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Operation Twist: New York Fed sells $7.796 billion in Treasury coupons.

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US industrial production +0.6% in Jul, on expectations of +0.5%, vs negative revised +0.1% in Jun; cap use 79.3%.

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US TIC net long-term security purchases (ex-swaps) +$9.3 bln in Jun, vs $55.9 bln in May; total net flows +$16.7 bln.

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US Empire State Index plunged to -5.9 in Aug, well below expectations of 7.0, vs 7.4 in Jul.

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US CPI unch in Jul, below expectations of +0.2%, vs unch in Jun; core +0.1%, on expectations of +0.2%.

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Gold easier at 1599.11 (-1.19). Silver 27.78 (-0.048). Dollar higher. Euro slips. Stocks called lower. Treasurys mixed.

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Operation Twist: New York Fed purchases $4.646 billion in Treasury coupons.

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US business inventories +0.1% in Jun, just below expectations of +0.2%, vs +0.3% in May.

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US PPI +0.3% in Jul, on expectations of +0.2%, vs +0.1% in Jun; +0.5% y/y; ex-food&energy +2.5% y/y.

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US retail sales +0.8% in Jul, above expectations of +0.3%, vs negative revised -0.7% in Jun; ex-auto +0.8%.

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Gold steady at 1609.57 (-0.98). Silver 27.866 (+0.066). Dollar easier. Euro higher. Stocks called higher. Treasurys mixed.

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Operation Twist: New York Fed purchases $1.833 billion in Treasury coupons.

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Gold higher at 1621.90 (+2.50). Silver 28.067 (-0.013). Dollar easier. Euro firms. Stocks called mixed. Treasurys mixed.

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Morning Snasphot


10-Aug (USAGOLD) — Gold began the US session on its heels a bit, but still well within the confines of the recent range. However, a firmer tone subsequently emerged as the dollar gave back its intraday gains and the euro firmed ahead of the European close.

A strong weekly close today, in the wake of gold’s inability to sustain probes below the 20-day moving average earlier in the week, offers further encouragement to the breakout scenario I outlined in the Special Report we published earlier in the week. Such a close would also add additional confidence to the bullish crossover on the weekly chart that occurred several weeks ago (20-week, over 50-week).

Chinese exports were much weaker than expected in July, at just 1% y/y, on expectation of +8.6% y/y, versus +11.3% in June. This sparked the latest uptick in global growth concerns, which in turn has prompted a corresponding uptick in expectations of additional monetary stimulus.

While the Fed has been relegated to what The Economist called “open mouth operations“. At some point, the market is going to demand something a little more substantive than mere jawboning. The market is eagerly anticipating some hints about the central bank’s path going forward from the Jackson Hole symposium at the end of the month and in some quarters hope springs eternal for a QE3 announcement when the FOMC next meets September 12-13.

• US import price index -0.6% in Jul, on expectations of +0.2%, vs upward revised -2.4% in Jun; export price index +0.5%.
• Canada employment plunged 30k in Jul, on expectations of +7k; unemployment rate ticks higher to 7.3%.
• Germany CPI – Final confirmed at +0.4% m/m in Jul; +1.7% y/y.
• France industrial production UNCH m/m in Jun, on expectations of +0.4%, vs negative revised -2.1% in May; -2.3% y/y.
• France manufacturing production +0.1% m/m, vs negative revised -1.1% m/m in May; -2.6% y/y.
• Norway CPI -0.5% m/m in Jul, vs -0.5% in Jun; +0.2% y/y. Core +1.3% y/y.
• UK PPI Input (nsa) +1.3% m/m in Jul, vs negative revised -2.9% m/m in Jun; -2.4% y/y.
• UK PPI Output (nsa) UNCH m/m in Jul, vs negative revised -0.6% m/m in Jun; +1.7% y/y.
• Portugal CPI UNCH m/m in Jul, vs -0.2% in Jun; +2.8% y/y.
• South Korea PPI -0.1% y/y in Jul, vs +0.8% in Jun.
• Japan domestic CGPI -2.1% y/y in Jul, vs negative revised -1.4% in Jun.
• Japan industrial production (sa) – Revised +0.4% m/m in Jun, vs -0.1% previously.
• Chinese exports +1.0% y/y in Jul, well below market expectation of +8.6% y/y, versus +11.3% in Jun; imports +4.7% y/y.
• Singapore Q2 GDP revised to +2.0% y/y, vs +1.9% previously.
• Hong Kong Q2 GDP +1.1% y/y, vs +0.4% in Q1.

Posted in Daily Market Report, Gold News, Gold Views, all posts |

Operation Twist: New York Fed sells $7.796 billion in Treasury coupons.

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UN food price index jumps on U.S. drought

Food prices up 6% for July. Corn prices up 23%; wheat up 19%; sugar up 12%.

“Meat prices are falling as producers cull herds in an effort to lower feed costs. Eventually this will lead to tighter supplies, but that typically takes about nine months to a year to materialize.”

Source

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Aug. Special Over Half Sold Out – Only 150 Coins Remain

Our August Buyers Group for German 20 mark gold coins is over half sold out after the first day. If you have an interest, we recommend getting in your order.

German Wilhelm II

Details

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“Massive buying at London PM Fix”

LeMetropole Cafe’s Bill Murphy reports “massive” gold buying at today’s London Afternoon Fix.

