.
Still,
cigarette smoke in a place like a park can be a nuisance to some, just like
loud music or dog waste.
That's
how Roger Montiel of Atlanta views it.
"I
don't really like the smell and I don't like it blowing in my face. If I'm
enjoying a day at the park, I'd rather it not be part of that experience,"
he said while walking through a downtown park recently.
That's
good enough reason for outdoor bans, Repace said. "People don't have to be
dropping dead for you to regulate something," he said.
Well,
not so fast, said Simon Chapman, an Australian researcher. He once won a
prestigious American Cancer Society award for his anti-smoking efforts and
formerly was editor of a medical journal focused on smoking's dangers. But in
recent years he's become a vocal opponent to wide-ranging outdoor smoking bans.
He
and Bayer worry such bans are really motivated by desires to make smoking seem
like an unusual, socially unacceptable behavior. Ban proponents see that as a
worthy goal; Chapman thinks it's a bad precedent.
"Next
you might say 'Let's not just stop there. Let's not have people smoke anywhere
they might be seen'" he said. "And then is it legitimate to say that
any behavior that people don't like should be disapproved of because people
might see it."
In
Atlanta, a city council member decided to act after an encounter with a smoker
in a park. A ban on smoking in the city's parks went into effect last summer.
Technically, a violation could result in a fine of as much as $1,000. But — as
in other cities — Atlanta officials have not arrested anyone.
"Enforcement
generally has been someone says 'put that out,' and they put it out," said
George Dusenbury, Atlanta's parks and recreation commissioner.
At
Woodruff Park, a 6-acre downtown hangout, nearly a dozen smokers could be
spotted in the park on a recent, sunny Friday morning. The regulars said they
knew about the rules, but found ways to get around them.
"Smoke
rises. I don't see a reason why it should bother other people out here,"
said Tommy Jackson, 55, lighting up with a friend at the edge of a paved
footpath through the park.
Park
worker Rufus Copeland said he's seen only a small drop in smoking since the
green and white "Smoking Prohibited" signs went up last year. He
steers smokers to the sidewalk rimming the park. But people still smoke.
"It's hard," he said.
Brianna
Mills, a 26-year-old nursing student from suburban Marietta, sat down for a
quiet moment in the park with her Newports, unaware of the ban.
"It's
supposed to be a free country," said Mills, who developed her habit 10
years ago. "It's like: 'Where can you smoke?'"
Critics
bash Obama's plans for vacay...
POLL:
82% say Congress doesn't deserve August recess...
59%
of Docs Wouldn't Encourage Kids To Enter Medicine...
Prison Planet.com | Joint operation between feds and local law enforcement.
Adan Salazar
| Walden mayor says he was offered “political donations” to stay in the group.
New
York Times | The NSA is searching the contents of vast amounts of Americans’
e-mail and text communications into and out of the country.
Daily
Caller | On his Wednesday program, “Hardball” host Chris Matthews forecasted
that the GOP would go “hard right” and nominate Kentucky Republican Sen. Rand
Paul as its 2016 presidential nominee.
Sen.
Rand Paul | We deserve real, honest answers from our president and his
administration, not a cowardly misdirection campaign.
Paul Joseph Watson | Yet another ludicrous conspiracy theory overshadows issues
of real significance.
Fed Belongs to Everybody as
Public Says It’s Our Money in Crisis
Bloomberg
| The unprecedented frenzy surrounding Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S.
Bernanke’s potential successor shows that Americans won’t let the central bank
go back to its opaque and secretive ways.
“Hello HSBC, This Is JPMorgan –
We Urgently Need Some Of Your Gold”
Zero
Hedge | What happens when 63.5K ounces of registered gold in your warehouse
(16% of total) just has their warrants detached and the vault is about to finds
itself 63.5k ounces of gold emptier?
Gold Markets Get Strange – Is
Economic Danger Near?
Brandon
Smith | Traditionally, metals markets are supposed to be a solid fundamental
signal of the physical and psychological health of our overall economy.
The Rise Of The Bear: 18 Signs
That Russia Is Rapidly Catching Up To The United States
Economic
Collapse | The Russian Bear is stronger and more powerful than it has ever been
before.
Kit Daniels
| “Their claimed successes are all built on lies,” Paul said.
Infowars.com
| SWAT team demands Infowars reporter get back inside his apartment.
Infowars.com
| Producer admits film is about “immigration, health care, and class issues.”
Julie Wilson
| “They’re going to be able to query exactly how I’m using my energy by minute
by minute basis.”
Steve
Watson | Maker vows to share blueprints while authorities continue with
crackdown.
Infowars.com
| General explains new tech will be used to fight the war on terrorism.
Infowars.com
| Joint operation between feds and local law enforcement.
JP Morgan faces criminal probe
for defrauding investors
RT
| Bank faces a slew of lawsuits.
Shares, dollar drop on Fed
tapering uncertainty
Reuters
| Stocks on Wall Street ended lower.
Clinton Labor Secretary: GOP
Wants to Keep Unemployment High
Daily Finance
| GOP has shot down every major Democratic job-creation proposal of the past
few years.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/07/2013 - 17:48
There
are still more than 3 million Americans who have been unemployed for
more than 52 weeks and, as
WSJ reports, economists (via recent studies) worry they will never work
again. Of course, with benefits
at such heights (and work punished), it is not surprising but on the demand
side, for the long-term unemployed, interview "callback rates decrease
dramatically at 9 months of unemployment." Worst still, for those applying
for medium-to-low skilled jobs (so the majority), being long-term unemployed
reduced interview requests by 20% - the equivalent of shaving four
years of work experience off their resumes. Critically, one study
found employers showed "a strong distaste for applicants with long
spells of non-employment."
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/07/2013 - 17:19
It’s long been a common approach for government sliding into
insolvency to confiscate wealth from their own citizens. Charles I of England infamously commandeered
200,000 pounds of his own citizens’ gold right before the English Civil War in
1638. Roosevelt confiscated his entire nation’s gold holdings roughly three
centuries later. And of course, Cyprus raided domestic bank accounts earlier
this year in a desperate attempt to bail-in the national banking system. It’s
foolish to think that these things cannot happen, especially when you look at
the numbers. This is why we are concerned that the IRS is refusing
to issue tax ID numbers for single-member LLCs that are owned by an IRA...
which is the specific structure that US taxpayers need to create in order to
ship their retirement savings overseas.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/07/2013 - 16:53
(a/k/a
the shortest post in Zero Hedge history)
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/07/2013 - 16:22
Because
who really needs Generally Accepted Accounting Principles anyway...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/07/2013 - 16:13
"You
can't go up forever," noted Bob Pisani before piling on a series of
excuses for the recent 'weakness' that quite frankly could have been used at
any 1.1% drop in stocks of the last 3 years... While stocks bounced off lows
today and are making the headlines for a third down day for the first
time in 2 months, the real story that most are ignoring is the surge
in the JPY. The USD is legging lower confusing the 'Taper' chatter but it is
the JPY strength that is dominating (up 3.6% against the USD in the
last 4 days (and the Nikkei futures -800 from Friday's highs).
Treasuries rallied 3-4bps (and the curve flattened) as it seems the modest
weakness in stocks is being met with some safe-haven demand. Despite bonds'
bid, Homebuilders were battered (-4.5% on the week). Gold and silver
strengthened off pre-open lows as WTI fell back to around $104. VIX
spiked to 13.9% at the open but ended around 13% at the close. Back
to CNBC for the close: "off the lows," but not in credit Maria...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/07/2013 - 16:04
Has
the long-awaited "kinetic
strike" catalyst finally arrived?
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/07/2013 - 15:55
Every time real personal income goes negative, a recession
occurs. Now that
personal income is falling, a recession is baked in. The Big Lie of the
"recovery" is that it is self-sustaining. Minus government transfers,
the reality that the Fed and Federal government are simply enriching the top
1/10th of 1% with access to unlimited credit at zero interest is revealed.
IRS manual detailed DEA's use of hidden intel evidence on
citizens...
REPORT:
President personally negotiated Obamacare exemption for Congressional
staffers...
REUTERS:
Fix is in...
Schmidt
Financing Cory Start-up...
CNN president Jeff Zucker's 15-year-old son on company's
advisory board, given stock options...
REPORT:
Terry McAuliffe's company linked to SOLYNDRA...
Even
though the United States has the highest incarceration rate and the largest
total prison population in the world by a very wide margin, hundreds of
communities all over America are being overwhelmed by crime and violence.
For many years, violent crime had actually decreased in the United States, but
now the trend is going the other way. Violent crime in the U.S. increased
in both 2011
and 2012,
and it is being projected that it will increase in 2013 as well. The
frightening thing is that crime statistics are going up even though police
departments in some major cities have publicly announced that they will not
even respond to certain crimes anymore. This has the effect of making
crime statistics look lower than they actually should be. For example, in
the city of Chicago police will no longer respond in person "to 911 calls reporting vehicle
theft, garage burglary or simple assault". So if someone
steals your car or breaks into your garage, you can file a report over the
phone if you want, but it probably won't do much good. (Read
More....)
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/07/2013 - 15:33
In
early May, when the first of the Hilsenrath "taper" leaks hit, we
made a prediction that the correct time frame for the actual taper
announcement by the Fed would be September. As a reminder back then this was a
heretical suggestion with prevailing consensus expecting a 2014 taper or a
December 2013 move at the earliest. Fast forward to today, when the September
FOMC is the consensus date for a taper announcement. However, what is
still debated is whether or not the taper is actually "priced in" to
risk assets: some say this is what the bond swoon of June was for, even though
equities have largely digested the bond move 100 bps wider, and are just a
fraction off their all time highs. Well, a few hours ago someone just decided
that not only is the taper not priced in, but that there will be a substantial
shock surrounding the September VIX bucket. And they put their money where
their mouth is.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/07/2013 - 15:16
So
much for hopes that US consumers were loosening the purse strings and starting
to "charge it." Moments ago we got the latest, June, consumer credit
which was expected to increase $15 billion following the May revised $17.6
billion. More importantly, there was an expectation that following the surge in
May revolving credit which rose by $6.4 billion or the second most in the past
three years (only matched by the comparable pre-summer surge in 2012). Sadly,
neither expectation was met: total consumer credit rose by "only"
$13.8 billion, but more importantly, the revolving component posted a $2.7
billion decline. This also matched last year's pattern when
June saw a major reduction of $2.8 billion. In other words, the only credit
creation in the month of June was, once again, entirely for student and car
loans, which rose by a whopping $16.5 billion - the most since February and the
second highest increase since July 2011. So much for US consumers seeking to
relever for discretionary purchases.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/07/2013 - 14:59
Following
yesterday’s announcement that Amazon.com founder Jeffrey Bezos would be
purchasing daily newspaper The Washington Post, sources confirmed
today that Post associate editor and legendary investigative
journalist Bob Woodward had already been repositioned at a new staff position
in one of Amazon’s main warehouses just outside of Seattle... “The one
thing I’ll give him is that he does seem very curious,” Griffin added.
“I mean, he’s always asking questions and he has a little notepad and a tape
recorder out at all times, so hopefully he picks something up from all that.”
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/07/2013 - 14:25
For many years before 2007-9 a few analysts have warned that
rising consumer credit in the US and peripheral Europe was unsustainable. They warned that rising debt to support
misallocated investment in China was also unsustainable. They warned that
soaring US mortgages backed by little more than the hope that land prices could
only rise would lead to a real estate crisis. They warned that
commodity-exporting countries that did not hedge their bets would find
themselves in serious trouble when commodity prices collapsed. Of course
you could not have had a bubble unless the majority of analysts disagreed with
these warnings, and most analysts did indeed disagree. So what happened
when the warnings turned out to be right? The former bulls
immediately trotted out the stopped-clock analogy. The reason the worriers
turned out to be right, they earnestly explained, is that they are perma-bears,
and as everyone knows a stopped clock will always be right twice a day... As
China’s growth continues to slow and as its debt problems become obvious to
even the most bullish, the stopped clock analogy is working overtime.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/07/2013 - 13:54
Just
when
you thought it was safe to travel the world and spend time in a consulate
overseas...
U.S.
HAS ELIMINATED 'ALMOST ALL' AL-QAEDA LEADERS IN PAKISTAN
...
the State Department spokesperson Jen Psaki reminds us:
'WE
DO THINK A THREAT STILL REMAINS' FROM AL-QAEDA: PSAKI
So
be afraid, maybe slightly less afraid, "but keep funding us too"...
U.S.
STILL CONCERNED ABOUT AL-QAEDA AFFILIATES
because,
after all there are many other countries in the world where Al-Qaeda brass is
hiding and where US drones haven't murdered thousands of women and children in
their quest to "eliminate" whatever threat du jour the US makes up.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/07/2013 - 13:36
The sharpening international geopolitical competition over
natural resources has turned some strategic resources into engines of power
struggle.
Transnational water resources have become an especially active source of
competition and conflict, triggering a dam-building race and prompting growing
calls for the United Nations to recognize water as a key security concern. With
the era of cheap, bountiful water having been replaced by increasing supply and
quality constraints, many investors are beginning to view water as the new oil.
Political and economic water wars are already being waged in
several regions, reflected in dam construction on international rivers and
coercive diplomacy or other means to prevent such works. The World Bank
estimates that such constraints are costing China 2.3%
of GDP. In short, we must focus on addressing our water-supply problems as
if our lives depended on it. In fact, they do.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/07/2013 - 13:28
If
it was the Treasury's intent to make auctioning of Treasury paper increasingly
more fraught with risk, it has succeeded. Moments ago, in the second auction of
the week and month, another $24
billion were added to the gross US debt, when the Treasury sold 10 year
paper at a yield of 2.620%, pricing through the When Issued yield of 2.623% So
far so good. However, as was shown
last week, the trouble is in the internals. Recall that as Zero hedge first
demonstrated in January and as the TBAC reconfirmed in their refunding
presentation, the Bid to Covers have been declining across the curve. It should
perhaps come as no surprise then that the just completed 10 Year auction was
completed at the lowest Bid To Cover, or 2.44, going all the way back
to March 2009.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/06/2013 - 20:04
Of
the 28 million Americans with federal student loans, 60%, or 17
million, don't pay the US government a single cent!
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/06/2013 - 19:36
As Detroit begins to sort through the ill-begotten public
liabilities that have driven it to bankruptcy, an important opportunity is at hand to
revitalize the city that was once the epicenter of American entrepreneurship
and manufacturing, while setting an example for other municipal governments
that appear to be headed toward a similar fate. Here is an “Austrian moment” in
the making, a potential libertarian awakening guided by the market-oriented,
non-interventionist principles of the Austrian school of economics. For years,
Detroit’s expenditures vastly exceeded its revenues. But, as long
as investors were willing to purchase risky bonds, neither politicians nor
unions would admit how unsustainable Detroit’s situation was. Detroit’s
bankruptcy is thus exactly what the financial system needs.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/06/2013 - 19:05
Given that the demand for physical gold among private investors
has remained strong throughout 2013, the significant price declines in recent
months took many investors by surprise. Attempting to make sense out of this
situation, speculation has arisen that the so-called 'bullion banks' (the
mostly "Too Big to Fail" institutions that are known to work closely
with the central banks) have lent out, or even sold, gold on a fractional
basis, far in excess of what is supposedly held in their vaults. The result
would have been to multiply greatly the amount of 'apparent' gold in the market
and thereby depress prices. Such an action would provide needed cover
for the embarrassment of currency depreciating central banks' policies.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/06/2013 - 18:35
Recent data releases have contained mixed messages. Bulls cling to anecdotal data points to
support their 'recovery around the corner' green-shoots justification for
equity valuations while bears remain mired in the reality of a slow and dismal
recovery-less recovery. The following 13 charts (with 1 bright shining
point of government sponsored exuberance) paint a different picture than
the all-time high stock prices suggest.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/06/2013 - 18:05
A
bearish take on U.S. stocks is about as fashionable as a beehive hairdo at the
moment, which makes it a decent time to think like a contrarian. Sell-side
strategists with a sense of reality are few and far-between but as
ConvergEx's Nick Colas warns, the most important reason for caution currently
is, obviously, valuation and complacency. U.S. stocks currently reflect,
both in price level (16x current year earnings) and implied volatility (an 11
handle VIX), an economic acceleration which has yet to fully flower. In
addition, Colas adds, domestic equities look good in part simply because
everything else – Europe, Japan, emerging markets, etc... - look so bad. Wouldn't
an accelerating U.S. economy spill over to other regions? So
what is lurking around the corner for the next lucky Fed head? And what about
the three main memes for why the 'bull' can keep running?
