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Live London Gold News Wire

NEW in the last 5 minutes
www.usagold.com --LIVE NEWS--
Inflation at 0.8 pc in September year17:32
The Dominion Post - Business
China keeps inflation down, exports up17:30
TV3 News
Upbeat retail sales lift U.S. markets17:30
Newsday.com - Business
10 to 15 minutes old
www.usagold.com --LIVE NEWS--
US retail sales rise sharply17:21
The West Australian - Business - World
15 to 30 minutes old
www.usagold.com --LIVE NEWS--
Update: US retail sales point to stronger economic growth17:15
Business Times Online - World
Inflation eases in China, providing room for stimulus17:14
LA Times
Biz Break: iPhone 5 drives economic boost, pushing stocks higher; Marissa Mayer building Yahoogle?17:10
MercuryNews.com, California - Business
US retail sales jumped 1.1 percent in September17:09
Journal Now, North Carolina - Business
Joe Biden's Theory About The Great Recession Just Doesn't Make Sense17:08
Business Insider - Finance
Forex: AUD/USD, 1.0270-1.0200 key levels; RBA may bring them into play17:07
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Democrats to Obama: It's Still the Economy, Stupid17:04
Business Week - Global Business
Economy Briefs: 2 from U.S. win economics prize for match-making16:55
The Washington Times - Economy
U.S. retail sales jumped 1.1% in September16:51
The News & Observer, North Carolina
Forex Flash: RBNZ rate reduction a risk scenario - Westpac16:47
FXstreet - Forex News
Forex: AUD/NZD touches new 3-wk highs16:47
FXstreet - Forex News
Euro falls vs dollar, hostage to Spain uncertainty16:46
The Economic Times - Markets
Study portrays county nonprofits as economic force16:45
Gainesville Sun, Florida - Local
Dampier Gold banks A$1M to advance Plutonic Dome16:44
Proactiveinvestors - Australia
RI Foundation to invest $1M to boost economy16:43
Ventura County Star, California
Pepperdine Study: Economy Improves Before Nearly All Presidential Elections16:43
CBS Los Angeles
Williams plans Dacian Gold float16:41
The West Australian - Business - World
1 to 2 hours old
www.usagold.com --LIVE NEWS--
Rates on US Treasury bills rise at weekly auction16:30
Yahoo! US - Business
Wall St rallies on Citigroup's earnings, retail sales16:26
The Economic Times - Markets
ECB Focus : Interest rates could stay on hold for years16:23
Daily Times - Business
Gold falls 1% as US data erodes stimulus hopes16:23
Daily Times - Business
India inflation seen accelerating in Sept16:23
Daily Times - Business
Tame China inflation takes pressure off policymakers16:23
Daily Times - Business
US retail sales point to stronger eco growth16:23
Daily Times - Business
Euro rises but held in range by Spain uncertainty16:23
Daily Times - Business
SBP warns about fraudulent prize schemes in foreign currency16:23
Daily Times - Business
NZ dollar gains after US retail sales growth16:23
Business Spectator
Inflation lower than forecast16:21
TVNZ - Business
Euro destroying EU, and Germany should save it: George Soros16:21
The Economic Times - International Business
Forex: EUR/USD Finish Almost Flat With Sentiment Improving16:19
SeekingAlpha - Macro View
US: Wall St rallies on Citigroup's earnings, retail sales16:17
Business Times Online - Stock Markets
Dollar and precious metals at a glance16:14
St. Paul Pioneer Press, Minnesota - Business
Recession-hit Greece needs hope to fight: Samaras16:13
Business Spectator
US retail sales point to stronger growth16:13
Gulf Times
Inflation rises in September quarter16:11
TVNZ - Business
T-Bond Yields Dip Despite Stronger Retail Sales Data16:10
Investors Business Daily - Investing
Inflation at lowest since 199916:10
TV3 News
Forex: NZD/USD gets hammered post-NZ inflation data16:07
FXstreet - Forex News
Goal is to transform Portugal's economy, says Sec. of State16:06
Reuters.co.uk - Latest Video News
Yen slips as euro-dollar trades flat16:05
Channel NewsAsia - Business
Confident consumers give U.S. retail sales a lift16:04
CBS.com - Moneywatch
Lincoln's 2013 MKZ Hybrid tops in fuel economy16:04
Chicago Tribune - Business
'Recession-hit Greece needs hope to fight extremism'16:04
The Economic Times
US Fed officials offer divergent views on inflation risks16:04
The Economic Times
Euro destroying EU, and Germany should save it: Soros16:03
Reuters - Comunicati stampa
US stocks rise on retail sales, Citi earnings16:03
Business Recorder, Pakistan

