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S.Korea economy grows at fastest pace for 2 years19:52
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UK Treasury OKs MoD's contractor-run procurement plan18:56
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S. Korea's economic growth hits 2-year high in Q118:54
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Economy's impressive run may bring unease to BSP18:53
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Japan PM Abe: Yen decline will narrow trade deficit in 1 year18:53
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DAVID ROSENBERG: 12 Signs The Economy Is Weaker Than You Think18:52
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SLO economic forum focuses on benefits of collaboration18:45
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Japan PM Abe: Not necessary to stick to 44Tln yen bond issuance cap18:33
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BOJ's Kuroda says will stick to 2 pct inflation target18:32
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Forex: GBP/USD pushing higher above 1.525018:28
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UK to learn if it has entered "triple-dip" recession18:18
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Forex Flash: EUR/USD vs EU sovereign spreads, a regime shift taking place - Nomura18:18
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UK to find out if it has entered 'triple-dip' recession18:17
TVNZ - Business
How economists perpetuated the great recession18:17
Business Spectator - Economy
South Korea Economic Growth Beats Forecasts18:16
Fox Business - Industries
Brown-Vitter bill seeks to end ‘too big to fail’18:16
The Washington Post
'Canadian economy is strong,' Carney says in last testimony before parliament18:14
CTV.ca
Kuroda speaking in parliament: Hope to achieve 2% inflation as soon as possible18:13
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Evidence and Economic Policy18:11
The New York Times: Paul Krugman (Weblog) - Technology
SKorea's economic growth hits 2-year high in 1Q18:11
York Dispatch, Pennsylvania - Business
N Brown eyes further openings in the south as profits increase18:05
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S Korea Q1 GDP tops expectations despite yen, N Korea18:04
Business Times Online - Asia
IMF urges Pakistan to act to stabilize economy18:04
Business Times Online - Asia
South Korea’s Economy Grows at the Fastest Pace in 2 Years18:03
Bloomberg - Markets
Barrick Gold's annual meeting: Falling profit, angry shareholders and protesters17:56
The Globe and Mail
FOREX-Yen steady in early Asia trade; Japan flow data eyed17:53
Reuters.co.uk - Currencies - Asian Currency


Gold Underpinned by Physical Demand

by Peter A. Grant

Apr 24, AM
(from USAGOLD.com) --

Gold has retraced yesterday's losses, pushing briefly back within striking distance of Monday's high at 1439.00. Strong physical interest continues to underpin the market, which is apparently making some of the speculative sellers of gold nervous.

It was widely reported yesterday that Goldman Sachs got stopped out their short position in COMEX gold futures on the rebound above $1400. You may recall that that Goldman revised their gold forecast down two weeks ago, which may have contributed to the sell-off in the paper market.

Durable good orders for March missed badly, providing the latest indication that the U.S. economy is not recovering in a manner that many had hoped for. Durable goods orders tumbled -5.7% in March, well below market expectations of -3.0%. The February print was revised lower as well from +5.7% to +4.3%.

Much of the selling pressure seen in gold earlier in the year was attributable to allocation shifts out of safe havens and into equities based on some expectation that the economy was on the mend. That is simply not being born out by the data. If the stock market starts to suffer as a result of this reality, those same investors that were ditching their gold ETFs to pile back into shares, might just start reversing those trades.

Additionally, if the data continues to disappoint, those convinced that the Fed would start removing accommodations sooner rather than later may have to rethink their positions. It has been my position that the Fed isn't going to start tightening until sometime in 2015. Basically, I'm inclined to at a minimum believe Bernanke, who has repeatedly said they will continue with ZIRP and QE until the jobless rate falls to 6.5% or inflation rises to 2.5%. Neither is going to happen any time soon.

NEWSLETTER SIGN-UP

Opinions expressed in commentary on the USAGOLD.com website do not constitute an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any precious metals product, nor should they be viewed in any way as investment advice or advice to buy, sell or hold. USAGOLD, Inc. recommends the purchase of physical precious metals for asset preservation purposes, not speculation. Utilization of these opinions for speculative purposes is neither suggested nor advised. Commentary is strictly for educational purposes, and as such USAGOLD does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information found here.

 

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