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/06/2013 - 17:25
Nearly
a year after the Benghazi embassy attack that left four Americans dead
including ambassador Chris Stevens, it seems that the deaths of US citizens
have "made a difference" after all in the eyes of the
amusingly named US Department of Justice, which moments ago filed criminal
charges related to the Libyan attack. Alas, that's all we know because as the
WSJ reports, the charges were filed under seal. It probably
means that is all that shall be known until one day, several years from now
long after Eric Holder has left the building, the DOJ will unseal the charges
and disclose it never had a case to begin with.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/06/2013 - 16:47
We're
going to need a bigger camera...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/06/2013 - 16:14
Another day, another Hindenburg Omen sighting as Fed speeches did little to provide moar
exuberance as better-than-expected data keeps hinting at an early Taper and
removal of the punchbowl. Stocks have seen two days in a row of 'redness' with
a mind-numbing loss of around 0.7% for the S&P 500 (and more for the
Trannies) that sparked a litany of 'off-the-lows' and 'moral victory for the
bulls' comments as volume remained lack-luster at best (all compressed into the
sell-off phase into the European close). The Taper picture remains a
little unclear across asset-classes though; as gold, silver, and
oil dropped (Taper on), Bonds unch (Taper hhmm), stocks down led by builders
(Taper on), USD weakness (Taper not on) but JPY strength was the driver (carry
unwind on Taper on). VIX pressed up towards 13% (its biggest rise
in 7 weeks) and credit is underperforming.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/06/2013 - 14:44
Information
overload and cognitive dissonance often hide the facts from right under one's
nose. Sometimes, as in the case of the following image, a picture paints a
thousand words; and in this case, any doubt about where the world's
'most-bust-prone' nations are in the post-crisis new normal should be
instantly (and visually) dismissed (as we noted
here, here,
and here).
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/06/2013 - 14:18
With
the Federal Reserve's bond-buying, liquidity-injecting, market-inflating,
volatility-suppressing, confidence-inspiring, economic-supporting,
media-headline-generating, program currently in full swing; one
would assume that the daily pushes to new market highs are driven by massive
inflows of cash into the equity markets. Well, that
assumption is only partially correct.
There
is a relentless assault on the family in America today unlike anything that we
have ever seen before. For decades, the entertainment industry and the
mainstream media have been portraying marriage as the time “when your fun is
over” and they have been encouraging young adults to put off marriage for as
long as possible. So now the marriage rate in the United States is at a
record low and the average age for a first marriage is at a record high.
Meanwhile, the entertainment industry and the mainstream media have been
heavily promoting the philosophy that having fewer children is better, and they
have been teaching our young people that abortion is a really good option if an
unwanted pregnancy comes along. The whole idea is that children are going
to keep you from enjoying the kind of life that you really deserve to have. (Read
More.....)
Are
American workers paid enough? That is a topic that is endlessly debated
all across this great land of ours. Unfortunately, what pretty much
everyone can agree on is that American workers are not making as much as they
used to after you account for inflation. Back in 1968, the minimum wage
in the United States was $1.60 an hour. That sounds very small, but after
you account for inflation a very different picture emerges. Using the
inflation calculator that the Bureau of Labor
Statistics provides, $1.60 in 1968 is equivalent to $10.74
today. And of course the official government inflation numbers have been heavily manipulated to make inflation look
much lower than it actually is, so the number for today should actually be
substantially higher than $10.74, but for purposes of this article we will use
$10.74. If you were to work a full-time job at $10.74 an hour for a full
year (with two weeks off for vacation), you would make about $21,480 for the
year. That isn't a lot of money, but according to the Social Security
Administration, 40.28%
of all workers make less than $20,000 a year in America today. So that
means that more than 40 percent of all U.S. workers actually make less than
what a full-time minimum wage worker made back in 1968. That is how far
we have fallen. (Read
More....)
Everybody
in America wants health care - but most Americans seem to want someone else to
pay for it. In the United States today, the way that our system works is
that the hard working, productive members of society pay for the health care of
everyone else. At least under socialism everyone gets the same
benefits. Our system of health care is a very twisted version of
socialism where millions upon millions of very hard working people are forced
to pay for the health care of others, but often can't afford to purchase decent
health insurance for themselves. Personally, I don't have a big employer
paying for my health care so I have to buy it myself, and I just got a letter
from my health insurance company telling me that I have another massive rate
increase coming up. Have you gotten a similar letter? Health
insurance premiums are going up all over America, and this is just the
beginning. In fact, the CEO of Aetna says that health insurance rates for
many Americans will
double when the major provisions of Obamacare kick in next year. (Read
More....)
Right
now, a massive amount of highly radioactive water is escaping into the Pacific
Ocean from the ruins of the destroyed Fukushima nuclear facility in
Japan. This has been going on all day, every day for more than
two years. The enormous amounts of tritium, cesium and strontium
that are being released are being carried by wind, rain and ocean currents all
over the northern Hemisphere. And of course the west coast of the United
States is being hit particularly hard. When you drink water or eat
seafood that has been contaminated with these radioactive particles, they can
stick around for a very long time. Over the coming years, this ongoing
disaster could potentially affect the health of millions upon millions of
people living in the northern hemisphere, and the sad thing is that a lot of
those people will never even know the true cause of their health problems.
For
a long time, the Japanese government has been trusting Tepco to handle this
crisis, but now it has become abundantly clear that Tepco has no idea what they
are doing. In fact, the flow of radioactive water has gotten so bad that
authorities in Japan are now calling it (Read More....)
If
bees keep dying off at this rate, we are going to be facing a horrific
agricultural crisis very rapidly in the United States. Last winter, 31
percent of all U.S. bee colonies were wiped out. The year before that it
was 21 percent. These colony losses are being described as “catastrophic”
by those in the industry, and nobody is quite sure how to fix the
problem. Some are blaming the bee deaths on pesticides, others are blaming
parasites and others are blaming cell phones. But no matter what is
causing these deaths, if it doesn’t stop we will all soon notice the effects at
the supermarket. Bees pollinate about a hundred different crops in the
United States, and if the bees disappear nobody is quite sure how we will be
able to continue to grow many of those crops. This emerging crisis does
not get a lot of attention from the mainstream media, but if we continue to
lose 30 percent of our bees every year it is going to have a cataclysmic effect
on our food supply.
The
frightening thing is that the bee deaths appear to be accelerating and they
appear to be even
worse in the UK and Canada…
This past winter was one of the worst on
record for bees. (Read
More....)
Nearly
90 percent of new jobs since 2009 are part-time...
'87
rape hoaxer Tawana Brawley begins paying defamation...
STUDY:
U.S. DEBT OBLIGATIONS $70 TRILLION...
ONE
PERSON SHOWS FOR OBAMACARE EVENT!
PUBLIC
UNIONS BALK AT NEW TAX...
States
wage war of words...
Pandemic of Pension Woes Plagues
Nation...
Chicago
Faces $1 Billion Shortfall by 2015...
BLOOMBERG:
NYC's Good Times May Sour Like Detroit's...
'We
are only a short distance from relapsing'...
Young
gang members terrorize neighborhood...
Florianopolis,
Brazil voted world's friendliest city...
Newark is Unfriendliest...
DEPARTMENT
OF HEALTH -- INFESTED WITH BED BUGS...
Kit Daniels
| Journalist says Obama suddenly declared massive “terrorism threat” after
downplaying al-Qaeda for years.
Julie Wilson
| Government mandated alerts shake Californians out of their sleep.
Steve
Watson | Attorney General Charges taxpayers for luxury trips, including 2009
US/Mexico gun running “meeting”.
Paul Joseph Watson | Agents were pursuing Rolling Stone journalist prior to
suspicious crash.
Kurt Nimmo
| Establishment media adjusts Boston bombing narrative to fit government’s
domestic terror choreography.
Paul Joseph Watson | Elise Jordan tells CNN that Rolling Stone journalist was on
trail of hot story.
Paul Joseph Watson | Feds preparing for calamity?
Clinton Labor Secretary: GOP
Wants to Keep Unemployment High
dailyfinance.com | GOP has shot down every major Democratic job-creation
proposal of the past few years.
What Difference Does It Make Who
Runs The Fed?
foxbusiness.com | American economy is puttering along in the slow lane.
40 Percent Of U.S. Workers Make
Less Than What A Full-Time Minimum Wage Worker Made In 1968
Michael Snyder
| Are American workers paid enough?
Steve
Watson | Attorney General Charges taxpayers for luxury trips, including 2009
US/Mexico gun running “meeting”.
Paul Joseph Watson | Agents were pursuing Rolling Stone journalist prior to
suspicious crash.
Kurt Nimmo
| Establishment media adjusts Boston bombing narrative to fit government’s
domestic terror choreography.
Paul Joseph Watson | Elise Jordan tells CNN that Rolling Stone journalist was on
trail of hot story.
Zero Hedge
| Embassy evacuations are so last week.
CNSNews.com
| President Barack Obama’s job approval dropped to the lowest level of his
second term.
Paul Craig Roberts | One of my most popular columns was about escaping from the
Matrix existence in which Americans live.
RT
| Amid increasing tensions with China over some disputed islands, Japan unveils
a warship that could double as an aircraft carrier.
Paul Joseph Watson | Feds preparing for calamity?
Another Looming Credit Crunch?
Zero
Hedge | Cheap financing was too good to ignore.
Billionaire Issues Chilling
Warning About Interest Rate Derivatives
Economic
Collapse | Will rapidly rising interest rates rip through the U.S. financial
system like a giant lawnmower blade?
Did China Just Fire The First
Salvo Towards A New Gold Standard?
Zero Hedge
| Yao Yudong has called for a new Bretton Woods system.
Fed Head: Sitting in the Hot
Seat
Posted by : Pivotfarm Post date: 08/05/2013 - Just a few days ago on July 27th President Barack
Obama said that the next Fed head had to consider average Americans when
setting monetary policy. If only that were true.
If the Economy is Recovering…
Why Is Nominal GDP in a Recession? Posted by: Phoenix
Capital...
Post date: 08/05/2013 - So, somehow
the US economy is roaring back in a big way? Hard to see. Over 70% of the
economy is consumer spending. And spending is driven by incomes. And incomes
are… falling.
MYSTeRiouS OBJeCTS FouND... Posted by: williambanzai7 Post date: 08/05/2013 - Please do not worry...
Submitted
by williambanzai7 on
08/05/2013
BANZAI7
NEWS--In a coastal area long silent due to the Fukushima nuclear accident, the
only sounds of human activity on June 18 were from workers removing rubble and
continuing their decontamination efforts. But soon, their supervisor discovered
something that broke up the monotony of the work and added to the eeriness of
the atmosphere.
After
a call to the Environment Ministry, Yoji Sakapoopoo, 55, a ministry specialist,
immediately headed to the location about 15 kilometers south of the crippled
Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant.
As
he slowly walked around with a dosimeter, he reached a hot spot where radiation
levels nearly doubled those of the surrounding areas.
Using
a fallen branch to clear away dirt, Sakapoopoo uncovered a grayish pile about 3
centimeters long, about 1.5 cm wide and about 0.5 cm thick.
The
surface of the pile, which looked like soil, had gamma ray readings of about 85
microsieverts per hour. The total reading, including beta rays, came to 1 millisievert
per hour.
It
was the first of four mysterious objects with high radiation levels found near
the mouth of the Idegawa river in Naraha, Fukushima Prefecture.
Officials
at the government and Tokyo Electric Power Co., the plant’s operator, have no
fucking sashimi where these objects came from or why they have high radiation
levels. In fact, they are not sure what these objects actually are or were used
for.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/05/2013 - 15:45
Are American workers paid enough? That is a topic that is endlessly debated
all across this great land of ours. Unfortunately, what pretty much
everyone can agree on is that American workers are not making as much as they
used to after you account for inflation. Back in 1968, the minimum wage
in the United States was $1.60 an hour. That sounds very small, but after
you account for inflation a very different picture emerges. Using the
inflation calculator that the
BLS provides, $1.60 in 1968 is equivalent to $10.74 today. According
to the Social Security Administration, 40.28% of all workers make less than $20,000 a year in
America today. So that means that more than 40 percent of all U.S.
workers actually make less than what a full-time minimum wage worker made back
in 1968. That is how far we have fallen.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/05/2013 - 19:35
This insane world was created through decades of bad decisions, believing in false prophets, choosing
current consumption over sustainable long-term savings based growth, electing
corruptible men who promised voters entitlements that were mathematically
impossible to deliver, the disintegration of a sense of civic and community
obligation and a gradual degradation of the national intelligence and
character. There is a common denominator in all the bubbles created
over the last century – Wall Street bankers and their puppets at the Federal
Reserve. Fractional reserve banking, control of a fiat currency by a
privately owned central bank, and an economy dependent upon ever increasing
levels of debt are nothing more than ingredients of a Ponzi scheme that will
ultimately implode and destroy the worldwide financial system. Since 1913 we
have been enduring the largest fraud and embezzlement scheme in world history,
but the law of diminishing returns is revealing the plot and illuminating the
culprits. Bernanke and his cronies have proven themselves to be highly
educated one trick pony protectors of the status quo. Bernanke will
eventually roll craps. When he does, the collapse will be epic and 2008 will
seem like a walk in the park.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/05/2013 - 19:00
As
the Fed gets ready to taper ‘QE’, UBS' Larry Hatheway warns investors
to brace for a period of increased international policy tension.
Previously harmonized - but not coordinated - monetary policy stances will give
way to conflicting objectives and new strains as adverse ‘spillovers’ occur. As
Hatheway notes, we are about to rediscover several inconvenient truths.
First, the Fed is the US, not the world’s, central bank. Second, international
policy coordination is desirable in an interdependent world but, third, it is
no more likely to materialize now than in the past. The world, it seems, is
destined for a less comfortable policy co-existence in the coming few years.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/05/2013 - 18:26
Day
after day, CNBC's Rick Santelli hears analysts arguing how the economy is doing
pretty well and that there is always some anecdotal fact that backs up their
cognitively dissonant view with fundamentals. However, as Santelli asks
(rhetorically), it always comes back to the same question, "if
things are really that good, why do we still need the [Fed] training wheels
on?" The answer is presumably obvious as actions ($85bn per
month of POMO-provided liquidity to the 21 primary dealers) speak louder than
analysts words (we promise recovery is just around the next corner.) While
careful not to explicitly rebuff the exuberance of his channel's clients
revenue-base, Santelli notes the oddly correlated relationship (that has time
and again appeared in pixelated format on these very pages) between the Federal
Reserve balance sheet and the ebbs and flows of the US equity market. As
he concludes, the only (causal) transmission mechanism for the Fed's
actions is via the primary dealers and implicitly the Fed is the entity that is
goosing the stock market.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/05/2013 - 17:47
We do not inhabit a “normal” economy. We live in a financialised world in which
our banks cannot be trusted, our politicians cannot be trusted, our money cannot
be trusted, and – not least thanks to ongoing spasms of QE and expectations of
much more of the same – our markets cannot be trusted. At some point
(though the timing is impossible to predict), asset markets that cannot be
pumped artificially any higher will start moving, under the forces of
inevitable gravitation, lower.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/05/2013 - 17:16
With
revenues fading, profit margins collapsing, and only financial institutions'
entire lack of transparency providing any lift in EPS, the 'great rotation'
continues to provide enough cognitive dissonance to sink a boat for the
asset-gatherers. The trouble, as we
showed previously, is this 'rotation' is dominated by US retail
investors (more specifically non-US domiciled and non-retail investors are
rotating away from US equities). The US retail investor has shifted in
a great-rotationary manner by the greatest amount since Feb 2000 - just
as the last great bubble burst. US equities are the 3rd most
over-crowded speculative long asset in the world after Crude Oil and the
Brazilian Real. It seems the Fed is getting just what it wants but, just as
Kyle Bass warned, "investors should be really careful doing
what the central bankers want them to do."
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/05/2013 - 16:46
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/05/2013 - 16:36
Simply
put, these four charts have to be seen to be believed. Presented with little
comment, via Nanex, this
is the 'market' we are supposed to trust...?
