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Copper Set for Weekly Drop Amid High Stockpiles, Economic Woes20:23
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Keystone’s economic benefits for US questioned20:22
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Dollar dips against yen in Asia20:22
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Rupee fluctuates20:22
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Why the BSP relaxed forex rules again20:22
ABS-CBNnews.com - Business
Aso on wires: Told G20 Abe’s economic policies are to fight deflation20:22
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One Man’s Currency Is Another Man’s Bet20:21
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Gold near two-year low; heads for fourth …20:17
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Continued Growth for Family Dollar Becomes a Struggle20:16
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Core Exploration finds new copper mineralisation at Paradise Well in Northern Territory20:16
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China Mar CB Leading Economic Index declines to 0 vs 1.320:08
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FTSE-100 hit by fears over US economy20:07
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SPOTLIGHT: The warehouse queues in copper20:06
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Longest Retirements Fuel Pressure for Singapore Remodel: Economy20:06
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The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for China Remained Flat in March20:03
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March Conference Board Leading Economic Index for China 258.3 (vs. 258.4 prior)20:02
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Forex: GBP/JPY trading range continues, resistance at 150.60 still looms overhead19:58
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Economic, social survey of Asia Pacific launched19:57
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South Asia regaining economic momentum but faces risks: World Bank19:57
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High earning groups face lesser food inflation19:57
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Chinese banks see forex surplus for 7 months19:56
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FOREX: Ringgit Opens Marginally Lower Against Dollar19:46
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Inflation pushes up cost of the railways19:45
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Retail sales fall but stay above end of 2012 dip19:45
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US economic indicators slip19:45
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Financing deals keep upward pressure on copper premiums19:36
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Quintessential Resources completes drilling 3 holes targeting silver-gold at PNG project19:35
Proactive Investors - Australia
BlackRock Bullish as MUFJ Doubts Forecasts of Yield Jump19:35
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Despite Gold Losses, Paulson Still Believes19:34
Business Week - BW Magazine
Australia's Two-Speed Economy Tests Gillard's Reelection Bid19:34
Business Week - BW Magazine
Gold Set for Fourth Weekly Drop as Investors Weigh ETPs, Demand19:33
Bloomberg - Markets - Commodities
BOJ bidding for 300bn yen in debt longer than 10 years and 500bn yen in 5-10 year debt19:32
ForexLive.com
Sakakibara: Says Japan economy in recovery prcess, may have >2% growth in 2013, 201419:32
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Christie Jobs Record Attacked as Growth Trails Neighbors19:32
Bloomberg - Markets - Municipal Bonds
Calling All Coaches: Join Former Seahawks QB Jon Kitna And CBS Sportscaster James Brown To Devise Game Plan To Better Mentor Young Athletes19:31
The Street - Markets
Gold rises in roller-coaster trade19:28
WA Today - Markets
US stocks fall as bearish signs grow19:28
WA Today - Markets
Recession brought jobs back to city centers, study finds19:26
Chicago Tribune - Business
Okonjo-Iweala: FG Will Use Oil Savings to Protect Economy19:26
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Dollar slips amid global worries19:24
The Age - Markets
Gold will have its day again19:24
The Age - Markets
Chinese lending jumps stoking inflation worries19:23
China Economic Review - Columns
South Korea’s Hyun Says Yen Bigger Issue Than North Korea19:23
Bloomberg - Regions
Will the Global Economy Be a Canary in Ford's Coal Mine?19:19
The Motley Fool
Gold buyers rush to jewellers; investors to realty19:13
The Economic Times - Markets
Forex Flash: USD/JPY, above 100.00 the 105.00 comes into sight - BTMU19:08
FXstreet - Forex News
Gold near two-year low; heads for fourth week of decline19:03
Reuters - Business


Gold's Fundamentals Have Not Changed

by Peter A. Grant

Apr 18, AM
(from USAGOLD.com) --

Gold traded briefly back above the $1400 level in early New York trading, before retreating back into the range. The market continues to be underpinned by considerable physical interest, both in Asia and here in the U.S.

The U.S. Mint is reporting sales of 147,000 ounces in April thus far, with two more weeks left in the month. Some sources are saying the Mint sold 63,500 ounces on Wednesday alone! That's more than they sold in the entire month of March. The U.S. Mint should easily exceed the high water market for the year set in January at 150,000.

Regardless of the big paper driven sell-off that began last Friday, the underlying fundamentals have not really changed. The G-7 economies are moribund at best and recessionary at worst. The central banks of these nations continue to respond with super-easy monetary policy and extraordinary accommodations at best.

A Time magazine article on gold's fall said, "let’s not mistake yesterday’s decline for the end of the gold bull run. [T]he issues confronting traditional currency have not been resolved." Truer words were never spoken; as clearly the debasement of the world's major currencies is an ongoing phenomenon.

Investor and author John Mauldin said earlier this week in his Things That Make You Go Hmmm... newsletter: "[T]he era of fiat currencies is approaching yet another 'end point' due to the way such funny money is being abused by governments and central banks." Mauldin goes on to add, "The only real viable alternative is gold."

While Cyprus is reportedly considering selling at least a portion of it's gold reserves to help finance its bailout, central banks in general remain net buyers of physical gold as part of a broad reserve asset diversification strategy that is unlikely to end any time soon. There is some concern out there that other sovereigns may be pressured to sell gold reserves under duress. Recall however that back in the summer of 2011, when the Greek crisis was in full swing, the Bank of Greece managed to scrape together enough money from somewhere to actually add to its gold reserves.

I don't believe meaningful central bank gold sales are a legitimate risk. If Cyprus does sell 10 tonnes of gold, it will never see the open market. Rather it will most likely be snapped up by one of the many gold hungry sovereigns.

Over the last couple days the yellow metal seems to be trying to form a base. While further tests of the downside can not be preclude, given the size of the paper market relative to the physical market. Conservatively, there are 100 paper ounces of gold out there for every ounce of the real thing. Yet physical buyers have largely been viewing the recent drop has a huge gift courtesy of that paper market. Our phones have been ringing off the hook and I have yet to process a single purchase order, where a client is selling.

Understandably, some clients want to have a conversation about recent price action and timing. However, since the drop began last Friday, they have all been buyers and I view that as perhaps the strongest indicator of all.

NEWSLETTER SIGN-UP

Opinions expressed in commentary on the USAGOLD.com website do not constitute an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any precious metals product, nor should they be viewed in any way as investment advice or advice to buy, sell or hold. USAGOLD, Inc. recommends the purchase of physical precious metals for asset preservation purposes, not speculation. Utilization of these opinions for speculative purposes is neither suggested nor advised. Commentary is strictly for educational purposes, and as such USAGOLD does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information found here.

 

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