20 Signs That Europe Is Plunging Into A Full-Blown
Economic Depression
The American Dream
January 30, 2012
An economic nightmare is descending on Europe. With each
passing month, the economic numbers across Europe get even worse. At this
point it is becoming extremely difficult for anyone to deny that Europe is
plunging into a full-blown economic depression. In fact, some parts of
Europe are already there. In Spain the overall unemployment rate is over
22 percent, and in Greece one out of every five retail establishments has
already been closed down. All over Europe, economic activity is rapidly
slowing down, unemployment is skyrocketing and bad debts are unraveling.
It isn’t even going to take a default by a nation such as Greece or a collapse
of the euro to push Europe into an economic depression. All Europe has to
do is to stay on the exact path that it is on right now and it will get
there. Normally, European governments would respond to an economic
slowdown by increasing government spending. But this time most of them
are already drowning in debt. Instead of increasing government spending,
most governments in Europe are actually cutting back. All over Europe,
national governments are being encouraged to implement even more tax increases
and even more budget cuts. The hope is that all of this austerity will
help solve the nightmarish sovereign debt crisis that Europe is facing.
But unfortunately, all of these tax increases and budget cuts are also going to
involve a tremendous amount of economic pain.
The frightening thing is that we are just at the beginning of
the process for most European nations. If you want to see where nations
such as Portugal, Italy and Spain are headed, just take a look at Greece.
Greece has been going down this road for several years, and there is still
no light at the end of the tunnel for them.
The tax increases and budget cuts that are being implemented
right now in Europe will be felt for years to come. The tremendous
economic prosperity that was fueled by unprecedented amounts of debt will now
give way to tremendous economic suffering.
The following are 20 signs that Europe is plunging into a
full-blown economic depression….
#1 The unemployment rate for
those between the ages of 16 and 24 is 28 percent
in Italy, 43 percent
in Greece and 51 percent
in Spain.
#2 Overall, the unemployment
rate for those under the age of 25 in the EU is
22.7 percent.
#3 Citigroup is projecting that
the economy of Portugal will shrink by 5.7 percent
this year.
#4 The total of all forms of
debt in Portugal (government, business and consumer) is equivalent to 360 percent
of GDP.
#5 The Greek “recession” is now
entering a fifth year.
#6 The Greek economy
shrank by 6 percent
during 2011.
#7 It is being projected that
the Greek economy will shrink by another 5
percent during 2012.
#8 The overall unemployment rate
in Greece is now 18.5 percent.
#9 In Greece, 20 percent
of all retail stores have been permanently shut down.
#10 The number of suicides in
Greece rose by 40 percent
in just one recent 12 month time period.
#11 According to the IMF, the
amount of debt accumulated by the Greek government is equal to
approximately 160 percent of GDP.
#12 In total, there are now more than 5 million
unemployed workers in Spain.
#13 Bad loans in Spain recently
reached a 17-year high.
#14 The overall unemployment rate
in Spain is now a whopping 22.8 percent.
#15 The number of property
repossessions in Spain has risen by 32 percentover
the past year.
#16 When the maturing debt that
the Italian government must roll over in 2012 is added to their projected
budget deficit, the total comes to approximately 23.1 percent
of Italy’s GDP.
#17 Manufacturing activity in the
euro zone has fallen for
five months in a row.
#18 The UK economy actually
contracted during the 4th quarter of 2011.
#19 The German economy actually
contracted during the 4th quarter of 2011.
#20 The Baltic Dry Index, often
used as a gauge for the health of the world economy, has fallen a
staggering 61 percent since October.
Economic gloom is slowly spreading throughout Europe like a dark
cloud. Some of the strongest economies in Europe are only just starting
to slow down. Others are already gripped by tremendous economic
pain. Trends forecaster Gerald Celente recently explained to ABC
Australia that much of the EU is already
experiencing an economic depression….
“If you live in Greece, you’re in a depression; if you live in
Spain, you’re in a depression; if you live in Portugal or Ireland, you’re in a
depression,” Celente said. “If you live in Lithuania, you’re running to the
bank to get your money out of the bank as the bank runs go on. It’s a
depression. Hungary, there’s a depression, and much of Eastern Europe, Romania,
Bulgaria. And there are a lot of depressions going on [already].”
As things fall apart in Europe, the political wrangling is going
to become even more intense.
For example, over the past few days a shocking new German
proposal has come to light. Germany apparently would like Greece to give
a “EU budget
commissioner” the power to veto all Greek decisions on taxes and
spending.
That would represent an unprecedented loss of sovereignty for
Greece, and obviously Greek politicians are not excited about the idea at all.
In fact, Greek education minister Anna Diamantopoulou said that
the proposal was “the product of a sick imagination“.
But the sentiment in Germany is that since Greece must be bailed
out by them, Greece should be willing to submit to some oversight for a certain
amount of time.
It will be interesting to see how this plays out.
Meanwhile, the Greek people continue to become angrier.
According to one recent poll, about 90
percent all of Greek citizens are unhappy with the interim
government led by Prime Minister Lucas Papademos.
Things are also unraveling very quickly in Portugal. Now
there is talk that private investors will be required to take a “haircut” on
Portuguese debt as well.
The following is from a recent article in the
Telegraph….
A report for the Kiel Institute for the World Economy said
Portugal would have to run a primary budget surplus of over 11pc of GDP a year
to prevent debt dynamics spiralling out of control, even in a benign scenario
of 2pc annual growth.
“Portugal’s debt is unsustainable. That is the only possible
conclusion,” said David Bencek, the co-author, warning that no country can
achieve a primary budget surplus above 5pc for long.
“We won’t know what the trigger will be but once there is a
decision on Greece people are going to start looking closely and realise that
Portugal is the same position as Greece was a year ago.”
Sadly, that article is exactly right.
Portugal is marching down the exact same road that Greece went
down.
The yield on 5 year Portuguese bonds is now up to an all-time
record 19.8 percent.
A year ago, the yield on those bonds was only about 6 percent.
This is the same thing that happened to Greece.
A year ago, the yield on 5 year Greek bonds was about 12
percent.
Now the yield on those bonds is more than 50 percent.
The world is facing a debt crisis unlike anything ever seen
before, and Europe is right at the center of it.
Right now, the major industrialized nations of the world
are 55
trillion dollars in debt.
Everyone knew that at some point that debt bomb was going to
explode.
So what is going to happen next?
Well, Europe appears to be heading for a full-blown economic
depression.
Will the rest of the globe be able to escape a similar fate?