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/05/2013 - 16:18
S&P futures volume was the lowest of 2013 for a non-holiday-related day (35% below
last year's volume and 40% below recent average volume). NYSE volume
the second lowest of the year. Tech and Staples managed small gains on
the day but homebuilders and utilities underperformed as bond yields
rose 3 to 5bps on the day. The 'anxiety' in stocks showed itself with
another appearance of the Hindenburg Omen (which has signaled short-term
weakness in the last six months). The Russell closed green and thanks to AAPL,
the Nasdaq eked out a small gain. Trannies were down 0.8% in their
now-ubiquitous schizophrenic manner as 'most-shorted' names
outperformed significantly. The USD slid lower from the US open ending
-0.1% (with JPY strength dominant) but commodities were worse down 0.5% (WTI)
to 1% (silver and gold) on the day. VIX was clubbed lower (to 11.8% -
its lowest close in 5 months) right at the close to ramp stocks into
the cash close.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/05/2013 - 15:18
While
Europe, and especially Germany has been understandably "displeased"
with having to provide billions in bailout upon bailout funding to Greece every
year starting in 2010, all the more so following recent news that Greece has
already spent
some 75% of its bank bailout cash with no discernible improvement in its
economy to show for it, Europes' taxpayers will unlikely be any more pleased to
learn that as of the end of June, a whopping €60 billion in past due
taxes (an all time record) was owed by Greek businesses and individuals to the
state. This is an amount that is 20% greater than the entire external
cash handed over by the Troika to keep Greek banks afloat, and represents
nearly 30% of imploding Greek GDP.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/05/2013 - 14:47
The American Petroleum Institute said last week the U.S. oil
and natural gas sector was an engine driving job growth. Eight percent of the U.S. economy is
supported by the energy sector, the industry's lobbying group said, up from the
7.7 percent recorded the last time the API examined the issue. The employment
assessment came as the Energy Department said oil and gas production continued
to make gains across the board. With the right energy policies in place, API
said the economy could grow even more. But with oil and gas production
already at record levels, the narrative over the jobs prospects may be failing
on its own accord.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/05/2013 - 14:22
With
PMIs picking up across Europe, the nations' 'leaders' are spreading the good
word that the worst is over (again) and its all sunshine and unicorns from
here. But it's not. As Cyprus' Anastasiades glibly comments on small
improvements in their capital controls - amid
collapsing deposits, bluntly ignoring the reality of a record
implosion in the nation's home prices, the facts for the man on the street
are dismal. The number of jobless people in the smallest EU nation
jumped 32% year-over-year to its highest
in the 19 years data has been collected.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/05/2013 - 13:56
In 2001, the Patriot Act opened the door to US government
monitoring of Americans without a warrant. It was unconstitutional, but most in
Congress over my strong objection were so determined to do something after the
attacks of 9/11 that they did not seem to give it too much thought. Civil
liberties groups were concerned, and some of us in Congress warned about giving
up our liberties even in the post-9/11 panic. But at the time most
Americans did not seem too worried about the intrusion. This
complacency has suddenly shifted given recent revelations of the extent of
government spying on Americans. What is even more important, though, is for
more and more and more Americans to educate themselves about our precious
liberties and to demand that their government abide by the Constitution. We
do not have to accept being lied to – or spied on -- by our government.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/05/2013 - 13:25
The
bankruptcy of Detroit, though long-anticipated, has unleashed a wave of
speculation about the health of other cities in the U.S., and indeed, in the
world - for example, China. Despite the visible importance of urban centers and
cities for thousands of years, it seems our understanding of their dynamics is
still incomplete. Nonetheless, the dramatic decline of Detroit and other industrial
cities makes us wonder if there are dynamics that we can identify that
could enable us to predict which cities will thrive and which will decay.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/05/2013 - 13:04
Remember
the "Greekovery"? For those who may have forgotten, it is a scene
straight out of Breaking Bad.
Julie Wilson
| World’s wealthiest man is entrepreneurial mastermind behind Obama phone
program.
Ron Paul
| Supporters of the NSA spy gate are now on the defensive.
Infowars.com
| Brandon Toy refuses to take part in war crimes.
Adan Salazar
| Parents needed just four more months before they could get their daughter
back.
Paul Joseph Watson | BBC ties Second Amendment concerns to Tamerlan Tsarnaev.
Kurt Nimmo
| Terrorists have killed and abducted residents of towns and forced others to
flee.
Kurt Nimmo
| America’s founding principles now extinct.
Paul Joseph Watson | Speaker of the House suppressing information on weapons
transfers to Syrian rebels.
What Difference Does It Make Who
Runs The Fed?
foxbusiness.com | American economy is puttering along in the slow lane.
40 Percent Of U.S. Workers Make
Less Than What A Full-Time Minimum Wage Worker Made In 1968
Michael Snyder
| Are American workers paid enough?
Colorado foreclosure firm on hot
seat
Denver Post
| Whistle-blower alleges law group padded expenses, kept refunds due clients.
Julie Wilson
| World’s wealthiest man is entrepreneurial mastermind behind Obama phone
program.
Prison Planet.com | Brandon Toy refuses to take part in war crimes.
Paul Joseph Watson | BBC ties Second Amendment concerns to Tamerlan Tsarnaev.
Zero Hedge
| Tepco is struggling to contain the highly radioactive water that is seeping
into the ocean near Fukushima.
Ron Paul Institute | Why is truth About NSA Spying hidden from us?
Zero Hedge
| Federal agents are trained to “recreate” the investigative trail to
effectively cover up where the information originated.
Kurt Nimmo
| Terrorists have killed and abducted residents of towns and forced others to
flee.
Kurt Nimmo
| America’s founding principles now extinct.
Paul Joseph Watson | Federal agency now investigating death of Rolling Stone
journalist.
Did China Just Fire The First
Salvo Towards A New Gold Standard?
Zero Hedge
| Yao Yudong has called for a new Bretton Woods system.
\
40 Percent Of U.S. Workers Make
Less Than What A Full-Time Minimum Wage Worker Made In 1968
Michael Snyder
| Are American workers paid enough?
\
Regulators Confirm The Mega Banks
ARE Robbing Your Pension Funds
Anthony Gucciardi | Once again, the media is acting as if this revelation is
truly inconceivable and unexpected.
\
A ‘Perfect Storm’ Could Cause A
Collapse In Oil Prices That Hits The Stock Market Too
Business Insider | A “perfect storm” of structural, demand, and supply-driven
factors could conspire to cause a “major pullback” in oil prices.
Do
you actually believe that the employment numbers are getting better? Do
you actually believe that there is a bright future ahead for American
workers? If so, then you really need to read this article. The
truth is that we are in the midst of the worst employment crisis since the
Great Depression, and there has been absolutely no employment recovery.
In fact, the percentage of working age Americans that are employed is just
about exactly where it was during the darkest days of the last recession.
But the mainstream media is not telling you this. The mainstream media is
instead focusing on the fact that the official "unemployment rate"
declined from 7.6% in June to 7.4% in July. That sounds like great news,
but when you take a deeper look at the employment numbers some very disturbing
trends emerge. (Read
More....)
Over
the past several years, almost the entire decline in the unemployment rate can
be accounted for by people "leaving the workforce". The
"unemployment rate" has not been going down because people are
actually getting jobs. Rather, the "unemployment rate" has been
going down because the government has been pretending that millions upon
millions of American workers simply do not want jobs anymore. This is
extremely misleading.
We
are being told that 162,000 jobs were created in July. Okay, so that is
just barely enough to keep up with population growth, and most of the jobs that
were created last month were part-time jobs.
Meanwhile,
the jobs numbers for the two previous months were both revised down...
The change in total nonfarm payroll
employment for May was revised from +195,000 to +176,000, and the change for
June was revised from +195,000 to +188,000. With these revisions, employment
gains in May and June combined were 26,000 less than previously reported.
Will
this month eventually be revised down too?
When
it comes to measuring employment in the United States, I believe that a much
more accurate measurement than the highly manipulated "unemployment
rate" is the civilian employment-population ratio. This ratio tells
us what percentage of working age Americans actually have a job.
Just
prior to the last recession, about 63 percent of all working age Americans had
a job. During the recession, that number plunged dramatically and
ultimately fell below 59 percent, and it has stayed below 59 percent for 47 months in a row...
This
is the first time in the post-World War II era that the employment-population
ratio has not bounced back after a recession.
So
there has not been an employment recovery. Anyone that tells you that
there has been an employment recovery is lying to you.
Since
the end of 2009, we have been treading water at best. But during that
time, another disturbing trend has emerged. Good paying full-time jobs
are rapidly being replaced by low paying part-time jobs.
And
this trend has definitely accelerated this year. If you can believe it,
an astounding 76.7 percent of the jobs that have
been "created" in 2013 have been part-time jobs.
As
I wrote about last month, the employment landscape in this country is
fundamentally changing. At this point, the number one employer in this
country is Wal-Mart, and the number two employer in this country is a temp
agency (Kelly Services).
This
is a huge reason why the middle class is dying. You
simply can't raise a family on a part-time income.
Our
young adults are being hit particularly hard. According to Gallup, the percentage of working age
Americans under the age of 30 with a job fell from 47.0% in
June 2012 to 43.6% in June 2013...
Fewer Americans aged 18 to 29 worked full
time for an employer in June 2013 (43.6%) than did so in June 2012 (47.0%),
according to Gallup's Payroll to Population employment rate. The P2P rate for
young adults is also down from 45.8% in June 2011 and 46.3% in June 2010.
When
our young people get out of school and enter the real world, they are finding
that "good jobs" are few and far between. But unless our young
people can find "breadwinner jobs", they are
not going to be able to get married, buy homes and raise families.
A
lot of young people are doing their best, but things are really tough out there
right now. The lack of good jobs is the primary reason why families that
have a head of household under the age of 30 have a poverty rate of 37 percent.
A
lot of young adults are coping with this employment crisis by moving back in
with their parents. According to one recent study, 36 percent of all young adults in the 18
to 31 age bracket are currently living with their folks.
Are
you starting to understand that our system is broken?
The
quality of jobs in this country continues to steadily decline. Just
consider the following numbers from one of my previous articles...
-The
number of part-time workers in the United States has just hit a brand new all-time high, but the number
of full-time workers is still nearly 6 million below the old record that was set back in
2007.
-In
America today, only 47 percent of adults have a full-time
job.
-At
this point, one out of every four
American workers has a job that pays $10 an hour or less.
-An
astounding 53 percent of all American workers make
less than $30,000 a year.
And
as I mentioned yesterday, until we have a jobs recovery there will be no
housing recovery no matter how much the Federal Reserve tries to manipulate the
system.
The
mainstream media continues to insist that "things are looking up" for
the housing market, and yet the home ownership rate in the United States is the
lowest that it has been in 18 years.
In
order for the middle class to thrive, people have got to be able to get good
jobs and people have got to be able to buy homes.
Instead,
the percentage of good jobs in our economy continues to shrink, the level of
home ownership continues to decline, and less than half of all Americans now
consider themselves to be middle class.
The
next wave of the economic crisis has not even hit us yet, but we continue to
see poverty rates soar all over the nation. In fact, just this week there
was an article about the tent cities that are starting to pop up all over New Jersey...
Tent cities have popped up across New Jersey
including the state's poorest city.
Meg Baker chased the story of Camden's tent
city. Residing off Route 38 at Wilson Boulevard under an overpass,
through woods and down a path of trash lays a community of people living in
tents. This particular community was relocated from Federal Street and
it's inhabited by an array of people: addicts, people who have fallen on hard
times and some with mental illness.
Baker took a tour of this run down community
and the pictures show just how heart-wrenching this situation really is.
Among the homes are decomposing food, broken furniture, and feral cats.
This
is supposed to be "the economic recovery".
If
things were going to get "better" it should have happened by now.
But
things didn't get better, and now the next wave of the economic crisis is
rapidly approaching.
As
I tried to explain the other day, the most important number in our
economy is the yield on 10 year U.S. Treasuries. As that number goes up,
interest rates all over our economic system go up. And much higher
interest rates would be absolutely devastating for our economy.
Unfortunately,
many analysts now believe that interest rates are going to go much, much higher
than they are right now. Just check out this excerpt from a recent CNBC
article...
The Federal Reserve will lose control of
interest rates as the "great rotation" out of bonds into equities
takes off in full force, according to one market watcher, who sees U.S. 10-year
Treasury yields hitting 5-6 percent in the next 18-24 months.
"It is our opinion that interest rates
have begun their assent, that the Fed will eventually lose control of interest
rates. The yield curve will first steepen and then will shift, moving rates
significantly higher," said Mike Crofton, President and CEO, Philadelphia
Trust Company told CNBC on Wednesday.
If
interest rates do go that high, our economy simply will not be able to handle
that. It would cripple the finances of state and local governments all
over the nation, it would absolutely crush the housing market, and it would
cause a derivatives crisis unlike anything that we have
ever seen before.
The
smart money knows that rising interest rates spell big trouble and they are
already pulling their money out of the market as a Bloomberg article recently
detailed...
Private-equity managers from Fortress
Investment Group LLC (FIG) to Blackstone Group LP (BX), which made billions by
buying low and selling high, say now is the time to exit investments as stocks
rally and interest rates start to rise.
And
Apollo Global Management LLC Chief Executive Officer Leon Black said the
following back in April...
"It’s almost biblical: there is a time
to reap and there’s a time to sow," Apollo (APO)’s Black said at a
conference in April. "We think it’s a fabulous environment to be selling.
We’re selling everything that’s not nailed down in our portfolio."
The
smart money is getting out while the getting is good.
They
know that a storm is coming.
They
know what higher interest rates will do to the economy.
As
bad as the employment picture is right now, this is NOTHING compared to what is
coming.
This
is about as good as things are going to get. It is all downhill from
here.
So
enjoy this false bubble of pseudo-prosperity while you still can.
When
the next great wave of the economic crisis strikes, millions upon millions of
Americans are going to lose their jobs and the official unemployment rate is
going to soar well up into the double digits.
There
are very few segments of the U.S. economy that are more heavily affected by
interest rates than the real estate market is. When mortgage rates
reached all-time low levels late last year, it fueled a little "mini-bubble"
in housing which was greatly celebrated by the mainstream media.
Unfortunately, the tide is now turning. Interest rates are starting to
move up steadily, even though the Federal Reserve has been trying very hard to
keep that from happening. A few weeks ago, when Federal Reserve Chairman
Ben Bernanke suggested that the Fed may start to "taper" the rate of
quantitative easing eventually, the bond market had a conniption and the yield
on 10 year U.S. Treasuries shot up dramatically. In an attempt to calm
the market, the Fed stopped all talk of a "taper" and that helped
settle things down for a brief period of time. But now the yield on 10
year U.S. Treasuries is starting to rise aggressively again. Today it
closed at 2.71 percent, and many analysts believe that it will go much higher. This is
important for the housing market, because mortgage rates tend to follow the
yield on 10 year U.S. Treasuries. And if mortgage rates keep rising like
this, another great real estate crash is inevitable. (Read
More....) This wasn't
supposed to happen. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said that he
could use quantitative easing to control long-term interest rates. He
assured us that he could force mortgage rates down for an extended period of
time and that this would lead to a housing recovery.
But
now the Fed is losing control of long-term interest rates. If this
continues, either the Federal Reserve will have to substantially increase the
rate of quantitative easing or else watch mortgage rates rise to absolutely
crippling levels.
Three
months ago, the average rate on a 30 year mortgage was 3.35 percent. It
has shot up more than a full point since
then...
Mortgage buyer Freddie Mac said Thursday
that the average on the 30-year loan rose to 4.39% from 4.31% last week. Rates
are a full percentage point higher than in early May.
And
as the chart below shows, mortgage rates have a lot more room to go up...
As
mortgage rates go up, so do monthly payments.
And
monthly payments are already beginning to soar. Just check out this chart.
So
what happens if mortgage rates eventually return to "normal" levels?
Well,
it would be absolutely devastating to the housing market. As mortgage
rates rise, less people will be able to afford to buy homes at current
prices. This will force home prices down.
To
a large degree, whether or not someone can afford to buy a particular home is
determined by interest rates. The following numbers come from one of my previous articles...
A year ago, the 30 year rate was sitting at
3.66 percent. The monthly payment on a 30 year, $300,000 mortgage at that
rate would be $1374.07.
If the 30 year rate rises to 8 percent, the
monthly payment on a 30 year, $300,000 mortgage at that rate would be $2201.29.
Does 8 percent sound crazy to you?
It shouldn't. 8 percent was considered
to be normal back in the year 2000.
And
we are already seeing rising rates impact the market. The number of
mortgage applications has fallen for 11 of the past 12 weeks,
and this has been the biggest 3 month decline in mortgage applications that we
have witnessed since 2009.
Rising
interest rates will also have a dramatic impact on other areas of the real
estate industry as well. For example, public construction spending is now
the lowest that it has been since 2006.
And
I find the chart posted below particularly interesting. As a Christian, I
am saddened that construction spending by religious institutions has dropped to
a stunningly low level...
So
what does all of this mean?
Well,
unless interest rates reverse course it appears that we are in the very early
stages of another great real estate crash.
Only
this time, it might not be so easy for the big banks to swoop in and foreclose
on everyone. Just check out the radical step that one city in
California is taking to stop bank foreclosures...
Richmond is the first city in the country to
take the controversial step of threatening to use eminent domain, the power to
take private property for public use. But other cities have also explored the
idea.
Banks, the real estate industry and Wall
Street are vehemently opposed to the idea, calling it “unconstitutional” and a
violation or property rights, and something that will likely cause a flurry of
lawsuits.
Richmond has partnered with San
Francisco-based Mortgage Resolution Partners on the plan. Letters have been
sent to 32 servicers and trustees who hold the underwater loans. If they refuse
the city’s offer, officials will condemn and seize the mortgages, then help
homeowners to refinance.
If
more communities around the nation start using eminent domain to stop
foreclosures, that is going to change the cost of doing business for mortgage
lenders and it is likely going to mean more expensive mortgages for all the
rest of us.
In
any event, all of this talk about a "bright future" for real estate
is just a bunch of nonsense.
You
can't buy a home if you don't have a good job. And as I wrote about the other day, there are about 6 million less full-time
jobs in America today than there was back in 2007.