LeMetropole Cafe

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Gold bulls strengthen on outlook for additional stimulus

“Gold traders are the most bullish in five weeks as investors expanded their bullion holdings near a record on mounting speculation that central banks will have to do more to bolster economic growth….Investors bought about $850 million of gold through exchange-traded products this month, taking the total of 2,411.7 metric tons yesterday to within 0.1 percent of the all-time high set July 5, data compiled by Bloomberg show.”

Bloomberg
8/10/12

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US import price index -0.6% in Jul, on expectations of +0.2%, vs upward revised -2.4% in Jun; export price index +0.5%.

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Canada employment plunged 30k in Jul, on expectations of +7k; unemployment rate ticks higher to 7.3%. CAD pressured.

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Gold lower at 1609.85 (-6.55). Silver 28.84 (-0.29). Dollar firms. Euro defensive. Stocks called lower. Treasurys mixed.

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Operation Twist: New York Fed purchases $1.349 billion in TIPS.

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August Buyers Group – German 20 mark gold coins

A N N O U N C E M E N T

Here’s an opportunity to purchase hard to get German 20 mark gold coins at heavily discounted prices. Orders will be served on a first come first served basis. Only 500 coins available. Pricing competitive to similar sized bullion coins (roughly one-quarter ounce – .2304 net fine troy ounces).

Details

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USAGOLD Special Report

Gold Technicals Portend Impending Breakout
Similar chart patterns in seven major currencies signal potential for resumption of secular bull market

by Peter Grant

“As a market technician by trade for many years, when I see a protracted series of lower highs and higher lows, I think I start to salivate a little.”

Link

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Just released USAGOLD Special Report

Gold Technicals Portend Impending Breakout
Similar chart patterns in seven major currencies signal potential for resumption of secular bull market

by Peter Grant

“As a market technician by trade for many years, when I see a protracted series of lower highs and higher lows, I think I start to salivate a little.”

Link

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US trade deficit narrowed to -$42.9 bln in Jun on expectations of -$47.8 bln, vs -$48.04 bln May.

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US initial jobless claims -6k to 361k for the week ended 04-Aug, below expectations of 370k, vs upward revised 367k in previous week.

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Gold better at 1613.76 (+1.33). Silver 28.032 (+0.012). Dollar firms. Euro slides. Stocks called mixed. Treasurys steady to lower.

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China’s “golden people”

Pete, the author of that article is not only a member of China’s Central Committee, he is the general manager of the China National Gold Group Corporation, China’s largest gold producer and the driving force behind its state controlled mining and refinery operations. In other words, this individual is in a position to articulate China’s attitudes and policy toward gold, and that is what he does in this article. The translation is rough in parts but the meaning comes through loud and clear.

He makes several important revelations in the article, and perhaps when I have more time I will review them in more detail. Most striking though are the differences between the way Chinese authorities view gold as opposed to the view of most Western policy-makers. For example, he refers to gold as “the cornerstone of global strategic resources.” As such, he says, China needs to accumulate it as a national reserve — as part of national strategic policy. He points out that the U.S. gold reserve represents 70% of total currency reserves while China’s gold represents only 1.6%. For years, we have heard that China is converting its domestic production to reserves, but that speculation has been no more than an educated guess. The author confirms it as China’s strategy — to my knowledge the first time the strategy has been publicly confirmed by a Chinese authority. He talks about gold in national terms — about the making of China into a “gold power.”

He also expands upon and confirms China’s strategy to encourage private ownership of the metal by Chinese citizens. As such, China joins Japan as a country that tacitly encourages gold ownership for its citizenry. He refers to gold accumulators as “golden people” and talks about guiding “people to a rational investment, a reasonable consumer.” He mentions China Gold stores that “strengthen the brand promotion measures effectively to achieve the gold in China, possession of wealth to the people, the Gold strategic goal.” “Practice,” he says, “has proved that private gold reserves is an effective complement to national reserves, is very important for maintaining the country’s financial security.” He goes on to characterize citizen gold ownership as a “favorable opportunity” essential to “the country’s financial security?”

Here is the link to the Qiu Shi article.

__________

In about two weeks, the all new third edition of my book, “The ABC of Gold Investing: How to Protect and Build Your Wealth With Gold,” will be published by Addicus Books. Though this book contains some of the same elements that have made it a standard reference in the past for the beginning gold investor, it also explores some of what I consider to be the most important developments for gold going forward. Chief among them is gold’s graduation to a national asset along the lines described in this Qiu Shi article and what it might mean to the gold market of the future.

I believe gold’s ascendance to a “wealth reserve tool” in both public and private portfolios as the singlemost important contributor to gold’s future investment dynamics. In fact one of the concluding chapters of the new book is titled “Wealth Insurance” and it touches upon many of the same themes the author of this article raises. It is fundamentally important for the private owner of wealth to realize that he or she should own gold for the very same reasons that China owns it. Golden people! I couldn’t think of a better appellation. Just as the author of this article suggests gold for China as a means to enhancing its “ability to deal with complex situations,” so it should be acquired by the individual to allay the complicated economic scenarios likely to unfold in the years to come.

__________

It just so happens that we launched our August Buyers Group a short while ago. Something worth looking into in light of the revelations in the Qiu Shi article linked immediately above.

_______

If you have an interest in a signed copy of the new book, drop me a line at

[email protected]

and we will start a list of “golden people” to contact when the first shipment of books arrives.

Best, MK

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