 


 

Morning Snapshot

by Peter A. Grant

Oct 15, AM
(from USAGOLD.com) --

Gold has fallen to a new 4-week low at 1728.76 as corrective pressures that emerged last week persist. Essentially gold has returned to the level it was at when Fed chairman Bernanke announced QE3 on 13-Sep. Global growth concerns are ascendent once again, despite massive monetary stimulus from central banks around the world; amid a growing realization that monetary policy is not a panacea.

This is a sentiment reiterated by Bernanke in Tokyo over the weekend: "As I have said many times, however, monetary policy is not a panacea." And while the Fed is not likely dismayed by softer gold prices, US equities has also retraced all of their QE3 related gains. A weak stock market is a problem for the Fed as the diminished wealth effect that results tends to have negative impact on consumption; and consumption of course is the life blood of the US economy.

What does the Fed do from here? Well, I doubt they throw up their hands and say there's nothing more they can do. More growth risks and declines in stocks may well lead to an increasing expectation that QE3 will be expanded to include more outright Treasury purchases. We're arguably too far down the path to turn back now. So the best hope perhaps is that rather than back-track, we find a new path that will ultimately address some of the underlying fiscal problems that are the root causes of the economic malaise that we find ourselves in.

In that vein, Presidential candidate Mitt Romney has pledged to dump Fed chairman Ben Bernanke. The recent narrowing of Presidential race polls, in the wake of Romney's Denver debate performance, have raised the odds that he just might get that opportunity to sack Bernanke. That uptick in uncertainty is causing some short-term duress in the market.

Make no mistake though, a President Romney would be very unlikely to appoint a true monetary hawk to head the Fed. Instead, he would likely look for someone who would alter course gradually. That would likely mean that even under new leadership, the Fed's balance sheet would continue to grow for some time, although perhaps at a slower pace.

• US business inventories +0.6% in Aug, near expectations of +0.5%, vs +0.8% in Jul; sales +0.5%.
• Canada existing home sales surprise at +2.5% in Sep, on expectations of -5.0%; -15.1% y/y.
• US Empire State Index rebounded to -6.2 in Oct, below expectations of -5.0, vs -10.4 in Sep.
• US retail sales +1.1% in Sep, above expectations of +0.8%, vs positive revised +1.2% in Aug; ex-auto +1.1%.
• Turkey unemployment rate (nsa) rose to 8.4% in Jul, vs 8.0% in Jun.
• Switzerland PPI +0.3% m/m in Sep, vs +0.5% in Aug; +0.3% y/y.
• China CPI +1.9% y/y in Sep, vs +2.0% y/y in Aug.
• China PPI -3.6% y/y in Sep, vs -3.5% y/y in Aug.
• Japan industrial production (sa) revised down to -1.6% in Aug, vs -1.3% previously.

Peter Grant is USAGOLD's resident economist and a well-known analyst globally in the forex and precious metals markets.


NEWSLETTER SIGN-UP

Opinions expressed in commentary on the USAGOLD.com website do not constitute an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any precious metals product, nor should they be viewed in any way as investment advice or advice to buy, sell or hold. USAGOLD, Inc. recommends the purchase of physical precious metals for asset preservation purposes, not speculation. Utilization of these opinions for speculative purposes is neither suggested nor advised. Commentary is strictly for educational purposes, and as such USAGOLD does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information found here.

 

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