You
can't get blood out of a stone, and you can't buy a house on a part-time
income. The lack of breadwinner jobs is one of the
primary reasons why the homeownership rate in the United States is now at its
lowest level in nearly 18 years.
And
we aren't going to produce good jobs if our economy is not growing. And
economic growth in the U.S. has been anemic at best, even if you believe the
official numbers.
We
were originally told that the GDP growth number for the first quarter of 2013
was 2.4 percent. Then it was revised down to 1.8 percent. Now it
has been revised down to 1.1 percent.
So
precisely what are we supposed to believe?
Overall,
since Barack Obama has been president the average yearly rate of growth for the
U.S. economy has been just over 1 percent.
That
isn't very good at all.
But
remember, the government numbers have been heavily manipulated to look good.
The
reality is even worse.
According
to the alternate GDP numbers compiled by John Williams of shadowstats.com, the
U.S. economy has continually been in a recession since 2005.
And
now interest rates are rising rapidly, and that is very bad news for the U.S. economy.
I
hope that you have your seatbelts buckled up tight, because it is going to be a
bumpy ride.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/03/2013 - 17:51
The
man who in the first months of his reign took over the bankruptcy process
turning it over on its head to benefit the state over centuries of established
creditor rights (with GM, Chrysler and a whole lot of union votes), and who
defined his entire first term by nationalizing the US healthcare system, who
personally determined the cutoff for "wealth" at $250,000 per year
(with the corresponding tax hike "benefits" to go with it), not to
mention inheriting the George W. Bush personal surveillance apparatus and taking
the nationalization of individual rights and liberties to a whole new level,
has just decided to branch out and subordinate yet another two birds of
distributed, efficient, global decision-making to his will: trade
and patent law.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/03/2013 - 15:56
In
a nutshell:
Relatively
low unemployment rates for the “Western Leaders” aren’t just an artifact of
recent strength in, say, energy production and commodities. These states have
consistently outperformed the rest of the country.
Abysmally
high unemployment rates for the “Eastern Super-laggards” have also persisted
for over two decades, exceeding all other parts of the country.
The
“Northern Coastal and Great Lakes Laggards” and “Western Laggards and Southeast”
fall somewhere between the other two regions, but always favoring the southern
states over the northern states.
Not
surprisingly, California, Nevada and Florida are more volatile than the other
regions, cycling well above and then back toward the Western Leaders in each of
the past two decades. Also, the unemployment problems in California and Nevada
have been consistently worse than Florida’s unemployment. These trends may or
may not persist in coming years. But if your goal is to anticipate the
next Stockton, San Bernardino or Detroit, watch the unemployment data closely
and pay particular attention to the cities listed here.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/03/2013 - 15:08
Yesterday,
we reported about private
equity's laments that even with ZIRP there are no
longer any bargains available in the US (which is why, naturally, the PE
industry is now actively selling) with EV/EBITDA multiples north of the
traditional 8x borderline benchmark level. Sure enough, as can be seen below,
this is indeed the case as the US is now overpriced even for those who have
direct access to the Fed's near zero-cost debt funding. So where are PE firms
looking next (if anywhere, assuming they aren't spending their time selling
"anything that isn't nailed down" which as we know from Leon Black's
presentation from April is precisely what they are doing)? The following
heatmap of global aggregate Enterprise Value/EBITDA will hopefully put things
in their proper, highly overvalued, perspective.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/03/2013 - 14:07
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/03/2013 - 13:45
Confused
by all the trial balloons, meandering daily Op-Eds (most of which written by
novice journalists with even more bizarre agendas), and "paddy
power" market updates? Then here is Scotiabank's Guy Hasselman with
his latest rundown on just where we stand in the race for the next Fed
chairman.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/03/2013 - 12:46
That
S&P500 revenues are contracting for the second
quarter in a row (i.e. a revenue recession) is by now well-known even to
CNBC. This is just as we predicted in June
of last year, because in a world devoid of growth capital expenditures (and
judging by the amount of train, plane and other crashes lately, maintenance
capex as well), there can be no organic growth.What, however, may come as a
surprise to the market cheerleaders (who unknowingly, or knowingly, are merely
cheering Ben Bernanke's magic bubble blowing machine, see final chart) is that
that other key component of bottom line improvement, profit margins, are not
only not at record highs contrary to what conventional
wisdom may incorrectly believe, but have been consistently sliding for
three years now, and while earnings margins are 'only' back to June 2011 levels
at 8.7%, it is the far more critical Operating Margin which has tumbled in the
past two years after peaking in Q3 2011 and is now back down to 8.4%, a level
not seen since mid-2010.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/03/2013 - 10:45
On
August 6th, the small town of Deer Trail, Colorado is set
to vote on an ordinance that will permit the hunting of unmanned
surveillance drones. The author of the ordinance, Phillip Steel,
claims the gesture is “symbolic.” A handful
of
other American states are pursuing measures to limit the spying operations
of Uncle Sam’s unmanned aerial vehicles. One has to be either lying or
painfully ignorant to believe government will not abuse surveillance drones. State
officials have rarely failed to use their capacity to terrify the populace.
The prospect of around-the-clock surveillance is a chilling thought and
one that should not be taken lightly. Unfortunately the only means
to achieve some semblance of privacy requires a luddite approach to technology
and a hermit’s approach to community. Otherwise, you avail yourself to the
terror of visibility in what should otherwise be, in Thomas Paine’s words, the
blessing of society.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/03/2013 - 10:04
It
started moments after the release of the Federal Reserve’s latest decision on
interest rates. Even though officially they announced maintaining the same
policies of low rates and Quantitative Easing, it was a single word change
in the official text of their press release from the prior month that sent
shockwaves around the world and changed everything forever...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 20:48
In
an important diversion from a pure markets focus, Marc Faber outlines his
concerns and hopes for the "economic battle between the US and
China," noting that as the gap between the Western world and the US
narrows so "through trading links, [China] has more and more
influence," especially (he adds) in Africa. His biggest fear, and
one stoked every day, is that if the Chinese economy slows down meaningfully,
they will depreciate their currency, leaving the world's largest
economies "in a mode of protectionism - not just through import quotas -
but through currency manipulation." And for now Russia is happy
just tp upset the US via diplomatic means, but, Faber warns, should we see
commodity prices slide further, low growth in Russia may prompt further actions
- especially given US interference in markets and politics.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 20:08
The problem is clear; every level of government has promised too much and is
now faced with the politically unappealing prospect of either drastically
increasing taxes for the working age population or significantly reducing
benefits for the retired (or future retired). As evidenced by the Detroit
bankruptcy, the longer we wait, the worse it will get. The greater the delay,
the more pain and suffering citizens will face when the benefits and safety
nets they have come to expect from the government suddenly disappear. Over
time, politicians from all stripes have proven adept at cognitive
dissonance, but these increases in taxes and cuts to benefits will
have to happen, one way or another; it is just a matter of time.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 19:30
Just
about a year ago we
questioned the "demographic demand" thesis for why the US housing
'recovery' would become self-sustaining and lead to yet another fiscal and
monetary 'nirvana'. However, while the 'household formation' meme remains
front-and-center among bloviating Fed apologists; the sad facts are that not
only is household formation actually still falling but, as a recent
Pew Research study finds, a record 21 million young adults are now
living at home with their parents.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 18:48
Greed;
corporate arrogance; lobbying influence; excessive leverage; accounting tricks
to hide debt; lack of transparency; off balance sheet obligations; mark to
market accounting; short-term focus on profit to drive compensation; failure of
corporate governance; as well as auditors, analysts, rating agencies and regulators
who were either lax, ignorant or complicit. This laundry list of causes has often been
used to describe what went wrong in the credit crunch crisis of
2008-2010. Actually these terms were equally used to describe what
went wrong with Enron more than twenty years ago. Both crises resulted in what
at the time was the biggest bankruptcy in U.S. history — Enron in December 2001
and Lehman Brothers in September 2008. Naturally, this leads to the
question that despite all the righteous indignation in the wake of Enron's
failure did we really learn or change anything?
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 18:08
Despite
rising gas prices, rising mortgage rates, slowing income growth and the rise of
'low-quality' part-time jobs, 'con'sumer
'con'fidence 'con'tinues to rise to post-recession highs.
However, as Citi's FX Technicals group notes, for the 3rd time in the last 17
year period we may be looking at a 4-year-4-month rise in consumer confidence
before a turn lower again; and in spite of the Fed's rosy forecasts (and the
market's expectations), we should be careful being too quick to believe
that the sluggish economic dynamic that has 'dogged us' for the last 6 years is
yet fully behind us.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 17:39
There
are very few segments of the U.S. economy that are more heavily affected by interest
rates than the real estate market is. When mortgage rates reached
all-time low levels late last year, it fueled a little "mini-bubble"
in housing which was greatly celebrated by the mainstream media. Unfortunately,
the tide is now turning.
Taxpayers
to foot bill for congressional employees' health care...
Will
pay 75% of premiums...
DEAL:
'Exempt from Obamacare'...
Infowars.com
| Oregon sheriff’s department opens its doors and offers citizens opportunity
to observe department’s inner workings.
Julie Wilson
| “We know about it, and we may know about you.”
Bob Adelmann
| It was a confluence of magnificent proportions.
Thomas Gaist
| None of the government’s claims should be taken for good coin.
Stephen Lendman | Police states operate this way.
Kurt Nimmo
| Also exploits former NSA analyst in bid to rescue Rothschild collaborator
Mikhail Khodorkovsky.
Paul Craig Roberts | Americans do not understand that the “justice system” is
corrupted.
Prison Planet.com | JC Penny recently pulled a kettle off it’s shelves because
of some perceived likeness to Adolf Hitler.
Steve
Watson | Wants cost breakdown of “weekend with the boys, presidential style”.
Jon Rappoport
| It’s easy to believe the mind is little more than a series of programs that
can switched and replaced with no damage done.
Apple proposes new terms in
e-books battle
cnet.com
| Company offers own set of measures for complying with fallout from loss
against Justice Department.
Washington’s
Blog | Mass Surveillance Is “Killing Our Most Productive Golden Goose”.
Obama defends Larry Summers
against charges he is unfit to be Fed chairman
The
Hill | President Obama on Wednesday defended Larry Summers from liberal charges
that the former Treasury secretary is unfit to head the Federal Reserve.
Colorado foreclosure firm on hot
seat
Denver Post
| Whistle-blower alleges law group padded expenses, kept refunds due clients.
Paul Ryan’s claim that $15
trillion has been spent on the war on poverty
Glen Kessler
| “It seems government’s approach to poverty — including how it measures
poverty — is in need of serious rethinking.”
Study: Record Number 21 Million
Young Adults Living With Parents
CBS D.C.
| New study from Pew Research finds that 36 percent of Millennials – young
adults ages 18 to 31 – are living at their parents’ homes.
The
control freaks are out of control. Once upon a time America was “the land
of the free”, but now it has become “the land of the bureaucrats”, and these
bureaucrats are absolutely obsessed with watching, tracking, monitoring and
controlling virtually everything that you do. Last month, I wrote about
how the Obama administration forced a small-time magician out in Missouri to submit a 32 page disaster plan for the little
rabbit that he uses in his magic shows for kids. A lot of people thought
that story was quite humorous, but the examples in this article are not so
funny. In recent days we have learned that the government is monitoring
just about everything that we do on the Internet, and we have also learned that
a couple of innocent Google searches can result in armed government agents
pounding on your front door. If you do not believe this, read on… (Read
More.....)
QAEDA
RISES AGAIN...
STATE DEPT ISSUES WORLDWIDE TRAVEL ALERT...
U.S.
EMBASSIES ACROSS MIDDLE EAST TO SHUT DOWN SUNDAY...
Obama's birthday...
'Precautionary'...
UPDATE:
Dozens of CIA ops on ground during Benghazi hit...
'Running
arms-smuggling team when consulate was attacked'...
Rep:
Obama admin hiding survivors, changing their names...
SEC investigates company co-founded by Terry McAuliffe...
McAuliffe's
multiple meetings with Obama nominee raise red flags...
953,000
Jobs Created In '13 -- 731,000 Part-Time!
Study:
Record Number 21 Million Young Adults Living With Parents...
BLACK
TEEN UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 41.6%...
LAWYER:
Snowden finds 'safe place' to live...
Asylum
threatens U.S.-Russia talks...
COLD:
Russia gave USA no heads up on release...
'No
plans to leave': Has job offer, awaits reunion with family, girlfriend...
Putin
Shows Global Mojo...
Teen
With Muscular Dystrophy Beaten, Stabbed, Robbed, Dumped Over Hillside... {
Yet another typical nigger soiree! }
Rangel:
Tea Party Is Bunch Of 'White Crackers'... { Riiiiight! No uncivilized
niggers allowed! }
Steve
Watson | Wants cost breakdown of “weekend with the boys, presidential style”.
Julie Wilson
| “I just became the first person in the history of newspapers to be fired for
writing a paper’s most-read article,” he tweeted.
Steve
Watson | Line between police and troops is now a blur.
Lee Ann McAdoo
| Children rescued from sex abuse are placed right back into it.
Kurt Nimmo
| Even domestic violence in India is related to weather, according to warmist
scientists.
Steve
Watson | School officials to undergo elite training.
Jon Rappoport
| A museum show of celebrity photographs would be meaningless if you hadn’t
been “prepped.”
Michael Krieger | It’s no wonder Big Brother emphasized language in order to
exert mind control on the population.
Paul Ryan’s claim that $15
trillion has been spent on the war on poverty
Glen Kessler
| “It seems government’s approach to poverty — including how it measures
poverty — is in need of serious rethinking.”
Study: Record Number 21 Million
Young Adults Living With Parents
CBS D.C.
| New study from Pew Research finds that 36 percent of Millennials – young
adults ages 18 to 31 – are living at their parents’ homes.
New Rudd Government tax on bank
deposits will hit you
The Advertiser
| The “savings tax” would mean a customer with a $100,000 deposit could lose $4
a month in interest.
Submitted by williambanzai7 on 08/02/2013 15:46 -0400
The Trader Games Are Ending Posted by: Phoenix
Capital...
Post date: 08/02/2013 - Traders shot
for and managed to hit 1,700 on the S&P 500. At this point, there is no
real reason for this other than trader games (start of the month buying).
NFP Shakedown! Posted by: Pivotfarm Post date: 08/02/2013 - A discussion post NFP of markets, economics and
tapering!
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 09:04
When
the payroll report was released last month, the world finally noticed what we
had been saying for nearly
three years: that the US was slowly being converted to a part-time
worker society. This slow conversion accelerated drastically in the last
few months, and especially in June, when part time jobs
exploded higher by 360K while full time jobs dropped by 240K. In July we are sad to report
that America's conversation to a part-time worker society is not
"tapering": according to the Household Survey, of the 266K jobs
created (note this number differs from the establishment survey), only 35% of
jobs, or 92K, were full time. The rest were... not.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 18:08
Despite
rising gas prices, rising mortgage rates, slowing income growth and the rise of
'low-quality' part-time jobs, 'con'sumer
'con'fidence 'con'tinues to rise to post-recession highs.
However, as Citi's FX Technicals group notes, for the 3rd time in the last 17
year period we may be looking at a 4-year-4-month rise in consumer confidence
before a turn lower again; and in spite of the Fed's rosy forecasts (and the
market's expectations), we should be careful being too quick to believe
that the sluggish economic dynamic that has 'dogged us' for the last 6 years is
yet fully behind us.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 17:39
There
are very few segments of the U.S. economy that are more heavily affected by
interest rates than the real estate market is. When mortgage rates
reached all-time low levels late last year, it fueled a little
"mini-bubble" in housing which was greatly celebrated by the
mainstream media. Unfortunately, the tide is now turning.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 17:18
Succinctly
summarizing the positive and negative news, data, and market events of the
week...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 16:42
Fact or Fiction: In a new report released Wednesday, Americans indicated that
when it comes to what they expect from their country, all they really want
is to be safe, happy, rich, comfortable, and entertained at absolutely all
times.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 16:07
Well
that's that - Bad is definitely good. While an initial dip was
seen in US equities (as the rest of the asset-classes shifted in Taper-off mode
after the dismal jobs/factory orders data), it didn't take long (and took no
volume) to wriggle us back up to green and a new all-time high for stocks. But
while stocks ended unch for all intent and purpose, the moves were violent
elsewhere. 10Y yields collapsed the most in over 5 months today
(continuing its ECG-like performance recently); the USD dropped over 0.5% on
the day; and while gold ended the day unch, silver (and gold) gapped higher on
the NFP release (ending the week lower though). High-yield credit markets
are not amused - following long-dated bonds' 7bps yield increase on the week
(confirming unwind fears as opposed to growth-driven hopes). Homebuilders
gained over 4% on the week (just because). On the week, 'most-shorted'
stocks tripled the market's performance. VIX closed at 12.00% - lowest in
almost 4 months. BTFATH
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 15:39
While
assuring the world that he will not give advantage to Larry Summers, we wonder
if the meeting with the President will sound a little like this?
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 15:32
Today
is the second time in three months that someone, or something, either
leaked the Non-farm payroll data just ahead of its
official release, or if not leaked then a trading algorithm manipulated the
bond market ahead of the official data release by launching a "momentum
ignition" (see here,
here
and here
for much more on how HFT uses this strategy over and over to set trading
bands) launch higher just ahead of the official data
release at 8:30:00:0000 am that desperately needed to push 10 Year yields,
already on the verge of a 2 year breakout, lower.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 14:56
With
the return
of Federal Reserve Chair(wo)man odds at PaddyPower (leaving Summers a
dreary 28% likelihood of winning) comes the Irish bettors' latest gamble... when
will the US Fed initiate Tapering of QE? Based on the month during which
the first reduction of QE bond-buying from the current $85bn per month, it
seems (unlike the majority of prognosticators and standing blithely in the face
of technical,
political,
and deficit
reasons) that tapering will not begin until December at earliest
with most believing 2014-or-later...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 14:25
The
past few weeks have seen the tech and business media abuzz about a
not-so-little warehouse in Tennessee. That's because this distribution center,
opening its doors with a burst of fanfare and even a few visits from nearby
politicians, isn't a jumping-off point for Macy's or Target. Instead, the
warehouse is the latest in a series of new locations being opened by retail
technology giant Amazon.com. The jobs this new mega-warehouse is purported to
create: 5,000. However, as we
discuss below, for every job Amazon
"creates," four other jobs go away at a company like TJX.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 13:55
In
short:
Since
the March 2009 lows, US GDP has increased by
$2.3 trillion.
Since the March 2009 lows, the capitalization of the US
stock market has increased by $12.3 trillion.
Delta between the two: 436% in favor of stocks.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 13:18
In
the aftermath of the global financial crisis, world leaders repeated a soothing
mantra. There could
be no repeat of the Great Depression, not only because monetary policy was much
better (it was), but also because international cooperation was better
institutionalized. And yet one man, the American former intelligence contractor
Edward Snowden, has shown how far removed from reality that claim remains.
Prolonged periods of strain tend to weaken the fabric of institutional
cooperation. The two institutions that seemed most dynamic and
effective in 2008-2009 were the International Monetary Fund and the G-20;
the credibility of both has been steadily eroded over the long course of the
crisis. The Snowden affair has blown up any illusion about trust
between leaders – and also about leaders’ competence.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 12:43
With
the mean-reverting extrapolators all calling the bottom in Europe and
scandal-plagued PM Rajoy desperate for distraction repeatedly arguing that the
country's depressed economy is finally emerging from a two-tear slump, the FT
reports that IMF has just popped that balloon of hope. "Spain has
historically never generated net employment when the economy grew less
that 1.5-2%,” the IMF notes, pointing out "yet growth is not
projected to reach these rates even in the medium-term." In fact, echoing
recent warnings from independent economists at exuberance over the most recent
data (driven by seasonally-enhanced tourism) as the start of a new trend, the
IMF warns, "the weak recovery will constrain employment gains,
with unemployment remaining above 25 per cent in 2018." So,
for Rajoy, its back to the grift.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 12:19
The
latest buzz circulating around the gold market relates to news that
Pakistan’s Economic Coordination Committee of the Cabinet (ECC) has
decided to ban duty free gold imports for thirty days. Why you ask?
Because those pesky Indians are using Pakistan as a conduit to get around the
country’s recent 8% duty imposed on gold imports. All of this of course begs
the question: With the price of gold “plunging” over the past several months,
why did Pakistan and India both feel the need to take such draconian measures
against a barbarous relic that everyone
is supposedly panic selling? If there is so much gold to be had and no one
wants it, what’s the problem? Strange indeed...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/02/2013 - 11:49
With
US leaks about Israeli air strike on Syria, John Kerry stirring the civil war
pot in Egypt, and the closure of US embassies across the Muslim world (Iraq,
Afghanistan, Qatar, Bahrain, Oman, Kuwait, Bangladesh, Saudi Arabia, Libya,
Yemen, UAE, Algeria, Mauritania, Sudan, Israel (Tel Aviv) and Jordan), it
appears something is afoot. To add to the intrigue, the US State Department
just issued a worldwide travel alert for US citizens.
*STATE DEPARTMENT WORLDWIDE TRAVEL ALERT EXPIRES AUGUST 31,
2013
*STATE DEPT ISSUES WORLDWIDE TRAVEL ALERT FOR U.S. CITIZENS
An
Al-Qaeda threat has been posited but with no follow-up but we
can't help but fear what we wondered about previously - the need for
deficits to re-awaken (via some external event that no-one can 'un-patriotically'
demur) providing more room for Bernanke to avoid his need for Taper.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/01/2013 - 20:32
The bottom line is that Americans are losing more and more of
their medical freedom.
By 2015, so many workers will be trapped in the government-run health insurance
exchanges that there will be no going back to the private plans we have today.
At this rate, single-payer proponents will drive private insurance companies out
of business, which has been their intention all along. Obamacare is a
hodgepodge of new regulations, requirements, and penalties. Here are
the ten most important points that doctors should tell their patients.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/01/2013 - 19:59
With
rates rising amid the glorious faith that recovery is upon us, tapering is a
storm in a teacup, and nothing can stop us now, we present the dreadful
symmetry of the US leverage situation (Federal Debt-to-GDP) relative to rates.
We suggest investors be careful what they wish for on
'rotational' fantasies as GDP growth won't save us this time and the
deleveraging effect of any serious retrenchment in debt will feedback into the 'credit-is-growth'
drain-circling that has been evident for the last 30 years... So, if
we do indeed have perfect historic symmetry, what will be the 'event' that
takes total US debt from well over 100% of GDP to less than half of that?
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/01/2013 - 19:23
Intra-stock correlation of the top 50 market cap names has
plunged in the past month.
As Citi's Tobias Levkocich warns that suggests that investors might be overly
focused on stock picking and have begun to ignore broader influences such as
Fed policy, market valuation, European growth trends, economic surprise indices
and the like. As performance issues have forced some investors into higher
beta areas in order to boost outcomes, one would think that a more
precarious correlative environment such as this would imply taking down more
aggressive portfolio risk. Given today's ramp in builders and
transports, that appears a far flung idea for now...
Court sides with retailers, goes
against Fed rule on debit card fees
The Washington Post | A judge overturned a Federal Reserve rule capping debit card
fees that banks collect from merchants.
Fed keeps stimulus going, leaves
rates unchanged
Jeff Cox
| Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged and keep buying $85
billion in bonds every month.
10 Reasons the U.S. Economy Is
Stuck
Moira Herbst
| The reality is that we’re hollowing out the middle class.
Infowars.com
| This satirical reenactment is not 1% as bad as the truth.
Steve
Watson | Obama is the global head of terrorist network.
Adan Salazar
| National Guard veteran detained for doing nothing illegal.
Kurt Nimmo
| The teleprompter reader Chris Matthews is at it again.
Steve
Watson | Gen. Alexander claims “We stand for freedom”.
Kurt Nimmo
| U.S. national security state media refused to run open letter sent to Obama.
Kurt Nimmo
| Supposed enemies on the government payroll — again.
Steve
Watson | Senator offers to take Christie for a beer, but maintains attacks are
“stupid”.
Submitted by Tyler Durden on
08/01/2013 - 16:56
There
is one vitally important number that everyone needs to be watching
right now, and it doesn't have anything to do with unemployment,
inflation or housing. If this number gets too high, it will collapse
the entire U.S. financial system.
Submitted by Tyler Durden on
08/01/2013 - 18:21
Just
four months ago, the CEO of Titan International laid
down some ugly truthiness on the dismal realities in the united socialist
states of France. It was not well-received by the French. But it
seems we have been too hasty with our prognostications on the hard-working (or
hardly working) French. As Reuters reports,
despite France's move to a 35-hour week (a flagship of the socialist
government) a decade ago, French workers put in an 'astounding' 39.5
hours a week in 2011. While management complain that these policies
have bloated labor costs and hurt their ability to compete globally (as Taylor argued),
"this is the problem of France. It's cut in half. Half the French
are working like madmen to make up for the other half who stick to their hours."
But just for some context, this rise in French (average) working hours, leaves
them ranked 21st in terms of hours worked per week out of the 27 states
that comprised European Union in 2011.
Submitted by Tyler Durden on
08/01/2013 - 17:52
Sustainable?
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/01/2013
- 17:36
Lurking
deep in the just filed Bank of America 10-Q (alongside data on its quarterly
trading acumen which as usual made a mockery of random statistical probability
distribution with just 7 days of losses and profits on 57) is this nugget which
shows BAC's litigation expenses may be set to surge once more.
Submitted by Tyler Durden on
08/01/2013 - 16:27
Today's
quote of the day from Goldman Sachs spokesman Michael DuVally, who in the
aftermath of the Fab Tourre verdict, had this to say.
"As a firm, we remain focused
on being more transparent, more accountable, and more responsive to the needs
of our clients."
That
pretty much sums up everything one needs to know about the new normal.
Submitted by Tyler Durden on
08/01/2013 - 16:07
Trannies 3.3% gain today is the best in 20 months - which makes perfect sense given that WTI
crude prices are also spiking 2.7% breaking back above $108 (and XOM biggest
miss on earnings in forever). Treasuries continue to suffer with 7Y worst - up
an stunning 14bps on the day (its biggest jump in a month) as 30Y breaks above
2013 high yields. Credit markets disconnected from equity markets new
reality and ended the day wider (as once again credit tracked rates -
which does not bode well for stock valuations since it is clearly not a
move based on growth). Considerable USD strength across all the
majors, gold/silver modestly lower, Oil and copper surging. All-time
record highs for the S&P and Dow. BTFATH
Submitted by Tyler Durden on
08/01/2013 - 15:51
Another
example of the unintended consequence of a taper-growth-rotation rise in
interest rates? Who knows, but yet another pillar of the 'recovery' just
started to crack... Where's Phil LeBeau, when we need him the most, to tell
us how great this?
Submitted by Tyler Durden on
08/01/2013 - 15:36
Someone
is going to face the music after all. It seems the SEC has its mid-level
(non-executive) crisis scapegoat:
*TOURRE LOSES SEC CASE CLAIMING FRAUD IN $1 BILLION CDO
Tourre
has been found guilty on 6 of the 7 cases - we await news on the financial
penalties. Perhaps more critically, this finding (in favor of the SEC) may open
the door for more lawsuits against Goldman with regard similar transactions.
Submitted by Tyler Durden on
08/01/2013 - 15:21
Equities
appear to be celebrating the bond market's rapid collapse today but there are
already unintended consequences. With the entire complex seeing yields spike
the most in a month (cracking back above yesterday's post-FOMC spike highs),
30Y yields have broken to new two-year high levels at 3.77%. As rates rise,
issuers are struggling. Whether it is because of Detroit concerns or the sell-off
in bonds, Michigan's Genesee County just pulled its $53mm muni
offering as "investors wanted a much higher interest rate than the
county wanted to pay." The offering didn't attract buyers for a
29-year bond, the longest maturity in the deal, at an interest rate or 5.34%. Perhaps
they should have issued stock?
Submitted by Tyler Durden on
08/01/2013 - 14:52
The
conventional wisdom of the moment is that a weakening global economy will push
the cost of commodities such as oil down as demand stagnates. This makes perfect
sense in terms of physical supply and demand, but this ignores the
consequences of financial demand and capital flows. The total
financial wealth sloshing around the world is approximately $160 trillion.
If some relatively modest percentage of this money enters the commodity sector
(and more specifically, oil) as a low-risk opportunity, this flow would drive
the price of oil higher on its own, regardless of end-user demand and
deflationary forces. If we grasp that financial demand is equivalent to
end-user demand, we understand why oil could climb to $125/barrel
or even higher despite a physical surplus.
Submitted by Tyler Durden on
08/01/2013 - 14:27
There
have been 10 senior-level management departures since Ron Johnson left the
company in April. As Citi notes, the current state of the business is making it
difficult for JCP to attract management talent and without a turnaround
team, there is no turnaround. Key positions that remain vacant
include Chief Marketing Officer, Chief Technology Officer, GMM of Home, and
EVP, Real Estate. But apart from that, JCP is great...
Submitted by Tyler Durden on
08/01/2013 - 13:52
The U.S. is "extremely disappointed" in the move by Russia to grant 'temporary
asylum' to Edward Snowden, White House spokesman Jay Carney told reporters this
morning. Carney appeared to add a threat, as the WSJ reports, he
added that the Russian decision undermines law-enforcement cooperation between
Moscow and Washington. Russia's decision also threatens to derail a
planned September summit in Moscow between Obama and Putin (oh to be a
fly on that wall), as Carney advised "we are evaluating the utility of a
summit in light of this." Snowden's earlier comments that "over the
past eight weeks we have seen the Obama administration show no respect
for international or domestic law, but in the end the law is
winning," did not help, adding that he thanks "the Russian Federation
for granting asylum in accordance with its laws and international
obligations." US politicians see it a little differently, U.S. Sen. John
McCain (R-A.Z.) called the move "a disgrace and a deliberate
effort to embarrass the United States." Seems they are
managing that all on their own.
Submitted by Tyler Durden on
08/01/2013 - 13:51
In
what is a relatively surprising headline, the Italian court has decided to
uphold Berlusconi's Mediaset Tax fraud conviction... but appears to have left
the door open for some more fun and games...
*COURT
CONFIRMS BERLUSCONI CONVICTION
Court
confirms Berlusconi prison sentence (Reuters)
But,
it would seem, we may just see him make a run at the PM spot once again (once he
gets out of clink)...
*ITALY
COURT ORDERS REVIEW OF PUBLIC-OFFICE BAN FOR BERLUSCONI
Of
course, his 'sex with an under-age person' trial remains...(along with its
potential life-time ban)
Submitted by Tyler Durden on
08/01/2013 - 13:17
The real wages of the typical working man in the US have gone
down for the last 60 years.
In terms of his time, his most important purchases are more expensive today
than they were in 1950. How did American workers survive with lower real wages
and higher living costs? First, they began to work longer hours. Wives went to
work. Husbands worked a second job. Now Americans work more hours than any
other group. Second, and most importantly from our point of view, they began to
borrow. Aided, induced and bamboozled by the feds’ EZ credit
policies... they went deep into debt to keep up with their own standards of
living.
Submitted by Tyler Durden on
08/01/2013 - 12:54
While
vainly attempting to look like he is still in the driver's seat, it would
appear that John Boehner has once again folded on fiscal conservancy.
"It’s clear that we're not going to have the appropriations bills finished
by Sept. 30," Boehner noted this morning, adding "I believe a
continuing resolution for some short period of time would probably be in the
nation’s interest." So it's for our own good - especially as the
Fed is set to Taper - that we keep borrowing and spending. But, Boehner adds
after seemingly kicking the can, "the idea of operating for an
entire year under a CR is not a good way to do business. And I’ve been
working try to find a way to actually do all of these appropriations
bills." Indeed, get back to work, Mr. Boehner.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/01/2013 - 12:29
Presented
with little comment aside to note that 'reaching for yield' may soon having an
entirely different meaning...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/01/2013 - 12:01
While
much is being made of the ISM smash this morning and China's 'official' PMI
overnight, it seems cognitive dissonance is on the rise as
China's 'other' PMI collapsed and US Construction Spending dropped
precipitously. It was only a month ago that ISM was sub-50 and that housing
(and construction spending) was set to lift us out of the growth-scare.
Apparently not. But there is another pillar of this recovery that has been
stalwart during the equity market rally - that of US auto sales... until now...
*FORD U.S. VEHICLE SALES UP 11%, EST. UP 17%
*GM JULY U.S. VEHICLE SALES RISE 16%, EST. UP 20%
*CHRYSLER JULY U.S. VEHICLE SALES UP 11%, EST. UP 16%
It
seems that all that channel-stuffing, subprime-lending, term-extending has hit
its peak as, despite smiles and being 'pleased', US auto companies are
underperforming expectations (as Ferrari
exceeds).
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/01/2013 - 11:37
Edward
Snowden's first taste of fresh Russian air in weeks...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/01/2013 - 11:31
Those
who follow the mainstream media’s “all Federal Reserve, all the time”
coverage of financial news naturally conclude that Senator Chuck Schumer neatly
summarized reality last year when he declared that the Federal Reserve “is the
only game in town.” This lemming-like belief in the power of the Federal
Reserve generates its own psychological force field, of course; the actual
power of the Fed is superseded by the belief in its power. The widespread
belief in the Fed’s omnipotence is the source of the Fed’s power to move
markets. We can thus anticipate widespread disbelief at the discovery
that the Fed is either irrelevant or an impediment to the non-asset-bubble
parts of the economy. There is much we, as individuals, can do to
ignore the Emperor's clothes (or lack thereof) and focus on how to pursue our
own prosperity and happiness irrespective of the meddling of central planners.
The real power is in our hands, should we choose to believe it.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/01/2013 - 11:05
Record-breaking
temperatures have been searing large swaths of China, resulting in dozens of
heat-related deaths and prompting authorities to issue a national alert. As CNN reports,
people are packing into swimming pools or taking refuge in caves
in their attempts to escape the fierce temperatures. Local governments are
resorting to cloud-seeding technology to try to bring rain to
millions of acres of parched farmland. The worst of the smoldering heat wave
has been concentrated in the south and east of the country, with Shanghai
experiencing its hottest July in at least 140 years. In Shanghai, the
heat was being blamed for mounting numbers of dead fish in ponds and rivers and
is likely to continue into the middle of August.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/01/2013 - 10:39
*FERRARI SAYS 1H NET INCOME RISES 20%
*PORSCHE JULY U.S. SALES UP 36%
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/01/2013 - 10:16
Readers
may recall that in our commentary
to yesterday's Chicago PMI disappointment we had a simple prediction
"What this means for the ISM is not exactly clear due to the long-running
tradition of baffle with BS, but on the surface it is hardly optimistic...
which likely means ISM will explode higher." Sure enough, to no surprise
at all, it just did with the headline ISM manufacturing print for July
exploding from 50.9, trouncing expectations of 52.0 with the biggest beat in
two years, and hitting 55.4, driven mostly by a surge in production which rose
from 53.4 to a ridiculous 65.0, the highest since 2004. And while virtually all
of the key subindices in yesterday's Chicago PMI dipped, today it is the
opposite, with New Orders (+6.4), Employment (+5.7) and Deliveries (+2.1) all
posting increases. Humorously, while Chicago PMI said Prices Paid exploded,
today the ISM refuted that and indicated Prices Paid dropped to lowest in a
year. One just has to laugh at the Chinazation of US economic data.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/01/2013 - 09:51
Two
months ago we first
observed the scramble by various hedge funds, in this case Blue Mountain,
to take advantage of the peak sentiment in housing, and specifically rental
housing (which just hit an all time high as
reported previously) by rushing to capitalize on recent investments and
dump exposure to the witless public. Specifically, we envisioned the then just
announced IPO of the aptly named American Homes 4 Rent (yes, with a "4"
not "for"), also known as AMH, which
however came at precisely the wrong time for the market: just as mortgage rates
were soaring and Colony American Homes postponed its own parallel IPO. Two
months later, with the market about to pass 1700 and fears about the housing
market put back in the shelf despite a glaringly obvious collapse in mortgage
demand, these IPOs are back and with a vengeance, although now reflecting a far
more subdued, tapered if you will, view about the house leasing sector. Not
surprisingly, AMH priced overnight, selling 44.1 million shares at a price at
the bottom of the $16-18 range to raise a total of $706 million: a 44%
discount to the $1.25 billion suggested in the prospectus filed back in June.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/01/2013 - 09:35
After
spending the last two weeks in a 20 point range, the S&P 500 has finally
passed the all-important 1,700 level after the Fed's directionless statement
was trumped by Hilsenrath's confirmation that the Taper 'may' be
delayed and the late-day collapse in stocks was trumped by a 'miracle'
from China and this morning's promises from Draghi. After its initial
spurt off the 6/24 un-taper lows, the S&P surged at a wonderful 200%
annualized pace but the sideways oscillation of the last few days has dragged
that extrapolated performance exuberance down to a mere 140% annualized.
As a reminder, there is a
buyer (retail) for every seller (professional); what could possibly go
wrong? It seems 'on hold' is the new BTFATH (and sell bonds).
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/01/2013 - 09:11
On
6 July, a Montreal, Maine & Atlantic train carrying 72 tank cars filled
with oil exploded after its brakes apparently failed, sending it rolling into
the small Quebec town of Lac-Megantic, where it derailed and then exploded. In
the conflagration that followed, an estimated 47 people were killed. Whether
Canadians like it or not, the use of such trains has soared in recent years.
Now, in a breathtaking display of chutzpah, the Canadian ambassador to
the U.S. is warning
President Obama if he does not approve the controversial Keystone XL
pipeline, then he can expect similar oil trains and even trucks to enter the
U.S..
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/01/2013 - 08:41
Good
news appaears (for now) to not be bad news for stocks but it is bad news for
bonds as they sell-off modestly on the best beat in initial claims in 3
months and the lowest absolute (pre-revision next week) level since January
2008. The highest insured unemployment rates in the week ending July
20 were in Puerto Rico (4.9), New Jersey (3.6), Connecticut (3.5), Alaska
(3.4), California (3.4), Pennsylvania (3.4), New Mexico (3.2), Nevada (2.9),
Virgin Islands (2.9), Illinois (2.8), New York (2.8), Oregon (2.8), and Rhode
Island (2.8). So these are pre-recessionary levels of jobless claims and extended
claims continue to slide (and Challenger this morning was positive) - but how
does this exuberant job situation fit with the dismal economic data? Perhaps this?
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/01/2013 - 08:30
Following
his decision to leave rates unchanged, the investing public can only buy-first
and hold their breath for some hint at more fragmentation-beating,
collateral-easing, negative-rate hinting 'promises' from the most important man
in the world for today.
*DRAGHI SAYS ECB EXPECTS RATES TO STAY LOW FOR EXTENDED PERIOD
*DRAGHI SAYS EURO AREA GROWTH RISKS REMAIN 'ON THE DOWNSIDE'
*DRAGHI SAYS WEAK LOAN DYNAMICS REFLECT STAGE OF BUSINESS CYCLE
*DRAGHI SAYS ESSENTIAL FOR FRAGMENTATION TO DECLINE FURTHER
*DRAGHI SAYS COUNTRIES SHOULD STEP UP STRUCTURAL REFORM PROCESS
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/01/2013 - 08:26
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/01/2013 - 07:55
MOSCOW
(Reuters) - American fugitive Edward Snowden was offered a job by Russia's top
social networking site on Thursday, hours after the former intelligence
contractor received a year-long asylum in Russia.
"We
invite Edward Snowden to Petersburg and will be happy if he decides to join the
star team of programmers at VKontakte," Pavel Durov, one of the founders
of the St. Petersburg-based VKontakte, Russia's answer to Facebook, said on his
profile.
Snowden's
temporary asylum papers allow him to work in Russia, according to Anatoly
Kucherena, a lawyer close to the Russian authorities, who has been assisting
the American.
Moscow
has refused Washington's repeated requests to hand over the 30-year-old to face
trial on espionage charges after he leaked details of secret U.S. surveillance
programs involving phone and Internet data.
Seeking
to avoid U.S. prosecution, Snowden arrived to Moscow from Hong Kong on June 23
has been stuck in the transit zone of the Sheremetyevo airport for more than a
month before slipping out on Thursday with new refugee documents.
Edward Snowden Granted AsylumPlay
video."
The
spat over Snowden's fate has added to tensions between Russia and the United
States, already at loggerheads over the conflict in Syria as well as other
defense and human rights issues.
But
Snowden is also a useful propaganda tool for Moscow, which often accuses
Washington of preaching on human rights abroad what it does not practice at
home.
Durov
of VKontakte, or "InTouch", which says it has more than 210 million
registered profiles and up to 47 million daily users, said he took pride in
Russia's decision to harbor Snowden.
"Today
Edward Snowden - the man who denounced U.S. security services' crimes against
citizens of the whole world - received temporary asylum in Russia," Durov
said.
"In
such moments one feels pride with our country and regret over the course taken
by United States - a country betraying the principles it was once built
on," he added.
Related Bradley Manning » WikiLeaks »
Manning's
ConvictionsWall Street Journal
WikiLeaks
founder condemns Manning verdict, ObamaTribune-Review
Featured:Julian Assange,
on Eve of Verdict: 'Bradley Manning Is a Hero'National
Journal - by
Opinion:A double-edged
verdict on Bradley ManningLos Angeles Times
In Depth:Bradley Manning
acquitted of aiding the enemyCBS News
Homeownership
at 18-Year Low...
Rents
Hit Record Highs...
Detroit
home priced at $1 sits on the market for 519 days...
TePCO 2020 Posted by : williambanzai7 Post date: 07/31/2013 - And we don't mean vision...
Submitted by williambanzai7 on 07/31/2013 13:48 -0400
BANZAI7
NEWS--Tokyo Electric Power Co. acknowledged for the first time this week that
its Fukushima Dai-ichi plant was leaking contaminated underground water into
the ocean, a problem many experts had suspected since shortly after the crisis
unfolded more than two years ago.
The
operator of Japan's crippled nuclear plant said that it delayed acknowledging
that the plant was leaking contaminated water into the sea because it did not
want to worry the public until it was certain there was a problem.
As
Tokyo enters its final lap in the race to host the 2020 Summer Olympic Games,
some investors are already betting on who they think will grab the gold: the
wide swath of Japanese corporations who will score lucrative contracts if the
metropolis’s bid succeeds: radiation bathing studios, wearable geiger counters,
hot buns, nuclear waste mismanagement consultants, cesium rice crackers and
strontium green tea ice cream are key industries to watch.
NSA Spying Directly Harms
Internet Companies, Silicon Valley, California … And the Entire U.S. Economy Posted by: George
Washington
Post date: 07/31/2013 - Mass
Surveillance Is “Killing Our Most Productive Golden Goose”
Obama’s Corporate Tax ‘Grand
Bargain’
Posted by: Pivotfarm Post date: 07/31/2013 - Obama wants to give middle-class Americans a ‘grand
bargain’. Roll up! Roll up! You won’t believe your eyes.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 07/31/2013 - 20:03
As
Obama parades around middle-America, promoting hope-and-change amid a "Better-Bargain
for the middle-class," it seemed only appropriate to lay out a few
'facts' before his next pronouncement. Once upon a time, the United States has the
largest and most vibrant middle class in the history of the world. Sadly, things have dramatically changed in
America since that time. There just aren't as many "middle class
jobs" as there used to be. In fact, just six years ago there were
about six million more full-time jobs in our economy than there are right
now. Those jobs are being replaced by part-time jobs and temp jobs. We
live at a time when incomes are going down but the cost of living just keeps
going up. As a result, the middle class in America is being absolutely
shredded and the ranks of the poor are steadily growing. The
following are 44 facts about the death of the middle class that every American
- especially President Obama - should know...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 07/31/2013 - 21:09
Following
Japan's disappointing PMI last night, and after some 'hope' in
June, Aussie PMI collapsed from an almost 'recovering' 49.6 to
42.0 with only 1 in 12 industries expanding and production, employment,
and new orders all falling further into contraction. Then came a formerly
consistent bellwether of the global recovery (until of course it started to
fall when it became irrelevant) - South
Korea's PMI tumbled to 47.2 (from 49.4) - its lowest since Sept
2012 (and falling for the 3rd month in a row) and employment down the fastest
in 17 months. Then after the early Flash HSBC PMI printed at 11-month lows
(final HSBC PMI shortly) and firmly in contraction, China's official
PMI just arrived at a perfectly 'reasonable' 50.3 (highest in 2
months) and well ahead of a contractionary 49.8 expectation. Remember this is
the same data whose subsets were temporarily (and then permanently) removed
last month. This is the widest disparity from HSBC's measure in 15
months.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 07/31/2013 - 20:35
The
Director of National Intelligence released three declassified "in
the interests of transparency" documents this morning that
authorized and explained the bulk collection of phone data - one of the secret
surveillance programs that Snowden revealed. As
Reuters reports, much of what is contained in the documents has already
been divulged in public hearings by intelligence officials but the National
Security Agency's "Bulk Collection Program," carried
out under the U.S. Patriot Act, is now in the open. Have no fear though,
"Although the programs collect a large amount of information, the vast
majority of that information is never reviewed by anyone in the
government," the report said. As Senator Patrick Leahy commented, "what
has to be of more concern in a democracy is whether the trust of the American
people is beginning to wear thin."
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 07/31/2013 - 19:23
Today’s
bizarre confluence of negative real interest rates, money printing, eurozone
sovereign default, aberrant asset prices, high unemployment, political
polarization, growing distrust… none of it was supposed to happen. It
is the unintended consequence of past crisis-fighting campaigns, like a troupe
of comedy firemen leaving behind them a bigger fire than the one they came to
extinguish. What will be the unintended consequences of today’s
firefighting? We shudder to think.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 07/31/2013 - 18:25
The
nation's spy court has begun operations in a new, secure space
on the third floor of the E. Barrett Prettyman Courthouse in downtown
Washington, ending its 30-year run of issuing secret warrants from
within the Justice Department, according to three sources connected to
the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court who spoke on the condition of
anonymity, citing the strict secrecy surrounding it.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 07/31/2013 - 17:47
Go
ahead, be a fool, tell yourself that you are still part of that once proud
American “middle-class,” then dare look in the mirror and see yourself
as nothing but a zombie. Or, rather, the new identifiable species in
the US: the Amerizombie, a reanimated economic corpse, undead
but politically clueless to the new global realities.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 07/31/2013 - 17:07
“…the best way to get interest rates up is to have low interest
rates" —Fed
Chairman Bernanke responding to a Congressional testimony question
“We all know it’s going to end badly, but in the meantime we
can make some money.”
—Jim Cramer, CNBC
“Thank God for the Fed.” —Australian Treasurer Wayne Swan
“Let’s be clear. We’ve intentionally blown the biggest
government bond bubble in history.” —Andy Haldane, Bank of England director of financial
stability
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 07/31/2013 - 16:49
It is painfully self-evident that our financial system doesn't
just enable theft, it is theft
by nature and design. If
you doubt this, please follow along...
"The first panacea for a mismanaged
nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. Both bring a temporary
prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. But both are the refuge of political
and economic opportunists."
Ernest Hemingway, The Next War
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 07/31/2013 - 16:17
A
very volatile day in stocks ended with a violent high volume dump from
post-FOMC highs on heavy MoC selling pressure that left the S&P and Dow
with red closes. S&P futures still managed their best month
since Oct 2011 - though unable yet again to capture the 1,700 flag.
The size and scale of the 'rotation' into the close (and strength in bonds)
leaves us wondering who is
buying and who is selling. For some context, post-FOMC, S&P
-4pts, 10Y -8bps, Gold +$10, USD -0.15%; so it seems bonds benefited
the most and stocks seem to be crying out for moar. The Dow has now closed
red for 3 days-in-a-row - the worst streak in seven weeks.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 07/31/2013 - 15:38
While
we have heard this rumor before, the NY
Post is reporting that CIT - the largest commercial lender/factor in the US
apparel industry - has abruptly stopped supporting deliveries from smaller
manufacturers to JCPenney stores. Insiders speculated that CIT got skittish
after meeting with JCP officials yesterday and getting a glimpse of financials.
It really is not Bill Ackman's day - HLF +10%, JCP -6.7%.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 07/31/2013 - 15:26
While
the Fed is posturing daily whether it will or it won't monetize an ever greater
portion of gross US issuance (and considering the drop in US funding needs,
unless the Fed tapers it will soon very soon buy more than 100% of all 10 Year
equivalent issuance going forward), foreigners have made their position
vis-a-vis US paper loud and clear. What is their position? The following chart
from today's TBAC
presentation to the Treasury makes it very clear. With an ever declining,
and recently the smallest on file, notional amount of Treasurys at auction
going to foreigners since 2009 (and certainly much further back), they
are not sticking around to see what happens.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 07/31/2013 - 15:09
While
'tentative', the Fed's POMO schedule for August signals no Taper anytime soon.
But, the Fed has generously 'allowed' 4 days for the shorting of stocks in
August (Friday 2nd, Friday 9th, Wednesday 21st, and Friday 30th). Away from
those days - BTFATH...
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 07/31/2013 - 14:41
Anyone,
or rather any vacuum tube algo, hoping that Fed mouthpiece Jon Hilsenrath's
traditional post mortem would be kind enough and summarize the FOMC with a
simple one or at most two-word phrase ("Buy" or
"Superstrong Buy") will be disappointed. At best,
the following summary can be summarized as "Neutral", or
"Cautiously Non-committal", although as he correctly points out
"Modest" is worse than "Moderate"
as most recall from elementary school - it is unclear if this news is horrible
enough to send the S&P to record highs.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 07/31/2013 - 14:37
The
usual schizophrenic reactions across asset classes are progressing but with 30
minutes down, it appears bonds are benefitting most (10Y -5bps),
gold is up modestly (+$10 at $1320), and the USD down small after swinging both
ways already. Stocks are the most 'confused' but just as they tumbled on the
realization that the taper is not only still on the table but coming, a rumor
spread like wildfire that Hilsenrath was about to provide the much needed
"Strong Buy" interpretation of the virtually unchanged from June FOMC
statement.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 07/31/2013 - 14:04
The
FOMC appears to have 'tweaked' its message to fit with Bernanke's confusing
commentary and confirms that 'tapering is not tightening'.
FED
SAYS INFLATION 'PERSISTENTLY' BELOW 2% GOAL COULD POSE RISK
FED
SAYS ECONOMIC GROWTH WILL PICK UP FROM RECENT PACE
FED
REPEATS RATES 'EXCEPTIONALLY LOW' UNTIL JOBLESS AT 6.5%
FED
SAYS UNEMPLOYMENT WILL GRADUALLY DECLINE
FED
SAYS 'DOWNSIDE RISKS' DIMINISHED 'SINCE THE FALL'
FED
NOTES THAT MORTGAGE RATES HAVE RISEN SOMEWHAT
FED
SAYS IT IS PREPARED TO INCREASE OR REDUCE THE PACE OF PURCHASES
Bullard
no longer dissenting, George is sole dissenter. And don't forget, of course,
that this is all pretense in the face of the inevitability of the taper due to refunding,
political,
and technical
reasons. As we
noted earlier, it seems preferable to pretend the economy is strong enough
to withstand less-easing (tightening) than admit the Fed is cornered.
Pre:
S&P Futs 1685, 10Y 2.65%, USD Index 81.80, WTI $104.65, Gold $1311
Redline
to follow
There
is one vitally important number that everyone needs to be watching right now,
and it doesn't have anything to do with unemployment, inflation or
housing. If this number gets too high, it will collapse the entire U.S.
financial system. The number that I am talking about is the yield on 10
year U.S. Treasuries. When that number goes up, long-term interest rates
all across the financial system start increasing. When long-term interest
rates rise, it becomes more expensive for the federal government to borrow
money, it becomes more expensive for state and local governments to borrow
money, existing bonds lose value and bond investors lose a lot of money,
mortgage rates go up and monthly payments on new mortgages rise, and interest
rates throughout the entire economy go up and this causes economic activity to
slow down. On top of everything else, there are more than 440 trillion
dollars worth of interest rate derivatives sitting out there, and rapidly
rising interest rates could cause that gigantic time bomb to go off and implode
our entire financial system. We are living in the midst of the greatest debt bubble in the
history of the world, and the only way that the game can continue is
for interest rates to stay super low. Unfortunately, the yield on 10 year
U.S. Treasuries has started to rise, and many experts are projecting that it is
going to continue to rise. (Read
More....) On August 2nd of
last year, the yield on 10 year U.S. Treasuries was just 1.48%, and our entire
debt-based economy was basking in the glow of ultra-low interest rates.
But now things are rapidly changing. On Wednesday, the yield on 10 year
U.S. Treasuries hit 2.70% before falling back to 2.58% on "good news"
from the Federal Reserve.
Historically
speaking, rates are still super low, but what is alarming is that it looks like
we hit a "bottom" last year and that interest rates are only going to
go up from here. In fact, according to CNBC
many experts believe that we will soon be pushing up toward the 3 percent
mark...
Round numbers like 1,700 on the S&P 500 are well and good, but savvy traders have
their minds on another integer: 2.75 percent
That was the high for the 10-year yield this
year, and traders say yields are bound to go back to that level. The one
overhanging question is how stocks will react when they see that number.
"If we start to push up to new highs on
the 10-year yield so that's the 2.75 level—I think you'd probably see a bit of
anxiety creep back into the marketplace," Bank of America Merrill Lynch's
head of global technical strategy, MacNeil Curry, told "Futures Now"
on Tuesday.
And Curry sees yields getting back to that
level in the short term, and then some. "In the next couple of weeks to
two months or so I think we've got a push coming up to the 2.85, 2.95
zone," he said.
This
rise in interest rates has been expected for a very long time - it is just that
nobody knew exactly when it would happen. Now that it has begun, nobody
is quite sure how high interest rates will eventually go. For some very
interesting technical analysis, I encourage everyone to check out an article by
Peter Brandt that you can find right here.
And
all of this is very bad news for stocks. The chart below was created by Chartist Friend from Pittsburgh,
and it shows that stock prices have generally risen as the yield on 10 year
U.S. Treasuries has steadily declined over the past 30 years...
When
interest rates go down, that spurs economic activity, and that is good for
stock prices.
So
when interest rates start going up rapidly, that is not a good thing for the
stock market at all.
The Federal Reserve has tried to keep long-term
interest rates down by wildly printing money and buying bonds, and even the
suggestion that the Fed may eventually "taper" quantitative easing
caused the yield on 10 year U.S. Treasuries to absolutely soar a few weeks ago.
So
the Fed has backed off on the "taper" talk for now, but what happens
if the yield on 10 year U.S. Treasuries continues to rise even with the wild
money printing that the Fed has been doing?
At
that point, the Fed would begin to totally lose control over the
situation. And if that happens, Bill Fleckenstein told King World News the other
day that he believes that we could see the stock market suddenly plunge by 25
percent...
Let’s say Ben (Bernanke) comes out tomorrow
and says, ‘We are not going to taper.’ But let’s just say the bond market
trades down anyway, and the next thing you know we go through the recent highs
and a month from now the 10-Year is at 3%. And people start to realize they are
not even tapering and the bond market is backed up....
They will say, ‘Why is this happening?’ Then
they may realize the bond market is discounting the inflation we already have.
At some point the bond markets are going to
say, ‘We are not comfortable with these policies.’ Obviously you can’t print
money forever or no emerging country would ever have gone broke. So the bond
market starts to back up and the economy gets worse than it is now because
rates are rising. So the Fed says, ‘We can’t have this,’ and they decide to
print more (money) and the bond market backs up (even more).
All of the sudden it becomes clear that
money printing not only isn’t the solution, but it’s the problem. Well, with
rates going from where they are to 3%+ on the 10-Year, one of these days the
S&P futures are going to get destroyed. And if the computers ever get loose
on the downside the market could break 25% in three days.
And
as I have written about previously, we have seen a huge spike in margin debt in
recent months, and this could make it even easier for a stock market collapse
to happen. A recent note from Deutsche Bank explained precisely why
margin debt is so dangerous...
Margin debt can be described as a tool used
by stock speculators to borrow money from brokerages to buy more stock than
they could otherwise afford on their own. These loans are collateralized by
stock holdings, so when the market goes south, investors are either required to
inject more cash/assets or become forced to sell immediately to pay off their
loans – sometimes leading to mass pullouts or crashes.
But
of much greater concern than a stock market crash is the 441 trillion dollar interest rate
derivatives bubble that could implode if interest rates continue to rise
rapidly.
Deutsche
Bank is the largest bank in Europe, and at this point they have 55.6 trillion euros of total exposure to
derivatives.
But
the GDP of the entire nation of Germany is only about 2.7 trillion euros for a
whole year.
We
are facing a similar situation in the United States. Our GDP for 2013
will be somewhere between 15 and 16 trillion dollars, but many of our big banks
have exposure to derivatives that absolutely dwarfs our GDP. The following
numbers come from one of my previous articles entitled "The
Coming Derivatives Panic That Will Destroy Global Financial Markets"...
JPMorgan Chase
Total Assets: $1,812,837,000,000 (just over
1.8 trillion dollars)
Total Exposure To Derivatives:
$69,238,349,000,000 (more than 69 trillion dollars)
Citibank
Total Assets: $1,347,841,000,000 (a bit more
than 1.3 trillion dollars)
Total Exposure To Derivatives:
$52,150,970,000,000 (more than 52 trillion dollars)
Bank Of America
Total Assets: $1,445,093,000,000 (a bit more
than 1.4 trillion dollars)
Total Exposure To Derivatives:
$44,405,372,000,000 (more than 44 trillion dollars)
Goldman Sachs
Total Assets: $114,693,000,000 (a bit more
than 114 billion dollars - yes, you read that correctly)
Total Exposure To Derivatives:
$41,580,395,000,000 (more than 41 trillion dollars)
That means that the total exposure that
Goldman Sachs has to derivatives contracts is more than 362 times
greater than their total assets.
And
remember, the biggest chunk of those derivatives contracts is made up of
interest rate derivatives.
Just
imagine what would happen if a life insurance company wrote millions upon
millions of life insurance contracts and then everyone suddenly died.
What
would happen to that life insurance company?
It
would go completely broke of course.
Well,
that is what our major banks are facing today.
They
have written trillions upon trillions of dollars worth of interest rate
derivatives contracts, and they are betting that interest rates will not go up
rapidly.
But
what if they do?
And
the truth is that interest rates have a whole lot of room to go up. The
chart below shows how the yield on 10 year U.S. Treasuries has moved over the
past couple of decades...
As
you can see, the yield on 10 year U.S. Treasuries was hovering around the 6
percent mark back in the year 2000.
Back
in 1990, the yield on 10 year U.S. Treasuries hovered between 8 and 9 percent.
If
we return to "normal" levels, our financial system will
implode. There is no way that our debt-addicted system would be able to
handle it.
So
watch the yield on 10 year U.S. Treasuries very carefully. It is the most
important number in the entire U.S. economy.
If
that number gets too high, the game is over.
Something
very strange is happening to Detroit. Once upon a time, it was the center
of American manufacturing and it had the highest per capita income in the United
States. But now the city is dying and the Chinese are moving in to pick
up the pieces. Lured by news stories that proclaim that you can buy homes
in Detroit for as little as one dollar, Chinese investors are
eagerly gobbling up properties. In some cases, this is happening dozens
of properties at a time. Not only that, according to the New York Times
“dozes of companies from China” are investing in businesses and establishing a
presence in the Detroit area. If this continues, will Detroit eventually
become a city that is heavily dominated by China? (Read
More.....)
Something
really weird has been found on the wall of a cave in Nevada, and it is shaking
a lot of people up. Two paranormal investigators named MK Davis and Don
Monroe claim to have stumbled upon the handprint of an ancient giant in
Lovelock Cave, and the pictures that have been released to the public are
absolutely startling. If this handprint is real, it is estimated that it
would have belonged to someone 18 feet all. And what makes all of this
even more compelling is that there is a very old Native American tradition that
says that a tribe of red-haired giants was burned inside that cave a very long
time ago. So could we actually be looking at solid evidence that the old
Native American tradition about the red-haired giants is actually real?
There
has been a tremendous amount of interest in this particular cave going all the
way back to 1911. At that time, two guano miners claimed that they
discovered several sets of giant bones inside the cave…
In 1911 David Pugh and James Hart, two guano
miners (yes, mining bat poo is really a thing) (Read
More....)
July 30th, 2013 | Tags: Ancient Giant, Giant Finger, Giant
Footprint, Giants,
Michael
T. Snyder, Paranormal
Discoveries, Red-Haired
Giants, Weird
| Category: Nephilim
| 5 comments
Something
is up with the sun. It has begun to behave very erratically, and
scientists don’t know quite what to make of it. Sunspot activity appears
to be slowing down with each new cycle and absolutely gigantic holes have
started to appear in the sun. At the moment, the sun is approaching the
peak of its 11 year cycle, and an increasing number of scientists are becoming
concerned about what the next cycle will bring. If sunspot activity
continues to diminish, could the sunspot cycle eventually die altogether?
Is it possible that we could be approaching another ice age? Even worse,
could the increasingly erratic behavior of the sun be an indication that the
sun is dying? Traditionally, scientists have taught that the sun won’t
die until billions of years from now, but in recent years astronomers have
observed stars similar to our own sun suddenly begin to behave very erratically
and then rapidly die. Is it possible that the same thing could happen to
our sun?
It
is a fact that the current solar cycle has been the weakest in 100 years.
This has many scientists searching for answers…
The Sun is acting weird. It typically puts
on a pageant of magnetic activity every 11 years for (Read
More....)
July 29th, 2013 | Tags: Another
Ice Age, Astronomy,
Holes
In The Sun, Michael
T. Snyder, Scientists,
Sunspot
Activity, Sunspot Cycle, The Sun, The
Sun Is Dying | Category: Earth Changes | 23 comments
Why
are so many incredibly important news stories completely ignored by the
mainstream media in the United States? Why do they seem to want to avoid
many “controversial questions” as if they were the plague? Why does the
media tend to label those that are willing to ask the hard questions and seek
the truth as “conspiracy theorists”? Sadly, the truth is that the
mainstream media in America does not do much real journalism anymore. At
this point, approximately 90 percent of what you see on television is
controlled by just 6 giant media
corporations. That is why “the news” seems to be so similar no
matter what channel you watch. Well, it turns out that a lot of Americans
are getting tired of the safe, censored, pre-packaged news that they get from
the corporate-controlled media. One recent poll found that 77
percent of all Americans do not trust television news at this
point. This distrust has helped fuel the rise of the alternative media,
which has absolutely exploded in (Read
More....)
FOURNIER:
What If Obama Can't Lead?
'Remarkable combination of arrogance, impotence'...
STILL
PUMPING...
Inflation
'persistently' below target...
Commerce
Dept revises economy numbers -- back to 1929...
NSA
database tracks FACEBOOK chats...
TWITTER:
Gov't Info Requests on the Rise...
Dog
Chews Off Paralyzed Man's Testicle While He Sleeps...
VIDEO:
Man Offers to Help Disabled Woman -- Then Chokes, Robs Her... {
Yup…nigger kindness in action! }
Infowars.com
| The Grand Prize winner of $100,000 is…
Adan Salazar
| Weiner stands up despite criticism.
Kurt Nimmo
| Supreme Court reluctant to rule on Fourth Amendment and new technologies.
Steve
Watson | Up 26% in three years; no consistency in disciplining thieves,
molesters, and those neglecting security.
Julie Wilson
| San Diego Mayor asks City Council to pay his legal fees.
Kit Daniels
| SSA joining Dept. of Defense in efforts to downplay negative news and
influence the public’s behavior.
Mike
Adams | Large number of multivitamins and nutrient vitamins formulated with
ingredients derived from genetically modified corn.
Zero
Hedge | Bank of England facilitated sale of gold looted by Nazis after invasion
of Czechoslovakia in 1938.
Fed keeps stimulus going, leaves
rates unchanged
Jeff Cox
| Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged and keep buying $85
billion in bonds every month.
10 Reasons the U.S. Economy Is
Stuck
Moira Herbst
| The reality is that we’re hollowing out the middle class.
Hawaii sets aside $100,000 to
offer homeless people a one-way ticket home
The Daily Mail
| Supporters hope to take some weight off an overburdened shelter system.
Dozens
of CIA operatives on the ground during Benghazi attack...
All
over the United States, cattle are being brutally mutilated and nobody seems to
know who is doing it. Hearts, udders, teets, ears, tongues and
reproductive organs are being removed, and in most of these cases the cuts are
made with surgical precision and no trace of blood is left behind at the
scene. Sometimes the mutilated cattle are left in the mud or in deep
snow, but there are no footprints or any other signs that anyone had ever been
there. This phenomenon has been going on for many years, especially in
the western half of the U.S., and yet authorities have no leads and absolutely
no explanation for why this is happening. Could it be possible that there
is not a natural explanation for this unexplained mystery?
That
is what one rancher out in Missouri
thinks. She has had several cattle mutilated over the past few
years, and the latest incident that happened on her ranch got so much national
attention that it even made the Drudge Report.
The
mutilation of her cows fits the same pattern that we have seen all over
America, and she is convinced that it could be the work of aliens. The
following is how (Read More....)
July 31st, 2013 | Tags: Aliens, Cattle
Mutilation, Cattle
Mutilations, Cow
Mutilation, Michael
T. Snyder, No
Explanation | Category: Unexplained Mysteries | 4 comments
Something
really weird has been found on the wall of a cave in Nevada, and it is shaking
a lot of people up. Two paranormal investigators named MK Davis and Don
Monroe claim to have stumbled upon the handprint of an ancient giant in
Lovelock Cave, and the pictures that have been released to the public are
absolutely startling. If this handprint is real, it is estimated that it
would have belonged to someone 18 feet all. And what makes all of this
even more compelling is that there is a very old Native American tradition that
says that a tribe of red-haired giants was burned inside that cave a very long
time ago. So could we actually be looking at solid evidence that the old
Native American tradition about the red-haired giants is actually real?
There
has been a tremendous amount of interest in this particular cave going all the
way back to 1911. At that time, two guano miners claimed that they
discovered several sets of giant bones inside the cave…
In 1911 David Pugh and James Hart, two guano
miners (yes, mining bat poo is really a thing) (Read
More....)
July 30th, 2013 | Tags: Ancient Giant, Giant Finger, Giant
Footprint, Giants,
Michael
T. Snyder, Paranormal
Discoveries, Red-Haired
Giants, Weird
| Category: Nephilim
| 9 comments
Something
is up with the sun. It has begun to behave very erratically, and
scientists don’t know quite what to make of it. Sunspot activity appears
to be slowing down with each new cycle and absolutely gigantic holes have
started to appear in the sun. At the moment, the sun is approaching the
peak of its 11 year cycle, and an increasing number of scientists are becoming
concerned about what the next cycle will bring. If sunspot activity
continues to diminish, could the sunspot cycle eventually die altogether?
Is it possible that we could be approaching another ice age? Even worse,
could the increasingly erratic behavior of the sun be an indication that the
sun is dying? Traditionally, scientists have taught that the sun won’t
die until billions of years from now, but in recent years astronomers have
observed stars similar to our own sun suddenly begin to behave very erratically
and then rapidly die. Is it possible that the same thing could happen to
our sun?
It
is a fact that the current solar cycle has been the weakest in 100 years.
This has many scientists searching for answers…
The End of Barack Obama?
The unfortunate reality is that we are
actually in a much more dangerous and precarious place today than we were
five years ago. And that is why I've spent a significant
amount of time and money in the past few months preparing this presentation.
And that brings us to
today...
The Greatest Danger
Every single hour, of every single day,
the U.S. government spends about $200 million that it doesn't have.
Why Our Biggest Advantage
First Britain… Now
America
Is Your State as Broke as
these Places?
** And this is the important point to
remember: What most people don't realize is that the U.S. government can
only continue printing dollars... as long as the U.S. dollar remains the
world's reserve currency. I can't stress this enough: You need to
act now in order to protect your assets, and grow your savings in the next
few years. In the next few minutes, I'm going to show you exactly how I'm
protecting my own money, and what I recommend you do. Americans Don't Realize
Many Places No Longer
Accept the Dollar
Let me show you The REAL
Please At Least Consider
These Simple Steps
What will it take for you
to
|
LEGAL DISCLAIMER: This
work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press
releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors
and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read
here. It's your money and your responsibility. Stansberry & Associates
Investment Research expressly forbids its writers from having a financial
interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. And all
Stansberry & Associates Investment Research (and affiliated companies),
employees, and agents must wait 24 hours after an initial trade
recommendation is published on the Internet, or 72 hours after a direct mail
publication is sent, before acting on that recommendation. Stansberry &
Associates Investment Research, LLC. 1217 Saint Paul Street, Baltimore MD
21202 |
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/13/2013 12:27 -0400
With the market still stuck in the summer
doldrums, where it will be until the Taper announcement and the German election,
the dominant topic of water cooler conversation today is Elon Musk's hyperloop
idea. While the feasibility, and not to mention profitability, of this
concept remains to be determined, it got us thinking: what are some of the
other more ridiculous patent ideas conceived in history - a topic particularly
germane now that the Obama himself has decided to become the anti-patent troll-in-chief (at
least on behalf of those who tend to spend generously for
lobbying and other favor-inducing purposes). Below, courtesy of BusinessWeek,
we list what may be some of the most absurd, bizarre, humorous and outright
idiotic inventions and patent ideas awarded over the years.
From BusinessWeek:
The U.S. Patent & Trademark Office is
drowning in a deluge of applications. On Mar. 16, Acting Director John Doll
said that even if the office closed its doors, it would take almost two years
to clear the backlog. With the agency understaffed and underfunded, it's no
wonder some silly applications have slipped through the net. Here are some of
the most absurd patents awarded in the past decade, courtesy of Totally Absurd. You'll find some choice statements
from the actual patent applications (good luck deciphering some of the
language), along with our, often incredulous, commentary.
Patent awarded: 2006
Patent says: "In addition to the environmentally
destructive effects of ruminant animal methane emissions, such emissions represent
wasted energy, as up to thirteen percent of the food ruminant animals eat is
lost as methane."
We say: It would take a lot of cows to produce useful levels
of biomass. Not to mention, you'd need workers to monitor the contraptions.
Probably not efficient.
Patent awarded: 2002
Patent says: "A number of devices have been devised for
carrying infants and young children. Such devices often are not appropriate or
useful for carrying larger children. Nor are known conventional arrangements
adapted to support a standing child."
We say: Spurs not included. If your child is too big for a
stroller, it's probably time he or she learned to walk.
Patent awarded: 1999
Patent says: "A pet display vest for a person, having an
elongated, enclosed, pet receiving, passageway extending thereacross with at
least one closable pet admitting entry, at least part of the passageway being
transparent so that, when the vest is worn, a pet moving along the passageway
across a wearer's body can be viewed by a spectator."
We say: A great invention if you ever thought, "Gee, I'd
really like to take my small rodent out for a walk and get it some sun."
Just try not to trip.
Patent awarded: 2004
Patent says: "No one of the devices actually known allows
the possibility of quickly and easily setting the cellular telephone to its use
condition and then as well quickly and easily setting it back to rest."
We say: If Inspector Gadget had a cell phone, this is how he'd
store it. It's the old gun-in-the-sleeve trick, but for your phone.
Patent awarded: 2004
Patent says: "The body of the rider acts as a connecting
means between the front and rear roller assemblies and allows high-performance
riding, exercise and competition."
We say: Luges seemed too safe? There doesn't seem to be a way
to catch yourself if you fall, though, so wear plenty of pads.
Patent awarded: 2005
Patent says: "Most types of protective head gear or
helmets cover and protect the entire or majority of the user's head. For many
activities that require protection of the head, maximum protection is
desirable. However, there are some activities where only some protection is
desired."
We say: We're not quite sure which activities this application
is referring to, but it seems like this design relies on one falling only
backward, which doesn't seem entirely practical.
Patent awarded: 2000
Patent says: "The addition of a newborn infant to a
family inspires feelings of nostalgia and the related desire to create a
lasting remembrance of the child's infancy."
We say: It's a dip-your-baby's-butt-in-paint kit. Now mothers
have something else to embarrass their kids with at parties.
Patent awarded: 2003
Patent says: "A banana protective device for storing and
transporting a banana carefully."
We say: A protective case designed for the one fruit that
already comes in a protective case.
Patent awarded: 1999
Patent says: "The difficulties in obtaining closeness and
the restrained mobility are obstacles hindering the person from practicing the
hobby or profession of animal observation."
We say: Just be really patient and try not to move as you lure
birds with your feeder-laden headgear. Really, don't move.
Patent awarded: 2000
Patent says: "A well known difficulty experienced by
travelers or individuals camping in a wilderness environment is finding
suitable toilet facilities."
We say: It's a toilet seat that connects to a trailer hitch.
You can come up with the jokes.
Patent awarded: 2002
Patent says: "The basic functions of dress are to provide
warmth and protection, to beautify or enhance sexual appeal and to supply
information about the wearer."
We say: It's true, these pants do supply information about the
wearer. Perhaps a little too much, what with the hole designed to showcase his
or her rear.
Patent awarded: 1999
Patent says: "It is therefore a primary objective of the present
invention to provide an in-cord detachable ear hanger for an in-ear phone which
can protect the in-ear phone from being pulled off position from the user's
ear."
We say: Just avoid pulling on any part of the cord not between
your ear and the clip, otherwise both will fall off. (This design flaw is
actually stated in the patent.)
Patent awarded: 2003
Patent says: "There is need for [a] simple, inflatable
structure that, when propelled forwardly, will provide lift for various loads,
as for recreational and other purposes."
We say: Finally, a flying bike. The inventor suggests mounting
a rocket on the machine for when you tire of pedaling.
Patent awarded: 2000
Patent says: "It is generally record[ed] that there is a
greater risk of serious injury to motorcyclists in the case of an accident than
to automobile passengers. This is due, inter alia, to the fact that, unlike
automobiles, motorcycles are not equipped with protective systems which enclose
users thereof."
We say: Does this safety device really make riding a
motorcycle seem less daunting?
Patent awarded: 2001
Patent says: "There are various devices in this field for
dealing with the problems of intestinal discharges with some degree of success.
However, all of them are somewhat cumbersome and/or bulky to use."
We say: Two words: "flatulence deodorizer." All
other words fail us.
Patent awarded: 2001
Patent says: "The invention is a special modified scuba
diving apparatus intended for use by an animal."
We say: It's hard enough to get a leash around a dog's neck,
much less an entire scuba suit.
Patent awarded: 2002
Patent says: "Life expectancy has been a major concern of
people throughout the ages."
We say: It's hard to feel good amid a spiraling economy,
crumbling infrastructure, a decaying environment, and a sky-high divorce rate.
But now there's hope! This watch reminds you it's only a matter of time before
you die.
Patent awarded: 2005
Patent says: "Traveling with many items, such as a
telephone, pen or pencil, coins, cigarettes, etc., can be very cumbersome,
particularly when all of the items need to be readily accessible."
We say: A take on the classic fanny pack, this invention moves
the party to your neck.
Patent awarded: 2000
Patent says: "Systems which allow one to operate a
computer device from an ergonomically superior, recumbent position. Provision
is made for supporting the computer device and the body parts of the operator
at elevations and inclinations which make the computer device the most
comfortable and ergonomically superior to operate."
We say: Could you see your boss O.K.'ing this?
Patent awarded: 1999
Patent says: "The repetitive task of moving one's tongue
up and down to manipulate a hollow ring can become monotonous and tiring,
especially for a child."
We say: No children we know seem to struggle with the act of
eating ice cream.
Patent awarded: 2002
Patent says: "There are many snake owners that do not
spend much time handling their snakes. This is largely because they must hold
them constantly while handling them for fear of losing control of them."
We say: This one will surely have snakes replacing puppies as
the conversation starter for singles in the park.
Patent awarded: 2003
Patent says: "A frameless glassware assembly attaching to
body piercing studs."
We say: Fashion nightmare.
Patent awarded: 2000
Patent says: "The inventive device includes a pacifier
having an outwardly extending guard plate, apertures in opposite sides of the
guard plate, and adjustable straps employing hook and loop fasteners to form
loops for engaging the straps between the apertures in the guard plate and an
infant's ears."
We say: Is strapping a muzzle/pacifier to a baby's head to
shut him or her up really an advisable solution?
Patent awarded: 2001
Patent says: "The present invention relates generally to protection
against personal assault, and more particularly to personal assault protection
for those in vulnerable environments such as school rooms."
We say: It's hard not to mention that many schools struggle to
afford books these days, much less military-grade protective gear.
And now... a bathroom-free capsule that
crosses the San Andreas fault in a pressurized tunnel at 760 mph.
Have you ever seen the movie “Idiocracy”? It is a
movie about an “average American” that wakes up 500 years in the future only to
discover that he is the most intelligent person by far in the “dumbed down”
society that is surrounding him. Unfortunately, that film is a very
accurate metaphor for what has happened to American society today. We
have become so “dumbed down” that we don’t even realize what has happened to
us. But once in a while something comes along that reminds us of how far
we have fallen. In Kentucky, an eighth grade exam from 1912 was recently donated
to the Bullitt County History Museum. When I read this exam over, I was
shocked at how difficult it was. Could most eighth grade students pass
such an exam today? Of course not. In fact, I don’t even think that
I could pass it. Sadly, this is even more evidence of “the deliberate
dumbing down of America” that former Department of Education official Charlotte
Iserbyt is constantly warning us about. The American people are not
nearly as mentally sharp as they once were, and with each passing generation it
gets even worse. (Read
More.....)
Has the crust of the earth become more
unstable? All over the planet, giant sinkholes are forming. Many of
them are so massive and are opening up so suddenly that they are actually
swallowing cars, homes and even people. So why is this happening?
Is the earth’s crust collapsing? Is it expanding? Is something else
to blame for this phenomenon? It seems like there is a story about
another giant sinkhole in the news almost every single day now, and scientists
seem to be at a loss for an explanation. Could human activity be
responsible? Yes, the number of sinkholes in the United States definitely
seems to be increasing, but we are also seeing massive sinkholes occur all over
the globe – often in very rural areas. There just doesn’t seem to be any
pattern that would seem to indicate that human activity is the primary
factor. Hopefully scientists can figure out whatever is causing it,
because this epidemic just seems to keep getting worse.
For example, a giant sinkhole that is 60
feet wide suddenly opened up and threatened to swallow an entire resort (Read More....)
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/13/2013 - 13:04
With calls for a European renaissance and a
general belief in stability through the German elections, it is perhaps worth a
reminder of the structural problems that the supposedly bottoming union is
facing. Nowhere is that single monetary policy-facing dilemma more evident than
in the massive economic growth divergences across the EU nations and
the current huge gap in unemployment rates from Greece to Austria and
beyond. It seems the world is waiting for Merkel's re-election and fold on
austerity (seemingly
confirmed by the leaked BuBa report recently) but EU stress test
transparency may remove the symbiotic safety net of bank bond buying sooner
than many believe. With monetary policy somewhat euthanized across the EU,
what's left for the fragmented transmission channels but more promises as
pension funds and banks are stuffed to the gills with their own domestic bonds.
Submitted by Tyler
Durden on 08/13/2013 - 12:57
Since Europe closed, US equities have been
on a tear - all on their own... Bonds, FX, and credit markets have shrugged as
short-term VIX has been hammered lower dragging stocks to the high of the day.
It seems the exuberance anticipated 'non-voting member' Lockhart's more
dovish comments:
*LOCKHART EXPECTS U.S. ECONOMY TO PICK UP IN
2013 SECOND HALF
*LOCKHART SAYS ANY QE CHANGE SHOULD BE 'CAUTIOUS FIRST STEP'
*LOCKHART SAYS QE TAPER POSSIBLE AT ANY OF NEXT THREE MEETINGS
His main comment that "I
don't expect to have enough data to be sure of my outlook next month"
seems to have triggered the last little leg higher. And if a non-voting meber can
do this - do all these talking heads still think the market is 'pricing-in' a
taper?
SWISS
SHOP CLERK: Oprah racism claims 'absolutely untrue' and a 'horror'...
Oprah
sorry she ever mentioned it...
By Josh Barro | Business
Insider – Mon, Aug 12, 2013
To my surprise, the list of new ex-Americans
is publicly
available; I didn't recognize any of the names on a quick scan.
According to the Journal, the surge in
expatriations seems to be driven by the upcoming implementation of the Foreign
Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA), a 2010 law that forces foreign financial
institutions to disclose more information to the IRS about Americans' accounts
and investments. Starting in 2014, foreign financial institutions will have to
tell the IRS about income accruing to American clients (or businesses owned by
Americans), and they'll have to withhold American income tax as appropriate.
In other words, it's going to become a lot
harder to hide your income with a Swiss bank account.
The IRS can't directly tell foreign banks
what data to turn over. But it has a pretty big stick — it can impose a 30%
withholding tax on payments from the U.S. to foreign financial
institutions unless they cooperate. As a result, many foreign banks and foreign
countries have been entering into agreements with the IRS to comply with FATCA.
If you're an American living in the U.S. and
your strategy for hiding income abroad isn't working anymore, you may have few
options but to pay up. But if you live abroad, you have another choice
available: Renounce your U.S. citizenship so you're not liable for American
income tax.
That's one driver of the surge in
renunciations. Another likely factor is the increase in capital gains and
income tax rates in 2013, meaning that wealthy American expatriates can get a
bigger tax saving by renouncing citizenship than they used to.
But a third factor is that FATCA creates
compliance headaches apart from the actual tax bills it leads to. As the WSJ
describes:
Some U.S. citizens say they are exasperated
by a growing raft of paperwork that forces U.S. citizens living abroad to
declare the minutiae of their financial holdings and other assets. That has
increased the attraction of becoming a citizen in places such as Hong Kong,
where the individual tax rate is capped at 15%.
"My decision was less about the actual
amount of taxes I had to pay, and more about the system," said one
investment banker, who renounced his U.S. citizenship and is now a Hong Kong
citizen. "I'm not an ultrawealthy dude. It was the hassle with all the
paperwork."
A few months ago, I attended a dinner where
I sat between two Americans living abroad who complained that FATCA has made
foreign banks less willing to provide American expatriates with checking
accounts, credit cards and mortgages. This has been a major point
of complaint for organizations representing American expatriates.
FATCA also complicates matters for foreign
businesses with American investors (and for Americans who want to invest in
foreign businesses) since American ownership makes a business subject to FATCA
reporting.
If you intend to move back to the U.S.,
you're probably not going to renounce your citizenship because it was hard to
get a checking account, or even because you had to forego an investment
opportunity. But if you're a dual citizen with weak ties to the U.S. and the
law is materially interfering with your financial dealings, it might be a
reason to go ahead and quit being an American.
Marie Sapirie, the legal editor at Tax
Notes, even says the IRS proposed
renouncing citizenship as an option for an American with a
complicated tax situation who had long resided abroad.
Last fall, I attended an American Swiss
Foundation trip to Switzerland and FATCA was the number one hobby horse for the
Swiss participants. The difficulty in evaluating the Swiss complaints is that
the Swiss have a combination of good and bad reasons for hating FATCA. The law
creates compliance burdens for Americans living in Switzerland and Swiss who do
legitimate business with Americans. But it also undermines tax evasion
strategies that are the key reason that some Americans were interested in
banking in Switzerland in the first place.
Of course, every law has compliance costs,
and it's not even clear that it's such a big problem if more Americans,
presumably dual citizens living abroad with relatively weak ties to the U.S.,
are renouncing citizenship. But the benefits of FATCA may also be relatively
modest: It's expected to
raise $7.6 billion in added taxes over 10 years.
In 1999, the State Department estimated that
there are between three and six million Americans living abroad; if those
numbers are similar today, that means FATCA will generate about $170 in extra
annual taxes per expatriate.
The revenue estimate for FATCA may prove
incorrect in either direction; it's based on a guess about how much unreported
foreign income will be discovered when the new reporting and withholding
requirements come into effect. As the law is implemented next year, we'll start
to see how much revenue actually rolls in — and whether the law is worth the
compliance costs and expatriations that it causes.